EUR/USD is increasing and expected to tend to be higherAdemha greets everyone,
Currently, the EUR/USD exchange rate stands at around 1.089 USD per Euro. The outlook ahead leans towards a potential appreciation of the Euro, driven by several factors:
Monetary Policy: Although the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) maintains a tightening stance, there is anticipation that pressure to raise interest rates will gradually ease if inflation continues to cool. This could weaken the Dollar, allowing the Euro to recover.
Eurozone Economy: If economic stimulus measures in Europe or improvements in the service and industrial sectors prove effective, the strength of the Euro could increase.
Forecast: The Euro is likely to rise if economic conditions in the Eurozone improve or if the Fed adopts a more dovish policy by 2025, creating a favorable environment for the exchange rate to reach higher levels in the medium to long term.
Eurusd-3
EURUSD at Key Support – Bullish Rebound Ahead?Hello Ben's great friends!
Currently, EURUSD is fluctuating about 1,0878 in the early morning session in Asia. The US dollar decreased slightly when traders prepare for the US presidential election and the possibility that the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, supporting some support for the main currency pair.
Moreover, based on technical analysis, the price is approaching the strong support area (suitable for EMA 34.89). If this support level is maintained, it can act as a platform to increase prices.
What do you think about this view? Let me know your ideas.
EUR and the month of JULY in the past 50 years! Check it out!We just entered a new month, and not just an ordinary month -- It's JULY!
And what's special about it? -- and its connection to EUR?
Based on 50 year chart history, JULY is EUR's favorite month to 'ascend' so to speak.
JULY seems to play an important role for the pair's price behavior. A lot of times, what comes after a correction -- is an upside reversal that falls most of the time on the month of JULY. This has happened multiple times in the past. It maybe a short term upside season, a major bullish one or an extended long continuation -- but it seems to bounce during those months.
We just concluded June, and we have entered the 'divine' month for EUR which is JULY. Based on the present price level, we have created a new base to ascend. Last friday's closing (June ending) was an indication of things to come. Going forward as we enter this month, with the last closing price -- it looks like we are heading towards the "expected" direction based on historical movements.
Of course this is not indicative of the pairs future price, but we can certainly be guided.
Just something to ponder about and an interesting way of looking at how fascinating and dynamic price behavior could be.'
The chart above is a HEXAMONTHLY (6-monthly) CHART
Spotted 1.09
TAYOR.
Safeguard capital always
#EURUSD - 05112024I was bullish EURUSD yesterday after the gap up. Was looking for a dip to go long off but EURUSD just moved higher, hit the strong resistance before coming down.
On daily, it looked like a bearish reversal pin bar for further downside today. IMO, weekly candle still points to further upside while daily candle points to down side. For today, IMO, I will look for EURUSD to possibly close the gap but at the same time find support at 1.0836/43 for a move higher, with 1.0928 as the near term target.
EURUSD Flat To Start November Elections Ahead The EURUSD has been quite flat to start the month of November. The current market price is hovering around 1.08730, which is within about 10 pips of the November month open price. Today the Bank of Australia will be releasing new data regarding interest rates, this could possibly give some volatility to the market for US pairs. Don't forget that the US Federal Election will be held tomorrow. Traders will be looking for a spike, for now we will be waiting for the news.
November Trading Competition Chart
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(SPX500USD 1D chart)
In order to maintain the uptrend, it must rise above 5738.2 and be maintained.
Since the StochRSI indicator is currently expected to create a double bottom, if the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone, it is highly likely to create a large uptrend.
Accordingly, I think the 5738.2 point is a very important support and resistance point.
-
(XAUUSD 1D chart)
BW(100) indicator is created at 2748.960, and HA-High indicator is created at 2734.472.
Accordingly, the point of observation is whether it can receive support and rise around 2734.472-2748.960.
-
The fact that BW(100), HA-High indicators are created means that a high point section has been formed.
Therefore, if it receives resistance from BW(100), HA-High indicators and falls, you should basically think that the decline is likely to continue until it meets BW(0), HA-Low indicators and respond accordingly.
Therefore, whether there is support around 2734.472-2748.960 is important.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator appears to have entered the oversold zone, we need to check where it is located when it rises in the oversold zone and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
-
(XAGUSD 1D chart)
The chart can be seen as already in the process of decline.
However, since it is maintaining an upward channel, we need to keep in mind the possibility of creating a pull back pattern.
Accordingly, the area around 3188144 is expected to be an important support and resistance zone.
The HA-High indicator is created at the 32.99790 point, and the BW(100) indicator is created at the 34.86 point.
Accordingly, there is a possibility that it will be restricted from breaking through the 3299790-34.86 zone upward.
-
(EURUSD 1D chart)
I think the 1.08821 point is a very important section in the trend.
I think it is likely to have difficulty turning into an upward trend until it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, I think it would be advantageous to proceed with a trade after confirming support near 1.08821.
-
(WTICOUSD 1D chart)
The oil chart is in a reverse arrangement.
Accordingly, I think it would be advantageous to trade with a sell (SHORT) position.
It is currently rising above 71.6167 and rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
In order to maintain this rise, it needs to be maintained around 71.955.
-
HA-Low, HA-High indicators are indicators created to trade using the Heikin-Ashi chart.
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that a low point range has been formed.
Therefore, if it is supported near HA-Low and rises, you should basically think of a response plan by thinking that it will continue to rise until it meets the HA-High indicator.
The HA-Low or HA-HIgh indicators are designed to display box ranges differently from other indicators.
Therefore, in order to escape the low point range formed by the HA-Low indicator, it must rise above the upper point of the HA-Low indicator box.
Therefore, it can be said that it has escaped the low point range if it rises and is maintained above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (72.606).
-
StochRSI indicator is not a universal indicator,
but basically
- When the StochRSI indicator is above the 50 point, you should focus on finding a time to sell,
- When it is below the 50 point, you should focus on finding a time to buy.
From that perspective, I think the current rise is more likely to be a rebound rather than a rise.
-
(BTCUSD 1D chart)
The important support and resistance areas from the current price position are as follows:
- 71288.90-72322.91
- 68343.64-69795.79
- 65910.71
The three areas above are important support and resistance areas.
-
As explained on the oil chart, since the StochRSI indicator is below the 50 point, you should focus on finding a time to buy.
Therefore, if you are trading for the first time, you can trade depending on whether there is support near 68343.64.
However, since the current trend is an upward trend, if you trade with a sell (SHORT) position, you need to respond quickly and briefly.
-
(ETHUSD 1D chart)
ETH is currently moving sideways in the box section.
Therefore, the trend is expected to be determined depending on which direction it deviates from the 2272.88-2707.12 section.
Therefore, you should think about trading within the box section and create a response plan.
Then, when it deviates from the box section, you should switch to a trading strategy to eat the trend.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
EURUSD: Potential USD Strength On Trump Election MomentumHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.09000 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.09000 support and resistance area.
I would also consider the ongoing Elections in the US, if Trump wins as he is bullish the Dollar we should see a significant downsides in the Dollar.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD 1.09085 +0.71% short idea INTRA-DAY SET UP...HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at The EURUSD NY FROM AM - PM SESSION
* With a bullish run into Monday CLOSE (PO3) today will be looking for some retracement.
* looking at the daily HIGH taken which is a sign of weakness on EU.
* Looking at the VI below as targets as well.
* on the 4H looking for a bullish open to take ASIA high LQ✔.
* PO3
* Push higher before going for lower structures✔.
* looking for an aggressive move above out of the range to sweep.
* and aggressive in.
* this where I would look for entries short.
* Looking for the take of that ERL WHICH we saw friday.
* with two possible OTE ( ASIA HIGHS, AND LONG TERM HIGH) , EXECUTION IS BASED ON RR & RISK MANAGEMENT.
* DXY 15M
- Will wait for the DXY to take ASIA lows and trade back in the range as a confirmation as well...
* BASED on the price action served next session...
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
|
* ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
EURO - Price can leave wedge and decline to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price broke $1.0885 level and continued to decline inside falling channel, where it at once fell to support line.
Then price bounced to resistance line of channel and then declined to $1.0785 level and even broke it.
Price fell to support line, after which made upward impulse, thereby breaking $1.0785 level again and exiting from channel.
Next, Euro entered to wedge, made correction to support line, and then started to grow to resistance level.
A not long time ago, price reached this level, and some time traded near, but soon bounced down.
At the moment, I think EUR can make a rise movement and then fall to $1.0785 support level, exiting from the wedge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EUR/USD Surges as U.S. Political Uncertainty Ahead of Key EventsDuring Monday’s European session, the EUR/USD currency pair is making headlines by hovering around the 1.0900 mark. With an ambitious target of 1.09780 in sight, this major currency pair is showing a notable surge at the expense of the U.S. Dollar (USD). This movement comes amid rising uncertainty as the United States approaches its presidential election on Tuesday, alongside the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting later in the week.
A Bearish Start for the U.S. Dollar
As the new week begins, the U.S. Dollar is experiencing a bearish trend, reflected in the decline of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Market participants are especially focused on the tight race shaping up between former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris, fueling a climate of uncertainty around the election outcomes. The anticipation surrounding the elections appears to have contributed to a flight from the dollar, as traders brace for potential volatility based on the implications of the election results.
Technical Analysis: No Major Changes
From a technical perspective, the current market behavior reflects continuity rather than change. Price levels remain largely similar to those observed in previous weeks, suggesting a moment of stabilization as traders await catalysts that could lead to clearer directional moves. Additionally, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that the positioning of traders has not changed significantly, continuing to reflect the trends seen last week.
Preparing for Election Aftermath
As the market gears up for the immediate aftermath of the elections, traders should be prepared for substantial fluctuations. The uncertainty regarding the election outcomes and the potential shifts in U.S. monetary policy are poised to create considerable movement across various asset classes. Depending on who emerges victorious, expectations for fiscal strategies, regulatory changes, and economic recovery plans may influence market sentiment and asset performance for weeks to come.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the EUR/USD's rise toward the 1.09780 target reflects broader market dynamics influenced by political uncertainty in the United States. As participants navigate this complex landscape, the interplay between election outcomes and central bank policies will be crucial to the future trajectory of the currency pair. Traders are advised to remain vigilant, as upcoming events could lead to significant volatility, reshaping market expectations and price actions in the process.
Previous Forecast:
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
EUR/USD Starts Tuesday with Optimism Amid Mixed Dollar StrengthThe EUR/USD pair opened Tuesday with a positive sentiment, trading at 1.08230 as of this writing. This follows a shaky start to the week for the US Dollar (USD), which initially showed strength but saw limited momentum as investors opted for caution, especially in the absence of major economic data or fundamental drivers early in the week.
ECB’s Cautious Tone Amid Inflation Progress
On Monday, ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos offered insights into the central bank’s view on inflation, noting that while there has been substantial progress in reducing inflation, it's premature to assume that the battle is over. His statements suggested that the ECB will maintain a flexible stance on monetary policy, leaving room for adjustments depending on economic developments. This cautious, yet open stance by the ECB may lend some support to the euro, as markets interpret the ECB's careful monitoring of inflation as a signal that interest rate hikes could still be in the realm of possibility.
Focus on U.S. JOLTS Job Openings Data
Later in the day, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the JOLTS Job Openings data for September, which may influence USD sentiment. Markets are anticipating job openings to slightly decrease to 7.99 million, from 8.04 million in August. However, should the reading exceed expectations, particularly if it reaches 8.5 million or higher, it could reinforce USD strength as it would indicate continued labor market resilience—a key factor for the Federal Reserve's policy decisions. Conversely, a reading below 7.5 million might dampen USD appeal, as it would suggest cooling in the labor market, potentially leading the Fed to reconsider its tightening pace.
Technical Overview: EUR/USD Positioned Near Demand Zone
From a technical perspective, EUR/USD is showing some resilience around a demand zone, though it isn’t the strongest of support levels. The pair’s recent reaction in this area suggests some buying interest that could offer temporary support. Given this positioning, a long position might be worth considering if the upcoming JOLTS data provides a supportive backdrop by coming in below expectations, potentially weakening the USD.
On the other hand, if the data surprises on the upside, EUR/USD might test lower levels, and the demand zone’s strength could be challenged.
Conclusion
In summary, the EUR/USD outlook today hinges significantly on the JOLTS report, with the euro finding slight support from the ECB's cautious optimism on inflation. A supportive labor report could provide USD strength, but a weaker-than-expected report may favor euro bulls, positioning EUR/USD for further upside near current demand levels. With this dynamic, traders might consider waiting for the JOLTS data before committing to positions, using it as a potential trigger for directionality in this volatile environment.
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
EURUSD targeting 1.0500 after the 1W MA100 rejection.Late August (Aug 26, see chart below) saw us emphasizing the critical role of the Lower Highs trend-line, being the top of a multi-year Falling Wedge pattern that started at the peak of the 2008 Housing Crisis, and its important on the long-term trend, with a break-out being bullish while a rejection being bearish:
The price was eventually rejected exactly at the top and at the same time the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), which did the July 2023 rejection. That rejection initiated a correction back to the Symmetrical Support Zone of 2015.
As a result, we expect EURUSD to gradually descend towards that Zone and by mid 2025, hit 1.0500.
Notice also that the 1W RSI also got very close to its 15-year Resistance Zone. This has triggered in the past more brutal sell-offs.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Levels discussed during livestream 4th November4th November
DXY: Needs to break 103.90 to trade up to 104.30 (trendline)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5985 SL 30 TP 45
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6590 SL 25 TP 50
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2985 SL 40 TP 130
EURUSD: Buy 1.0910 SL 30 TP 90
USDJPY: Ranging between 151.70 and 153.40, looking for breakout potential following major news
USDCHF: Buy 0.8645 SL 20 TP 55
USDCAD: Sell 1.3910 SL 20 TP 100
Gold: Needs to break 2730 to trade down to 2710
XAU/USD : Another Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as expected last night, gold showed an upward movement with the market opening. After maintaining its position above the noted support level, it reached the targets of $2739 and $2744. Currently, gold is trading around $2742, and we’ll need to watch over the next two hours to see if it can stabilize above this level.
The key demand zones are $2738.6-$2739.7 and $2727-$2733, while the important supply zones are $2747, $2752, and $2757.
Positive Economic Data and ECB's Interest Rate OutlookThe strength of the Euro (EUR) is supported by positive economic data from the Eurozone, reducing the likelihood of the European Central Bank (ECB) making significant interest rate cuts in December. Eurostat reported that the region's economy grew faster than expected in the third quarter, prompting traders to adjust their expectations regarding interest rate cuts in the upcoming meeting. Additionally, inflation pressure increased by 2% in October, further reinforcing the likelihood that the ECB will maintain interest rates.
EUR/USD is fluctuating around the resistance level of 1.0896 during the European trading session on Monday. With support at 1.0778, the upward momentum of this currency pair is solidified, and it is likely to test the resistance level of 1.0896 again. Moreover, this upward trend may continue and break through that resistance, especially as the EMA 34 and 89 have reversed to an uptrend.
What do you think about the outlook for this currency pair? Let me know!
EURUSD: Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 1.09196
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!