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Eurusd-4

Bullish Breakout from Falling WedgeThe euro/dollar exchange rate rose slightly to around 1.1320 during the European trading session, rebounding approximately 0.5% from the previous week's low of 1.126*. The US Dollar Index (DXY) declined simultaneously to 99.80, but still remains within the recent oscillation range. 1.1300 has become a key short - term support level. If it is broken, the exchange rate may decline to 1.12 or 1.11. The resistance above is in the range of 1.1450 - 1.1500. The Trump administration's announcement of a 100% tariff on imported movies has exacerbated concerns about trade protectionism. Coupled with the market waiting for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision, the demand for the US dollar has been suppressed. In the eurozone, the core HICP rose to 2.7% year - on - year in April (expected 2.5%), and the overall HICP reached 2.2% (expected 2.1%). However, the market still expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in June. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Long
by HilaryBloomer
GOLD H1 / 3285 USD & 3155 USD key BUY/SELL Levels🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update 📊 Technical Outlook Update 🏆 Market Overview ▪️correction in progress ▪️3285 USD overhead resistance ▪️Multiple waves of selling in progress ▪️Rejection at 3500 USD key S/R ▪️3155 USD logical next target short-term ▪️flagging on lower timeframe ▪️waves of profit taking pulling prices down ▪️3285 USD a good level to SHORT ▪️3145/3155 USD will be targeted by BEARS ▪️BULLS wait to BUY/HOLD low later ▪️Once the pullback/correction is over 📊 Gold Market Summary – May 5, 2025 🟡 Current Price: $3,266.20 (+0.82%) 📉 Weekly Close: $3,247.40 (flat for the week after sharp swings) 🇺🇸 US Jobs Data: 177K jobs added in April, earnings growth slowed to 0.2%. Market now watching Fed for rate cut signals. 🏦Fed Outlook: Mixed data fuels speculation on policy shift. Analysts see gold’s pullback as a new buying opportunity. 🌏Asian Demand: China and India remain key forces in price direction, alternating as major buyers. 📦Tariff Watch: Ongoing U.S.-China trade tension continues to weigh on risk sentiment, keeping gold in play. 🛑Geopolitics: No major updates on Iran-U.S. talks, India-Pakistan, or Russia-Ukraine ceasefire yet. These remain key risk triggers. 📈 Market Sentiment: Despite volatility, investor outlook stays bullish. Analysts eye mid-term targets above $4,000 if conditions align.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ProjectSyndicate
28
EURUSD | Head‑&‑Shoulders on the Brink – Bears Eye 1.1250📉 Trade Thesis A textbook Head‑and‑Shoulders has completed on the 30‑min EURUSD chart. Price is now testing the rising neckline drawn from mid‑April swing lows. A clean close and retest beneath that trendline opens room toward the next demand shelf and the lower boundary of the broader ascending channel. 🎯 Execution Plan Entry: wait for a decisive candle close below the neckline, then look to short on a minor pull‑back into that broken support. Stop: just above the right‑shoulder high to keep risk tight. Target: the measured‑move objective sits near the channel median/support cluster highlighted on the chart; scale out as price approaches that zone. 🧩 Confluence Factors Momentum loss: RSI made a lower peak on the “head” versus the prior thrust, signalling fading upside energy. Event risk: upcoming NFP/ISM releases may fuel USD volatility, providing the catalyst for a break. Structure: the right shoulder’s supply shelf has capped every rally since late April, reinforcing bearish pressure. ⚠️ Risk Management Macro data can produce whipsaws—size positions accordingly and stick to the plan. Move stops to breakeven once price pushes convincingly away from the neckline. For educational purposes only. Trade your own strategy & manage risk.
Short
by natron
3
EURO - Price can rise to top part of flat from support areaHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago, price entered to wedge, where it bounced from support line and rose to $1.0860 level, breaking $1.0470 level. Then price broke $1.0860 level too, but then it made correction to support line of wedge and then made upward impulse. Euro exited from wedge and continued to grow to $1.1260 level, after which broke this level and started to trades in flat. Inside flat, price rose to top part of flat and then made correction to support area, where it some time traded close. At the moment, Euro trades inside support area, near support level, so, I think that price can correct to $1.1260 level. After this movement, in my mind, EUR can start to grow to $1.1570 top part of the flat. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
13
EURUSD Channel Up favors buying but keep an eye on this.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the February 28 Low and its current Bearish Leg almost reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. That is where the previous Bearish Leg made a Higher Low (March 27) and rebounded. This keeps for now the bullish trend intact and it will remain so for as long as the price remains within the Channel Up. The short-term Target is the -0.236 Fib extension at 1.17500. If on the other hand it breaks below the Channel Up, be ready to take the small loss and sell towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 1.08500, which is the level that supported the market on that previous March 27 Low. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
XAU/USD: NFP has come,What's Next? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that after yesterday’s analysis, the price successfully rallied from $3231 to $3268. Once it reached that zone, selling pressure kicked in, and gold has since corrected down to $3239. If gold stabilizes below $3257, we may expect further downside. The potential bearish targets are $3237 and $3221. Keep a close eye on the $3209–$3220 zone, as price reaction there could be significant. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
23
BTCUSDT - Potential Long Setup Developing from FVG and Fib levelOverview: Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on the 1H timeframe is currently exhibiting a controlled retracement following a local top. This structure presents a potential opportunity for a long setup based on confluence between an FVG (Fair Value Gap) and key Fibonacci retracement levels. The chart highlights a likely scenario where price may continue to correct lower into a defined area of interest before resuming bullish momentum. Market Context: After a strong impulsive move upward, BTC appears to be in a corrective phase. The recent price action has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows, which is characteristic of a short-term downtrend within a broader uptrend context. This kind of pullback behavior is often necessary for healthy continuation to the upside and can offer high-probability entries for trend continuation traders. Fair Value Gap (FVG): A notable fair value gap has been identified in the 94,250–94,700 zone. This zone represents an inefficiency in the market where price rapidly moved without significant opposition, leaving behind a gap between wicks of adjacent candles. Price often returns to such areas to rebalance order flow before making its next decisive move. Fibonacci Confluence: The chart includes key Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low to swing high. * The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level lies just above the FVG, providing strong technical confluence. * The 0.65 level is marked as the ideal entry zone and sits within the FVG, further validating it as a high-probability support region. * The 0.786 level is also marked, and although deeper, it represents the final line of defense for this bullish scenario. Anticipated Price Action: A bullish projection is illustrated on the chart where price is expected to: 1. Continue declining toward the 0.65–0.618 Fibonacci confluence zone. 2. Wick into the FVG and reject from that level. 3. Form a short-term higher low structure and push back to reclaim prior structure highs. 4. Confirm bullish structure continuation with an impulsive breakout from the descending channel. Market Structure and Liquidity Outlook: The broader structure remains bullish on higher timeframes. The retracement into the FVG would serve the dual purpose of: * Grabbing liquidity below recent lows. * Mitigating unfilled buy-side inefficiency. Such a development would suggest that institutional participants are filling long orders in the discounted price region, setting the stage for a potential continuation of the broader bullish trend. Key Technical Zones: * FVG Zone: 94,250 – 94,700 * Fibonacci Confluence: 0.618–0.65 retracement levels * Liquidity Pool: Below current swing lows leading into the FVG Conclusion: BTCUSDT is approaching a critical decision zone. A move into the FVG combined with Fibonacci retracement confluence presents an attractive area for potential long entries. Confirmation of bullish reversal structure within this zone could offer a strong trade opportunity in alignment with the broader trend. Patience and precision will be key in waiting for the price to tap into this area and show intent to reverse.
Long
by Louigi_24
38
EURUSD Will Fall! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.133. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.125 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD Decline in the Channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Relief rally stalled at 1.1350 where the descending resistance meets the rectangle’s upper boundary; a string of lower highs confirms supply. ● Failure to reclaim the resistance line and a break below 1.13 exposes 1.12. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● U.S. factory orders jumped 4.3 % in March on commercial aircraft demand, underpinning dollar strength and pressuring EUR/USD. ● Eurozone HCOB manufacturing PMI eased to 49.0 in April—still in contraction—underscoring weak euro fundamentals. ✨ Summary Confluence resistance at 1.1350 caps the pair; short bias targets 1.1270 → 1.1200, invalidated on a close above 1.1380. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup – Demand Zone to Target 1.15646🔍 Current Price: 1.13414 📉 EMA (70): 1.13334 Price is slightly above the EMA → Bullish hint ✅ Key Zones & Levels 🟦 Demand Zone: 📍 1.12441 ➡️ 1.12985 Strong buying interest here! Price bounced from this zone → 📈 Possible reversal 🔵 Entry Point: 1.12985 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.12441 🎯 Target: 1.15646 Trendline Watch 📉 Descending trendline is being tested/broken 🟠 If price holds above the trendline + EMA → CONFIRMATION for long entry ✅ Trade Setup Buy Entry: 1.12985 TP: 1.15646 🎯 SL: 1.12441 🔻 Risk–Reward Ratio: ~ 1:4.8 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ Visual Flow: 🔵 Demand Zone ⬆️ Break EMA & Trendline ⬆️ 🎯 Target Zone (1.15646) Summary: Looks like a sweet bullish setup from the demand zone! If price stays above EMA and trendline → Go Long ✅
Long
by Jameshead007
4
Mastering Order Blocks: How to Trade Like Smart MoneyIntroduction Order Blocks (OBs) are one of the most critical concepts in Smart Money trading. They represent areas where institutional traders have entered the market with significant volume, typically leading to strong price movements. Identifying and trading Order Blocks gives traders an edge by aligning with the footprints of Smart Money. What is an Order Block? An Order Block is the last bearish candle before a bullish move for bullish OBs, or the last bullish candle before a bearish move for bearish OBs. These candles represent areas where institutions accumulated or distributed large positions, leading to a market shift. Types of Order Blocks A Bullish Order Block appears at the end of a downtrend or during a retracement just before the price moves sharply upward. It is typically represented by the last bearish candle prior to an impulsive bullish move. Price will often return to this level to mitigate institutional orders before continuing upward. A Bearish Order Block, in contrast, forms at the end of an uptrend or retracement where price begins a downward reversal. It is characterized by the last bullish candle before a strong bearish move. Price tends to revisit this level to mitigate before continuing lower. How to Identify a Valid Order Block The key to identifying a valid Order Block is first observing a strong impulsive move, also known as displacement, that follows the OB candle. The move must also result in a break of market structure or a significant shift in direction. Order Blocks that produce Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) or Market Structure Shifts (MSS) tend to be more reliable. Another important sign is when price returns to the OB for mitigation, offering a potential entry. Entry Model Using Order Blocks After locating a valid OB, the next step is to wait for price to return to this area. The ideal entry happens within the OB body or near its 50% level. For extra confirmation, look for a Market Structure Shift or Break of Structure on a lower timeframe. Entries are more powerful when combined with additional elements like Fair Value Gaps, liquidity grabs, or SMT Divergences. The stop-loss should be placed just beyond the OB’s high or low, depending on the direction of the trade. Refinement Techniques To increase precision, higher timeframe OBs can be refined by zooming into lower timeframes like the 1M or 5M chart. Within a broad OB zone, identify internal market structure, displacement candles, or embedded FVGs to determine a more precise entry point. One effective refinement is the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE), which is often found at the 50% level of the Order Block. Order Blocks vs. Supply and Demand Zones While they may seem similar, Order Blocks are more narrowly defined and specifically related to institutional order flow. Supply and Demand zones are broader and typically drawn around areas of price reaction, but OBs are derived from the final institutional candle before a large move and are often confirmed by structure shifts or displacement. This makes OBs more precise and actionable in the context of Smart Money concepts. Target Setting from Order Blocks Targets after entering from an OB should align with liquidity objectives. Common targets include internal liquidity like equal highs or lows, or consolidation zones just beyond the OB. External liquidity targets such as previous major swing highs or lows are also ideal, especially when they align with imbalances or Fair Value Gaps. It's important to adjust targets based on the current market structure and trading session. Common Mistakes to Avoid A frequent mistake is treating any candle before a move as an OB without verifying key signals like displacement or a Break of Structure. Entering without other confirmations, such as an MSS or liquidity sweep, can lead to poor trades. Another common error is placing the stop-loss too tightly within the OB, instead of just beyond it, increasing the chance of premature stop-outs. Traders should also avoid executing OB trades during low-liquidity sessions where price action can be unpredictable and wicky. Final Thoughts Order Blocks are foundational to Smart Money trading. They allow you to enter where institutions have placed large positions and offer clear invalidation and entry logic. With practice, you can identify high-quality OBs and combine them with other concepts like FVGs, MSS, and SMT for powerful, precise trades. Practice on different timeframes and assets, and always look for clean displacement and structure confirmation. Mastering OBs is a big step toward becoming a consistently profitable trader. Trust the Blocks. Trade with Intention.
Education
by Louigi_24
104
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.15878.Colleagues, I believe .that the five-wave movement is not over yet and another wave of upward movement is waiting for us. I believe that wave “4” has almost completed the correction or has already completed it. In any case, I consider the main target to be the resistance area at 1.15878, which is the minimum target and the top of wave “3”. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
27
Skeptic |EUR/USD Analysis: Key Triggers and Setups for Big MovesHey everyone, Skeptic here! Welcome back to another analysis. Today, we’re diving into EUR/USD , a pair that’s super active and sitting at a critical spot. The triggers I’m about to break down could set us up for some solid risk/reward plays. Like always, let’s start with the Daily Timeframe to get the lay of the land. Here we go! 📊 📅 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture On the daily chart, we’ve got a clean upward channel that’s been rock-solid, with the price reacting nicely to the floor, ceiling, and midline. It’s hit the floor 4 times and the ceiling 4 times, so this channel is a reliable trigger we can work with. 💪 The 7-period SMA is hanging out above the candles, showing us the bullish momentum is still in play. Friday’s candle was a bullish indecision candle, which hints at a possible break of the channel’s floor. If that break happens, our first target could be 1.12006 . You can clone the channel and slide it lower to spot your next targets and support levels—check the chart below for a visual. Simple and effective! 🔍 ⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups Let’s zoom into the 4-hour timeframe to find our long and short triggers. Here’s what we’re looking at: Long Setup 📈 Wait for a solid break above the key resistance at 1.13485 . That’s our green light to jump into a long position. Targets? We’re aiming for 1.14235 first, and potentially the channel’s midline if the move keeps going. Quick tip: Take some profits at these levels, but don’t close out too soon—let’s milk those R/R ratios! 😉 Short Setup 📉 On the bearish side, watch for a break below support at 1.12676 , especially if the RSI dips into oversold. That could be a strong short trigger , as it’d also confirm a break of the upward channel, opening the door for a deeper pullback. Since we’ve had a decent uptrend, this short setup could be extra reliable if the trigger hits. Let’s stay sharp! 🐻 🧠 Why Multi-Timeframe Analysis Matters A multi-timeframe approach is like having a cheat code for trading. It helps us align the signals we find on lower timeframes with the bigger trends and cycles on higher ones. Want to dig deeper? I just wrote an article on this—definitely worth a read if you want to level up your game. 📚 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
by SkepticWise
3
EURUSD: FOMC rate decisionThe week of macro data in the US started on Tuesday, with Jobs openings data. As per posted data, there have been 7.192M jobs open in March, which was below market expectation of 7,48M. The GDP Growth rate for the Q1 was standing at -0,3% for the quarter, which came as a surprise to the market, which was expecting to see the figure of +0,3%. Analysts are noting that this drop in economic output represents reflection of trade tariffs of the US Administration. The week-end brought the PCE data for March, which was closely watched by market participants, as this indicator represents Fed's favourite inflation indicator. As per published data, the PCE Price index reached 0% in March for the month, and 2,3% on a yearly basis. Figures were in line with market estimates. At the same time, core PCE was also at the level of 0%, beating market estimates of 0,1%. Personal Income in March was increased by 0,5%, while Personal Spending was higher by 0,7%. The ISM Manufacturing PMI in April was standing at 48,7, a bit higher from the forecasted 48. The Non-farm payrolls in April were increased by 177K, which was significantly above the market forecast of 130K. The Unemployment rate was without change from the previous month, at 4,2%. The GfK Consumer Confidence in May reached the level of -20,6, much better than forecasted -26. The Retail Sales in Germany dropped by -0,2% in March for the month, bringing the total figure to 2,2% on a yearly basis. The slowdown in retail sales was higher from market consensus of 3,2% on a yearly basis. The Unemployment rate in Germany remained stable at 6,3% in April and without change from the previous month. The GDP Growth rate in Germany for Q1 reached 0,2% for the quarter, while it stands at -0,2% compared to the previous year. Both figures were in line with market estimates. At the same time, the GDP Growth rate in the Euro Zone reached the level of 0,4% for Q1 and 1,2% on a yearly basis. The GDP growth rate for the Euro Zone beat market expectations of 0,2% for the quarter and 1,0% for the year. Preliminary inflation rate in Germany in April was 0,4% for the month and 2,1% on a yearly basis. The Inflation rate in the Euro Zone preliminary in April was at the level of 2,2%, while the unemployment rate was steady at the level of 6,2% The eurusd currency pair was mostly under sentiment of the US jobs data and consequently, its impact on the Fed rate decision in the coming period. In this sense, the US Dollar gained during the week, reaching its highest level at 1,1296 against euro as of the end of the week. The RSI started its move aways from the overbought market side, ending the week at the level of 56. It still does not represent the clear sign that the market is headed toward the oversold market side. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, after two lines made a cross, some three weeks ago. The week ahead is going to be a very important one, considering the Fed's rate decision on Wednesday. Prior and during this day, some increased market nervousness and volatility might be quite possible. Previously, the market was testing the 1,1460, historically important resistance level. There has not been enough market strength for this level to be breached, in which sense, the market reverted a bit toward the downside. Still, the support level at 1,12 has not been tested during the previous week. The 1,13 level historically is not significant, in which sense, it should not be expected that the market will spend too much time around this level. As per current charts, there is higher probability for the 1,12 level, which could easily be the next stop for the eurusd pair. At the same time, there is some probability that the market might return toward 1,1460 to test it for one more time. Charts are not pointing toward the potential of higher grounds, at this moment. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Retail Sales for March in the EuroZone, Balance of trade in Germany in March, Industrial Production in Germany in March. USD: ISM Services PMI for April, FOMC Meeting and Interest Rate Decision will be held on Wednesday, May 7th, after which the Fed will held a press conference.
by XBTFX