EUR/JPY - Ichimoku Long Trade SetupWe've been on a nice bullish run with this pair before some news finally brought us a bit lower before the end of last week. I am watching for a drop to kijun sen to test that support level. If we get a good rejection there I will look to enter a buy for a move back up to previous structure high. If we don't get the drop I want to see or we don't hold support at kijun sen, this setup may become invaldiated.
Euroyen
Euro - Yen fallingThe Euro has lost strength vs the Dollar and the Yen.
It has arrived the zone which I think could be the next turning level.
On the upside (129) it´s swing trend level and on the downside it´s the fib retracement 61.8% of downgoing fib at 123.
If the price falls even beyond this zone the EW-analysis would be wrong (because 4 can´t be lower than 1).
To confirm this analysis the price of this pair should turn within this zone.
If it does the pair would enter the fifth motive wave heading no new highs (140 - 150).
EUR/JPY - Bear Feast & Hunting SeasonYEN pairs seem to be showing the possibility to strengthen considerably against all majors.
Technically speaking, EUR, GBP & USD all fade against the all mighty YEN.
This can only mean one thing: risk-off period. Bears coming out again for another dip.
EUR/JPY Technicals:
- Larger degree correction still leaves room for more down-side.
- Ending Diagonal developing
- Bearish Harmonic approaching fibs
- Fibs Extensions coming
- EW Patterns almost complete
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Many pips ahead!
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EURJPY expecting a little bounce on 0.6-0.7 fibPlanning for my next battle quick day trade.
Ok so I expect the price to bounce in that box I shown, or at the very least on 129 Yen.
If it doesn't, there's a long way till next support I will look at it then, and if it bounces I'll check target then, probably a few dozen pips - 100.
Euro - Yen forecastAn interesting chart for the EURO - YEN pair.
The pair is within a symmetrical triangle - the upper side the beginning in 2009, the lower side the beginning in 2012.
In 2014 the price touched the upper side - this was the beginning of the ABC-correction.
In 2016 it tested several times the lower side before climbing up to the peak of wave 1 of the motive waves.
Wave 2 tested the lower side another time in 2017 before climbing to the upper side of the triangle - forming the turning point of wave 3.
Actually we´re in wave 4 - perhaps it´ll continues to lower prices before turning and rising again (area marked with a rectangle).
The next rise will be wave 5 and this wave will lead the price out of the triangle, breaking also resistance at 61.8% (139 Yen to Euro) and leading to a new hight. I´ve marked the target area with a circle.
Indicators:
RSI: in bearish zone and perhaps shortly before crossing the trend to bottom
ADX: neutral
Projection for currencies are more risky than for equities - statisticly 80% are wrong!
Stop :
If the pair is leaving the triangle to the bottom and / or is breaking the support of upgoing fib retracement 38.2% (120JPY).
EURJPY weekly update:Total profit 4198 pips in 17 daysTotal Profit: 4198 pip
Closed trade(s): 766 pip Profit
Open trade(s): 3432 pip Profit
Trade Setup:
We opened 11 SELL trade(s) @ 134.06 (day close price) based on 'Peak' at 2018.02.07 signaled by our "Daily Trading Opportunity" .
Closed Profit:
TP1 @ 133.25 touched at 2018.02.08 with 82 pip Profit.
TP2 @ 131.65 touched at 2018.02.14 with 242 pip Profit.
TP3 @ 129.65 touched at 2018.03.02 with 442 pip Profit.
82 + 242 + 442 = 766 pip
Open Profit:
Profit for one trade is 134.06(open price) - 129.78(current price) = 429 pip
8 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 429 x 8 = 3432 pip
EurJpy - Break Of Resistance Hints Further AdvancesLast week price broke above key resistance at 133.324 before coming back to test and hold as support. This provides a great place to look for Long opportunities towards the targets and next key areas of resistance to the upside at 134.834 and 136.723 respectively.
EUR/JPY down by 1.19%Daily outlook: EUR/JPY down by 1.19%
Contrary to expectations, the Euro broke out from a symmetrical triangle in the downside direction.
In the process, the currency rate managed to bypass the medium-term ascending channel’s bottom trend-line, the monthly PP and R1 and the weekly S1 and S2.
Even though 70% of traders continue to remain bearish on this currency pair, a number of technical indicators suggest that the 128.80 mark represents a point, where the rate became oversold.
Due to that, the Euro might restore some of the lost positions and surge towards the above weekly S1 at 129.45.
However, this climb upstairs is expected to have a short-term effect, as majority of traders continue to hold short positions.
Moreover, now the rate is located below the 55-, 100- and 200-hour SMAs, which will exercise additional pressure and compromise any attempts to clear a path to the top.
Breather for previous Euro strength, renowned strength of YenLast week's last trading day, we've seen the Euro -- after its extensive pushes -- take a rest before any possible strengths to come. Along with this was Yen's upside push due to impressive economic data.
As drawn, which is best viewed at 1-hour chart, we can see that prices have fallen below the 200 sma (I use this as a basis for possible early entry for trend reversals) after forming a double top at the weekly resistance. As shown at the 1-hour chart, EURJPY have been continuously stomping towards the bottom of the ascending trend line. Breakage of this may result to a revisit of the broken descending trend line (after it breaks the temporary resistance around 122.60 area).
EURJPY - Trade of the WeekHey Traderz!
Today, I have found a very good setup. Now, I already have a long position - for testing purposes.
What I see is the following:
On Monthly Chart there is a huge double bottom
Both Weekly and Daily Chart provides information of going long on this pair
We know that Euro has overachieved almost every G10 currency with an advance of 6%+ this year
Technical patterns show Euro preparing for something big - on EURUSD as well
One thing though, even if I am right - before a huge movement that I expect, there will be a big retracement as well - the position that I took might be a loss, but I am planning to have it as long as possible, so what you see on the chart might not show the reality, hence I will update you all the time!
$EURJPY | Strong Buy Signal | Targets DefinedHello Traders,
EURJPY is giving us a strong buy signal with the following targets defined.
Red Line = 125.572 Very High Probability Target
Blue Line = 126.289 High Probability Target
Orange Line = 126.893 Medium Probability Target
An aggressive entry would be now with the defined stop loss of 120.540, a more conservative entry would be the break of the most recent high of 123.825.
More updates to come along as this trade develops.
Best,
Chartistry