Eurusd-3
EUR/USD is about to move higher
After finishing a triangle correction, this major pair moved up in 3 wave --> I think this could be
wave A of diagonal ABCDE
After correction in the beginning of October, price had moved down in 5 waves already,
I think this could be C wave of flat correction. The move down also stop around 50% fib.
If this is flat correction and price has finished its move down, I expect EUR/USD to move higher
to around 1.17
EUR/USD SEll setup1-Hour Chart Analysis
The 1-hour chart is consolidating within a tight range after the recent sell-off. A breakout from this range could signal the next major move for EUR/USD. The bearish trend is still in play, but a short-term retracement to test the upper range boundary is possible.
Key Observations:
Price is consolidating in a tight range between 1.09350 and 1.09548.
There is potential for a breakout either to the upside (corrective move) or to the downside (continuation of the bearish trend).
The next significant target for sellers could be around 1.08994 (marked as TP1 on the chart).
Trade Opportunity:
Traders can consider shorting the pair if price breaks below the current consolidation range, targeting 1.08994 for a take-profit level. Alternatively, a break above 1.09548 could lead to a quick corrective move, allowing for a short-term long trade.
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 11.10.202415m Swing Bearish Internal Bullish
The lows that I mentioned on my previous 4H chart have been swept and we got a strong bullish reaction after deeper mitigation in daily demand
There is no clear supply above and a lot of liquidity left behind.
Once ( if ) price sweeps the 15m Swing high, we will then have 4H bullish ChoCH that might indicate 4H pullback have started
PPI today at 13:30 UK time
GBP/USD: Key Levels and Market UncertaintyThe analysis of the GBP/USD pair indicates a context of uncertainty, with the British pound (GBP) seeking support from relatively subdued demand for the US dollar (USD) but lacking clear bullish pressure. The GBP/USD pair is influenced by various macroeconomic factors, including expectations of further easing by the Bank of England (BoE) and key economic data from both the United States and the United Kingdom. Following the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) September meeting, the dollar gained strength. The minutes revealed that most FOMC members supported a 50 basis point (bps) rate cut, but with caution regarding the future pace of easing, sending a more "hawkish" signal than expected and dampening the prospects for immediate further easing. The pound remains under pressure, as the market expects the BoE to continue with a more accommodative policy, which limits the potential appreciation of the GBP. However, UK economic data could provide short-term support if it surprises to the upside. From a technical perspective, GBP/USD has some key static support levels: 1.3050, 1.3000 (a psychologically important round level), and 1.2940, which could act as deeper support. On the resistance side, 1.3100 corresponds to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the latest uptrend and could be a barrier for bulls, with the next resistance at 1.3170, located at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, representing the next hurdle in the event of a trend reversal.
US's Resilient Economy Attracts European InvestorsHello!
Chart Explanation & Indicators
EURUSD has been bearish since the weak higher high on 25 September. You find this level in the upper zone. When MACD crossed to the bearish side on 30 September, EUR started a spectacular crash into the bottom zone. EUR pierced the bottom zone and now sits on the trendline. Historically, EUR rallied from this trendline on 27 June and 02 August, as the red circles demonstrate. Rising trendlines, however, tend to break downward eventually. MACD has an active bearish cross and a definite bearish trend. Momentum is growing more hefty to the bearish side. Bears could target the white zone at $1.088 or lower.
Technical Zones
There are two horizontal, red rectangular zones on the chart. The upper zone and the bottom zone . The bottom zone contained support levels where the EUR could bounce on 16 August and 12 September and hit the resistances of the upper zone. However, the EUR lost the support zone. The bottom zone might have become another resistance. The price sits on a rising, red support trendline now. The next zone that might function as a support is around $1.088.
Conclusion
The setup suggests a short position. The price resting on a supportive trendline casts a shadow on the suggestion. The signal might be bearish, but the entry doesn't seem ideal. I'll wait for the setup to change for a new assessment or the price action to align with the setup to catch a neat entry.
Thankfully to all followers,
Ely
Double Top Pattern on EURUSD - Trendline BreakdownHello,
EURUSD broke down the rising trendline from the previous analytics. This was to be expected because rising trendlines usually break down over time. The double top pattern on the chart, along with a weak second top on the MACD, casts a bearish shadow onto the chart. Right now isn't optimal to enter shorts, but for educational purposes, you can see the two shorts I opened on the chart.
Regards,
Ely
EURUSD: Prolonged bearish momentum.The September Fed meeting minutes showed a dovish stance on monetary policy, pushing the USD higher and forcing EUR/USD lower.
In response to the above information, the price slid to the support level of 1.0950 and the EMA 34 - 89 is maintaining a steady downtrend, indicating that the sellers are still dominant. That is why I set my target at the round level of 1.0800, which matches the lower boundary as indicated on the chart.
What do you think about this view?
EURUSD should buy or sell?Hello everyone!
EURUSD is currently following my previous prediction as it is in a deep decline, hovering at 1.098 and breaking out of the support level of 1.101.
With 3 deep declines and breaking out of 3 support levels, sellers continue to profit. Therefore, I expect it to continue moving down at least to the lower price channel, as indicated by the flat EMA for shorting.
Happy trading and don't forget to share your opinions in the comments section!
EURUSD H4 I Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.0876, which is a pullback support close to the 78.6% Fibo retracement
Our take profit will be at 1.0955, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.0876, which is a pullback support level.
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The dollar surge takes a breather, pullback pending?We finally saw the USD rebound I was beating the drum about back in September. But now it's hit a decent resistance zone, I weigh up its potential to hold its ground or producer a deeper pullback. Markets covered include the USD index, EUR/USD and gold.
MS.
EURUSD All 4H contacts are sell opportunities.EURUSD has turned completely bearish as after the Sep 25th rejection, it broke under the previous Channel Up and formed a Death Cross on the 4hour time frame.
It continues to be a similar sequence of events as the post December 28th 2023 High.
We expect a similar Channel Down to lead the price lower and every MA50 (4h) test will be a sell opportunity.
Sell and target 1.07700 (-4.00% from the top).
Previous chart:
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Is a New ECB Rate Cut Just Days Away? European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde signaled that weaker-than-expected inflation will be on the agenda at the central bank’s October meeting next week. This has fueled speculation that policymakers could move to cut rates again.
For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox.
Germany’s sluggish growth has added to the ECB’s challenges. While other parts of the eurozone are showing signs of recovery, Berlin issued a stark warning this week, forecasting its economy will contract for a second consecutive year—a major drag on the region’s broader outlook.
Technical signals also potentially point to downside risks. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching oversold territory, and a break below the 1.0900 level could see traders targeting the 200-day moving average near 1.08710
Euro lower as US inflation dips slightlyThe euro is lower on Thursday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0908, down 0.28%.
The German economy has been struggling but there was positive news as German retail sales rose 1.6% in August and 1.5% in July, after declines of 1.1% in June and 1.4% in May. The four monthly releases were all published today due to a technical problem in June.
US inflation for September was within expectations and the market reaction has been muted. Headline CPI continued its downswing and rose 2.4% y/y, down from 2.5% in August but above the market estimate of 2.3%. The decline in inflation was driven by a decrease in energy prices, particularly gasoline. On a monthly basis, CPI rose 0.2% in September, unchanged from August but above the market estimate of 0.1%.
Core CPI remains a bit high and came in at 3.3% y/y, above the August reading of 3.2% and the market estimate of 3.2%. Still, the Fed has demonstrated that it is willing to slash rates by 50 basis points despite inflation running above the 2% target. Today’s inflation data hasn’t changed market expectations for the November meeting, which remain at around 85% for a cut of 25 basis points.
The Fed minutes reflected optimism about the US economy, a signal that more rate cuts are in the pipeline. There was only one dissenting vote against the 50-bps cut in September, but the minutes indicated that some dovish members voted with the majority although they would have preferred a modest 25 bps cut. Jerome Powell may not have the same support for another jumbo cut if the labor market remains solid. That could mean cuts of 25 bps at the November and December meetings.
EUR/USD has pushed below support at 1.0920 and is testing support at 1.0901. Below, there is support at 1.0865
1.0956 and 1.0975 are the next resistance lines
Eurusd H1 EUR/USD failed to extend gains and is back under selling pressure in the American session. United States inflation and employment-related figures kept the Fed on the 25 bps rate cut path.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart stays near 30, suggesting that the pair is about to turn technically oversold. On the upside, immediate resistance is located at 1.0950 (static level, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of the latest uptrend). In case EUR/USD stabilizes above this level and confirms it as support, it could edge higher toward 1.1000 (Fibonacci 50% retracement) and 1.1050 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement).
Confirm
EURUSD Potential Trading SetupsHTF looks bearish enough to me, short-term correction. Not seeing enough volume to make a major move till key news this week, trading with less expectation till then.
Long setups look very weak, waiting for major manipulation to get better probability.
Looking for shorts to go below previous week low but will take time to confirm EU is ready to go, so far it doesn't show enough strength. Decent hourly closure is key for this to happen.
EURUSD: Sell RalliesThe dollar has been in a strong recovery for the past two weeks, ever since the Fed decided to cut rates by 50 basis points in mid-September. This appears to be a classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” situation, as much of the dollar weakness earlier this year was driven by speculation that the Fed would cut rates. Now that they've finally done it, we’re seeing the opposite reaction.
Focusing on the EUR/USD pair, we can see a very clear and strong push to the downside, forming an impulsive pattern from the 1.12 level. In Elliott Wave terms, this structure indicates the trend direction, which on the intraday timeframes is currently down. I would expect more weakness ahead, although markets never move in a straight line, so an ABC pullback is possible. In such a case, 1.10 to 1.1040 could serve as a good resistance zone to sell into.
It's also important to note that the ECB may be leaning towards more rate cuts, especially with Germany’s economic struggles. This could further pressure the euro, particularly if the Fed slows down its dovish actions, given that US inflation didn’t drop to the expected 2.3%, but instead came in at 2.4%. With US yields poised to move higher while the ECB remains dovish, I believe EUR/USD will stay under pressure.
EURUSD: Dollar holds steady as Fed minutes emergeThe US dollar remained steady today, providing some respite for the yen and other major currencies after rising to a seven-week high last week. Market participants are taking a moment to assess the future trajectory of US interest rates.
Investors are awaiting the release of the minutes from the Fed’s September meeting today, which will reveal the discussions that led to a 50 basis point rate cut, agreed by all but one policymaker amid a seemingly worsening labour market.
EURUSD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0939
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1014
Safe Stop Loss - 1.0902
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 1.09591
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!