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Eurusd-4

Euro H4 | Potential bearish reversalThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.0838 which is a swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 1.0880 which is a level that sits above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 1.0760 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EURUSD: Should I Buy?Hello everyone! Overall, EUR/USD is slightly down for the second day in a row, trading around 1.0780 on Monday morning. Looking at the daily chart, you can see that the pair is testing the upper boundary to return to the descending channel pattern. This could reinforce the bearish bias for the pair. However, there are signs of a potential bottom forming at 1.0760. Furthermore, using the Fibonacci retracement of the first wave, if the rally continues, the next recovery points for EURUSD would be 0.382 (price level 1.085) - 0.618 (price level 1.093) - 0.5 (price level 1.098).
Long
by Bentradegold
EUR/USD: Pullback Before the Big Drop?The EUR/USD exchange rate remains stable around 1.0790 during early Asian trading on Monday, yet it faces potential downside pressure due to rising expectations of a less dovish stance from the Federal Reserve. Recent encouraging economic data from the United States has fueled these expectations, suggesting the Fed may adopt a more stringent policy in November, which could strengthen the dollar. From a technical perspective, EUR/USD has broken out of its descending regression channel, stabilizing above the upper line. On the downside, support levels are seen at 1.0800 and 1.0750. Last Thursday, EUR/USD displayed some resilience, benefiting from improved market sentiment and a dip in U.S. Treasury yields, leading to a temporary softening of the dollar. However, the pair remains at a crossroads, awaiting fresh cues from the economic calendar, such as U.S. durable goods orders data, which is expected to show a 1% decline. A stronger-than-expected figure could boost the dollar, while a more significant drop might weaken it, though the effect on EUR/USD could be short-lived. The neutral stance in U.S. index futures partly reflects broader uncertainty, leaving open the possibility that shifts in risk sentiment could impact the dollar; a continuation of risk flows favoring safer assets might keep the USD under pressure. Good trading day!
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
EURUSD Continues Strong DowntrendEURUSD remains firmly in a downtrend as critical technical factors and resistance levels signal persistent selling pressure. According to the chart, EURUSD is currently hovering around 1.07936 USD, with key resistance zones hindering any recovery attempts. Technical Analysis Strong Resistance at Fibonacci 0.5 - 0.618: The Fibonacci retracement levels at 1.08128 - 1.08068 USD form a crucial resistance zone. The price encountered heavy selling pressure here, unable to break through to the upside. Downtrend Confirmed by EMA: The Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) indicate a bearish trend, with the price staying below these levels. This reinforces the dominance of selling pressure in the market. Support Level at 1.07607 USD: Should the downtrend persist, EURUSD is likely to target the next support level at 1.07607 USD. This area may attract buying interest but is unlikely to reverse the overall trend. Short-Term Forecast Given the strong resistance and EMA signals, EURUSD is expected to continue its downward momentum. Traders might consider a selling strategy if the price faces resistance around the Fibonacci levels, with a take-profit target near the 1.07607 USD support.
Short
by Pierce_Bowers
Bullish bounce for the Fiber?The price is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0774 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Stop loss: 1.0719 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 1.0837 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD 27/10/24EUR/USD has shown a continuous downward movement this week, which aligns with the institutional trend we discussed last week. Although there was a brief push above the recent high, there is a chance for the price to move slightly higher before resuming its path. We’ve highlighted key areas of interest. One is a supply zone where we expect the price to react, potentially targeting liquidity to the left. Additionally, there is a potential reaction point at the previous high, along with a liquidity target below. Our short-term bias is bullish, but we maintain a long-term bearish outlook, as we have for the past month. Keep an eye on fundamentals, and avoid buying in this market since the overall trend is still downward. Remember to follow the "Keep It Simple" approach, and only take trades with a clear entry signal. Trade safe and always stick to your plan.
by rosshayes
EURUSD - Daily analysis - Downtrend is over, pay attention to geEURUSD - Daily analysis - Downtrend is over, pay attention to geopolitics. As the elections in the United States approach, we increasingly begin to pay attention to geopolitics, which affects the currency markets, and especially the dollar, at the expense of technical and fundamental analysis. In reality, only one working week remains until the all-important elections, where the world decides which way it will go next. Escalation of the two major conflicts into full-scale wars is a completely possible scenario. This would affect the United States depending on how involved the US would be. A further escalation of the wars could strengthen the dollar as US industry would produce more of the real good - weapons, as opposed to peace, where services are the driving force of the US economy. We expect new developments in the last days of the campaign, be it new attacks against Trump or escalation in the Middle East, after another batch of missile attacks against Tehran (Iran). On Monday, we don't really have any important data for the United States or Europe. On Tuesday we expect data on Consumer Confidence, Housing Price Index and JOLTS Job Openings. Big expectations for fundamental news from the United States are expected in the second half of the week, with the important Nonfarm Payrolls (Oct) report at the end. Expectations for Nonfarm Payrolls (Oct) are for a sharp decline in the numbers to weaker jobs data. That is why the dollar stopped the EURUSD downward trend in the last almost month. Thus, from the great growth of the dollar (EURUSD) from 1.12 at the end of September, to 1.0761 on October 23, 2024. This trend ended in the 43rd week of this year (the last week) to pass into expectations of a decline in the dollar and return to levels above 1.08. Thus, the downtrend is over and a break below 1.0760 is unlikely until at least Friday. Use the moment to trade in a neutral trend with a move of 25-40 pips or an uptrend in anticipation of levels above 1.0860. Let's also mention the BRICS meeting, which leaves the Dollar as the leading world currency in international payments for now, but more and more the Dollar will give way to the power of China, Russia and the rest of the world.
by World-Signals
EURUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Long
by ShahedZare
EURUSD Sellas we were bearish last week and now still this week too we are bearish although we have NFP pending this week if data goes into favor we will have a rally downwards and profits will be taken we have some bearish confluences over the pair which are lined up as Confluence EUR vs Dollar is in bearish trend from Monthly to weekly to daily to H4 to H1 we are all bearish the pair is making Lower highs and Lower low formation from last week and has completed its retracment and am waiting for BOS only we will go bearish over it Geo politics is also a factor for EUR to be bearish All currencies are affectee of this Situation we will be bearish this week and let the price play if any change in price character is seen i will be mentioning that into my analysis
Short
by Wakeel_Saab
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.079. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.068 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
How to avoid being emotional in trading?Avoiding emotional trading is a key skill in successful investing and trading, as it helps minimize impulsive decisions that can lead to losses. Here are some strategies and insights to help maintain a disciplined approach to trading and avoid being swayed by emotions like fear, greed, or overconfidence: 🔸 Create and Stick to a Trading Plan ▪️Set Clear Goals: Define your profit goals, risk tolerance, and entry/exit points in advance. ▪️Follow Predefined Rules: A trading plan provides structure, guiding you to make logical decisions rather than impulsive ones. ▪️Limit Exposure: Decide on position sizes beforehand to avoid overcommitting and feeling compelled to make irrational moves if markets turn volatile. 🔸 Use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Orders ▪️Automate Exit Points: Setting up stop-loss and take-profit orders allows you to exit trades at predefined points, limiting the need to make quick, emotion-driven decisions during market fluctuations. ▪️Reduce Monitoring: Knowing your trades will automatically exit at specific points reduces the need for constant checking, which can often lead to stress and emotional reactivity. 🔸 Practice Patience and Avoid Overtrading ▪️Avoid Excessive Monitoring: Watching the market closely can lead to impulsive reactions to small fluctuations. Stick to reviewing your trades periodically rather than minute-by-minute. ▪️Limit Trade Frequency: Overtrading, driven by the need to “make back” losses or maximize gains, often leads to poorly thought-out decisions. Trade only when your trading plan calls for it. 🔸 Develop a Balanced Mindset ▪️Stay Neutral to Wins and Losses: Emotional attachment to individual trades can make it harder to accept losses and lead to revenge trading, where you try to make up losses through risky moves. ▪️Accept Losses as Part of the Process: Even the best traders face losses. Accepting this and moving on helps maintain perspective and discipline, which are essential for long-term success. 🔸 Utilize Data and Analysis Over Intuition ▪️Focus on Objective Indicators: Base decisions on data, such as price charts, moving averages, and technical indicators, rather than “gut feelings.” ▪️Avoid Confirmation Bias: Seeking only information that supports your existing beliefs can lead to one-sided and often poor decisions. Stay open to all relevant information. 🔸 Take Breaks and Manage Stress ▪️Step Away After a Major Loss or Win: Strong emotional responses often follow big losses or gains. Taking a break gives you time to reset your mindset before your next trade. ▪️Practice Relaxation Techniques: Techniques like deep breathing, meditation, or even short exercises can reduce stress and improve focus, reducing emotional reactions. 🔸 Build Self-Awareness ▪️Reflect on Your Emotions: Keeping a trading journal can help you understand emotional triggers and patterns in your decision-making. ▪️Work with a Trading Coach or Join a Community: Having accountability, whether through a mentor or a trading group, can help you stay grounded and receive objective feedback on your trading behavior. 🔸 Set Realistic Expectations ▪️Don’t Chase Unrealistic Returns: Expecting massive returns can lead to risky, emotion-fueled decisions. Focus on sustainable, gradual growth. ▪️Acknowledge Market Unpredictability: Markets are often unpredictable, and not every trade will go as planned. Accepting this helps lower emotional stakes with each trade. 🔸 Consider Using Algorithmic or Automated Trading ▪️Remove Emotion from Execution: Algorithmic trading allows traders to set parameters and let algorithms execute trades, effectively reducing emotional interference. ▪️Define Rules for Entry and Exit: Predefined rules, when followed strictly by algorithms, allow for a structured and emotion-free approach to trading. Adopting these practices helps build discipline, patience, and resilience, which are essential for minimizing the negative impact of emotional trading on your overall financial success.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
25
"EUR/USD Approaching Critical Support1. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance: The price has previously faced resistance near 1.10409 and 1.09127 (marked by horizontal purple lines). The recent peak suggests that 1.10409 is a strong resistance level where sellers may exert pressure. Support: The price has bounced around the 1.07532 level, which acts as a key support zone. This level aligns with the trendline support, making it a crucial area for potential bullish reversals. 2. Descending Triangle Pattern The chart shows a descending triangle pattern, formed by the downward-sloping resistance line and the trendline support. This setup typically indicates bearish momentum, where a breakdown below the support could lead to further downside movement. 3. Moving Averages Multiple moving averages (e.g., 20, 50, and 100-day) are visible, showing a recent bearish crossover. The price currently trades below these averages, hinting at continued bearish sentiment. 4. Volume Analysis Recent volume bars suggest higher selling pressure, especially as the price approaches the support region. Increased volume during a breakdown could confirm further bearish action. 5. Potential Scenarios Bearish Breakdown: A close below the 1.07532 level, accompanied by strong volume, could lead to a continuation of the downtrend, possibly targeting the next support zone around 1.06500. Bullish Reversal : If buyers step in at 1.07532 and the price rebounds, a move towards 1.09127 could be possible. Summary This EUR/USD chart hints at a bearish bias as it approaches a significant support level. Traders may look for a confirmation of direction, as a breakdown could signal further declines, while a reversal at support might lead to a short-term rally. Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes and not financial advice.
by AngshumanSaikia
EUR | USD | GBP Weekly Forecast Oct. 28: SELL EU & GU!In this video, we will view the markets through ICT Concepts, focusing on the USD, the EURO, and the GBP. The retracement in the USD Index is overdue and pending... but not yet! There is still room to the upside, which means EURUSD and GBPUSD will likely be BEARISH, as the USD is stronger than both at this time. Look for the FVGs to hold price or fail, and let them guide you. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6B1!Short
by RT_Money
AI Algo Trading Intro/OverviewAI ALGO TRADING INTRO/OVERVIEW 🔹AI algorithmic trading, often referred to as AI algo trading, is a sophisticated approach to financial trading that uses artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms to make trading decisions. It combines finance, statistics, and computer science to analyze vast amounts of data and execute trades in real-time, often at speeds impossible for human traders. Here's a closer look at how it works, its benefits, and the key components: 1. How AI Algo Trading Works AI algo trading employs machine learning, deep learning, and other advanced data analysis techniques to create models that can predict stock prices or detect trading patterns. These AI models are designed to identify patterns or anomalies in historical and real-time data, which helps them make predictions about price movements. The algorithms can process huge datasets from multiple sources, including stock prices, news, sentiment data from social media, and even macroeconomic indicators. Typical steps involved in AI algo trading include: 🔹Data Collection: Gathering historical price data, technical indicators, financial reports, and alternative data (e.g., news, social media sentiment). Model Training: Training machine learning models on historical data to predict asset price movements or specific trading signals. 🔹Backtesting: Testing the model on historical data to see how it would have performed in the past, adjusting for any biases or errors. 🔹Execution: Implementing the model in live markets to execute trades automatically when certain conditions are met. 2. Key Components of AI Algo Trading Several key components work together in AI-driven trading systems, including: 🔹Data Management: Collecting, cleaning, and storing large volumes of financial and alternative data. 🔹Feature Engineering: Selecting or creating specific data features that improve the model's accuracy, such as moving averages, volatility measures, or sentiment scores. 🔹Machine Learning Models: Models like neural networks, decision trees, or support vector machines (SVMs) are common in AI trading. More advanced models use deep learning and reinforcement learning. 🔹Risk Management: Ensuring trades meet certain risk parameters to prevent excessive losses. Many AI algorithms have built-in risk management measures, like stop-loss limits or position size restrictions. 🔹Execution Algorithms: After generating trade signals, execution algorithms place trades in the market. These can include smart order routing and algorithms for optimizing trade timing. 3. Advantages of AI Algo Trading 🔹Speed and Efficiency: AI algorithms can execute trades within milliseconds, reacting instantly to market movements. 🔹Data-Driven Decisions: AI algo trading relies on empirical data rather than emotions, leading to potentially more consistent decision-making. 🔹Pattern Recognition: Advanced AI models can identify complex patterns in large datasets, uncovering trading opportunities that may be invisible to human traders. 🔹24/7 Operation: AI systems can monitor markets continuously, which is especially valuable in global markets that operate around the clock. 🔹Customization: AI-driven strategies can be tailored to specific asset classes, trading goals, and risk tolerances. 4. Popular AI Techniques in Trading AI algo trading employs several popular techniques: 🔹Supervised Learning: This includes models like regression, classification, and neural networks, often used to predict price changes or determine trading signals. 🔹Unsupervised Learning: Clustering and anomaly detection models help identify unusual trading patterns or group similar assets. 🔹Reinforcement Learning: This is where AI learns to optimize strategies through trial and error, which can be particularly useful for adaptive, evolving trading strategies. 🔹Sentiment Analysis: AI can analyze text data (e.g., news articles, tweets) to gauge market sentiment, adding a qualitative dimension to trading models. 5. Risks and Challenges While AI algo trading offers numerous advantages, it also comes with certain risks: 🔹Model Overfitting: Overfitting to historical data can result in poor performance in live markets if the model is too specific to past conditions. Market Volatility: AI algorithms may struggle to adapt to sudden market changes, like unexpected geopolitical events or economic crises. 🔹Technical Failures: Infrastructure and connectivity issues can disrupt AI trading systems, leading to missed opportunities or unwanted positions. 🔹Regulatory Concerns: Regulatory bodies often scrutinize algorithmic trading for issues like market manipulation, requiring firms to ensure their algorithms are compliant. 6. Future of AI Algo Trading 🔹The future of AI algo trading looks promising, with ongoing advancements in AI and access to even more diverse data sources. Innovations in quantum computing, natural language processing (NLP) for deeper sentiment analysis, and reinforcement learning for adaptive strategies are likely to further enhance AI-driven trading. 🔹As AI trading models continue to evolve, they may also become more accessible to individual investors and retail traders, allowing a broader range of market participants to benefit from data-driven trading strategies. However, regulatory agencies may also implement stricter controls to manage the risks associated with autonomous AI trading.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
15
EUR/USD: Extending the declineHello dear friends. Overall, EURUSD has made a significant recovery from last week with a price increase beyond 1.0800 after data from the US showed that Durable Goods Orders fell 0.8% in September. However, unfortunately, the pair quickly fell back and closed the fourth consecutive week in negative territory, weakening EURUSD significantly. In addition, from the 1-hour chart, the pair has broken the rising trend line and the price wedge has been broken, suggesting that the bears are likely to continue to gain the upper hand without any significant reversal, as shown by the flat 34.89 EMA.
Short
by Bentradegold
EUR/USD: hits new 16-week lowEUR/USD is trading around 1.078 and the technical picture remains heavily bearish after failing to break above the 1.0800 resistance level. The decline comes as Fibre falls sharply ahead of Thursday’s new round of Purchasing Managers’ Index data. ECB officials have played down economic concerns, reiterating the need for caution when considering future rate cuts. As seen on the 1-hour chart, it can be seen that the price remains below the 34, 89 EMAs and the price wedge has not been broken, suggesting that the downtrend is not over yet. This usually allows sellers to still gain the advantage of a more bearish reversal in the near term, potentially reaching lower levels around 1.0740. Happy trading.
Short
by Bentradegold
1
EURUSD hit the MA50 (4h) after 1 month. Buy if it breaks.EURUSD hit today its MA50 (4h) for the first time since September 30th. The pattern remains a Channel Down though, so the trend remains bearish unless a (4h) candle closes above the MA50. Trading Plan: 1. Buy after a (4h) candle closes above the MA50. Targets: 1. 1.09500 (Resistance 1). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) is already on a bullish reversal and a Higher High. If the MA supports, it will be an extra bullish signal. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
Long
by TradingBrokersView