Stock Markets Decline Amid Trump Tariff NewsStock Markets Decline Amid Trump Tariff News
Comparing the approximate difference between last week's opening and closing prices on stock index charts:
➝ The US S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) fell by 2.4%.
➝ The European Euro Stoxx 50 (Europe 50 on FXOpen) dropped by 2%.
Why Are Stocks Falling?
The bearish sentiment in stock markets is largely driven by news surrounding White House tariff policies, as reflected in Federal Reserve statements late last week:
➝ Boston Fed President Susan Collins stated that tariffs will "inevitably" fuel inflation, at least in the short term.
➝ Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin noted that rapid shifts in US trade policy have created uncertainty for businesses.
US developments are also weighing on European stock markets, which were already under pressure following President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 25% tariff on foreign cars. Trump has also threatened further tariffs on the EU and Canada, heightening trade tensions.
Today, the Euro Stoxx 50 index opened with a bearish gap, hitting its lowest level since early 2025, falling below the previous yearly low of 5,292. This reflects growing market concerns ahead of 2 April, when Trump is expected to confirm the implementation of new tariffs.
Technical Analysis of the Euro Stoxx 50 Index (Europe 50 on FXOpen)
Since late 2024, the price has been moving within an ascending channel (marked in blue), but today, it has fallen below the lower boundary—suggesting the channel is losing relevance. Bearish dominance is evident through the following signals:
➝ The 5,550 level proved to be an insurmountable resistance for bulls.
➝ The median of the blue channel acted as resistance (marked by a red arrow).
➝ The 5,406 level shifted from support to resistance (marked by black arrows).
If the bearish trend persists, the Euro Stoxx 50 index (Europe 50 on FXOpen) could continue fluctuating within a descending channel (outlined in red).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Europe50
EURO50 / STOXX 50 Indices CFD Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (5400) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or Swing high or low level should be in retest.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (5450) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 5300 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 5130 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Index-Specific Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction:
EURO50 / STOXX 50 Indices CFD Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend., driven by several key factors.
🔴Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental factors assess intrinsic drivers:
Economic Growth:
Eurozone GDP at 1.2% (Q4 2024, ECB projection)—modest growth supports equities—mildly bullish.
Corporate Earnings:
STOXX50 firms report 8% year-over-year growth, led by consumer goods and industrials—bullish, though energy lags.
Interest Rates:
ECB at 2.5%, no immediate cuts—real yields (~0.5%) pressure equities—bearish short-term.
Inflation:
HICP at 2.8%—above ECB’s 2% target, aids exporters but squeezes margins—mixed.
Trade Environment:
U.S. tariffs (10% on China) shift trade to Europe—bullish long-term for exporters.
Explanation: Fundamentals lean bullish with earnings and trade gains, but ECB rates and inflation temper short-term upside.
⚪Macroeconomic Factors
Macroeconomic influences on the STOXX50:
Eurozone:
PMI 46.2 (Eurostat)—stagnation persists—bearish.
ECB’s 2.5% rate and stimulus talks—bullish offset.
U.S.:
Fed at 3-3.5%, PCE 2.6%—USD softening (DXY ~105) boosts exports—bullish.
Tariffs disrupt trade—mixed, Eurozone benefits relatively.
Global:
China 4.5%, Japan 1%—slow growth curbs demand—bearish.
Oil $70.44—stable, neutral.
Geopolitical Risk:
Russia-Ukraine tensions—bearish sentiment, bullish for defense stocks.
Explanation: Macro factors are mixed—USD weakness and tariffs favor Europe, but global slowdown and stagnation limit gains.
🟠Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
COT data reflects futures positioning:
Speculators:
Net long ~35,000 contracts (down from 45,000)—cautious bullishness—bullish.
Hedgers:
Net short ~40,000 contracts—stable, profit-taking—neutral.
Open Interest:
~85,000 contracts—steady interest—neutral to bullish.
Explanation: COT shows a market with room for upside, not overbought, supporting a cautiously bullish stance.
🟡Index-Specific Analysis
Factors unique to the STOXX50:
Technical Levels:
50-day SMA ~5,500, 200-day SMA ~5,300—price below 50-day, above 200-day—neutral consolidation.
Support at 5,450, resistance at 5,600—price near support.
Sector Composition:
Financials (20%), industrials (18%), consumer goods (15%)—trade shifts boost financials/industrials—bullish tilt.
Volatility Index (VSTOXX):
18%—±65-point daily swings—neutral risk perception.
Market Breadth:
65% of stocks above 200-day MA—broad participation—mildly bullish.
Explanation: Technicals suggest consolidation, with sectoral strength offering resilience.
🟢Market Sentiment Analysis
Investor and trader mood:
Retail Sentiment:
60% short at 5,480 (social media)—contrarian upside—bullish signal.
Institutional:
J.P. Morgan targets 5,700 by Q4 2025, Citi flags volatility—neutral to bullish.
Corporate:
Hedging at 5,500-5,600—neutral, awaiting clarity.
Social Media:
Bearish short-term (tariff fears), bullish long-term (recovery)—mixed.
Explanation: Sentiment is cautious—retail shorts suggest a potential squeeze, institutional views support longer-term gains.
🔵Geopolitical and News Analysis
Geopolitical events and news:
U.S.-China Trade Tensions:
Trump’s 10% tariff on China (Mar 6)—shifts trade to Europe—bullish for exporters, bearish short-term volatility (Reuters).
Russia-Ukraine Conflict:
Escalation risks (e.g., energy disruptions)—bearish sentiment, bullish for defense (e.g., Airbus)—mixed (Bloomberg, Mar 7).
EU Policy:
ECB projections (Mar 6) cite geopolitical drag—bearish. Defense spending talks—bullish for industrials (ECB.europa.eu).
France-Germany:
Stable coalition aids EU integration—mildly bullish.
Explanation: Geopolitics add volatility—tariffs and conflicts weigh short-term, trade benefits and defense spending lift long-term prospects.
🟣Intermarket Analysis
Relationships with other markets:
EUR/USD:
Below 1.0500—weaker euro aids exports—bullish.
DAX:
~19,500—strong correlation, similar dynamics—bullish alignment.
S&P 500:
~5,990—stable, neutral; U.S. risk-off lifts STOXX50—mildly bullish.
Commodities:
Oil $70.44—neutral; gold $2,930 (risk-off)—bullish for Eurozone as hedge market.
Bond Yields:
Eurozone 2.2% vs. U.S. 3.8%—yield gap attracts capital—bullish.
Explanation: Intermarket signals are bullish—EUR/USD, bonds, and gold favor STOXX50, with equities providing cautious support.
🟤Next Trend Move
Projected price movements:
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks):
Range: 5,450-5,600.
Dip to 5,450 if tariff fears grow; up to 5,600 if ECB signals dovishness or trade data beats.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months):
Range: 5,400-5,700.
Below 5,450 targets 5,400; above 5,600 aims for 5,700, tied to earnings/policy.
Catalysts: ECB statements, PMI (Mar 10), U.S. trade updates.
Explanation: Short-term consolidation is likely, with downside risks from geopolitics and upside from policy support.
⚫Overall Summary Outlook
The STOXX50 at 5,480.00 faces bearish short-term pressures (geopolitical uncertainty, stagnation, tariff fears) offset by bullish drivers (earnings, trade shifts, USD softness). COT and intermarket signals suggest cautious optimism, technicals indicate consolidation, and sentiment balances short-term caution with long-term hope. A short-term dip to 5,450 is probable, with medium-term upside to 5,700 if fundamentals hold.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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European Stocks Rise for Sixth Consecutive WeekEuropean Stocks Rise for Sixth Consecutive Week
According to the Eurostoxx 50 index (Europe 50 on FXOpen) chart:
→ The index has gained over 6% since early February.
→ It is now trading at an all-time high.
Factors driving market optimism:
→ Expectations of a ceasefire in Ukraine.
→ Trump’s decision to delay tariff implementation until April, signalling room for trade negotiations.
Technical Analysis of the Eurostoxx 50 Index (Europe 50 on FXOpen)
Price movements outline an ascending channel (blue), with key observations:
→ The index remains in the upper half of the channel, reflecting strong demand.
→ February’s sharp rally has formed a steeper rising channel (purple).
→ After breaking above resistance at 5,370, a retest (indicated by an arrow) confirmed this level as support.
With the RSI indicator in overbought territory, a potential pullback is plausible—perhaps as investors look to secure profits before the weekend amid a busy news cycle.
In this scenario, the 5,444 level, where the lower purple trendline intersects the blue channel’s median, could act as a support zone.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Eurostoxx 50 Index Rises Above 5000Eurostoxx 50 Index Rises Above 5000
As indicated by the chart of the Eurostoxx 50 index (Europe 50 on FXOpen), its value climbed above the psychological level of 5000 points in early 2025.
The strength of demand may be driven by portfolio rebalancing or long-term investor expectations, as today’s news for the European stock market was negative. According to ForexFactory:
→ industrial orders in Germany dropped by 5.1% month-on-month (expected: -0.3%);
→ retail sales in Germany fell by 0.6% month-on-month (expected: +0.5%);
→ France reported a worsening government budget balance.
A technical analysis of the Eurostoxx 50 index (Europe 50 on FXOpen) chart shows that:
→ the current value is above a resistance line (shown in red), which dates back to spring 2024;
→ since then, bulls have made two attempts to break above this line (marked with arrows) but failed to sustain the gains.
It is possible that further negative economic news from Europe could trigger bearish activity—if so, we may witness a third unsuccessful attempt to hold above the red resistance line, potentially resulting in the formation of a false breakout pattern.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
STOXX50/ EUROPE 50 Bullish robbery PlanMy Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Newbies,
This is our master plan to Heist STOXX50 / EUROPE 50 based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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STOXX 50 / EURO 50 Bullish Robbery Plan To Steal MoneyHello My dear,
Robbers / Money Makers & Losers.
This is our master plan to Heist STOXX 50 / EURO 50 Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is Trap / overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
EUROPE 50 Bullish Robbery Plan Long SideHello My dear Indices Traders,
This is our Day Trade master plan to Heist Bullish side of EUROPE 50 Market. my dear Looterss U can enter at the any point above my entered area, Our target is Red Zone that is Hgh risk Caution area, If There is any Bad news it make our heist very sad and if the news is favorable for us then we can continue our looting from there with help of trailing stop.
My dear Robbers please book some partial money it will manage our risk. Be safe and be careful.
One last push before everyone starts to take profits (Europe 50)4000 is an interesting number for Europe 50 index. This is the value that acted as resistance in July 2007 which reversed around 80% of upward movement. Also, this was the highest point before the 2008 market crash.
Europe 50 is increasing at an increasingly fast rate near a powerful resistance which could only be explained by one scenario. The market could very well be pushing the price upward before start taking profits. It wants to test the 4000 limit so bad, it barely tested the previous high resistance at 3860. It looks like the market going to skip past the previous high it had before the market crash in 2020.
This is not a good time to buy Europe 50.
US30 rejected twice at the level of Jan/2020.
JAPAN225 had to fight 6 months to get past the pre-covid market level.
AUS200 is still fighting the pre-covid market level for three months now.
Does Europe 50 has a free ticket to pass this major resistance? I don't think so. Get ready for a big pump and dump.
This is just an idea, not a financial advice.
EU50EUR broked 5-Years High!If the price will hold above the 5-Years High I will look for the Buy entry.
But if it is only a false breakout and daily candle will close below it will be Sell.
Waiting for the confirmation.
Dear followers, the best "Thank you" will be your likes and comments!
Before to trade my ideas make your own analysis.
Thanks for your support!
STOXX 50 DAILY LONG 2618 Very good high probability setup for change in direction. Strong level of support. RSI oversold with divergence and last leg sign of a retracement. Bears couldn't break lower that lever last week. If Italian election ends well and Merkel do her job for Germany things might go pretty well.Relatively cheaper equities in EU makes me think 2018 EU may overperform US indices. Will see. Expecting appreciation further of the EUR. 2:1 RRR. DAX CAC BEL will tell the story. Good Luck
Europe 50 Bullish Channel: Expect More BullishnessWe can see a clear upward channel here. Unless we see a breakout, I expect further bullishness. We may see some sideways movement first as there may be some resistance from the recently completed triangle. If this is broken, rapid increases are possible.