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Eurusd-4

$EURUSD IdeaToday, my analysis of EUR/USD points to a potential bearish movement, based on the following points: First, the correction on the 1-hour chart suggests that the pair is seeking liquidity outside the daily range. The daily IRL region coincides with a 4-hour OB (Order Block) and a swing high, which could create an order cluster. The expectation is that the price will react at this level, seeking the original consolidation and completing the bearish move. This is the outlook for the day, with a focus on maintaining discipline and managing risk as market conditions evolve.
Short
by Pilucax
EUR/USD: Trump's Tariffs Impact Euro: Time for a Bounce?The EUR/USD pair kicked off the new trading week with a resounding bearish tone, plummeting to its lowest level since mid-January below 1.0210. Despite its oversold condition in the short term, investors continue to exercise caution in the Euro, fearing the lingering impact of US President Donald Trump's tariff threats. Over the weekend, Trump's administration announced sweeping trade tariffs on key allies and competitors alike. The tariffs, which range from 10% to 25%, are set to apply to imports from Mexico, Canada, China, and potentially the European Union. When questioned by reporters on Sunday about the prospect of imposing tariffs on European imports, Trump remained coy about the details, merely stating that it would happen, but without specifying timing or severity. This uncertain environment has instilled fear among market participants, causing the EUR/USD to decline sharply. However, as we navigate the complex landscape of global trade tensions, we believe that a short-term retracement is imminent. This potential correction could be sparked by investors seeking to reassess their positions and capitalize on any temporary relief from the recent downtrend. A Weekend Gap Opportunity In the near term, our primary focus is on the weekend gap that formed between 1.0170 and 1.0218. This gap represents a critical level that EUR/USD must fill to restore equilibrium in the market. If price action were to bounce from this gap, it could create a lucrative trading opportunity for traders looking to profit from a short-term recovery. Given the extreme bearishness surrounding the EUR, a retracement could be achievable if the market decides to close the weekend gap. While this may seem modest by some standards, any trading opportunity that arises from the EUR/USD's oversold condition is worth exploring. Conclusion As the EUR/USD pair continues to grapple with uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff threats, we expect a short-term retracement to emerge in the coming trading sessions. This potential correction could provide a window of opportunity for traders to capitalize on the weekend gap, potentially leading to a temporary bounce. While the long-term implications of these trade tensions remain unclear, our focus remains on the immediate market conditions. As the EUR/USD navigates this complex landscape, we remain poised to take advantage of any opportunities that arise from the market's natural oscillations. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
Why USDCHF is in Retesting Phase? and Expected Trend ReversalUSDCHF is currently trading at 0.91000, with a target price of 0.89900, indicating a short-term bearish movement. The expected price drop of 100+ pips suggests a potential short-selling opportunity. The pair is in a retesting phase, meaning it is re-evaluating a previously broken trendline. This retest occurs after a downtrend, confirming bearish momentum. However, after this small decline, a strong bullish wave is anticipated. The price is expected to recover and move upward toward the 0.93000 level. This suggests a trend reversal after the retracement phase. Traders may consider shorting until 0.89900, then looking for bullish confirmation. Risk management is crucial due to potential market volatility. Analyzing support, resistance, and market sentiment can help refine entry and exit points.
Short
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
EURUSD 0140 Reversal Swing Trade Setup BULLS strong upside🔸Hello traders, let's review the 4 hour chart for EURUSD. Weekly open gapped down so expecting more losses in this market before potential reversal off the lows on Wednesday/Thursday this week. 🔸Revised/updated outlook point C is 1.13 extension at 0140, other points include X at 0595, point A at 0220, point B at 0510, point D/PRZ at 0700. 🔸Currently most points validated, point C/PRZ still pending 0140, so traders should wait until we hit C before buying. 🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders: wait for pullback/correction to complete at point C near 0140, buy/hold, SL 60 pips, TP1 +200 pips TP2 +400 pips Final exit TP at 0700. BUY/HOLD at point C/PRZ at 0140. swing trade setup. only invalidated if we break below 0140 on high volume. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
22
EUR/USD Struggles as Tariff Risks, ECB Rate Cut Prospects WeighThe euro edged up but stayed pressured around $1.03 amid uncertainty over Trump’s tariff policies. Over the weekend, Trump confirmed a 25% tariff on Mexican and Canadian imports, a 10% duty on Chinese goods, and threatened EU tariffs, citing the U.S. trade deficit. However, Mexico secured a one-month delay by agreeing to deploy 10,000 troops to curb fentanyl trafficking. The euro also faced pressure from the ECB’s dovish stance and prospects of further rate cuts after last week’s expected 25bps reduction. Meanwhile, Euro Area inflation rose to 2.5% in January, above the 2.4% forecast, while core inflation held at 2.7%, defying expectations of a slight dip. From a technical perspective, the first resistance level is at 1.0305, with further resistance levels at 1.0360 and 1.0460 if the price breaks above. On the downside, the initial support is at 1.0220, followed by additional support levels at 1.0180 and 1.0120.
by ChartMage
Levels discussed during livestream 3rd Feb 20253rd Feb 2025 DXY: If price stays above 109.30, could see it trade up to 110, beyond that 111 NZDUSD: Sell 0.5530 SL 25 TP 60 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6080 SL 30 TP 80 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2230 SL 40 TP 120 (hesitation at 1.2164) EURUSD: Sell 1.0160 SL 50 TP 150 USDJPY: Buy 156 SL 35 TP 70 EURJPY: Sell 159.40 SL 50 TP 100 GBPJPY: Sell 191.70 SL 50 TP 110 USDCHF: Wait and look for reaction at 0.92 resistance level USDCAD: Sell 1.4655 SL 50 TP 100 XAUUSD: Look for reaction at 2790 resistance (break upwards to 2812 on recessionary/reinflation/trade war fear) or reject down on DXY strength (inverse relationship)
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
EURUSD H4 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.0344, an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 50% FIbvonacci resistance level. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup. Our take profit is set at 1.0190, near a key support zone where price may find buying interest. The stop loss is placed at 1.0469, above the previous swing high, providing room for price fluctuations while ensuring the bearish setup remains valid. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
WEEKLY RECAP - Week 1, 2025The most important thing to reflect on each week is NOT your profit and loss balance. Instead, reflect on these three questions: - Did I follow my core habits for success? - Am I ready to let my attachments from last week go? - Am I focusing on this current moment, or a destination I'm trying to reach? I won't put a whole lot of words here. It's all in the video, but here are the three setups from last week, and here is my notion journal so you can follow along. USDJPY EURUSD EURUSD Notion Journal Enjoy the ride, -Gio
by elevatedinvestor
EUR/USD slides on tariff turmoil, euro CPI risesThe euro has weakened at the start of the new week. EUR/USD slumped over the weekend and dropped as low as 1.0141, its lowest level since Nov. 2022. The euro has recovered somewhat on Monday and is trading at 1.0277 in the North American session. Still, the euro has dropped 0.76% since Friday's close. US President Trump hasn't wasted any time and imposed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada over the weekend, effective February 4. Mexico and Canada have both announced retaliatory tariffs in response. Earlier today, just one day before the tariffs were to take effect, the US announced that the tariffs against Mexico would be delayed for a month. The breather is good news, but the US could still find itself embroiled in a trade war with its two neighbors, in what is the world's largest trade zone. Trump hasn't slapped the European Union with any tariffs yet, but said on Friday that he would "absolutely" go after imports from the EU. Global markets have been hit by fears of a global trade war resulting from the US tariffs and the US dollar is up sharply against most of the major currencies, including the euro. Inflation in the eurozone ticked upwards to 2.5% y/y in January from 2.4% in December, above the market estimate of 2.4%. This was the highest CPI level since July 2024, driven mainly by a sharp jump in energy prices. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, remained unchanged at 2.7% y/y for a fifth straight month, just above the market estimate of 2.6%. This is above the European Central Bank's 2% target but is the lowest level since January 2022. Services inflation, which is closely watched by the ECB, eased to 3.9% in January, down from 4% in December. Today's inflation report affirms that inflationary risks remain and could complicate the ECB's plans to reduce interest rates and kick-start the weak eurozone economy. The ECB meets next on March 6. EUR/USD has pushed above resistance at 1.0244 and is testing resistance at 1.0297 There is support at 1.0203 and 1.0175 www.tradingview.com
by OANDA
EUR/USD – Smart Money Move Incoming!Here’s a **simple and professional TradingView description** for your post: --- 📢 **EUR/USD Wave Analysis – Key Levels to Watch!** 🔥 🚀 **Market Overview:** EUR/USD is following a **five-wave Elliott structure** with a potential **Wave 4 retracement** before further downside. The key zones to watch: 🔹 **Support Zone:** 1.02052 - 1.00923 (Possible Wave 5 target) 🔹 **Resistance Zone:** 1.06664 (Potential Wave 4 completion) 🔹 **Key Level:** 1.02923 (Crucial reaction point) 💡 **Trading Insight:** We may see a short-term pullback towards **1.06664** before the final drop to **1.00923**. Watch for **price reaction at resistance** before entering a trade. 📊 **Patience is key. Follow the structure, manage risk, and stay ahead of the trend!** 🚀 #GreenFireForex #EURUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexAnalysis #ElliottWave #PriceAction
by Greenfireforex
EURUSD Hits Support Zone—Is a Bullish Reversal Coming!!!As I expected , the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) fell to the target I set yesterday. EURUSD is moving near Support zone($1.039-$1.033) and 100_SMA(4-hour) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the EURUSD has succeeded in completing the corrective Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) , and we should wait for the EURUSD to rise again. One of the signs of completion can be a Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern with a suitable volume . I expect EURUSD to rise to Resistance zone($1.0534-$1.0448) after breaking the Resistance lines . Note: If EURUSD goes below $1.0333, we can expect more dumps . Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
15
EURO - Price can reach resistance level and then bounce downHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price broke $1.0410 level and started to trades inside flat, where it at once fell to $1.0250 level. Then Euro bounced up from this level and rose to resistance area, after which turned around and started to decline. In a short time, price fell to $1.0180 points, thereby exiting from flat and then started to grow in rising channel. Inside channel, price broke $1.0250 level, rose a little, and then made a small correction to support line. Next, Euro rose to $1.0530 points, thereby breaking resistance level and making a gap, but soon fell to $1.0350 points. Price exited from channel, so, now I think it will make move to resistance level and then fall to $1.0250 level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
10
EURUSD Buying Trade Idea from 1.0230-1.02135EURUSD Buying Trade Idea from 1.0230-1.02135 EURUSD Buying Trade Idea from 1.0230-1.02135 at the price level and the idea more empower when the market strongly break the 1.02722 zone. In the recent days at Friday after the Gold create new High (All time) the other major pairs fall and now traded at the based price. Market will cover the opening gap this morning Monday Feb 3rd 2025. The buying setup; Buy range: 1.0230-1.02135 Stop Loss: 1.01639 Take Profit L1: 1.03456 Take Profit L2: 1.04320 Take Profit L3: 1.05046 Take Profit L4: 1.06155 Use 1% of your account balance at the risk on the setup.
Long
by Bloom_Forex_Official
EURUSD Trade War pushing it to parity. 0.9900 Target possible.The EURUSD pair opened with a significant gap downwards in the aftermath of the first Tariff announcements between the U.S. and their strongest trade partners. This is a natural news reaction fundamentally but even from a technical standpoint, it is backed up. The reason is the massive 11-year Falling Wedge pattern that the pair has been trading in since May 2014. This pattern shows that after last September's Lower High and rejection below both the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), we have started the new Bearish Leg. With the 1W RSI making a somewhat Double Bottom on oversold territory (below 30.00), we see a similar pattern with the January 2022 and August 2018 fractals. Those sequences served as bearish continuation patterns following a consolidation phase. The pair has consolidated through January and now this is the technical signal to resume the bearish trend potentially. The 2018 sequence declined to at least its 0.786 Fibonacci level before hitting the Internal Higher Lows trend-line. This gives us a new bearish Target below parity at 0.99000, which is also contained above a potentially similar Higher Lows trend-line. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURUSD: NFP on schedulePrevious week was full of macro data as well as Central bankers' decisions. Both Fed and ECB held their January meetings, making decisions on interest rates. The Fed held interest rates steady, while their European colleagues cut further interest rates by 25 bps. Both moves were expected by the market. As Fed Chair Powell noted in an after-the meeting address to the public, the housing market in the US is slowly picking up. The house price index was up by 0,3% in November. Data published for new home sales in December show an increase of 3,6% on the monthly basis. The Durable goods Orders were down by -2,2% in December on the monthly basis, significantly higher from 0,5% expected by the market. The initial estimate for the GDP growth rate for Q4 currently stands at -0,2%. The GDP growth rate flash for Q4 was at 2,3% for the quarter, a bit lower from expected 2,6%. The PCE Price Index in December was standing at 0,3% for the month and 2,6% on a yearly basis, which was in line with market expectations. The core PCE remains a bit elevated at the level of 2,8% on a yearly basis. The personal income increased by 0,4% in December, while the personal spending was higher by 0,7% for the month. The Ifo Business Climate in Germany in January was standing at 85,1 a bit higher from market estimate of 84,5. The GfK Consumer Confidence in February reached -22,4 in Germany, a bit higher from market consensus at -20. The initial estimate for the GDP growth rate for Q4 in Germany currently stands at -0,2%, while the same indicator stands at 0% in the EuroZone. Both figures were lower from forecasted figures. The Unemployment rate in the Euro Zone in December was standing at 6,3% and in line with the market estimate. The Retail sales in Germany in December was down by -1,6% for the month, significantly lower from forecasted 0,2%. The unemployment rate in Germany in January was 6,2% and was higher by 0,1 percentage point from the previous month. Inflation rate in Germany, preliminary for January was -0,2% for the month and 2,3% on a yearly basis. A lot of important macro data and CB rate decisions were the promise for the volatile week on financial markets. The market pushed the eurusd currency pair to the level of 1,0530 at the start of the week, and swiftly reverted the path to the down side. The lowest weekly level was reached at Friday's trading session, at the level of 1,035. The RSI reached the level of 59 and in line with the market moves, reverted toward the downside, ending the week at the level of 46. Such moves are indicating that the market is still not sure which side to trade. The moving average of 50 days continues to modestly diverge from MA200. Considering a huge difference between two lines, the potential cross is still far away. In the week ahead, the non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate for the US are scheduled, which might bring back some volatility to the market. As per current charts, the 1,05 resistance line was “rejected”, so the currency pair reverted back toward the 1,03, the short term support line. At the same time, RSI is showing that the market is not ready to take the trading side. The clear overbought market side was not reached during the previous period, but instead, market reverted to the downside. At the beginning of the week ahead, the situation should be much clearer. At this moment, on charts, there are equal probabilities for both moves, toward up, and downside. In case of the upside, the resistance line at 1,05 could be tested again. On the opposite side, the 1,03 level has equal chances to be tested in the week ahead. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Inflation rate flash for January in the EuroZone, HCOB Composite PMI flash for January in Germany and in the EuroZone, Retail Sales in the Euro Zone in December, Balance of Trade for Germany in December, Industrial Production in December in Germany, USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI for January, Jobs openings in December, ISM Services PMI in January, Non Farm Payrolls in January, Unemployment rate in January, Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for February.
by XBTFX
Fundamental Market Analysis for february 3, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD was subjected to heavy selling on Monday and fell towards 1.0200 early in the Asian session. Spot prices have returned to more than two-year lows reached in January and look set to continue their multi-month downtrend. The US Dollar (USD) is rising across the board in response to US President Donald Trump's decision over the weekend to impose 25 per cent duties against Canada and Mexico, as well as an additional 10 per cent against China. This marks the start of a new global trade war and has curbed investor appetite for risky assets. The flow of anti-risk sentiment is putting good pressure on the safe-haven quid, which is becoming a key factor putting downward pressure on EUR/USD. Meanwhile, on Friday evening, Trump announced that he will impose tariffs on goods from the European Union. This comes amid the European Central Bank's (ECB) stance, which continues to undermine the common currency. As expected, the ECB cut borrowing costs by 25 basis points (bps) last Thursday and left the door open for further rate cuts before the end of this year. This is a significant divergence from the Federal Reserve's (Fed) pause, which favours dollar bulls and supports the prospects for further EUR/USD declines. Meanwhile, the recent sharp pullback in US Treasury yields acts as a headwind for the quid and may provide some support to spot prices. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the downside. Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Euro Weakens as ECB Signals Rate ReductionsThe euro dropped to $1.02, marking its lowest level in three weeks, as the U.S. dollar strengthened following President Donald Trump's decision to implement tariffs of 25% on Canadian and Mexican imports and 10% on Chinese goods starting Tuesday. Trump has also warned of potential tariffs on the European Union, prompting the region to vow a strong response. These factors added to the pressure on the euro, which was already weakened by the European Central Bank's dovish stance. Last week, the ECB cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected and signaled the possibility of further reductions later this year. Currently, market traders are factoring in the likelihood of three additional ECB rate cuts by the end of 2025. From a technical perspective, the first resistance level is at 1.0300, with further resistanc
by ChartMage