HelenP. I Euro will reach resistance level and then start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. For an extended period, the euro was trading within a clearly defined downward channel, consistently respecting its boundaries and moving under bearish pressure. Recently, however, the price staged an aggressive breakout from this structure, pushing above the upper trend line with a strong impulse. This move signaled a potential shift in momentum, as buyers appeared to take control and drive the price away from the major support zone near the 1.1600 level. Currently, following this upward breakout, the price is approaching a critical test at resistance 1. This area, centered around the 1.1700 level, is significant as it previously acted as a key pivot point and support inside the downward channel. The current price action is a classic scenario where old support is being retested as new resistance, which will determine the validity of the recent bullish move. Despite the recent breakout, I expect the upward momentum to fail as the price challenges the resistance zone 1 around 1.1700. I anticipate a rejection from this level, which would confirm the breakout as a false move and re-establish the dominant bearish trend. The primary target for the subsequent decline is the major support level at 1.1600. For this reason, my goal is set at the 1.1600 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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EURUSD
EUR/USD – Bearish Setup as Wave C Unfolds Toward 1.1523📉 EUR/USD – Bearish Setup as Wave C Unfolds Toward 1.1523
Price has retraced into the key 78.6% fib zone after completing Wave B. With clear rejection from the supply area and lower highs forming, Wave C is now in play. Expecting bearish continuation with potential downside targets around 1.1523.
🔻 SHORT BIAS (Wave C in Play)
📍 Entry Zone: 1.16530–1.16945
🎯 Target: 1.15285
⛔ Invalidation: Above 1.17023
📊 Timeframe: 4H
📈 Pattern: ABC Zig-Zag Correction
📌 Updated Analysis by: @greenfire_forex
🧠 Note: Wait for confirmation before entering. Risk management is key.
#EURUSD #ElliottWave #BearishSetup #ABCPattern #WaveC #PriceAction #ForexAnalysis #TradingView
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Let me know if any correction , would like to suggest
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1663
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1632
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16557 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.16419..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EUR/USD Forecast – Bears in Control Ahead of US Jobless DataEUR/USD Forecast – Bears in Control Ahead of US Jobless Data
🌐 Macro View: Dollar Regains Strength Amid Uncertainty
EUR/USD remains under selling pressure as the greenback finds renewed strength following midweek weakness. The market is bracing for fresh U.S. jobless claims data, expected to show a slight rise to 235K. A print below 220K could reignite USD demand, while a surprise above 240K may offer a temporary lifeline for the euro.
Amid geopolitical and economic turbulence, the euro continues to underperform as investors shift to the dollar for safety and yield advantage.
📉 Technical Outlook – MMF & Smart Money Perspective
The recent breakdown below 1.1600 confirms the bearish momentum. Based on the MMF (Market Momentum Flow) methodology, price action is currently moving within a controlled distribution structure, suggesting further downside potential.
Key zones identified from H1 structure:
OBS + FVG High Zone (1.1662 – 1.1687): Strong supply zone + volume imbalance.
1.1637: Mid-key level and possible liquidity magnet.
1.1616 – 1.1573: Ideal area for sweeping sell-side liquidity before any sustainable bounce.
If price reclaims 1.1662, intraday bullish correction may be in play. However, as long as 1.1687 holds, bears remain in control.
🧭 Trade Plan for Today
🔴 SELL ZONE: 1.1662 – 1.1687 (FVG + OBS Volume Zone)
SL: 1.1710
TP: 1.1637 → 1.1616 → 1.1590 → 1.1573
✅ Preferred entry zone aligned with high-volume imbalance & MMF rejection pattern.
🟢 BUY ZONE (Scalp Only): 1.1575 – 1.1580 (Sell-side Liquidity Zone)
SL: 1.1550
TP: 1.1612 → 1.1630 → 1.1645
⚠️ Use with caution — only upon clear price reaction at lower liquidity sweep area.
🔍 Strategy Insight
This is a classic scenario of a controlled pullback within a larger bearish structure. Patience is key — let price tap into imbalanced zones before executing. Given today's U.S. data, volatility may spike during the New York session, so risk management is crucial.
💬 What’s Your Take?
Do you expect EUR/USD to retest the 1.1550s zone, or could a surprise from U.S. job data flip the narrative?
👇 Drop your analysis below & follow for more MMF-based setups.
EUR/USD Flexing Strength- Is the Next Big Coming? EUR/USD Market Update – Bullish Setup at 1.16440
EUR/USD is trading around 1.16440, maintaining its bullish momentum in the current uptrend.
🔹 Current Price: 1.16440
🔹 Support Zone: 1.1600 – 1.1620
🔹 Resistance Zone: 1.1680 – 1.1700
🔹 Trend: Strong bullish structure with clear upward momentum
The pair is holding above key support and aiming for the next resistance at 1.1700. A breakout above this level could open the door to further upside. Traders watching for a retest near support or breakout entry above resistance.
🎯 Trading Plan:
Buy on dips above 1.1620 or wait for a confirmed breakout above 1.1680 with volume.
#EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #BullishSetup #ResistanceSupport #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TrendTrading #SmartTrader #FXSignals
EURUSD long Lion SETUPhello everyone
the price is in a strong demand area
as liquidity has been withdrawn
and the fair value gap has been filled
but we are waiting for formation pattern on a smaller frame in order to enter an upward wave.
we also have resistance area
so in short. I expect an upside go upppp
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.18280.The previous idea was aimed at updating the maximum of 1.18280, but the correction turned out to be too deep.
Therefore, I am proposing a new idea. I believe that wave “3” has formed, and now we should see the completion of the correction in wave “4,” after which I expect to see an upward movement in wave “5.” My target is at least the high of wave “3” — the resistance area of 1.18280.
As for the correction, I think it could reach the 1.15459 area, but I recommend working with pending orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EUR/USD Drops to $1.16 Amid Strong U.S. DataThe euro declined to $1.16 on Thursday, reaching its lowest level in almost a month as the U.S. dollar regained strength. The dollar’s rise followed solid U.S. inflation data and President Trump’s comments suggesting he will keep Fed Chair Jerome Powell in place, reducing expectations for near-term Fed rate cuts. Meanwhile, markets continued to monitor U.S.-EU trade negotiations ahead of the August 1 deadline.
Resistance for the pair is at 1.1670, while support is at 1.1580.
EURUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.161.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.155 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURUSD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.168.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.159 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.1641,an overlap resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.1601, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.1670, a swing high resistance.
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EUR/USD Bearish Setup as Wave C Unfolds Toward 1.1523EUR/USD Bearish Setup as Wave C Unfolds Toward 1.1523
🔴 SHORT BIAS
📅 Updated: July 18
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🔍 Description
EUR/USD appears to be unfolding a classic ABC corrective structure, with Wave B now likely completed below the key 1.1624–1.1659 resistance zone. The price action has shown clear rejection in this supply area, opening room for Wave C to extend lower toward the 1.1523 target.
This setup aligns with a broader correction within a downtrend, with technicals and short-term flows pointing toward further downside pressure. The 2H timeframe offers swing traders a favorable risk-reward scenario, with invalidation clearly above 1.1659.
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📊 Technical Structure (2H)
✅ Wave A completed
✅ Wave B rejected at resistance
✅ Wave C expected to unfold
📌 Downside Target
First & Final: 1.15233
🔻 Invalidation Zone
Above: 1.16590 (Break invalidates short bias)
Bearish breakout off major support?EUR/USD is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a breakout of this level could lead the price to drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1587
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1666
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
Take profit: 1.1451
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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NZD/USD Ready to Explode? The Smart Money Is Making a MoveBias: Bullish Bounce from Key Demand Zone
NZD/USD is testing a strong confluence zone:
Long-term ascending trendline support
Weekly demand area between 0.5890 and 0.5940
Bullish RSI divergence near oversold conditions
The triple rejection wicks signal strong demand around 0.5900, suggesting a possible reversal toward the 0.6020–0.6050 resistance area.
🧠 COT Insight:
NZD: Non-commercial traders added +669 long contracts and reduced shorts by -102 → net bullish shift
USD: Net short exposure increases; total non-commercial shorts now exceed longs by ~4000 contracts
Implication: institutions are rotating into NZD while trimming USD exposure
📊 Sentiment:
86% of retail traders are long NZD/USD → retail sentiment is heavily skewed
This could delay or limit upside as smart money often moves counter to retail positions
📅 Seasonality (July):
July has historically been a bullish month for NZD/USD across all reference windows (20Y, 15Y, 10Y, 5Y, 2Y)
Average July return consistently positive → adds conviction to bullish thesis
🗺 Outlook:
If the zone at 0.5880–0.5920 holds, price may bounce toward 0.6020–0.6050.
Break below would invalidate structure and expose 0.5850 and then 0.5780.
Euro may reach seller zone and then continue to fall in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price pair has recently shifted its market structure, establishing a clear downward channel after breaking its previous uptrend. Before this breakdown, the price was consistently trading within an Upward Channel, repeatedly finding support in the buyer zone (1.1325–1.1350) and reversing upward. The bullish momentum eventually faded when the price failed to break the major horizontal resistance level at 1.1630. This failure triggered a strong bearish impulse, leading to a decisive breakout below the channel's support line and confirming a trend reversal. Currently, the price is making a corrective move up inside the newly formed downward channel, which appears to be a classic retest of the broken structure from below. I expect this upward move to stall as it approaches the heavy confluence of resistance formed by the channel's upper Resistance Line and the horizontal seller zone at 1.1630–1.1655. After testing this area, I anticipate a rejection and the beginning of a new bearish leg down. That's why I've set my TP at the 1.1500 level — it aligns perfectly with the support line of the current downward channel, making it a logical target for sellers. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EURO - Price may drop to $1.1350 support level Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Euro began its journey by breaking into a rising channel off the swing low near $1.1080, establishing a clear uptrend.
Within this channel, price carved out steady support along the lower trendline, touching $1.1350 before buyers stepped.
Mid-channel, two breakout attempts at $1.1550 and $1.1725 highlighted bullish conviction, yet both retreated back below resistance.
Simultaneously, two exit signals appeared near the upper trendline around $1.1765, showing that upward momentum was losing steam at key inflection points.
Currently, EUR is holding just below the channel base after a minor bounce, consolidating as traders weigh the next move.
I foresee a brief climb toward near $1.1670 before a renewed bearish thrust drives price back down to test $1.1350 level.
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EURUSD: Bulls Will Push
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EURUSD has broken support level and its ascending trendline, indicating a possible shift in short-term market structure and growing bearish pressure.
In the short term, we expect a pullback toward the broken support/trendline zone.
If price fails to reclaim this level, a continued move lower toward the next identified support zone is likely.
As long as price remains below the broken structure, the short-term outlook stays bearish.
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EURUSD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.15850 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.16039 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD BUYThe EUR/USD pair edged lower in the past week, settling a handful of pips below the 1.1700 mark, further retreating from the multi-year peak posted early in July at 1.1830. Financial markets kept revolving around the United States (US) President Donald Trump's targets. With geopolitical woes cooling down, Trump’s focus returned to tariffs, and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) wait-and-see stance on monetary policy.
Trump fixated on tariffs and Powell
Since the week started, speculative interest kept their eyes on the July 9 tariffs deadline. Trump announced massive retaliatory levies on over 180 trading partners in May, quickly establishing a 90-day grace period afterwards. His goal was to clinch better trade deals with all these nations. But as the date loomed, deals were scarce. The US made some trade arrangements with some minor economies, such as Vietnam, but there were none with major counterparts, nor, of course, with China
TP 1 1.162
TP 2 1.165
TP 3 1.168
RESISTANCE 1.154
EURUSD - BEARISH TREND CONTINUESEURUSD - BEARISH TREND CONTINUES📉
On Tuesday, despite the bullish divergence (highlighted as green on RSI), the price broke through the trendline, formed since the beginning of May. Yesterday this trendline got retested on Bloomberg's rumor that Powell may resign. Currently the price is going through the support level of 1.16000.
I see the major way is to go towards 1.15000 support level with a further rebound and possible target of 1.16000. Another option is to go straight towards 1.14000. Will see.
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 17, 2025 EURUSDThe euro is edging back toward the 1.16 – 1.17 range highs after headlines suggesting former U.S. president Donald Trump might try to dismiss Fed Chair Jerome Powell and a softer-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) print pressured the dollar. Political noise around the Fed’s independence, coupled with a cooling inflation pulse, has pushed market pricing toward a longer policy pause; the pair is hovering near 1.16250 at the time of writing.
Fundamental support also stems from the upcoming 24 July ECB meeting. Governing-Council commentary reveals a split between hawks and would-be doves, yet consensus that euro-area inflation remains above target makes an aggressive rate cut unlikely for now. Meanwhile, subdued U.S. Treasury yields—futures price a 95 % probability of no change this month and only 50 bp of total easing over 12 months—help narrow the U.S.–German 10-year spread to about 150 bp.
Against a backdrop of ongoing U.S. trade tensions and steady inflows into euro-area assets, that narrower spread leaves room for EURUSD to grind toward the 1.1680 target if sentiment stays risk-positive.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.16250, SL 1.15950, TP 1.16800