EUR/USD: Poised for a Reversal?On November 23, FOREXCOM:EURUSD broke below the critical 1.05 support zone, reaching a low of 1.0336. However, the pair quickly reversed course and has since been trading in a range between 1.0450 and 1.06.
A closer look at the price action suggests the pair has established a strong floor and is awaiting a catalyst for an upward reversal.
That catalyst could very well come today, with the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut and subsequent press conference. Given the accumulated market tension, an accelerated move to the upside seems likely.
Key Levels to Watch :
Support: Any dips below 1.05 should be viewed as buying opportunities, with the potential for a rebound.
Resistance: A target around 1.0750 appears realistic in the current context.
Invalidation Level: If the price falls back below 1.04, this bullish scenario would be negated.
Eurusd-4
EURUSD H4| Falling from 61.8% Fibo?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0552, which is a pullback resistance close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.0453, a swing low support level.
The stop loss will be at 1.0628, a swing high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
#EURUSD - 18122024I was bullish EURUSD yesterday but it made a new high then came down to level below, before recovering but closing with a bearish candle. Is the highs in? Or is this just a pullback for another leg higher.
This IMO, is a tricky question. With yesterday's bearish candle, I do see a move lower. Thus a possible scenario, if I am overall bullish, would be, for price to come down to clear the lows, before buyers come in and bring this higher. 1.0468 is thus a good level to go long off.
However, if price continues up from here, I would be wary of a pullback from a resistance above and 1.0516 is such a level. Of course, it can trade to 1.0516, sell down to 1.0468 then rally up to close green.
Oil Market Analysis - 17/12/2024The oil market is currently under pressure, with WTI down to $69.30 and Brent at $72.66. The main causes are:
Pemex Production Recovery: Oil platforms in the Gulf of Mexico have returned to full capacity after improved weather conditions and the end of the hurricane season. This has increased available supply, partially offsetting the decline in Russian production.
Decline in Russian Crude: Russian maritime oil exports have fallen by 11% since October due to maintenance at a key terminal. This has temporarily limited flows but has not significantly supported prices due to increased production from other sources like Pemex.
Strengthening US Dollar: The Dollar Index (DXY) is around 107.00, gaining strength thanks to preliminary US PMI data for December, which signals the fastest economic growth in 33 months, driven by the services sector. A strong dollar negatively impacts oil, making it more expensive for buyers using other currencies.
API Expectations: Crude inventory data from the API, scheduled for 21:30 GMT, could add volatility. Last week, there was a build of 0.499 million barrels.
EU Sanctions: The EU has imposed sanctions on a Dutch trader involved in trading Russian oil above the price cap. The impact on volumes remains limited for now.
Oil Technical Analysis
Price Range: Oil is trading within a range between $67.00 (support) and $71.50 (upper resistance), with this band likely extending into January 2025.
Resistance: The key resistance is located at $71.03 (100-day SMA) and $71.46, where prices encountered selling pressure last week.
A breakout above $71.03 could push prices toward $75.27, but caution is needed for quick profit-taking as the year-end approaches.
Support: The first solid support is at $67.12, a level that held prices in May-June 2023. A break below could see crude testing the 2024 yearly low at $64.75 and then $64.38, the 2023 low.
Apple Earnings Boost Stock to 182 ? Reasons Why
Apple’s Fiscal 2024 First Quarter Results:
Apple reported its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2024, which ended on December 30, 2023. Here are the key highlights:
Revenue: The company posted quarterly revenue of $119.6 billion, representing a 2 percent year-over-year increase.
Earnings Per Share (EPS): Quarterly earnings per diluted share reached $2.18, marking a 16 percent year-over-year growth.
Services Revenue: Apple achieved an all-time record in services revenue during this quarter.
Active Devices: The installed base of active Apple devices surpassed 2.2 billion, reaching an all-time high across all products and geographic segments.
Cash Flow and Dividends: Apple generated nearly $40 billion of operating cash flow and returned almost $27 billion to shareholders. The company’s board of directors declared a cash dividend of $0.24 per share of common stock, payable on February 15, 2024.
Long Idea and Earnings Impact:
While the earnings report reflects strong performance, it’s essential to consider the broader market context and analysts’ expectations.
Analysts estimate an average EPS of $1.41 for Apple’s second quarter of 2024, with a range between $1.32 and $1.45.
As an investor, you might want to assess factors such as:
iPhone Sales: The growth in iPhone sales significantly contributed to Apple’s revenue. Monitor iPhone demand trends and product launches.
Services Segment: Services revenue hit a record high. Evaluate the sustainability of this growth.
Margin Expansion: The all-time record EPS resulted from margin expansion. Understand the drivers behind this improvement.
Dividends: Apple’s consistent dividend payments provide income for long-term investors.
Meta Stock Could Reach $520 by July 2024 Earnings ReportNASDAQ:META
Why Meta Stock Could Reach $520 by July 2024 Earnings Report
Meta Platforms, Inc., formerly known as Facebook, has been making significant strides in its business operations, which could potentially drive its stock price to $520 by the time of its July 2024 earnings report. Here are some key reasons:
1. Strong Performance in Q1 2024
Meta reported a robust first quarter in 2024, with revenue soaring 27% to $36.4 billion compared to the same period last year1. Net income also saw a substantial increase of 117% to $12.4 billion. This strong financial performance indicates a healthy growth trajectory for the company.
2. Significant Investment in AI
CEO Mark Zuckerberg has announced plans for significant investment in artificial intelligence2. While this initially caused a 12% slump in the META stock price, it’s a strategic long-term investment that could potentially drive future growth and profitability.
3. Positive Stock Forecasts
Analysts have made positive predictions about Meta’s stock price. For instance, WalletInvestor forecasts a price of $517.58, while TipRanks predicts a price of $547.45. These predictions suggest a potential for the stock price to reach $520.
4. Expected Growth in Q2 2024
Meta’s CFO has projected total revenue for Q2 2024 to be in the range of $36.5-39 billion. This expected growth could further boost investor confidence and drive up the stock price.
5. Long-Term Growth Potential
Meta has demonstrated a long-term growth potential, with its stock price rising 110% from $209.40 to $441.38 in the 12 months leading up to April 25, 2024. This trend suggests that the company has the potential to reach the $520 mark by July 2024.
MICROSOFT 460 BY 2025 ?TOP 3 REASONS WHY !!
Earnings Growth: One of the most important factors for any growth Astock is earnings growth1. Microsoft has a historical EPS growth rate of 21.3%, and it’s projected to grow 13.2% this year, outpacing the industry average. This consistent and robust earnings growth is a strong indicator of the company’s financial health and future prospects, which could drive its stock price higher.
Cloud Services: Microsoft Azure, the company’s cloud platform, has been a significant driver of growth. Demand for cloud infrastructure services is higher than ever, as organizations seek digital solutions in a post-COVID-19 world. With Azure’s revenue increasing by 48%, it’s expected to exceed both Office and Windows in annual revenue by next year. This growth in the cloud sector represents a massive opportunity for Microsoft and could be a major factor in boosting its stock price.
Productivity and Gaming: Microsoft’s productivity and business processes segment, which includes Office 365, has shown solid results with consistent revenue growth. The transition of Office to a subscription service has been beneficial for Microsoft’s core software business2. Additionally, the gaming sector, particularly Xbox, is another area where Microsoft is seeing significant growth2. With the successful launch of the Xbox Series X and Series S, and the rapid growth of the Xbox Game Pass subscription service, the future looks bright for Microsoft’s gaming business.
$ORCL 126 AFTER EARNINGS NYSE:ORCL 126 AFTER EARNINGS
Strong Quarterly Earnings: Oracle has shown strong financial performance in the recent past, with its stock price soaring after reporting results that beat analysts' expectations and highlighted its position amid the AI boom. This indicates a positive market response to its financial performance, which could lead to a higher stock price in the future.
Increased Price Targets by Analysts: Analysts have increased their price targets for Oracle, with some predicting a potential rise to $126.
These optimistic forecasts suggest that the market and analysts have confidence in the company's future growth and performance.
Positive Market Sentiment: The market's response to Oracle's earnings reports has generally been positive, with the stock price rising after strong earnings reports. This suggests that if Oracle continues to report strong earnings, the market could respond positively, potentially pushing the stock price towards $126.
High Growth Potential: Analysts predict that Oracle's earnings and revenue will grow significantly over the next 3 years. This high growth potential could attract investors and drive up the stock price.
Market Leadership: Oracle is a market leader in cloud computing and database software. Its strong market position and broad scope of offerings could contribute to its continued growth and success, potentially leading to a higher stock price.
Positive Industry Outlook: The cloud computing and database software industries are expected to continue growing, driven by the increasing need for digital solutions and data management. As a leader in these spaces,
Oracle is well-positioned to benefit from this industry growth.
AI-Related Gains: Oracle has been highlighted for its position amid the AI boom, indicating its potential to benefit from the growing demand for AI-related services and solutions.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0456
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.0401
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.0527
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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EURUSD to make a bullish breakout after the Fed.On Wednesday the Fed will announce the new rate and the anticipation of this event largely explains the recent consolidation of EURUSD.
Since the November 22nd bottom, it has turned sideways around the MA50 (4h), failing to cross above the MA200 (4h), which is the main Resistance of the bearish wave since October 1st.
The July-October 2023 bearish wave was under a similar consolidation but eventually broke to the upside and hit the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.08700 (the 0.618 Fibonacci level).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) has been rising inside a Channel Up, which is a bullish divergence also very much like the October 2023 bottom.
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EURUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisEURUSD is moving in an UPWARD channel.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity EURUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
EURUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0502
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0548
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0476
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPAUD Analysis And Next Market MovePair Name = GBPAUD
Timeframe = D1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
GBPAUD has completed the retesting period. Now her getting a good volume. Expecting here 200 Pips + gain
GBP is getting stronger day by day. Getting good bounce from this support level.
Bullish Target:-
2.050
2.040
XAU/USD : LONG, SHORT, LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that the price failed to maintain its bullish momentum yesterday. With news favoring the dollar index, gold experienced further declines, reaching $2664 so far. Now, we can expect an upward correction, likely followed by another drop before gold resumes its rally towards levels above $2700. This analysis will be updated further, so stay tuned and follow step by step!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Scenario on EURUSD 11.12.24In this analysis, I think there are two possible scenarios and that is a long set up if we stay above the price range around 1.06100-1.06400, but if we do not break through this price range, then I would rather focus on some short set up, we will see the situation is not very visible at the moment.
EURUSD: Short-term trade Before Retail SalesHello Traders,
Due to longer term Bearish Trend in the pair I'm more with the Red Path, However, we have to follow the market!
Any Breaks below the channel and 1.0500, may head the price to 1.0468.
Any Breaks over the zone, could make us see the 1.0577.
We should close our trader before Retail Sales release on Tuesday.
EURUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisEURUSD is moving on support zone
The chart is above the support level, which has already become a reversal point twice.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity EURUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
EURUSD M30 I Bullish Rise?Based on the M30 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 1.0488, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.0521, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.0465, which is a pullback support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Reverse Head and Shoulder patten forming in EURUSD DailyTechnical Analysis:
================
A reverse head and shoulder pattern has formed in EURUSD, if the price action continues to go up, it can gain ~300 pips.
The neck line, left and right shoulders and the head of the H&S pattern are previous significant levels (means support or resistance in past).
Fundamental Analysis:
===================
1) Santa Clause Rally :
For whatever reason the stock market keeps going up in December, and USD should depreciate against major currency pairs including EUR
2) The VIX Index has gone down significantly due to the ceasefire between Israel and other parties
There are other factors like Trump administration would consider crypto as mainstream currency, which would depreciate USD. But that might happen in 2025, we should see the H&S happening in December if the price action continues in the same/upward direction.
Note: A trade idea I post here is also my trading journal.