EURUSD M15 I Bearish BreakoutBased on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our sell entry at 1.0477
A bearish breakout from this level could drop toward our take profit at 1.0423, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.05277, a swing-high resistance.
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Eurusd-4
GBP/JPY Analysis – Key Levels & Trade Scenarios📊 Timeframe: Weekly (1W) | Current Price: ~189.90
📉 Bearish Context:
Resistance at 192.04:
Strong supply zone (red rectangle) where price previously reversed.
Aligned with moving averages (likely 50 & 100 periods), acting as dynamic resistance.
Support at 184.63:
Marked in blue as a significant demand zone.
Historical reaction area, where buyers may step in again.
📉 Current Outlook:
Price rejected 192.04, forming a bearish structure.
Price currently consolidating below resistance, indicating weakness.
If selling pressure continues, a move toward 184.63 is likely.
📈 Trade Setups:
🔻 Short (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 189.50 with a bearish confirmation.
Target 1: 186.00
Target 2: 184.63
Stop Loss: Above 192.00 to avoid fakeouts.
🔼 Long (Reversal Play):
Entry: Strong bullish reaction from 184.63.
Target: Retest of 192.04, with SL below 184.00.
📌 Final Thoughts:
The bearish trend remains dominant unless 192.04 is broken.
A clean break below 189.50 strengthens the bearish outlook.
Macro factors and volatility could influence upcoming price action.
EURUSD Approaching Key Resistance – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a supply zone, where sellers have stepped in, leading to notable price reversals. The current price action suggests a potential bearish reaction if the resistance holds.
If sellers maintain control, we could see a decline toward the 1.03940 level, which represents a logical target based on the current market structure. Confirmation signals—such as a bearish engulfing candle, rejection wick, or increased selling volume—would strengthen the bearish outlook.
However, if the price breaks above this resistance zone and sustains momentum, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, signaling a potential shift in favor of buyers.
Monitoring how price reacts to this zone is crucial for identifying entry opportunities. As always, applying proper risk management is essential given the potential for volatility.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
EUR/USD 1H Analysis: EMA 200 Retest & Fibonacci Pullback – Key LKey Observations:
Ascending Wedge Breakout & Price Surge
The price broke out of a wedge pattern (green shaded area) with strong bullish momentum.
A strong rally led to a new local high (~1.0489).
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
The price is pulling back from the high, and Fibonacci retracement levels are marked.
Key levels to watch:
0.618 (1.04385) – Strong support
0.5 (1.04238) – Moderate support
0.382 (1.04091) – First level of reaction
EMA 200 Retest (~1.04467)
The 200 EMA (blue line) is acting as dynamic support.
The expectation (noted on the chart) is that price may touch or react at the EMA 200.
If it holds, it could trigger another bullish push.
If it breaks below EMA 200, further downside toward Fib 0.618 or 0.786 retracement is possible.
Potential Bearish Rejection (Red Arrows)
The red arrows suggest a possible lower high formation, meaning the price could reject from EMA 200 and start a deeper drop.
Volume Analysis
Increasing volume suggests strong participation.
If volume remains high near EMA 200, we might see a breakout or a strong bounce.
Potential Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Case (Buy Trade)
If price holds above EMA 200 (~1.04467) and forms a bullish reaction, a long trade could target:
First target: 1.0489 (previous high).
Second target: 1.0500+ (psychological level).
Stop Loss: Below 1.0435 (below Fib 0.618).
Bearish Case (Sell Trade)
If price fails at EMA 200 and forms a lower high, it could drop toward:
First target: 1.0430 (Fib 0.5).
Second target: 1.0409 (Fib 0.382).
Third target: 1.0390 (Fib 0.236).
Stop Loss: Above 1.0460 (above EMA 200).
Conclusion:
EMA 200 is the key level to watch.
Bullish bias above EMA 200; Bearish bias below.
If EMA 200 holds, buying could be a good strategy.
If it fails, further downside is expected.
Would you like a precise trade setup based on this? 🚀
Euro / U.S. DollarEuro Chart Update
Hello dear traders,
According to the DXY analysis, I have identified the suitable entry point for the Euro. Friends, please use the 15-minute timeframe for optimal entry, and be sure to pay attention to the reversal zones. You can even take advantage of these zones for minor fluctuations.
Important Points:
Support (4H): 1.03547
Imbalance: 1.03144
IFC 4H Candle: 1.03060
And finally, our main target is 1.01776.
Thank you for your support. A very simple and clear chart has been drawn for your use.
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
MY analysis on Gold in 1H chart its again downwords gold xauusd is in downword we can take sell positions for some time as it almost touches the EMA200 and again going downwords .
Key Observations:
Downtrend Channel Breakout:
The price was previously in a descending channel (marked in blue).
A breakout to the upside occurred, signaling a potential reversal or retracement.
200 EMA Resistance (Blue Line at ~2897):
The price approached the 200 EMA, which is a strong dynamic resistance.
The rejection at this level (highlighted by the red arrow) suggests selling pressure.
Bearish Rejection (Yellow Circle & Red Arrow):
A wick at the 200 EMA shows that buyers attempted to push higher but faced resistance.
This could be a sign of a potential trend continuation to the downside.
Potential Downside Target (Blue & Red Zones):
A short-term support zone is marked in blue, where price might retest.
A larger support block (red zone) indicates a deeper pullback if bearish momentum continues.
Volume Increasing:
Volume is rising, which could indicate stronger price action, whether continuation or reversal.
Possible Trading Scenarios:
Bearish Case (Most Likely):
If price continues to reject the 200 EMA, it could drop toward the red support zone (~2,860-2,870).
A break below this level could lead to further downside.
Bullish Case (Less Likely):
If price reclaims the 200 EMA and holds above it, it could target the next resistance zone (~2,920).
Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish below 200 EMA unless price breaks above.
Potential Trade: Watch for a retest of the blue zone for a possible short entry targeting the red support block.
Would you like an entry/exit plan based on this setup?
EUR/USD soars as eurozone CPI higher than expectedThe euro has charged out of the gates and posted strong gains on Monday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0484, up 1.06%. With today's sharp gains, the euro has ended a three-day slide.
Inflation in the eurozone eased to 2.4% y/y in February, down from 2.5% in January but above the market estimate of 2.3%. Monthly, inflation jumped 0.5%, the fastest pace since April 2024 and after a January decline of 0.3%. It was the same story for core CPI, which slowed to 2.6% y/y, down from 2.7% in January but above the market estimate of 2.5%.
Investors focused on the fact that CPI was higher than expected and on the hot monthly CPI figure. As a result, the euro has soared as the European Central Bank could delay rate-cut plans with inflation surprising on the upside. The ECB is also concerned about sticky services inflation, which fell from 3.9% to 3.7% but remains much higher than the inflation target of 2%.
The ECB lowered rates in January and meets next on March 6. There is little doubt that the ECB will trim rates by a quarter-point but after that the rate path is unclear. The eurozone economy is sluggish and hasn't shown much response to the five rate cuts from the ECB since it started its easing cycle last June. The economy could use additional rate cuts but the ECB remains concerned about the upward risk of inflation and today's CPI report hasn't put those worries to rest.
Europe's manufacturing sector is stuck in the doldrums, with contractions in Germany, Italy, France and even Spain, which has been the eurozone's bright spot. Still, there is some optimism among manufacturers, as Germany quickly formed a government and there is the possibility of an end to the war in Ukraine.
EUR/USD is testing resistance at 1.0483. Above, there is resistance at 1.0590
1.0421 and 1.0314 are the next support lines
"EUR/USD: Long Opportunity at Trendline Support"Uptrend Momentum with Key Support & Resistance Levels
1. Overall Market Structure & Trend
The EUR/USD pair is currently in an upward trend, as indicated by the well-defined ascending trendline. This trendline has been respected multiple times, providing strong dynamic support. The price has been making higher highs and higher lows, further confirming the bullish structure.
2. Critical Buying Zone & Upward Trendline Support
A key buying zone is highlighted in the 1.0400–1.0440 region. This area aligns with both the trendline support and the previous consolidation zone, making it a strong potential demand area. If the price retraces into this zone, a bullish reaction is expected, offering a potential entry opportunity for long positions.
3. Moving Averages as Dynamic Support
The price is currently trading above the 200-period moving average (blue) and the 50-period moving average (red). These moving averages are acting as dynamic support levels, reinforcing the overall bullish bias. A successful retest of these levels could provide confirmation for further upside movement.
4. Potential Upside Target at 1.0550
The immediate upside target is set around the 1.0550 resistance level, which marks a previous high. A breakout above this zone could trigger further bullish momentum, potentially pushing the price towards higher resistance levels.
5. Short-Term Pullback & Rebound Potential
Currently, the price is undergoing a minor correction. However, as long as the trendline and the buying zone remain intact, a bullish rebound is the most likely scenario. The red arrow on the chart indicates an anticipated upward movement upon a successful retest of the support zone.
6. Conclusion & Trading Strategy
- Bullish Outlook: As long as the price remains above the upward trendline and key support zone, the bias remains bullish.
🔹Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 1.0400–1.0440 (buying zone)
Resistance: 1.0550 (target area)
Trade Setup: A potential long entry could be considered upon confirmation of a bounce from the trendline and support area, with a target of 1.0550 and a stop-loss below 1.0380.
😊Don't Forget To Hit The Like Button & Share Your Thoughts In Comments.
EUR/USD: Double Top Formation with Potential Downside TargetTechnical Analysis:
The EUR/USD chart shows the formation of a double top pattern around the 1.0480 level, which is commonly interpreted as a bearish reversal signal. The price action highlights that the previous resistance level has been tested twice, with an inability to break above this level, suggesting that selling pressure is building. Additionally, a broken trendline (indicated in the chart) supports the likelihood of a downward move.
The price has already broken below the ascending trendline, confirming the weakening bullish momentum. The target for this pattern is located at around 1.0325, which aligns with previous support levels and the projected completion of the pattern.
________________________________________
Fundamental Analysis:
Fundamentally, several factors could contribute to a potential downside for EUR/USD:
Economic Data Releases:
The Eurozone has been facing challenges with economic growth, particularly due to inflationary pressures and the ongoing impact of global supply chain disruptions.
On the other hand, the US economy has shown resilience, with strong labor market reports and consumer spending data that may indicate continued strength. If these trends persist, the USD could gain strength relative to the EUR.
Monetary Policy Divergence:
The European Central Bank (ECB) has been cautious in raising interest rates, with a focus on stimulating growth in the region. This contrasts with the US Federal Reserve, which has been tightening its monetary policy more aggressively to combat inflation.
The divergence in monetary policy could continue to support the USD, adding downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.
Geopolitical Events:
Ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, including the impact of global trade tensions and regional conflicts, could further affect the Eurozone's economic outlook, while the USD might benefit as a safe haven in times of uncertainty.
________________________________________
Conclusion: With both technical and fundamental factors pointing to a potential bearish scenario for EUR/USD, traders should be cautious of further downside movement. The key support around 1.0325 is critical, and a break below this level could open up further downside towards the next support levels.
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.0473 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.0429
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0373
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0429
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EUR/USD pair is still struggling with the identified resistance zone and has been rejected multiple times from this level. Given the current market structure and the formed pattern, a corrective move toward the identified support area is expected. After completing the correction, the price is likely to resume its upward movement toward higher resistance levels.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GBPUSD FUNDAMENTALS AND TECHNICAL ANALYSISGBPUSD is currently trading at 1.265, showing strong bullish momentum as it finds solid support at this level. The gradual increase in trading volume indicates growing interest from buyers, suggesting that the pair is gaining strength for a potential move toward the 1.288 target. If this support level holds, we could see further bullish continuation in the coming sessions.
From a technical perspective, GBPUSD is respecting key support, with increasing volume confirming buyer interest. A break above minor resistance levels could further accelerate the uptrend, providing a clear path toward 1.288. If price action remains above 1.260, it will reinforce the bullish outlook, while traders should watch for any pullbacks as potential buying opportunities.
Fundamentally, GBPUSD's strength is influenced by a softer US dollar as expectations around the Federal Reserve’s rate policy shift. Any dovish signals from the Fed or weaker US economic data could push the dollar lower, giving GBP an advantage. Additionally, positive UK economic indicators or a hawkish stance from the Bank of England could further support the pair’s bullish momentum.
In summary, GBPUSD is holding strong support with increasing volume, signaling potential upside toward 1.288. If this bullish momentum sustains, traders could capitalize on the breakout, with confirmation needed through technical signals and macroeconomic developments. Keep an eye on resistance levels and market sentiment for further validation.
EURJPY Bullish Breakout: Targeting 300 Pips Toward 161.500EURJPY is currently trading at 157.500, having completed a falling wedge breakout and now holding above a key support level. The falling wedge is a strong bullish reversal pattern, indicating that after a period of consolidation, buyers are stepping in to drive the price higher. If this support holds, EURJPY could gain further momentum, targeting the 161.500 level for a potential 300-pip move.
From a technical perspective, the breakout has already been confirmed, and price action suggests that bulls are in control. A strong hold above support, along with increased buying pressure, could push EURJPY toward its next resistance zone near 161.500. Traders should watch for bullish candlestick formations and volume confirmation to strengthen the breakout scenario.
On the fundamental side, the euro’s strength against the yen is largely driven by monetary policy divergence between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The ECB remains relatively hawkish, while the BoJ continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, keeping the yen weak. Additionally, risk-on sentiment in global markets tends to favor EURJPY upside.
In summary, EURJPY has broken out of a falling wedge and is holding above a critical support level, with bullish momentum building. If this level remains intact, the pair could see a 300-pip rally toward 161.500. Traders should monitor price action, volume, and any shifts in ECB or BoJ policy for further confirmation of the bullish trend.
EUR/USD: Bearish Outlook – Targeting 1.03630 & Below 📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
EUR/USD is currently rejecting a key supply zone (1.0450 - 1.0480), showing strong signs of continued downside pressure. The pair is in a bearish trend, with price action confirming lower highs and lower lows, as seen in the Prime Market Terminal charts.
📉 Key Levels to Watch:
Supply Zone: 1.0450 - 1.0480 (Strong resistance & liquidity zone)
Demand Zone: 1.03630 - 1.03219 (Institutional liquidity target)
Extended Bearish Target: 1.02687 (Deep liquidity grab area)
🔍 Trade Setup: Bearish Bias Towards Key Support Levels
📌 Entry: Sell between 1.0450 - 1.0480
🎯 TP1: 1.03630 (Liquidity Zone)
🎯 TP2: 1.03219 (Institutional Liquidity Grab)
🎯 TP3: 1.02687 (Extended Downside Target)
❌ SL: 1.05150 (Above Key Resistance)
📉 Why This Trade? (Prime Market Terminal Analysis)
✔️ Bearish Market Structure – The 1D & 4H trend remains bearish, confirming a downward trajectory. Supertrend is bearish, and price is trading below the 72 EMA & 288 EMA, showing weak bullish momentum.
✔️ Liquidity Targets Identified – Market depth analysis from Prime Market Terminal reveals a lack of strong buy orders above 1.0450, suggesting that sellers dominate.
✔️ Volume Profile Analysis – The visible range (VPVR) highlights a high-volume node at 1.03630, making it a strong area for price to seek liquidity.
✔️ Commitment of Traders (COT) Data – Institutional positioning indicates an increase in short contracts for the EUR, aligning with the bearish trend.
✔️ Order Flow & Market Depth – Prime Market Terminal shows institutional sellers stacking sell orders at 1.0450, while liquidity pools rest below 1.03630 and 1.03219, making these ideal targets for price.
📰 High-Impact News to Watch
⚠️ HICP Flash Inflation Data (EUR - March 3, 2025) – Any deviation from expectations could drive EUR volatility.
⚠️ ISM Manufacturing PMI (USD - March 3, 2025) – A stronger-than-expected report could strengthen USD and drive EUR/USD lower.
⚠️ Fed's Musalem Speech (March 3, 2025) – A hawkish stance could accelerate EUR/USD downside pressure.
📌 Final Thoughts: Follow the Trend & Manage Risk!
EUR/USD remains firmly bearish, with liquidity resting below 1.03630. The confluence of institutional positioning, bearish trend confirmation, and market depth insights support a sell bias. Watch price action at key levels and manage your risk accordingly!
🔥 What’s your bias? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
Brenker block or Order Block + Inducement = Profits EverywhereHello everyone, happy new week and a happy new month of March to you all !!!
First of, fundamentals are heavy on EURUSD this week, like really heavy. Coupled with the fact that this is non-farm payrolls week. (Fundamentals).
Secondly, there was a market Structure shift last week which is signaling shorts.
This setup overall has a stop loss of less than 35 pips from the breaker block but if you need a tighter Stop loss then you can use the other point of interest which is the order block i marked out.
Use proper risk and money management and do not over-leverage your account.
Most especially, do your own analysis !
EUR/USD Bearish Outlook – Key Levels & Trade Setups📊 Technical Analysis EUR/USD
Timeframe: Likely Weekly (1W)
Current Price: ~1.0416
📉 Bearish Context:
Key Resistance: 1.05290
This zone has been tested multiple times without a breakout, indicating strong selling pressure.
It aligns with a liquidity area visible in the red rectangle.
Also near the yellow moving average (likely 50 or 100 periods), acting as dynamic resistance.
Key Support: 1.02838
Marked in blue as a potential short-term target.
A level that previously provided support and may attract buyers again.
📉 Current Scenario:
The price has rejected the 1.0529 resistance with a strong bearish candle.
A breakdown from the gray zone suggests a potential continuation downward.
If selling pressure persists, the 1.02838 target could be reached.
📈 Potential Trading Strategies:
🔻 Short Scenario (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 1.0430 after confirmation with a daily bearish close.
Target 1: 1.02838
Target 2: Below 1.0200 (depending on price action).
Stop Loss: Above 1.0500 (to avoid false breakouts).
🔼 Long Scenario (Less Likely Bullish Setup):
Entry: Confirmed bounce above 1.02838 with a strong reversal candle.
Target: Retest of 1.0529, with a stop below 1.0280.
📌 Final Considerations:
The current structure favors a short-term bearish continuation.
Key areas (support and resistance) will be crucial for the next move.
Watch for macroeconomic data and volatility, as they could impact the trend.
EURUSD: The downtrend remains intact!Dear traders!
Currently, EURUSD is pausing its three-day losing streak, trading around 1.0417 during the Asian session on Monday. The pair's recovery is driven by a weaker US dollar, following the release of the January Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data on Friday, which aligned with forecasts and eased concerns over an unexpected inflation spike in the US.
However, the upside remains challenging, as the downtrend channel is still intact, and there are no significant reversal signals from the EMA 34 and 89. If the resistance levels within the channel hold firmly under bearish pressure, the downward trajectory is expected to persist, potentially pushing EURUSD towards 1.0363 (gap-filling level) and even lower, towards the lower boundary of the trend channel, as indicated on the chart.
EUR: watch for a single word that could change everything The European Central Bank (ECB) is set to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its March 6 meeting, lowering the deposit rate to 2.5%. All 82 economists surveyed by Reuters expect the cut.
So, with this in the bag, the focus shifts to what comes next. Markets see a 60% chance of another cut in April, but hawkish policymakers like Isabel Schnabel are pushing back.
According to ING, a key signal will be whether the ECB drops the term “restrictive” from its stance. If it does, a pause could follow; if not, further cuts may be likely.
Overall, though, the ECB is unlikely to provide detailed forward guidance. Factors like U.S. tariffs and developments in Ukraine could significantly impact the eurozone economy, making it difficult to set a long-term policy path.