#EURUSD - 08112024EURUSD made a perfect long as per plan given yesterday and it hit the price target, over a 100 pips higher, and it sold down 60 pips off the price target before recovering. Bearish sell down on Thursday followed by a recovery to my sell level yesterday. What's next?
I see a possible move for EURUSD to 1.0733 and then we see the reaction off the level; either a higher low for a move higher or a break and a move lower (as per the plan given yesterday). In a way, the move yesterday could be seen as a pullback. And market did sell down after hitting the price target so IMO sellers are present and so could see a move lower first.
Eurusd-3
EURUSD MA50 (4h) rejection gives one more buy opportunity.EURUSD got rejected today on the MA50 (4h), after the price bottomed yesterday near the lows of the Channel Down.
The rejection could technically be a final buy opportunity similar to the October 25th rejection, which lated resumed the uptrend and completed a +1.64% bullish wave.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.08550 (+1.64% from the low).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) crossed above the MA trend line, confirming that this is indeed a bullish wave.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
EUR/USD: Potential Decline Amidst US Dollar Strength and Econ...EUR/USD: Potential Decline Amidst US Dollar Strength and Economic Developments
As we delve into the forex markets, one of the most watched currency pairs, EUR/USD, is facing mounting pressures that could lead to further depreciation of the euro against the US dollar. A confluence of economic indicators, political shifts, and technical analysis suggests that the outlook for the euro may not be optimistic in the near term.
US Dollar: Strength from Political Winds
Recent trade activity surrounding the US dollar has gained traction, particularly as the Republican Party appears positioned to exercise substantial influence over the economic agenda. With a focus on implementing expansive tax cuts and trimming government spending, the potential for an invigorated US economy grows. This could lead to increased investor confidence in the greenback, bolstering demand and ultimately driving the EUR/USD pair lower.
Moreover, support for the US dollar may be further fortified by upcoming economic announcements. Today's schedule is packed with significant economic data, including the unemployment claims, the Federal Funds Rate decision, the FOMC Statement, and the FOMC Press Conference. Each of these factors will provide insight into the health of the US economy and the potential direction of monetary policy, likely impacting the dollar's trajectory.
Impact of Trump Tariffs on Europe
The economic climate in Europe could face challenges as the repercussions of Trump-era tariffs continue to reverberate. Concerns regarding sluggish growth rates in key Eurozone economies may prompt the European Central Bank (ECB) to adopt an even more accommodative stance. Analysts speculate that the ECB could consider cutting interest rates to near zero by 2025 if economic expansion remains tepid. Such a move would further weigh on the euro, making it less attractive to investors compared to a potentially rising dollar.
Technical Analysis: Possible Demand Area
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair appears to be approaching another critical demand area. Recent Commitment of Traders (COT) data highlights a contrasting sentiment in the market, with retail traders predominantly holding bearish positions, while "smart money" seems to be accumulating long positions. This divergence can be a strong indicator of upcoming price movements.
Analysis of the daily footprint suggests that the price has recently reached and confirmed this demand zone, which may provide a potential reversal opportunity. In line with seasonal forecasting, traders may want to keep an eye on historical patterns that indicate a possible bullish surge.
Daily Footprint 6E1!
Crafting a Trading Plan
Given the myriad of factors at play, traders should align their strategies with their trading rules and risk tolerance. As the economic landscape evolves, the decisions made in the coming days and weeks will be crucial.
Monitor Economic Data: Pay close attention to today's economic releases. Positive data could further bolster the USD, while any sign of weakness in the Eurozone could hasten the depreciation of the euro.
Watch Technical Indicators: Keep an eye on key support and resistance levels. A sustained move below the current demand area could signal a bearish continuation.
Consider Seasonal Trends: Be aware of seasonal patterns that might indicate a potential bullish retracement. Market dynamics can shift quickly, so having a flexible plan is essential.
In conclusion, while the EUR/USD pair is currently under pressure, the interplay between political developments, economic indicators, and technical signals may create opportunities for discerning traders. Staying informed and adaptable is key as the market navigates through this evolving landscape.
Previous Idea closed:
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EURUSD: Market Is Looking Down! Sell!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 1.07391
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
EUR/USD LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 12H timeframe the pair is going down. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 1.089 area.
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EUR/USD May Decline as USD Gains on Trump-Related TradesToday, the EUR/USD pair is under pressure due to the strength of the USD, driven by expectations of higher U.S. interest rates and recent political developments. The pair has fallen to a multi-month low, hovering between 1.0685 and 1.0680.
With increased volatility around the U.S. political environment—particularly after Donald Trump’s election win—alongside a Double Top pattern on the market chart, a short-term forecast suggests that if EUR/USD breaks below the 1.07 level, it may test support around 1.05. However, if economic indicators in the eurozone improve, the EUR/USD could have potential for a rebound within its current range. The Federal Reserve's rate decisions and any new fiscal policies could further influence the currency pair's direction in the coming days.
EURUSD map: Down to 1.04-1.00 Then Up to 1.16-1.21EURUSD is in the second leg down to complete a complex correction (red down arrows).
There are three crucial target points for drop to watch:
1) Valley of red leg 1 at 1.0448 and 50% Fib at 1.0406
2) 61.8% Fib at 1.0200
3) Touch point of the throwback to broken trendline around parity
Next is the reversal to upside within the large leg 2 up (blue up arrows).
The possible targets depend on the depth of the current drop, the deeper the lower the upside target.
From the first point of drop EURUSD could hit 1.21 area.
From the lowest valley of parity it could reach 1.16 handle.
EURUSD Already Moving Higher It looks like President Trump has sold his US dollars for now, we may move a bit higher but price may level off around these levels. It looks like the EURUSD started to retrace around 5 am.
I have drawn out some key levels on the chart that financial institutions may be looking at,
Thanks!
Heading into pullback resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.0772
1st Support: 1.0684
1st Resistance: 1.0840
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EURUSD H4 | Bearish Momentum Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0772, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.0654 which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
The stop loss will be at 1.0866, a pullback resistance level.
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#EURUSD - 07112024I am wrong about my view on EURUSD yesterday, after the initial sell down, I said to look for price to bottom for long opportunities. However, there was no bullish reversal candle as price is held by the algo bands as it sold down from strong level to strong level (orange line).
For today, IMO I am looking for further downside, but on a pullback. Look for rejection within the PZ and with the algo bands for a move lower.
EUR/USD: PAT + VPA 10/21/2024Good morning,
I will be monitoring the daily candle close today, anticipating a bullish pullback or reversal to develop over the next few weeks.
Several indicators have pointed to this:
1. The weekly chart has surpassed the previous high established on December 25, 2023. Currently, the price is attempting to retest the Demand zone that led to the breakout of that high..
2. The weekly demand zone is identified between 1.0775 and 1.0825. Pay attention to the key level at 1.080, as it appears to be setting up as a robust support level for the currency pair.
3. The market has declined approximately 400 points since September 27, 2024, showing minimal pullbacks on a daily basis. Notably, this price drop has formed a double top without a genuine next line test. I anticipate that prices will rebound to around 1.100 in the coming weeks. A break below 1.100 could trigger a long-term retracement back to the highs at 1.200.
Volume signature indicates that market makers are gradually exiting the trend. The weekly outlook remains bullish and is expected to dominate. It's important to note that the weekly chart is currently retesting the bearish flag it broke out of between June 24, 2024, and August 19, 2024.
TVC:DXY
OANDA:EURUSD
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EURUSD RISKY SCALP LONG NOWExecute the price at the exact price mentioned, NO FOMO.
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I am not a financial advisor and do not contribute to any of your losses or profits. To be safe, I recommend that you risk only 0.1 - 0.2% for the first week or 10 days, as no one can predict the market.
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EUR-USD Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD has been making wild
Moves on the elections news
But now it seems that almost
All the fight went out of the pair
At least for now so after the price
Retests the horizontal support
Below at 1.0665 we will be
Expecting a local bullish rebound
Buy!
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How the U.S. Election Could Impact USD and EUR/USD Trading"As the U.S. presidential election approaches, it’s time to consider how it might impact our trading strategies, particularly with the U.S. dollar and EUR/USD. Political shifts bring market volatility, so let’s break down how each outcome could influence the dollar and the EUR/USD pair.
Election Outcomes and Market Impact
1. If Democrats Win: A Democratic victory could weaken the dollar, as policies may lead to lower inflation and reduced real interest rates. This scenario might push the EUR/USD pair higher, with potential targets around 1.1300–1.1850. For traders, this could mean a favorable environment to consider EUR/USD gains.
2. If Republicans Win: On the other hand, a Republican win might initially strengthen the dollar, thanks to expected trade policies and rising interest rates. However, this strength could be short-lived. Long-term factors may introduce volatility, potentially giving the euro a chance to regain ground against the dollar.
Key Levels to Watch in EUR/USD
From a technical standpoint, keep an eye on resistance levels from 1.1275 to 1.1750 for potential bullish moves, while support around 1.1000 and a critical level at 1.0900 could indicate a downturn. Combining these levels with election news can help you make informed trade adjustments.
How to Trade Before, During, and After the Election
Leading up to the election, watch for narrowing polls, as this could introduce uncertainty and increased volatility. During the election itself, expect the market to react strongly—prepare for a Trump win to potentially strengthen the dollar and a Harris victory to have the opposite effe
EURUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.07800 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.07800 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURO - Price can enter to resistance area and then bounce downHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price grew inside rising channel, where it broke $1.1070 level and rose to resistance line.
Then price made a correction, after which continued to grow, but when it reached resistance line again, EUR turned around.
After this, price started to decline inside pennant, exiting from channel as well, and also soon broke $1.1070 level.
Next, price fell until to support line, which coincided with $1.0760 level and at once bounced up.
Euro rose to resistance line of pennant and then made downward impulse, exiting from pattern and breaking $1.0760 level.
Now, I think that price can grow to resistance area, where it reaches resistance level, and then bounce down to $1.0550
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XAU/USD : Liquidity Fills and Key Levels Amid Market VolatilityBy analyzing the #Gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we observe that yesterday, as anticipated, both targets of $2745 and $2748 were achieved, with the price even climbing to $2750. After collecting liquidity above these levels, gold experienced a sharp decline following the announcement of Donald Trump's presidency, dropping to $2701. The price quickly filled the liquidity gap and is now trading around $2724.
The key level to watch is $2740—if the price stabilizes below this, further declines toward $2717, $2700, and $2686 are likely. High market volatility persists; inexperienced traders should consider observing the market until it stabilizes. This analysis will be updated soon!
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban