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Eurusd-3

EURUSD at an important support.EUR/USD is currently positioned at a significant support area on the daily chart, marked by both an uptrend line and horizontal support. Here are some important notes about the pair right now: Long-Term Ascending Channel: The black lines forming an ascending channel on the chart indicate that EUR/USD has been in an uptrend since October 2023. This channel acts as a dynamic range for support and resistance, with the price generally adhering to these lines over time. Horizontal Support on D1: The lower black line of the channel highlights a Double Bottom pattern, suggesting that sellers have struggled to push the price lower. Additionally, this horizontal support aligns with the ascending trend line on the daily chart, which the price recently tested. Given the confluence of these lines (the uptrend and horizontal support), this level is crucial and could influence EUR/USD's direction in the coming days. Resistance and Support Zones: The horizontal green areas represent key resistance and support zones. The main resistance level is near 1.0950, which previously functioned as support but was recently breached during a downward move. The support zone is located at 1.0667, serving as the next target if the price breaks below the current channel support. Recent Candlestick Patterns: On October 24, a bullish engulfing pattern formed, indicating renewed buyer interest after the price touched the support region on the daily chart. This pattern occurs when a bearish candle is fully engulfed by a subsequent bullish candle, suggesting potential buying momentum. Considering these factors, an upward movement may occur if the price holds at the support level, potentially leading to a recovery towards 1.0950. Conversely, a downward movement could ensue if the price breaks through the channel support and trendline, possibly reaching the support area around 1.0670. Attention to NonFarm Payrolls on Friday: Traders interested in the EUR/USD this week should be cautious about the release of the NonFarm Payrolls (NFP) data, which will occur on Friday, November 1st. The NFP is one of the most important economic indicators in the financial market, as it measures the change in the number of jobs in the non-agricultural sector in the US. This data is a reflection of the health of the US economy and directly influences expectations about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy. When the NFP is released, it provides insight into the level of economic activity and the strength of the US labor market. If the jobs data beats expectations, it could signal a strong economy, prompting the Fed to consider tightening monetary policy, such as raising interest rates. Higher interest rates tend to boost the dollar, as they attract more investment in higher-yielding US assets. Consequently, a strong NFP could put downward pressure on the EUR/USD, strengthening the dollar against the euro. On the other hand, a below-expected NFP could suggest an economic slowdown, prompting the Fed to adopt a more cautious stance, such as keeping interest rates steady or even cutting them. In this scenario, the dollar could weaken, which would favor a rise in the EUR/USD. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
by Marketscom
#EURUSD 4HEURUSD 4-Hour Analysis The EURUSD pair has recently broken above a key trendline resistance on the 4-hour chart, suggesting a bullish trend reversal. This breakout signals potential upside momentum as buyers gain control, providing an opportunity for long entries. Technical Outlook: - Pattern: Trendline Breakout - Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity) - Entry Level: Post-breakout above the trendline Traders can look for buy positions above the breakout level, targeting the next resistance zones. It’s recommended to confirm this setup with indicators like RSI for overbought/oversold conditions or MACD for bullish crossover to strengthen the buy signal.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
King Dollar Reigns Supreme: DXY Strategic Outlook🔸Hello guys, today let's review D1 price chart for DXY. We are trading inside well-defined multi year range, currently closing in on range highs. 🔸Every EURUSD trader need to study this chart and bookmark it in order to time his entries/exits for EURUSD. Dollar still reigns supreme. 🔸Range lows defined at 100.00 , range highs set at 106.75. This is the active trading range for DXY since early 2023 it's well-defined and it's very unlikely that price will exit this range any time soon so traders should focus on trading based on key s/r levels on the DXY price chart. 🔸Key Zones: S 100.25 / 101.25 / 102.75 R 105.25 / 106.50 🔸Currently I'm expecting pullback from overhead resistance 105.25 is the critical level where we can expect pullback in DXY, so that's when you want to also go LONG EURUSD, when DXY maxes out / enters pullback stage of the cycle. 🔸Recommended strategy position traders: when DXY hits resistance at 105.25, BUY/HOLD EURUSD, target is 200/300 pips on BUY side for EURUSD. Once the pullback in DXY is over/complete at 102.70, short EURUSD, final target on sell side for EURUSD is 1.0500. Good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
TVC:DXYLong
by ProjectSyndicate
11
#EURUSD 1DAYEURUSD Daily Analysis The EURUSD pair is currently trading within a well-defined falling channel on the daily chart, indicating a bearish sentiment. The pair is approaching the upper boundary of the channel, which acts as a strong resistance level. This setup suggests potential selling opportunities as the price is likely to reverse upon hitting the resistance line. Technical Outlook: -Pattern: Falling Channel -Forecast: Bearish (Sell Opportunity) -Resistance Level: Channel upper boundary Traders can look for sell setups near the channel's resistance zone, targeting lower support levels within the channel. It’s advisable to confirm with additional indicators such as RSI or MACD to validate bearish momentum before entering a sell trade.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
EURUSD : Short Term Trading Strategy TodayToday, EURUSD is moving around the 1.081 level with a clear technical setup suggesting potential short-term scenarios. The chart highlights two main zones: Resistance Zone (1.08242): Currently, EURUSD is near a resistance area, as shown in the red box. If the pair tests this level but fails to break above, a pullback is likely, potentially pushing prices lower. Support Zone (1.07822): If the price dips, it may find support near 1.07822 (highlighted in blue). A bounce from this level could signal a recovery, allowing EURUSD to resume its upward trend. However, a break below would signal further downside risks. Today’s key economic data, including U.S. Consumer Confidence and trade data, may impact this movement by influencing the USD’s strength. Traders should keep an eye on these levels as they navigate EURUSD’s short-term trends.
Short
by Pierce_Bowers
M6E: Staking an Opinion on the US ElectionCME: Micro EUR/USD Futures ( CME_MINI:M6E1! ) All eyes are on the November 5th U.S. presidential election. The stake can’t be higher. A bad outcome could lead to reshaping the balance of world power, an escalation of the geopolitical crises underway, and disrupting the social stability in the U.S. and beyond. Here on TradingView, I want to address this question: How would the U.S. election impact financial investment? A Lookback from the 2022 U.S. Midterm Election On August 17, 2022, I published “Market Impacts of the US Mid-term Elections, which broke down the possible election outcomes into two categories: • “One-Party Rule”, where Democrats controlled the White House and the Congress • “Divided Government”, where Republicans retook either the House or the Senate and created effective challenges to the Administration’s political agenda I analyzed how each asset class would fare under these two scenarios. My conclusion was that the four mega spending bills passed in the first two years would pump $4 trillion in the U.S. economy and would pop up the stock market. At the time of that story, the S&P 500 stood at 4,264. Last Friday, it settled at 5,808, up 36%. Prediction Markets, Opinion Polls and the DJT Stock With the upcoming election, my main question can be broken down into two: • What asset class would fare well if Trump wins? • Would there be any investment instrument help us express our market view? What if Harris win? The election is a binary option with only two outcomes. We could combine them in one question with Yes or No answer. A No for Trump is equivalent to a Yes to Harris. To start our analysis, we need to assess the winning odds of each candidate. Many data sources exist to help. Each tells a part of the story, but all have their own flaws. In my opinion, the prediction markets are preferrable to opinion polls. Millions of people wager on the election outcome on Polymarket, with the money pool amounting to $2.5 billion. This is a real deal as people put money where their mouth is. Currently, Polymarket predicts that Trump has 65.1% odds of winning the election, where Harris has a 34.9% chance. How does it work? • If you believe in Trump, you could put down 65 cents for a recreational bet to vote Yes. When he wins, you get $1 back, and if he loses, you lose the bet. • If you are in favor of Harris, you could put down 35 cents to vote No for Trump. You also get $1 back if Harris wins and will say goodbye to 35 cents if she loses. Many readers are not comfortable with an “All or Nothing” trade and may not be allowed to participate in a betting market. Fortunately, there are investment-graded alternatives. Trump Media & Technology Group Corp ( NASDAQ:DJT ) is a publicly traded company listed on the Nasdaq market. Its main owner is Donald J. Trump with an 84% stake, and its main asset is TrueSocial. My hypothesis: DJT stock price shall move up (down) along with the rise (fall) of Trump’s winning odds. With so many unprecedented events happening, we should be able to validate this assumption easily. Let’s look back in the campaign timeline in the past four months, and see how Polymarket and DJT stock price responded to these events: (1) On June 27th, the first presidential debate took place. It’s generally viewed that the current President performed poorly against his opponent. My rating: Positive on Trump • Polymarket: Trump’s odds increase from 59.5% to 67.0% (+7.5%) • DJT: Stock price moved from $25 to $39 (+56%) (2) On July 13th, an attempted assassination on Donald Trump wounded him and killed a bystander in Pennsylvania. Rating: Strong Positive • Polymarket from 59% to 71% (+12%) and DJT from $29 to $41(+41%) (3) On July 24th, President Biden withdrew his presidential candidacy. On August 3rd, Kamala Harris became the Democrats nominee after a roll call to party delegates secured a majority vote. Rating: Negative on Trump • Polymarket from 62% to 45% (-17%) and DJT from $41 to $21 (-49%) (4) On September 10th, the second presidential debate with Trump and Harris took place. Many viewed that Harris performed better than expected. Rating: Negative on Trump • Polymarket from 52% to 49% (-3%) and DJT from $18 to $12 (-33%) (5) On October 20th, Trump worked a shift in a McDonald’s in Pennsylvania, making fries and handing out food to mobile customers. Rating: Very Positive • Polymarket from 55% to 65% (+10%) and DJT from $20 to $39 (+95%) The above analysis shows that DJT is positively correlated to the Polymarket winning odds. Therefore, we could use DJT as a stock market proxy for Trump’s chance of winning the presidential election on November 5th. For anyone owning a stock brokerage account, he could give his approval to Trump by buying DJT. Harris became presidential nominee in less than 3 months, and there isn’t a stock symbol closely linked to her. Therefore, for anyone leaning towards her, he could deliver a disapproval to Trump by shorting DJT. DJT Correlation with Other Financial Instruments Keep in mind that DJT is a single stock with very volatile prices. Its low market valuation opens DJT vulnerable to stock manipulation. A prudent investor may want to consider other assets that move in line with DJT but are less volatile. I looked into a number of financial instruments. Here is what I founded: US stock market indexes Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have no correlation with the stock prices of DJT Gold and Bitcoin have no correlation with the stock prices of DJT US Dollar Index is positively correlated with the stock prices of DJT, while the Euro-USD Exchange Rate is negatively correlated with the stock prices of DJT Let’s focus on the ones with statistically significant correlations. The dollar index moved in line with Trump’s winning odds. Investors are not necessarily in favor of a Trump win. In my opinion, his America-First policy would help uphold the value of the dollar. Meanwhile, an untested Harris administration means more uncertainties to dollar investors. The Euro-USD is negatively correlated with DJT because of the quoting convention in the FX market. Quoting as number of dollars per euro, dollar appreciation means that each unit of euro could buy fewer dollars, resulting in the declining exchange rate quotation. The opposite also holds true. Trade Setup with the Micro Euro-USD Futures Like trading DJT, a trader could express his political opinions in this election using CME Micro Euro-USD futures ($M6E). M6E contract has a notional value of 12,500 euros. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $280. The December contract (M6EZ4) was settled at $1.0817 last Friday. At the current price, each contract is valued at $13,521.25. The M6E contract is very liquid, with a daily trade volume of 18,096 and an Open Interest of 14,375. Along the line with our preceding discussion, possible trade setup are as follows: • A Trump victory could strengthen the dollar, leading to a decline in M6E quotation. Therefore, a vote for Trump could equal to a short position in Micro Euro-USD futures. • A Harris victory could weaken the dollar, leading to an increase in M6E quotation. A vote for Harris is a No to Trump, which could equal to a long position in M6E. I do not attempt to sway anyone’s vote to one direction or the other. Both views could find application using M6E. Unlike Polymarket, trading futures is not an All-or-Nothing bet. If you are wrong, you may incur losses in the trade, but not necessarily lose everything. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME:6E1!Short
by JimHuangChicago
1
EURUSD The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0793 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.0817 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
Euro can rebound from buyer zone and start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago declined to the seller zone and then rebounded and rose to 1.1150 points, after which turned around and fell back. Then the price started to trades inside the wedge, where it rose from the support line in a short time to the resistance line and then turned around and started to decline. Soon, the price fell to the 1.1000 level, and broke it, after which price little time traded below and then continued to fall. In a short time, the EUR fell to the 1.0810 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and then bounced up. price tried to grow, but failed and then fell until to support line of a wedge, breaking the support level, but a not long time ago EUR rose back. Then the price reached the resistance line, bounced down to the buyer zone, and then rose back. Also recently, the price exited from the wedge and now trades very close to the resistance line of this pattern. In my opinion, the price can fall to the buyer zone and then rebound up. For this case, I set my TP at 1.0930 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
2
EURUSD confirmed the bottom. Low risk buy now.The EURUSD pair has turned sideways since it hit last week the bottom of the 1-year Channel Up and even though it hasn't broken above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) yet, the 1D RSI has given us the strongest buy signal possible. That is breaking above its MA (yellow trend-line) after rebounding on oversold soil (below 30.00) last Wednesday. This is exactly what happened on the April 16 2024 Low. Even if that is a mid-correction rebound like the February 14 one, as both decline sequences have been of -4.00%, it suggests that we can target at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level until the price resumes the bearish trend. As a result, we consider this a low risk buy, targeting 1.10000 (below the 0.618 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
EURUSD Hits Demand Zone, Potential for an Up CorrectionEURUSD has reached a demand zone that previously spurred a rally in August. The recent fake breakout at the 1.07800 level suggests that the market may be primed for a pullback, especially as DXY is also testing a key resistance. On the 4H timeframe, a bullish divergence has formed, indicating a potential correction to the upside. If this demand zone holds and the divergence plays out, the market could retrace toward the next resistance zone around 1.09190 as it corrects from the recent overextension
Long
by RTED_Investing
Can Gold hit 2800/2900 usd in November?🔸Hello guys, today let's review 6HOUR price chart for gold. Trading above key s/r zone 2500 usd, most likely downside is very limited as the bulls are still pushing for the new highs. 🔸Key s/r zones defined at 2600 usd / 2700 usd / 2800 usd / 2900 usd. All dips so far get scooped up and therefore downside remains limited as the bulls are targeting 2800/2900 usd. Into US elections most likely we will test 2900 usd. 🔸Price re-accumulated near 2600/2700 usd before clearing resistance at 2700 usd. right now trading at 2735 usd. 🔸Recommended strategy position traders: BULLS focus on scooping up dips near 2700 USD, downside remains limited by 2500 USD. TP1 bulls 2800 usd TP2 bulls 2900 usd. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
14
Market Analysis: EUR/USD DivesMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Dives EUR/USD declined from the 1.0880 resistance and corrected gains. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.0850 support zone. - There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 1.0805 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 1.0880 resistance zone. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.0850 support zone against the US Dollar. The pair declined below 1.0820 and tested the 1.0760 zone. A low was formed near 1.0761 and the pair recently attempted a recovery wave. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.0800 level. However, the bears were active near 1.0840 and the pair started another decline. There was a move below the 1.0820 level. The pair declined below the 50% Fib retracement level of the recovery wave from the 1.0761 swing low to the 1.0839 high. Besides, there was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 1.0805. The pair is now trading below 1.0800 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.0805 level. The next key resistance is at 1.0840. The main resistance is near the 1.0870 level. A clear move above the 1.0870 level could send the pair toward the 1.0950 resistance. An upside break above 1.0950 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.0980. If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.0780 and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the recovery wave from the 1.0761 swing low to the 1.0839 high. The next key support is at 1.0760. If there is a downside break below 1.0760, the pair could drop toward 1.0720. The next support is near 1.0650, below which the pair could start a major decline. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Levels discussed on 28th October Livestream28th October DXY: Retracing from top of 104.55, could trade down to 104.20 before retesting high again. Needs to stay above bullish trendline. NZDUSD: Sell 0.5980 SL 25 TP 65 (Test and reject bearish trendline) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6565 SL 20 TP 80 GBPUSD: Sell 1.30 SL 25 TP 90 EURUSD: Ranging between 1.0780 and 1.0840, could trade up in smaller timeframe USDJPY: Retracing, could test 152.50, look for rejection, Buy 153.10 SL 50 TP 200 USDCHF: Buy 0.8705 SL 15 TP 45 USDCAD: Look for possible retrace and reaction at 1.3850 Gold: Likely to fluctuate between 2720 and 2747 while directional bias develops
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
EUR/USD Analysis: Range-Bound Movement with Potential ReboundThe EUR/USD currency pair remains stagnant around the 1.0800 mark after experiencing its fourth consecutive week of losses. Following a slight bullish retracement, the pair has retraced downwards again, opening the London session this morning with a bullish candle, yet still confined within a defined range. The strength of the US Dollar (USD) has persisted as we head into the weekend, exerting pressure on the EUR/USD pair. This demand for the USD has been bolstered by rising US Treasury bond yields, which contributed to its strength on Friday. Looking ahead, the economic calendar for the United States is relatively light, featuring only the Texas Manufacturing Business Index from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. It is unlikely that this report will induce any significant market reaction. However, market participants will closely monitor upcoming third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data from Germany, the Eurozone, and the United States. Additionally, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the October employment report on Friday, which will include critical figures such as the Unemployment Rate, Nonfarm Payrolls, and wage inflation data. From a technical standpoint, our outlook suggests a potential rebound towards the demand zone. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates a consistent trend over the past two weeks, with retail traders holding short positions while institutional players appear to be building long setups. Our forecasting analysis points to a possible emergence of a new bullish trend in the near future. As we await further developments, the key remains patience—watching to see if the price reaches our designated area of interest before committing to a bullish position. The market’s reaction to the upcoming economic data will be crucial in determining the next steps for the EUR/USD pair. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
5