EURUSD What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0513 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.0538
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Eurusd-3
EUR/USD SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going down. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 1.053 area.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for December 11, 2024 EURUSDEUR/USD lost around 0.2% on Tuesday, declining for the third consecutive day and hitting 1.0500 again, as the euro's bullish near-term recovery comes to naught. Ahead of the key U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figure due for release on Wednesday and the European Central Bank's (ECB) next meeting on Thursday, traders once again adopted a cautious stance.
Wednesday's CPI inflation index will be one of the last key data points before the Federal Reserve's (Fed) last meeting in 2024. Signs that inflation progress has stalled could kill hopes for a third consecutive rate cut on December 18. With the current rate cut on Wednesday, U.S. CPI inflation for November is expected to rise slightly to 2.7% y/y from the previous reading of 2.6%, while core annual CPI is expected to remain at 3.3%.
Traders estimate the probability of the last quarter-point rate cut this year at 85%.
The ECB's latest rate meeting is scheduled for Thursday, and investors are widely expected to get another quarter-point rate cut. The ECB's main refinancing operations rate is forecast to be cut to 3.15% from 3.4% and the ECB deposit rate is forecast to fall to 3.0% from 3.25%.
Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 1.0480, trading mainly with Sell orders
EUR/USD: Market Anticipation Ahead of Key Economic ReportsAs the London trading session unfolds on Monday, the EUR/USD currency pair is hovering around the 1.0580 mark. Investors are gearing up for significant economic events this week, including the highly anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for November, set to be released on Wednesday. In addition, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday, making this week crucial for market participants seeking insights into future monetary policy shifts.
From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD has shown a lack of substantial movement over the past week, remaining firmly below the 1.0600 resistance level. Traders are closely watching how the currency pair interacts with this barrier, as it could dictate the next direction for the market.
With speculation surrounding a potential interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve later this month, Wednesday's inflation figures may be the crucial factor influencing the Fed's decision. Analysts predict that the annual consumer price inflation will slightly increase to 2.7% year-over-year in November, up from 2.6% in October. Moreover, the core inflation rate, which excludes the often-volatile categories of food and energy, is anticipated to hold steady at 3.3% year-over-year.
Given the current landscape, our strategy is to remain on the sidelines as we await the CPI data on Wednesday and the Unemployment Claims report on Thursday. While our overall bias leans bearish, we believe it is prudent to refrain from taking any positions until the price potentially approaches a significant demand zone. This approach allows for a more informed entry that aligns with market developments.
In summary, the EUR/USD is at a critical juncture as investors anticipate key economic reports that could have lasting effects on the currency pair's trajectory. With the market sentiment leaning toward caution, all eyes will be on the data releases this week.
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Is EurUsd's correction over?In my previous posts about EUR/USD, I discussed the potential for an upside correction following the break below the 1.05 support level, the drop to 1.0330, and the subsequent reversal. I suggested that this upward movement could potentially push the price toward the 1.0670 resistance zone.
Indeed, the pair did rise, reaching an intraday high of 1.0628 during Friday's NFP event. However, the day ended with a downside move, leaving a red candle with a long wick on the daily chart.
The medium-term trend for EUR/USD remains bearish. This, combined with the overlapping structure from the recent low, clearly indicates that we are not witnessing the start of a bullish trend but rather a corrective phase.
The key question now is whether this correction has concluded. To confirm, we would need to see a break back below the 1.05 level.
With this in mind, if the pair revisits Friday's high, I plan to sell, placing a stop loss above 1.07 and targeting the 1.0450 support level.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Faces ResistanceMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Faces Resistance
EUR/USD extended losses and traded below the 1.0550 support.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro struggled to clear the 1.0635 resistance and declined against the US Dollar.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0545 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to clear the 1.0635 resistance. The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.0550 support against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the previous analysis.
The pair declined below the 1.0520 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 1.0500 level. A low was formed at 1.0498 and the pair is now consolidating losses. The pair is showing bearish signs, and the upsides might remain capped.
There was a minor increase above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0594 swing high to the 1.0498 low. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.0545 level.
There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0545 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The next major resistance is near the 1.0570 zone or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0594 swing high to the 1.0498 low.
The main resistance sits near the 1.0590 level. An upside break above the 1.0590 level might send the pair toward the 1.0635 resistance. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.0675 level.
On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near 1.0520. The next major support is near the 1.0500 level. A downside break below the 1.0500 support could send the pair toward the 1.0445 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair continues to trade below the 34 and 89 EMA levels, signaling a short-term bearish trend. Despite attempts at consolidation in recent sessions, the pair remains under pressure, weighed down by a stronger U.S. dollar, geopolitical uncertainty, and diverging monetary policies between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB).
The U.S. dollar has extended its rally for the third consecutive day, with the Dollar Index (DXY) climbing past the 106.60 mark. This persistent strength has added significant downward pressure on EUR/USD, leaving the pair vulnerable to further declines as market dynamics unfold.
From a technical perspective, traders should focus on two key resistance levels. These areas could provide optimal entry points for positioning, with the primary targets set at well-defined support zones. Monitoring price action around these levels will be crucial to aligning strategies with the prevailing market trend.
Stay disciplined and vigilant as you navigate today’s trading opportunities. Wishing you success and profitable trades!
FORECAST UPDATES: How Are We Doing? Were We Accurate?Tuesday Dec. 10, 2024.
Here are the updates to the Weekly Forex Forecast posted Saturday. We'll see if the forecasts were right on point and working out... or if we were just plain wrong.
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EURUSD Trading Idea EUR/USD dipped 0.2% on Tuesday, marking its third straight decline as it approaches the key 1.0500 level. The Euro’s recent bullish momentum is fading, with traders shifting to a cautious stance ahead of two major events:
US CPI Data (Wednesday): A pivotal release ahead of the Fed's final 2024 meeting. Inflation is expected to tick up to 2.7% YoY (from 2.6%), with core CPI holding steady at 3.3%. Any signs of stalled progress could dash hopes for a third consecutive rate cut on December 18, fueling USD volatility.
ECB Rate Decision (Thursday): The ECB is widely anticipated to deliver another quarter-point rate cut. Forecasts suggest the Main Refinancing Operations Rate will be trimmed to 3.15% (from 3.4%), and the Deposit Facility Rate is expected to drop to 3.0% (from 3.25%).
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Entry Opportunity with SMC and Fibonacci
Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci retracement, the key zone between the 0.71 and 0.79 Fibonacci levels is shaping up as a critical area of interest. Following the creation of a fair value gap at the last high, the price is now testing the 50% Fibonacci level, setting the stage for a potential trade setup.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: 1.05520 (aligned with the 0.75 Fibonacci level)
Stop Loss: 1.05697 (just above the 0.79 Fibonacci level for added risk protection)
Take Profit: 1.04990 (targeting below the fair value gap for optimal risk-to-reward)
Risk/Reward Insights:
This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 2.98. By risking 17.7 pips to gain 53 pips, you're maximizing reward relative to risk.
Disclaimer:
Trading carries significant risks, and it’s essential to practice strict risk management. Always trade with a clear plan, use stop-loss orders, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is not financial advice—ensure you understand the risks before making any decisions.
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Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0543
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0564
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0502
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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#EURUSD - 11122024We caught the whole EURUSD move as per algo level path given yesterday; a move higher to re-test strong level at 1.0564 for a short down to 1.0500 level and a long to 1.0534, all played out to perfection.
I said that 1.0500 is a potential low and market bounced from it. Is the lows in? To be honest, based on the current price action on daily, it is not so easy to decipher. It does not look like a bottoming candle.
Thus IMO, EURUSD could make another move down to make a new low, but that get bought up to possibly form a reversal candle on daily to be called a bottom. Looking for a rejection off 1.0556 for a move down to 1.0476 for a long.
EURUSD: Standard Channel Up targeting above the 4H MA200.EURUSD may have turned bearish today on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.238, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 33.591) but 4H remains neutral as the pullback is the technical bearish wave of the Channel Up you see on the chart. The two bullish waves we've had so far have been exactly the same at +1.65% with the 4H RSI S1 Zone providing the most accurate buy entries. Consequently, this is now the best level to go long and target a crossing over the 4H MA200 on another +1.65% bullish wave (TP = 1.06675).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Euro can rebound up to 1.0700 level, exiting from pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago started to decline inside the downward pennant, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and fell to the 1.0700 level, which coincided with the seller zone. Then EUR tried to grow, but failed and in a short time declined below the 1.0700 level, breaking it. Next, the price continued to decline and later almost reached the support level, after which turned around and some time traded a little higher at this level, but didn't fall to it. Later, the rice dropped below the 1.0485 level, which coincided with the buyer zone, breaking it and reaching the support line of the downward pennant, after which started to grow and made a gap. After this movement, the Euro broke the 1.0485 support level one more time and made a retest. Next, it little grew, after which made a correction to the support level and then rose to the resistance line of the pennant. But a not long time ago, the price fell to the support line and now it trying to grow. For this case, I think that the price can correct to the support line and then rebound up to 1.0700 resistance level, thereby exiting from the pennant pattern. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD BUY - Rebound Blueprint Price is respecting the FVG zone (1.0528), signaling a bullish reversal. Watching closely for a surge toward 1.0620 and potentially 1.0645.
The EUR/USD chart shows a potential reversal setup forming around a Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the 1.0528 level. Price has retraced into this FVG, aligning with a high-probability demand zone.
The 1.0530 area, acting as a significant structural support, has shown strong rejections, indicating buying interest.
The FVG aligns with previous inefficiencies in the price, providing a magnet for liquidity before the market resumes its upward trend.
The initial target at 1.0620, where minor resistance could emerge.
A decisive break below 1.0520 would invalidate this setup, suggesting further downside potential.
EURUSD Bulls Will Take Charge?EUR/USD bounces off a strong demand zone around 1.0530. With bullish structure building, we could see a rally towards 1.0650.
A key support zone at 1.0499–1.0530 has provided a strong foundation for a bullish reversal.
The rejection candle and subsequent bullish candles suggest that buyers are stepping in aggressively at this level.
Price is likely to target 1.0649 in the coming sessions, aligning with previous highs and liquidity areas.
Stay patient and follow the structure.
#EurusdAbove this critical EUR/USD level, the probability of a bullish breakout significantly increases. However, markets can be unpredictable, and external factors can always influence price movements. While the technical indicators may align in favor of a long position, it's essential to conduct thorough analysis and manage your trades wisely. Proceed with caution, and remember that every trade carries inherent risks—trade responsibly!
+180/+360 pips GBPCAD Swing trade setup🔸Hello traders, let's review the H4 chart for GBPCAD today. Trading
near premium prices of the multiweek range, closing in on heavy S/R
Currently risk/reward is shifting in bears favor, so it's recommended
to look for sell side setups in this market.
🔸Bearish OB / fresh liquidity set at 8095/8125. Price structure
indicates potential incoming reversal once we trigger the OB.
🔸Recommended strategy for GBPCAD traders: focus on short selling any rips/rallies near OB 8095/8125 price is currently trading near premium levels and is maxed out already, limited upside. TP1 bears +180 TP2 bears +360 pips final exit 7750 keep in mind this is a swing trade setup so naturally will take more time to complete / hit both targets. good luck traders!
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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+140 pips The Best Level to BUY/HOLD EURUSD swing trade🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for EURUSD today.
Overall, strong price chart with sequence of higher lows in progress.
🔸Clearly defined set of overhead resistances and supports below
market price with liquidity distributed equally among buy side
and sell side order blocks.
🔸Primary pattern / structure is 3 drives in progress, expecting
a final pullback to trigger OB liquidity at/near 0510/0520 before
bullish reaction and final push (3rd drive).
🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders:no trade recommended
at current price, however bulls should enter BUY/HOLD at/near 0510/0520 SL 30 pips TP1 +70 TP2 +140 final exit at 0640. Bears should
wait for further updates and get ready to short from sell side order
blocks near 0640/0660 S/R zone. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
#EURUSDEUR/USD Update, The pair continues its upward trajectory, driven by improving Eurozone sentiment and USD softness. Bulls are eyeing a key breakout above , potentially targeting . Support holds firm near , offering a solid risk-reward setup. Keep an eye on macro data for further momentum. #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #Trading
#EURUSD - 10122024I called for a move lower for EURUSD yesterday off the PZ. EURUSD came down, rallied higher, nicely to PZ and sold back down to close near the lows for a good 45pips or so.
I will not say that yesterday's price action is bearish. IMO, the thesis which I gave yesterday is still valid, that is, EURUSD is coming down into support. But I am expecting buyers to come in and that could move EURUSD higher. That is a possibility thus while near term price action is bearish, it could find support at one of the levels and move higher.
But for now, I am looking at the PZ to hold for a move lower, with 1.05/512 as the price target, but look out for a possible strong pullback/reversal from this zone.