GBPUSD GOING TO THE SKYGBP/USD is showing bullish momentum, supported by a decisive breakout above a key resistance level, accompanied by strong bullish candles and increased volume, signaling robust buying interest. Earlier in the session, a liquidity sweep below a major support level likely triggered sell stops, followed by a sharp reversal, indicating accumulation by smart money. The pair has also respected a rising intraday trendline, bouncing off it and reinforcing the upward trajectory. Technical indicators, such as bullish divergences on the RSI and MACD, further confirm weakening bearish momentum and potential for continuation higher. Additionally, the 50- and 200-period moving averages on lower timeframes are sloping upward, with a golden cross reinforcing the bullish outlook. This setup, combined with low-volume pullbacks, suggests a strong environment for further intraday gains.
+ was going down in response to the previous liquidity levels, is now answering this by reaching the higher K levels
Eurusd-3
EURUSD GOING DOWNEUR/USD appears poised for a bearish move, supported by key technical indicators and chart structures. Price action has rejected a significant liquidity zone, suggesting strong selling pressure and the inability of buyers to hold higher levels. A confluence of resistance from a descending trendline and the 50-day EMA strengthens the bearish outlook.
On higher timeframes, a recent liquidity sweep at a key high has been followed by a sharp rejection, indicating trapped buyers and the potential for further downside. A break below the recent market structure low could trigger stop orders, accelerating the move toward the next major liquidity cluster. Watch for increasing momentum and volume as confirmation of this potential bearish shift.
+ responding to the liquidity rectangle, pushing down
GOLD BULLISHGold appears poised for a bullish breakout, supported by key technical indicators and chart structures. Price action has reclaimed a significant liquidity zone, suggesting strong buyer interest and absorption of supply. A confluence of dynamic support from an ascending trendline and the 50-day EMA further strengthens the bullish case.
On higher timeframes, a recent liquidity sweep at a key low has been followed by a strong rebound, indicating that sellers may be trapped and the market could pivot higher. A break above the recent market structure high could trigger stop orders, fueling momentum toward the next major liquidity cluster. Watch for increasing volume and momentum as confirmation of this potential upward move.
+ precisely the contrary of NASDAQ with a little more zigzag liquidity
NASDAQ BEARISHThe Nasdaq may face a correction in the coming hours, based on technical signals from the charts. The index is approaching a key resistance zone, coupled with an overbought RSI (Relative Strength Index), indicating potential short-term reversal. Additionally, a bearish divergence between price action and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) suggests weakening bullish momentum. Declining volumes on recent highs further point to reduced buying pressure. A test of the immediate support could accelerate the downside if this level is breached.
+ big liquidity level broken yesterday, looking for a correction
EURUSD_1D&1W_SellAnalysis and review of the economy and the Eurodollar chart Elliott wave analysis style Mid-term and long-term time frames The euro is in a downward trend. Trading position is from sell to buy. In the long term, the market has entered a large ABC correction after completing five rising waves, which is currently in wave C. Wave C consists of five downward waves, which is currently on the way down as wave 5. The main resistance and ceiling of wave 4 is 1.06100 The targets and support numbers are 1.04070 and 1.02020 respectively, and the last target and support number is 1.00000.
Euro zone is not in good condition according to data chart conditions
EURUSD Hi today I have drawn the technical analysis of the EURUSD. Please notice the volume and the other indicator thanks. This is the 1 hour chart and you can see the formation of the candles. We have had the news report about the inflation today. So inflation has risen since the last year and that was forecasted by the economists. The inflation has also risen since last month, both by 0.1%.
#EURUSD
#inflation
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to Resistance area 1.06898.Dear Colleagues, I see a continuation of the upward movement in the coming week.
I believe that wave “1” and wave “2” of the higher order have been completed. Wave “2” of the lower order is either already completed or will be completed soon. I expect that either from the current positions or from the area of 1.04850 the price will start an upward movement to the resistance area of 1.06898.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EURUSD → False breakout of resistance. DowntrendFX:EURUSD is testing resistance in the downtrend phase. The maneuver ends with a false breakout of resistance at 1.067.
On the daily timeframe the price is squeezed between the strong resistance at 1.06011 and the local support at 1.05. So, if the bears keep the defense below the key resistance, the currency pair will continue to fall in the short term. The target in this case may be the area of 1.05 - 1.044.
But, technically, the retest of 1.067 may provoke a local breakout of the level and the price movement to the channel resistance against which there will also be a high probability of formation of a false breakout.
Resistance levels: 1.067, 1.965, 1.076
Support levels: 1.0448, 1.0331
Emphasis on resistance. Confirmation of the nearest resistance in the form of price consolidation below the level, if retested, could be a good entry zone. But if resistance is broken, the focus will shift to 1.065 - 1.067
EUR-USD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD has already
Made a bullish rebound
After the retest of the
Horizontal support
Of 1.0460 so we are
Locally bullish biased
And we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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EUR/USD 15-Minute Analysis: Breakout Opportunityn the 15-minute time frame, EUR/USD is approaching a purple resistance zone. Here's my idea:
Entry Plan: If the price breaks out above the purple resistance with confirmation, it could provide a long entry opportunity.
First Target: The next resistance level in the pink zone.
Key Caution: Be mindful of the black line, where the Point of Control (POC) is located. This could act as a key level of reaction.
Monitor price action carefully as we approach these levels to confirm the breakout and validate the move.
Let me know your thoughts! 👍
EURUSD Technical Analysis: Bullish Reversal SetupEURUSD Technical Analysis: Bullish Reversal Setup
Market Outlook: Potential Bullish Trend Emerging
The EURUSD pair is showing promising signs of a significant trend reversal, with multiple technical indicators pointing to a potential bullish momentum in the near term. Traders should pay close attention to key support and resistance levels that could define the market's next move.
Key Technical Levels
- Support Level: 1.0520 (Potential Bullish Reversal Zone)
- Critical Support: 1.0330 (Trend Invalidation Point)
- Potential Bullish Target: 1.3200
Pattern Analysis
The market has completed a clear ABC corrective pattern, setting the stage for a potential five-wave impulse move to the upside. This technical formation suggests a strong possibility of a trend reversal and subsequent bullish continuation.
Trading Considerations
1. Entry Zone: Traders should watch the 1.0520 area carefully. This level represents a critical support zone that could trigger a bullish reversal.
2. Risk Management: The 1.0330 level serves as the trend invalidation point. Any sustained break below this level would negate the bullish scenario and require a reassessment of the market structure.
3. Upside Potential: The long-term bullish target remains at 1.3200, offering a substantial potential profit range for traders who can successfully navigate the initial reversal.
Trading Strategy
- Wait for confirmation of the bullish reversal around the 1.0520 support level
- Look for clear five-wave move to the upside
- Implement strict stop-loss measures below the 1.0330 invalidation point
- Consider partial profit-taking at significant resistance levels
As with all trading strategies, this analysis is not a guarantee of market movement. Traders should:
- Use proper risk management
- Implement stop-loss orders
- Consider multiple timeframe analyses
- Be prepared for potential market volatility
Conclusion
The EURUSD pair presents an intriguing bullish setup with well-defined technical parameters. Traders should remain vigilant, watching for confirmation of the proposed bullish reversal and the subsequent five-wave move.
Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
#EURUSD - 12122024I was bearish EURUSD for a move lower yesterday, then a bounce off 1.0476 strong level. EURUSD did not go up to 1.05552 sell level but we got a nice level to level move, from PZ to 1.0494, bounced back down before a move back down.
Yesterday closed as a red day. I did said on weekly, we could see an up from here, but based on price action, I do not see a low yet. Thus IMO, I am looking at 1.0514 to hold for a move lower to 1.0476. IMO, if we are to get a low, we should see a clear reversal candle.
FORECAST UPDATES: Post CPI Results. Did We Get The Bias Right?Wednesday Dec. 11, 2024.
This is the Mid-Week Progress Report. Checking the accuracy of the Weekly Forecast and the Updates video posted yesterday.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EURUSD (12H), HIGH-RISK OPPORTUNITY, UTBased on my previous analyses on the Economic Crash and Global Economic Famine.
Here's a HIGH-RISK UPTREND OPPORTUNITY to capture the retracement of the High Timeframe downtrend.
FOR CLARITY, REVIEW MY PREVIOUS POSTS LINKED TO THIS POST!!!
EURUSD (12H)
SLO3 @ 1.1133 ⏳
SLO2 @ 1.1030 ⏳
SLO1 @ 1.0960 ⏳
TP3 @ 1.0876
TP2 @ 1.0772
TP1 @ 1.0622
BLO1 1.0469 📈
BLO2 1.0375 📈
⚠️Holding a Long Position above 1.0960 is HIGH-RISK
USD/JPY awaiting the FED!The USD/JPY exchange rate as of December 12, 2024, reflects an increase of approximately 0.4%, reaching 152.50, driven by November's U.S. inflation data and expectations surrounding Federal Reserve monetary policy. The published data shows a 0.3% monthly rise in headline CPI, slightly above the 0.2% consensus, while core CPI remained stable at 0.3%. On an annual basis, headline inflation rose to 2.7% from 2.6%, and core CPI was steady at 3.3%, in line with projections. These results reinforce expectations for an interest rate cut by the Fed at the upcoming FOMC meeting, with an estimated 84% probability of a 25-basis-point reduction. Markets interpret the data as a sign that inflation is under control, potentially allowing the Fed to adopt a more accommodative policy to support economic growth. The 10-year Treasury yield, stable at 4.226%, indicates relative calm in bond markets, which may help limit volatility in the U.S. dollar. USD/JPY continues to benefit from the yield differential between U.S. and Japanese assets, supporting dollar strength. However, upcoming economic data, such as the PPI and initial jobless claims, will be crucial in confirming or adjusting market expectations. The 152.50 level represents a critical zone: a break above 152.80 could signal further bullish momentum toward 2024 highs, while a pullback might bring the pair to key support at 151.50. The current scenario suggests a consolidative phase, but incoming data and the Fed's decision will be pivotal in shaping future direction.
DXY - 4H Dollar Index more FallTechnical Perspective:
TVC:DXY experienced two significant bullish legs in October and November on the daily time frame. However, the index started to fall sharply at the end of November, and this bearish momentum remains strong.
On the 4H chart, DXY reached a key resistance zone and faced a significant rejection with notable bearish momentum, signaling the continuation of the downtrend.
The current movement indicates a high likelihood of further declines, potentially to the bottom of the trading range. Many USD pairs are at critical support or resistance levels, and expected reactions from these zones could amplify downward pressure on the DXY, making it increasingly vulnerable to a substantial fall.
Fundamental Perspective:
In December 2024, the bearish sentiment surrounding the DXY is driven by key fundamental factors. The Federal Reserve is anticipated to implement another 25 basis point interest rate cut during its December 18 meeting, following earlier cuts in September and November. This dovish policy reflects the Fed’s commitment to supporting economic growth amidst a slightly cooling labor market and growing global uncertainties.
Adding to the pressure, inflation data showed a 2.7% year-over-year increase in November, a slight uptick from 2.6% in October. Despite this, the Fed remains focused on easing monetary conditions to mitigate recession risks. Additionally, the recent U.S. presidential election has raised prospects of fiscal policy changes, including proposed tax cuts and potential tariff adjustments, which contribute to market uncertainty and weigh on the dollar.
These fundamental shifts align with the bearish technical setup, suggesting that the DXY’s downtrend is likely to persist in the near term. Keep an eye on upcoming Fed announcements and inflation data for further confirmation of this trajectory.
ECONOMIC CRASH (PART 1), anticipatoryMARKET OVERVIEW
Recent data analysis highlights a significant concern regarding the EUR/USD market. With historical precedents and critical market behavior, the possibility of a global economic decline of -16.38% seems probable. This aligns with currency fundamentals where EUR (Financial Capital) and USD (Currency Capital) maintain critical global influence.
The EUR/USD market currently reflects bearish sentiments, with technical and fundamental indicators aligning toward potential downside risks. This is a pivotal time for traders to implement robust strategies, safeguard equity, and leverage automated tools for precision execution.
Key Technical Levels
Pivot High: 1.16164
Resistance: 1.13835
Support: 0.89311
Pivot Low: 0.86321
Trend Analysis: The overarching "Big Picture Curve" reflects a long-term downtrend, strongly indicative of a potential market crash.
Oscillators:
The oscillators currently show mixed signals, with a bias toward downtrend
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 42.91 (Neutral)
Momentum (10): -0.03028 (Sell)
MACD Level (12,26): -0.00416 (Sell)
Stochastic RSI Fast: 16.42 (Neutral)
Moving Averages:
All moving averages point to a downtrend, reinforcing the bearish outlook:
EMA/SMA (10): Sell
EMA/SMA (50): Sell
EMA/SMA (200): Sell
Ichimoku Base Line: Neutral
Anticipated Market Behavior
Given the alignment of bearish technical indicators and economic projections:
A break below 0.89311 (Support) could accelerate a larger move downward, potentially confirming a secondary crash scenario or what I like to call a FAMINE (That'll be Part 2).
Conservative traders should watch resistance at 1.13835, with invalidation of bearish outlook above 1.16164.
Gold currently trading near its resistance level Gold currently trading near its resistance level could lead to two possible outcomes:
1. Breakout Above Resistance:
If gold's price moves above its current resistance level with strong momentum, it signals a bullish trend. Traders would then watch for the next resistance zone, which may act as the next upward target.
2. Rejection at Resistance:
If the price fails to surpass resistance, it often results in a downward movement. The spot price (or the nearest support level) becomes the focus for potential stabilization or reversal.
Current Context
Spot Price: Gold is currently at $2,702 per ounce, a level influenced by both technical and fundamental factors like market sentiment and economic data.
Level: Likely around $2,736 CAPITALCOM:GOLD , with higher levels at $2,804 if a breakout occurs.
Support Levels: If a downturn occurs, support may exist near $2,607 or $2,532, depending on market pressures.
Trading Strategy
Confirm breakouts with high volume or sustained movement above resistance before assuming an upward trend.