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Eurusd-4

EUR/USD Extends Losses on Turnaround Tuesday as USD StrengthensAs anticipated in our previous analysis, the EUR/USD pair extended its losses on Turnaround Tuesday, breaking through a weak demand area that had little support from underlying fundamentals. The euro continued to slide as the US Dollar (USD) maintained its upward momentum, driven by a combination of economic data and market sentiment. US Dollar Strength Backed by FOMC Minutes The ongoing strength of the USD has been bolstered by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes from the September 18 meeting. The minutes revealed that a "substantial majority" of Fed policymakers supported easing monetary policy with a 50-basis-point rate cut. However, they refrained from setting a specific timeline for future cuts, leaving room for further policy adjustments based on upcoming economic data. The hawkish undertone of the FOMC's position has given the USD additional support in recent weeks, fueling its rally against major currencies, including the EUR. FedWatch Tool Highlights Market Expectations According to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, market participants are currently pricing in an 88% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the next Federal Reserve meeting. This high probability reflects growing expectations of further monetary easing, which has helped sustain the greenback’s strength. Upcoming US Economic Data to Watch Looking ahead, the market's focus will shift to Thursday, when the US releases key economic data, including USD Core Retail Sales (m/m), Retail Sales (m/m), and Unemployment Claims. These reports are expected to inject volatility into USD-correlated currency pairs, particularly EUR/USD, as they will offer insights into the strength of the US economy and provide further direction for the USD. Traders will closely watch these releases to gauge the health of the US economy and its potential impact on the Federal Reserve’s future rate decisions. Strong retail sales data and lower unemployment claims could strengthen the USD further, while weaker-than-expected figures may signal the need for more aggressive monetary easing. Market Positioning and Technical Outlook From a market positioning standpoint, recent data shows a shift in sentiment among speculators and commercial traders. Speculators have reduced their net long positions in the EUR, indicating decreased confidence in the euro’s near-term prospects. Conversely, commercial traders have increased their net long positions, suggesting that some institutional investors believe the EUR may be undervalued at current levels. From a technical perspective, we are closely monitoring two key demand areas on the chart. The price is nearing these zones, and we are waiting to see how the market reacts before making any decisions about entering long positions. If the price finds support at one of these demand areas, it could signal a potential reversal or retracement. However, as always, patience is crucial in waiting for confirmation before executing any trades. Conclusion The EUR/USD pair remains under pressure as the USD continues to dominate, fueled by expectations of further monetary easing and strong economic data. While the pair is approaching key demand areas, traders should exercise caution and wait for clearer signals before entering long positions. With Thursday's US data releases on the horizon, the markets are set for increased volatility, and these reports will likely shape the next phase of EUR/USD's direction. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
1
EUR/USD Struggles to Recover - Bears Dominate!Today, EUR/USD pair continued to fluctuate in a narrow range below the 1.0900 mark during Thursday's trading session, holding on to recent heavy losses, after falling to a near two-month low the previous day. Technically, the old support level has turned into a stiff resistance, making any recovery attempt difficult. Meanwhile, technical indicators and signals from EMA 34, 89 continue to favor the Bears, putting EUR/USD on the back foot against other rivals. Good luck traders!
Short
by Bentradegold
2
Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0877 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 1.0835 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level Take profit: 1.0951 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD: Channel Down on 1H giving two trades.EURUSD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 30.958, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 45.308) as it has been on a non-stop decline, which is even more effectively displayed on the 1H chart. You can see the flawless Channel Down making -0.90% Bearish Waves and then pulling back to the 0.5 Fibonacci only to get rejected again under the 1H MA100. This gives a potential double trade, initally with a short now to complete the -0.90% wave (TP = 1.08555) and then long to the 0.5 Fib (TP = 1.09000). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
by InvestingScope
EURUSD sellPreviously i was totally buy baised but now as i have observed the pair from weekly to daily to 4H to 1H we are seeing a downward 👇 move in the pair also the confluence is 50 SMA which is above the price also we have a support level down there at 1.0884 price level if price breaks below 👇 we will see a heavy downside move in the pair also the confluence is from H4 to H1 we are experiencing a falling wedge pattern which indicates price will soon fall after break below
Short
by Wakeel_Saab
GBP/USD : First BUY, then SELL ! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently holding the support at the 1.30700 area. I expect it to continue its upward movement. The potential targets for this analysis are 1.31130 and the range between 1.31345 to 1.31455. Also, keep an eye on the 1.31455 to 1.31760 area for a potential SELL opportunity. THE MAIN ANALYSIS : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
3
#Tesla Analysis : +20% so far, What's Next ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Tesla stock chart on the weekly (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that, as expected in the previous analysis, Tesla stock faced selling pressure after reaching the supply zone of $233 to $271. This selling pressure intensified this week, causing the price to drop by about 20%, reaching $214. Currently, Tesla stock is trading around $220. We will likely see a slight upward move followed by further declines in the stock. The Main Analysis : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
1
EUR/USD : Potential Buy Opportunity Near Strong Support ZoneThe EUR/USD pair is currently testing a significant Support/Demand zone on the Daily timeframe, around 1.09, which has previously held as a key level for buyers. With the U.S. Dollar showing signs of weakening, especially as market sentiment shifts amidst economic concerns, this area is critical for determining the next move. Technical Insights: Daily Chart: The price is hovering near the demand zone, suggesting that buying interest may emerge from this level. Historically, this region has acted as a major support for price rebounds. Bullish Convergence on H4: On the H4 timeframe, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) is showing a classic bullish convergence, with the indicator making higher lows while price forms lower lows. This suggests that the selling momentum is weakening, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reversal. Trade Plan: Entry : Wait for a clear bullish reversal pattern such as a bullish engulfing or a pin bar around the 1.09 level on the lower timeframes (H1 or H4) for confirmation. Stop Loss : Below 1.0850, just under the support level to manage risk. Target : Initial targets around 1.1020, with the possibility to extend higher if bullish momentum continues. FX:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD FOREXCOM:EURUSD
Long
by Trading_Zone_3773
Master Breakout Trading: The Strategy Every Trader Needs to KnowIn the world of trading, a "breakout" refers to a price movement that occurs when an asset moves beyond a predefined support or resistance level. These pivotal moments often signal a significant shift in market dynamics and can lead to substantial price changes. Breakouts are crucial for traders as they can mark the beginning of a new trend. A breakout above a resistance level may suggest the start of an uptrend, while a breakout below support could indicate a downtrend. Learning to identify and trade breakouts effectively can unlock profitable opportunities and help traders capitalize on shifting market conditions. What Are Breakouts in Trading? Breakouts occur when the price of an asset surpasses a well-established support or resistance level, suggesting a potential shift in market direction. A bullish breakout happens when the price breaks above resistance, signaling upward momentum. Conversely, a bearish breakout occurs when the price drops below support, often indicating the continuation of a downtrend. Breakouts are significant because they often lead to increased trading activity and volatility, offering traders opportunities to enter or exit positions at pivotal moments. These breakouts are often accompanied by increased trading volume, which helps confirm the validity of the price move and suggests that a new trend is forming. How Breakouts Occur and Their Importance Breakouts occur when price action surpasses critical price levels—either support or resistance—that have acted as barriers in the past. These levels are often identified through technical analysis and represent key turning points where buyers or sellers have historically entered the market in large numbers. --Support Levels: A price point where an asset tends to stop falling and may reverse upward. A bearish breakout occurs when the price drops below this level, signaling a continuation of the downtrend. --Resistance Levels: A price point where an asset typically stops rising and may reverse downward. A bullish breakout occurs when the price surpasses this level, suggesting the potential for further upward movement. Breakouts are important because they can indicate the start of a new market trend. When price breaks through a support or resistance level, it signals that the market sentiment has shifted, and traders can take advantage of this movement to capture profits. For successful breakout trading, it's essential to confirm these breakouts using volume and other technical indicators to avoid being caught in a false breakout, where price briefly breaks a level but reverses direction shortly after. Examples of Breakout Scenarios Breakouts can present profitable trading opportunities in both bullish and bearish markets. Here are two examples: --Bullish Breakout Example Take a look at the following EUR/USD chart, where the price breaks above the 1.0200 level after previously rebounding off resistance. Traders would interpret this as a bullish breakout and may look to enter long positions, expecting the pair to sustain its upward momentum. This breakout provides a buying opportunity as market sentiment turns positive and shifts to the upside. --Bearish Breakout Example Take a look at the following EUR/USD chart, where the price breaks below the 1.03500 level after previously rebounding off support. Traders would view this as a bearish breakout and may consider entering short positions, anticipating the pair to maintain its downward momentum. This breakout offers a selling opportunity as market sentiment shifts to the downside. In both examples, breakouts offer traders clear entry points based on the movement beyond established levels, allowing them to profit from the new trend. 👆 Read Also this deep article where we cover everything you need to know about Support-and-Resistance in trading. The Concept of Breakout Trading Breakout trading is based on the premise that once price moves beyond significant support or resistance levels, it is likely to continue in that direction for some time. This approach involves recognizing these levels, waiting for the breakout to occur, and entering a trade in the direction of the breakout. Key elements of breakout trading include: --Identifying Key Levels: Use technical analysis to locate critical support and resistance levels where price has previously struggled to break through. --Confirming the Breakout: Ensure the breakout is accompanied by strong volume to confirm its validity. --Risk Management: Employ Stop Loss orders to protect against false breakouts, where the price briefly breaks the level but then reverses. --Maximizing Profits: Traders aim to capture as much of the price movement as possible, staying in the trade as long as the breakout trend remains intact. To identify potential breakouts, traders often use indicators like trendlines, moving averages, and volume analysis. Chart patterns, such as triangles or flags, can also signal a potential breakout. When combined with volume analysis, these tools help confirm that a breakout is likely to lead to a sustained price movement. Popular Breakout Trading Strategies: --Trendline Breakout Strategy One of the most popular strategies involves using trendlines. A trendline is drawn by connecting two or more price points, creating a visual representation of market direction. When the price breaks through the trendline, it signals a potential reversal or continuation of the trend. Step 1: Draw trendlines by connecting significant highs and lows. Step 2: Monitor price as it approaches the trendline. Step 3: Enter a trade when the price closes beyond the trendline, with confirmation from increased volume. Step 4: Place a Stop Loss order just below/above the breakout level to manage risk. Support and Resistance Breakout Strategy: This strategy involves identifying key support and resistance levels on a chart. Once these levels are breached, traders enter the market based on the direction of the breakout. Step 1: Identify key support and resistance levels from historical price data. Step 2: Wait for the price to approach these levels. Step 3: Enter a position after the price breaks through, with confirmation from volume. Step 4: Use Stop Loss orders to protect against false breakouts. Volume-Based Breakout Strategy: Volume is a critical component of successful breakout trading. A significant increase in volume during a breakout indicates strong market interest, making it more likely that the breakout will continue. Step 1: Monitor volume as the price approaches key levels. Step 2: Confirm the breakout with a volume spike. How to Implement a Breakout Trading Strategy To implement a breakout trading strategy effectively: --Set Up Your Platform: Ensure your trading platform is equipped with real-time charts like Tradingview, technical indicators, and alerts to identify breakouts as they happen. Customizing your charts with trendlines, support/resistance levels, and volume indicators will help in visualizing breakout points. --Use Risk Management: Proper risk management is key to avoiding large losses. Place Stop Loss orders just below (for bullish breakouts) or above (for bearish breakouts) the breakout level to limit potential losses from false breakouts. 👆 Read Also this article where we cover everything you need to know about Risk Management in trading, from essential strategies to practical tips for safeguarding your capital. Common Mistakes in Breakout Trading Breakout traders often fall into a few common traps: --Overtrading: Jumping into too many trades or reacting to every price movement can lead to losses. It's crucial to wait for confirmed breakouts before entering trades. Falling for False Breakouts: A false breakout occurs when price temporarily moves beyond a key level but then reverses. Confirming the breakout with volume or other indicators can help avoid this mistake. -Ignoring Risk Management: Failing to set proper Stop Losses can lead to significant losses if the market moves against you. Always manage risk by placing Stop Loss orders at appropriate levels. Tips for Successful Breakout Trading --Combine Indicators: Use multiple technical indicators, such as moving averages, volume analysis, and trendlines, to confirm breakouts. This increases the reliability of breakout signals. --Maintain Discipline: Stick to your trading plan and avoid making emotional decisions. Impatience can lead to entering or exiting trades prematurely, undermining your strategy. --Refine Your Strategy: Continuously review and refine your trading strategies based on market conditions. Markets evolve, and regular analysis helps ensure your breakout strategies remain effective. 👆 Lastly, read this article where we cover everything you need to know about the Trader's Checklist for Successful Trading, providing key steps and insights to help you stay on track and maximize your trading success. In Conclusion.. Breakout trading offers a powerful way to capitalize on significant price movements in the market. By mastering strategies like trendline, support/resistance, and volume-based breakouts, traders can position themselves to profit from new trends. Effective risk management and discipline are crucial for long-term success. With continuous learning and strategy refinement, breakout trading can become a highly rewarding approach to navigating financial markets.
Education
by FOREXN1
3
EURUSD - 4H Bullish signsThe OANDA:EURUSD pair is currently positioned for potential bullish momentum, especially as the weakening of the US dollar becomes more evident. Technically, the EURUSD is showing signs of recovery, as the downward momentum appears to be weakening, and the price has reached a strong support zone. The recent decline in the USD due to a softer US jobs report, coupled with expectations of dovish action from the Federal Reserve, provides further support for a possible upward move in FX:EURUSD . Additionally, with the European Central Bank (ECB) expected to take further action, possibly through a rate cut in mid-October, market sentiment around the Euro remains cautiously optimistic. If the pair breaks above the next resistance levels, the outlook for a continued rise seems strong, as the price aims for 1.1010 or higher. This aligns well with the technical analysis, where the support zone indicates a potential bounce in the coming sessions.
Long
by Sober_Trading
2
EUR/USD 4H Chart - Strong Demand Zone & Possible Reversal SetupEUR/USD 4H Chart - Strong Demand Zone & Possible Reversal Setup In this 4-hour EUR/USD chart, we see the price approaching a significant Strong Demand Zone , which could act as a major support level. The market has been in a downtrend, but a potential reversal is indicated once the price interacts with this zone. The price may consolidate before pushing upwards through the resistance levels marked on the chart. I anticipate a bullish move once the market finds stability in the demand zone, with the price action potentially heading toward the upper resistance levels around 1.10 and 1.11. If we see a breakout above these levels, it could signal further bullish momentum. Let’s keep an eye on how the price reacts within this demand zone for potential entry opportunities!
Long
by FxShzd
Sell EUR/USD Strong DollarThe EUR/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0937, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0885 2nd Support – 1.0860 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0960. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_FOREX_TRADING
8
DXY - Dollar Index 4H bearish setupThe TVC:DXY is showing potential for a bearish reversal after its recent rise. Technically, DXY has bounced back to a key resistance zone after a major fall, reaching the order block from the last leg down. The failure to break significantly higher from this resistance suggests the possibility of another downward move. Liquidity grabs above the resistance zone further support this bearish outlook. However, a small bounce within the resistance zone before another fall is still possible as liquidity is gathered from the upside. Fundamentally, several factors are influencing the bearish sentiment for the USD. The Federal Reserve’s ongoing easing cycle and the potential for further interest rate cuts weaken the dollar, especially as inflation pressures remain subdued. Other central banks, including the ECB, have cut rates, increasing the interest rate gap with the USD, which could further reduce demand for the dollar
TVC:DXYShort
by Sober_Trading
EUR/USD Starts Tuesday with a Slight Rebound BUT...The EUR/USD pair began the Tuesday session with a modest rebound after touching its lowest level since early August. The pair is currently trading around 1.09090, showing some signs of recovery, but market sentiment remains cautious as traders await key economic data releases and central bank policy announcements. Market Sentiment and USD Resilience On Monday, the US Dollar (USD) remained resilient against its major counterparts, thanks to the lack of significant macroeconomic data releases and a generally cautious market mood. This led to a slight decline in EUR/USD, as the greenback held its ground. With no high-impact economic reports due early this week, the USD's strength was mainly driven by investor risk aversion and uncertainty surrounding upcoming data. Key Upcoming Data: Eurozone Focus The focus for EUR/USD traders will shift to the upcoming Eurostat Industrial Production data for August and the ZEW Survey from Germany’s ZEW economic research institute. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for both Germany and the Eurozone is expected to show improvement in October, and any upside surprise could offer the Euro some support, potentially lifting EUR/USD from its recent lows. However, investors are likely to remain cautious ahead of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) policy meeting on Thursday. With the ECB's stance still unclear, traders may hold back from making large moves until there’s more clarity on the central bank's next steps. US Data: Thursday in Focus While this week started quietly, Thursday is set to bring more significant economic releases, particularly from the US. Core Retail Sales (m/m), Retail Sales (m/m), and Unemployment Claims are all scheduled for release, which could provide further direction for the USD. Until then, the EUR might have some room to recover, but the overall outlook remains cautious, and further USD strength could pressure the pair lower. Technical Outlook: Bearish Pressure Persists From a technical perspective, EUR/USD remains within a weak demand area, which could offer a minor rebound. However, the broader trend suggests that bearish pressure could continue, pushing the pair towards lower demand levels. The COT (Commitment of Traders) report indicates that retail traders turned short on the Euro last week, while institutional investors (often referred to as "smart money") became more bullish. This divergence suggests that the market may be searching for a more solid demand zone before any substantial retracement occurs. Our analysis points to further bearish momentum, potentially targeting the Demand Number 2 or even lower towards Demand Number 3 before the pair finds meaningful support. Outlook and Strategy: Patience Until Thursday At present, we are holding back on opening any positions in EUR/USD, as the situation remains uncertain, and key data releases on Thursday could significantly shift market dynamics. While the pair may see some minor gains in the short term, the outlook is still dominated by bearish sentiment. We expect more clarity following the ECB’s policy announcement and the US data releases later this week. In conclusion, the EUR/USD's slight rebound on Tuesday provides a temporary relief, but the market remains cautious as key economic data and central bank decisions loom. Traders should remain patient and watch for stronger signals from upcoming events before making any substantial moves. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EURUSD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
1