EURUSD - Potential Outlook for 20/11/2024
EURUSD has been ranging however there's a potential for a breakout to upside. As far as the support holds, we should see a move to upper levels.
For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management.
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Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Eurusd-4
Will Most Stable Currency Pair Finally Break Its 20-Year PatternThe foreign exchange market stands at a pivotal crossroads as the seemingly unshakeable euro-dollar relationship faces its most significant test since the 2022 energy crisis. Traditional market dynamics are being challenged by an unprecedented confluence of factors: the return of Trump-era trade policies, escalating geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe, and diverging monetary paths between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank. This perfect storm has pushed the euro to levels not seen since October 2023, prompting leading financial institutions to reassess their long-held assumptions about currency stability.
What makes this moment particularly compelling is the broader economic context. While previous threats to euro-dollar parity emerged from singular crises, today's challenge stems from structural shifts in global trade architecture. Deutsche Bank's analysis suggests that proposed trade policies could fundamentally alter international capital flows, with the potential to drive the euro below parity to 0.95 or lower – a scenario that would rewrite modern forex history. This isn't merely about numbers; it's about a potential reshaping of global economic power dynamics.
The most intriguing aspect of this development lies in its timing. As we approach a period traditionally characterized by dollar weakness – December has seen the greenback decline in eight of the past ten years – markets face a fascinating contradiction. Will historical seasonal patterns prevail, or are we witnessing the emergence of a new paradigm in currency markets? The answer could reshape investment strategies across the globe and challenge long-held beliefs about currency market dynamics. For investors and market observers alike, the coming months promise to deliver one of the most compelling chapters in recent financial history.
+100/+150 pips GBPUSD H11 short/long trade plan🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for GBPUSD today.
Solid bounce off the lows in progress, however overhead resistance
will cap any immediate upside.
🔸Key levels for GBPUSD traders: 2625 s/r bulls, 2735 s/r bears,
2775 mirror s/r bears level will get re-tested by the bulls for liquidity.
🔸Recommended strategy for GBPUSD traders: the sequence
is short / long so you want to short high off the s/r bears at 2735 SL 40
TP 2625 pips, this is the W reversal play / re-test of the mirror s/r bulls
at 2625 then flip lonjg at/near 2625+-10 pips SL 40 pips TP1 +75
TP2 +150 pips final exit bulls at mirror s/r at 2775. this is a swing
trade setup, patience required. good luck traders!
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
GBPCAD H4 300 pips dump incoming short it🔸Hello traders, let's review the 4hour chart for GBPCAD today. Weak
support breakdown in progress currently on H4 and I don't expect it
to hold the sell side pressure.
🔸There is no strong S/R zones until 7440 currently we are trading at 7730
so I expect the price to slide through the weak s/r zone. S/R zone
was tested multiple times recently and only produced a weak bounce
therefore expecting breakdown and new dump.
🔸Recommended strategy for GBPCAD traders: short sell at market or
short sell any weak bounces near market price, SL 60 pips TP1 +150 pips
TP2 +300 pips. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
EURUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.06200 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.06200 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD today The EURUSD pair remains under significant bearish control, consolidating just above the critical support level near 1.0527. Despite a slight recovery, the overall trend continues to favor sellers, with the recent pullback likely to face resistance around the 1.0775–1.0868 zone.
Key Technical Insights:
Downward Momentum: The pair has been unable to sustain any significant upward movement, with each rally being met by selling pressure, maintaining the dominant bearish structure.
Resistance Levels: The 1.0775 and 1.0868 zones represent formidable barriers, with a rejection at these levels expected to reinforce the downward trend.
Target Levels: A breakdown below 1.0527 could open the path toward the psychological level of 1.0500 and further extend losses toward 1.0300.
Outlook:
Traders should monitor any attempts to retest the resistance zones for potential sell opportunities. As long as EURUSD remains below 1.0775, the pair is likely to stay on its bearish trajectory.
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 20, 2024 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
15:00 EET. EUR - ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks
EURUSD:
On Tuesday, the EUR/USD was trading between the 1.0550 and 1.06000 levels. It tested the lower boundary but then recovered, adding just 0.14% for the day. The final data on EU Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation had little impact on market movements, and the greenback will have to settle for a limited release schedule this week.
The European core HICP inflation rate remained at 2.0% y/y in October, in line with preliminary data. The data did not generate interest in the euro markets and was not a focus on either side of the bid-ask spread. US data remains inactive until the second half of the trading week, when jobless claims and retail sales data will be released.
On Wednesday, ECB President Lagarde will deliver the opening remarks at the ECB's Financial Stability and Macroprudential Policy Conference. The ECB finds itself in a challenging position, with European inflation holding firm against initial expectations and the broader European economy displaying a lopsided tilt.
The first half of the US trading week will see few economic data releases. On Thursday, average initial jobless claims will be published, which are expected to show a slight increase in the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the week ending 15 November. US Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data will be released this week, but will not impact investors until Friday.
Trading recommendation: We follow the level of 1.06000, when fixing above it we consider Buy positions, when rebounding we consider Sell positions.
#EURUSD - 20112024I was bullish EURUSD yesterday, looking for a dip to go long off. It was a huge dip TBH, but the double level support worked perfectly as EURUSD closed near the highs.
Daily price action is a candle with a long lower wick which IMO should see another re-visit of the lows. Overall, I am still looking at 1.0546 to hold for a move higher for today.
EURUSD strong buy signal if the 4hour MA50 breaks.EURUSD has started trading inside a Channel Up pattern, approaching the 4hour MA50 with its 4hour RSI on the rise.
This is identical to the pattern of late October both on price and RSI terms.
When that pattern finally closed a candle over the 4hour MA50, the price was catapulted to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (but remained under the 4hour MA200).
As a result, go long if the 4hour MA50 gets crossed and target 1.07550 (Fib 1.618).
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EUR/USD Outlook: Key Levels and Potential Bearish ContinuationThe EUR/USD chart indicates a bearish outlook, with price currently trading below the pivot line at 1.07719.
Bearish Scenario: If the price remains below 1.07719, further declines are likely toward the support levels at 1.06164 and potentially down to 1.05444. A break below 1.05444 could see the price reaching the next support level at 1.03906.
Bullish Scenario: If the price manages to rise above the pivot line at 1.07719, it may aim for the resistance at 1.09156. A close above this level would suggest a shift toward bullish momentum, with the next target at 1.10050.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 1.07719
Resistance Levels: 1.09156, 1.10050
Support Levels: 1.06164, 1.05444, 1.03906
previous idea:
Filling the gap and returning to the main path.After the rapid movement of the price from 2708 and going down and breaking the level of 2605, the price made a correction in the direction of filling the gap of the market towards the level of 2653 by reaching the range of 2545 and it is expected that after the gap is filled and the distance between the market and the collision With the trend line and reaching the range of 2676-2655, the expectation is to return to its downward path.
EURUSD: Strong Bearish Bias! Sell!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 1.05523
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
EURUSD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0567
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot PointsLow anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.0581
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURO - Price can break support level and continue fall in wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price grew inside rising channel, where it at once broke $1.0835 level, after which rose to resistance line.
Also, in channel, price made a gap, after which rose to $1.0935 points and then started to decline.
Euro exited from channel, and continued to decline inside wedge, where it broke $1.0835 level and fell to $1.0680 level.
Price tried to grow, but failed and later broke $1.0680 level too, and continued to decline next to support area.
When price reached this area, which coincided with $1.0530 support level, it bounced and now EUR trades near it.
In my mind, price can grow to resistance line of wedge and then continue to fall to $1.0425, breaking support level.
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GBPCHF Analysis Next Market MovePair Name = GBBCHF
Timeframe = 4H
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
GBPJPY is ready to bounce back after a This drop. Now this is making the Lower high and then lower low. A strong support level we can see around 1.108 to 1.104 after bouncing from this support level we can see a good gain UpTo 300Pips+.
Bullish Target:-
1.134
1.135
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EUR/USD pair has broken a key support level and is now pulling back to test this zone as resistance. If this level holds, we anticipate further downside movement, potentially reaching lower targets as marked.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
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To transform this fantasy into a reality, new traders must cultivate an understanding of what it truly takes to thrive in forex. Consistency, discipline, and a long-term perspective form the foundation for those who succeed in this fast-paced market. Instead of chasing easy profits, embrace a mindset centered on growth, education, and adaptability.
These are the true hallmarks of successful forex trading.
1 - The Importance of Knowledge and Skill
A commitment to continuous learning and market insight lies at the heart of every successful forex trader. Knowledge is not simply power; it differentiates between triumph and failure in the trading arena. Many traders enter the market with only a superficial understanding, hoping for a few lucky breaks to lead them to financial independence. However, achieving success necessitates a deep comprehension of market dynamics, from economic indicators to technical chart patterns.
Mastering trading requires proficiency in both technical and fundamental analysis, as well as insight into the psychological factors that affect market behavior. Top traders dedicate significant time to honing their skills, studying trends, and adapting to various trading environments. This robust knowledge base not only enables traders to navigate market fluctuations confidently but also fosters long-term growth and resilience. Remember, effective trading is about cultivating the skills and mindset essential for consistent success—not just chasing after quick gains.
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While the allure of forex trading lies in its flexibility, the practical realities reveal that it is anything but carefree. Traders must navigate complex market dynamics and appreciate the importance of timing, as forex operates around the clock across multiple global sessions. Understanding the nuances of the different trading sessions—such as those in Asia, Europe, and the US—is crucial for identifying the most opportune moments to trade.
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Effective risk management extends beyond merely capping losses; it’s about safeguarding your capital to ensure longevity in trading. This process starts with setting clear risk parameters for each trade and employing instruments like Stop Loss orders to mitigate unforeseen market fluctuations. Yet, even the most well-laid strategies can falter without emotional fortitude.
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Actionable Tips for Beginners
Beginning your forex trading journey may feel overwhelming, given the plethora of strategies and information available. However, by anchoring your focus on a few key principles, you can establish a solid foundation for lasting success. The following actionable tips will guide new traders through the complexities of the market while helping you avoid common pitfalls:
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EUR/USD: Can the Euro Benefit from Dollar Correction?The EUR/USD currency pair is showing resilience as the US Dollar experiences a downward correction. Currently, the dollar’s decline appears to be somewhat constrained due to diminished expectations of an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This dynamic is influencing market sentiments and keeping traders on their toes.
Adding to the market narrative, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde recently urged European nations to collaborate more effectively, particularly in strategic areas such as defense and climate change. Her comments highlight a growing recognition among EU leaders of the need to pool resources and respond cohesively to global challenges, which could further bolster the euro's position against the dollar.
As the EUR/USD navigates its current trading environment, it finds itself within a significant demand zone. This zone offers a potential opportunity for the euro to leverage the ongoing retracement of the US Dollar Index (DXY). In light of this technical backdrop, traders are closely observing market conditions and are looking for favorable long positions that promise a healthy risk-to-reward ratio.
With macroeconomic factors such as central bank policies and geopolitical developments playing a critical role, the focus remains on how these influences will shape the currency pair's trajectory moving forward. A successful entry into a long position could capitalize on any further dollar weakness, especially as traders assess both US monetary policy signals and European economic strategies. Thus, positioning oneself strategically could be key to optimizing potential gains in this evolving market landscape.
DXY Dollar Index
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Euro H4 | Heading into resistanceThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.0647 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.0738 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 1.0495 which is a swing-low support.
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EURUSD → Potential breakdown formation. Target 1.0700?CAPITALCOM:EURUSD remains relatively stable. The price is currently consolidating above the breakout level of 1.058, forming a potential breakout scenario. Meanwhile, the US dollar is experiencing slight depreciation during this period.
Theoretically, after the breakout, the pair has been consolidating (aiming to accumulate previous market liquidity levels) before potentially strengthening further. Key zones to watch in this case are 1.0640 - 1.0663, with a higher target at 1.070.
Fundamentally, the current interaction between the British pound and the US dollar is balanced. Therefore, before any major news releases, we can expect a potential recovery.
We need to closely monitor the price reaction to these critical levels. If the bulls defend the 1.056 level and consolidate their position just below this zone, an upward movement may occur sooner than expected.
Wishing you all the best of luck!