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EURUSD

EURUSD - Strong Market Structure with a Potential Pullback?The EUR/USD pair has been displaying strong bullish momentum recently, maintaining an overall uptrend. However, despite this strength, I am expecting a temporary pullback before any further upside movement. The price has reached a key resistance level, marked in red, which has historically acted as a significant barrier. The market has reacted to this level with a rejection, indicating that buyers are struggling to push through at this point. Key Levels to Watch Imbalance Areas and Support Zones (Blue Zones) These zones represent areas where price could retrace before making its next significant move. If price finds support at one of these zones and forms a bullish confirmation, we could see another push to the upside. However, if price fails to hold the first blue zone, it is likely to drop further into the second marked imbalance area. The second zone would then become the next key level to watch for potential support. Break of the Support Zones If both support zones fail to hold, this would suggest that buyers are losing control and that a deeper pullback is underway. In this case, the overall bullish momentum may slow down, and a shift toward a more bearish sentiment could occur in the short term. Current Resistance Zone (red zone) The red zone marks a key resistance level that price has struggled to break in the past. If price successfully breaks above this zone with strong momentum and closes above it, this would confirm further bullish continuation. A breakout could signal the potential for new highs, as buyers regain full control of the market. Impact of CPI News on EUR/USD Today's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report had a notable impact on the EUR/USD pair. Upon release, the market experienced a sharp upward spike, reflecting an immediate reaction to the inflation data. However, this move was short-lived, as price quickly faced a strong rejection and dropped back down. This type of movement suggests that market participants are still processing the implications of the inflation data and its potential effect on future monetary policy decisions. The Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates will be a key factor in determining how the pair moves in the coming days. Trade Plan and Expectations I will be watching for a potential retracement into one of the blue support zones. If price finds support and shows a bullish reaction, I will look for confirmation to enter a long position. If price breaks below the first support zone, I will wait for a test of the second blue area before making any trading decisions. A failure to hold this level would indicate further downside potential. If price manages to break and hold above the red resistance zone, this would be a strong bullish confirmation, signaling further upside movement. In that case, I would anticipate a continuation of the uptrend. Overall, while the market structure remains strong, a short-term retracement is likely before the next move takes place. It is important to remain patient and wait for clear confirmations at key levels before entering a trade. What are your thoughts on this setup? Do you see further upside potential, or do you think we could see more downside before buyers regain control? __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
12
EUR/USD Drops, Awaits US PPIEUR/USD fell to around 1.0880 in Thursday’s Asian session, pressured by rising US-EU trade tensions. Market focus is on key US data, including February’s PPI and weekly jobless claims. Trump warned of retaliation against the EU’s response to his 25% steel and aluminum tariffs. The European Commission announced €26 billion ($28.4 billion) in counter-tariffs on US goods, effective April 1, with more expected mid-April. Despite trade risks, EUR/USD’s downside may be limited as concerns over Trump’s policies fueling a US recession weigh on the dollar. Inflation data came in lower than expected, easing market fears but keeping sentiment fragile. Key resistance is at 1.0950, followed by 1.1000 and 1.1050. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0650. 
by ChartMage
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 13, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 14:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims EURUSD: On Wednesday, EUR/USD traders adopted a more cautious approach, allowing Fiber to retreat by approximately a third of a cent and pushing bids back below the significant price target of 1.09000. Despite the significant recovery in EUR/USD over the past couple of weeks, buyers are regaining ground after Fiber corrected more than 5 per cent in less than a fortnight. This week's European economic data is minimal due to the prominence of trade war concerns and US inflation data. On Wednesday, the US imposed 25 per cent tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports, a significant escalation in President Donald Trump's efforts to wage a trade war with all of the country's allies. Meanwhile, US consumer price index (CPI) inflation fell more than expected in February, with core CPI at 0.2 per cent month-on-month and 2.8 per cent year-on-year, slightly faster than forecasts. While the figure remains above the Federal Reserve's (Fed) 2% target, it has raised hopes for a rate adjustment. CME's FedWatch tool now shows equal odds of a Fed rate cut in June compared to July. It has been almost four years since US core inflation reached 'transitory' levels. Barring a brief slowdown in Q3 2024, key inflation indicators have remained stable since June 2023, when post-Covid inflation fell to an annualised rate of 3%. Despite the lower CPI reading in February, there are indications of potential challenges for policymakers: gasoline and heating oil prices fell 3.1% and 5.1%, respectively, while natural gas prices increased by 6%. Additionally, housing price inflation increased by 4.2% compared to the previous year, while a modest 0.3% decrease in automobile prices concealed a 2.6% year-on-year rise in food price inflation. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.08600, SL 1.09300, TP 1.07700
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 1.0897, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 1.0818, aligning close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 1.1005, above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
**EUR/USD Head & Shoulders – Strong Sell Setup!### 📉 **EUR/USD Head & Shoulders – Strong Sell Setup!** 🔥 🚀 **Trade Setup Details:** 📌 **Pattern:** 🎭 Head & Shoulders (Bearish Reversal) 📍 **Entry Point:** **1.09000** ✅ (Neckline Break Confirmation) ⛔ **Stop-Loss (SL):** **1.09500** ❌ (Above Right Shoulder for Protection) 🎯 **Target (TP):** **1.08100** 🎯 (Measured Move from Head to Neckline) 📊 **EMA 50 Confirmation:** If price is **below 50 EMA**, bearish trend continues! 🔻 ### 💰 **Risk Management (Trade Smart!)** ⚖️ **Risk per Trade:** **50 pips** (1.09500 - 1.09000) 💎 **Potential Reward:** **90 pips** (1.09000 - 1.08100) 🎯 **Risk-Reward Ratio:** **1:1.8** – Great RRR! 📈 ### 🎯 **Trade Execution Tips:** ✔️ **Wait for a Clean Break & Retest** at **1.09000** before entering! 🚀 ✔️ **Monitor EMA 50** to confirm bearish momentum 📉 ✔️ **Stick to Proper Position Sizing** – No Overleveraging! 💰 ✔️ **Exit if Price Retraces Above 1.09500** – Control Your Risk! 🚦 🔥 **This is a high-probability short setup! Stay disciplined & trade smart!** 💪💵
Short
by TradingStar090
EUR/USD: The Euro Stays in Overbought TerritoryThe pair has been rising for the last five sessions, gaining approximately 1.4% , as expansionary policies in European countries have restored confidence in the euro. In contrast, the U.S. dollar continues to struggle with maintaining consistent demand due to the ongoing tariff battle led by the White House. Accelerated Movement: Since March 3rd, EUR/USD has experienced growth of over 5%, driven by strong short-term bullish momentum. Currently, the price is slowly approaching a key resistance zone, but recent price oscillations suggest that bullish momentum is fading, which could lead to short-term bearish corrections. RSI Indicator: The RSI line has started oscillating above the 70 level, which is the official overbought zone of the indicator. This suggests that the balance between buying and selling pressure has been lost, with bullish momentum fully dominating the market. The increasing speed of demand for EUR/USD may indicate a potential emergence of bearish corrections in the short term. MACD Indicator: The MACD histogram remains at its highest levels of the year, suggesting that buying pressure may be entering a phase of constant exhaustion. In the long run, this could also open the possibility of selling corrections in the upcoming sessions. Key Levels: 1.1000 – Tentative Resistance: A potential psychological barrier that the price may face in its prolonged bullish streak. Oscillations above this level could confirm sustained buying pressure and signal the beginning of stronger upward movements in the chart. 1.07944 – Near-term Support: A neutral zone where the price has shown stability in the short term. This level may be important for potential selling corrections in the next trading sessions. 1.06173 – Distant Support: A key level corresponding to the highs reached in December 2024. Bearish oscillations reaching this level could jeopardize the current strong bullish trend. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
EURUSD: Trump’s trade war crosses the Atlantic You may be sick of hearing about tariffs, but they are currently the catalyst for a huge amount of volatility in the market and a huge amount of trading opportunities. And now Trump’s trade war has crossed the Atlantic Today, the European Union announced retaliatory tariffs on approximately €26 billion worth of U.S. goods in response to President Donald Trump's recent increase in tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Targeted products include Harley-Davidsons, bourbon, and jeans—key American exports that have been caught in previous trade disputes. The EU has said it remains open to negotiation but has not ruled out further action. In response, Trump vowed to retaliate, stating, “Of course I’m going to respond.” The daily chart for the EUR/USD shows the pair could fall into a larger corrective decline, given overbought RSI conditions.
by BlackBull_Markets
EURUSD: Overbought but 1H Channel Up is still intact.EURUSD is massively overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 73.384, MACD = 0.012, ADX = 38.553) but on the short term we have a Channel Up pattern that's good until broken. The 1H MA50-MA100 Zone is in firm support of this structure and every time a bearish wave like the current one bottoms inside this pattern, the price rallies by +1.15%. So as long as the 1H MA100 holds, buy (TP = 1.09800). If the 1H MA100 fails and breaks, sell and aim for the 1H MA200 (TP = 1.07500> ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
Eurusd outlookThis chart represents a technical analysis of EUR/USD on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting key support and resistance levels. Key Analysis: Resistance Level: Marked around 1.09500, this level serves as a potential selling zone where price may struggle to break higher. Support Level: Identified near 1.08000, this is a demand area where buying pressure may emerge. Current Price: EUR/USD is trading at approximately 1.09183, near the resistance zone. Expected Price Movement: The analysis suggests a potential rejection from resistance, leading to a downward move toward the support zone. Outlook: The market structure indicates a possible bearish retracement from resistance. If the price fails to break above 1.09500, a short-selling opportunity may arise with a target around 1.08000. However, if the resistance is broken, further upside momentum could be expected.
Short
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
EUR/USD is shaping up for a solid short entry.EUR/USD is shaping up for a solid short entry. 🤔🤔🤔 The pair has tested the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and a key liquidity zone where stop losses tend to cluster. At the same time, the dollar index is turning upward on a larger scale. A short position with tight stops could make sense, with a target around $1.00 . Considering the increasing geopolitical risks in Europe , holding funds in euros doesn’t seem wise anymore. In times like these, staying in USD looks like the safest bet. Dollar Index: SP500/SPY: GOLD/USD:
Short
by SergioRichi
XAU/USD: Another Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 2-hour timeframe for gold, we see that the price remains range-bound with no clear directional trend. Currently, gold is trading around the $2900 level, and if it fails to break above $2913 again, we can expect a downward correction. Potential targets for this correction are $2870, $2861, and $2853. Keep an eye on price reactions at each of these key levels, as all three could present opportunities for buy positions! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
45
Eurozone Spending Plans Boost EuroThe euro surged past $1.09, its highest in four months, gaining 5% since early March. This rally was driven by Eurozone plans to expand deficit spending, stimulating growth prospects. Germany pushed for a €500 billion infrastructure fund, while France and Italy supported joint EU funding for economic and military initiatives. The ECB signaled a shift toward a less restrictive policy after last week’s rate cut, suggesting the easing cycle may be nearing its end. Meanwhile, US economic concerns pressured the dollar, further lifting the euro. Key resistance is at 1.0950, followed by 1.1000 and 1.1050. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0650.
by ChartMage
EUR/USD – Bullish, But Time to Breathe!🚀 EUR/USD – Bullish, But Time to Breathe! 🚀 “Momentum is strong, but even the best trends need to take a breath before the next leg up.” 🔥 Key Insights: ✅ Bullish Structure Intact – No reason to fight the trend. ✅ Overextended Move – Markets don’t go up in a straight line; pullbacks create better entries. ✅ Healthy Retracement = Stronger Continuation – Chasing here is risky, waiting for a dip is smart. 💡 The Plan: Wait for a Pullback Before Longs – Let price reset, don’t rush in. Watch Volume Profile & CDV for Buyer Confirmation – Smart money leaves clues. Ideal Entry = Lower Support Levels Holding – We want a strong base for the next move up. “Patience is key. Let the market give you the perfect entry—not every green candle is a buy!” 🚀💶 I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Long
by UmutTrades
EURUSD’s Pullback in Play: Next Stop $1.0934?The EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) has managed to break through the Resistance zone($1.0817-$1.0760) and has been on a good upward trend with good momentum in the past week. The EURUSD appears to be completing a pullback to the Resistance zone (broken) . According to the Elliott Wave theory , the EURUSD appears to have completed wave 4 , which is a Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect EURUSD to rise to the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) after completing the pullbac k. Note: If EURUSD goes below $1.0755, we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
5
EURUSD entering multiyear Sell Zone, but might go to 1.160 firstEURUSD hit this week its 1month MA50 for the first time since October 2024. This is the first long term Sell Zone for the pair. The 1month MA50 - MA100 Zone has formed the last two major peaks of the market (September 2024 and July 2023), so it is highly likely to see a top getting formed here in March-April. Since however the 10year pattern is a Channel Down and the major bullish wave in 2017 was +21.67%, there is a possibility to see an overextension of the trend a little higher than the 1month MA100. A max +21.67% rise would take the price a little over 1.1600, which would approach the 1month MA200 (10year Resistance). This scenario is also supported by the 1month RSI, which during this 10 year span has topped twice at 665.00 and as you see makes a very distinct (nearly) Double Top formation. In both cases, long term traders/ investors may target below parity prices at around 0.9000. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
by TheCryptagon
EurUsd ShortEUR/USD Short Idea The EUR/USD pair is approaching the 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204 resistance level, which aligns with a significant supply zone and a potential area for bearish reversal. Key Analysis: Resistance Zone: The 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204 levels marks a critical resistance where selling pressure has previously emerged. Technical Indicators: RSI is approaching overbought conditions, indicating limited upside potential. Bearish divergence may form if momentum weakens near this level. Fundamental Context: A stronger USD due to hawkish Fed sentiment or economic data could pressure EUR/USD downward. Eurozone economic uncertainties may add to bearish bias. Entry: Short positions around 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204 This setup offers a favorable risk-reward opportunity in a high-probability reversal zone.
Short
by realtrademaster