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Eurusd-4

EUR/USD Pair: Market Sentiment Ahead of Employment ReportAs I draft this article during the London trading session, the EUR/USD currency pair is showing a bearish trend, hovering around the 1.0300 mark. The focus of the market later today will shift to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, which is set to release its employment report for December. Analysts anticipate that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will increase by 164,000, a decrease from November's impressive rise of 227,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.2%. Another point of interest will be the Average Hourly Earnings on a month-over-month basis, which currently forecasts a lower value compared to previous reports. If the NFP figure surpasses 200,000, we could see a significant uptick in the US dollar as traders position themselves ahead of the weekend, potentially driving the EUR/USD lower. Conversely, if the NFP falls short of expectations with a reading below 150,000, we may witness a reversal in the dollar's strength, which could provide upward momentum for the EUR/USD pair. In the event that the NFP aligns closely with market predictions, the unemployment rate's fluctuation could play a critical role in determining the dollar's value; an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate may weaken the currency, while a drop could bolster it. From a technical analysis standpoint, we maintain a bearish outlook on the Euro, and there is potential for us to reach our first take profit level today. Market participants will be keenly observing the data as it could significantly influence trading decisions in the hours ahead. My previous Idea: ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
EURUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0249 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.0292 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/USD Bearish PennantThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Pennant pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0242 2nd Support – 1.0205 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
27
EURUSD - possible sells with the Data release?Here is our analysis on EURUSD . Possible shorts in play. As we are anticipating the news release today, we can still assume the TVC:DXY will remain bullish. If the News and Data release is positive for the US Dollar , we could see more downside on the pair. With the new H4 just opening and the previous closing strongly bearish, we can assume that EURUSD will continue going down. Our Entry is sitting at 1.03272 with SL (Stop Loss) at 1.03587 . If we break above our SL we would most likely reverse and this trade idea would be invalidated. Our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at 1.02642 and if broken + the positive news and data release, we could see the price digging even deeper . PARAMETERS - Entry: 1.03272 - SL: 1.03587 - TP: 1.02642 KEY NOTES - EURUSD is bearish. - DXY (USD) still remains bullish and holds strength against other pairs. - Positive news for the US could result in even lower prices on EURUSD. Happy trading! FxPocket
Short
by FxPocket
1
EURUSD H4 I Bearish ReversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0350, which is a pullback resistance close to a 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.0261, a swing low support level. The stop loss will be at 1.0463 an overlap resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
BTCUSD Is Too Overbought?HI today you can see the BTCUSD chart, and the higher time frame charts have shown some potential overbought levels. Is it too risky to buy and hold now? There are some important old levels that have shown some support in recent years. Be careful of the market now with BTCUSD, thanks. Is it possible that the banks can short more now? For now I am following the EURUSD more closer, thank you. Please support us by following me thanks! #btcusd #eurusd #btc #usd #eur
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ilyaskhan1994
EURUSD: Channel Down showing no signs of reversal yet.EURUSD is on a strong bearish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 37.852, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 18.889) as it is trading inside a Channel Down since September 30th 2024. As long as the 1D MA50 is unbroken, the bearish trend will continue to prevail. Right now the trend has slowed down, but the 1D RSI Rectangle clearly shows that a local top (LH) is in. We will remain bearish, aiming for the Channel'd middle (TP = 1.01700). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
Bearish drop for the Fiber?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0346 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.0381 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.0263 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
XAU/USD : And Another Bullish Move Ahead! (READ THE CAPTION)Gold prices have followed an interesting trajectory over the past 24 hours, aligning perfectly with our earlier expectations. After a strong rally, gold hit the critical target of $2656, reaching as high as $2664 before entering the marked supply zone. As anticipated, the supply zone acted as a resistance, triggering a sharp decline to $2642. This movement provided an excellent trading opportunity for those who closely monitored the levels outlined in our previous analysis. Current Market Context At the moment, gold is trading around $2650, navigating within a crucial range. The price action suggests that gold is testing the resilience of buyers and sellers. If it stabilizes above $2644, we could see further bullish momentum, with the potential to hit the following targets: • $2655 – A minor resistance level, which could set the tone for stronger upward momentum. • $2661 – The next key level, signaling continued bullish strength. • $2666 – A level of psychological resistance, marking a significant test for buyers. • $2673 – The ultimate target for this leg of the rally, contingent on sustained demand and favorable conditions. Fundamental Factors Driving Gold Prices Gold's current trajectory has been influenced by a mix of technical setups and fundamental drivers: • U.S. Economic Data: Robust job market data released earlier this week highlights the resilience of the U.S. economy. Job openings rose to 8.09 million in November, reflecting strong economic activity. However, this has bolstered the U.S. dollar and treasury yields, creating headwinds for gold as a non-yielding asset. • Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: Expectations for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have diminished, as recent comments from Fed officials suggest a cautious approach to monetary easing. Fed Governor Lisa Cook emphasized that the Fed may slow down rate cuts due to persistent inflation. • Central Bank Gold Demand: On the bullish side, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) increased its gold reserves for the second consecutive month, a move that reflects sustained demand for the metal from the world’s largest consumer. Central bank purchases, particularly in the context of geopolitical uncertainties, have continued to support gold prices globally. Technical Insights From a technical standpoint: • Support Levels: If gold fails to hold above $2644, we could see a deeper retracement toward $2633 and possibly $2625. These levels represent the nearest support zones where buyers may re-enter the market. • Resistance Levels: On the upside, the supply zone between $2664 and $2673 will be a critical area to watch. A break and sustained close above $2673 could signal the start of a new bullish trend. • Market Sentiment: Despite recent volatility, sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with traders closely watching global economic data and U.S. Federal Reserve updates for further direction. Looking Ahead Key events later this week, including U.S. jobs data and the ADP employment report, will likely have a significant impact on gold's short-term direction. Traders should also keep an eye on movements in the U.S. dollar index (DXY) and treasury yields, as these remain inversely correlated with gold prices. Action Plan: For now, the focus remains on how gold reacts around $2644. If the metal stabilizes above this level, traders can look for opportunities to target $2655, $2661, and beyond. Conversely, a breakdown below $2644 could lead to short-term selling pressure, offering opportunities for a potential retracement trade. Stay tuned for further updates and detailed analysis! Let’s capitalize on these market moves! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
77
EURUSD. The buyer is not showing any strengthHey traders and investors! (For a detailed analysis, refer to the related post) The buyer is not showing any strength. The price is once again below the lower boundary of the range (1.03319). The bar on January 8th shows a slight increase in volume, indicating increased interest from both buyers and sellers. Volume is accumulating in the same area from where the buyer emerged on January 6th (the blue line on the chart shows the range where 33% of the bar's volume was traded). As long as the price remains below 1.03319, it is preferable to look for sell opportunities (sell patterns). Above this level, buy patterns can be considered. For buying, it would be beneficial to accumulate volume below 1.03319 today and maybe tomorrow, then move back above the level and defend the breakout. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 1.0362 1st Support: 1.0262 1st Resistance: 1.0424 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EUR/USD Bearish - FOMC Release!EUR/USD trades near 1.0320 after dipping to a low of 1.0275, with recent price action reflecting a prevailing bearish sentiment driven by employment data, a cautious Federal Reserve, and concerns over potential tariff measures by President-elect Donald Trump. Technical indicators on the daily chart show accelerated declines in negative territory, suggesting the likelihood of further downside movement. In the short term, the bearish outlook remains intact as EUR/USD continues trading below all its key moving averages. The 20-period SMA has lost bullish momentum, positioning below longer-term SMAs and confirming persistent selling pressure. Meanwhile, technical indicators maintain a negative slope, signaling further potential losses. The pair experienced a sharp drop ahead of key US economic data amid reports that Trump might declare a national economic emergency to implement a broad tariff program. Despite holding near session lows, EUR/USD showed little reaction to the ADP Employment Report, which revealed that the US private sector added 122K jobs in December, below expectations of 140K. Additionally, Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending January 3 came in at 201K, better than the expected 218K but lower than the previous 211K, with no significant impact on the pair’s price. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to reduce the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, bringing it to 4.25-4.5%. The decision was made in response to economic data showing solid expansion in economic activity, a labor market displaying slight easing signals, and inflation still above the 2% target. Although some Committee members considered keeping the rate unchanged as a valid option, the majority agreed that further easing was necessary to support the economy and continue reducing inflation toward the established target. From an economic standpoint, real GDP continued to grow at a sustained pace in the fourth quarter of 2024. Inflation, as measured by the PCE (personal consumption expenditures) price index, slowed compared to the levels recorded in the previous year, though it remained elevated. Employment data indicated an increase in the unemployment rate to 4.2%, with a slight decline in labor force participation. International indicators pointed to a slowdown in economic growth across several advanced economies and declining inflation, mainly due to lower energy prices. From a financial market perspective, the Committee observed a degree of stability in money markets and short-term funding conditions, despite high political and economic uncertainty. Long-term Treasury yields remained stable, while the dollar appreciated against major foreign currencies, reflecting expectations of diverging monetary policies between the United States and other advanced economies. The Committee also discussed the future path of monetary policy, indicating that if data continued to show declining inflation and an economy near full employment, it might be appropriate to further slow the pace of monetary policy interventions. However, members emphasized the need to maintain a cautious approach, considering both upside and downside risks to inflation and economic activity. Key risks highlighted included potential changes in trade and immigration policies, as well as possible geopolitical tensions that could impact global supply chains. Finally, it was decided to proceed with the process of reducing the Federal Reserve's holdings of Treasury securities and mortgage-backed securities (MBS), maintaining a monthly cap on reinvestment of principal payments.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1