EUR/USD Tests Key Resistance Ahead of FedEUR/USD has surged higher, reclaiming both the 50-day (1.0493) and 200-day SMA (1.0272), signaling a shift toward bullish momentum. The pair is now testing a critical resistance level at 1.0940, which previously acted as support before the late-2024 decline.
Momentum indicators confirm strong buying pressure:
📈 MACD is crossing into positive territory, indicating bullish momentum.
📊 RSI at 71.92 suggests overbought conditions, hinting at a possible near-term pullback or consolidation.
Key Levels to Watch:
📌 Support: 1.0800 (recent breakout point), 1.0700 (psychological level)
📌 Resistance: 1.0940 (current test), 1.1000 (next major target)
A break above 1.0940 could fuel a continuation higher toward 1.10, while failure at this level may trigger a pullback toward the 1.08 support zone.
-MW
Eurusd-4
EURO - Price can bounce from support line of wedge to $1.1045Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, the price declined to the $1.0475 level and broke it, after which it declined to $1.0360 points.
Then price turned around and started to grow inside the wedge, where it soon reached $1.0475 level and broke it again.
Next, Euro made a retest, after breakout and then continued to move up, and later it reached $1.0835 level.
Price has some time traded below this level, and then it broke it and reached the resistance line of wedge.
After this, EUR long time traded near $1.0835 level and not long time ago it bounced and started to grow.
In my mind, Euro can bounce from the support line and then rise to $1.1045 resistance line of the wedge pattern.
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EURUSD Bullish Breakout supported at 1.0877The EUR/USD pair exhibits bullish sentiment, underpinned by an ongoing uptrend. Recent intraday price action indicates a breakout from a sideways consolidation phase, aiming for previous resistance levels.
Key Trading Level:
1.0877: This critical level marks the previous consolidation range and acts as a pivotal point for the bullish outlook.
Bullish Scenario:
A corrective pullback to the 1.0877 level, followed by a bounce, could signal continued upward momentum. If confirmed, the next resistance targets are:
1.0950
1.1020
1.1090
Bearish Scenario:
A decisive break and daily close below 1.0877 would invalidate the bullish outlook, paving the way for a deeper correction toward:
1.0806
1.0734
Conclusion:
While the prevailing trend remains bullish, a pullback to 1.0877 could offer a potential buying opportunity, provided the level holds. Conversely, a break below it would shift focus to lower support levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EUR/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR-USD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 1.057 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the EUR/USD pair.
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Market Analysis: EUR/USD (1H Chart)The EUR/USD pair is currently consolidating following a Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment. The price action indicates a corrective phase after a strong bullish impulsive move.
Key Levels:
- Resistance: **1.09322** (target zone)
- Support: **1.08622** (H1 demand zone)
- Current Price: **1.08854**
- Market Structure & Outlook :
- The price recently formed a **BoS**, signalling a possible bullish continuation.
- There is an **order block** within the highlighted demand zone, which could act as a strong support level.
- The grey risk-reward box suggests a long position setup, with a stop-loss below **1.08622** and a target near **1.09322**.
- Trading Consideration:
- If the price retests the **H1 demand zone** and shows bullish confirmation, a long position could be favourable.
- A break below **1.08622** could invalidate the bullish bias, shifting momentum to the downside.
Overall, the market is currently at a decision point, with bullish continuation likely if key support holds.
EUR/USD Dips Amid U.S.-EU Trade TensionsEUR/USD is slightly down, hovering near 1.0915 in early Asian trading. The Euro faces pressure from rising U.S.-EU trade tensions after Trump announced new tariffs on European goods. Washington imposed duties on steel and aluminum, prompting Brussels to prepare countermeasures, while Trump threatened a 200% tariff on European wine and spirits, adding downside risks for the Euro.
However, losses may be limited by Germany’s fiscal policy shifts. The Green Party supports debt restructuring, and incoming Chancellor Friedrich Merz proposed a €500 billion infrastructure fund with borrowing rule adjustments. The measures expected to be passed this week could support the Euro.
Weak U.S. Retail Sales data also weigh on the Dollar. February sales rose just 0.2% vs. the expected 0.7%, while January’s figures were revised lower to -1.2%. Annual sales growth slowed to 3.1% from 3.9%, fueling concerns about consumer spending and offering near-term support for EUR/USD.
Key resistance is at 1.0950, followed by 1.1000 and 1.1050. Support stands at 1.0880, with further levels at 1.0800 and 1.0730.
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 18, 2025 EURUSDThe escalating trade war with further tariffs on European Union goods by US President Donald Trump is having a negative impact on the Euro (EUR).
The US has imposed tariffs on steel and aluminium, the EU has drawn up plans to retaliate, and Trump has promised to impose retaliatory 200% tariffs on European wines and spirits. Any signs of an escalation in the tariff war between the US and EU could put pressure on the euro.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has agreed to a €500bn infrastructure fund and radical changes to borrowing rules, or stretching the so-called ‘debt brake’. That should ensure the package is approved in Germany's lower house of parliament on Tuesday and in the upper house on Friday. This, in turn, could boost the common currency against the US dollar (USD) in the near term.
In addition, weaker-than-expected US retail sales data has heightened concerns about a slowdown in consumer spending. This report could put pressure on the USD and serve as a tailwind for the major pair. US retail sales rose 0.2% month-on-month in February, compared to a 1.2% drop (revised from -0.9%) in January, the US Census Bureau reported on Monday. The figure was weaker than market expectations, which had expected a 0.7% rise. On a year-over-year basis, retail sales rose 3.1% compared to 3.9% (revised from 4.2%) previously.
Trade recommendation: BUY 1.0920, SL 1.0840, TP 1.1040
EUR/USD Direction 1.10 - Technical and Fundamental Analysis📊 Market Context
As of March 18, 2025, EUR/USD is in a strong bullish expansion phase, with the price testing significant resistance levels. The US dollar remains solid, but market attention is focused on the Federal Reserve and the ECB, with expectations of more accommodative monetary policies in the coming months.
🔍 Technical Analysis
The chart analysis reveals a bullish trend with the following key points:
Main Resistance: 1.0912 - 1.10 area (potential reversal zone highlighted in red on the chart).
Key Supports: 1.0822 (former resistance now acting as support), 1.0360, and 1.0283 (deeper support levels highlighted in yellow).
Market Structure: The price has tested the monthly resistance around 1.0912 and entered a potential reversal zone where significant price reactions are expected.
Bullish Momentum: The trend shows strong bullish candles, indicating a possible continuation toward 1.10.
📌 Possible Scenario: If EUR/USD decisively breaks 1.0912 and closes above 1.10, there could be room for a further rally toward 1.12.
📌 Alternative Scenario: A rejection at resistance and a close below 1.0822 could trigger a bearish correction toward 1.0360.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis
US Data: Consumer confidence in the United States has dropped to its lowest level since November 2022, increasing the likelihood of a Fed rate cut by June.
Monetary Policy: The ECB is maintaining a more neutral stance, while the Fed may be forced to cut rates faster to support the economy.
Capital Flow: The market is anticipating US dollar weakness due to the outlook for rate cuts, supporting a possible euro appreciation.
🎯 Conclusion
Main Bias: Bullish above 1.0822, targeting 1.10 and beyond.
Trend Invalidation: Below 1.0360, the bullish trend would weaken.
EUR/USD could consolidate in this area before breaking above 1.10. The future direction will depend on upcoming central bank statements and macroeconomic data.
Nasdaq 100 (NQ1!) - Key Levels and Market Outlook 📌 Market Structure
🔹 Key Support Zone (~19,170 USD)
The price recently bounced off this level, which has acted as a significant support area.
The highlighted gray-blue zone represents a demand area where buyers stepped in.
🔹 Intermediate Resistance (~19,800 - 20,200 USD)
The price is currently testing this zone, which was previously a key breakdown area.
A strong rejection here could push the index back towards the 19,170 USD support.
🔹 Major Supply Zone (~21,500 - 22,400 USD)
The previous peak around 22,400 USD saw strong selling pressure, leading to a sharp drop.
The red-shaded area represents a heavy supply zone where sellers were dominant.
📉 Bearish Scenario
A rejection at 19,800 - 20,200 USD could lead to another retest of 19,170 USD.
A break below 19,170 USD would expose the index to further downside, possibly towards 18,500 - 18,200 USD.
📈 Bullish Scenario
A break and close above 19,800 - 20,200 USD could trigger a move towards 21,000 - 21,500 USD.
A sustained breakout above 22,400 USD would invalidate the bearish structure and signal a continuation of the uptrend.
🔎 Conclusion:
The Nasdaq is at a pivotal moment, hovering around key resistance at 19,800 - 20,200 USD.
A breakout or rejection from this zone will determine the short-term direction.
Key factors to watch include economic data, Fed policy, and overall market sentiment.
EURUSD at Key Resistance Level – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD has reached a key resistance level, marked by prior price rejections, suggesting strong selling interest. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.07400 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
EUR/USD Head & Shoulders Bearish Trade Setup### 📉 EUR/USD Head & Shoulders Bearish Trade Setup
📌 **Current Price**: 1.09150
🎯 **Target**: 1.07900
⛔ **Stop Loss (SL)**: 1.09500
📏 **Risk-Reward Ratio**: ~3.5:1
---
### 📊 **Technical Analysis**
🔹 **Head & Shoulders Pattern**: A bearish reversal pattern suggesting a potential downtrend.
🔹 **EMA 50**: Price should ideally stay below the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to confirm bearish momentum.
🔹 **Risk Management**: Keep position size in check to avoid overexposure.
---
### ⚠️ **Trading Plan**
✅ **Entry**: Below neckline confirmation around 1.09100
✅ **SL Above Right Shoulder**: 1.09500
✅ **Take Profit**: 1.07900
✅ **Monitor EMA 50**: If price moves above EMA50, reconsider trade.
EURUSD: Decision TimeEURUSD is currently trading at 1.09250, showing notable strength in recent sessions. The pair has been climbing higher, largely due to a weaker US dollar influenced by macroeconomic factors, such as recent tariff news impacting certain goods. This has put bearish pressure on the dollar, supporting the euro’s rise. However, the pair is now approaching a key resistance level around 1.0940, a level where price has historically faced rejection, suggesting potential selling interest that could pause or reverse the upward move.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 1.0940
Support: 1.0872
The short-term trend appears bullish, as the price remains above the 50-period moving average, a common indicator of momentum. Yet, with the RSI nearing overbought territory, the uptrend might be losing steam, hinting at a possible pullback or period of consolidation. Market volatility is currently low at 0.51%, which reflects a calm environment, often a sign that a breakout (up or down) could be brewing. Traders should keep an eye on the 1.0940 resistance for clues: a strong break above could signal more gains, while a rejection might send the price back toward support at 1.0872.
Trading Ideas:
Bullish Scenario: If EURUSD breaks above 1.0940 with solid volume and momentum, it could target higher levels like 1.1000. Consider entering a buy position on a confirmed breakout, with a stop-loss below the breakout point (e.g., 1.0910) to manage risk.
Pullback Opportunity: A rejection at 1.0940 could see the price drop to 1.0872 or lower. This might offer a chance to buy at support, with a stop-loss below 1.0872 to protect against a deeper decline.
Bearish Scenario: If sellers take control and push the price below 1.0872, it could signal a short-term trend shift. Shorts might target lower levels, with a stop-loss above 1.0872 to limit exposure.
Risk management is critical here, always use stop-loss orders tailored to your strategy. For longs, place stops below recent swing lows (like 1.0872 or lower), and for shorts, above recent swing highs (like 1.0940). The market can shift quickly, so stay adaptable and monitor price action closely for confirmation of your chosen setup.
EURUSD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0918
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.0894
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.091.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.094 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAU/USD: Another ATH (All Time High) Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has finally made its big move, just as we predicted! After a correction to $2905, demand increased, pushing the price up by over 400 pips to $2949.
Currently, gold is trading around $2940, and there are two key scenarios:
1️⃣ Holding support at $2940, leading to a rise above $2950 as the first target.
2️⃣ Breaking below $2940 and stabilizing under it, which could trigger a further correction to $2923.
This analysis will be more complete with your support, and more details will be added soon!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Euro Climbs on German Deal, Awaits Fitch RatingThe euro climbed toward $1.09, nearing its highest since early November, as Germany agreed on debt reform and increased spending. Chancellor-elect Friedrich Merz secured a deal with the Green and Social Democrat parties ahead of next week’s parliamentary vote.
Markets await Fitch’s rating decision on France, which is due after Friday’s close. Meanwhile, trade tensions rose as Trump threatened a 200% tariff on European wines in response to the EU’s tax on American whiskey. On geopolitics, Trump called his talks with Putin on Ukraine “very good,” expressing optimism for a resolution.
Key resistance is at 1.0950, followed by 1.1000 and 1.1050. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0650.
Be careful with EURUSD !!!The Euro will increase THREE cents and reach to the top of the wedge in the coming weeks.
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
EURUSD Head and Shoulders triggering a sell.The EURUSD pair is about to complete a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the 4H time-frame and so far it is keeping the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) intact. The last H&S formation we saw was completed on January 30 and it resulted in a -3.06% drop.
Given that the longer term pattern is a Bullish Megaphone with the H&S being on its top and the 4H RSI displaying the same Bearish Divergence it did in late January, we expect a similar pull-back to occur. Our Target is 1.06150, representing both a potential -3.06% drop and a contact with the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
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EURUSD Further Upside potentialThe EUR/USD pair continues to consolidate after experiencing strong bullish momentum. Since Tuesday, the price has primarily been moving sideways, remaining within a defined range. The market is currently positioned at a key resistance zone, yet no significant pullback was observed last week.
At this stage, the price appears likely to continue ranging before making a decisive move. An ABC pullback is in formation, and once completed, there is a strong potential for the trend to resume. A dip below last week's low is anticipated, followed by a rebound from the support level near 1.07800 and the upward trendline. The next potential target is the resistance zone around 1.10000
WHY NZDJPY IS BULLISH??? DETAILED ANALYSISNZDJPY is currently trading at 85.900, forming a descending channel pattern, signaling a potential breakout. This pattern often leads to bullish reversals, and once the price breaks above the resistance zone, we could see strong upside momentum toward the 90.000 target. A successful breakout with increased volume will confirm the bullish wave, leading to an anticipated gain of 300+ pips.
From a technical perspective, the pair is testing key resistance levels within the descending channel, and a breakout will align with major trend continuation signals. If buyers maintain control, we could see the price rally towards 87.500 first, followed by a push toward 90.000 psychological resistance. Traders should watch for confirmation signals such as strong bullish candles, RSI divergence, and volume spikes to validate the breakout.
On the fundamental side, market sentiment and risk appetite are favoring jpy pairs, with the New Zealand dollar benefiting from commodity price stability and global risk-on sentiment. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan's cautious stance on monetary tightening keeps jpy under pressure, further supporting upside potential for nzdjpy. If risk sentiment remains positive, the pair could maintain its bullish outlook, making the 90.000 target highly achievable.
GOLD H1 Update: Bullish Outlook BUY DIPS by ProjectSyndicate🏆 Gold Market Highlights (March 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Bullish OUTLOOK
🔸Broke out and set new ATH
🔸Strong UPTREND: Sequence of Higher Lows
🔸Recommend to BUY DIPS 2925/2950 USD
🔸Price Target BULLS: 3050 USD - 3100 USD
📈 Historic Milestone Achieved
🏅 Gold Futures Surpass $3,000
🔥 Gold prices hit an all-time high, closing above $3,000 ATH
🚀 Major breakout in the precious metals market!
📊 Analyst Perspectives
🔮 Continued Bullish Sentiment
📉 Both Wall Street & Main Street expect further gains beyond $3,000.
💡 Analysts see upside momentum continuing in the coming weeks.
🌍 Market Dynamics
⚡ Factors Driving the Rally
🌎 Global trade tensions & geopolitical risks pushing investors toward gold.
📌 Safe-haven demand surging amid uncertainty.
⏳ Historical Context
📜 Comparisons to the 1980 Bull Run
🔄 Parallels drawn between the current rally and the historic 1980 surge.
❓ Can gold repeat history and extend its gains even further?
🏦 Global Demand Trends
🇨🇳 China’s Record Gold ETF Inflows
📈 Massive inflows into gold ETFs in China, signaling strong demand.
💰 Jewelry demand expected to stabilize as the economy recovers.
🏦 Investor Behavior
🎯 Increased Attention Amid Uncertainty
🏛️ Investors shifting focus to gold as a hedge against economic instability.
💎 Gold’s safe-haven status reaffirmed, attracting more institutional buyers.
📢 Final Takeaway:
🔹 Gold is shining brighter than ever! 🌟
🔹 Expect volatility, but long-term outlook remains bullish. 💹
🔹 Keep an eye on key resistance & support levels. 🔍