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EURUSD

EUR/JPY Setup: Retail is 82% Short – Squeeze First, Drop After?🔹 Technical Context Price reacted with a strong bullish wick in the 169.50–170.30 demand zone, signaling clear buyer defense. The RSI bounced from weakness but remains subdued, showing limited momentum. 📍 Current price action suggests a potential retest of the 172.50–173.30 area, which aligns with a supply zone, before a possible directional decision is made. 🗓️ Seasonality Historically, August tends to be bearish for EUR/JPY: 5Y average: -0.48% 10Y average: -0.12% 15Y/20Y averages: -1.3% and -1.2% 📉 Seasonality indicates potential weakness, especially in the second half of the month. 🪙 COT Report (EURO & YEN) – July 22 EURO: Strong long accumulation by non-commercials (+6,284) and commercials (+17,575) JPY: Net decline in both longs (-1,033) and shorts (-4,096), with a drop in total open interest 🧠 The market is heavily positioned on the Euro, while Yen positioning is fading. This creates a divergence between the two currencies, favoring a short-term technical bounce on EUR/JPY, though downside risks remain in the mid-term. 📉 Sentiment 82% of retail traders are short EUR/JPY Volume: 1,564 lots short vs 352 lots long 📣 This extreme sentiment imbalance suggests a potential short-term squeeze against retail traders. 📊 Market Mood & DPO Overall mood: Neutral DPO at -9.0, Wyckoff score below 50 Momentum remains weak, but not showing a clear divergence. 🧩 Operational Summary Retest of the 172.50–173.30 supply zone Likely exhaustion in that area Ideal setup: rejection + bearish confirmation → Targets: 170.30, then 169.00
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
EURUSD plunges without brakes – The bears take full control!EURUSD continues its steep decline as both macroeconomic and technical pressures mount. A trade deal unfavorable to the EU, combined with the Fed’s hawkish stance, has fueled USD strength and dragged the euro sharply lower. At the same time, strong U.S. labor data and rising employment costs further reinforce the bearish outlook. On the H1 chart, EURUSD is clearly moving within a descending channel. Key price zones have been broken with no significant bullish reaction, indicating that sellers remain firmly in control. The market is heading toward a psychological support area, with no signs of reversal as RSI stays weak. I remain biased toward SELL setups on any short-term pullbacks, avoiding countertrend trades in this environment. If downside momentum continues, deeper targets may still be ahead. In a market dominated by bearish sentiment, trading with the trend remains the smartest and safest approach.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support, which acts as an overlap support. Pivot: 1.1457 1st Support: 1.1372 1st Resistance: 1.1534 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EURO - Price can turn around of support level and rise to $1.165Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 The market structure shifted after a breakout from a prior triangle pattern pushed the price higher. This rally met resistance, and a new bearish trend emerged, creating a distinct falling channel. The asset made several rotations inside this channel, with the most recent upswing failing at the $1.1720 resistance zone. That failure to break higher initiated the current strong bearish impulse driving the price down. Euro is now approaching a critical area of demand, the horizontal support zone near $1.1455. I expect that buyers will defend the $1.1455 support level, causing a reversal that will carry the price towards the $1.1650 target. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by WalterMoon
15
Chart Patterns - How to read them like a ProChart patterns are visual formations on price charts that help traders anticipate potential market movements. These patterns fall into three main categories: bullish , bearish , and indecisive . --- 1. Bullish Chart Patterns Bullish patterns often signal that price is likely to move upward. 1.1 Bull Flag * What it looks like: A sharp upward move followed by a small downward-sloping rectangle (the flag). * Meaning: After a strong rally, the price consolidates briefly before continuing higher. * Key insight: A breakout above the flag typically signals a continuation of the trend. 1.2 Pennant (Bullish) * What it looks like: A strong upward move followed by a small symmetrical triangle. * Meaning: Similar to the bull flag, but the consolidation takes a triangular form. * Key insight: Once price breaks above the pennant, the uptrend often resumes. 1.3 Cup & Handle * What it looks like: A “U”-shaped curve (the cup) followed by a small downward drift (the handle). * Meaning: This pattern suggests a period of accumulation before price breaks higher. * Key insight: A breakout above the handle signals the beginning of a new bullish leg. 1.4 Inverse Head & Shoulders * What it looks like: Three low points, with the middle low being the deepest. * Meaning: This reversal pattern appears after a downtrend and signals a potential change to an uptrend. * Key insight: A breakout above the “neckline” confirms the reversal. --- 2. Indecisive Chart Patterns These patterns show market hesitation, where neither bulls nor bears are clearly in control. 2.1 Consolidation Channel * What it looks like: Price moves within a horizontal channel. * Meaning: Market is moving sideways with no strong trend. * Key insight: A breakout in either direction often leads to a significant move. 2.2 Symmetrical Triangle * What it looks like: Two converging trend lines forming a triangle. * Meaning: This is a neutral pattern that can break out in either direction. * Key insight: Traders wait for a breakout before taking a position. --- 3. Bearish Chart Patterns Bearish patterns signal a high probability of downward price movement. 3.1 Bear Flag * What it looks like: A sharp decline followed by a small upward-sloping rectangle. * Meaning: After a strong drop, price consolidates before continuing lower. * Key insight: A breakout below the flag suggests a continuation of the downtrend. 3.2 Pennant (Bearish) * What it looks like: A sharp downward move followed by a small symmetrical triangle. * Meaning: Similar to the bear flag, but the consolidation takes a triangular form. * Key insight: A breakout downward typically resumes the bearish trend. 3.3 Inverse Cup & Handle * What it looks like: An upside-down cup with a small upward drift forming the handle. * Meaning: Indicates weakness after an uptrend, often followed by a drop. * Key insight: A break below the handle usually signals a strong bearish move. 3.4 Head & Shoulders * What it looks like: Three peaks, with the middle one being the highest. * Meaning: A classic reversal pattern that indicates a potential shift from an uptrend to a downtrend. * Key insight: A break below the “neckline” confirms the bearish reversal. --- How to Use These Patterns * Combine pattern recognition with support/resistance, volume, and indicators for stronger confirmation. * Always wait for breakouts and avoid acting too early. * Manage risk with stop-loss orders.
Education
by Louigi_24
80
EUR/USD Setup Is Ready This is a bullish EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) 1-hour chart analysis. The setup indicates a potential upward reversal after a downtrend, supported by a series of higher lows. Key elements: Entry Point: Around 1.14044–1.14376. Stop Loss: Placed below the recent low at 1.12770 to manage risk. Targets: First Target: 1.15034 Second Target: 1.15892 Third Target: 1.17238 The chart suggests a buy setup with a risk-reward strategy, aiming for a breakout and continuation towards higher resistance levels. The large upward arrow emphasizes bullish momentum expectations.
Short
by Forex_Vip_Signals
6
EURUSD – Retest Failed, Bearish Pressure RemainsHello, what’s your take on FX:EURUSD ? After breaking the trendline, EURUSD attempted a retest but failed. The price is now hovering around 1.142, with selling pressure still evident. This setup targets the 1.618 Fibonacci extension zone around 1.114. In the short term, a correction based on Dow Theory may unfold — the marked area could offer a perfect selling opportunity. 💡 Priority: SELL on RETEST – strict risk management with clear TP and SL. Now it’s your turn — what’s your view? Share it in the comments below. Good luck!
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
7
DeGRAM | EURUSD dropped below the support level📊 Technical Analysis ● EURUSD confirmed a double rejection below long-term resistance with two lower highs and broke channel support at 1.1567. ● Price is now trending within a descending channel toward 1.1363, with lower targets pointing into the 1.12–1.11 demand zone. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US Q2 GDP surprised to the upside, reinforcing the Fed’s hawkish tone, while Eurozone CPI inflation cooled below forecast. ● Diverging central bank trajectories continue to widen yield differentials in favor of the dollar, sustaining bearish euro flows. ✨ Summary Short bias confirmed below 1.1567. Break of 1.1450 opens path to 1.1363 ➜ 1.1200 zone. Watch for rallies to fade below trendline. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
4
EURUSD FORMED BEARISH PENNANT. THE PRICE IS READY TO DROP.EURUSD FORMED BEARISH PENNANT. THE PRICE IS READY TO DROP. EURUSD has been trading sideways within the last day, showing lower highs and higher lows. Eventually, the price has formed the pennant chart pattern. What is a pennant? A pennant chart pattern is a short-term continuation pattern in technical analysis, resembling a small symmetrical triangle, formed after a strong price movement (flagpole). It consists of converging trendlines, indicating a brief consolidation before the trend resumes. Bullish pennants form after an uptrend, bearish pennants after a downtrend. The price is expected to decline towards 1.14500 support level
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
1
The Fed aftermath. US dollar bulls enjoy the moment.The US dollar bulls went in hard after during and after the Fed's press conference. Can the momentum stay? Let's dig in. MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX TVC:DXY Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
EURUSD breakdown alert – Will the drop accelerate?Hello traders, let’s take a look at how EURUSD is performing today! Yesterday, EURUSD extended its downward slide after failing to sustain bullish momentum from the 1.1600 zone. The pair is now hovering around 1.1426. The recent decline is largely attributed to the strength of the US dollar, which continues to benefit from a series of upbeat economic data – including robust job reports, strong consumer spending, and improving sentiment. All of these came in above expectations, pushing the dollar higher. In contrast, the European Central Bank (ECB) maintains a cautious stance, with no clear signals of policy changes – leaving the euro under persistent pressure. From a technical standpoint, the short-term outlook suggests the beginning of a new bearish wave. Notably, price action is reacting to resistance from the nearby EMA 34 and EMA 89 levels. The break below the recent support zone has added fuel to the ongoing bearish momentum. If the current support fails to hold, EURUSD could slip further toward the 1.272 Fibonacci extension at 1.1305, and potentially as low as 1.1178 – the 1.618 extension level. Looking ahead, traders should focus on potential pullback opportunities, targeting SELL entries around 1.1540–1.1580 – a confluence zone of technical interest. However, if price breaks above the 1.1600 threshold and holds, this bearish scenario may be invalidated. What’s your outlook for EURUSD in the coming days? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Short
by Alexx_Bui
1
Closed Longs, Now Selling Rallies on EURUSD ReversalAs mentioned in my previous posts, I’m been bullish on EURUSD in the medium term, targeting 1.20 and even beyond. But no pair—especially not EURUSD, which tends to move more steadily and rationally—goes up in a straight line. ________________________________________ 🔹 Last week, the pair stalled just below 1.18, and I decided to close my long trade with a +150 pip gain. That proved to be a wise call, as price dropped hard shortly after. ________________________________________ 📉 What’s happening now? • EURUSD has broken below the rising trendline • More importantly, it’s broken below the neckline of a double top pattern • Now trading around 1.1535 This opens the door for a deeper correction, and I expect we could see a test of the 1.1150–1.1100 zone by the end of summer. ________________________________________ 📌 Trading Plan: • I’m now in sell-the-rally mode • Ideal short entry: around 1.1650, where we also get a favorable 1:3+ risk-reward • Watch also for interim support around 1.1400 ________________________________________ Conclusion: The bigger picture remains bullish— but this correction looks healthy and isn’t done yet. Selling rallies makes more sense now, until the structure tells us otherwise. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
6
EURUSD H4 | Bearish reversal off overlap resistanceThe Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the sell entry, which is an overlap resistance and could drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.1452, which is an overlap resistance. Stop loss is at 1.1536, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 1.1323, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
EURUSD – German GDP boosts EUR, but USD still holds the reins Germany’s recently released GDP data exceeded expectations, acting as a catalyst for EURUSD to rebound after a steep decline. However, this upward move remains fragile, as the USD continues to dominate the market—especially with several key U.S. economic reports set to be released later this week. On the chart, EURUSD has just bounced from the 1.15000 support zone, which has historically served as a strong floor. If the price holds above this level and breaks the downtrend line, the short-term target could move toward the 1.15700 resistance zone. Still, the path ahead won’t be easy. The market is closely watching upcoming U.S. data, such as the jobs report and the Core PCE index—the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. If these figures come in strong, the USD could regain strength and put pressure back on EURUSD.
Long
by Rocky_trade_