EURUSD: 4H Death Cross to push Channel Down much lower.EURUSD has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.499, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 31.600) as the price approaches the top of the 1 month Channel Down. A rejection and LH is expected soon that will initiate the new bearish wave. The last one was -4.45%, so that gives a TP = 1.0900, which falls right on the S1 level and the HL trendline from the February 3rd low. Keep in mind also that the market formed the first 4H Death Cross since February 10th.
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EURUSD
EURUSD: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 1.12459 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EUR/USD attempting to break higherThe EUR/USD is looking quite interesting as it tries to break out from a continuation pattern to the upside. So far, we haven't seen strong upside follow-through, which could be concerning for the bulls. Nevertheless, if it manages to break above the trend line of the falling wedge pattern, then this would suggest that the short-term path of least resistance is again to the upside, following a period of consolidation. From there, we could be heading up towards 1.1380, which is the next level of resistance on the daily chart. Above that, 1.1500 is the most significant resistance to watch on EUR/USD.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
May it continue to rise!During the European session, EUR/USD broke above 1.1250, extending its second consecutive daily gain amid U.S. dollar weakness following Moody’s rating downgrade. UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia noted that after days of range-bound trading, EUR rose to 1.1288 yesterday. However, the increase in momentum is insufficient to signal sustained progress. The euro must first decisively break above 1.1290 to have a chance of rising to 1.1330. Currently, the likelihood of a clear break above 1.1290 remains low, but as long as the pair holds above 1.1165, an upward move in the coming days is plausible.
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
XAU/USD: More Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after our last analysis, the price dropped to $3120, and then faced strong buying pressure, pushing it back up to the $3240 area! Gold is now trading in a critical zone for trend direction. If the price manages to hold above $3233, we can expect further bullish movement. This analysis will be updated with your support!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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EURUSD: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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EURUSD Is Going Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.124.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.116 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURAUD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURAUD is currently presenting a textbook bullish setup with a well-defined falling wedge formation on the daily chart. After a strong impulsive rally in April, price has been consolidating within this wedge, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows—typical of a corrective pattern. Now, with price testing the upper trendline of the wedge, we are positioned for a potential breakout, supported by increasing bullish momentum and clean structure. With the current price around 1.75, the next leg higher toward the 1.85 resistance zone is well on the radar.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining strength on the back of improving Eurozone macro data, with recent PMI figures showing resilience and inflation staying moderately sticky—making the ECB cautious about aggressive rate cuts. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar continues to face headwinds amid declining commodity prices and weakening consumer sentiment. The Reserve Bank of Australia remains relatively dovish, especially as wage growth plateaus and inflation expectations cool. This EURAUD divergence sets the stage for a broader move in favor of the euro.
Technically, the breakout from this wedge structure would signify the continuation of the prior bullish trend, and given the size of the previous impulsive move, a breakout target of 1.85 is both conservative and well-aligned with market structure. The bullish divergence forming on oscillators such as RSI and MACD also confirms the slowing momentum in the downward move. A clean break and close above 1.7550 would be the trigger point for long positions, with invalidation below 1.7220.
This is a high-probability breakout setup with strong confluence across technical and fundamental indicators. With euro strength coming into play and AUD fundamentals remaining weak, I’m favoring the long side here. A move toward 1.85 is well-supported, and a break above the wedge could trigger significant upside in the coming sessions. This is a setup worth watching closely.
The price has experienced multiple declines after reaching!GBP/USD Daily Market Analysis
The GBP/USD currency pair is currently facing rejection from a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the Daily (1D) chart. Historically, the price has experienced multiple declines after reaching this zone, often reacting similarly upon contact.
Recently, the market has swept liquidity above its previous highs and is now showing signs of a downward movement. However, it's important to note that there is a significant bullish Fair Value Gap located on the 4-hour (4H) timeframe, which has been illustrated on the chart.
If the market breaks below this 4H bullish FVG, it could indicate a continuation of bearish momentum. In such a scenario, we may expect the price to move further downward toward the marked liquidity zones—and potentially even lower if those levels are breached.
This situation calls for close monitoring and further confirmation before making any trading decisions.
Disclaimer : Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before entering any trades. This analysis is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
EURO - Price can make small correction and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURO, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price entered to falling channel, where it at once fell to $1.1330 level and then not long time traded near this level.
Next, price rose to resistance line of channel, and some time traded near, after which dropped.
Price broke $1.1330 level and started to traded below this level, and later it continued to decline in channel.
Later, Euro made a gap and then exited from channel, after which turned around and started to grow in a rising channel.
In this channel, price broke $1.1140 level and continued to move up until it reached resistance line.
Then price corrected, and now I expect that Euro can bounce up from support area to $1.1280 inside channel.
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EUR/USD Short Opportunity – Rising Wedge + Retest + TargetThis technical setup on EUR/USD (1H timeframe) highlights a potential high-probability short opportunity based on a combination of price action, chart patterns, and key structural levels. The pair is showing signs of weakening bullish momentum and preparing for a bearish continuation.
🔎 1. Pattern Analysis: Rising Wedge Formation
The primary pattern visible is a Rising Wedge, which is traditionally a bearish reversal formation. It’s defined by:
Higher highs and higher lows, but both trendlines are converging, suggesting weakening bullish control.
Volume (not shown here) typically decreases within a rising wedge, further confirming a potential breakout.
This wedge formed after a previous sharp bullish recovery, acting as a continuation structure that often reverses.
In this case, the price formed multiple touches on both wedge boundaries, enhancing the reliability of the pattern.
🧱 2. Key Structural Zones:
Minor Resistance Zone (~1.1270–1.1285):
Clearly marked on the chart with a blue shaded zone.
Price has reacted from this level multiple times, validating it as a supply area.
The most recent attempt to break above this level failed, further confirming seller dominance.
Consolidation Zone (highlighted in yellow):
Prior to the wedge’s formation, price entered a consolidation phase.
Consolidation often precedes a breakout or a trend reversal. In this case, it provided a base for the rally that formed the wedge.
🔁 3. Breakout and Retest:
Price has broken below the lower support line of the rising wedge.
This breakout is a bearish signal and suggests the pair may now be ready for a stronger downside move.
The price appears to be retesting the broken wedge support, which is a classic confirmation move before continuation.
Retests of broken structures often offer low-risk, high-reward entry opportunities.
🎯 4. Trade Plan and Setup:
Entry Zone: Watch for bearish rejection or candle confirmation on the retest of the wedge support turned resistance.
Stop Loss (SL): Positioned just above the resistance zone, at 1.12887, protecting the trade against false breakouts or reversals.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1 – 1.10649: This level is a strong support zone based on previous price action and structural significance.
TP2 – 1.09670: The full measured move from the height of the wedge. This also aligns with historical support and psychological round number proximity (1.10).
🧠 5. Confluence Factors:
Technical Pattern: Rising wedge = bearish.
Support/Resistance: Multiple reactions to both the resistance zone and wedge trendlines confirm market memory.
Price Action: Break + retest = ideal entry confirmation.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, especially with conservative TP1 and aggressive TP2 levels.
Macro Context (optional): If posted during news week – potential USD strength based on rate expectations, NFP, or inflation.
⚠️ 6. Risk Management Tips:
Use a position size that aligns with your account risk tolerance (1–2% rule).
Wait for confirmation (bearish engulfing candle or rejection wick) before entering.
Always be prepared for invalidation. If price closes above the resistance zone, this idea is voided.
XAUUSD H4: Re-accumulation | Floor at 3K | TP Bulls 4K🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📉 Gold Eases: Prices dip to $3,213.35/oz amid ceasefire optimism and stronger USD.
🤝 Trade Tensions: U.S.-China tariff truce reduces safe-haven demand, pressuring gold.
📊 Technical Watch: Analysts eye $3,200 support level as key for market direction.
🔮 EUROTLX:4K Forecast?: JP Morgan projects gold to surpass $4,000/oz by Q2 2026.
⚠️ Credit Downgrade: Moody's cuts U.S. rating to "Aa1", citing rising debt, impacting gold sentiment.
🏠 Investment Shift: Gold's YTD return at 22.42%, outperforming many assets.
🌍 Central Bank Buying: Sustained demand from emerging markets supports gold prices.
🛡️ $3,200 Holds: Gold maintains key support despite volatility and profit-taking.
📈 Goldman Bullish: Forecasts gold at $3,700/oz by year-end, with potential to reach $4,500.
💰 Live Price: Gold at $3,228.80 (+0.01%) today.
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️pullback in progress currently
▪️3500 USD heavy resistance
▪️Re-accumulation in progress now
▪️Same as Q4 2024 - on the right
▪️Expect re-accumulation into June
▪️Downside capped by 3 000 USD
▪️short-term expecting range action
▪️Bulls still maintain strategic control
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️Accumulate in range
▪️Closer to 3K S/R zone
▪️Bulls 4K still valid target
US Credit Downgrade and Brexit Progress Lift EuroThe euro approached the $1.13 mark on Tuesday, extending its rebound from the one-month low recorded on May 12. The rally followed a broad-based weakening in the US dollar after Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing mounting government debt and widening fiscal deficits. The downgrade sparked investor concerns about long-term US economic stability and pressured dollar-denominated assets.
The EU and UK finalized a provisional agreement addressing key post-Brexit issues such as defense, fisheries, youth mobility, and security cooperation. The deal may pave the way for UK companies to participate in major EU defense projects, marking a potential turning point in EU-UK relations.
The European Central Bank is expected to initiate a rate cut in June, with additional easing possible later in the year. Despite these expectations, the euro has held firm, buoyed by both geopolitical developments and dollar weakness.
EUR/USD now faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside barriers at 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support lies at 1.1040, followed by 1.1000 and 1.0960.
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout: EUR/USD Eyes Higher Levels..!📊 EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Breakout Watch..! 💥
🕰 Timeframe: 4H | 📅 Date: May 20, 2025
By: @Kartik\_Elkunchwar
The EUR/USD pair is showing an **interesting structure** with strong breakout potential. Here's the breakdown:
🔍 Chart Pattern Observed: Symmetrical Triangle
After a strong uptrend since late March, price consolidated into a symmetrical triangle, marked by lower highs and higher lows.
This formation typically indicates indecision in the market, but it often precedes a strong breakout.
📈 Uptrend Intact
The dotted line labeled UP-TREND shows that the bullish momentum is still present, with price respecting the rising support line over time.
This trendline has acted as a reliable dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish bias.
🔔 Recent Price Action
Price recently broke out above the upper trendline of the triangle, closing around **1.1275**.
This breakout is accompanied by a surge in momentum and could signal the resumption of the bullish trend.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Zone: 1.1300 – If price breaks and sustains above this level, we could see a rally toward **1.1400–1.1450**.
Support Zone: 1.1200 and 1.1100 – In case of a false breakout or retest, these levels may act as buying opportunities.
🧠 Conclusion
The EUR/USD pair is giving a **potential long setup** after consolidating for weeks. A confirmed breakout above the triangle indicates **buyers may be gaining control**. Watch for a **retest and bounce** for higher conviction entries.
📉 What’s your take on EUR/USD? Bullish or Bearish..?
Drop your analysis in the comments! 💬
EURUSD INTRADAY bulish breakout supported at 1.1100EUR/USD remains in a long-term bullish trend, but price action has been consolidating sideways since reaching the recent swing high on April 21, 2025.
The key support level to watch is 1.1100. This is the current swing low and a critical level for the bullish structure to hold. If the pair pulls back and finds support here, a rebound could lead to upside targets at 1.1275, then 1.1356, and eventually 1.1460 over the longer term.
However, if the price breaks below 1.1100 and closes below that level on the daily chart, the bullish outlook would be invalidated. In that case, further downside could follow, with 1.1030 as the next support, and then 1.0990.
In conclusion, EUR/USD remains bullish above 1.1100, but a confirmed break below that level would shift the outlook to bearish in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅4H 50 EMA
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 20, 2025 EURUSDEURUSD:
EUR/USD tested high levels on Monday, briefly rising to 1.1300, but then retreated slightly, although the day ended higher overall. Nevertheless, the pair remains in a short-term consolidation zone.
Last Friday, rating agency Moody's downgraded the United States (US), stripping it of its latest AAA rating on Treasuries, citing the growing US debt and long-standing government budget deficits that various presidential administrations have either neglected or failed to manage effectively. While initial investor reaction was shaky, sentiment quickly stabilised and the impact on US creditworthiness was largely written off. Still, Treasury markets are struggling: On Monday, 30-year bond yields topped 5 per cent and 10-year yields topped 4.5 per cent.
Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have been working hard this week to manage market expectations for a possible rate cut. Fed policymakers have continually reminded investors that ongoing U.S. tariff and trade policies complicate the outlook for the national economy, which in turn affects rate adjustments.
Thursday will see the release of German and pan-European purchasing managers' index (PMI) reports from HCOB, providing a double dose of business expectations surveys on both sides of the Pacific. Both the German and pan-European PMIs are expected to rise moderately. The key economic data release from the US will be the S&P Global PMI data for May, where average market expectations suggest a slight decline in both the manufacturing and service components of the PMI report due to the impact of tariffs on business spending.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.1250, SL 1.1230, TP 1.1350
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rejecting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1273
1st Support: 1.1084
1st Resistance: 1.1371
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EUR_USD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD has retested a
Resistance level of 1.1290
And we are seeing a bearish reaction
With the price going down so we are
Bearish biased now and we will be
Expecting the pair to go further down
SHORT🔥
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Will the Euro weaken against the US Dollar?EURUSD has started a price and time correction since July 28, 2008 in the form of a diametric pattern.
Wave-(f) currently appears to be forming. We see two price ranges for the end of wave-(f) in terms of price:
a - range 1.15758-1.17173
b - range 1.21357-1.23505
After the completion of wave-(f) we expect wave-(g) to continue to the specified range.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
Potential bearish drop?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1270
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.1374
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1139
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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