XAU/USD : Gold at a Turning Point – Rejection or Breakout Ahead?By analyzing the TVC:GOLD (XAUUSD) chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that price climbed to $3330 today, entering a key supply zone, which triggered a pullback down to $3310. Gold is now trading around $3317, and I’m watching several potential setups closely.
Scenario 1:
If gold stabilizes below $3320, we could see a bearish move toward $3296.
Scenario 2:
If price breaks above the $3333 resistance, it may enter the next supply zone between $3341 and $3351, which could trigger a strong rejection—potentially offering a 100 to 400 pip move.
Now let’s break down the key levels to watch:
Supply zones: $3320, $3333, $3342, $3358
Demand zones: $3303, $3296, $3289, $3278
Monitor how price reacts to each of these zones — they may provide excellent opportunities.
EURUSD
EURO - Price will continue to grow inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price entered to rising channel, where it soon reached the support level, which coincided with the support area.
After this movement, the price broke this level, but soon turned around and corrected the support line of the channel.
Next, EUR went back to $1.1365 level and broke it again, after which it made a retest and continued to move up.
In a short time, EUR rose to the resistance line of the channel, made a correction, and then grew to $1.1700 support level.
Price broke this level too and reached the resistance line of the channel, but not long ago corrected.
At the moment, I expect that the Euro can correct to the support line of the channel and then rise to $1.1900
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EURUSD is Approaching an Important Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.16400 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.16400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
HelenP. I Euro will drop more, breaking the support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After analyzing the current structure of the EURUSD chart, I noticed a strong break of the ascending trend line, which had been respected for a long period. The price has now returned to test the broken trend line from below, aligning with the resistance zone between 1.1665 and 1.1700 points. This area used to serve as solid support, but after the breakout, it turned into resistance. The retest from below could become the final confirmation before the pair continues its downward movement. Right now, EUR is trading just inside this resistance zone. There is a small chance the price might move slightly higher to touch the upper boundary of the zone, but overall, the pressure looks bearish. I expect that after a minor bounce, EUR will decline again, breaking below the local support at 1.1665. Once that happens, a larger impulse down could be triggered, targeting even 1.1525 points, which is my main goal for this setup. This bearish scenario is supported by the failed attempts to recover above the trend line and the fact that previous support has already flipped to resistance. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
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EURUSD h4 update ⚠️ Current Outlook: Reversal Zone Hit
• Price tapped into the strong RESISTANCE zone (~1.1800), failing to break higher.
• Market structure BOS (Break of Structure) confirms bearish intent.
• FVG (Fair Value Gap) likely to act as a short-term liquidity trap.
📍 Disrupted Bearish Flow:
1. Price rejects resistance aggressively ✅
2. Pullback into FVG may trigger a liquidity hunt 🧲
3. Fake bounce → Smart Money re-entry expected 👀
4. Target levels:
• 🥅 TARGET: 1.1550 zone (first major support)
• 🎯 LONG TARGET: 1.1200 zone (high probability zone for HTF buyers)
🔁 Bear Trap Setup Possibility:
• After hitting the LONG TARGET, price could reverse sharply.
• Watch for accumulation signs and deviation below key levels.
⸻
🔥 Key Zones to Watch:
• 🔳 Resistance: 1.1790–1.1820
• 🟦 FVG Retest Zone: 1.1630–1.1660
• 📉 Target Zone: 1.1500–1.1550
• 🚨 Long-Term Demand Zone: 1.1180–1.123
EURUSD Below 1.1745 – Bearish Bias in PlayFX:EURUSD Technical Outlook
EURUSD maintains bearish momentum as long as the price remains below 1.1745, with a near-term target at 1.1684.
A confirmed breakout above 1.1745 would shift the trend to bullish, opening the path toward 1.1808 and 1.1883.
On the downside, a 1H or 4H candle close below 1.1684 would reinforce the bearish trend, likely extending losses toward 1.1627, and possibly 1.1557.
Support: 1.1684 / 1.1627 / 1.1557
Resistance: 1.1808 / 1.1883
Soybeans Loading a Bounce? Demand Zone + COT1. Price Action & Technical Structure
Price has bounced off a strong daily demand zone (1011–969).
Today’s daily candle shows a clear rejection wick from the low, and RSI is signaling a potential reversal.
The market is trading inside a falling channel, currently near the lower boundary — setting up a possible breakout move.
Technical Targets:
• First upside target: 1039–1049
Invalidation: daily close below 990, which would confirm structural breakdown.
2. COT Report – Soybeans Futures (as of July 9, 2025)
• Non-Commercials:
+11,539 spreads | +7,017 shorts | –7,520 longs → Slight bearish pressure, though spreads suggest growing speculative complexity.
• Commercials:
+7,876 longs | –9,084 shorts → Moderate commercial bullish bias.
• Open Interest:
+8,076 contracts → Market activity increasing.
Overall COT positioning is neutral to slightly bullish, with growing signs of accumulation around the 1000 level.
3. Seasonality – MarketBulls
Historically, July is one of the weakest months for Soybeans:
• –44.82 (20Y avg)
• –36.86 (15Y avg)
• –34.74 (10Y avg)
However, early August shows signs of seasonal recovery, and price action is already diverging from typical seasonal behavior.
This makes a deeper breakdown less likely — we could be nearing the end of the seasonal weakness.
Operational Takeaway
Current Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish
Confluence of signals supports the idea of a technical rebound:
✅ Bullish reaction candle in demand
✅ Fibonacci support + lower trendline touch
✅ COT data stabilizing with rising open interest
✅ Seasonal weakness possibly exhausted
EURUSD - Bears Are on the MoveHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURUSD has been overall bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern marked in red. And it is currently retesting the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPJPY - Multi Year SHORTS Coming! (Over 10,000pips)Here we have the 2 month chart of GBPJPY. We can see that we're in a massive ending diagonal made up of 5 waves.
We are currently on wave 4 and have almost completed. At the moment we are working within the parameters of a channel however we must be aware that we may exceed the channel. The channel is just there for us to use as a guideline.
In 2007, we have a really nice ending diagonal (expanding) before we made that ridiculous +13k pip drop.
See below for the 2D GBPJPY chart from 2007:
We can see that the lower timeframe diagonal broke down beautifully.
We are anticipating something similar this time round!
See below for the 2D GBPJPY chart of the current diagonal:
We've got an almost identical price action as 2007. We just got to wait a little and watch for the break of the red trendline and enter and hold.
See below for the 2week chart of GBPJPY:
Trade Idea:
- Watch for a break of the ending diagonal
- Alternatively, you can wait for a pullback after the ending diagonal breaks
- stop loss above highs once entry trendline breaks
- Swing Target: 100 (10,000pips)
What do you guys think?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
EURUSD Energy buildup supported at 1.1590The EURUSD currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a sideways consolidation breakout, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend.
Key Technical Level: 1.1640
This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 1.1640 followed by a bullish rejection would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at:
1.1830 – Near-term resistance
1.1900 – Minor swing high
1.1940 – Longer-term bullish objective
On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 1.1640 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward:
1.1590 – Initial support
1.1530 – Key downside target
Conclusion:
As long as 1.1640 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favoring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPJPY - Multi-Year Short Update! In our last setup for GBPJPY, we identified a massive diagonal pattern, with price completing wave 4 and preparing for a multi-year drop into wave 5.
Since then, price has played out exactly as forecasted — we've seen a clean impulse lower for wave 1, followed by an ABC correction for wave 2, which looks to have now completed.
This sets the stage for the next major leg — wave 3 of 5 — which historically carries the most power and momentum.
📉 See monthly chart here:
📊 GBP/JPY Wave‑3 Trade Idea
Background:
We’ve completed wave 1 down and wave 2 up (ABC correction).
GBPJPY is now positioned to start a powerful wave 3 down — the most impulsive leg in an Elliott sequence.
🔍 Current Price Action:
Price is rejecting major resistance (previous wave A high + shaded zone)
Structure shows a completed 5-wave move up within C, suggesting exhaustion.
A clean ascending trendline (red) has formed under wave v — a break here signals the first confirmation.
Option 1 – Aggressive Entry:
- Trigger: Break and close below the red trendline (~198.00–197.80 zone) on the daily.
- Entry: On candle close below trendline
- Stop Loss: Above recent high ~199.80 and then breakeven once we move lower
Option 2 – Conservative Entry (preferred):
- Trigger: Trendline break + correction
- Entry: On bearish confirmation and then a correction to indicate further downside
- Stop Loss: Above recent high ~199.80 and then breakeven once we move lower
Take Profit Levels:
- TP1: 192
- TP2: 180
- TP3: 175
- Final Target: Trail for extended move toward wave (3) lows (could be 10,000+ pips over long term)
🔐 Invalidation:
Daily close back above 200.00 or impulsive rally beyond the pink resistance zone invalidates the short bias in the short term.
✅ Summary:
This is a high-conviction, structure-backed setup with:
- Wave count + Fib confluence
- Bearish structure at key resistance
- Confirmation-based trigger (trendline break + retest)
- Excellent long-term risk-to-reward profile
📂 Previous GBPJPY Setups (Track Record):
📌 Free Setup (Big Picture Outlook) – Multi-Year Shorts Incoming (Wave 4 Completion)
✅ Swing 1 – 1,200 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Long)
✅ Swing 2 – 1,000 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short)
✅ Swing 3 – 1,100 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short)
✅ Swing 4 – 700 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short)
EURUSD is ready to break supportCMCMARKETS:EURUSD
The Euro fell to 1.1670 on Friday, positioning for nearly a 1% weekly loss 📊, as investors recalibrated risk exposure amid escalating trade tensions ⚔️ and shifting monetary policy signals 🏦.
📉 Market Structure:
🔻 EURUSD has traded in a bearish trend since July 1.
🔹 Support levels: 1.1680 and 1.1590.
🔹 Retested the 1.1680 support zone on Friday.
💡 How to Trade This:
✅ If the pair rebounds from support 🔄, consider BUYING with a Take Profit near the next resistance level.
❌ If the support breaks with confirmation 🩻, consider SELLING to target lower support zones.
📰 What’s Driving the Move?
🏦 Monetary Policy:
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee pushed back against calls for aggressive rate cuts 🗣️, reaffirming the Fed’s focus on its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability ⚖️. His cautious stance adds uncertainty 🤔 to the policy outlook for the second half of the year as markets weigh inflation risks vs. growth slowdown signals.
💼 Economic Data:
The labor market remains solid 💪, but recent jobless claims data show early signs of cooling 🧊, following last week’s strong NFP report.
💵 Dollar Strength:
The dollar advanced sharply against the euro 🚀, driven by risk aversion, relative yield advantages, and investor positioning ahead of upcoming inflation data and the Fed’s next policy signals 📈.
🚨 Watch for:
🔸 A confirmed breakout or rebound at 1.1680 to guide trade entries.
🔸 Upcoming U.S. inflation data 🪙 for direction on Fed policy and USD strength.
🔸 Further developments in trade tensions 🌐, which could drive risk sentiment.
EUR_USD STRONG UPTREND|LONG|
✅EUR_USD is trading in an uptrend
With the pair set to retest
The rising support line
From where I think the growth will continue
LONG🚀
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EURUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is trading near our sell entry level at 1.1692, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.1610, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.1765, a swing high resistance.
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EURUSD Under Pressure – Bearish Setup Builds Near Key ResistanceThe EURUSD pair is currently moving within a clearly defined downward price channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries over several recent sessions. This structure confirms that the bearish trend remains dominant.
At the moment, price is showing a mild technical rebound, but it has yet to break above the EMA 34 and 89, while a key resistance zone around 1.1740 is looming just above. If a reversal candlestick pattern forms at this level (such as a bearish engulfing or a pin bar), it could provide a high-probability entry for sellers, targeting a drop back to 1.1660 or potentially even the lower edge of the channel.
However, if price decisively breaks above the descending channel and holds above 1.1750, this entire bearish scenario would be invalidated — possibly triggering a deeper corrective rally and placing any short positions at risk.
In summary: The downtrend still holds the advantage — but this is a moment that demands clear confirmation.
Share your perspective — and don’t forget to manage your risk with discipline!
EURUSD Will Go Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.169.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.177 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURUSD – Breakout Confirms Bullish ContinuationEURUSD has just successfully broken out of a corrective triangle pattern, confirming that the bullish structure remains intact. The price reacted well to the support zone around 1.1660 and bounced back, opening the way toward the 1.1820 target in the short term.
On the news front, the euro is gaining support as the Eurozone’s July CPI held steady at 2.6%, indicating that inflationary pressures have not fully eased—this may prompt the ECB to maintain a tighter policy for longer. Meanwhile, the USD is under mild correction pressure after U.S. CPI came in higher than expected but not strong enough to reignite rate hike expectations from the Fed.
Given the current technical setup and news backdrop, EURUSD could continue rising in the coming sessions as long as it holds above the trendline support.
EURUSD: Long Trading Opportunity
EURUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.1685
Stop Loss - 1.1664
Take Profit - 1.1728
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EUR/USD Testing Support — Will Buyers Step In Again?Hi Everyone,
Since our last update, EUR/USD is currently testing the 1.16680 support level. We’re watching for buying interest to emerge above the key 1.16450 zone; if price can stabilise here, we could see a retest of the highlighted resistance area around 1.17450.
Our broader outlook remains unchanged: as long as price holds above 1.16450, we continue to look for the pair to build momentum for another move higher in the coming sessions. A decisive break above last week’s high could attract fresh buying interest, paving the way for a push towards the 1.19290 area and ultimately 1.20000.
We'll be watching closely to see if this recovery gains traction and whether buyers can sustain the move above resistance. The longer-term view remains bullish, provided price continues to respect the key support zone.
We’ll keep updating you through the week as the structure unfolds and share how we’re managing our active positions.
Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we really appreciate the support!
All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EUR-USD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
Making a local bearish correction
But we are bullish biased and
After the retest of the horizontal
Support of 1.1640
We will be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
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A New Chapter Begins with EURUSD’s ABC Wave Formation!🎯 Hey Guys,
I’ve prepared a fresh EURUSD analysis for you.
The market has shifted direction, and an ABC wave structure has emerged.
I’ve placed a Buy Limit order based on my entry level.
Below, you’ll find my detailed target zones and entry specifics:
🟩 Buy Limit Order: 1.17197
🟥 Stop Loss: 1.16903
📌 Targets:
🔹 TP1: 1.17344
🔹 TP2: 1.17538
🔹 TP3: 1.17869
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.27
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏