Get started

Eurusd-4

Three Possible Scenarios for EURUSDEURUSD has flattened out after its strong upward move from around 1.0350 to 1.0950. The bullish momentum has eased, with Europe’s new spending plans priced in, most of the tariff impact accounted for, and markets digesting the FOMC forecasts. Now, the focus shifts to the next major decision point. There are three possible scenarios: 1-This is a double top formation around 1.0950. If 1.08 breaks, the formation target is at 1.0650, which is also the midpoint of the rally from 1.0350 to 1.0950. It’s a classic technical setup, and fundamentals such as a potential escalation in trade tensions when the April 2 tariffs come into effect could support this move. 2- The second scenario is that this is a consolidation phase before the next leg higher. In this case, the current movement forms a flag pattern, and a breakout would aim for 17 years long downtrend line just above 1.11. For this to materialize, a clear breakout above 1.0950 with strong fundamental support is required. 3- The market may stay indecisive due to the high level of risks and unknowns. In this case, EURUSD would likely continue moving sideways, possibly with minor corrections or false breakouts on both ends, before a clearer direction emerges. Our view favors the first scenario as the most probable outcome, though all three have valid technical and fundamental reasoning behind them. We lean toward the first scenario because sharp upward moves like this typically require a healthy correction, the risk of trade war escalation increases with each new statement from Trump, and the technical setup aligns well with this narrative.
by ftdsystem
Lagarde Flags Slower Growth from U.S. TariffsThe euro fell below $1.085, retreating from its March 18 high of $1.0954, after ECB President Christine Lagarde warned of slower growth risks. Speaking to European lawmakers, she said a proposed 25% U.S. tariff on EU goods could cut eurozone growth by 0.3 percentage points in the first year, or 0.5 points if the EU retaliates. Lagarde added that the main impact would be front-loaded, with limited inflation pressures, suggesting the ECB is unlikely to raise rates in response. Key resistance is at 1.0860, followed by 1.0950 and 1.1000. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0670. 
by ChartMage
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to the support area at 1.07279.Dear colleagues, price is still in an uptrend, but wave “5” is often unpredictable, so I do not recommend buying. I will look out for short positions. I believe that the price can renew the high and reach the area of 1.10000 or even a little higher, but I will place pending limit orders to sell. Or the price will immediately start a downward movement. The target is the support area at 1.07279. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Short
by Hellena_Trade
24
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 21, 2025 EURUSDFederal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell downplayed the danger to the economy from US President Donald Trump's tariff threats, which seem to exist in a quantum state where they both exist and don't exist at the same time. According to Fed Chairman Powell, downside risks have certainly increased thanks to repeated tariff threats, but Fed policymakers continue to insist that US economic data remains strong, albeit off recent highs. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's (Fed) manufacturing activity survey for March fell to 12.5 m/m, down from the previous reading of 18.1 and down for the second month in a row, but held the brakes and fell less than the median market forecast of 8.5. US weekly initial jobless claims also rose less than expected at 223,000 new jobless claimants, up from 220,000 the previous week. Investors had expected the figure to be 224k. Sales of existing homes in the US also rose by almost a third of a million transactions more than expected, rising to 4.26 million units in February from a revised January figure of 4.09 million. Market watchers had expected a slight slowdown to 3.95 million. With little in the way of economic data on Friday, investors will have a week's worth of events to digest. Traders will also keep an eye on any social media developments from President Trump. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0850, SL 1.0930, TP 1.0760
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD 4H Trading Plan: Buy Setup & Target Projection📊 EUR/USD 4H Analysis 🔵 Support Zone (1.07584 - 1.0800) 🔵 📌 Expected Reversal Area – Buyers might step in here. ⚠️ Stop-Loss Below ❌ (If price breaks lower, trade is invalid). 🟦 Resistance Zone (~1.0875 - 1.0900) 🟦 📌 First Hurdle – Price may face resistance here before moving higher. 🎯 Target Point: 1.10229 🎯 ✅ Final Take-Profit Level – If price reaches here, trade is successful! 📉 Plan: 🔻 Expect a drop into support first… 🔄 Bullish reversal from support… 🚀 Uptrend toward 1.10229! 🔴 Stop-Loss Below 1.07584 (🚫 Safety Net). 🟢 Entry Around Support Zone (✅ Buy Opportunity). 🔵 Exit at Target Point (1.10229) (💰 Profit Zone). 📝 Final Thought: If the price respects the support zone 🟢, a BUY trade is valid. If it breaks lower 🔴, it's best to step out! 🚀
by Jameshead007
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price may make a bearish reversal off our sell entry level at 1.0874, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 1.0782, a swing low support. The stop loss is set at 1.0953, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
Short
by FXCM
EURUSD Sell Position - 21 March 2025 Hello everyone, dzhvush here ! I am looking for selling position on FOREXCOM:EURUSD chart. I think we will close the price below the LL level. At 05:00 AM (GMT -4), we have current account new for Euro. I am waiting that the price is going up in Asia Range.Then at London Range, waiting for taken liquidity. Notes for me being better trader: You don't need to look the chart every single minute. You are doing well, just keep in simple and no reaction. Believe See you next week ! Best Regards dzhvush
Short
by dzhvush
2
EUR, setting up for another MASSIVE rise from 1.085... SEED NOW!TRADE SEED SIGNAL: FX LONG EURUSD. EU doing some familiar dance steps. It did the same thing before the huge run up from 1.04 season before it tap 1.09 zone (+500 pips). Now EU is doing the same formation again for that next massive RISE.. I call this the 1-2 punch signal, when this show -- some wonderful things is about to transpire. We are at the elusive basing zone now. A rare opportunity to Seed at the current discounted range. Spotted at 1.0850 Interim at 1.11 / 1.12. TAYOR. Trade safely.
Long
by JSAL
16
Looking for shorts on EUR/USD on pullback from previous EU seshLooking for a retrace, new liq. sweep that will make an nice order block then enter on BOS confirmation. These confluences will give a solid short position with a nice 2R with a good stop buffer and previous session highs. This draw down is result of bad EU news and the US not cutting the interest rates just yet leading to a strong dollar. These shorts will probably not take out the full move on EUR/USD but this pull back and short is highly likely to play out with the end of the week near. Comment below what you think.
Short
by jasonrraynor
Bearish reversal?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0871 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.0911 Why we like it:" There is an overlap resistance level. Take profit: 1.0809 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD Bulls Eyeing FOMC–Will Powell’s Dovish Tone Fuel a Rally?As we approach the much-anticipated FOMC rate decision and Powell’s press conference , market sentiment is shifting, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) traders are closely watching for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next move . With recent economic data pointing to signs of slowing growth and cooling inflation, the Fed might adopt a more dovish tone , fueling further upside for EURUSD . Key Factors Driving the Bullish Outlook : Inflation & Economic Data : CPI and PPI data indicate a gradual cooling of inflation, which strengthens the case for a potential rate cut later this year. If Powell acknowledges this shift, it could weigh on the dollar. Market Pricing of Rate Cuts : Investors are already pricing in multiple Fed rate cuts for 2024. A dovish Powell could accelerate these expectations, weakening USD and pushing the EURUSD higher. ------------------------------------------------------------------ Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 2-hour time frame . EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) and Yearly Resistance(1) . Regarding Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is the Double Three Correction(WXY) . The main wave 5 is likely to complete near the upper line of the ascending channel(possible) and Monthly Resistance(4) . I expect EURUSD to rise in the coming hours to the targets I have indicated on the chart, although the Federal Reserve Conference could create long shadows , but I think the supply and demand zones will still work but still pay more attention to money management today . Note: If EURUSD can break below the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , there is a possibility of further decline in EURUSD. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
3
EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Breakdown Setup1. Market Structure & Trend The EUR/USD chart shows a previous uptrend, confirmed by the ascending trendline, where the price made higher highs and higher lows. However, the trendline has now been broken, signaling a potential shift in market direction. The price is currently retracing from a key resistance zone, and a possible bearish continuation is expected. 2. Key Levels & Zones ✅ Resistance Zone (1.09563 - 1.1000): This blue-shaded area represents a strong resistance level, where sellers have stepped in multiple times. Price previously attempted to break this level but failed, forming a rejection. This suggests buyers are losing strength, and sellers are likely to dominate. ✅ Support Level (1.0800 - 1.0780): A critical support zone, which acted as a demand area in the past. If price breaks below this level with strong bearish momentum, it confirms a trend reversal. ✅ Target Level (1.06870): The next major downside target aligns with previous market structure and liquidity zones. This area marks a key demand zone, where buyers might step in again. 3. Trade Setup & Execution Plan 🔹 Entry Strategy A sell entry is ideal on a confirmed break and retest of the support zone at 1.0800. If price retests this level and forms bearish rejection candles (such as pin bars or engulfing patterns), it strengthens the bearish bias. 🔹 Stop Loss & Risk Management A stop loss should be placed above the resistance zone at 1.09563, ensuring a safe exit if the market reverses bullish. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Entry: Below 1.0800 (after confirmation). Stop Loss: Above 1.09563 (resistance zone). Target: 1.06870 (support zone). RRR: Around 1:3, meaning potential profit is three times the risk. 4. Confirmation Indicators & Confluences ✅ Bearish Trendline Break: The ascending trendline has been broken, confirming a possible shift in trend. ✅ Support Flip: If the price breaks support and retests it as resistance, it confirms bearish continuation. ✅ Price Action Candlestick Patterns: Look for bearish engulfing candles, pin bars, or rejection wicks at key levels. ✅ Volume Analysis: Increased selling pressure after support break indicates strong bearish momentum. 5. Final Thoughts & Bias 📉 Bias: Bearish (Unless resistance is reclaimed). 💡 Key Watch: Break and retest of 1.0800 support for confirmation. ⚠️ Risk Management: Always use a stop loss to manage risk effectively. Conclusion This setup presents a high-probability short trade with a clear entry, stop loss, and target. Traders should wait for confirmation signals before executing the trade. If price breaks above resistance, the bearish outlook is invalidated. 🔔 Stay cautious and trade with discipline! 🚀
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? After a strong bullish rally, EURUSD has now reached the resistance zone. As expected, the price has started to pull back from this resistance level. We anticipate the correction to continue toward the specified level before the price resumes its upward movement. The pair remains in an overall uptrend, and these pullbacks could present buying opportunities within the trend. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
13
EUR | USD THE DOLLAR SHAKES, THE EURO DANCES with PipGuardEUR | USD THE DOLLAR SHAKES, THE EURO DANCES with PipGuard IF YOU LIKE MY ANALYSIS, CONGRATS, YOU’RE SMART. NOW HIT THAT FOLLOW BUTTON, DROP A BOOST, AND LEAVE A COMMENT. Come on, don’t be shy, those buttons won’t wear out. Support free and independent analysis, because if you want me to keep dropping these market gems, you gotta show some love. Otherwise, you’ll see me opening a shaved ice stand. 🍧 GOOD MORNING, DEAR NON-FRIENDS! Yeah, because if you were my friends, we’d be throwing death stares at each other by the coffee machine every time someone dared to question my analysis. But instead, here I am—calm, composed, and totally not petty. Today, we’re talking about EUR/USD. But first, a challenge: SHOW ME ANOTHER ANALYSIS FROM NOVEMBER THAT'S STILL ACCURATE TODAY. Go check the related article. Do yourself a favor, so maybe you’ll stop busting my chops at the coffee machine. Oh, by the way, got a spare euro? No? Alright, no analysis for you. Just kidding, just kidding. I know you’re smart, humble, and definitely not thin-skinned… or at least, I hope so, otherwise, get ready for another lawsuit. Anyway, let’s be clear—my analysis is NOT financial advice. No, you don’t need to mortgage your house and bet it all. Also, let’s be real, you don’t even have one! 😆 LET’S GET TO THE POINT. Back in November, I called the U.S. recession. Guess who didn’t call me? Bloomberg. Guess who did? An investment fund. And guess how it went? Badly. My spoken English is worse than a drunk tourist trying to order a beer in a London pub, so I panicked and hung up. 📞❌ Unless you want to talk money 💰 or women 💃, don’t call me. Write me. But again—only for money or women, not for emotional support. I’m not your therapist. EUROPE, REARMAMENT, AND THE CIRCUS OF POWER. Same old show: The tall blond guy with the orange face? Check. The bald dude in the tie? Still there. The political circus? In full swing. 🎭 But let’s cut to the chase: if you’re in the Eurozone, BUY A HOUSE. I did— 180K for 122 square meters of prime real estate. Solid deal. And why? Because the euro is set to rise. 📈 Because Russia is in an economic lockdown. Because when sanctions lift, we’ll likely see a mini Russian market collapse. And the dollar? The U.S. is reliving 2008, but this time, it’s even dumber. What’s different? Instead of subprime mortgages, now it’s credit card debt spiraling out of control. Yes, you heard me. Americans are sinking their economy with loans for iPhones, 85-inch TVs, and vacations to Hawaii. And banks? “No worries, the debt is under control.” Oh yeah? So if you’re 100K in debt for a house, that’s a crisis, but if you blow 100K on home decor and luxury junk, that’s fine? Make it make sense. But who cares—I’m Italian, I eat pasta for breakfast. 🍝 Their problem, not mine. NOW, THE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS. Trend is BULLISH, get that in your head. Look for long setups, not shorts. If you must short, do it only for retracements. Reversal zone: 1.082 – 1.095. If it closes above, we keep going up. Watch out for liquidity between 1.099 and 1.10. If price gets there, look for a key level on the 4H. If it reacts bearish, wait for confirmation before shorting. If it closes above, we send it to 1.21. Other key support levels: 1.076 – 1.062, solid area for bullish reaction. If that’s not enough, 1.060 – 1.052 is the ultimate buy zone. If you mess up, toss your PC. 💻🔥 Kidding. Hold on tight, because price is going up from there. IF MY ANALYSIS HELPED YOU, HIT FOLLOW, DROP A BOOST, LEAVE A COMMENT. Or else… I’ll have to come find you. Much love, PipGuard.
Long
by PipGuard
EURUSD DROPPING ?? OR THIS IS JUST RETESTING EUR/USD has recently experienced a bearish rising wedge breakout, a pattern that typically signals a potential downtrend reversal. Currently, the pair is undergoing a retest phase, a common occurrence where the price revisits the broken support level before resuming its downward trajectory. This phase is crucial for traders as it often determines whether the breakout was genuine or if price action will invalidate the move. As of March 20, 2025, the EUR/USD is trading around 1.085, with a target price set at 1.070. The retest phase offers traders an opportunity to enter short positions, anticipating further declines toward the target. It's essential to monitor key support levels during this period, particularly around 1.0767, where buyers have previously stepped in. A strong rejection from this level could accelerate bearish momentum, pushing the pair lower in alignment with the breakout pattern. Fundamental factors are also shaping the current market sentiment. The recent FOMC decision to maintain interest rates has kept the U.S. dollar in a relatively strong position, while the European Central Bank has taken a more cautious approach regarding rate cuts. This divergence in monetary policy between the Fed and ECB may add further pressure on the euro, making the bearish setup more compelling. Additionally, any unexpected macroeconomic data releases, such as U.S. inflation numbers or Eurozone GDP data, could further influence price action. Traders should closely watch for confirmation signals during the retest phase, such as bearish rejection candles or increased selling volume. Implementing proper risk management strategies, such as stop-loss placement above the broken support level, is crucial to navigating potential reversals. If the bearish momentum continues as expected, EUR/USD could hit the 1.070 target in the coming sessions, providing a profitable short trade opportunity.
Short
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
7
EURUSD Consolidates; Watch for a Bearish Pullback After a strong bullish run, EURUSD has shifted into a sideways phase. The double‐tap near 1.0950 hints at fading upward momentum. Multiple quick breakouts above and below the 200‐period moving average confirm choppy market conditions. However, the short‐term technical bias suggests a push lower toward the 1.0840 zone—about 60+ pips from current levels—before the pair finds firmer support. (This is a technical view, not financial advice. Always manage risk accordingly.)
Short
by ClearTradingMind
eurusd h4 pullback in progress buy dips target 1150🏆 eurusd Market Update 📊 Technical Outlook 🔸Mid-term: BEARISH OUTLOOK 🔸Status: pullback in progress 🔸Hit resistance at 0950 🔸0650/0660 normal pullback 🔸300 pullback off the recent highs 🔸BULLS still maintain control 🔸Price Target Bears: 0650/0660 🔸Price Target BULLS: 1100/1150 📊🔥 Latest EUR/USD & Fed Update 🛑 Federal Reserve Decision: 🏦 Fed Holds Rates Steady – No rate cuts yet, citing economic uncertainty. 📉⚖️ 📊 Growth Forecasts Lowered – 2025 GDP outlook down to 1.7% as trade tensions weigh on the economy. 🌍📉 💸 Inflation Expectations Rise – Now at 2.7%, signaling persistent price pressures. 🔥💰 💱 EUR/USD Market Reaction: 💹 EUR/USD Steady at 1.0900 – Traders await ECB President Lagarde’s speech for further direction. 🏦🇪🇺 📉 USD Under Pressure – DXY drops to 103.40, as declining yields weaken the dollar. 💵🔻 📊 Market Cautious – Investors eye ECB policies & Fed rate-cut expectations for next moves. 🔍
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
36