EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025
An almost picture perfect setup. Let's take a look into why and what we forecast.
Take a look at the weekly chart. We have had a previous bearish close from the weekly order block. That's a tick in our book. The even better news is that weekly wick of rejection has also mitigated the daily order block up at the highs!
Another serious level of confluence that will in turn support out short forecast. Now what can we expect to happen next for price action. We shall not guess, we will wait to see how the market plays but I'll inform you of what FRGNT X would love to see.
-Price action fill the previous weekly closed wick area.
- In doing so, can we reach the 15' Order block that was left behind.
- Can we grab a lower time from break of structure from that point of interest.
- Once the above occurs. We short the market doing to clear points of interest.
The plan for EURUSD is very very simple this Monday morning. Let's see how it plays out.
FRGNT X
EURUSD
EUR/USD: What to Expect - Trump vs FED!The EUR/USD has recently shown a recovery phase after reaching the late-September high near 1.1150 last Thursday, initially supported by the weakness of the US dollar following fears of stagflation in the United States, fueled by tariff announcements from President Trump. However, the scenario changed rapidly after the release of Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data and Jerome Powell’s speech last Friday. Employment data showed NFP growth in line with expectations, but also an increase in the unemployment rate, signaling a less solid labor market than anticipated. During his speech, Powell expressed concerns about the resilience of the US economy, highlighting the risk of an economic slowdown while at the same time reiterating the focus on inflation, maintaining a cautious approach regarding further monetary easing policies.
From a technical perspective, the chart shows that the area around 1.0980-1.1000 represents a crucial zone to assess the sustainability of the bullish trend. A daily close above this level could trigger a new upward push towards the highs of 1.1100 and subsequently 1.1150, especially if supported by further signs of dollar weakness or positive European economic data. If the EUR/USD fails to hold above 1.1000, we could see a pullback towards the support at 1.0950 and subsequently 1.0900. The critical support area on the chart is identified between 1.0360 and 1.0280, and a break below these levels would indicate a significant change in market sentiment.
EURUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.0842, a pullback support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.0947, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.0731, a swing low support.
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Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce tot he 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.094
1st Support: 1.0752
1st Resistance: 1.1200
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EURUSD at Major Resistance: Will it Drop To 1.09000?OANDA:EURUSD reached a major resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. This zone also aligns with prior supply areas where sellers have stepped in, making it a potential point of interest for those looking for short opportunities. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.09000 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
Weekly FOREX Forecast: Buy EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD vs USDThis is an outlook for the week of April 7 - 11th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
CAD
CHF
JPY
Wait for the market to tip its hand! Monday is a no red folder news day. Great time to let the markets settle on a direction.
Trading a market after a huge push in one direction can be tricky. There is likely to be a pullback before continuing the overall trend. Bear this in mind with the USD.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
WEEK OF 4/6/25: EURUSD AnalysisLast week ended bullish for the pair, but there is a correction occuring at the moment so we will follow the MTF internal structure (bearish) until it reaches the daily and 4h POI to look for bullish price action.
Internal MTF structure is always king and we will need that to shift before looking for longs.
Major news: Inflation - Thursday
Thanks for stopping by and goodluck!
NAKAUSDTAn analysis at the height of market fear..
A situation where all markets are experiencing sharp declines due to US tariffs and Middle East tensions..
It seems that around $0.25 is the ideal area for short-term buying for $0.75 targets and the ideal time to start this upward movement is early April..
Just an analysis that may be wrong..
EUR-USD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a nice
Bearish correction from the
Resistance above and hit
A horizontal support level
Of 1.0934 from where
We can go long on Monday
With the Take Profit of 1.0996
And the Stop Loss of 1.0906
Buy!
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Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0925
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0853
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1086
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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EURUSD: Market Sentiment & Forecast
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
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EUR/USD Testing Demand Zone: What Are the Next Moves...?The EUR/USD currency pair is trading at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential point of support or resistance. This level is often referred to as the "golden zone," a critical area for traders looking for reversals or continuation patterns.
When we examine the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that the price action is consolidating within a defined range. This consolidation suggests that market participants are indecisive, with neither buyers nor sellers gaining a clear advantage at this moment.
To identify a potential trading opportunity, we should closely monitor the upper and lower boundaries of this consolidation zone. A break above the upper boundary could signal a bullish continuation, prompting us to look for long positions, especially if it's accompanied by increasing volume or other confirming indicators. Conversely, a break below the lower boundary may indicate bearish momentum, suggesting a potential entry for short positions.
As we await a decisive breakout from this range, it's important to remain cautious and patient, ensuring that any trade setup aligns with our overall trading strategy and risk management protocols. Keeping an eye on external factors such as economic news or events can also provide additional context for making informed trading decisions.
Elliott Wave Outlook (Wave C in Progress?)Key Technical Zones:
Demand Zone: 0.9750 – 1.0350 (Support from Wave B low)
Supply Zone: 1.1600 – 1.2000 (Potential Wave C target)
Current Price: 1.0959
Support Levels: 1.0730, 1.0350
Resistance Levels: 1.1250, 1.1600
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact for Wave C as long as the pair holds above 1.0730. Any deeper pullback into the demand zone could still be part of a healthy correction, offering long opportunities on confirmation. Keep an eye on macroeconomic data, especially from the U.S. (FOMC, CPI) and EU (ECB stance), as they may heavily influence EUR/USD sentiment in the coming weeks.
Conclusion:
Watch for bullish continuation setups toward the supply zone, but remain cautious of a mid-term rejection pattern, which could trigger a deeper correction. Trade safely, and always use proper risk management.
Current Scenario:
Price is now trading near 1.0950, suggesting a potential Wave C rally in progress.
If Wave C unfolds as anticipated, EUR/USD could approach the supply zone marked between 1.1600–1.2000, which aligns with previous structural resistance and Fibonacci retracement levels.
However, a false breakout or early rejection from current levels could lead to a sharp retracement, possibly retesting the demand zone before any major upside continuation.
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports and resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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BTC/USD update on the drop!Good day traders, yesterday I posted the same set up on bitcoin and now I’ve decided I’m gonna update this setup till we hit our Daily lowest low.
1H TF yesterday before end of trading day we show price bounce off the the horizontal lines and that is used as my support area, going into the New York session we can expect price to retest the break after it breaks below the support which will than become my resistance.
Hopefully today we can see price run our liquidity resting below(equal lows).
My name is Teboho Matla but you don’t know me yet..#Salute
Blueprint for Becoming a Successful Forex Trader in 2025🚀 Blueprint to Becoming a Successful Forex Trader in 2025: Leveraging ICT, Automation, and Prop Funding
Here’s a detailed, actionable blueprint designed to position you for success by carefully navigating broker selection, adopting advanced trading strategies, obtaining prop funding, and integrating automation and AI technologies into your trading.
🏦 Broker Selection (Actionable Steps)
🔍 Choose brokers with true ECN/STP execution
⚡ Ensure brokers offer low spreads (0.0-0.2 pip average) and fast execution to maximize ICT precision entries.
🛡️ Prioritize brokers regulated by ASIC, FCA, or FSCA with verified Myfxbook execution reports.
📊 Confirm broker compatibility with MetaTrader 4 (MT4) to seamlessly integrate Expert Advisors (EAs).
💳 Check for flexible withdrawal/deposit methods and swift payouts (Crypto, Wise, Revolut).
🎯 Trading Strategy (ICT Concepts & Supply-Demand Zones)
🧠 Master ICT Concepts: Liquidity sweeps, Order Blocks (OB), Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Market Structure Breaks (MSB).
📍 Combine ICT with Supply-Demand: Identify institutional supply-demand zones aligning with ICT Order Blocks & liquidity areas.
📐 Execute High-Probability Setups: Trade only after liquidity grabs at key daily/weekly ICT points, avoiding retail traps.
📈 Time & Price Theory: Trade London Kill Zones and New York Open exclusively, exploiting predictable ICT volatility.
📆 Weekly Preparation: Annotate D1/H4 charts on weekends marking liquidity points, order blocks, and premium/discount zones clearly.
💰 Getting Prop Funding (Actionable Approach)
🥇 Target reputable prop firms (FTMO, MyForexFunds, The Funded Trader, 8cap, etc) with clear and attainable evaluation objectives.
📑 Use ICT trading style for evaluation: lower-frequency, high-probability trades with clearly defined risks.
🎯 Implement strict risk management rules: never exceed 1% risk per trade, aiming for steady account growth (5-10% monthly target).
📊 Monitor performance closely using provided analytics dashboards (e.g., FTMO Metrics App) and adapt accordingly.
📚 Diversify funded accounts across multiple firms, compounding total available trading capital while reducing firm-specific risk.
⚙️ Automating & Executing Trades (MT4 EA & Bots)
🛠️ Hire experienced MQL4 developers to code custom ICT-based MT4 Expert Advisors
🤖 Develop EAs specifically around ICT logic (Order Block detection, liquidity grabs, market structure shifts) and or supply/demand logic
🤖 use advanced algo based breakout EAs for automation
📌 Automate trade management: EAs should handle entry precision, partial exits, break-even stops, and trail stops.
📡 Set EAs on VPS Hosting (NY4, LD4) for optimal latency and consistent execution (ForexVPS, AccuWeb Hosting).
📈 Regularly perform forward-testing and optimization of EAs on demo accounts before live deployment (at least quarterly optimization).
📲 Integrating Advanced Bots and Technology in 2025
📊 Combine your MT4 EAs with third-party analytics platforms for detailed trade performance insights.
🔮 Incorporate AI-based forecasting tools to refine ICT setups and trade signals.
🔔 Use automated bots for real-time alerts on ICT-based setups via Telegram or Discord channels.
🧑💻 Maintain manual oversight for discretionary ICT decisions—use automation for entry efficiency, not blind reliance.
🔄 Continuously retrain and update your bot’s logic monthly using the most recent trade data, ensuring adaptive execution.
🗓️ Daily Routine for Success
🌅 Pre-session (30 mins): Review annotated charts, ICT concepts (liquidity, OB, FVG), and supply-demand levels.
💻 During trading session: Monitor EA execution, manually adjust positions based on real-time ICT setups.
📝 Post-session (15 mins): Journal trades meticulously in detail, noting ICT reasoning behind wins and losses.
📆 Weekly review: Assess overall ICT & EA performance—adjust EA parameters as needed to match evolving market conditions.
📚 Continuous learning: Keep updated on advanced ICT framework,
supply demand zone trading.
📌 Final Actionable Advice for 2025
🔍 Specialize intensely on ICT & supply-demand concepts rather than multiple strategies—depth over breadth.
🚩 Always adapt and evolve your trading algorithms to ICT methodology—market dynamics continually change.
🧘 Maintain emotional discipline and patience, relying on high-probability setups to steadily compound your account.
💡 Stay ahead by embracing technology: automation, AI-driven forecasting, and custom ICT tools will provide a significant edge in 2025.
EURUSD: Tariff – economicsAlmost every macro indicator and business news were left in a shadow during the previous week, because the main words which were shaping quite negative market sentiment were trade-tariffs. Investors are currently estimating the impact that the new US Administration trade tariffs imposed on imports to the US from almost all countries around the world, not only to the US economy, but for world growth during this year. As for macro news posted during the previous week for the US, the ISM Manufacturing PMI for March was at the level of 49, slightly lower from forecasted 50. Job openings in February were at the level of 7.568M, lower from market estimate at 7,63M. The ISM Services PMI for March was at the level of 50,8, again lower from market consensus of 53. The most important macro data for the week were non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate for March. The NFP added 228K jobs, above the market estimate of 135K. At the same time, the unemployment rate in March was higher by 0,1pp, reaching 4,2%. The average hourly earnings were higher by 0,3% for the month, bringing the indicator to the level of 3,8% on a yearly basis.
The Retail sales in Germany in February were higher by 0,8% for the month, bringing the indicator to the level of 4,9% on a yearly basis. The Inflation rate in Germany, preliminary for March, was at the level of 0,3% for the month and 2,2% on a yearly basis, which was in line with market expectations. The Inflation rate for the Euro Zone, flash for March, was standing at the level of 2,2% y/y a bit lower from market estimate of 2,3%. The core inflation remained elevated at the level of 2,4%, but still a bit lower from forecasted 2,5%. The Unemployment rate in the Euro Zone in February dropped to the level of 6,1%, from 6,2% posted for the previous month. The Producers Price Index in the Euro Zone in February was higher by 0,2% for the month and 3% on a yearly basis. Both figures were higher from market estimates.
A shock wave hit financial markets after the US Administration announcement of new trade tariffs imposed for the rest of the world. The eurusd currency pair was in a sort of a rollercoaster during the second half of the week. The week started slowly around 1,078 level, but the Thursday trading session brought a significant move toward the higher grounds and the highest weekly level at 1,1145. Trading on Friday brought some relaxation and its return toward the level of 1,0955. The RSI entered into the clear overbought market side, but ended the week around the level of 62. The MA50 continues to strongly converge toward the MA200, erasing the distance between two lines, implying a potential cross in the near term period.
The markets will use the week ahead to estimate a potential full effect of newly implemented trade tariffs on the US economy, but also for other economies around the globe. In this sense, some adjustments in the eurusd currency pair could be expected. The level of 1,09 is just the short term support line, when looking at historical moves of the currency pair. However, testing of 1,10 and 1,11 levels during the previous week, showed market sentiment, which is more oriented in favor of the euro. There is some probability that the 1,10 resistance line will be again tested in the week ahead. Probability for the downside is quite low at this moment. Still, if the market turns to this direction, then the next level to watch will be 1,08, historically important for eurusd.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Balance of Trade in February for Germany, Retail Sales in the Euro Zone in February,
USD: FOMC Meeting Minutes, Inflation rate in March, Producers Price Index for March, Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for April.
GBP/USD: The Make-Or-Break Zone”GBP/USD is showing strong bullish momentum, pushing toward the key resistance zone between 1.33000–1.36000. However, a short-term correction may occur before the next leg higher.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 1.27983
Resistance Zone (Target): 1.33000–1.36000
Invalidation Level of Bullish Trend: 1.22544
Bearish Scenario: If 1.22544 breaks, eyes on 1.13843
The structure supports bullish continuation unless price breaks below 1.22544. Stay patient and look for clean entries post-correction.
XAU/USD: First Long,Then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $3122, and I expect the price to soon reach higher levels such as $3128, $3133, $3135, and $3143, and after reaching each of these important levels, we will probably see an initial negative reaction!
Ultimately, I expect a strong rejection from the price once gold reaches $3144!
The level of this analysis is very high, so make sure to study it carefully!
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Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EUR/USD pullback from last week’s bull run!!Good day traders, this past week was filled with so much volatility and momentum but now we focus on the new week, new opportunities, new challenges and all things new😂
EURUSD here we want to take advantage of last week’s run, we expecting price to pullback and already we have had confirmations agreeing with the idea in mind, we’ve already had a shift in structure on the hourly TF and we also see price left equal lows that we also wanna see price run through them this coming week.
HelenP. I Euro will rise a little and then drop to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After breaking the structure of the previous downtrend, Euro showed a powerful bullish impulse, which allowed the price to exit the downward channel and move confidently higher. This breakout was supported by the trend line, which began to act as dynamic support throughout the rise. The bullish movement reached a local high near the 1.11 area before losing momentum. Soon after reaching that high, the price began to decline, pulling back to the area of the trend line and testing the support zone between 1.0950 and 1.0970. This zone aligns with Support 1 at the 1.0950 level and was already tested multiple times in recent price action. Although the trend line provided some temporary support, the strength of buyers has clearly faded. Currently, EUR/USD is trading just above the trend line, but price action suggests pressure is shifting back to the downside. Given the rejection from higher levels and the repeated tests of support, I expect the pair to decline further toward the 1.0950 target — my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️