EUR/USD Post-FOMC Price Review and AnalysisEUR/USD Post-FOMC Price Outlook
Following the recent FOMC meeting, the EUR/USD pair continues to struggle in its attempt to break above the critical 1.1200 resistance level. This area has once again demonstrated its strength, acting as a significant barrier to further upward movement. The price remains in close proximity to this resistance zone, suggesting that a breakout in the immediate term appears unlikely.
Current market dynamics hint at the possibility of a broader corrective phase for EUR/USD. Technical indicators on the chart point toward a potential downward move before any renewed bullish momentum. The first key support to monitor is near the 1.1120 level, with a secondary support zone around 1.1070, which could serve as a critical area for buyers to step in if the correction deepens.
The coming week will be crucial to determine whether the pair will enter a more extended correction or find enough strength to retest the 1.1200 resistance. It’s a wait-and-see scenario as traders gauge the market’s next move.
Traders, if you found this idea helpful or have your own insights to share, feel free to drop a comment. I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Eurusd-4
EURUSD Sell opportunity on a Double Top.The EURUSD pair made a Double Top last week near the 1.12000 Resistance following the Fed Rate Decision (-0.50% cut) and technically this is the first sign of a potential medium-term sell opportunity.
If we examine the price action on the 1D time-frame going back 2 years (November 2020), we can see a recurring pattern. When the 1D RSI breaks above the 70.00 overbought barrier and posts a Lower Highs trend-line, a sell signal emerges, which is valid until the RSI approaches the 30.00 oversold level.
This sell signal has so far emerged 2 times (February 02 2023 and December 28 2023) and both times the pull-back that followed hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The first correction registered a -4.70% decline while the second a -4.00%.
If this is a progressive pattern, then a potential new correction on the current RSI Lower Highs (Double Top for price) should be -3.30% (0.70 less than the previous), which as you can see on the chart falls exactly on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, this isn't just a strong sell signal but also gives us a very reliable Target at 1.08350.
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I Cannot Long This !!! situation+next targets.Given that the price has reached the top of the megaphone pattern and a negative signal (regular bearish divergence) has emerged, we can expect the price to decline from here to the points indicated on the chart.
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The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Levels discussed on Livestream 23rd September
DXY: Currently at 101, could retest bearish trendline and reject to trade down to 100.60. If trendline broken, needs to break above 101.40 for further upside to 101.80
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6195 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6775 SL 20 TP 65
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3245 SL 30 TP 70
EURUSD: Buy 1.1090 SL 25 TP 90
USDJPY: Sell 143 SL 35 TP 95
USDCHF: Sell 0.8540 SL 30 TP 105
USDCAD: Do Nothing
Gold: Currently retracing, look for possible reaction at 2600, esp for a rebound.
EU extends uptrendConan is happy to see you all again.
Currently, there are signs that the EURUSD market is bullish, with the level trading around 1.1160. Looking at our 4-hour chart, we can see that the EU has broken through the downtrend line and started to rise from 1.1068.
If the price holds 1.1175, the next forecast is likely to be a drop to around 1.1130 in line with the correction and test of the 34.89 EMA. At this point, the EU will receive strong support, which will help the currency reverse and increase in value to new highs.
Good luck to all of you and successful trading!
Should I buy or sell EUR/USD today?Hello everyone! Today, let's follow the latest developments of the EUR/USD pair!
Currently, EUR/USD is still maintaining an upward trend, holding below 1.1078. Despite a slight correction on Monday from 1.1200, there is nothing to worry about. Because in the short to medium term, the market sentiment remains very optimistic amid a weakening US dollar around the signals of expected 4 rate cuts this year, thereby supporting the currency pair.
On the other hand, if EUR/USD finds support around 1.1068, I believe it will continue its upward momentum and may break the target level of 1.1200, paving the way for a journey to conquer new highs.
That's my opinion! Do you agree? Share your thoughts!
EurUsd- Fall to 1.1 once more?Last week was favorable for Euro bulls, with the price climbing back to 1.12.
However, after three failed attempts to break above this level, the price has dropped sharply today and is now resting on the 1.11 support zone.
I anticipate a break below this level, with the next target being 1.10.
My strategy is to sell into rallies, with a stop above 1.12 to negate the setup.
EUR/USD Reverses at Supply Level Amid German PMI WeaknessGermany’s Manufacturing PMI continued its decline, dropping to 40.3 in September, falling short of the forecast of 42.4. This latest figure signals ongoing weakness in Europe’s largest economy, as the manufacturing sector struggles with reduced demand and broader economic challenges. The PMI contraction adds further pressure to the already fragile outlook for the Eurozone, and it has contributed to the recent bearish moves in the EUR/USD pair.
As anticipated in our recent analysis, the EUR/USD reacted sharply to the supply level around 1.11500, starting a reversal following the weak data. The currency pair’s behavior confirms the importance of this key resistance area, which has once again acted as a barrier to further gains. The reversal gained momentum as the Services PMI for the German economy also disappointed, falling to 50.6 in September, below the expected 51.0. The combined weakness in both manufacturing and services sectors signals a broader slowdown in the German economy, weighing on the Euro.
Adding to the bearish outlook for the EUR/USD, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows a clear divergence in sentiment between retail traders and institutional investors. Retail traders remain largely long on the EUR/USD, reflecting optimism that the Euro will recover. However, "Smart Money" — large institutional traders — continue to hold a bearish position, suggesting that they expect further downside for the pair.
This contrast in positioning underscores the potential for more weakness in the Euro, particularly if the economic data from Germany and the Eurozone continues to disappoint. As smart money maintains a bearish stance and the EUR/USD begins its reversal, traders should remain cautious of potential short-term rallies and focus on the broader downtrend that seems to be forming.
Looking ahead, traders will keep a close eye on future economic data releases and central bank decisions, as these will likely shape the next leg of the EUR/USD’s movement. For now, the pair appears set to continue its downward trend, with the 1.11500 supply level serving as a strong point of resistance.
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Euro H4 | Falling to 61.8% Fibo supportThe Euro (EUR/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.1071 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.1030 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 1.1184 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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TRADE SETUP ON EURUSDHey Trader,
Check out this analysis on EURUSD.
The entry plan is best above the intraday resistance area.
Alternatively, a short trade can be considered if the price breaks below the intraday key zone (support), retests, and resists. A short trade can be considered.
Trade safe.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
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EURUSD Analysis after the FED, BOE and BOJ!The analysis of EUR/USD suggests a relatively strong position for the pair, currently stable around 1.1160, with a bullish outlook supported by both technical and fundamental factors.
Technical Factors:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart is near 70, indicating the pair is in overbought territory, suggesting that a technical pullback or correction could be imminent in the short term. However, the overall bullish trend remains intact for now.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: The first resistance level is at 1.1200, followed by 1.1275, which represents the July 18, 2023 high.
Support: The first support level is at 1.1135, followed by 1.1100.
Fundamental Factors:
US Dollar: The potential weakness of the US Dollar is a key factor. The likelihood of the Federal Reserve reducing interest rates in 2024 could contribute to a decline in the Dollar, increasing bullish pressure on the EUR/USD pair. Although the data on initial jobless claims (219,000 vs. 231,000) temporarily supported the Dollar, the prevailing risk sentiment in the markets reintroduced bearish pressure on the Dollar later in the week.
European Central Bank (ECB): Comments from ECB members indicate that no significant monetary policy changes are expected until December. However, ECB President Christine Lagarde's speech could have market impacts. If she opens the door to a rate cut as early as October, it could weaken the Euro. However, at this time, such a possibility seems unlikely.
EURUSD → get a long positionhello guys.
as you can see the eurusd breakout the ascending channel and the last high!
this position is based on a solid breaksout and if the stop loss touched then it means the breakout was a hunting!
entry level= 1.1048
stoploss=1.0950
target1=1.1131
target2=1.115
atrget3=1.1268
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EUR USD IdeaWe have no trades in this chart. The price has been bullish for weeks, and bulls have delivered the price into the destination of the heavy seller area to sell them. It's like a war zone. I wanted to get the FOMC fundamental bull back but got stopped out with a break-even trade, so I'm not trading it unless I see a daily candle start doing something. So, I do not scalp or do nothing. I want my scalps to have the possibility to run 10x or 20x. So, I use large time frame structures for small timeframe entries to hold my win rate high, meaning I need to sit behind the screen 80 hours a week almost. But my rates are over 65% since 2001. It's my trading style. I need volume indicators and fundamental, and everything match up before I click on the mouse. I'll keep you posted.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.1192
1st Support: 1.1081
1st Resistance: 1.1252
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#EURUSD - 23092024On Friday, I was looking for EURUSD to go lower to 1.1090 for a long opportunity but EURUSD was much sideways; it did go higher, then sold down to new lows but was held and close near the open, unchanged.
Overall, EURUSD is still bullish. I have indicated two potential long opportunities, either from 1.1140 (near Friday's low) or from 1.1094 (buy level from Friday). Upside target is to 1.1200.
EURUSD 22/09/24This week, we continue to expect a bullish Euro to US Dollar movement, similar to last week. The price moved higher and remained above the previous high. Now, our focus is on the daily high and an hourly demand zone that could drive further upside price action. We are also aligning with the institutional trajectory, which points upward. If the price dips to this level and shows bullish signals, we expect a continuation toward the daily high. At this point, we anticipate the price to remain bullish, with a small pullback likely before resuming its upward movement.
Follow what price action is showing you. Remember that these areas are only to be tracked in terms of probability, not in terms of prediction of actual price action.
Stick your plan follow your risk. trade safe.
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1118
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1087
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
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Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
EURUSDHello Traders!
What are your thoughts on EURUSD ?
EURUSD has reached a strong resistance level, and it appears that it may not currently have the strength to break through. In this situation, two scenarios—bullish and bearish—are possible:
1. Bullish Scenario: If the resistance level is broken, a buy position can be taken on the pullback.
2. Bearish Scenario: If the resistance holds, a sell position can be entered with a stop above the resistance level.
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Golden Outlook: Key Trends to Watch in the Week AheadFrom a technical standpoint, things are straightforward: both the broader market and shorter timeframes reflect a bullish trend. This alone provides a foundation for crafting a solid strategy. Key approaches could involve either capitalizing on false breakouts or bounces from key support levels, or alternatively, riding the momentum when resistance gives way, signaling continuation.
However, it's not all smooth sailing. There are fundamental hurdles on the horizon, notably the upcoming GDP report and a crucial speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. These events have the potential to stir up market volatility as traders anticipate potential shifts in economic policy and performance.
Given this backdrop, it's likely that gold will persist in its upward trajectory. Yet, we can't discount the possibility of pullbacks or market shakeouts, especially if traders decide to lock in profits after the recent rally, or as a defensive move ahead of next week's U.S. macroeconomic data and Powell’s remarks.
Recommendation: A. Avoid attempting to predict trend reversals. First, you'll never be able to pinpoint these zones with certainty. Second, by the time you do, your performance may suffer, leading to unnecessary stop-loss hits. Instead, focus on identifying robust levels and trading within the prevailing trend.
Traders, if you found this idea helpful or have your own insights to share, feel free to drop a comment. I’d love to hear your thoughts!
EURO - Price can bounce down from resistance area to $1.1100Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price made upward impulse from $1.1025 level and reached $1.1165 level, after which corrected.
Then price entered to wedge, where it made a fake breakout of $1.1165 level and started to decline to support line of wedge.
Euro reached support line, it bounced up, thereby exiting from wedge, and then rose to $1.1135 points.
Next, price started to trades in another wedge, where it first declined to support area, where it reached support line.
After this, price made a fake breakout of $1.1025 level and in a short time rose to $1.1165 and made a fake breakout again.
Now, price trades very close to this level, and I think EUR can bounce down to $1.1100 from resistance area.
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