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EURUSD

Euro H4 | Overlap resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.1263 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 1.1395 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 1.1081 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
EURUSD: a calm week ahead?From economic data the US inflation was in the spotlight of the financial markets during the previous week. The US inflation in April reached 0,2% for the month, and 2,3% on a yearly basis, which was fully in line with market expectations. The Core inflation was standing at the level of 0,2% for the month and 2,8% for the year. The Producers Price Index in April was -0,5%, which was significantly below market estimate of 0,2%. Retail Sales in April were higher by 0,1% for the month modestly above the forecasted 0%. Building Permits preliminary for April were 1.412M, below market estimate of 1.450M, while Housing Starts in April were also below market estimate, with 1.362, while market was expecting to see the figure of 1.37M. The end of the week brought University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index preliminary for May, which was standing at the level of 50,8, modestly below forecasted 53,4. There has been a modest increase in 5 years inflation expectations to the level of 4,6%, from 4,4% previously posted. There has also been increased expectations for the inflation for this year, which reached the level of 7,3%, from 6,5% posted previously. This week there has not been too much significant macro data posted for the Euro Zone. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in May in Germany was standing at 25,2 which was surprisingly much higher from anticipated 12,5. The same indicator for the Euro Zone was at the level of 11,6 again above market expectations of -6. The previous week started in favor of the US Dollar against euro, due to decreased tariffs tensions between the US and China. Still, volatility continued for the rest of the week. The highest weekly level of the currency pair was 1,1263, while the pair is ending the week at the level of 1,1164. The RSI was relatively calmly moving around the level of 50, still closing the week at the level of 46. This is an indication that the investors are modestly eyeing the oversold market side in the coming period. The MA50 is still modestly diverging from MA200, without a clear indication that the change of course might happen in the coming period. Charts are indicating that the market was testing the 1,12 level during the previous week. This could be also treated as a level with historical significance, considering that the currency pair historically spent a lot of time around this level. Considering that the week ahead is not bringing much of the currently significant data, which markets closely watch, it could be expected that it is going to be one calm week. However, it should be taken into account news published on Saturday, that the rating agency Moody’s downgraded US credit rating by one notch. This news is still not reflected in the eurusd currency pair, which might indicate some higher volatility at the start of trading hours on Monday. This would be a one-off effect. As per current charts, if the level 1,12 withholds pressure to the downside, then the market could revert toward the 1,13 level. In the opposite case, charts are indicating the level of 1,1050. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Inflation rate final for April in the EuroZone, Producers Price Index in Germany in April, HCOB manufacturing PMI Flash for May for both Germany and the Euro Zone, Ifo Business Climate for Germany in May, GDP Growth rate for Germany final for Q1 USD: Existing Home Sales in April
by XBTFX
Chart spoke. We listened. See how price respected every level!"Great when BOS + supply/demand lines hit perfectly. Most traders chased the bounce. We waited in the shadows — right at the selling zone. Wave 4? Textbook correction. Wave 5? That’s where the money’s made. Elliott Wave isn’t just theory — it’s a weapon. Break of structure? Marked. Zone tested? Clean. Rejection? Savage. This is how professionals trade — not with hope, but with precision. DXY: playing checkers while we play chess.”**
TVC:DXY
by Greenfireforex
Europe’s Political Powder Keg: Markets on Edge!🔥 Europe’s Political Powder Keg: Markets on Edge! 🔥 Europe’s elections just dropped a BOMB! 💣 Poland (May 18), Portugal (May 18), and Romania (May 4 & 18) rejected far-right surges, but the center’s crumbling. 🇪🇺 Poland’s pro-EU Trzaskowski barely leads—June 1 runoff could flip it! Portugal’s Chega is shaking the old guard, and Romania’s Nicușor Dan rides an anti-corruption wave. Why care? Political chaos = market volatility. 📉 EUR/USD is wobbling, DAX could tank, and defense stocks (🇺🇦 ties) are in play. 💡 Trade Idea: Overlay EUR/USD with election dates (May 4, May 18, June 1) to catch volatility spikes. ❓ What’s your move? Will Europe’s turmoil crash markets or spark a rally? Drop your take below! 👇
by DCAChampion
EURUSD: Bearish Continuation After Breakout 🇪🇺🇺🇸 EURUSD broke and closed below a significant horizontal support this week. After a retest of a broken structure, the price formed a descending triangle pattern on a 4h time frame. Its neckline violation is a strong bearish confirmation signal. The price is going to continue falling next week. Next support - 1.11 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bouce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1083 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 1.1098 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 1.1265 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EurAud..Daily Volume Imbalance fillGood day traders, I’m back with another great idea on EurAud and what I like about this setup, is that we can also learn from it. On our daily TF we have a clear volume imbalance since price opened on Monday with a gap and it failed to fill the gap last week meaning it might happen this week where price can fill the gap. On the chart I’m showing you the high/low of the volume imbalance but you can add the midpoint of that gap too if you wish to do so. Price tried filling that gap but we can see it failed to do so because price did not even get to the midpoint of the VI, after it touched the lower quarter of the VI, it pushed lower showing weakness in price. Jumping to the present TF 4H here we can see that we have a bullish flow in price but out structure remain bearish. Going into the new week we wanna see price continue in its original structure to Atleast our first presented FVg that has been noted on the chart. Currently price is inside an inverted FVG which again supports our narrative. We can expect price to fill the 1st.PFVG on Tuesday the latest before it can move higher and for the week we want to see price close above the volume imbalance.
Long
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla
1
EURUSD INTRADAY bulish breakout supported at 1.1100EUR/USD remains in a long-term bullish trend, but price action has been consolidating sideways since reaching the recent swing high on April 21, 2025. The key support level to watch is 1.1100. This is the current swing low and a critical level for the bullish structure to hold. If the pair pulls back and finds support here, a rebound could lead to upside targets at 1.1275, then 1.1356, and eventually 1.1460 over the longer term. However, if the price breaks below 1.1100 and closes below that level on the daily chart, the bullish outlook would be invalidated. In that case, further downside could follow, with 1.1030 as the next support, and then 1.0990. In conclusion, EUR/USD remains bullish above 1.1100, but a confirmed break below that level would shift the outlook to bearish in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅4H 50 EMA ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Corn at a Historical Turning Point? Corn futures are currently at a technically significant juncture. After an extended bearish phase from the yearly highs, price has reached a key monthly demand zone between 445 and 435 cents, an area that has historically triggered major reversals. This level is further validated by technical signals indicating potential exhaustion of the bearish momentum: the price action is showing rejection candles, and the RSI is recovering from oversold territory, creating room for a possible upside move. However, it’s important to consider the seasonal context, which doesn’t favor an immediate reversal. Historical data shows that May, June, and July are statistically the weakest months for Corn. In particular, July tends to be highly bearish, with an average performance of -22% over the last 20 years and -36% over the last 10. This means that while the technical setup may suggest a potential bounce, seasonal pressure may continue to cap prices in the short term, making a sustained rally unlikely before August. The COT positioning adds another layer of insight. Non-commercial traders (speculators) have recently closed a significant number of long positions and added shorts, reflecting strong bearish sentiment. In contrast, commercials (hedgers) have increased long exposure and decreased shorts, signaling optimism and a willingness to accumulate at these levels. This divergence often marks contrarian opportunities, especially when speculators are heavily short and commercials are heavily long—often a sign of a market bottom forming. 🧠 Summary: Corn is sitting on major structural support, with early signs of a potential rebound. Yet, the seasonality remains bearish through mid-summer. The COT report, however, supports a bullish medium-term outlook, particularly heading into August–September, when prices historically begin to climb decisively. 🔔 Trading Outlook: In the short term, tactical longs can be considered if the 445–435 area holds, with tight risk management. Initial targets are set at 465 and 472. The true strategic setup, however, is more likely to emerge in the coming months, with August as the key window for a sustained upside move supported by both seasonal and COT positioning.
CBOT:ZC1!Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
EURUSD at Resistance – Will It Drop to 1.11720?OANDA:EURUSD is currently trading near a strong resistance level, which is an area where price has struggled to break through in the past and reversed to the downside. This is also where sellers have previously stepped in, so it’s worth watching—especially for anyone considering short trades. If we start to see signs that price is being rejected here—such as long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum—I think we could see a move down to the 1.11720 level. But if price breaks clearly above this area, it could invalidate the bearish idea and suggest that the uptrend may even continue. This area is quite important and could help give us a clearer idea of the next direction of price. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance—this is not financial advice. Always confirm your setup and manage your risk wisely.
Short
by LucasMgoldview
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Up! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.12314 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.12646.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
SELL!! BUT DON'T SHORT WITHOUT REASON EURUSD FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25 SELL!!!! BUT DON'T SHORT WITHOUT REASON! EURUSD IS READY TO TAKE YOUR ACCOUNT. THERE IS A WRAFT OF KEY LEVELS TO POTENTIALLY SHORT FROM. I KNOW. I HAVE INDEED IDENTIFIED THEM HOWEVER ... let's not KILL out accounts !!!!! lets be sure when to pull the trigger on shorts!!!! I'll be honest, I foresee a reaction from every point of interest BUT, dependant on YOUR entry model, depends if you can get Breakeven faster than the rest or even to take profit. SELL IS THE PLAY BUT BE SMART... EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D15 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅HTF Bearish price action ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD Is Going Up! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 1.116. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.118 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
EURUSD Stuck Between Key Support and Resistance LevelsEURUSD appears to be setting up for round two. The white trendline, which represents the long-term trend from 2008, was tested at the beginning of this week. The expected bounce followed, pushing EURUSD back toward the yellow trendline. Now, the pair is once again approaching to white trend. A clear break below the trendline could easily push EURUSD lower in the coming weeks, possibly toward 1.07. However, the outlook remains uncertain, with new developments and data pointing in different directions. My base case is that the range between the 1.1050–1.11 support zone and the 1.1275 resistance will hold for a few more days. With limited U.S. data scheduled for next week, EURUSD may take the opportunity to consolidate and trade sideways. Of course, if a breakout occurs in either direction, I would expect volatility to increase significantly.
by ftdsystem
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPUSD is currently forming a clean bullish pennant pattern on the daily chart after a strong impulsive rally, indicating that the pair is consolidating before its next leg higher. Price is hovering around the 1.3360–1.3380 zone, coiling tightly within the pennant structure, and showing signs of breakout pressure building. This is a classic continuation setup in a trending market, and with volume compression and decreasing volatility, the stage is set for a bullish breakout toward the 1.4070–1.4100 region. On the fundamental side, the British pound remains relatively supported due to recent hawkish rhetoric from the Bank of England, which is still closely monitoring wage inflation and strong labor market figures. Meanwhile, the US dollar is facing headwinds after softer CPI and PPI readings this month, fueling expectations of Fed rate cuts in the second half of 2025. These macro dynamics are increasingly tilting in favor of sterling strength, as investors begin pricing in yield divergence between the Fed and the BoE. Technically, the bullish structure is intact and the pennant formation is forming right after a sharp move higher, which adds confluence to this pattern. The breakout zone to watch is 1.3380–1.3400, and if bulls can clear this area with momentum, we are likely to see a swift extension toward the 1.4070 level. The risk is well-contained below 1.3340, offering an excellent reward-to-risk ratio for breakout traders and trend followers. This setup is not only technically sound but also backed by current macro shifts, making GBPUSD one of the most promising long opportunities right now. The market has been consolidating for weeks, building up energy, and with fundamentals aligning, this breakout could drive a strong move into Q3. I'm eyeing the 1.4070–1.4100 target in the coming weeks, and I'll continue to monitor for confirmation and execution signals.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
EURUSD 4H: Breakout or Bust at 1.1250?On the 4H timeframe, EURUSD is currently trading at 1.12450, sitting just below a key resistance level at 1.1250. This level is notable as it aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of a recent bullish wave and has historically rejected price advances, reinforcing a bearish tone after multiple tests. A breakout above 1.1250 could ignite further upside momentum, potentially driving the pair toward 1.1389, a target derived from recent trade setups. However, if the price fails to breach this resistance, a pullback toward the support zone at 1.1150, where buyers have previously stepped in, becomes likely. Technical indicators will be key to decoding the pair’s next move. Watch the 50-period and 200-period moving averages on the 4H chart: if the price holds above these levels, it signals bullish strength, but a drop below could flip the trend bearish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is another tool to monitor, overbought conditions near 1.1250 might hint at a reversal, while oversold readings near 1.1150 could suggest a bounce. Look out for RSI divergence too, as it often flags weakening momentum before a shift occurs. These tools together can help pinpoint entry and exit zones. In summary, EURUSD is at a crossroads on the 4H chart, testing the 1.1250 resistance with 1.1150 as the next support below. A clean break above 1.1250 opens the door to higher targets like 1.1389, while a rejection could see sellers push toward 1.1150. Use moving averages and RSI to time your trades, and stay alert for news that could jolt the market. With the pair consolidating between these levels, patience will pay off, wait for confirmation before jumping in.
by MonoCoinSignal
EURUSD: Weekly overviewThe indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. These points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. After reacting to the following zones, you can enter the trade. Place the stop loss slightly above/below the zone to which the reaction was shown. The profit point is the next zone. The drawn channels and their medians can also be considered as moving support and resistance. I usually use them as target points. * Zones are not disturbed in this analysis. This analysis is valid until the end of the week. ************************************** Important news that could change the direction of the trade: Monday: EURO CPI of April Friday: German GDP ************************************** We all now Trump tries to weaken USD to improve US trade efficiency, but all of these efforts might have reversal effects in short-term movements. Best Regards
Long
by AliSignals