Euro's Resilience Amid Global Economic HeadwindsThe euro, Europe's common currency, has showcased remarkable resilience amidst the prevailing headwinds of the global economy. Despite challenges stemming from geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures, the euro has remained steadfast, bolstered by the European Central Bank's monetary policies and the region's strong economic fundamentals.
Recent fluctuations in currency markets have underscored the euro's stability, with investors turning to it as a safe haven in times of uncertainty. Its status as the second most traded currency in the world further solidifies its importance on the global stage, providing a reliable anchor for international trade and investment.
However, the euro faces ongoing challenges, including divergent economic performance among Eurozone countries and the specter of Brexit lingering over the European Union. Moreover, the resurgence of COVID-19 variants and supply chain disruptions pose additional risks to the euro's outlook.
Despite these obstacles, the euro's resilience remains a testament to the Eurozone's commitment to economic integration and stability. As policymakers navigate the complexities of a rapidly evolving global landscape, the euro stands poised to weather the storm and emerge stronger, reaffirming its position as a cornerstone of the global financial system.
Eurshort
EURUSD Short IdeaPrice has rejected multiple times on the daily chart from the 50% level of the bearish orderblock @ 1.08635 . Price also failed to displace and close above Mondays high.
My Draw on Liquidity (DOL) is Tuesday's low, and am hunting a short setup.
I want to see H1 candles closing with rejection wicks in the H1 bearish FVG areas ( 1.08565 to 1.08580) as well as 50% of the H1 bearish orderblock (1.08605).
H1 candle closing rejecting this area, and I'd look for entry on M5.
Let me know your thoughts on this trade idea, and what you are looking for on EUR.
eurusd sellEUR/USD is the forex ticker that tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a Euro. The Euro-Dollar pair is popular with traders because its constituents represent the two largest and most influential economies in the world. Follow real-time EUR/USD rates and improve your technical analysis with the interactive chart. Discover the factors that can influence the EUR/USD forecasEUR/USD saw a slight decline on Tuesday but managed to stabilize above the 1.0835 area, where trendline support intersects with the 200-day moving average. Bulls will have to defend this crucial battleground vigorously; failure to do so could usher in a move towards 1.0725. On further weakness, all eyes will be on the 1.0700 handle.t and stay up to date with the latest EUR/USD news and analysis articles. On the flip side, if buyers regain the upper hand and push prices higher over the coming trading sessions, resistance can be identified at 1.0890, near the 50-day simple moving average. Sustained directional progress above this threshold could reinforce buying impetus, creating the right conditions for a climb toward 1.0950.EUR/USD is grinding lower toward 1.0800 in early European morning on Wednesday. The extended recovery in the US Dollar amid a deterioration in risk sentiment is weighing on the pair, as the focus shifts to a data-packed day ahead.
eurusd sell EUR/USD is the forex ticker that tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a Euro. The Euro-Dollar pair is popular with traders because its constituents represent the two largest and most influential economies in the world. Follow real-time EUR/USD rates and improve your technical analysis with the interactive chart. Discover the factors that can influence the EUR/USD forecast and stay up to date with the latest EUR/USD news and analysis articles. The U.S. dollar, as measured by the DXY index, was subdued, and displayed restraint on Monday despite a modest uptick in U.S. Treasury yields. Market participants appear to be leaning toward a cautious stance at the start of the new week ahead of a high-impact event on Thursday: the release of the core personal consumption expenditures deflator, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. confirm signal EUR/USD is ranging at around 1.0850 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair stays supported amid a broadly subdued US Dollar and hawkish comments from ECB President Lagarde. The focus now shifts to the high-impact US economic data.
EURJPY: Running out of steam?We're back returning to the ATH, which is around the centreline of the rising channel we've been in since the pandemic.
I'm definitely expecting a reversal soon, we may post another ATH by a whisker, or it may double top before a move back down to the lower boundary.
Any strong JPY fundamentals will break the boundary and signal the reversal imo. Surely the Yen cannot be allowed to remain so weak??
Backing Yen will be on my agenda in the coming months.
2R Short Idea / EURUSD / 23rd FEB 2024Asian Session:
- Bullish session.
- Small consolidation range.
- RELs at Asia’s low.
- Price consolidated between Asia’s high and EQ of the Asian range.
London Session:
- I would like to see Price perform a London Judas swing.
- The price is just below EQ of the DR.
- London opened at MOP with Asia’s consolidation.
- Price is currently at a discount of the PDR for shorts.
EUR USD down EUR/USD consolidates gains above 1.0800, awaits Fed Minutes
From a technical point of view, EUR/USD’s daily chart shows its closing in the green for a fifth consecutive day. The same chart shows it trades above converging 20 and 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) in the 1.0790 price zone, while it retreated from around a flat 200 SMA, currently around 1.0825. Technical indicators, in the meantime, maintain their upward slopes just below their midlines, suggesting bulls are willing to push EUR/USD further up.
EUR/USD is holding gains above 1.0800 early Wednesday, having hit two-week highs on Tuesday. The US Dollar remains broadly weak, despite a mixed market mood, as investors weigh Fed rate cut bets and US government shutdown risks ahead of the Fed Minutes.
EURUSD Sell Confirm The EUR/USD pair picked up some momentum ahead of the daily close but remains below the 1.0800 threshold. From a technical point of view, the daily chart shows that EUR/USD remains below its moving averages, with a bearish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) about to cross below the 100 SMA, both converging in the 1.0790 price zone. At the same time, technical indicators stand pat within negative levels, suggesting buyers are out of the picture.
EUR/USD flattens in holiday Monday markets, investors look ahead to late-week European PMIs
Confirm signal Sell
EURUSD Short Position idea 2.5RR / ICT / 12th February 2024New York Session:
- I believe the price will continue to the downside.
- I want to see the price trade to a premium in the London session before going lower and taking out a short-term high.
- I will be targeting the equilibrium of the PWR.
- Wait for the price to reach 50% of the London session range.
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.08700 back down. Pro trend idea.My bias on EUR/USD has shifted to bearish following the upward movement of the dollar (DXY). With EU breaking structure to the downside, confirming the bearish trend, I'm now exploring strategies to capitalise on this. Currently, I anticipate a pullback in price to fill the imbalances just below the 20-hour supply zone (A).
However, considering the distance from that supply zone, another scenario (B) may unfold. This involves price descending further to sweep the relative equal lows and reach my 19-hour demand zone. Subsequently, I foresee a bullish reaction prompting a reversal in price direction.
Confluences for EU Sells are as follows:
- Price left a clean 20-hour supply zone that caused a break of structure to the downside.
- The overall trend for this market is bearish.
- The dollar (DXY) is also moving bullish so it aligns perfectly.
- Imabalnces below the supply that needs to be addressed.
- Lots of liquidity left to the downside in the form of equal lows and Asia Lows.
P.S. With the dollar also breaking structure to the upside, it complements this bias effectively. However, I'm not exclusively committed to one direction; I also entertain the possibility of price declining further to signal a bullish trend. We'll have to observe how price unfolds.
Happy trading people!
Bears Running Wild!, Bulls Hesitate in EUR/USD ArenaUpon analyzing recent price movements over the last few days, a noticeable bearish sentiment is evident. The market is consistently forming lower lows and lower highs. In line with this trend, my outlook is inclined towards identifying selling opportunities. I plan to initiate sales after the price fails the fair value gap and reaches an area of supply, which we are currently approaching. In the event the market moves against me, I am open to reconsidering and may explore buying opportunities. However, my primary focus is on following the prevailing trend and seeking selling opportunities today. Thank you, and have a great day, my friends.
"EUR/USD Approaches Sub-1.0900 Levels, Facing Downside Pressure"The EUR/USD pair has experienced a deeper decline, touching its lowest point in 2024 at 1.0861 (as of January 16). It is now approaching a critical level, the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.0847. If this support is breached, the December 2023 low of 1.0723 (on December 8) may reappear, preceding the weekly low of 1.0495 (on October 13, 2023), followed by the October 2023 low of 1.0448 (on October 3) and the psychological level of 1.0400. Positive prospects for this currency pair are likely to face challenges below the 200-day SMA.
The 4-hour chart currently indicates a further downside trend in the very near term. Breaking below 1.0861 would eliminate significant support until the 1.0723 level. The MACD indicator is also trading in negative territory, and this bearish scenario is reinforced by the RSI index hovering around the 28 level, signaling oversold conditions. In the event of occasional upward attempts, immediate resistance is anticipated at the 200-SMA at 1,0925, followed by 1,0998, seemingly strengthened by the proximity of the 100-SMA around 1.0980. Investors and traders will closely monitor these levels for potential shifts in the EUR/USD pair's short-term trajectory.
Euro's Risk Amid CPI SurgeEuro marked its strongest two-month performance in a year, surging 4.4% against the US dollar in November and December 2023.
The dollar's weakness largely contributed to this rise, driven by expectations of swift rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, eroding its competitive edge.
The European Central Bank (ECB) countered rate-cut pressures. Despite the Fed's market-friendly stance in December, ECB President Christine Lagarde dismissed talks of rate cuts, propelling the euro up by over 1%.
Lagarde also anticipated fundamental impacts boosting December inflation and projecting a slower inflation decline in 2024. Forecasts predict Germany's CPI to rise to 3.9% from November's 2.3%.
This week's release of regional CPI figures, expected after German data, forecasts inflation reaching 3% in December, marking a three-month high.
Yet, market doubts linger regarding the ECB's hawkishness. The market's implied path continues to sway dovishly after December, with expectations of the first 25 basis point cut by April.
Traders have factored in six cuts, totaling 150 basis points or a 1.5% rate decrease, and imply a 68% likelihood of a seventh cut. This hints at a perceived tilt toward a dovish policy trajectory.
EUR/USD Under 1.0900 Before US PMI, FOMC Minutes EUR/USD faces pressure from a stronger US Dollar, hovering near 1.0941, down 0.02%. Daily indicators suggest a potential downtrend continuation if it breaks below 1.0920. On the 4-hour chart, recovery is uneven from oversold levels, with potential further decline under 1.0920. Economic data and FOMC minutes await, as market sentiment remains cautious amid economic slowdown signals and risk aversion.