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Eurusd-3

The Euro is slightly declining, and a reversal is possible.Hello everyone, Today, the EUR/USD exchange rate is trading around 1.08336 USD for each 1 EUR, showing a slight decrease compared to the previous session. This decline is primarily driven by a strong recovery of the USD, supported by positive economic data from the U.S., indicating that the economy is stabilizing. The increase in U.S. government bond yields also contributes to the dollar's attractiveness, putting pressure on the Euro. Although the exchange rate is currently declining, there is a possibility of a reversal. If U.S. economic data does not remain positive or if the ECB takes strong actions to support the Euro, this could push the EUR/USD rate higher. Additionally, geopolitical factors and uncertainties in policy could create higher demand for the Euro.
by Ademha
Smart Money Trading concepts 101🔸The Smart Money Trading concept, often used in Forex and stock trading, revolves around the idea of tracking the moves made by major institutional players (like banks, hedge funds, and large financial institutions) rather than retail investors. Smart money strategies aim to identify and follow the price action patterns that large investors create, as these institutions often have access to more market-moving information and capital than individual traders. 🔸A critical part of this approach is understanding market structure, which includes concepts like Higher Highs (HH) and Lower Lows (LL). These patterns help traders determine the current trend direction and potential reversals, which can inform trading decisions. Here's how these concepts fit into the Smart Money Trading framework: 1. Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) in an Uptrend ▪️When the market is in an uptrend, it typically forms a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows: Higher High (HH): Each new peak in the price is higher than the previous peak. Higher Low (HL): Each new low is also higher than the previous low. ▪️This pattern signifies strong buying interest, indicating that smart money may be accumulating positions in anticipation of further price increases. ▪️Traders look for breakouts beyond previous highs, as it often signifies a continuation of the uptrend. ▪️If the price breaks a recent Higher Low, it may indicate potential weakness and a possible trend reversal. 2. Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH) in a Downtrend ▪️In a downtrend, the market structure often forms Lower Lows and Lower Highs: Lower Low (LL): Each new low is lower than the previous low. Lower High (LH): Each high in the price action is also lower than the previous high. ▪️This pattern signals that selling pressure is dominant, suggesting that institutional investors might be offloading positions. ▪️Traders watch for prices to break the most recent Lower High for potential continuation signals in the downtrend. ▪️If the price breaks above the most recent Lower High, it can indicate that the trend may be weakening, signaling a potential reversal or entry opportunity. 3. Using HH and LL to Spot Trend Reversals ▪️Trend Reversal: When a series of HH and HL in an uptrend shifts to LH and LL (or vice versa), it often signals that a reversal is underway. ▪️Smart Money traders use these shifts to spot market traps where retail traders might be misled, allowing them to capitalize on new trend directions as they unfold. 4. Smart Money Concepts in Action: Liquidity and Price Action ▪️Large players need liquidity to execute significant trades without causing excessive slippage (or price movement). This liquidity often exists near recent highs and lows. ▪️By analyzing HH, HL, LH, and LL patterns, smart money traders can identify areas of liquidity where institutions might step in. ▪️For example, a series of HHs might attract retail buyers, providing liquidity for smart money to enter or exit positions. 5. Application in Trading ▪️By following HH and LL patterns, traders can align their positions with smart money rather than getting caught in fakeouts or market traps. ▪️Traders often combine these patterns with other indicators (like volume, order blocks, or support and resistance) to confirm the presence of institutional involvement. 🔸The Smart Money approach relies heavily on understanding and interpreting these HH and LL structures to trade in sync with the institutions, avoiding common pitfalls that trap many retail traders.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
21
Euro falls as Trump's chances of victory increaseLooking at the trend in the 1-hour time frame, EUR/USD has broken the support area of ​​the first ascending channel to the bottom and now it is below the moving averages of the ALIIGATOR indicator, there is a possibility of further price declines. In general, the scenario is reinforced that EUR/USD can decline to the support of the bottom of the second ascending channel in the range of $1.0799, provided that the resistance range of 1.0864-1.0859 is maintained.
Short
by arongroups
EUR/USD retreats in the aftermath of US NFP dataEUR/USD has given up its upward momentum after facing selling pressure near the key resistance level of 1.0900 during the North American trading session on Friday. The currency pair declined as the US Dollar strengthened significantly following the October Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data. Although there was an initial negative reaction, the Dollar quickly regained strength, with the DXY Index rising above 104.00. The report indicated that the economy added only 12,000 new jobs, which is significantly lower than the estimated 113,000 and the previous month’s 223,000, which was revised down from 254,000. The unemployment rate remained stable at 4.1%, as expected. Looking at the technical chart, we can see that the trendline indicates a clear downtrend for this currency pair. The downward momentum of EUR/USD is likely to continue as it encounters two key resistance levels at 1.088 and 1.085. If the price fails to break through these levels, it may lead to a deeper decline, with the next target potentially being the support level at 1.080. Conversely, if the pair breaks the 1.088 resistance and stays above it, this could create an opportunity for a recovery, opening up the possibility of testing the 1.090 level again. Do you think this currency pair has a chance to reverse? Let me know in the comments!
by Alisa_Rokosz
Analyzing the EUR/USD on the 30-minute timeframethe EUR/USD on the 30-minute timeframe, the pair is currently in a downtrend but has not yet reached the green support zone. If the price returns to this zone, it could attract buyers, potentially pushing the price upward. This scenario may present a long opportunity, provided there's a confirmation signal before entry. Key Points: Current Trend: Downward movement towards support. Support Zone: Identified in green on the chart. Potential Action: Look for bullish confirmation signals upon price reaching the support zone before considering a long position. Always ensure proper risk management and wait for clear confirmation before entering a trade.
Long
by WaveRiders2
Take the Red Pill: The EURO COT Long Play RevealedTake the Red Pill: The EURO Long Play Revealed "Let me tell you why you're here. You're here because you know something. What you know, you can't explain, but you feel it." – Morpheus Most traders move blindly through the markets, buying and selling on impulse, on what they think they know. But for those who understand how to read deeper signals, patterns begin to emerge—patterns that separate the merely active from the truly informed. Right now, if you're willing to look, Commitment of Traders (COT) data is showing us something intriguing about the EURO. This is your red pill: a glimpse into how those in the know see beyond the chart. The Setup: A Commercial Long Play Behind the scenes, commercials—the ones who have true skin in the game—have loaded up on longs, reaching a 26-week extreme in positioning. Not only that, but they're holding their longest exposure in three years, a sign that those with the best intel in the market believe in a coming shift. Meanwhile, the "small specs," often driven by emotion rather than insight, have gone nearly max-short. Historically, this group isn't just wrong; they’re almost predictably wrong. The result? A textbook setup. But if you’re looking to take advantage, know this: jumping in without discipline is how people get burned. We wait for a confirmed trend change on the daily timeframe. Nothing less. Because only the disciplined get to see beyond the shadows and reap the rewards. The Undervaluation: Gold, Treasuries, and the EURO’s True Position If you look at the EURO in comparison to gold and treasuries, something stands out—it’s undervalued. This doesn’t show up in headlines or make for easy soundbites, but for those who know how to look, it’s a flashing signal. And there’s a seasonal edge, too: the EURO’s tendency to rally through mid-December. It’s another puzzle piece that, when added up with positioning extremes and market sentiment, paints a picture that only a few will truly grasp. Supplementary Signals: Layers of Confirmation For those still seeking confirmation, additional indicators are lining up: %R, Stochastic, and even bullish momentum divergence are signaling alignment. But understand this—the market doesn’t reward the impatient. We wait, observe, and move only when the trend change is confirmed on the daily chart. The Truth Beneath the Surface This is no ordinary trade idea. It’s a blueprint to help you see the hidden dynamics that move the market. Those who look only at surface price action may be blindsided by the moves yet to come. But for those willing to see beyond—those ready to know what the COT data, the fundamentals, and the seasonal tendencies are saying—this is a rare opportunity. Now, if you’re ready to see what the rest don’t, follow Tradius Trades. You’ll be one of the few with eyes open, equipped to move with purpose. --- > "I didn’t say it would be easy, Neo. I just said it would be the truth."
CME:6EZ2024Long
by Tradius_Trades
2
EURUSD Short term buy inside a Channel Up.EURUSD is trading inside a Channel Up. The price has falled by -0.55%, same amount as the October 25th-28th pull back. That was a short term buy opportunity that targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci. The MA200 (1h) is supporting just below. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 1.08750 (Fibonacci 0.786 level). Tips: 1. The RSI (1h) is about to turn oversold. That has been the most effective buy signal on the last 3 lows (October 29th, 28th and 23rd). Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
Long
by TradingBrokersView
HelenP. I Euro will make small correction and continue move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics.A few days ago price entered to consolidation, where it at once reached the top part and then dropped to the 1.1040 level, which coincided with the bottom part of the flat with the resistance zone. Then EUR tried to grow, but failed and fell to the resistance zone, after which turned around and in a short time backed up to range. Later price rose to the top part of the consolidation again, where then it reached the trend line and then started to decline. Euro exited from consolidation, breaking the 1.1040 level, and continued to decline. In a short time later, the price fell to the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Soon, the price broke this level and some time traded between, after which rebounded up, breaking the 1.0810 level with the trend line. To this day, the price continues to grow, so, I expect that EURUSD will make the small correction and then continue to grow next. So, that's why I set my goal at 1.0975 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
1
EUR/USD shows potential (READ DESCRIPTION)Pivot Point: 1.0860 EUR/USD shows potential for an upward move, with projected gains of 27 - 42 pips, supported by a pivot level at 1.0860. Our Preference: Long Positions Consider long positions above 1.0860 with the following target levels: Primary Target: 1.0900 — this level may serve as the first resistance, where some consolidation or minor retracement could occur. Secondary Target: 1.0915 — if this level is reached, it may indicate stronger bullish momentum, potentially supporting further advances. Alternative Scenario: Downside Potential If EUR/USD dips below 1.0860, consider a move lower with targets: First Target: 1.0845 — an intermediate support level that could act as a buffer for downward momentum. Second Target: 1.0830 — a more substantial support level that may result in either a consolidation or a sustained bearish push if breached. Technical Indicators & Analysis Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI indicates consolidation but remains above its neutrality area at 50, suggesting moderate upward momentum. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD may be nearing or above its signal line, reinforcing a slight bullish trend; however, a potential cross below could indicate a return to consolidation or slight bearish pressure. Moving Averages: EUR/USD is positioned above its 20-period and 50-period moving averages, signaling a short-term bullish trend with support for the upside move. Key Levels & Price Action Outlook Above 1.0860: A sustained move above this level can support gains toward 1.0900 initially. Consolidation may occur at this level, but continued strength would open up 1.0915, which is a more substantial resistance level and an extended target for long positions. Below 1.0860: Dropping below this pivot could lead to further declines. 1.0845 may serve as an initial support, and a break here could lead to a test of 1.0830. This deeper level may offer stronger support and could signal either a bottoming for a potential rebound or a continuation of bearish movement.
by CharivapaAlgo
Pre NFP Trade Analysis1st November DXY: Stronger NFP, DXY bounce off 103.80 to trade up to 104.60. If 103.80 broken, could trade down to 103.45 NZDUSD: Sell 0.5925 SL 20 TP 60 (DXY Strength) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6545 SL 25 TP 60 (DXY Strength) GBPUSD: Sell 1.28 SL 40 TP 120 (DXY Strength) EURUSD: Buy 1.0905 SL 25 TP 100 Hesitation at 1.0950 (DXY Weakness) USDJPY: Sell 151.40 SL 40 TP 200 Hesitation at 150.55 (DXY Weakness) USDCHF: Buy 0.8710 SL 20 TP 40 (DXY Strength) USDCAD: Sell 1.3915 SL 15 TP 30 (DXY Weakness) Gold: Needs to stay below 2760, break 2740 could trade down to 2708
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
2
EURUSD increased sharply: Target 1,095?Hello everyone! EURUSD is witnessing an impressive increase after a long decline, this pair of money has been stable around the threshold of 1,087 and has not shown signs of stopping. Looking at the time frames, the strong growth trend of EURUSD brings clear optimism. However, the current pair of money is under the resistance level immediately at 1,088. The passing of this level will lead to an increase in price while maintaining this level will lead to decreasing prices. With the current situation, it is likely that the 1,0857 milestone may be tested to check the reaction with EMA 34 and 89 lines before the market offers a more definitive direction. The upcoming goal? 1,090 and further than 1,095. I wish you a lot of luck and profit!
Long
by Bentradegold
2
EURUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.0838, which is a pullback support. Our take profit will be at 1.0905, a pullback resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 1.0770, which is a multi-swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
2
#EURUSD - 1 NovSmall range choppy day for EURUSD yesterday; it moved higher, hit the first resistance, sold back down to PZ then rallied to close near the highs. Overall, EURUSD is in a resistance zone and IMO, I am cautiously bearish for a move lower before any upside is possible. EURUSD is much bearish on the monthly (even more than indices) and overall, any bearish daily candle would indicate a potential near term top for further downside. For today, looking at 1.0898 is the level to look for shorts while 1.0812/20 would be levels to look for longs.
by FadeMeIfYouCan