EURUSD: Local Correction Ahead! Buy!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 1.09954
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Eurusd-3
EUR USD IdeaIf the market falls into the discount zone deeo I've marked key levels, volume imbalances, and untapped distribution. If market makers respect the bullish range, we might see a rotation. If not, I might hold my sell order scalp runner longer. The weekly structure is complex, so a strong bias might not be the best idea. Stay safe and be patient for good entries. ill keep posting ideas
HelenP. I Euro will break support level and continue to decline Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some days ago declined to the trend line and then at once rebounded up. Then the price reached the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and even made a fake breakout, after which declined below. Next, the price broke this level, made a retest, and then continued to move up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Euro entered to resistance zone, but soon turned around and dropped to the trend line, making a fake breakout of the 1.1150 level. Some time later price rebounded from the trend line and quickly backed up to the resistance zone, breaking the 1.1150 level one more time. Euro some time traded near this level and a few moments ago dropped to almost the support level, thereby breaking the resistance level with trend line. For this case, I expect that the Euro will fall to the support level, then make a small move up, after which break this level and continue to move down. Or, it can break the support level at once and continue to decline, without movement up. That's why I set my goal at 1.0800 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro can exit from range and continue to decline nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price entered to wedge and at once started to decline to the support line from the resistance line. After this, the price turned around and made a strong impulse up to the resistance line of the wedge and then at once made a correction movement. Next, EUR continued to move up and soon reached the 1.1030 support level, but at once made a correction to the support line of the wedge and then rebounded up, breaking this level. After this, in a short time, the price rose to the seller zone, where it turned around and started to decline. Euro exited from the wedge and started to trades inside range, where it fell to the buyer zone. Soon, the price turned around and rose to the 1.1180 resistance level, which coincided with the top part of the range, making a fake breakout of the 1.1030 level. Also then, the EUR tried to break the resistance level, but failed and a not long time ago dropped to the support level. Just now, the price trades very close to this level inside range. For this reason, I think the price can break the support level, thereby exiting from the range and continuing to move down. Therefore I set my TP at 1.0920 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Channel breakout and further potential drop after a correEURUSD has sharply declined following news of escalating tensions in the Middle East, which triggered a surge in the DXY, pushing down other currency pairs. The market formed a double top at the resistance level and failed to close above it. Currently, it is heading toward the bottom of the range. Zooming out, you'll notice the price action has been oscillating between 1.10200 and 1.12000. A pullback may occur before the market continues its downward movement. The target is the support level at 1.10300
EURUSD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1028
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1076
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EHUSDT: Cup and handle pattern is formed. Based on the Ethereum (ETH/USDT) chart you've shared, here is a concise trading strategy:
Support Zone: The price is currently testing a key support zone around $2,350. This area has shown buying interest in the past.
Short-Term Bullish Scenario: If the price holds above this support, a potential short-term bullish move could occur, with targets at the Fibonacci retracement levels of $2,471 (0.618) and $2,520 (0.5). Watch for bullish signals in this area to confirm potential upward movement.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold this support zone, a deeper decline could follow, with a major target at the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, around $2,054.
Trading Plan: Consider entering a long position if the price bounces off the support zone with confirmation. Set a stop-loss below the support zone. Alternatively, if the price breaks below the support, look for a short opportunity with a target near $2,054.
This strategy provides a balanced approach for both potential bullish and bearish moves.
EURUSDHello Traders!
What are your thoughts on EURUSD ?
EURUSD is currently moving within an ascending channel and approaching the key support zone near the channel's bottom. As long as the price does not close below this support level, the uptrend is expected to continue, with the potential for a bounce from this area. A break below the support level could indicate a shift in the trend.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EURUSD today. The EUR/USD pair remains on the defensive, hovering near 1.1035, as the stronger U.S. dollar dominates in early Friday trading in the Asian session. Market caution ahead of key U.S. economic data is putting pressure on the major currency pair. All eyes are now focused on the U.S. jobs report, set to be released later today.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 4, 2024 EURUSDAn event to look out for today:
15:30 GMT+3. USD - Unemployment Rate
EURUSD:
EUR/USD remains on the defensive near 1.1030 on the back of a stronger US dollar during the early Asian session on Friday. Cautious market sentiment ahead of key US economic data is putting pressure on the major pair. All eyes will be on the release of US employment data due for release today.
The US Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) released on Thursday provided some support to the US Dollar (USD). The services PMI rose to 54.9 in September from 51.5 in August, beating the market forecast of 51.7, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed.
Meanwhile, initial jobless claims in the US rose by 6,000 to 225,000 for the week ended 28 September. The figure followed the previous week's data of 219,000 (revised from 218,000) and was worse than market expectations of 220,000.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said this week that policymakers are likely to stick to their policy of cutting rates by 25 basis points (bps) going forward. Markets have priced the probability of a 25 bps Fed rate cut at nearly 68.9%, while the probability of a 50 bps rate cut is 31.1%, according to CME FedWatch Tool data.
US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday may provide some hints on how the US interest rate will move. The US economy is estimated to have added 140,000 jobs in September and the unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.2%. If the employment report is weaker than expected, it could prompt the central bank to consider deeper rate cuts, which would put pressure on the US dollar.
European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers continue to hint that another rate cut could be in the near future. This, in turn, could weaken the Euro (EUR) against the US Dollar. Kyle Chapman, currency analyst at Ballinger Group, said, ‘Policy is too tight given the challenging macroeconomic environment and a move to successive rate cuts seems self-evident now that disinflation is in its late stages.’
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly Sell orders from the current price level
Euro H4 | Falling to swing-low supportThe Euro (EUR/USD) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.1005 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level.
Stop loss is at 1.0985 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level.
Take profit is at 1.1071 which is an overlap resistance.
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Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1017
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 1.0955
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.1080
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURUSD → RetestAfter breaking the support at the 1.11250 level on Tuesday, the euro continued to fall due to bearish pressure.
Right now, that pressure seems to have disappeared and we are in a good zone to look for long positions towards the retest of the previous support.
Guys, what do you think? Leave a comment with your thoughts.
Gold is ready for NFP!Gold (XAU/USD) has shown resilience, bouncing back to around $2,640 per ounce after hitting a daily low of $2,638 on Thursday. This recovery was fueled by growing concerns over a potential conflict between Israel and Iran, as well as a stronger US Dollar. On the fundamental side, gold remains influenced by expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy. Last week, the market predicted with over 60% probability a 50 basis point rate cut by November. However, stronger-than-expected US labor market data have reduced these expectations to 35%, boosting the US Dollar and applying bearish pressure on gold, which tends to lose appeal as the dollar strengthens.
Technically, gold is in a phase of uncertainty. A break above $2,673, the weekly high, could signal a resumption of the uptrend, with a potential target of $2,700. Conversely, a break below $2,625 could lead to a test of support at $2,600. In the medium to long term, gold maintains a general bullish trend, supported by its traditional role as a safe-haven asset and the global low-interest rate environment.
EUR/USD Faces Pressure as USD Strengthens Ahead of US PCE DataThe EUR/USD pair experienced selling pressure on Friday, reversing part of the gains made in the previous session. The US Dollar (USD) found renewed strength as traders repositioned ahead of the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, a key measure of inflation that could influence the Federal Reserve's policy outlook.
This USD rebound played a significant role in dragging the EUR/USD lower, especially as the Euro approached a critical technical zone. The pair retested a supply area, forming a potential Double Top pattern a classic indicator of weakening momentum and an early sign of a bearish reversal. This technical setup suggests that the recent bullish move might be losing traction.
Moreover, the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that retail traders are heavily bullish on the Euro. This often signals a contrarian opportunity, as extreme retail sentiment can precede a market reversal, with institutional traders typically positioning themselves in the opposite direction.
With both technical and sentiment indicators aligning, we are anticipating a retracement in the EUR/USD pair. The current USD strength, coupled with a bearish chart pattern and aggressive retail optimism, supports the likelihood of a pullback in the near term. The release of the PCE inflation data could act as a catalyst, potentially increasing market volatility and applying additional pressure on the Euro.
In summary, we expect the EUR/USD to face further downside risks as the USD gains traction. The technical setup and market sentiment suggest that the pair could retrace from current levels, especially if the upcoming US inflation data favors continued USD strength. We remain cautious and are watching for opportunities to position for a retracement.
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EURUSD Further Up Trend potentialEURUSD has been in a bullish trend, and the recent impulse move down, followed by a pullback that took out liquidity below the 1.1100 support level, could signal the end of a correction. This behaviour is typical in bullish markets, where price pulls back to gather liquidity before resuming the upward trend. Given the overall bullish sentiment, there is a strong potential for a continuation of the trend.
With strong bullish momentum, the market may be set to break through last month's high. The target is the resistance zone around 1.12000
EUR/USD 1H Long: Targeting 1.1130 - 1.1160 Ahead of ADP DataOn the 1-hour timeframe, EUR/USD is showing signs of potential reversal after a period of consolidation. The pair is currently trading near a key support zone under the FibCloud, indicating a potential opportunity for a bullish move. I’m positioning for a long trade, targeting the 1.1130 - 1.1160 range. If I get spiked out due to upcoming news, I will look to reenter the trade once conditions stabilize.
Technical Analysis:
• The price is testing support while hovering below the FibCloud, suggesting a potential breakout to the upside.
• Recent consolidation after a series of declines could lead to a corrective bounce.
• My target is the 1.1130 - 1.1160 zone, with stops placed below the recent swing low to manage risk. I will reenter if volatility from news spikes me out.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today’s news calendar is packed with significant events, particularly the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change at 14:15 UTC, which could influence volatility in the USD and subsequently impact EUR/USD price action. This release will provide insight into the U.S. labor market ahead of the NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) data, and traders should be prepared for potential swings in either direction. Other key events include several FOMC members speaking throughout the day, which may offer further insight into the Fed’s outlook.
Risk Management:
Given the potential impact of the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change data and other news, it is crucial to stay vigilant. I’m managing risk by placing stops below the recent swing low and will monitor volatility closely. Should the trade spike me out due to news, I will reassess and potentially reenter if the setup remains valid.
• Stop-Loss: Below the recent swing low to protect from downside risk.
• Reentry Plan: If stopped out due to news, I’ll look for confirmation before reentering long positions.
EUR/USD presents a long opportunity targeting 1.1130 - 1.1160, but it’s essential to remain flexible given the high-impact news on the horizon. I’ll be prepared to reenter the market if needed, and proper risk management will be key to navigating any unexpected moves.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
EURUSD Will Grow! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 30m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.103.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.105 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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XAU/USD : Let's go for SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that today the price faced a correction after reaching the key supply level at $2663 and is currently trading around $2654. Keep in mind that the shadow of war still looms over the market, so it's best to minimize your trading risk. At the moment, I expect further declines in gold to lower levels. The downside targets are $2647, $2644, and $2640, respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBP/USD : More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around the 1.326 level. Given the current trend, I expect to see further declines in this pair. The first key target is the liquidity pool below 1.32370. This analysis will be updated, folks!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban