EURUSD – Short-Term Top Signal, Sellers Getting ReadyEURUSD has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 1.17190 and immediately faced selling pressure. This zone previously acted as a strong reversal area, and with a rejection candlestick and a forming FVG, the risk of a downward correction is increasing.
Currently, the price is moving sideways just below the high, forming lower highs — suggesting a possible distribution pattern before breaking the bullish structure. If price breaks below the FVG zone near 1.165–1.166, the move could extend toward the technical target at 1.15900 — aligning with the channel bottom and a historical liquidity area.
Recent fundamental drivers:
U.S. economic data remains strong (Jobless Claims, Core PCE) → supports USD strength
The ECB remains cautious and hasn’t committed to further rate hikes → slightly weakens the euro
Eurusd-4
EURUSD: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 1.17021 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD Soars Beyond 1.17, Eyeing 2021 Highs on DXY DrawdownAs EUR/USD breaks further above the upper boundary of a 17-year descending channel, U.S. dollar dominance over the pair appears to be fading, leaving room for long-term upside potential.
The pair has now reached levels last seen in September 2021 near 1.1750. A decisive close above this level could extend gains toward the 1.20 mark, aligned with the 2021 peaks.
On the downside, a close back below the 1.1570 support may trigger a pullback toward 1.14 and 1.13 before a potential bullish continuation. If that fails, the upper boundary of the former channel could be retested at 1.11 and 1.10.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
EURUSD Will Move Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 15h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.173.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.144 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURUSD Sell SetupBy: MJTrading:
EUR/USD has rallied into a significant resistance zone, approaching the upper boundary of a rising wedge/channel pattern. The price is now hovering around a key confluence zone, where trendline resistance and horizontal supply intersect ( 1.16300 —1.16500 )
There are to possible scenarios:
1) If the price Rejects directly from previous High
🔹 Position 1: Sell Stop @ 1.15915
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.6375
🎯 Take Profit: 1.5454
R/R:1
isk Level: Medium
2) If price tries to reach the boundary of the wedge or make a Fake breakout:
🔹🔹 Position 2: Sell Limit @ 1.16300
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.6930
🎯 Take Profit: 1.5000
R/R:2
Risk Level: Low
📌 This zone offers a high-probability reversal setup
📉 Why it Matters:
Price action shows signs of exhaustion after a parabolic move.
EMA structure is stretched, hinting at a potential pullback.
Lets ZOOM OUT:
Daily Chart:
ZOOM IN:
Stay disciplined, let price come to you, and manage risk.
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#EURUSD #ForexSetup #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPattern #FXTrading #ShortTrade #MJTrading #BearishReversal #PriceAction #SwingTrade #ForexIdeas #Trendlines #BreakoutOrFakeout #RiskReward
Euro's Surge on USD Weakness – Is 1.20 the Next Stop?EURUSD: Euro's Surge on USD Weakness – Is 1.20 the Next Stop?
Hello TradingView Community!
The EURUSD pair is currently commanding significant attention with its strong upward momentum.
🌍 Fundamental Highlights: Euro's Tailwinds & USD's Headwinds
The Euro has demonstrated notable strength, recently breaching the 1.17 mark to hit its highest level in over 3.5 years. According to ING, if this momentum holds, the next target could be 1.20, contingent on continued USD weakness.
The US Dollar faces considerable pressure following news that President Trump intends to name a successor to Fed Chair Powell soon, sparking concerns about the Fed's independence. Such speculation often leads to expectations of a more 'dovish' monetary policy, weakening the USD.
Adding to the Euro's support are the NATO agreement to increase defense spending targets to 5% and President Trump's seemingly "less aggressive" stance towards the EU.
In summary: Should USD depreciation persist, not only the Euro but other asset classes might also attract capital inflows, particularly given the ongoing uncertainties surrounding inflation risks and monetary policy.
📊 EURUSD Technical Outlook (H4/M30 Chart):
Our technical analysis of the EURUSD chart (image_b73298.png) confirms a clear and robust uptrend, characterized by successive higher highs and higher lows. The EMAs are in a bullish alignment, reinforcing this upward trajectory.
Upside Targets (Potential BUY Zones):
1.17807: The initial potential target if the bullish momentum continues.
1.18458: A higher target representing the next potential resistance zone.
Key Support Levels (Potential BUY Zones for pullbacks):
1.16070: A strong support level where demand could emerge after a correction.
An implied intermediate support around 1.166xx (visually suggested by price action between current levels and 1.16070) could also offer buying opportunities after minor pullbacks.
🎯 EURUSD Trading Plan:
BUY Zone 1 (Intermediate Pullback):
Entry: 1.16600 - 1.16700
SL: 1.16450
TP: 1.16800 - 1.17000 - 1.17200 - 1.17500 - 1.17807 - 1.18000 - 1.18300 - 1.18458
BUY Zone 2 (Strong Support):
Entry: 1.16070
SL: 1.15900
TP: 1.16200 - 1.16400 - 1.16600 - 1.16800 - 1.17000 - 1.17300 - 1.17600 - 1.17807 - 1.18458
SELL Zone (Consider only at upside targets with clear reversal signals):
Entry: 1.18458 (This is an upside target, but also a potential resistance for selling if strong reversal signals appear).
SL: 1.18600
TP: 1.18300 - 1.18000 - 1.17807 - 1.17500 - 1.17200 - 1.17000 - 1.16800
⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor:
Fed Leadership News: Any official announcements regarding the Fed Chair succession will trigger significant USD volatility.
Eurozone Economic Data: Upcoming inflation, GDP, and employment reports.
ECB Statements: The European Central Bank's stance on monetary policy.
Geopolitical Developments: Major tensions or agreements can influence market sentiment.
Trade smart and always manage your risk effectively! Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
WHY GBPUSD BULLISH ???GBPUSD is unfolding exactly as anticipated, with price now hovering around the 1.3740 region and maintaining strong bullish momentum. Price has successfully bounced from the key support zone near 1.3430, which was previously a major resistance turned into solid demand. This level held firmly during multiple retests, confirming a clean breakout-retest continuation pattern. As long as this structure remains intact, I continue to hold a bullish bias targeting 1.4000 in the coming sessions.
From a fundamental perspective, the British Pound is gaining strength on the back of improved UK economic sentiment. The latest UK inflation data surprised to the upside, pushing annual CPI back above 3%, which reinforces expectations that the Bank of England may need to act sooner rather than later on rate hikes. Markets are now pricing in higher probability of a rate adjustment before the end of Q3 2025. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is under moderate pressure as recent soft labor data and downward revisions in consumer confidence readings have dampened expectations for further tightening from the Fed.
Technically, GBPUSD has cleared major Fibonacci resistance levels and is now forming higher highs and higher lows across the higher timeframes. The current bullish wave is fueled by clean institutional demand and strong price action momentum. If the pair can sustain above 1.3650–1.3680, a swift move toward the psychological 1.4000 handle is highly probable. The 1.4218 Fibonacci extension aligns as a longer-term secondary target for swing traders holding this bullish continuation.
This setup offers a solid blend of macroeconomic backing and technical structure. GBPUSD remains one of the top trending forex pairs right now, favored by strong price action, central bank divergence, and global capital rotation. I'm closely monitoring for intraday pullbacks to add long positions, aiming for extended upside as the market follows through on this bullish breakout continuation.
Shorting Optimism: EUR/USD Rally vs RealityAfter the spike to 1.1640 driven by temporary ceasefire news and USD weakness, I’ve taken a short position on EUR/USD. The market priced in too much optimism too fast, and I see limited upside beyond this zone in the current macro landscape. I’m positioned for a controlled retracement back toward the 1.1460–1.1520 region.
The play? Fade the overextension, follow structure, and manage from strength.
Technicals:
• The pair ran into a strong supply zone near 1.1640, which aligns with a previous liquidity sweep.
• Momentum has slowed visibly on lower timeframes, with candles rejecting highs and wicks printing upper tails.
• Daily and 4H SMAs are overstretched. The 20 SMA on H4 is accelerating upward, but RSI is near overbought and flattening.
• My short entry was taken with a stop above 1.1745 and first target at 1.1540, second at 1.1500.
• A potential retest of the 1.1660 zone could offer additional entries if invalidation remains intact.
Fundamentals:
• ECB vs Fed Divergence: The Fed holds firm on rates amid sticky inflation, while the ECB is under pressure to ease further due to weak growth.
• EU Struggles: PMI data remains in contraction territory; HICP cooling to 1.7% YoY suggests little reason for tightening.
• Political Instability: Germany and France both facing internal political crises — risk premia rising.
• Ceasefire Priced In: EUR rally on Middle East headlines lacks depth — conflict paused, not resolved.
• USD Resilience: Weak recent data aside, the USD remains a safe haven. Fed’s Powell reiterated that cuts aren’t imminent.
⚠️ Bias: Bearish as long as price trades below 1.1640. Watching how the market reacts to Fed testimony and ECB rhetoric this week.
🧠 Reminder: Don’t get emotional after vertical rallies. When everyone gets excited, I look for exhaustion. That’s where trades begin.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Euro may start to decline to support line of upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Earlier, the price was trading inside a downward wedge, gradually making lower highs and lower lows. After reaching the bottom of the wedge near the buyer zone (1.1210 - 1.1180), we saw a strong bullish impulse that broke through both the resistance line of the wedge and the support area near 1.1450 - 1.1485. This breakout signaled the beginning of a new phase - a transition into an Upward Channel. Since then, the price has been forming higher highs and higher lows, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of this new structure. Along the way, it has rebounded from the support line multiple times and recently made a strong move up toward the resistance line of the channel. Currently, the price is approaching that resistance line, which may act as a potential reversal area. Given the previous price behavior and the clearly defined channel, I expect the price to reach the top boundary and then start to decline toward the lower support line. That’s why I’ve set my TP 1 at 1.1555 points, which aligns perfectly with the support line of the upward channel. Based on the recent breakout, the structure of the trend, and the reaction from key zones, I remain short-biased for the upcoming sessions. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EURO - Price can correct and then continue move up in channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price entered to triangle, where it at once made an upward impulse from support line to resistance line.
Price broke $1.1070 with $1.1430 levels, after which turned around and started to decline, breaking $1.1430 level again.
Next, price exited from triangle and started to grow inside rising channel, where it rose near support line long time.
Later it reached $1.1430 level one more time and soon broke it again, after which made retest and continued to grow.
But when it reached resistance line of channel, it made correction movement to support area and then bounced up.
Now, I think that Euro can fall to support line and then continue to move up inside rising channel to $1.1800
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DeGRAM | EURUSD will continue to grow rapidly📊 Technical Analysis
● Euro keeps hugging the upper rail of the 3-month rising channel after re-testing the broken April triangle top as support, confirming fresh trend acceleration.
● Momentum is unbroken – every 4 h pullback since 17 Jun has held above the inner trend-line (now 1.1717); measured channel height points to the next fib / horizontal cluster at 1.1869.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US durable-goods orders and slowing housing data cooled 2-yr yields, while ECB speakers signalled no rush to ease again; the short-rate gap narrowed for a third session, underpinning EUR strength.
✨ Summary
Buy dips ≥1.1717; upside targets 1.1800 then 1.1869. Bull view void on a 4 h close below 1.1600.
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EUR/USD Bullish Continuation Analysis EUR/USD Bullish Continuation Analysis 🚀💶
📊 Chart Summary:
The EUR/USD pair is demonstrating a strong bullish structure with consistent higher highs and higher lows. Recent price action shows a breakout above the 1.16386 resistance level, now acting as support 🛡️. The market is currently retracing and might retest this new support zone before continuing its upward move toward the target.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔸 Bullish Structure:
Multiple bullish impulses have formed a clean staircase pattern (🔼⬆️), indicating sustained buying momentum.
🔸 Support Zone 🟦 (1.13200 - 1.14000):
This zone has been tested multiple times, confirming its strength and the base of this bullish rally.
🔸 Breakout & Retest 🟠:
Price broke above the 1.16386 resistance level, pulled back slightly (highlighted by the orange circle), and now looks ready for a potential continuation to the upside.
🔸 Target 🎯: 1.18010
A clear target has been set based on measured move or resistance projection. If the price respects the current structure, we may see a continuation toward this level.
✅ Trade Outlook:
Bias: Bullish 📈
Entry Zone: Around 1.16386 (upon bullish confirmation)
Target 🎯: 1.18010
Invalidation ❌: Break below 1.1600 with bearish momentum
🧠 Technical Tip:
Always wait for confirmation on the retest before entering. Wick rejections or bullish engulfing candles at the support zone can provide additional entry confidence. 🔍✅
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.17300.Colleagues, I believe that the upward five-wave impulse is not over yet. At the moment, I see the formation of wave “3” of the lower order and wave “3” of the middle order, which means that the upward movement will continue at least to the resistance area of 1.17300. This area is located between two levels (1.16529-1.18252) of Fibonacci extension.
A correction is possible — be careful.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EURUSD – Signs of Weakness, Risk of Trendline BreakEURUSD is showing signs of weakness after a strong rejection at the 1.16300 resistance zone — a level that previously acted as a distribution area. Despite a brief rebound driven by mixed PMI data, the Euro failed to maintain its momentum and is now turning lower.
If price breaks below the support zone around 1.15400 — which aligns with both the trendline and an old FVG — a deeper decline toward the 1.15000 level could be triggered. Continued failure to surpass the 1.16300 resistance would further strengthen the corrective pressure.
On the fundamental side, expectations for the ECB to hold rates steady and weaker-than-expected Eurozone data are dampening the Euro’s outlook. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains firm on safe-haven demand, with upcoming US GDP and Core PCE data likely to drive short-term direction.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 26, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair continues to rise to 1.16800 during Thursday's Asian session. The US dollar (USD) is weakening against the euro (EUR) as investors worry about the future independence of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Final data on US GDP growth for the first quarter will be in focus later on Thursday.
US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that he is considering three or four potential candidates to replace Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. According to the Wall Street Journal, Trump may consider former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. Other candidates include former World Bank President David Malpass and Fed Governor Christopher Waller.
This raises questions about a potential weakening of the Fed's independence and a possible decline in its authority, which undermines the dollar and creates favorable conditions for the major currency pair.
Across the Atlantic, European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are concerned about the economic outlook due to Trump's tariff policy and geopolitical risks. Earlier this week, ECB policymaker François Villeroy de Galhau said that despite current conditions, further rate cuts are still possible. Statements by ECB policymakers may put pressure on the single currency in the near term.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.16750, SL 1.16300, TP 1.17500
Bullish continuation for the Fiber?The price is falling towards the pivot point, which is a pullback support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is also a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.1630
1st Support: 1.1591
1st Resistance: 1.1692
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EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart (OANDA)4-hour price movement of the Euro/U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair from OANDA, covering the period from June 19 to July 11, 2025. The current exchange rate is 1.16787, reflecting a 0.16% increase (+0.00189). The chart highlights a recent upward trend, with a notable price range between 1.15990 and 1.17335, and includes candlestick patterns and a highlighted resistance zone.
EURUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.15700 zone, EURUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.15700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR_USD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅EUR_USD is going up
Now and the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.1630 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD under pressure ahead of PCE—gold holds $3,300The euro has reached its highest level since October 2021, driven in part by commitments from European leaders to increase NATO defence spending.
The swing factor for the euro dollar in the shorter term is the possibility of US rate cuts. Critical for this will be US inflation data, starting with tomorrow's PCE report. If tariffs fail to significantly lift inflation, the case for a July rate cut strengthens—adding further pressure on the dollar.
That weakness is also supporting gold. XAUUSD is above $3,300. Recent price action has formed a potential symmetrical triangle on the daily chart—a structure that can precede a breakout. A move above $3,400 could signal renewed bullish momentum.