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Eurostoxx50

European Stocks falls📉 - Whats next?Hi Traders, the EU50 lost over 3,5% within the last 2 days. Is this only the first drop before big selloff 📉📉? Or a normal consildation? Which zones are important? If we look at the Chart the longterm Uptrend is still valid. So for now it looks like its a normal consolidation. Important Zones are: Support: Zone between 4350 and 4300 Resistance: 4500 Also the EMA200 is still moving upwards and the market is right at this zone building a possible reversal (bullish Engulfing). So there is a possible long trade option. Wish you maximum success! Michael - tegasFX
CAPITALCOM:EU50
by tegasFX
The Turning TidesGermany, Europe's economic powerhouse, has consistently delivered impressive performance since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the European debt crisis. This strong performance is rooted in Germany's strong manufacturing sectors and robust export activities. The country's economic strength is exemplified by the DAX's considerable outperformance of other European indices since the early 2000s. DAX (Deutscher Aktienindex) is a blue-chip stock market index comprising the 40 largest German companies traded on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. Top constituents include internationally renowned firms such as SAP, Siemens, Allianz, Airbus, and Bayer. On the other hand, the STOXX50 index represents a much broader scope, encompassing 50 of the most liquid blue-chip companies in the Eurozone, including ASML, LVMH, and others. Since the dawn of the new millennium, the DAX index has surged by more than 180%, whereas the STOXX50 is only now approaching pre-2008 GFC levels. The DAX's relative outperformance becomes evident when looking at the regression channel of the ratio between these two indices. However, the prevailing narrative may be on the cusp of a significant shift. On a closer examination of the factors underpinning Germany's superior performance, it emerges that sector weightings and macroeconomic conditions have played pivotal roles. Notably, the DAX has consistently underweighted financials as compared to the STOXX50 index. Post-2008, the Eurozone's interest rates have witnessed a consistent downtrend. This period of extraordinarily loose financial conditions and low bond yields, largely a by-product of Quantitative Easing (QE), has favored technology and growth stocks. The main drivers are the availability of cheap capital and a stronger emphasis on growth potential over current valuations. Conversely, the same conditions have exerted considerable pressure on financials, as their earnings capabilities have been seriously compromised. This is precisely why the European banking sector has lagged considerably behind its US counterparts and has yet to recover to pre-GFC levels. This whole dynamics began to falter last year as inflationary pressures mounted, especially in European countries grappling with additional challenges, such as the Russian-Ukraine war and an energy crisis. The European Central Bank, following in the footsteps of the Federal Reserve and other central banks, finally embarked on a journey to raise interest rates, leading to one of the fastest-paced interest rate increases in modern history. Furthermore, Germany's export sector is encountering headwinds as the global economy edges closer to a potential recession, triggered by the tightening measures undertaken by central banks. Demand for products such as automobiles is likely to dwindle, particularly from major trading partners like China and the US. On the other hand, a healthier, more normalized yield curve is finally offering some respite to European financial institutions. This shift could eventually curtail DAX's persistent outperformance compared to other European indices like STOXX50. From a technical perspective, the price action also implies an impending change. The DAX/STOXX50 ratio has arguably completed a Head-and-Shoulder top and is currently sitting on the lower bound of the regression channel. A breakout to the downside could potentially signal the end of a two-decade-long uptrend, leading to a significant reversal in relative performance between DAX and STOXX50. A hypothetical investor looking to express this view could consider establishing a short Micro DAX and long Micro STOXX50 spread at a notionally equivalent amount. The added advantage of this relative trade is that beta exposure is substantially reduced. For example, if a global recession causes most equity markets to decline, this relative trade could still benefit if the DAX falls more than the STOXX50. Do note that a spread-trading strategy may incur additional commission fees versus a traditional outright strategy. Hot tip: Phillip Nova is currently offering zero-commission trading of the EUREX Micro-DAX® Futures and Micro-EURO STOXX 50® Futures. Click here to learn more. To create a notionally equivalent DAX/STOXX50 spread, an investor might short 1 Micro DAX futures (EUR 1 per index point) and go long on 4 Micro STOXX50 futures (EUR 1 per index point). The notional amount of the Micro-DAX futures would approximately be 15,800 EUR. Meanwhile, the notional amount of the 3 STOXX50 futures would approximately be 3 x 4280 = 17,120 EUR. The margin required for each contract of Micro-DAX would be 1,588 EUR while the Micro-STOXX50 would be 380 EUR (as of 10 July 2023). Disclaimer: The contents of this Idea are intended for information purposes only and do not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by inspirante
Dark cloud cover in EU50EURTrade Idea: Selling EU50EUR Reasoning: • Weekly – Consecutive hanging man candles (Bearish) • Daily – Bearish dark cloud cover after Fridays break higher (Bearish) • 4hr – Bearish outside candle at Ichimoku Cloud resistance • 1hr – Testing Ichimoku cloud support (Neutral/Bullish) Entry Level: 4285.7 Take Profit Level: 4212.8 Stop Loss: 4310.9 Risk/Reward: 2.89:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
OANDA:EU50EURShort
by Signal_Centre
Joe G2H - Selling EU50Trade Idea: Selling EU50 Reasoning: Double top completed on the daily chart. Lower prices expected. Entry Level: 4253.5 Take Profit Level: 4205 Stop Loss: 4275 Risk/Reward: 2.3/1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
FOREXCOM:EU50Short
by Signal_Centre
Joe Gun2Head - EU50 Correction expectedTrade Idea: Selling EU50 Reasoning: Major resistance on the weekly chart Entry Level: 4393 Take Profit Level: 4347 Stop Loss: 4412 Risk/Reward: 2.25/1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
OANDA:EU50EURShort
by Signal_Centre
EUROSTOXX has incredible upside potential.An often overlooked index, the EURSTOXX has been on a rising 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) since late January. This is a major Bull rally continuation signal as it matches the pattern of four prior uptrends of the past 10 years. The 1W RSI has turned neutral and during Bull Cycles, this is always a strong signal to enter. We are expecting a peak on this rally close to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
ELong
by TradingShot
4
EURO STOXX 50 Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022 EURO STOXX 50 Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022 We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 3.05% , down from 3.16% from last week. According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 6th percentile, while with VDAX we are on 1st percentile. Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be : In case of bullish - 2.2% In case of bearish - 2.3% With the current IV calculation, we have currently 19.2% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either above or below the next channel: TOP: 4077 BOT: 3825 At the same time, taking into consideration the high/low touch calculation from the previous values, we can expect for this week: 25% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 3980 75% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of the weekly candle of 3900 Lastly from a technical analysis point of view, currently 78% of the moving averages rating, are insinuating we are in a BULLISH trend.
TVC:SX5E
by exlux
Euro Stoxx 50 Index bullish extensionEURO STOXX 50 INDEX: Potential for bullish extension towards 3,950 and 4,000 in the short term (5 to 25 days). This can be technically supported by the fact that current price is above its 4 and 40 week moving averages, the clearing above the 3,810 August (17th high) and the facts that both the 4 and 13 week rate of change indicators are above their respective zero lines (above zero), as well as the KST indicator crossing above its signal line. Therefore, long positions can be technically supported for the short term provided price can remain above the 3,810 support.
SKILLING:EUSTX50Long
by Skilling
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Gap fill on EU50Trade Idea: Selling EU50 Reasoning: Head and shoulders top with a gap fill Entry Level: 3765 Take Profit Level: 3700 Stop Loss: 3785 Risk/Reward: 3.58:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
FOREXCOM:EU50Short
by Signal_Centre
DJ EURO STOXX 50 Futures (FESX1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise Resistance : 3851 Pivot: 3744 Support : 3659 Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving along an ascending trendline and above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our pivot at 3744 where the pullback resistance, 78.6% fibonacci retracement and 161.8% fibonacci extension are. Once there is upside confirmation of price breaking pivot structure, we would expect bullish momentum to carry price to 1st resistance at 3851 where the swing high resistance is. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could drop to 1st support at 3659 where the swing low support and 61.8% fibonacci projection are. Fundamentals: No Major News
EUREX:FESX1!Long
by Genesiv
Joe Gun2Head Trade - False breakout on EU50?Trade Idea: Selling EU50 Reasoning: False breakout on EU50? Bears to return ahead of ECB meeting? Entry Level: 3955 Take Profit Level: 3533 Stop Loss: 3621 Risk/Reward: 2.31:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
FOREXCOM:EU50Short
by Signal_Centre
🎢Euro Stoxx 50: Eurozone economy will continue to grow●● Preferred count ● SX5E ( TVC ) , 🕐TF: 1W Fig.1 The Euro Stoxx 50 Index is the main index in the Eurozone. The components of the index are companies that are leaders in their industries - 50 companies from 12 eurozone countries: Austria, Belgium, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Spain, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal, Finland and France. The main scenario is the continuation of long-term growth within the framework of the cycle wave V . _______________________________________ ● EU50EUR (OANDA) , 🕐TF: 1D Fig.2 The ascending impulse (1) and the beginning of the subsequent correction (2) of ③ were successfully predicted. At the moment, the threewave corrective phase can be interpreted as a completed A-B-C single zigzag . Growth is expected to resume as part of the third wave. _______________________________________ ● EU50EUR (OANDA) , 🕐TF: 8h Fig.3 As a local alternative scenario, black marking is proposed, in the context of which wave (2) will become more complicated to a double zigzag W-X-Y . This counting option will become more relevant if the sideways correction stretches in time and takes the shape of a triangle X . _______________________________________ _______________________________________ ●● Alternative count ● FESX1!(EUREX) , 🕐TF: 1W Fig.4 The probability of realization of the given scenario will multiply increase in case of display by a wave B of (Y) of the form of a triangle. 🎯 Interesting points for making trading decisions: — Breakdown of the orthodox bottom of the wave B of (Y) of Ⓑ ; — Completion of the zigzag (E) of Ⓑ within black marking; — Completion of the zigzag Ⓔ of IV within the color marking. _______________________________________ Disclaimer: — The owner of the TradeWaves-EWA © community is not responsible and has no direct or indirect obligations to the User/Customer in connection with any possible losses or financial damages related to any content of this community.
TVC:SX5ELong
by TradeWaves-EWA
Broadening Formation & Wedge – Indices – EU50 - Daily - ShortCAPITALCOM:EU50 Looking at the upward trend from March 2020, we can see that you will get various readings depending on where you place your trend line. Due to this and not specifically knowing if the stock is in a downtrend, I placed my trendline to match the newest low. This is because, in an uptrend, this could be the retracement followed by a move higher, and this has been known to happen in indices. Remember that indices are a collection of top-performing companies, so the price typically goes up. Based on this, now I make my analysis. I can comfortably say that if it is pushed past this new low, the uptrend is probably over. You can see the ascending broadening formation that begins in April 2021 and move, creating new higher highs till January 2022, where the price starts to lose its momentum. It subsequently creates a wedge with a series of lower highs but is still supported by the bottom support level, which is proving difficult to push past. If you take note of the volume for each valley that hits this support level, you will see that it is above average. This happens every time the price moves there. This means that the support level in this area is a potent one. Not to mention if we look at the price here, you will find it sitting at a tidy round number (4000 EUR). From this, we can assume that buys have bought in here and are determined not to let price breakthrough. However, if we look at the tightening wedge, along with the series of lower highs, the partial decline, and the volume just days prior signaling all the selling pressure, we can perhaps be inclined to think that a decline in price is on the way. Moreover, the wedge has formed what looks like a double top, but we will have to wait for the price to break the 4000 (Euro) mark in order for it to be confirmed. I would suspect that if the price drops and closes below 4000, then there would be a potential short position. You might think that the previous valleys with their large volume would be a barrier to the short move if it does break, but I think they are too close within the price reach to be of any significance. You could perhaps look at the first valley as your profit target. That would be approximately at a price 3853. If you jump in at 4000 or just below as I suggest, you are looking at a target of 5 to 1. Remember that your stop would be just above 4000. This is because in the event that this is just a retracement, you would want to be out of the position immediately. You could even tighten up your stop to increase your risk to reward, but I would wait to see what the indices does before taking this strategy.
CAPITALCOM:EU50Short
by DevlonJarrodHorne
Strong markets in Europe maintain risk-on sentimentMarkets in Asia and especially in Europe started September strongly after higher-than-expected inflation in the eurozone and very optimistic comments from ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos, who said that the eurozone economy is growing faster than the ECB expected, hinting at an upward revision of the central bank's growth forecast. On the downside, German retail sales disappointed in July, falling 5.1% month-on-month. Eurozone manufacturing PMI was lower than expected, but remained near record levels. August, normally a complicated month for the stock market, saw several record closes for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, with US equities pointing to a positive performance on the first day of the new month. The important 10-year US Treasury yield rose well above 1.3% again (currently at 1.32%). The USD remains weak ahead of the US jobs report in focus on Friday. Oil prices remained in a sideways range ahead of today's OPEC+ meeting. Ethereum broke through $3,500, the highest level since May 18. Bitcoin continues to trade in the $47K - $48K range. Despite rising expectations that central banks will gradually move away from pandemic-era stimulus programs, markets continue to rise, showing that investment banks remain confident that the sustained rise in the stock market will continue. Statements from ECB officials showed that the ECB is optimistic about economic developments in the eurozone, but also that the conditions for a gradual withdrawal of stimulus measures are almost met. Higher 10-year US Treasury yields can be seen as an indicator that US investors also believe that economic growth will continue for longer. September was the worst month for equities in the last two decades, and we also see hedge funds preparing for a reversal. For now, markets remain optimistic, waiting for more clues on the Fed's plans for the coming months. The ECB's optimistic comments have eased growth concerns for now. Risk sentiment remains positive, supporting risk-sensitive currencies such as the AUD, NZD and emerging market currencies. The rise in the EUR is likely to continue as expectations rise that the ECB has started internal talks on scaling back stimulus measures, which the ECB will then report on in detail at the upcoming ECB meeting (on Sep 9).
E
by MarMat1500
$ The strength of the US dollar is accelerating CAD breakouts| On Thursday's trading session, bulls of the US dollar made a significant rise. The dollar gained ground versus nearly all major FX counterparts, including the Euro, the pound, the Australian dollar, and the Canadian dollar, among others. Large-scale US Dollar advances enabled the DXY Index to overcome critical resistance and fly over the 93.50-price level to set a new all-time high for the year. The USD/CAD and the AUD/USD have lately mirrored the strength of the US Dollar, which has been exacerbated by growing global growth worries, which have weighed on commodity currencies and fueled demand for safe-haven assets such as the dollar. The Canadian and Australian dollars are now trading at their lowest levels compared to the US dollar since February 2021 and November 2020, respectively, according to the most recent available data. Intensifying Fed taper chatter is likely to have contributed to the US Dollar's recent rally, but there is still ambiguity about the timing and extent of tapering. A weekly close of the DXY Index above technical resistance at the 93.35-price level may pave the way for additional rises in the coming weeks. Therefore, bullish traders on the US Dollar may have their eyes set on the 94.65-price level shown on the weekly chart above. Besides the March 2020 swing low, the September 2020 swing high, and the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retirement of the DXY Index's current trading range, there is a region of convergence. If the US Dollar cannot sustain its current altitude over the weekend, bears may see their recent gains erode and seek support around the 92.00-handle of the US Dollar Index. Because of the recent break above the 1.2800-price barrier, the implied volatility of the USD/CAD has increased during the overnight period. Because of the event risk mentioned on the economic calendar, I expect more volatility in this pair on Friday. I expected Canadian retail sales and the index of house prices to be released at 12:30 GMT, and Dallas Federal Reserve President Robert Kaplan will deliver a speech at 15:00 GMT, respectively. Compared to the 20-day average of 6.3 percent, overnight implied volatility for the USD/CAD is 8.6 percent, which is in the top 91st percentile of measures collected over the last 12-months.
TVC:DXY
by SteadyTradeAI
🚀The Eurozone stock index is ready to take off! Or ... 🤷‍♂️●● Mine scenario OANDA:EU50EUR 🕐 1W TVC:SX5E If you are interested in trading on the euro area economy, you can use this index. The EURO STOXX 50 reflects the dynamics of the largest and most liquid 50 shares in the euro area. The rapid decline in the wave (C) that gave rise to the COVID-19 pandemic was apparently a necessity within the ② of V flat. 🕐 1D OANDA:EU50EUR Now we are testing a quite strong level of resistance. Counting from a series of the first and second waves is a harbinger of rapid growth and extension of the third wave. 🕐 6h OANDA:EU50EUR Focus on the "invalid." level, the breakdown of which will serve as a signal of the transformation of the wave ((ii)) to the flat, or, even worse, the realization of an alternative count with black markings. ●● Alternative scenario 🕐 1W FESX1! In an alternative count, the boundary of a large triangle of degree IV "Cycle" will be expanded. The current growth can go in a wave (Y) of ((B)) followed by a decline in ((C)) . The count will become more relevant if the wave C of (Y) (6h) is transformed to the ending diagonal. The wave marking in the double circle parenthesis corresponds to the green marking in the circle on the chart.
TVC:SX5E
by TradeWaves-EWA
SX5E - On track to the topAs we said in the previous analysis of this index last week, the price moved upwards and we think it will reach the important resistance area marked on the chart. However, there could be corrective moves that could reach the blue trendline formed by connecting the lows of December 18th and January 28th. Trade with care. Best regards, Financial Flagship Disclaimer: The analysis provided is purely informative and it should not be used as financial advice. Remember that you need a plan before you start trading; so, take this knowledge and use it as a guidebook that will ultimately help you understand the market and easily predict your next move.
TVC:SX5ELong
by financialflagship
8
SX5E – Going to the topEuro Stoxx 50 is a leading blue-chip index for the Eurozone, providing a representation of the leaders in the region. The index covers 50 stocks from 8 European countries. Technically, following the coronavirus crash in February-March 2020, the price has formed an uptrend that we think will reach the resistance area of 3840-3880. If the price corrects deeper before going to the top, the targets for continuation are the 3400 rectangular area and the blue trendline that connects the low of March 2020 with the retracement of October 2020. Trade with care. Best regards, Financial Flagship Disclaimer: The analysis provided is purely informative and it should not be used as financial advice. Remember that you need a plan before you start trading; so, take this knowledge and use it as a guidebook that will ultimately help you understand the market and easily predict your next move.
TVC:SX5ELong
by financialflagship
2