Euro can reach resistance line of wedge and then drop to $1.0400Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price reached the resistance line before beginning to decline. Shortly after, the Euro dropped to the support level, aligning with the buyer zone, then rebounded back to the resistance line before falling again and breaking below the 1.0300 level. Following that, the Euro made a strong upward move, pushing past the resistance level and briefly entering the seller zone. However, the price quickly reversed and started declining within a wedge pattern, eventually breaking through the support line as well. It then fell to the lower boundary of the wedge, forming a gap before beginning to climb again. Not long after, the Euro broke above the 1.0300 level, retested it, and surged toward the resistance level, where it immediately re-entered the seller zone. After some consolidation in this area, the price dropped back to the wedge’s support line, breaking below 1.0490 once again. Recently, however, it rebounded and is now trading near the 1.0490 resistance level. From my perspective, the Euro has the potential to rise toward the wedge’s resistance line, breaking above the resistance level before reversing downward. If that happens, I expect the price to break below 1.0490 again and continue falling toward the wedge’s support line. That’s why I’ve set my TP at 1.0400, as it aligns with this key level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD
EURUSD Channel Up testing 1D MA200 after 4 months!The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the January 13 Low and after the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) bounce, the current Bullish Leg is testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
This is the first 1D MA200 test since November 06 2024 and happens to be at the top of the Channel Up with the 1D RSI almost overbought (70.00). These conditions create a low risk opportunity for a short-term Sell. Our Target is the bottom of the Channel Up and the 1D MA50 at 1.04500.
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EUR/USD: The Overbought Illusion – A Reality CheckWell, well, well… look who's pumped up like a gym bro on pre-workout. EUR/USD just went full send 🚀, and the RSI is screaming, “Somebody stop me!”
Here’s the thing: when the market runs this hot, it’s usually not long before reality hits harder than a margin call on NFP day. 💀
🔹 RSI? Overbought.
🔹 Momentum? Euphoric.
🔹 Smart money? Probably sharpening their shorts.
Let me guess, retail traders are FOMO-ing into longs at the top, dreaming of 1.10 while the big boys are quietly setting up their bear traps 🐻. Seen this movie before. Spoiler alert: it doesn’t end well for the moon boys. 🌕➡️🌎
Medium term? This thing looks ready to roll over harder than a leveraged trader’s account in a flash crash. Watch for a nasty pullback once liquidity dries up and the buyers realize they’re partying at the wrong house. 🎉➡️🚪
Might want to secure those profits before the EUR/USD hype train derails. Don’t say I didn’t warn ya. 😏
Eur/Usd Mar/05 Daily biasHello eveyone.
i closed all my longs.last 2 days was great ( check my posts )
price is up almost 3% this week.price above cpr weekly 3rd res . so in this situation i think we will see a pullback.
i'm using tight stop loss.( today ADP...be carefull )
..............................
( This is an idea and entry-tp-sl placed for my own trade , you can change entry-tp-sl depends on your risk management )
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 5, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD pressed the gas pedal and rose 1.4% on Tuesday, climbing 140 pips in a single session as markets sold off the US dollar and bet that US President Donald Trump will find a reason to backtrack on his tariff threats. Key data for both Europe and the US is due out later this week, but trade war rhetoric will rule the roost in the middle of the week.
US President Donald Trump, staying true to form, is already laying the groundwork for a U-turn on his own tariff threats. At midnight Eastern Time, a package of stiff tariffs of 25% on imported goods from Canada and Mexico went into effect. However, despite a brief bout of risk aversion early in the U.S. session, currency markets quickly regained their footing and placed a big bet on another retraction or postponement of tariff policy from the Trump administration.
Economic data will be sparse in the European market mid-week as traders in the vols are wringing their hands in anticipation of two beats - the European Central Bank's (ECB) March rate meeting on Thursday, and the latest iteration of U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) data scheduled for Friday. This week's NFP data is likely to attract even more attention than usual as investors will begin to watch for any signs of economic weakness as consumers and businesses begin to crack under the weight of President Trump's global trade war threats.
The ECB is expected to cut interest rates by another quarter of a percent on Thursday, bringing the main discount rate to 2.65% from 2.9%, while the deposit rate is expected to fall by a similar amount to 2.5% from 2.75% as the ECB tries to get ahead of rising recession risks and support the EU's broad and diverse domestic economy.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.06100, SL 1.05700, TP 1.06800
Market Analysis: EUR/USD RalliesMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Rallies
EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.0550 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a decent recovery wave from the 1.0360 zone against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0570 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0360 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.0450 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the last analysis.
The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.0550. Finally, the pair tested the 1.0635 resistance. A high was formed near 1.0637 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.0359 swing low to the 1.0637 high.
Immediate support on the downside is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.0570. The next major support is the 1.0500 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.0359 swing low to the 1.0637 high.
A downside break below the 1.0500 support could send the pair toward the 1.0465 level. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.0425.
Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.0635 zone. The first major resistance is near the 1.0665 level. An upside break above the 1.0665 level might send the pair toward the 1.0720 resistance.
The next major resistance is near the 1.0750 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.0800 level.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Eur/Usd (Mar/04) Weekly biasHello everyone...
as you can see 1.05 to 1.054 is major resistance and if you go to monthly-weekly chart you can see that + weekly 21 ema + D 100 ema-ma
.............
but i think price can go above that area...
Monthly Open above Monthly pivot also right now price is above weekly pivot and euro attacked this area so many times...
( but if price can't close above 1.054 is bad for euro )
.......................................................
( This is an idea and entry-tp-sl placed for my own trade , you can change entry-tp-sl depends on your risk management )
EURUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.05354, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.0624, a swing high resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is placed at 1.0456, a pullback support.
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EUR/USD’s Bullish Triangle Breakout: Targeting 1.0612 & 1.0669
EUR/USD has broken above key resistance around the 1.0540 area, completing a bullish triangle pattern. This breakout is supported by rising trendlines and Fibonacci projections, suggesting an upside move toward Expect Level 1 (1.0612) and potentially Expect Level 2 (1.0669). As long as price remains above the breakout zone, buyers appear positioned to keep momentum alive and push toward these higher
BUY EURUSDIn this coming week, we anticipate the weekly low to form on Monday, setting up a bullish move. Entry at 1.03270, targeting 1.04485 and 1.05701, with a stop loss at 1.02579. CPI and PPI data this week could drive volatility, but the current structure supports further upside.
Use proper risk management.
Best of luck to you all.
Analysis of gold XAUUSD as i published before my price ranges
you can watch as i already mantioned the price range and market movementum so the market is going on that patterns so keep following and watch the next moves .
The rejection from EMA 200 suggests continued bearish pressure, with a downside target near 2,870 support. However, a strong bullish reaction from that level could lead to a potential reversal. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering a trade. 🚀
EUR/USD: And There's the BreakEUR/USD looked bad at last week's close as a strong bid in the USD and tariff worries drove another resistance hit at the 1.0523 level in the pair.
But this week has been a far different tone and for today the pair is up more than one percent as a strong breakout has taken-over.
The complication at this point is area on the chart, as 1.0611 is a confluent area of Fibonacci levels. I had highlighted this level in this space a couple of EUR/USD setups ago, as that price is the 38.2% retracement of both the 2021-2022 major move, and the 38.2% retracement of the bounce from the 2022 low up to the 2023 high (which, itself, was a 61.8% retracement of the broader 2021-2022 move).
This doesn't necessarily mean that the trend is over but it does make for complication if looking to chase the pair higher. So, for traders looking to establish long exposure, one option is waiting for a pullback, and looking to see if support shows at prior resistance. And given the traffic that took place in the 1.0523-1.0533 area, or perhaps even the 1.0500 psychological level, there's a couple of obvious areas to look for that scenario to work through. - js
EURUSD: Channel Up has topped. Sell signal.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.145, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 17.266) and overbought on the lower timeframes with the 4H RSI in particular above 75.000. The Channel Up that started on the February 2nd low had every HH pull back to its 0.618 Fib level. Consequently we are short on the short term (TP = 1.04500). If the price crosses under this 1 month Channel Up, the longer Channel Up should push even lower to the 0.786 Fib of the greater bullish wave (TP = 1.03000).
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EURUSD – Bullish Continuation Toward 1.05820OANDA:EURUSD has broken above a key resistance zone, which has now flipped to support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong buyer interest and reinforcing the bullish outlook.
With momentum favoring the upside, the next logical target is 1.05820, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. As long as the price remains above the support, the bullish bias stays intact.
EURUSD at Key Resistance – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD is currently trading at a key resistance zone, where sellers may regain control. This level has been a strong area of interest in the past, leading to price reversals. The recent bullish momentum has pushed price into this supply zone, suggesting a potential for bearish continuation if price action confirms a rejection.
If the price confirms rejection from this zone, a move lower toward 1.05000 is likely. However, a strong breakout above could invalidate this setup, shifting momentum back to the bulls.
Do you agree with this analysis? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
EURUSD Will Keep Growing!
HI,Traders !
EURUSD broke the key
Horizontal level of 1.05153
While trading in an uptrend
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bullish biased and
After a potential correction
And a retest of the new support
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
BE CAREFUL CHASING EURUSD breakout! Intraday Update: The EURUSD is breaking higher, HOWEVER, the pair is nearing a triple confluence of the long term 38% retracement, and 127% and 161% extension from the 1.0570-80's. With the intraday RSI's reaching overbought, there is a risk of a reversal at those levels.
XAU/USD : 1000 Pips Down from ATH, What's Next? (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the one-hour timeframe, we can see that the price, based on the previous analysis, managed to rise by nearly 200 pips but then started to decline from the $2894 zone. Today, we witnessed a price correction down to $2859.
This week, gold has experienced a 3.5% correction from its all-time high, with a decline of over 1000 pips. Currently, gold is trading around $2860.
The attractive SELL zones are $2894, $2900, and $2906.
The attractive BUY zones are $2820, $2833, and $2845.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURO - Price can continue to decline inside falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price declined to $1.0380 level and then started to grow inside a wedge, where it at once reached $1.0500 level.
Then price turned around and made correction movement to support line of the wedge, after which quickly bounced up.
Price grew to $1.0500 level and some time traded near this level and later finally broke it, after which turned around.
Euro broke $1.0500 level again, exited from wedge and continued to decline inside falling channel.
Inside channel, price declined to $1.0380 level and a few moments ago broke it and now continued to fall.
Possibly, Euro can rise a little higher than $1.0380 level and then continue to fall to $1.0300 inside channel.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EURO STOXX 50 celebrates new ATH, due to Ukraine war abateThe European stock rally is beginning as investors have gotten optimistic about a potential ceasefire in Ukraine.
The end of the 3-years conflict was always a wild card for European equity markets. Now investors are starting to prepare for this scenario, aggressively buying energy-intensive sectors and European laggards.
While a lot of upside potential remains for some sectors, the path ahead is likely to be rapid. The benchmark Euro Stoxx 50 has rarely been this overbought in the past four years.
Some investors have been aggressively buying back their shorts on Europe, while others are diversifying out of expensive and heavily concentrated US equities. The region trades at about a 40% discount to the US and this gap has the potential to narrow. There’s also room for gains within the Stoxx Europe 600 to broaden, with just 20% of its members in overbought territory.
With the prospect of an eventual ceasefire on investors’ minds after the US and Russian leaders agreed to start negotiations, stocks geared to the reconstruction of Ukraine are in focus, like construction stocks Heidelberg Materials AG and Holcim AG as well as chemicals company BASF SE.
The strategists at Barclays Plc are overweight chemicals but are more cautious on autos, partly due to the US tariffs threat. They say construction materials have had a strong run already, while mining and steel may have more catch-up potential, along with transport and leisure.
Rebuilding Ukraine would be one of the largest construction undertakings in recent years, with total costs of nearly $500 billion, according to the World Bank. This would be highly commodity-intensive, especially for steel and cement, to restore buildings and infrastructure.
It is clearly unequivocally good news for European markets.
The EURO STOXX 50 is a stock index that represents 50 of the largest and most liquid stocks in the Eurozone. It is designed to represent blue-chip companies considered leaders in their respective sectors. The EURO STOXX 50 is one of the most liquid indices for the Eurozone.
Key facts about the EURO STOXX 50:
The index includes shares from various Eurozone countries, including Belgium, France, Finland, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and Spain.
France and Germany contribute to over 66% of the index.
The technology, industrial goods and services, and consumer products and services sectors account for more than 45% of the index.
The EURO STOXX 50 was introduced on February 26, 1998. Prices were calculated retroactively to 1986, with a base value of 1000 points on December 31, 1991.
The index captures about 60% of the free-float market capitalization of the EURO STOXX Total Market Index (TMI), which covers about 95% of the free-float market capitalization of the countries represented.
The EURO STOXX 50 serves as a benchmark for the Eurozone's stock market performance.
Eurex trades futures and options on the EURO STOXX 50, which are among the most liquid products in Europe and worldwide.
Technical challenge
The main 6-month graph for EURO STOXX 50 futures indicates the epic all time high (1st time over past 25 years), with a potential further upside price action.