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EURUSD

EURUSD H4 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.0344, an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 50% FIbvonacci resistance level. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup. Our take profit is set at 1.0190, near a key support zone where price may find buying interest. The stop loss is placed at 1.0469, above the previous swing high, providing room for price fluctuations while ensuring the bearish setup remains valid. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
WEEKLY RECAP - Week 1, 2025The most important thing to reflect on each week is NOT your profit and loss balance. Instead, reflect on these three questions: - Did I follow my core habits for success? - Am I ready to let my attachments from last week go? - Am I focusing on this current moment, or a destination I'm trying to reach? I won't put a whole lot of words here. It's all in the video, but here are the three setups from last week, and here is my notion journal so you can follow along. USDJPY EURUSD EURUSD Notion Journal Enjoy the ride, -Gio
by elevatedinvestor
EUR/USD slides on tariff turmoil, euro CPI risesThe euro has weakened at the start of the new week. EUR/USD slumped over the weekend and dropped as low as 1.0141, its lowest level since Nov. 2022. The euro has recovered somewhat on Monday and is trading at 1.0277 in the North American session. Still, the euro has dropped 0.76% since Friday's close. US President Trump hasn't wasted any time and imposed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada over the weekend, effective February 4. Mexico and Canada have both announced retaliatory tariffs in response. Earlier today, just one day before the tariffs were to take effect, the US announced that the tariffs against Mexico would be delayed for a month. The breather is good news, but the US could still find itself embroiled in a trade war with its two neighbors, in what is the world's largest trade zone. Trump hasn't slapped the European Union with any tariffs yet, but said on Friday that he would "absolutely" go after imports from the EU. Global markets have been hit by fears of a global trade war resulting from the US tariffs and the US dollar is up sharply against most of the major currencies, including the euro. Inflation in the eurozone ticked upwards to 2.5% y/y in January from 2.4% in December, above the market estimate of 2.4%. This was the highest CPI level since July 2024, driven mainly by a sharp jump in energy prices. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, remained unchanged at 2.7% y/y for a fifth straight month, just above the market estimate of 2.6%. This is above the European Central Bank's 2% target but is the lowest level since January 2022. Services inflation, which is closely watched by the ECB, eased to 3.9% in January, down from 4% in December. Today's inflation report affirms that inflationary risks remain and could complicate the ECB's plans to reduce interest rates and kick-start the weak eurozone economy. The ECB meets next on March 6. EUR/USD has pushed above resistance at 1.0244 and is testing resistance at 1.0297 There is support at 1.0203 and 1.0175 www.tradingview.com
by OANDA
EUR/USD – Smart Money Move Incoming!Here’s a **simple and professional TradingView description** for your post: --- 📢 **EUR/USD Wave Analysis – Key Levels to Watch!** 🔥 🚀 **Market Overview:** EUR/USD is following a **five-wave Elliott structure** with a potential **Wave 4 retracement** before further downside. The key zones to watch: 🔹 **Support Zone:** 1.02052 - 1.00923 (Possible Wave 5 target) 🔹 **Resistance Zone:** 1.06664 (Potential Wave 4 completion) 🔹 **Key Level:** 1.02923 (Crucial reaction point) 💡 **Trading Insight:** We may see a short-term pullback towards **1.06664** before the final drop to **1.00923**. Watch for **price reaction at resistance** before entering a trade. 📊 **Patience is key. Follow the structure, manage risk, and stay ahead of the trend!** 🚀 #GreenFireForex #EURUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexAnalysis #ElliottWave #PriceAction
by Greenfireforex
EURUSD Hits Support Zone—Is a Bullish Reversal Coming!!!As I expected , the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) fell to the target I set yesterday. EURUSD is moving near Support zone($1.039-$1.033) and 100_SMA(4-hour) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the EURUSD has succeeded in completing the corrective Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) , and we should wait for the EURUSD to rise again. One of the signs of completion can be a Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern with a suitable volume . I expect EURUSD to rise to Resistance zone($1.0534-$1.0448) after breaking the Resistance lines . Note: If EURUSD goes below $1.0333, we can expect more dumps . Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
15
EURO - Price can reach resistance level and then bounce downHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price broke $1.0410 level and started to trades inside flat, where it at once fell to $1.0250 level. Then Euro bounced up from this level and rose to resistance area, after which turned around and started to decline. In a short time, price fell to $1.0180 points, thereby exiting from flat and then started to grow in rising channel. Inside channel, price broke $1.0250 level, rose a little, and then made a small correction to support line. Next, Euro rose to $1.0530 points, thereby breaking resistance level and making a gap, but soon fell to $1.0350 points. Price exited from channel, so, now I think it will make move to resistance level and then fall to $1.0250 level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
10
EURUSD Buying Trade Idea from 1.0230-1.02135EURUSD Buying Trade Idea from 1.0230-1.02135 EURUSD Buying Trade Idea from 1.0230-1.02135 at the price level and the idea more empower when the market strongly break the 1.02722 zone. In the recent days at Friday after the Gold create new High (All time) the other major pairs fall and now traded at the based price. Market will cover the opening gap this morning Monday Feb 3rd 2025. The buying setup; Buy range: 1.0230-1.02135 Stop Loss: 1.01639 Take Profit L1: 1.03456 Take Profit L2: 1.04320 Take Profit L3: 1.05046 Take Profit L4: 1.06155 Use 1% of your account balance at the risk on the setup.
Long
by Bloom_Forex_Official
EURUSD Trade War pushing it to parity. 0.9900 Target possible.The EURUSD pair opened with a significant gap downwards in the aftermath of the first Tariff announcements between the U.S. and their strongest trade partners. This is a natural news reaction fundamentally but even from a technical standpoint, it is backed up. The reason is the massive 11-year Falling Wedge pattern that the pair has been trading in since May 2014. This pattern shows that after last September's Lower High and rejection below both the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), we have started the new Bearish Leg. With the 1W RSI making a somewhat Double Bottom on oversold territory (below 30.00), we see a similar pattern with the January 2022 and August 2018 fractals. Those sequences served as bearish continuation patterns following a consolidation phase. The pair has consolidated through January and now this is the technical signal to resume the bearish trend potentially. The 2018 sequence declined to at least its 0.786 Fibonacci level before hitting the Internal Higher Lows trend-line. This gives us a new bearish Target below parity at 0.99000, which is also contained above a potentially similar Higher Lows trend-line. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURUSD: NFP on schedulePrevious week was full of macro data as well as Central bankers' decisions. Both Fed and ECB held their January meetings, making decisions on interest rates. The Fed held interest rates steady, while their European colleagues cut further interest rates by 25 bps. Both moves were expected by the market. As Fed Chair Powell noted in an after-the meeting address to the public, the housing market in the US is slowly picking up. The house price index was up by 0,3% in November. Data published for new home sales in December show an increase of 3,6% on the monthly basis. The Durable goods Orders were down by -2,2% in December on the monthly basis, significantly higher from 0,5% expected by the market. The initial estimate for the GDP growth rate for Q4 currently stands at -0,2%. The GDP growth rate flash for Q4 was at 2,3% for the quarter, a bit lower from expected 2,6%. The PCE Price Index in December was standing at 0,3% for the month and 2,6% on a yearly basis, which was in line with market expectations. The core PCE remains a bit elevated at the level of 2,8% on a yearly basis. The personal income increased by 0,4% in December, while the personal spending was higher by 0,7% for the month. The Ifo Business Climate in Germany in January was standing at 85,1 a bit higher from market estimate of 84,5. The GfK Consumer Confidence in February reached -22,4 in Germany, a bit higher from market consensus at -20. The initial estimate for the GDP growth rate for Q4 in Germany currently stands at -0,2%, while the same indicator stands at 0% in the EuroZone. Both figures were lower from forecasted figures. The Unemployment rate in the Euro Zone in December was standing at 6,3% and in line with the market estimate. The Retail sales in Germany in December was down by -1,6% for the month, significantly lower from forecasted 0,2%. The unemployment rate in Germany in January was 6,2% and was higher by 0,1 percentage point from the previous month. Inflation rate in Germany, preliminary for January was -0,2% for the month and 2,3% on a yearly basis. A lot of important macro data and CB rate decisions were the promise for the volatile week on financial markets. The market pushed the eurusd currency pair to the level of 1,0530 at the start of the week, and swiftly reverted the path to the down side. The lowest weekly level was reached at Friday's trading session, at the level of 1,035. The RSI reached the level of 59 and in line with the market moves, reverted toward the downside, ending the week at the level of 46. Such moves are indicating that the market is still not sure which side to trade. The moving average of 50 days continues to modestly diverge from MA200. Considering a huge difference between two lines, the potential cross is still far away. In the week ahead, the non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate for the US are scheduled, which might bring back some volatility to the market. As per current charts, the 1,05 resistance line was “rejected”, so the currency pair reverted back toward the 1,03, the short term support line. At the same time, RSI is showing that the market is not ready to take the trading side. The clear overbought market side was not reached during the previous period, but instead, market reverted to the downside. At the beginning of the week ahead, the situation should be much clearer. At this moment, on charts, there are equal probabilities for both moves, toward up, and downside. In case of the upside, the resistance line at 1,05 could be tested again. On the opposite side, the 1,03 level has equal chances to be tested in the week ahead. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Inflation rate flash for January in the EuroZone, HCOB Composite PMI flash for January in Germany and in the EuroZone, Retail Sales in the Euro Zone in December, Balance of Trade for Germany in December, Industrial Production in December in Germany, USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI for January, Jobs openings in December, ISM Services PMI in January, Non Farm Payrolls in January, Unemployment rate in January, Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for February.
by XBTFX
Fundamental Market Analysis for february 3, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD was subjected to heavy selling on Monday and fell towards 1.0200 early in the Asian session. Spot prices have returned to more than two-year lows reached in January and look set to continue their multi-month downtrend. The US Dollar (USD) is rising across the board in response to US President Donald Trump's decision over the weekend to impose 25 per cent duties against Canada and Mexico, as well as an additional 10 per cent against China. This marks the start of a new global trade war and has curbed investor appetite for risky assets. The flow of anti-risk sentiment is putting good pressure on the safe-haven quid, which is becoming a key factor putting downward pressure on EUR/USD. Meanwhile, on Friday evening, Trump announced that he will impose tariffs on goods from the European Union. This comes amid the European Central Bank's (ECB) stance, which continues to undermine the common currency. As expected, the ECB cut borrowing costs by 25 basis points (bps) last Thursday and left the door open for further rate cuts before the end of this year. This is a significant divergence from the Federal Reserve's (Fed) pause, which favours dollar bulls and supports the prospects for further EUR/USD declines. Meanwhile, the recent sharp pullback in US Treasury yields acts as a headwind for the quid and may provide some support to spot prices. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the downside. Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Euro Weakens as ECB Signals Rate ReductionsThe euro dropped to $1.02, marking its lowest level in three weeks, as the U.S. dollar strengthened following President Donald Trump's decision to implement tariffs of 25% on Canadian and Mexican imports and 10% on Chinese goods starting Tuesday. Trump has also warned of potential tariffs on the European Union, prompting the region to vow a strong response. These factors added to the pressure on the euro, which was already weakened by the European Central Bank's dovish stance. Last week, the ECB cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected and signaled the possibility of further reductions later this year. Currently, market traders are factoring in the likelihood of three additional ECB rate cuts by the end of 2025. From a technical perspective, the first resistance level is at 1.0300, with further resistanc
by zForexcom
EUR/USD Weekly: Double Top Signals Further Downside Potential The EUR/USD weekly chart shows a clear double top formation, with the neckline already broken, indicating a potential bearish continuation. Scenario 1: The price could retest the broken neckline, which now acts as resistance, before resuming its downward move. This scenario aligns with the prevailing bearish trend, targeting the key support zone at 0.99810. Scenario 2: If the price manages to break above the resistance after retesting the neckline, it may enter a consolidation phase within the larger descending channel. However, the overall trend remains bearish unless the price breaks out of the channel. The ultimate target for this downtrend lies in the 0.99810 region, where significant support could trigger a reaction. Traders should monitor the neckline retest and price behavior near resistance for further confirmation.
Short
by melikatrader94
10
EURUSD H4 | Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1.0191, which is a swing low support. Our take profit is set at 1.0345, near a strong pullback resistance level. The stop loss is placed at 1.0061, below the 127.2% Fibo extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
EURUSD 3 Feb 2025 W6 - Intraday Analysis - Taste of Trade WAR!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 3 Feb 2025 W6 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment " Strike the bound, and the free will take heed " Market Volatility and Geopolitical Strategy: Assessing the Implications of a Trump Presidency Recent market movements underscore a critical narrative: A second Trump administration carries significant potential to reignite the trade policy volatility that defined his first term. Historical precedent offers a clear lens—within weeks of taking office in 2017, President Trump implemented tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, upending decades of trade consensus. Investors initially dismissed these measures as negotiation tactics, but markets are now pricing in a more structural shift. As of this week’s open, risk-on sentiment reflects renewed acceptance of Trump’s uncompromising stance, particularly following his social media assertion that “the pain from tariffs will be worth the price.” A Businessman’s Approach to Geopolitics Trump’s career as a dealmaker suggests a presidency anchored in transactional realism. His administration’s “America First” doctrine—evident in the rapid escalation of the U.S.-China trade war—demonstrates a willingness to weaponize economic policy to recalibrate global alliances. This strategy aligns with a proverb often cited in Egyptian diplomacy: “Strike the bound, and the free will take heed.” By aggressively targeting key partners (the “bound”), the U.S. signals resolve to broader adversaries (the “free”), including Europe and emerging economies. Strategic Outlook for Investors With 205 weeks remaining in a hypothetical term, market participants should prepare for sustained turbulence. The 2018-2019 trade war eroded nearly $1.7 trillion in global equity value; a second iteration could prove more disruptive given today’s fragmented supply chains and inflationary pressures. In conclusion, while Trump’s policies may inject short-term uncertainty, they also recalibrate the playbook for global engagement. Investors who disentangle rhetoric from actionable strategy will be best positioned to navigate this paradigm. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹At Swing Extreme 🔹Swing Pullback 2️⃣ 🔹With Risk-On sentiment, market opened with a gap down reaching the extreme Swing Low. 🔹The expected move is done with the market open. More development is required on LTFs. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is to continue bearish as long the Risk-On sentiment is still active and no soft tone from Trump in regards to Tariffs. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Pullback 2️⃣ 🔹Swing turned bearish signaling the 4H/Daily bearish continuation. 🔹After a BOS we expect a Pullback, but currently the Risk-On sentiment is the main theme (Technical will follow sentiment) so not currently expecting a valuable pullback phase for the bearish BOS. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is set for price to continue bearish and fulfill the Daily Bearish continuation.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD - Sell Setup After Key Support BreakOANDA:EURUSD has decisively broken below a key trendline, signaling an increase in bearish momentum. This breakdown suggests that sellers are gaining control, with the potential for further downside continuation. In the near term, price may revisit the breakout level for a retest, where the previous support could now act as resistance. A failure to reclaim this level would reinforce bearish sentiment, increasing the likelihood of renewed selling pressure. If sellers maintain dominance, the price may head toward the 1.03120 level. For confirmation of continued downside movement, traders should look for bearish technical signals, such as a rejection wick, a bearish engulfing candlestick, or increased selling volume. Conversely, a sustained move back above the resistance level could invalidate the bearish setup and shift the bias toward a potential bullish recovery. This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation before jumping in. Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments. Best of luck , TrendDiva
Short
by TrendDiva
1
Forex Market AnalysisUSD with a failed 2D week to go 2-2 rev to the upside and take out pivot highs. This occurs at the same time as the EURO looking weak with the most interesting of the 3 charts. EURO with the potential 2-1-2D week after clearing Motherbar highs two weeks ago and now giving us the actionable signal back through to motherbar lows. Price was stuck in the motherbar range for 8 weeks before taking out highs. Now looking to make a sharp move back through that motherbar range to the lows. YEN with the successful 2-2 rev week that has given us a clear BF if we were to drop to the daily TF. YEN with TFC supporting more upside, and being closer to 2-2 continuation rather than 2-2 rev. Not as interesting as USD and EURO at the moment, but definitely will be noted as I am mainly watching anything EUR/X for downside, and USD/X for upside. Side note: GBP and AUD both bearish weekly's but not as interesting as other currencies right now. Main pairs to watch this week : Bull: USD/JPY- (Daily PMG to the upside could be a huge early week mover) USD/CAD - Daily hammer 2-2 for BF expansion Bear: EUR/USD (2-2 Week, Gorgeous weekly BF) GBP/USD - Weekly 2-2 to the downside. Larger ATR than most others AUD/HKD - shooter 2-2 Daily, Inside week. Check the Daily BF (Wow) Neutral: AUD/CAD - 3-1 Daily and inside week
PEPPERSTONE:EURX
by Alanger17