Eurusd-4
XAU/USD Analysis & Market Insights📉 Bearish Context & Key Resistance Levels:
Major Resistance at 2,934.00
Strong supply zone where price has previously rejected.
Multiple tests of this area indicate seller pressure.
Short-term Resistance at 2,920-2,925
Price is consolidating near this zone.
A rejection could lead to a downward move.
📈 Bullish Context & Key Support Levels:
Support at 2,846.88 - 2,832.72 (Demand Zone)
Strong reaction zone where buyers stepped in.
Previous price action suggests liquidity in this area.
Deeper Support at 2,720-2,680
If 2,832 breaks, this is the next key demand area.
Aligned with moving averages, adding confluence.
📉 Current Market Outlook:
Price recently bounced from the 2,846-2,832 support, showing buyers’ presence.
However, the 2,920-2,925 area is acting as resistance.
If the price fails to break higher, a move back toward 2,846 or even 2,720 is possible.
📈 Potential Trading Setups:
🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 2,920 after a clear rejection.
Target 1: 2,846
Target 2: 2,832, with possible extension to 2,720.
Stop Loss: Above 2,935 to avoid fakeouts.
🔼 Long Setup (Bullish Scenario):
Entry: Break and hold above 2,934.00 with confirmation.
Target 1: 2,960
Target 2: 3,000+
Stop Loss: Below 2,915 to minimize risk.
📰 Fundamental Analysis & Market Drivers
1️⃣ US ISM Services PMI & ADP Jobs Report:
The ISM Services PMI increased to 53.5, signaling stronger services inflation and employment.
However, the ADP Employment Report showed a disappointing 77K jobs, far below the expected 140K, weighing on the USD.
2️⃣ Trump’s Tariffs & USD Weakness:
Trump announced massive tariffs on trade partners, affecting risk sentiment.
While he downplayed negative effects, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted at potential tariff rollbacks, boosting risk appetite.
This weakened the USD, allowing gold to rise.
3️⃣ Upcoming ECB Decision:
The ECB is expected to cut rates by 25 bps on Thursday, which could further impact market sentiment and gold’s direction.
If the rate cut weakens the EUR, gold could see more upside.
📌 Final Thoughts:
2,920-2,925 remains a key resistance for short-term direction.
A break above 2,934 could signal bullish continuation.
A rejection from current levels could push price back toward 2,846 or lower.
Fundamentals favor gold's strength as the USD weakens due to poor job data and trade uncertainty.
🚀 Key Decision Zone: Watch price action near 2,920-2,925!
EUR_USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅EUR_USD will be retesting a resistance level soon at 1.0824
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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EURUSD BUY...hello friends
As you can see, the price is correcting and we have identified its important supports for you.
Each of the supports is very important and we expect a reaction from each of them...
So here we can give you two suggestions:
1_React on any trade support (buy in low time and get fast)
2- In the 4 specified support areas, open a purchase transaction step by step, which is the same way we suggest to you.
*Trade safely with us*
**Trade Setup:** - **Pair:** EUR/USD
### **Trade Setup:**
- **Pair:** EUR/USD
- **Current Price:** **1.06768**
- **Support Level:** **1.06520**
- **Resistance Level:** **1.07220**
- **Target (TP):** **1.07735**
- **Stop-Loss (SL):** **1.06225**
- **50 EMA:** To be used as dynamic support for trade confirmation.
---
### **Technical Analysis & Strategy:**
1. **Trend Confirmation:**
- If the **price is above the 50 EMA**, it suggests an uptrend and supports the long trade.
- If the price is below the 50 EMA, consider **waiting** for confirmation before entering.
2. **Entry Strategy:**
- Enter **long near 1.06768** if price remains above the **50 EMA** or if it retests support at **1.06520** and bounces.
- Ideal confirmation: **Bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) near support or EMA.**
3. **Resistance & Take Profit Strategy:**
- First resistance at **1.07220** – Consider partial profit-taking or moving SL to breakeven.
- Final target at **1.07735**.
4. **Stop-Loss & Risk Management:**
- **SL set at 1.06225**, giving a **risk of 54.3 pips**.
- **Reward of 96.7 pips to TP**, yielding a **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) of ~1.78:1** (acceptable).
- Risk per trade should be limited to **1-2% of account balance**.
5. **Trade Management:**
- If price moves in favor, **trail stop to secure profits** (e.g., move SL to **1.06850** if price reaches 1.07220).
- If price breaks below 50 EMA and **closes below support (1.06520)**, consider exiting early.
---
### **Additional Considerations:**
✔ **Check news/events** that could impact EUR/USD (e.g., Fed, ECB, NFP, CPI reports).
✔ Monitor **DXY (US Dollar Index)** – A strong USD could push EUR/USD down.
✔ Ensure **liquidity and volatility** are optimal (best during London/New York sessions).
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.0707 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.0572
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0774
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Bullish Surge: Targeting 1.1000 with 200+ Pips GainEURUSD is currently trading at 1.0700, moving exactly as predicted and showing strong bullish momentum toward the 1.1000 target. The pair has gained significant traction, with price action aligning with technical expectations for a 200+ pip rally. If this momentum continues, EURUSD could push higher, testing key resistance levels before reaching its final target.
From a technical standpoint, the bullish structure remains intact, supported by strong price action and increased buying pressure. A break above minor resistance levels near 1.0800 could accelerate the move toward 1.1000. Traders should monitor volume and price action confirmations to ensure sustained bullish momentum, while also keeping an eye on potential retracements for re-entry opportunities.
Fundamentally, the euro’s strength is driven by market expectations surrounding the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy, as well as potential weakness in the US dollar. If the Federal Reserve signals a dovish stance or weaker economic data emerges from the US, the dollar could see further declines, supporting EURUSD’s bullish move. Additionally, any positive Eurozone economic data could further fuel the rally.
In summary, EURUSD is following its projected bullish path, with 1.1000 as the next key target. Traders should watch for continued bullish confirmations while staying cautious of economic events that could impact the pair’s momentum. With technical and fundamental factors aligning, the pair remains well-positioned for further upside.
EURJPY IS GETTING STRONGE OR WEAK ? DETAILED ANALYSISEURJPY has successfully broken out of the falling wedge pattern, hitting the projected target of 160.000 and delivering significant profits. This breakout confirmed a strong bullish reversal, allowing traders to capitalize on a deep profit opportunity. The falling wedge is a classic bullish pattern, and its breakout was accompanied by increasing momentum, pushing the pair higher in a sustained rally. With price action playing out as expected, traders who entered early have already locked in substantial gains.
From a technical perspective, EURJPY’s bullish structure remains intact, with strong support now forming around the 158.000–159.000 range. If the price consolidates above this level, we could see further upside potential beyond 160.000. However, traders should watch for any retracements or potential resistance at key psychological levels. If bullish momentum continues, the next targets could extend toward 162.000 or higher, depending on market conditions.
Fundamentally, EURJPY’s movement is heavily influenced by central bank policies. The European Central Bank’s (ECB) stance on interest rates, coupled with the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) continued monetary easing, has contributed to yen weakness and euro strength. Additionally, risk sentiment in the market plays a crucial role—any shift toward a more risk-on environment will likely support further bullish moves in EURJPY. As the pair remains in an uptrend, traders should monitor key economic events and price action signals to maximize their profit potential.
Why GBPJPY is Bullish? Detailed Technicals and fundamentalsGBPJPY has successfully broken out of a falling wedge pattern, signaling a strong bullish momentum ahead. The breakout confirms a potential trend reversal, with buyers stepping in to push the price higher. Currently trading around 191.500, the pair is expected to gain over 500 pips, targeting the 198.500 level. A falling wedge breakout is typically a bullish continuation signal, and with increasing buying pressure, GBPJPY could see a steady upward move in the coming sessions.
From a technical standpoint, this breakout suggests that the pair has overcome a period of consolidation and is now positioned for an extended rally. Key resistance levels ahead will be 193.000 and 195.000 before reaching the 198.500 target. A strong bullish candlestick confirmation above these levels will add more confidence to this setup. Traders should also watch for retests of the breakout zone, as they often provide good entry opportunities before further upside movement.
On the fundamental side, GBPJPY is influenced by Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) ultra-loose monetary policy and the UK’s economic outlook. If the BoJ continues to maintain its dovish stance, the Japanese yen may weaken further, providing additional fuel for GBPJPY's bullish run. Additionally, any positive economic data from the UK, such as strong GDP growth or inflation control, could support further gains. Given the technical breakout and fundamental factors, GBPJPY looks well-positioned for a strong rally toward 198.500 in the near term.
EURO - Price can make correction, after strong movement upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price entered a flat, where it at once declined to support level, which coincided with support area.
The price entered this area and then started to grow, so EUR rose to $1.0520 points in a short time.
After this movement, Euro turned around and fell to $1.0215 support level again, making a strong gap.
Next, price turned around and in a short time rose to $1.0520 level and some time traded near it.
Later, price broke this level and rose until to $1.0720 points, but recently it turned around and started to fall.
So, I think that the Euro can make a correction movement to $1.0525 support area, after movement up.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EUR/USD : Get Ready for a Huge Sell Position! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the three-day timeframe, we can see that the price has started to rise following the sharp decline in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Currently, it is attempting to fill the identified Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The key supply zone is located between 1.08300 and 1.09380. Traders can look for a suitable sell trigger within this range for potential short positions.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EUR/USD Market Update: Bullish Momentum in Play
CAPITALCOM:EURUSD
We just updated our analysis according to the latest price action. Today's move gave us solid confirmation of the bullish trend. The market pulled back to 1.04276, touched our support level perfectly, and then bounced back up—just as expected. We've adjusted our star pattern while keeping the same key levels intact.
Chart Analysis:
Current Situation: The price is currently hovering around 1.04878, showing good strength after the bounce.
Support Level: 1.04276 proved itself as a solid support. The price respected this level, giving us more confidence in our bullish bias.
First Target: Our immediate target is 1.05415. This level lines up nicely with both our geometric grid and historical resistance. If the price keeps this momentum, it shouldn't take long to reach it.
Key Levels to Watch:
1.06440: This is the next resistance level. If we break through 1.05415, this is where we’ll focus.
1.07469 and 1.08626: These are more ambitious targets but definitely possible if the bullish momentum continues.
1.10834: This would be a real win, indicating a strong shift in the overall trend.
What the Chart Tells Us:
The updated chart shows how our geometric grid aligns with price action. The white "star" pattern gives us a roadmap, and the red dashed lines highlight important time pivots. These intersections often guide the price, so I’m keeping a close eye on them.
The recent "choch 4h" at 1.03738 marks a change of character on the 4-hour chart. It’s a good sign that the bearish phase might be behind us, and we’re in a new bullish cycle.
Bottom Line:
We’re on track toward 1.05415, and if the market keeps this pace, higher targets could be in play. I’ll be watching how the price reacts around our geometric intersections and adjusting as needed. The plan is simple: ride the bullish wave but stay ready in case the market throws us a curveball.
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the upper boundary of the channelEURUSD is above the ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price has already reached the upper boundary of the channel and is now moving from the dynamic resistance, which earlier was the starting point of the correction.
On the 4H Timeframe, the indicators indicate overbought.
We expect a pullback.
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Euro can reach resistance line of wedge and then drop to $1.0400Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price reached the resistance line before beginning to decline. Shortly after, the Euro dropped to the support level, aligning with the buyer zone, then rebounded back to the resistance line before falling again and breaking below the 1.0300 level. Following that, the Euro made a strong upward move, pushing past the resistance level and briefly entering the seller zone. However, the price quickly reversed and started declining within a wedge pattern, eventually breaking through the support line as well. It then fell to the lower boundary of the wedge, forming a gap before beginning to climb again. Not long after, the Euro broke above the 1.0300 level, retested it, and surged toward the resistance level, where it immediately re-entered the seller zone. After some consolidation in this area, the price dropped back to the wedge’s support line, breaking below 1.0490 once again. Recently, however, it rebounded and is now trading near the 1.0490 resistance level. From my perspective, the Euro has the potential to rise toward the wedge’s resistance line, breaking above the resistance level before reversing downward. If that happens, I expect the price to break below 1.0490 again and continue falling toward the wedge’s support line. That’s why I’ve set my TP at 1.0400, as it aligns with this key level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Channel Up testing 1D MA200 after 4 months!The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the January 13 Low and after the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) bounce, the current Bullish Leg is testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
This is the first 1D MA200 test since November 06 2024 and happens to be at the top of the Channel Up with the 1D RSI almost overbought (70.00). These conditions create a low risk opportunity for a short-term Sell. Our Target is the bottom of the Channel Up and the 1D MA50 at 1.04500.
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EUR/USD: The Overbought Illusion – A Reality CheckWell, well, well… look who's pumped up like a gym bro on pre-workout. EUR/USD just went full send 🚀, and the RSI is screaming, “Somebody stop me!”
Here’s the thing: when the market runs this hot, it’s usually not long before reality hits harder than a margin call on NFP day. 💀
🔹 RSI? Overbought.
🔹 Momentum? Euphoric.
🔹 Smart money? Probably sharpening their shorts.
Let me guess, retail traders are FOMO-ing into longs at the top, dreaming of 1.10 while the big boys are quietly setting up their bear traps 🐻. Seen this movie before. Spoiler alert: it doesn’t end well for the moon boys. 🌕➡️🌎
Medium term? This thing looks ready to roll over harder than a leveraged trader’s account in a flash crash. Watch for a nasty pullback once liquidity dries up and the buyers realize they’re partying at the wrong house. 🎉➡️🚪
Might want to secure those profits before the EUR/USD hype train derails. Don’t say I didn’t warn ya. 😏
Eur/Usd Mar/05 Daily biasHello eveyone.
i closed all my longs.last 2 days was great ( check my posts )
price is up almost 3% this week.price above cpr weekly 3rd res . so in this situation i think we will see a pullback.
i'm using tight stop loss.( today ADP...be carefull )
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( This is an idea and entry-tp-sl placed for my own trade , you can change entry-tp-sl depends on your risk management )
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 5, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD pressed the gas pedal and rose 1.4% on Tuesday, climbing 140 pips in a single session as markets sold off the US dollar and bet that US President Donald Trump will find a reason to backtrack on his tariff threats. Key data for both Europe and the US is due out later this week, but trade war rhetoric will rule the roost in the middle of the week.
US President Donald Trump, staying true to form, is already laying the groundwork for a U-turn on his own tariff threats. At midnight Eastern Time, a package of stiff tariffs of 25% on imported goods from Canada and Mexico went into effect. However, despite a brief bout of risk aversion early in the U.S. session, currency markets quickly regained their footing and placed a big bet on another retraction or postponement of tariff policy from the Trump administration.
Economic data will be sparse in the European market mid-week as traders in the vols are wringing their hands in anticipation of two beats - the European Central Bank's (ECB) March rate meeting on Thursday, and the latest iteration of U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) data scheduled for Friday. This week's NFP data is likely to attract even more attention than usual as investors will begin to watch for any signs of economic weakness as consumers and businesses begin to crack under the weight of President Trump's global trade war threats.
The ECB is expected to cut interest rates by another quarter of a percent on Thursday, bringing the main discount rate to 2.65% from 2.9%, while the deposit rate is expected to fall by a similar amount to 2.5% from 2.75% as the ECB tries to get ahead of rising recession risks and support the EU's broad and diverse domestic economy.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.06100, SL 1.05700, TP 1.06800
Market Analysis: EUR/USD RalliesMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Rallies
EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.0550 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a decent recovery wave from the 1.0360 zone against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0570 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0360 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.0450 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the last analysis.
The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.0550. Finally, the pair tested the 1.0635 resistance. A high was formed near 1.0637 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.0359 swing low to the 1.0637 high.
Immediate support on the downside is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.0570. The next major support is the 1.0500 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.0359 swing low to the 1.0637 high.
A downside break below the 1.0500 support could send the pair toward the 1.0465 level. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.0425.
Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.0635 zone. The first major resistance is near the 1.0665 level. An upside break above the 1.0665 level might send the pair toward the 1.0720 resistance.
The next major resistance is near the 1.0750 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.0800 level.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Eur/Usd (Mar/04) Weekly biasHello everyone...
as you can see 1.05 to 1.054 is major resistance and if you go to monthly-weekly chart you can see that + weekly 21 ema + D 100 ema-ma
.............
but i think price can go above that area...
Monthly Open above Monthly pivot also right now price is above weekly pivot and euro attacked this area so many times...
( but if price can't close above 1.054 is bad for euro )
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( This is an idea and entry-tp-sl placed for my own trade , you can change entry-tp-sl depends on your risk management )