eurusd h4 long/short +220/+300 pips swing trade plan🔸Hello traders, let's review the 4hour chart for EURUSD today.
All previous setups hit TP, +600 pips original short and recently
another short from resistance TP hit +240 pips.
feel free to recap via links below:
🔸Currently after hitting 0500 EURUSD remains weak / vulnerable
to further downside. I'm not expecting any bounce from current
levels and also can't recommend any new entries, right now this
is a no trade zone for me.
🔸Bears will target re-test of key s/r zone at 0380, this is also
the highest probability zone for a bounce in EURUSD.
Resistance overhead set at 0600, so this is a +220 pips trade setup
based on the bounce off the key s/r zone.
🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders:no trade recommended
at current price, however bulls should enter BUY/HOLD at/near 0380
SL 40 pips TP1 +120 TP2 +220 final exit at 0600. Bears should wait
for the bounce to complete and short from overhead resistance at
0600 TP1 +150 pips TP2 +300 pips final exit at 0300. SL 40 pips.
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Eurusd-4
EURUSD Will Go Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.057.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.069 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EUR/USD Ready for Liftoff: Demand Zone Hold & Wave 1 Rally Incom"EUR/USD Ready for Liftoff: Demand Zone Hold & Wave 1 Rally Incoming 🚀"
Analysis:
Price has completed Wave (c) in a corrective structure and is primed for a bullish Wave (1) push.
The pair is sitting strong in the 1.0200-1.0325 demand zone, showing signs of a bounce.
Key Drivers:
Forex Options Expiry: High activity around 1.0570-1.0600 today could act as a pivot zone for price.
DXY Weakness: Dollar Index stalling below resistance supports EUR strength.
The Setup:
Long Entry: Look for buys near 1.0325 or on confirmation of a breakout above 1.0600.
Stop Loss: Below 0.9538 (below the demand zone or the last swing low (wave c).
Targets:
T1: 1.1688 (Fibonacci extension level).
T2: 1.2264-1.2345 (key supply zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio: With a 6:1 RRR, this is a textbook setup for catching a multi-month rally.
Quick Note for the Bulls:
Stay patient for the demand zone reaction or confirmation of Wave 1 breaking higher. Protect your capital by sticking to the plan.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
Overlap resistance ahead?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.0604
1st Support: 1.0452
1st Resistance: 1.0705
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUROUSD CHART LOOKOUTThe Euro might experience brief upward corrections in the near term, driven by temporary factors such as market sentiment or short-term economic data. However, the broader outlook suggests a downward trajectory, reflecting underlying challenges such as weaker growth prospects, policy divergences, or geopolitical pressures. While volatility is expected, the dominant trend leans toward a decline.
#EURUSD - 29112024I was bullish EURUSD yesterday and I said that there is nothing bearish, and it worked out perfectly. I did give a lower buy level to go long off; no, it did not hit, but price based perfectly at the PZ given and it moved higher and price is attacking Wednesday's high.
I would say that market did not give much of a pullback to the ideal level for the long, and this pullback could still happen but overall, my view is still for a move higher from here. Look for price to base off the PZ for a long, with 1.0670 as near term price target.
Potential bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0519
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0453
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0657
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURUSD broke out and is targeting the 4hour MA200.EURUSD confirmed a bullish break out after crossing over the 4hour MA50.
The emerging Channel Up turned the MA50 into the Support that is expected to extend the bullish trend.
The last time this happened was on October 29th and the uptrend extended all the way near the 4hour MA200 and hit the 2.0 Fib.
The RSI fractals are identical.
Buy and target 1.06700.
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EURGBP H2 XABCD advanced buy/hold trade setup🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1 hour chart for EURGBP.
Speculative XABCD in progress, with PRZ/D set at 8380,
so expecting reversal / more gains in EURGBP after we hit C
🔸XABCD structure is defined by point X at 8370, point A at 8310, point B at 8355, point C at 8320, point D/PRZ at 8380, currently most points validated, point D/PRZ still pending, so traders should wait until we hit F before buying.
🔸Recommended strategy for EURGBP traders: wait for pullback/correction to complete at point C near 8320, buy/hold, SL 20 pips, TP1 +30 pips TP2 +60 pips. Final exit at 8380. Low risk trade setup.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
EUR/USD: Strong U.S. Data Signals Possible Reversal AheadAs per my market review, I predict that the uptrend of the EUR/USD currency pair is about to be broken (a significant reversal) and so it is likely to decline, especially due to strong U.S. fundamentals. The weekly sweep shows that the price is in a consolidation phase; however, the market has not been able to overcome the resistance zone despite various attempts. Right now, the pair is approaching the low of the previous week, as well as closing a weekly candlestick at the bottom, which increases the risks of further downward movement. The levels of support stand at 1.0949 and 1.0900, with resistances located at 1.1000, 1.1010, and 1.1050. There now remains the question of whether or not the price will close below the 1.0949 support level and if that happens, a deeper move is expected to follow. One extreme scenario is that it is possible to expect a pullback to 1.100 before the bears resume the trend.
EUR/USD Daily Price Chart Analysis: A High-Probability SetupThe EUR/USD currency pair is navigating a critical moment, presenting an intriguing setup for traders and investors alike. For those looking to capitalize on the next big move, this analysis dives deep into the technicals, offering actionable insights while balancing education with practicality. But before we proceed, a quick disclaimer: trading always carries risk, and this analysis should be viewed as a guide, not financial advice. Make sure to trade responsibly and perform your due diligence.
At the heart of this setup lies the "Super Cluster" zone, a pivotal support area near the 1.0365 level. This zone isn't just a random line drawn on the chart—it represents a confluence of powerful technical factors. First, it aligns with a key horizontal level that has halted bullish momentum in the past. Second, it coincides with a long-term descending trendline that has defined the pair's downward trajectory since mid-2023. Such convergence makes this area a stronghold for buyers. If the Super Cluster holds, it could provide the foundation for a significant bullish reversal. However, if it breaks, the bears could take control and push prices even lower.
The bullish scenario is reflected by the green upward trendline projected on the chart. This path anticipates a strong recovery, with initial targets around 1.1200, a level marking the upper boundary of the descending channel. Longer-term, a push toward the 1.2000 region could materialize if the bullish momentum sustains. There are several factors supporting this outlook. Notably, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently flashing a bullish divergence—a signal that often precedes reversals. While the price has been making lower lows, the RSI has been quietly climbing, hinting at weakening bearish momentum. Additionally, the 21 EMA (orange) and the 89 EMA (red) 3 legs fractal intersections appear to be in place. This little known signal, if confirmed, could attract further buying interest and signal a broader trend shift.
But what if the bullish thesis fails? A break below the Super Cluster zone would be a game changer. Such a move would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the door to further downside pressure. In this scenario, the EUR/USD could retest the psychologically significant 1.0000 level or even lower. This underscores why patience and proper confirmation are essential before committing to a trade. Waiting for daily or weekly candle closes near key levels can help avoid false breakouts or premature entries.
Zooming out, the broader chart reveals a descending channel that has confined the EUR/USD since 2023. The current setup suggests the pair is at the lower boundary of this channel, reinforcing the importance of the Super Cluster as a make-or-break zone. Additionally, past price action reveals a pattern of alternating impulse waves and corrective phases. If the Super Cluster supports a bounce, the next impulse wave could test or even break the channel's upper boundary, leading to a significant bullish move.
One standout feature of the current chart is the RSI, which is hovering near 40. While not yet bullish, the RSI's upward divergence from price provides a strong signal that bears are losing steam. A move above 43 would confirm bullish momentum and align with the green upward trajectory. Swing traders may want to monitor this closely as it could act as a key trigger for entry.
For those looking to trade this setup, the strategy will vary depending on your style. Swing traders might wait for confirmation of a bounce off the Super Cluster zone, looking for bullish candlestick patterns such as pin bars or engulfing candles. A break above your key level would further confirm bullish momentum, setting up targets near 1.1200 or higher. On the other hand, long-term investors could consider scaling into positions at current levels, provided the Super Cluster holds over several days or weeks. Regardless of the approach, risk management is non-negotiable. Stops for bullish positions should be placed just below the 1.0365 level, ensuring minimal loss if the setup fails.
In summary, the EUR/USD is poised at a key technical juncture, offering a high-probability setup for those who approach it with patience and discipline. While the bullish case appears more favorable, thanks to RSI divergence and the Super Cluster's significance, traders must remain vigilant. The market can move in unexpected ways, and success often lies in reacting to what the chart is telling us—not what we wish it would say.
Let the market show its hand. A bounce from the Super Cluster could mark the start of a powerful upward move, while a breakdown might lead to more bearish momentum. Whichever way the market moves, be prepared, trade with a plan, and remember that risk management is the foundation of long-term success.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
EURUSD, higher to lower time frame breakdownGreetings, traders! Welcome to this EURUSD market analysis, where we focus on identifying higher-probability trading opportunities.
In this video, I start by analyzing the yearly down to the daily charts, highlighting key trading zones, and discussing the confirmations we look for to optimize our swing entries.
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Trade safely
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can observe that yesterday, following the announcement of a potential ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel, gold experienced a significant drop, correcting by over 800 pips down to $2,605. This sharp decline created a major liquidity gap, which I anticipate will likely be filled as prices recover soon.
Additionally, today we have the critical CB Consumer Confidence data release, which could significantly impact the market and trigger high volatility. Be cautious with your trades and manage your risk effectively!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD Will Go Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.048.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.053 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURUSD - Nearing a Bullish BreakoutEURUSD is nearing a breakout and potentially a Bullish move if the trendline holds. Otherwise we are heading to lower level.
Best approach is to go from level to level rather than aiming for a swing move as sentiments can switch anytime.
For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management.
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Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
EURUSD Broke The Monthly SupportThe Pendulum Fork gives us good context of where Major Upper and Lower extremes are in this picture.
The rejection at the L-MLH is really a Tell, and should not be ignored then. Multiple opportunities there to go Short.
Then a small slanted support came into play, which also gives us another chance for a short.
Potential Targets are displayed by the yellow Arrows.
+100/+200 pips gbpnzd m20 short from resistance short-term🔸Hello traders, let's review the 20 minute chart for GN today. Price
contained withing sliding bear channel previously rejected multiple
times from overhead resistance.
🔸Currently expecting price to pump into overhead resistance and
complete a double top at 1610, that's the likely PRZ level.
🔸Previously rejected from overhead resistance, sequence of lower
highs in progress and expecting yet another rejection into double top
and also re-action with the bear channel.
🔸Recommended strategy for GN traders: short sell high at 1610 SL 50
TP1 +100 pips TP2 +200 pips final exit at 1400. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 28, 2024 EURUSDEUR/USD was supported in the market on Wednesday, taking the pair on a new course towards 1.0600 in the middle of the weekly trading session. The bullish bounce in the market was mainly due to investors taking a step away from recent dollar buying pressure, rather than any intrinsic strength in the euro itself.
Wednesday's data list included a wide range of U.S. economic indicators before stock exchanges close for the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday, followed by shortened trading hours on Friday. U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) rose by an expected 2.8% on an annualized basis in the third quarter, coming as a surprise to no one and having little impact on investor momentum. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) accelerated to 2.8% for the year ended October, also meeting expectations. While rising inflation readings are usually bad for market expectations for future rate cuts, the upward movement was widely expected, and the monthly reading's persistence at 0.3% m/m helped to portray that the surge in prices was a thing of the past.
On Friday, traders will be eyeing preliminary European Union inflation data, the harmonized consumer price index (HICP). EU inflation is forecast to rise in the near term, further aggravating the European Central Bank (ECB) as ECB policymakers struggle to find the words to maintain investor confidence in the lopsided European economy.
Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 1.0600, trading mainly with Sell orders
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.0604
1st Support: 1.0452
1st Resistance: 1.0705
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD H4 | Bullish Reversal?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.0516, which is a pullback support close to 23.6% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.0606, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.0434, which is an overlap support level close to 61.8% Fibo retracement.
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#EURUSD - 28112024I was bullish EURUSD yesterday and it made a good up move, without a dip though. Price just based near the PZ and just rallied higher and is now pausing at the strong level. Overall, I see EURUSD has the potential to move higher to 1.0660 before a rejection and move lower.
The situation now is that EURUSD has sold down greatly but now looked to have bottomed based on the near term price action. Counter trend it might be, there is nothing bearish at the current moment. Short term overbought, might get a pullback; if so, 1.0500/12 will be good level to look for longs for a move higher.