Eurusd is still bullish This EUR/USD daily chart from FXCM suggests a bullish breakout following a well-formed rounded bottom pattern.
Key Observations:
Rounded Bottom Formation: This pattern, marked with multiple lows (highlighted in orange circles), signals a gradual trend reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken above the rounded resistance, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Projected Price Movement: The hand-drawn path suggests further upside, with possible retests before continuing higher.
Volume Profile: Increased activity around the 1.0900 level suggests strong support, with potential resistance near 1.1200 - 1.1400.
Conclusion:
This setup indicates a bullish continuation, but confirmation through sustained volume and price action above resistance is crucial.
Eurusd-4
USD/CAD: Rebound Above 1.4265 or Imminent Drop?📊 Market Context
The USD/CAD exchange rate has shown recent volatility with a significant surge followed by a retracement phase. The market is reacting to expectations regarding decisions from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada (BoC), as well as fluctuations in oil prices, a key factor for the Canadian dollar.
🔍 Technical Analysis
The chart analysis highlights the following key levels:
Main Resistance: 1.4521 → Located in the upper zone of the chart, this level could act as a barrier to further bullish movements.
Key Supports: 1.4333 - 1.4265 - 1.4239 → These levels have previously acted as bounce points and could provide a base for price recovery.
Market Structure: The price reacted with a strong green candle after testing the lower support area, followed by a correction phase.
Bullish Momentum: If the price holds above 1.4265, it could attempt another push towards 1.4521.
📌 Potential Bullish Scenario: If the price remains above 1.4265, we could see another push towards 1.45 and beyond.
📌 Bearish Scenario: A break below 1.4239 could trigger a sharper decline towards the 1.41 - 1.40 range.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis
Federal Reserve: The Fed is assessing the impact of its monetary policies, with markets speculating on a potential rate cut by mid-year.
Bank of Canada: The BoC maintains a cautious approach, monitoring inflation and the labor market.
Oil Prices: The CAD is correlated with oil prices, so an increase in crude oil could strengthen the Canadian dollar and push USD/CAD lower.
🎯 Conclusion
Main Bias: Bullish above 1.4265, targeting 1.45.
Trend Invalidation: Below 1.4239, a potential downward correction could occur.
EURUSD: Big Bearish Divergence on 4H.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.538, MACD = -0.013, ADX = 29.911) but just crossed under the 4H MA50 for the first time since the March 3rd 2025 breakout when the parabolic rally started. The strongest sell signal is nonetheless given by the 4H RSI which, while the price is on a Channel Up, it has been on a Channel Down, i.e. a Bearish Divergence. The previous time an uptrend broke below its 4H MA50 on the same RSI Bearish Divergence was on the September 30th 2024 High. The result was a strong bearish breakdown to the S1 level. Consequently, we can turn bearish here and aim a little higher than S1 (TP = 1.0400).
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EURUSD Sell and Buy Trading PlanH4 - We had a strong bullish move with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure
This strong bullish move ended with a bearish Divergence
While measuring this strong bullish move using the Fibonacci retracement tool we have two key support zones that has formed (marked in green)
So based on this I expect potential short term bearish moves now towards the key support zones and then potential continuation higher.
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EUR/USD Bullish Trade Idea – 15M Timeframe
🔹 Entry: 1.09074
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.08901
🔹 Take Profit: 1.09616
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~3:1
Analysis:
✅ Demand Zone Rejection – Price has bounced from a strong support level, indicating buyers stepping in.
✅ Bullish Momentum – Market structure shows signs of higher lows forming.
✅ Targeting Supply Zone – TP is set near the 1.09616 supply zone, where sellers might react.
✅ Confluence with News Events – Upcoming USD news could provide volatility in favor of the move.
📊 Plan:
🚀 Enter long at 1.09074 after confirmation.
⚠️ Stop loss is placed below the recent support to minimize risk.
🎯 Take profit is set near resistance to maximize gains.
📢 Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
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EURUSD Will Go Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.089.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.078 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD Chart Pattern Analysis (1H Timeframe) – Bearish SetupThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a compelling bearish setup, characterized by a rejection from a key resistance zone, a weakening support level, and a potential trendline breakdown. These technical elements suggest an increased probability of downward movement if bearish momentum persists.
Key Technical Components:
Resistance Rejection & Selling Pressure:
The price action tested a well-defined resistance zone, which aligns with previous swing highs.
A rejection from this level indicates that sellers have stepped in, preventing further upside movement.
This area serves as a supply zone, reinforcing a bearish outlook as long as price remains below it.
Support Level at Risk of Breakdown:
The market is currently testing a support zone, which has previously acted as a demand area.
A break below this support would confirm increased selling pressure, likely triggering a more significant decline.
The support level is structurally weak, as the price has already tested it multiple times, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown.
Ascending Trendline Violation:
The ascending trendline has been a key dynamic support for the recent uptrend.
If the price breaks below this trendline with strong volume, it would signify a potential trend reversal, shifting market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
A confirmed breakdown would further validate the bearish continuation scenario.
Sell Stop Placement & Profit Targets:
A Sell Stop order is positioned below the support zone to capture a breakdown trade.
The first Take Profit (TP1) is set at 1.08312, a level that has historically acted as support and resistance.
The second Take Profit (TP2) is placed at 1.07659, representing a more extended bearish move toward the next major demand zone.
Conclusion & Trading Strategy:
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the support level and ascending trendline, it could trigger a sell-off, leading to a potential downside move toward TP1 and TP2.
Bullish Rebound Possibility: If the support level holds and buyers regain control, the price may attempt to retest the resistance zone. However, the bearish structure remains dominant unless the price breaks above resistance.
Final Outlook:
Traders should closely monitor price action at the support and trendline intersection. A confirmed breakdown below these levels, preferably with increased volume, would reinforce the bearish outlook. Proper risk management and stop-loss placement above the resistance zone are recommended to mitigate potential reversals.
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EUR/USD Dips as US Dollar Gains Ahead of Fed DecisionAs I write this article during the European session on Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair has slipped below the 1.09035 mark, following its recent ascent to a five-month peak of approximately 1.0955 just a day earlier. The decline in this prominent currency pair can be attributed to the strengthened performance of the US Dollar (USD) in anticipation of the upcoming interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the Greenback's value against a basket of six major currencies, has surged to around 103.70 after previously touching a five-month low of about 103.20 on Tuesday. From a technical standpoint, the price has approached our Supply area, prompting us to anticipate a retest of the entry point for a potential 2X trade opportunity.
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GOLD market Update: BUY DIPS 2990 USD TP 3100 USD🏆 Gold Market Update / Wednesday
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Bullish OUTLOOK
🔸5 waves Bullish Sequence on H1
🔸2846/2930 w1, 2930/2887 w2, 2887/3045 w3
🔸3045-3055/2980-2990 wave 4 pullback now
🔸2980-2990/3100 - final wave 5 pump
🔸Recommend to BUY DIPS 2980/2990 USD
🔸Price Target BULLS: 3100 USD in Wave5
🏆🔥 Latest Gold Market Update – March 2025 🔥🏆
🚀 Gold Prices Hit New Highs!
💰 Gold Breaks $3,040+ – Soaring to record levels as investors seek safe-haven assets. 🏦✨📈
📊 Analysts Raise Targets – UBS forecasts $3,200 by June amid strong bullish momentum. 🔮💎
🌎 Key Market Drivers:
⚠️ Geopolitical Tensions Rising – Middle East conflicts fuel gold’s safe-haven appeal. 🌍🔥
📉 Stock Market Volatility – Investors flee equities, boosting gold demand. 📊📢
EUR/USD Analysis (4H & Weekly)Price broke liquidity above D candle → Now expected to drop to 4H FVG.
Waiting for 4H confirmation before entering a sell:
Break & Retest of key level.
Formation of FVG and retest.
Market Structure Break (MSB) in lower timeframe (15min).
Targets:
First: FVG Weekly Mitigation
SELL EURUSDGreetings to you all, in todays session we are monitoring EURUSD for a potential pullback from the highs of 1.0923 level. Our stops will be at 1.09618 and 1st target at 1.0800 and 2nd target at 1.06973. Be advised DXY is bearish generally and EURUSD is bullish, this only serves as a pullback trade. Use proper risk management.
NB: This is not financial advice.
Trading Plan for the Day (March 18) | EUR/USDMarket Overview:
The EUR/USD pair is showing an upward impulse followed by a downward correction. With a higher probability of continued upward movement, the focus will be on identifying high-quality trade setups to capitalize on this idea.
🎯 Key Zones for Long Positions:
IDM (Initial Drive Momentum):
A critical support zone where price may bounce or consolidate.
If the price breaks IDM with a full-bodied candle, the path to IDM OB (Order Block) opens up.
IDM OB (Order Block):
A strong demand zone that could act as a target for long trades.
Manipulation within Order Flow (OF):
Watch for price action around the ascending order flow zone. If liquidity builds before IDM and gets swept, long positions can be considered at these levels.
📉 Alternative Scenario (Bearish Bias):
If the price drops deeper, it may target the ascending order flow zone located below PDL (Point of Demand Level).
This scenario suggests a potential retest of lower support zones before any upward continuation.
📊 Trading Plan:
Primary Focus: Monitor the interaction with IDM liquidity.
Breakout above IDM: Look for long opportunities targeting IDM OB.
Liquidity Build-Up: If price consolidates and sweeps liquidity before IDM, consider long entries at these levels.
Secondary Focus: If the price falls deeper into the ascending order flow, wait for confirmation of a reversal or consolidation before entering long trades.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Stop-loss should be placed just below the nearest key level to minimize risk.
Position size should ensure risk does not exceed 1% of the trading capital .
🎯 Note: The market is dynamic, and the current structure may evolve. I will adapt to what the chart shows and focus on high-probability setups.
📢 Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
Trading Plan for the Day (March 19) | EUR/USD
Market Overview:
According to the current market structure, we can anticipate a continuation of the upward movement. The focus will be on identifying key zones of interest for potential long trades.
🎯 Key Zones for Long Positions:
Order Block (OB):
The price is currently testing the OB zone. However, since this zone has already been mitigated, the lower boundary of the OB becomes significant.
A retest of the lower part of the OB could provide a high-probability entry point for long trades.
Liquidity Zones Below OB:
If the price moves lower, watch for liquidity grabs in these areas.
A full-bodied breakout of liquidity would open the path to the IDM OB (Initial Drive Momentum Order Block) , which will be our next target.
📉 Short Positions (Low Probability):
Short trades are less likely at this stage, as the market structure suggests upward momentum.
To consider shorts, we would need to see liquidity building above the PDH (Previous Day High) and a break in the current structure.
Until then, I will focus on long opportunities unless there is a clear shift in market dynamics.
📊 Trading Plan:
Monitor the interaction of price with the lower boundary of the OB.
Retest Scenario: Enter long if the price confirms support at the lower OB boundary.
Liquidity Grab: If price moves lower and sweeps liquidity, wait for a breakout before targeting IDM OB.
Avoid short positions unless the price builds liquidity above PDH and breaks the structure.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Place stop-loss orders just below the nearest key level for long trades.
Ensure position size does not exceed 1% of your trading capital to manage risk effectively.
📢 Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
USD/JPY Direction 151 After the BoJ📊 Market Context
As of March 18, 2025, the USD/JPY exchange rate stands around 149.38, reaching its highest level since March 5. This movement is driven by expectations regarding upcoming monetary policy decisions from both the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the U.S. Federal Reserve.
🔍 Technical Analysis
The technical analysis of USD/JPY highlights the following key points:
Current Trend: USD/JPY shows a moderate recovery, with a 0.49% increase on March 17.
Key Resistance: The area between 150.00 and 151.00 represents a significant resistance level. A decisive breakout above this zone could pave the way for further gains.
Important Supports: Support levels are found at 148.00 and 146.50. A drop below these levels could indicate a deeper correction.
Technical Indicators: Moving averages and key oscillators suggest a short-term bullish trend.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis
Several fundamental factors are influencing the USD/JPY exchange rate:
BoJ Decision: The Bank of Japan recently raised its key interest rate from 0.25% to 0.5%, citing higher wages and rising inflation. However, for today's meeting, the BoJ is expected to keep rates unchanged while assessing the impact of global trade tensions on the Japanese economy.
U.S. Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates stable in the upcoming meeting, with the Fed Funds rate projected to remain between 4.25% and 4.5%.
Trade Tensions: U.S. trade policies under the Trump administration are creating economic uncertainties, influencing central bank decisions and currency markets.
🎯 Conclusion
USD/JPY is currently in a consolidation phase near recent highs. If the BoJ maintains an accommodative monetary policy and the Fed keeps rates stable, the dollar could continue strengthening against the yen, targeting the key resistance level of 151.00. However, uncertainties related to trade tensions and future central bank actions require close monitoring by investors.
Short on EUR/USD as order block is now being formedWe have a liquidity sweep and order block forming on the upside. As we look for the break below equilibrium and a full break of structure we will short and target previous lower levels of liquidity. Keep in mind news is strong this week with FOMC on wed. and Unemployment on Thur.
EUR/USD Trade Update – Small Gain Secured!🔥 EUR/USD Trade Update – Small Gain Secured! 🔥
The price action is playing out perfectly! 📊 After a strong bullish push, we’ve locked in small gains and updated the stop-loss to secure profits.
📌 Key Levels:
✅ Current Price: 1.09308
✅ Updated SL: 1.08866 (Risk-Free ✅)
✅ Supply Zone Ahead: 1.09623
Looking for a potential breakout above 1.09600 for more upside! 🚀 Stay sharp, traders!
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #RiskManagement #SupplyZone
EURUSD Bullish Continuation Potential BUY OpportunityThe EUR/USD has been on a strong bullish run, consistently breaking key resistance levels. We have now surpassed major highs, and a potential pullback could be on the horizon. If a retracement occurs, it may present a strategic buying opportunity to align with the prevailing uptrend.
My target remains the resistance zone around 1.10000, where we could see a potential reversal. If bearish signals emerge at that level, a short position might offer a favorable setup.
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