Eurusd-4
EUR/USD: Insights and Tactics from My Perspective.Last week, the US Dollar experienced significant downward pressure due to discouraging macroeconomic data coupled with US President Donald Trump's tariff strategies, which raised concerns about a possible economic decline in the United States. As I compose this article, the dollar stands at around 103.710, and it appears poised to approach one of the two Demand Weekly Areas marked on the chart (link included below), where a pullback could trigger a shift in market dynamics.
Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated that Nonfarm Payrolls grew by 151,000 in February, falling short of the projected 160,000 increase. Moreover, the Unemployment Rate slightly rose to 4.1%, up from January's 4%. Additionally, annual wage inflation decreased to 4%, down from 4.9% in the prior period.
Meanwhile, the EUR/USD pair has taken advantage of the dollar's decline, currently trading at 1.08490 as I write this, with the rate moving closer to one of the established Supply Areas. For further clarity, the Futures 6E1 chart provides additional context, as seen in the link below.
Looking ahead, the US economic calendar is set to include the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February, which will be released on Wednesday.
As I anticipate this upcoming economic data, my approach for the EUR/USD involves waiting for the price to reach one of the identified supply zones. I plan to observe how the DXY behaves as it concurrently approaches the Demand area, keeping an eye out for potential reactions at these crucial levels before formulating any trading strategies.
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EURUSD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.085.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.077 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EUR/USD Intraday Outlook
EURUSD price has broken below a rising channel (highlighted in gold) and is trading underneath the 200 EMA (in blue), suggesting short-term bearish momentum. The chart highlights a potential drop of around 50+ pips, with an expected downside target near 1.0792. This level is derived from Fibonacci extensions, indicating further weakness may occur. Overall, the analysis points to a bearish intraday approach while below key resistance (around the 200 EMA and the prior swing highs).
EURUSD: Attempting to change the trendHello dear friends, Ben here!
Currently, EURUSD is attempting to capture recovery due to the dollar's adjustment. The price is forming a reaction from the resistance channel consolidation before breaking out and growing further.
Accordingly, after breaking through the trend channel resistance level, the price has moved into a consolidation phase around the range of 1.053 to 1.021. Within this, the price is testing the resistance level of 1.038. From this, we can argue that the market is still working to change its trend and become stronger against the dollar's adjustment.
Resistance levels: 1.038, 1.053
Support levels: 1.033, 1.021
Emphasizing the resistance level of 1.038, with confirmation of consolidation above this level, there will be nothing stopping EURUSD from further growth.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
USD/JPY Price Rejection at Resistance with Potential Bearish.hello traders.
what are your thoughs on USD/JPY.
my idea is
. Trade Setup:
Entry: Around 148.153, aligning with the pullback area.
Stop Loss: Above 148.624, placed strategically to avoid minor fluctuations.
Take Profit Levels:
First Target: 147.596 – a potential support level where price may find temporary stability.
Final Target: 147.167 – deeper support level indicating further bearish continuation.
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0881
1st Support: 1.0805
1st Resistance: 1.0934
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Bearish reversal?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0887
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0947
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.0809
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Hanzo | EURUSD Breaks Structure – Confirm the Next Move🆚 EUR/USD – The Way of the Silent Blade
⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate.
We do not react—we execute.
Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword.
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters
Key Break Confirms the Path – 1.08900 Zone
our reversal always at key level
even a reversal area is well studded
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set.
Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
EURUSD INTRADAY Bullish continuation supported at 1.0809The EUR/USD currency pair is exhibiting a bullish sentiment, underpinned by the prevailing long-term uptrend. Recent intraday price action shows a bullish breakout from a sideways consolidation phase, with the previous resistance now acting as a new support zone.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Zone: The critical support level is at 1.0809, marking the previous consolidation price range. A corrective pullback toward this level, followed by a bullish rebound, would reinforce the uptrend.
Upside Targets: If the pair sustains a bullish bounce from 1.0809, it may aim for the next resistance at 1.0950, followed by 1.1000 and 1.1020 over a longer timeframe.
Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break below the 1.0809 support level, especially with a daily close below it, would invalidate the bullish outlook. This could trigger a deeper retracement towards the 1.0770 support level, with further downside potential toward 1.0700.
Conclusion:
The bullish sentiment for EUR/USD remains favorable as long as the 1.0809 support holds. Traders should keep a close eye on this level to gauge potential bullish continuation. A successful bounce from 1.0809 may present buying opportunities, aiming for the upside targets. Conversely, a break and daily close below 1.0809 would signal caution and increase the probability of a deeper pullback.
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EURUSD - Rally overextended? The EUR/USD pair appears to be approaching a significant correction phase after its recent rally to the 1.09 level. As shown on the chart, we're expecting a pullback from current levels, with two key support zones (marked in blue) serving as potential targets for this retracement. The upper blue zone around 1.0650-1.0680 represents the first support area where buyers might step in, while the lower blue zone near 1.0550-1.0580 provides a secondary support level should the correction deepen. These zones represent previous price action areas of significance where demand could emerge. The downward arrows illustrate the expected path of this correction, suggesting a measured move lower before potentially finding stability.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD Triangle Pattern (13.3.25)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0805
2nd Support – 1.0771
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AUDUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH ??? DETAILED ANALYSISAUDUSD is currently trading around 0.62900 and forming a **bearish flag pattern**, a well-known continuation pattern that suggests further downside momentum. After a sharp downward move, price action is consolidating within a parallel channel, indicating a potential breakdown. If the bearish flag confirms with a breakout below the support zone, we could see a strong move toward 0.60900.
Technically, the **0.62500 level acts as a critical support**, and a breakdown below it could accelerate selling pressure. The next key support zone aligns around 0.62000, followed by the ultimate target of 0.60900. Volume confirmation and a decisive close below the flag's lower boundary will strengthen the bearish outlook. Traders should watch for price rejection near resistance levels and any signs of increased selling pressure.
From a fundamental perspective, the **us dollar remains strong amid hawkish Federal Reserve policy**, while risk-off sentiment is weighing on the australian dollar. Factors such as weaker economic data from China, declining commodity prices, and lower demand for high-yielding currencies could further drive audusd lower. Additionally, expectations of **RBA's monetary policy stance** and global risk trends will play a crucial role in shaping the pair’s direction.
In conclusion, audusd is on the verge of breaking out of a **bearish flag pattern**, signaling potential downside movement toward 0.60900. Traders should stay alert for a confirmed breakout with strong bearish momentum, as this setup offers a high-probability trade opportunity.
WHY GOLD IS BULLISH??? DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSXAUUSD is currently trading at 2940 after successfully breaking out of a **bullish pennant** pattern, signaling a continuation of the upward trend. This breakout suggests a strong bullish wave is forming, with a target of 3000 in sight. The bullish pennant is a well-known pattern that occurs after a strong price surge, followed by consolidation before the next leg higher. With the breakout already confirmed, buyers could push gold toward new highs.
From a technical perspective, the breakout above the pennant’s resistance indicates growing bullish momentum. If xauusd sustains above 2930-2940, further upside movement is likely, with 2970 as the next key resistance before reaching 3000. Volume confirmation and a retest of the breakout zone could strengthen the bullish case. Traders should watch for price action signals, such as bullish candlestick formations, to confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
On the fundamental side, gold remains well-supported due to **global economic uncertainty, central bank gold purchases, and inflation concerns**. The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions will also play a crucial role in xauusd’s next move. A weaker us dollar, lower bond yields, or increased risk-off sentiment could further drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, fueling the rally toward 3000 and beyond.
In summary, xauusd has completed a **bullish pennant breakout**, setting the stage for a strong push toward 3000. Traders should monitor key resistance levels and volume confirmations for potential buying opportunities. If the momentum sustains, gold could continue its bullish trajectory, offering a high-probability trade setup.
EURUSD - Strong Market Structure with a Potential Pullback?The EUR/USD pair has been displaying strong bullish momentum recently, maintaining an overall uptrend. However, despite this strength, I am expecting a temporary pullback before any further upside movement. The price has reached a key resistance level, marked in red, which has historically acted as a significant barrier. The market has reacted to this level with a rejection, indicating that buyers are struggling to push through at this point.
Key Levels to Watch
Imbalance Areas and Support Zones (Blue Zones)
These zones represent areas where price could retrace before making its next significant move. If price finds support at one of these zones and forms a bullish confirmation, we could see another push to the upside.
However, if price fails to hold the first blue zone, it is likely to drop further into the second marked imbalance area. The second zone would then become the next key level to watch for potential support.
Break of the Support Zones
If both support zones fail to hold, this would suggest that buyers are losing control and that a deeper pullback is underway. In this case, the overall bullish momentum may slow down, and a shift toward a more bearish sentiment could occur in the short term.
Current Resistance Zone (red zone)
The red zone marks a key resistance level that price has struggled to break in the past. If price successfully breaks above this zone with strong momentum and closes above it, this would confirm further bullish continuation. A breakout could signal the potential for new highs, as buyers regain full control of the market.
Impact of CPI News on EUR/USD
Today's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report had a notable impact on the EUR/USD pair. Upon release, the market experienced a sharp upward spike, reflecting an immediate reaction to the inflation data. However, this move was short-lived, as price quickly faced a strong rejection and dropped back down. This type of movement suggests that market participants are still processing the implications of the inflation data and its potential effect on future monetary policy decisions. The Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates will be a key factor in determining how the pair moves in the coming days.
Trade Plan and Expectations
I will be watching for a potential retracement into one of the blue support zones. If price finds support and shows a bullish reaction, I will look for confirmation to enter a long position.
If price breaks below the first support zone, I will wait for a test of the second blue area before making any trading decisions. A failure to hold this level would indicate further downside potential.
If price manages to break and hold above the red resistance zone, this would be a strong bullish confirmation, signaling further upside movement. In that case, I would anticipate a continuation of the uptrend.
Overall, while the market structure remains strong, a short-term retracement is likely before the next move takes place. It is important to remain patient and wait for clear confirmations at key levels before entering a trade.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Do you see further upside potential, or do you think we could see more downside before buyers regain control?
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EUR/USD Drops, Awaits US PPIEUR/USD fell to around 1.0880 in Thursday’s Asian session, pressured by rising US-EU trade tensions. Market focus is on key US data, including February’s PPI and weekly jobless claims.
Trump warned of retaliation against the EU’s response to his 25% steel and aluminum tariffs. The European Commission announced €26 billion ($28.4 billion) in counter-tariffs on US goods, effective April 1, with more expected mid-April.
Despite trade risks, EUR/USD’s downside may be limited as concerns over Trump’s policies fueling a US recession weigh on the dollar. Inflation data came in lower than expected, easing market fears but keeping sentiment fragile.
Key resistance is at 1.0950, followed by 1.1000 and 1.1050. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0650.
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 13, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
14:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims
EURUSD:
On Wednesday, EUR/USD traders adopted a more cautious approach, allowing Fiber to retreat by approximately a third of a cent and pushing bids back below the significant price target of 1.09000. Despite the significant recovery in EUR/USD over the past couple of weeks, buyers are regaining ground after Fiber corrected more than 5 per cent in less than a fortnight.
This week's European economic data is minimal due to the prominence of trade war concerns and US inflation data. On Wednesday, the US imposed 25 per cent tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports, a significant escalation in President Donald Trump's efforts to wage a trade war with all of the country's allies.
Meanwhile, US consumer price index (CPI) inflation fell more than expected in February, with core CPI at 0.2 per cent month-on-month and 2.8 per cent year-on-year, slightly faster than forecasts. While the figure remains above the Federal Reserve's (Fed) 2% target, it has raised hopes for a rate adjustment. CME's FedWatch tool now shows equal odds of a Fed rate cut in June compared to July.
It has been almost four years since US core inflation reached 'transitory' levels. Barring a brief slowdown in Q3 2024, key inflation indicators have remained stable since June 2023, when post-Covid inflation fell to an annualised rate of 3%.
Despite the lower CPI reading in February, there are indications of potential challenges for policymakers: gasoline and heating oil prices fell 3.1% and 5.1%, respectively, while natural gas prices increased by 6%. Additionally, housing price inflation increased by 4.2% compared to the previous year, while a modest 0.3% decrease in automobile prices concealed a 2.6% year-on-year rise in food price inflation.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.08600, SL 1.09300, TP 1.07700
EURUSD H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 1.0897, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.0818, aligning close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1005, above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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**EUR/USD Head & Shoulders – Strong Sell Setup!### 📉 **EUR/USD Head & Shoulders – Strong Sell Setup!** 🔥
🚀 **Trade Setup Details:**
📌 **Pattern:** 🎭 Head & Shoulders (Bearish Reversal)
📍 **Entry Point:** **1.09000** ✅ (Neckline Break Confirmation)
⛔ **Stop-Loss (SL):** **1.09500** ❌ (Above Right Shoulder for Protection)
🎯 **Target (TP):** **1.08100** 🎯 (Measured Move from Head to Neckline)
📊 **EMA 50 Confirmation:** If price is **below 50 EMA**, bearish trend continues! 🔻
### 💰 **Risk Management (Trade Smart!)**
⚖️ **Risk per Trade:** **50 pips** (1.09500 - 1.09000)
💎 **Potential Reward:** **90 pips** (1.09000 - 1.08100)
🎯 **Risk-Reward Ratio:** **1:1.8** – Great RRR! 📈
### 🎯 **Trade Execution Tips:**
✔️ **Wait for a Clean Break & Retest** at **1.09000** before entering! 🚀
✔️ **Monitor EMA 50** to confirm bearish momentum 📉
✔️ **Stick to Proper Position Sizing** – No Overleveraging! 💰
✔️ **Exit if Price Retraces Above 1.09500** – Control Your Risk! 🚦
🔥 **This is a high-probability short setup! Stay disciplined & trade smart!** 💪💵