EURUSD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.18033 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.18161 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Eurusd-4
EURUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB SetupsEUR/USD is in a strong bullish move right now.
We are waiting patiently for the price to reach our marked green (OB) and blue (FVG) zones before looking for clean buy opportunities. Always remember to let price tap into our key areas so we can enter on lower timeframes for precise, low-risk entries.
The first resistance ahead is around 1.2100, which will be our immediate target if the bullish momentum continues.
Stay patient, let the price come to your zones, and execute with discipline.
—
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
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EURUSD Major event Short Weekly ChartWe may be on the verge of a major event in the forex market.
The EUR/USD is approaching its 800-week moving average, a level that historically marks significant turning points.
A sharp reversal is likely, with an initial target at the 600-week moving average, and potentially a much deeper decline beyond that.
Euro Continues Bullish Trend | Eyes on 1.1882 & 1.2075EUR/USD – Strong Bullish Structure | Watching 1.1745 Pivot Zone for Reentry
The Euro continues to trade in a well-defined bullish trend, supported by institutional demand and clear price structure.
After breaking above the 1.1684 resistance zone, EUR/USD extended toward 1.1818 and now approaches the next resistance at 1.1882. This level may act as a temporary cap, but if breached with momentum, the pair could target the 1.2075 zone next.
Bullish Order Blocks (BOBs) marked on the chart highlight previous accumulation zones where buyers stepped in aggressively. These areas are still valid for demand-based pullbacks.
Key Area to Watch – 1.1745 Pivot Zone:
This level serves as a potential reentry point if the price retraces. As long as EUR/USD holds above this zone, bullish momentum remains intact. A confirmed bounce here could resume the uptrend toward 1.1882 and beyond.
However, a clean break below 1.1745 could open the door for a deeper correction toward 1.1627 or even 1.1557, which is the next major support zone.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.1882, 1.2075
Pivot Zone: 1.1745
Support: 1.1627, 1.1557
EURUSD Bullish continuation supported at 1.1640The EURUSD currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a sideways consolidation breakout, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend.
Key Technical Level: 1.1640
This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 1.1640 followed by a bullish rejection would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at:
1.1830 – Near-term resistance
1.1900 – Minor swing high
1.1940 – Longer-term bullish objective
On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 1.1640 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward:
1.1590 – Initial support
1.1530 – Key downside target
Conclusion:
As long as 1.1640 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favoring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase.
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EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Wave Coming From : 1.17850
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
EURUSD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 1, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
01.07 16:30 EET. USD - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Speaks
01.07 16:30 EET. EUR - ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks
01.07 17:00 EET. USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI
EUR/USD is trading in negative territory near 1.1790 in the early European session on Tuesday. The US dollar (USD) is weakening against the euro (EUR) amid growing budget concerns and uncertainty surrounding trade deals.
Four people familiar with the negotiations said US President Donald Trump's administration is seeking to phase in deals with the most involved countries as they rush to reach an agreement by the July 9 deadline. Uncertainty over trade agreements continued to weigh on sentiment and sell the US dollar.
Investors are concerned about the US Senate's attempts to pass Trump's tax and spending cuts bill, which faces intra-party disagreement over a projected $3.3 trillion increase in the national debt. Fiscal concerns have dampened optimism and contributed to the decline in the US dollar. This, in turn, serves as a tailwind for the major pair.
German inflation, as measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), eased to 2.0% y/y in June from 2.1% in the previous reading. The figure was below expectations of 2.2%.
On a month-on-month basis, HICP rose 0.1% in June vs. 0.2% previously, below the market consensus forecast of 0.3%. Softer-than-expected German inflation data may limit near-term growth.
Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1795, SL 1.1725, TP 1.1880
GBPJPY H4 XABCD Short at Market TP Below Market🔸Hello traders, let's review the 4 hour chart for GBPJPY. Strong gains off the lows recently, however price getting overextended and expecting reversal later at/near PRZ/D.
🔸Speculative XABCD structure defined by point X 199 point A 188 point B 195.20 point C 186.80 point D/PRZ 198.40/80 .
🔸Currently most points validated, point D/PRZ validated as well.
Short sell at market SL over point D/PRZ TP details see chart
🔸Recommended strategy for GJ traders: Short Sell at Market
SL over point D/PRZ TP1 193.30 TP2 191.00 TP3 188.80.
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EUR/USD Weekly – Two Long Setups Hello guys!
It is my perspective on eurusd!
Before we even reach the major resistance zone around 1.2050–1.2100, I’ve highlighted two long-term opportunities that may unfold as the price continues to climb.
✔ First Long Position:
It looks like a more conservative entry. The price is already above it. You can set a pending position!
It was likely aiming to catch the momentum as the price broke above the previous structure.
TP is near the descending trendline, around 1.2050–1.2100. a smart place to exit before major resistance hits.
✔ Second Long Position:
Positioned slightly lower. probably in case of a pullback or retest into the broken zone.
This one offers better risk-reward, but requires patience and a cleaner retracement.
Both longs are short-to mid-term swing ideas, aiming to ride the bullish leg into the bigger trendline rejection zone, where I’d personally be more cautious or even look for reversal setups.
BTC - Consolidation, Manipulation & DistributionMarket Context
The current price action unfolds within the broader structure of a bullish leg that began after a sharp reversal near 97,000. This impulsive rally created a clear Fair Value Gap on the 4-hour chart—left behind as price surged upward with minimal resistance. Following this move, the market entered a consolidation phase, forming a range that has now broken to the upside. This kind of breakout often attracts breakout traders, but in this case, the context signals something more calculated.
Buy Side Liquidity Sweep Following Consolidation
The breakout above the consolidation range led directly into a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep, as price ran the highs just above the marked range. These highs acted as a magnet for liquidity—stop losses from short sellers and buy stops from breakout traders were likely pooled in that area. The quick rejection following this sweep suggests the move was not backed by genuine demand, but rather served the purpose of liquidity collection by larger players.
Manipulation and Distribution
This is a textbook example of manipulation into liquidity. Price was engineered to move upward into a zone of interest, taking out the Buy Side Liquidity before sharply reversing. The strong rejection signals distribution—institutions likely offloaded positions into the influx of late buyers. This kind of pattern often precedes a larger markdown, particularly when followed by lower timeframe bearish structure breaks.
Unfilled Fair Value Gap as a Draw
Beneath the price lies an unfilled Fair Value Gap, a zone of imbalance left behind by the earlier impulsive move. These areas often act as magnets for price, especially once liquidity objectives to the upside have been completed. Now that the sweep has occurred and distribution is underway, there is a strong probability that price will begin to seek rebalancing within this Gap. The area between 104,000 and 103,500 stands out as a high-probability target for the next leg down.
Execution Insight
If you're looking to enter short, it may be wise to wait for confirmation on a lower timeframe—such as a bearish break of structure or an internal Gap forming during the retracement. A 5-minute timeframe can often give early signs of rejection or supply stepping in. Being patient and allowing the market to reveal intent is crucial, especially after liquidity-driven moves like this.
Final Thoughts
Price doesn’t move randomly—it seeks liquidity and fills inefficiencies. This chart beautifully illustrates that logic, from engineered consolidation to a manipulative sweep, and now potentially toward rebalancing.
If you found this breakdown helpful, I’d really appreciate a like—it helps support the work and keeps this kind of content going. Let me know in the comments what you think, or if you’re seeing it differently. I'm always up for a good discussion.
Another RR2 Position On EURUSDThesis: EUR/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near the 1.1800 psychological resistance, with price rejecting the upper band of a recent range.
Entry: 🔻 Sell at 1.17883 (current price action confirms rejection)
Stop-Loss: 🔺 1.17943 – Above recent swing high and psychological resistance
Take-Profit: ✅ 1.17767 – Targeting the lower bound of the recent range and prior support
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2 – High conviction setup with tight risk and extended downside potential
EURUSD – Bearish Pressure IntensifiesEURUSD is currently facing rejection at the GAP resistance area near 1.17350, combined with a lower high structure forming within the ascending channel. Price action shows clear signs of weakness after filling the GAP, and the aligned FVG zones below suggest a potential for deeper downside.
If the price remains capped below 1.17350, there is a high probability of a pullback toward the 1.16300 support area — which aligns with the long-term ascending trendline. A break below this level could extend the bearish move toward the deeper region near 1.14500.
Supporting Fundamentals:
Strong US Core PCE → reinforces expectations that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer.
Weak EU manufacturing PMI → puts pressure on the euro.
FOMC minutes and NFP — if hawkish — could strengthen the USD and weigh further on EURUSD.
EURUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.1788, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.1753, a pullback support that aligns closely with the 50% Fib retracement.
The stop loss is set at 1.18080 a swing high resistance.
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EUR/USD Extends Rally – Watching Resistance at 1.18000Hi Everyone,
We anticipated a retest of the 1.17400 level coming into this week, setting the stage for further upside toward our highlighted targets at 1.17600 and 1.18000. Monday delivered, with a sharp move higher that saw EUR/USD break cleanly above 1.17400 and extend to 1.17600, bringing the 1.18000 level into focus.
As previously noted, we expect dynamic resistance around the 1.18000 area and will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price test or breach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EURUSD 30M Engaged ( Bullish Entry's Detected )————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Wave Coming From : 1.17250
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
EURUSD 30M Engaged ( Bullish Entry's Detected )
EUR/USD Breakout Eyes 1.18 as Bullish Momentum BuildsEUR/USD has punched through the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (1.1744) of the July 2023–October 2023 decline, signaling strong bullish continuation. The breakout above the recent swing high near 1.1576 confirms the uptrend is gaining traction, supported by rising moving averages.
The 50-day SMA has crossed well above the 200-day SMA, maintaining a strong golden cross structure, reinforcing the bullish bias. Momentum indicators support the advance, with the RSI entering overbought territory at 73.79, and the MACD maintaining a positive spread above the signal line — a classic sign of trend strength rather than imminent reversal.
However, the overbought RSI suggests the pair could face some short-term consolidation or a shallow pullback before targeting the psychological 1.18 handle. Bulls would likely view any dip toward the breakout level (1.1576) as a potential buying opportunity.
As long as EUR/USD holds above that support, the path of least resistance remains to the upside, potentially paving the way for a full retracement toward the 1.19–1.20 zone seen last year.
-MW
$EU (EURUSD) 1H AnalysisEURUSD swept short-term sell-side liquidity and printed a strong displacement above the relative equal highs.
Price is now in premium territory and likely hunting liquidity before rebalancing.
Bias remains bearish if price fails to form higher-timeframe continuation. Ideal setup would be a short from signs of rejection toward 1.17163 FVG zone.
Wave 5 is here... but are buyers about to get trapped1D Timeframe (Main Chart)
✅ Elliott Wave Count:
Wave 1–2–3–4–5 structure is clearly marked.
Wave 5 seems to be completing near the upper trendline, aligning with potential C wave of a larger correction.
🔺 Key Zones:
Buyer zone highlighted under Wave 4 – indicating strong demand before Wave 5 push.
Resistance from the descending trendline just above Wave 5 – potential reversal/sell area.
Price region near 1.1757–1.1835 marked as a potential exhaustion zone.
---
🕒 4H Timeframe (Inset Chart)
📈 Current Price:
Trading around 1.1755, approaching the resistance cluster (1.1757–1.1835).
🔻 Potential Scenarios:
1. Immediate Sell-Off:
If Wave 5 has completed, expect a retracement back to previous demand zones (around 1.1683, 1.1446, or even 1.1362).
2. Final Push Up:
If minor Wave 5 isn't finished yet, price could test the 1.1833–1.1853 area before reversing.
German CPI flatlines, eurozone CPI nextThe euro is up for an eighth consecutive day and has gained 2.4% during that time. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1738, up 0.36% on the day.
German inflation data on Monday pointed to a weakening German economy. The CPI report indicated that the deflationary process slowly continues. The inflation rate for June came in at 0% m/m, down from 0.1% in May and below the consensus of 0.2%. Annually, inflation dropped to 2.0% from 2.1% and below the consensus of 2.1%. The eurozone releases its CPI report on Tuesday.
Inflation has been dropping in small increments and has now fallen to the European Central Bank's inflation target of 2%. The ECB cut the deposit rate to 2.0% earlier in June and meets next in July. Although eurozone inflation is largely contained, there are concerns about the impact that US tariffs and counter-tariffs by US trading partners could have on the inflation picture. The ECB is likely to maintain rates in July but could lower rates in September if disinflation continues.
The US continues to show signs that the economy is slowing down. Last week, GDP was revised downwards to -0.5% in the first quarter. This was followed by US consumer spending for May (PCE) which posted a 0.1% decline, following a 0.2% gain in April and shy of the consensus of 0.1%. This was the first contraction since January. If economic data continues to head lower, pressure will increase on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, which isn't expected before the September meeting.
EUR/USD is testing resistance at 1.1755. Above, there is resistance at 1.1791
1.1718 and 1.1682 are the next support levels
eurusd outlook Eurusd overall bullish HTF, however I do identify alignments within wyckoff distribution. Keeping an eye on the 4hr sponsored candle, ltf fvg at 1.62 area for my next possible bullish swing into the weekly high. Until then let's see if the market can support short term bearish reversal into the area of interest.
DXY Game Plan - USD IndexIt is important to watch the DXY to understand the strength of the USD across global markets.
The DXY is a key index that reflects the U.S. dollar’s dominance in foreign exchange. Therefore, tracking it can provide valuable insights into the potential direction of all major asset classes.
In this post, I’ll break down both technical and fundamental expectations.
Technical Analysis
DXY has been in a retracement phase (bearish) since January 2025. During this time, we’ve seen EUR and other major forex pairs form strong bullish trends.
Currently, the DXY is approaching a weekly bullish trendline, where I expect a potential bounce.
Additionally, DXY is trading within a discount zone (below the 0.5 Fibonacci level, also known as equilibrium). Personally, I’m watching for a deeper move into the maximum discount zone (around the 0.75 Fib level).
This area also aligns with key liquidity concepts. Ideally, I want to see a deviation below the bullish trendline, with a sweep of one of the weekly liquidity levels marked on the chart (two black horizontal lines).
I'm not relying on a clean triangle trendline retest, but it's a possibility.
Game Plan
DXY taps the bullish trendline
Deviates below it, running weekly liquidity (black lines)
Hits the max discount zone (~0.75 Fib)
Then shows signs of reversal and strength
Once that setup completes, I’ll be expecting strong USD performance, and will look to short risk assets — including stocks and major forex pairs.
Fundamental Analysis
The Federal Reserve is currently resisting pressure to cut interest rates, while Trump is vocally pushing for rate cuts.
The market is already pricing in a 79% probability of a September rate cut (source: CME FedWatch Tool), so if that happens as expected, I don’t anticipate major market reaction.
However, a surprise rate cut in July would likely trigger a flash crash in DXY/USD — though based on my game plan, I would expect a V-shaped recovery shortly afterward.
EUR, GBP, AUD, and CAD have also hit key resistance zones, so I believe we're likely to see USD strength for a while.