EURUSD: Trump’s trade war crosses the Atlantic You may be sick of hearing about tariffs, but they are currently the catalyst for a huge amount of volatility in the market and a huge amount of trading opportunities.
And now Trump’s trade war has crossed the Atlantic
Today, the European Union announced retaliatory tariffs on approximately €26 billion worth of U.S. goods in response to President Donald Trump's recent increase in tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Targeted products include Harley-Davidsons, bourbon, and jeans—key American exports that have been caught in previous trade disputes.
The EU has said it remains open to negotiation but has not ruled out further action.
In response, Trump vowed to retaliate, stating, “Of course I’m going to respond.” The daily chart for the EUR/USD shows the pair could fall into a larger corrective decline, given overbought RSI conditions.
Eurusd-4
EURUSD: Overbought but 1H Channel Up is still intact.EURUSD is massively overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 73.384, MACD = 0.012, ADX = 38.553) but on the short term we have a Channel Up pattern that's good until broken. The 1H MA50-MA100 Zone is in firm support of this structure and every time a bearish wave like the current one bottoms inside this pattern, the price rallies by +1.15%. So as long as the 1H MA100 holds, buy (TP = 1.09800). If the 1H MA100 fails and breaks, sell and aim for the 1H MA200 (TP = 1.07500>
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Eurusd outlookThis chart represents a technical analysis of EUR/USD on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting key support and resistance levels.
Key Analysis:
Resistance Level: Marked around 1.09500, this level serves as a potential selling zone where price may struggle to break higher.
Support Level: Identified near 1.08000, this is a demand area where buying pressure may emerge.
Current Price: EUR/USD is trading at approximately 1.09183, near the resistance zone.
Expected Price Movement: The analysis suggests a potential rejection from resistance, leading to a downward move toward the support zone.
Outlook:
The market structure indicates a possible bearish retracement from resistance. If the price fails to break above 1.09500, a short-selling opportunity may arise with a target around 1.08000. However, if the resistance is broken, further upside momentum could be expected.
EUR/USD is shaping up for a solid short entry.EUR/USD is shaping up for a solid short entry. 🤔🤔🤔
The pair has tested the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and a key liquidity zone where stop losses tend to cluster.
At the same time, the dollar index is turning upward on a larger scale.
A short position with tight stops could make sense, with a target around $1.00 .
Considering the increasing geopolitical risks in Europe , holding funds in euros doesn’t seem wise anymore.
In times like these, staying in USD looks like the safest bet.
Dollar Index:
SP500/SPY:
GOLD/USD:
XAU/USD: Another Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 2-hour timeframe for gold, we see that the price remains range-bound with no clear directional trend. Currently, gold is trading around the $2900 level, and if it fails to break above $2913 again, we can expect a downward correction. Potential targets for this correction are $2870, $2861, and $2853. Keep an eye on price reactions at each of these key levels, as all three could present opportunities for buy positions!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD: Trading Signal From Our Team
EURUSD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURUSD
Entry Level - 1.0883
Sl - 1.0979
Tp - 1.0729
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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STBB FX Weekly Analysis - Week 11 2025Tradingview Ideas:
Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
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Eurozone Spending Plans Boost EuroThe euro surged past $1.09, its highest in four months, gaining 5% since early March. This rally was driven by Eurozone plans to expand deficit spending, stimulating growth prospects. Germany pushed for a €500 billion infrastructure fund, while France and Italy supported joint EU funding for economic and military initiatives.
The ECB signaled a shift toward a less restrictive policy after last week’s rate cut, suggesting the easing cycle may be nearing its end. Meanwhile, US economic concerns pressured the dollar, further lifting the euro.
Key resistance is at 1.0950, followed by 1.1000 and 1.1050. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0650.
EUR/USD – Bullish, But Time to Breathe!🚀 EUR/USD – Bullish, But Time to Breathe! 🚀
“Momentum is strong, but even the best trends need to take a breath before the next leg up.”
🔥 Key Insights:
✅ Bullish Structure Intact – No reason to fight the trend.
✅ Overextended Move – Markets don’t go up in a straight line; pullbacks create better entries.
✅ Healthy Retracement = Stronger Continuation – Chasing here is risky, waiting for a dip is smart.
💡 The Plan:
Wait for a Pullback Before Longs – Let price reset, don’t rush in.
Watch Volume Profile & CDV for Buyer Confirmation – Smart money leaves clues.
Ideal Entry = Lower Support Levels Holding – We want a strong base for the next move up.
“Patience is key. Let the market give you the perfect entry—not every green candle is a buy!” 🚀💶
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
I have a long list of my proven technique below:
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I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the area of 1.08878.Colleagues, I'm going to make a new forecast that will be a little different from the last one. In the past, the price quickly reached the target, but I still expect a correction in wave “4” to the 1.06966 area to open profitable long positions. The target will still be the same 1.8978 area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Eur/Usd (Mar/12) Weekly Analyzehello everyone.
a you can see price touched weekly cloud res ( same as monthly cloud ) so i expect price go down from here.
.......................................
( This is an idea and entry-tp-sl placed for my own trade , you can change entry-tp-sl depends on your risk management )
EURUSD’s Pullback in Play: Next Stop $1.0934?The EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) has managed to break through the Resistance zone($1.0817-$1.0760) and has been on a good upward trend with good momentum in the past week.
The EURUSD appears to be completing a pullback to the Resistance zone (broken) .
According to the Elliott Wave theory , the EURUSD appears to have completed wave 4 , which is a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect EURUSD to rise to the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) after completing the pullbac k.
Note: If EURUSD goes below $1.0755, we can expect more dumps.
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Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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EURUSD entering multiyear Sell Zone, but might go to 1.160 firstEURUSD hit this week its 1month MA50 for the first time since October 2024. This is the first long term Sell Zone for the pair.
The 1month MA50 - MA100 Zone has formed the last two major peaks of the market (September 2024 and July 2023), so it is highly likely to see a top getting formed here in March-April.
Since however the 10year pattern is a Channel Down and the major bullish wave in 2017 was +21.67%, there is a possibility to see an overextension of the trend a little higher than the 1month MA100.
A max +21.67% rise would take the price a little over 1.1600, which would approach the 1month MA200 (10year Resistance).
This scenario is also supported by the 1month RSI, which during this 10 year span has topped twice at 665.00 and as you see makes a very distinct (nearly) Double Top formation.
In both cases, long term traders/ investors may target below parity prices at around 0.9000.
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EurUsd ShortEUR/USD Short Idea
The EUR/USD pair is approaching the 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204 resistance level, which aligns with a significant supply zone and a potential area for bearish reversal.
Key Analysis:
Resistance Zone:
The 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204 levels marks a critical resistance where selling pressure has previously emerged.
Technical Indicators:
RSI is approaching overbought conditions, indicating limited upside potential.
Bearish divergence may form if momentum weakens near this level.
Fundamental Context:
A stronger USD due to hawkish Fed sentiment or economic data could pressure EUR/USD downward.
Eurozone economic uncertainties may add to bearish bias.
Entry: Short positions around 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204
This setup offers a favorable risk-reward opportunity in a high-probability reversal zone.
EURUSD Going To ShortThe EUR/USD currency pair is likely to experience a short movement due to the presence of a clear hidden bearish divergence. This divergence suggests that despite the price making lower highs and RSI making Higher High, the momentum behind these movements is weakening, indicating potential for a downward reversal. Additionally, the price is approaching an unmitigated order block around the 1.098xx region. An unmitigated order block represents an area where price has previously reversed and not yet been revisited, increasing the likelihood of a reaction when price reaches this zone.
Furthermore, the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.786 aligns closely with this order block, strengthening the case for a bearish reversal. Fibonacci retracement levels are commonly used to predict potential areas of support and resistance, and the 0.786 level is often a key point for reversals in trends. This combination of technical factors suggests that a significant fall is anticipated from the 1.098xx level.
You should watch for confirmation signals, such as a clear break of support or bearish candlestick patterns, to solidify the bearish outlook. Given the confluence of these technical indicators, the probability of a substantial decline is high.
1st TP: 1.075x
2nd TP: 1.065x
EUR/USD Approaching Strong Resistance – Reversal Ahead?Eye-Catching Heading:
🚨 🚨
Description:
EUR/USD has surged into a critical resistance zone, where strong selling pressure could emerge. The marked green zone represents a key supply area, and a rejection from this level might trigger a downside move.
Key insights:
✅ Resistance Zone: 1.0980 - 1.1020 (Highlighted in Green)
✅ Potential Reaction: A bearish reversal from this area could push the pair lower.
✅ Watch for Confirmation: A rejection candle or bearish momentum shift could validate a short trade setup.
Will the sellers take control here,
EUR/USD 15-Minute Chart - Bearish Reversal Trade SetupEUR/USD 15-Minute Chart Analysis
Market Overview:
Current Price: 1.09154
Recent High: 1.09283 (Price rejected from this level)
Volume: 2.91K (Moderate trading activity)
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.09283 (Strong rejection zone)
Support Levels:
1.09000 (Psychological level)
1.08877 (Major support & target area)
Trade Setup:
Bias: Bearish (Potential reversal after strong upward move)
Entry: Below 1.09100 after confirmation
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.09000
TP2: 1.08900
TP3: 1.08877
Trade Confirmation:
A break and retest of 1.09100 as resistance will confirm bearish momentum.
If price fails to break below 1.09100, bulls might regain control.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Above 1.09283 (To protect against a breakout)
Risk-to-Reward: Favorable, as price is showing early signs of reversal.
Conclusion:
Bearish rejection at 1.09283 suggests a possible short trade opportunity.
Wait for price action confirmation below 1.09100 before entering.
Watch volume and momentum for further confirmation of direction.
EURUSD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.090.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.100 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURUSD INTRADAY Bullish breakout supported at 1.0809The EUR/USD currency pair is exhibiting a bullish sentiment, underpinned by the prevailing long-term uptrend. Recent intraday price action shows a bullish breakout from a sideways consolidation phase, with the previous resistance now acting as a new support zone.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Zone: The critical support level is at 1.0809, marking the previous consolidation price range. A corrective pullback toward this level, followed by a bullish rebound, would reinforce the uptrend.
Upside Targets: If the pair sustains a bullish bounce from 1.0809, it may aim for the next resistance at 1.0950, followed by 1.1000 and 1.1020 over a longer timeframe.
Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break below the 1.0809 support level, especially with a daily close below it, would invalidate the bullish outlook. This could trigger a deeper retracement towards the 1.0770 support level, with further downside potential toward 1.0700.
Conclusion:
The bullish sentiment for EUR/USD remains favorable as long as the 1.0809 support holds. Traders should keep a close eye on this level to gauge potential bullish continuation. A successful bounce from 1.0809 may present buying opportunities, aiming for the upside targets. Conversely, a break and daily close below 1.0809 would signal caution and increase the probability of a deeper pullback.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0890 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.0853
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK