SPX 5500 BY 2025 ? REASONS WHY !!!
Optimistic Market Forecasts: Analysts and strategists, such as those from Deutsche Bank and Infrastructure Capital Advisors CEO, have made bullish predictions for the S&P 500. Deutsche Bank's forecast for the S&P 500 to reach 5,100 in 2024, and Infrastructure Capital Advisors CEO Jay Hatfield anticipates the S&P to reach as high as 5,500 points by the end of 2024.
These forecasts indicate a strong belief in the market's potential to continue its upward trend.
Strong Earnings and Valuations: The trailing 12-month P/E ratio for the S&P 500 of 25.7 is above the 5-year and 10-year averages. This suggests that investors are willing to pay a premium for stocks, which could be a positive sign for further market growth.
Historical Performance: The S&P 500 has already hit 23 new records in 2024 and has been performing above average historical years. This indicates strong market momentum and investor confidence.
Cumulative Weight of Top Stocks: The cumulative weight of the top 5 stocks in the S&P 500 has hit a 50-year high. This indicates that the market's performance is being significantly influenced by the performance of a small number of large-cap companies, which could potentially drive the index higher if these companies continue to perform well.
Market Resilience and Recovery: The market has shown resilience and recovery from the economic downturn, with the S&P 500 already up by 9.6% this year, which is above the average year since 1950. This resilience could be a sign of continued growth throughout the year.
Positive Outlook from Analysts: Analysts like CFRA Chief Investment Strategist Sam Stovall predict that the S&P 500 will hit 5,400 by year-end and 5,610 within the next 12 months, indicating a positive outlook for the market's performance.
Potential Rate Cuts: The expectation of rate cuts by the European Central Bank could provide a boost to the global economy and the U.S. markets, including the S&P 500.
Positive Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment seems to be positive, with a bullish outlook on the S&P 500 from various analysts and strategists. This positive sentiment could drive further investment and growth in the market.
Technology Sector Performance: The technology sector has been a leading performer, soaring 50%, indicating strong growth in this sector, which could help drive the S&P 500 higher.
Economic Data Surprises: The U.S. economy has been showing positive surprises in economic data throughout 2023, suggesting that the economy is stronger than expected, which could support the market's growth.
EURUSD
SPX 4800 LONG SANTA RALLY UNTIL 2024 Key Factors to Consider:
Economic Indicators: Monitor key economic indicators such as GDP growth, employment data, and inflation. Positive economic data may support the upward movement of the S&P 500, while negative indicators could lead to volatility.
Interest Rates: Changes in interest rates can impact the cost of borrowing and influence investor behavior. Keep an eye on central bank announcements and monetary policy changes.
Corporate Earnings: Earnings season can significantly affect the S&P 500. Track corporate earnings reports for insights into the health of individual companies and the overall market.
Geopolitical Events: Geopolitical developments, such as trade tensions or political instability, can impact market sentiment. Stay informed about global events that could affect the S&P 500.
SELL SPX FROM 4100 OR 4000 AND TP ON 3800 AND WAIT Patience !! Time to Sell or Wait to 4100 anyways Going back to 3800 TP and wait for second confirmation Going back to 3200 !!!
stay Profitable
do not add to losers
add to winners
do not over leverage
do not open many positions
only trade what you know
dot get sentimental with trades . close it if did not work !!!
HAVE A GOOD WEEKEND !!!
SEE YOU GUYS ON PROFIT FRIDAYS !!!
Forex Traders Await the Fed's DecisionForex Traders Await the Fed's Decision
The Federal Reserve is set to announce its interest rate decision today at 21:00 GMT+2, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell holding a press conference 30 minutes later. According to Forex Factory, the market expects a rate cut to 4.25%-4.50% from the current 4.50%-4.75%.
Analysts at Apollo Global Management, in their Economic Outlook, predict:
→ In 2025, the Fed will continue lowering rates but at a slower pace than the market anticipates;
→ By the end of 2025, the rate is expected to settle at 4.0%.
In anticipation of today's decision, the currency markets are experiencing a period of calm.
The technical analysis of the EUR/USD chart shows that the pair consolidates between the upper boundary of a descending channel and the lower black support line, forming a narrowing triangle pattern (highlighted in purple).
Today's Fed meeting could trigger a surge in volatility, potentially driving sharp movements in USD pairs. For EUR/USD, opposite scenarios are possible:
→ An upward movement with a bullish breakout of the upper boundary of the long-term descending channel;
→ Continuation of the downtrend with a breakout below the lower black support line.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURO - Price can continue to decline inside falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price broke $1.0560 level and fell to support line, after which rose to resistance line and continued to fall.
Then price made a gap and fell to support level, after which some time traded near and then made upward impulse.
Price broke resistance line with resistance level, and rose to $1.0630 points, but then it started to fall.
In falling channel, price broke $1.0560 level again and fell to support area, after which bounced up, making a fake breakout.
Next, Euro started to grow and now it continues to move up, therefore I think it can almost reach resistance line.
After this, price can turn around and start to fall to $1.0470 support level inside falling channel.
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EURO - Price can bounce up from support level to $1.0650Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price declined inside falling channel, where it fell from resistance line to $1.0765 level.
Then price rose to resistance line of channel, making first gap and then making a downward impulse, exiting from channel.
Also then, EUR continued to decline inside a downward pennant, where it broke $1.0765 level and later fell to $1.0470 level.
Next, price declined to support line of pennant, after which made a second gap and rose to resistance line of pennant,
After this, Euro declined to $1.0470 level and some time traded near, but now it trades close support line.
Possible, price can fall to support level, exiting from pennant and then bounce up to $1.0650
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Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 1.0531
1st Support: 1.0452
1st Resistance: 1.0598
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NZDUSD H1 Short At Market TP +100 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the H1 chart for NZDUSD today. Price
contained withing sliding bear channel previously rejected multiple
times from overhead resistance.
🔸Currently expecting price to clear S/R and complete the
break of structure pattern near 5820 then dump to 5750 / 5700.
🔸Previously rejected from overhead resistance, sequence of lower
highs in progress and expecting yet another rejection into double top
and also re-action with the bear channel.
🔸Recommended strategy for NZDUSD traders: short at market now, SL 40 pips TP1 +60 pips TP2 +100 pips final exit at 5750. good luck traders!
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EUR/USD: Poised for a Reversal?On November 23, FOREXCOM:EURUSD broke below the critical 1.05 support zone, reaching a low of 1.0336. However, the pair quickly reversed course and has since been trading in a range between 1.0450 and 1.06.
A closer look at the price action suggests the pair has established a strong floor and is awaiting a catalyst for an upward reversal.
That catalyst could very well come today, with the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut and subsequent press conference. Given the accumulated market tension, an accelerated move to the upside seems likely.
Key Levels to Watch :
Support: Any dips below 1.05 should be viewed as buying opportunities, with the potential for a rebound.
Resistance: A target around 1.0750 appears realistic in the current context.
Invalidation Level: If the price falls back below 1.04, this bullish scenario would be negated.
EURUSD H4| Falling from 61.8% Fibo?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0552, which is a pullback resistance close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.0453, a swing low support level.
The stop loss will be at 1.0628, a swing high resistance level.
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#EURUSD - 18122024I was bullish EURUSD yesterday but it made a new high then came down to level below, before recovering but closing with a bearish candle. Is the highs in? Or is this just a pullback for another leg higher.
This IMO, is a tricky question. With yesterday's bearish candle, I do see a move lower. Thus a possible scenario, if I am overall bullish, would be, for price to come down to clear the lows, before buyers come in and bring this higher. 1.0468 is thus a good level to go long off.
However, if price continues up from here, I would be wary of a pullback from a resistance above and 1.0516 is such a level. Of course, it can trade to 1.0516, sell down to 1.0468 then rally up to close green.
Oil Market Analysis - 17/12/2024The oil market is currently under pressure, with WTI down to $69.30 and Brent at $72.66. The main causes are:
Pemex Production Recovery: Oil platforms in the Gulf of Mexico have returned to full capacity after improved weather conditions and the end of the hurricane season. This has increased available supply, partially offsetting the decline in Russian production.
Decline in Russian Crude: Russian maritime oil exports have fallen by 11% since October due to maintenance at a key terminal. This has temporarily limited flows but has not significantly supported prices due to increased production from other sources like Pemex.
Strengthening US Dollar: The Dollar Index (DXY) is around 107.00, gaining strength thanks to preliminary US PMI data for December, which signals the fastest economic growth in 33 months, driven by the services sector. A strong dollar negatively impacts oil, making it more expensive for buyers using other currencies.
API Expectations: Crude inventory data from the API, scheduled for 21:30 GMT, could add volatility. Last week, there was a build of 0.499 million barrels.
EU Sanctions: The EU has imposed sanctions on a Dutch trader involved in trading Russian oil above the price cap. The impact on volumes remains limited for now.
Oil Technical Analysis
Price Range: Oil is trading within a range between $67.00 (support) and $71.50 (upper resistance), with this band likely extending into January 2025.
Resistance: The key resistance is located at $71.03 (100-day SMA) and $71.46, where prices encountered selling pressure last week.
A breakout above $71.03 could push prices toward $75.27, but caution is needed for quick profit-taking as the year-end approaches.
Support: The first solid support is at $67.12, a level that held prices in May-June 2023. A break below could see crude testing the 2024 yearly low at $64.75 and then $64.38, the 2023 low.