FX Market Preview: NFP week - EUR/USD in focusIn this FX market preview I go into recapping the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY price action last week and what I'm looking at for this week.
I also take a look at ETF's QQQE and Nvidia opportunities.
I continue to hold my EUR/USD short positions while keeping a strong eye on 1.0860 and then 1.0900. I feel these areas are important for the bears to hold the line if we're going to continue the slide down.
NFP in focus this week as well as Trump Tariffs.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
EURUSD
WHY EURUSD IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED FUNDAEMTALS AND TECHNICAL EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.0880, exhibiting a bullish trend after completing a retest within the 0.50 to 0.61 Fibonacci retracement levels. This technical formation suggests a potential upward movement toward the target price of 1.1000, indicating strong support and the possibility of continued appreciation.
Fundamentally, the euro has shown resilience despite recent dovish signals from the European Central Bank (ECB). ECB board member Piero Cipollone has advocated for further policy easing, citing declining inflation and economic shifts as justifications for additional interest rate cuts. Conversely, the U.S. dollar has experienced modest gains amid uncertainties surrounding potential tariffs and mixed economic data, contributing to its volatility. These dynamics create a nuanced environment where the euro's strength may persist in the short term
Technical analysis reinforces the bullish outlook for EUR/USD. The pair's rebound from the 0.50 to 0.61 Fibonacci retracement levels indicates robust support, with the recent completion of the retest phase suggesting readiness for further ascent. Key resistance levels to monitor include 1.0945, with a sustained break above this point potentially paving the way toward the 1.1000 target. Indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and moving averages also support the continuation of the upward trend
Traders should remain vigilant regarding upcoming economic releases and central bank communications, as these can significantly influence market sentiment and price action. Implementing sound risk management strategies, including appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to navigate potential volatility. By staying informed and adaptable, traders can effectively capitalize on the anticipated bullish movement in the EUR/USD pair.
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0828 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0792
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Eurusd signal On Monday, EUR/USD remains rangebound around 1.0800, as risk-averse sentiment keeps the US Dollar buoyant amid ongoing tariff concerns, while investors remain wary ahead of "liberation day"
- Support Zones: Initial support comes from the 200-day SMA at 1.0730. Below that, watch the 55-day SMA at 1.0561, the 100-day SMA at 1.0519, and the February 28 low at 1.0359. Further weakness could expose the weekly low of 1.0282 (February 10) and the 2025 bottom of 1.0176 (January 13).
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0765
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0732
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.0836
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EUR/USD BuyHello dear traders
I try to guide you in trading and creating trading positions and share my trading ideas with you so that if I make a profit, you can also make a profit with me.
These analyzes are done with great complexity and all technical parameters are taken into account as much as possible.
And finally, it is presented to you in a completely simple and practical way to use them.
Be sure to follow the capital management.
Do not risk more than 1% of the capital in any of the positions.
Keep in mind that you are responsible for all trades.
(Good luck)
Skeptic | EUR/USD at a Crossroads: Breakout or Reversal?Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic.
Today, we're diving deep into EUR/USD , analyzing key levels and potential triggers.
🔍Recap & Current Structure:
As mentioned in our previous analysis , after the previous uptrend, EUR/USD entered a consolidation phase. Our short trigger at 1.07124 played out well, reaching an R/R of 2—if you followed the idea, you saw the results!
Now, we’ve formed a new structure , which is more visible on the 1H timeframe. After breaking the descending trendline and pulling back , we've now created a higher high , indicating a potential move toward the top of the box at 1.09453 .
With DXY weakening, the expectation leans towards an uptrend continuation, but we remain flexible—if our short trigger activates, we'll take it as well because we approach the market with a two-sided, skeptical view rather than a fixed bias.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup):
Trigger: Break & close above 1.08454
Confirmation: 7 SMA below the candle during the breakout + RSI entering overbought
]Invalidation: Rejection + close back below 1.07666
📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup):
Trigger: Rejection at 1.08278 + drop below 1.07666
Confirmation: RSI entering oversold
⚠️ Key Notes:
Fundamentals: This Friday is NFP day—a crucial event for the markets.
Given the recent uptrend in EUR/USD, a pullback is likely, so stay prepared for both triggers.
Risk Management: Avoid overleveraging—wait for confirmed breaks before entering.
Stay sharp, and I’ll see you in the next analysis!
Last Week's Performance Review: 91% Hit Rate, +700 pip potentialWelcome back, traders. I hope you had a strong week in the markets.
If you don't want to watch the video I've included everything below. 👇
In this post, I’m doing a quick review of last week’s trade outlook—what worked, what didn’t, and how price respected the key levels we mapped out. If you're new here, I publish weekly market insights with clear liquidity zones and directional bias to help you go into each week with a plan. You can check out the free trial in my bio if you want access to the full weekly outlooks.
Now let’s talk about what I shared last week with premium subscribers.
🔹 Overall Performance
Out of the 11 setups I shared last week, 10 hit their targets, with some offering reactions of 75 to 200 pips. While some of those setups were on similar pairs, there was still about 400 clean pips of opportunity for those watching the levels I posted. These weren’t small moves—these were meaningful reactions from liquidity zones that we mapped out ahead of time.
I say it often, but it’s not about being perfect. It’s about being in tune with how price wants to move. That’s the goal of this outlook: helping you see the market through the lens of liquidity and structure so you can trust your strategy and stay grounded.
Key:
🟢 = Last weeks target hit
🔴 = Got it wrong
Pair-by-Pair Breakdown
🟢 EUR/USD
We were bearish going into the week, looking for a move up into a mitigation zone before targeting a drop to the green level. Price tapped the red zone Tuesday during New York open and dropped right into the weekly target—about 62 to 90 pips, depending on how you managed it. Clean reaction, solid follow-through.
🟢 GBP/USD
We were watching 1.2860 as the weekly target, with a possible pullback into imbalance before the move lower. Price did exactly that—climbed into the imbalance zone, rejected it cleanly, and dropped about 85–90 pips toward target. Even though it missed the target by 5 pips, the reaction gave us what we needed.
🟢 AUD/USD
Bearish bias, with an ideal scenario of price staying under 0.6360 and potentially filling an imbalance before continuing lower. Price rallied up into our zone and gave a short setup. There was about a 12 pip drawdown and 60+ pip follow-through into the weekly target, which hit during London open this week.
🟢 NZD/USD
Not the cleanest pair, but it did hit the zones we discussed. I expected a stronger move into a higher liquidity zone, but price gave multiple reactions from the first red zone. Ultimately, it made its way down to the weekly target—around 80 pips depending on how you managed it. Not the easiest read, but still delivered.
🔴 XAU/USD (Gold)
Gold was the one I got wrong. I had a bearish bias but warned to watch it closely. Price gave small reactions off the zones I highlighted but ended up continuing higher and completely invalidating the bearish thesis. I didn’t get an entry signal, but still—wrong side of the market here.
🟢 USD/JPY
I was bullish, expecting a pullback into the purple zone with a move toward 151.30. That’s exactly what happened. Price tapped the zone, respected it, and gave about a 150–160 pip reaction before stalling a few pips short of target. Really clean structure overall.
🟢 EUR/JPY
Same bias here—bullish. Price came down into our red zone and bounced hard, giving an 80–190 pip move depending on where you entered. It respected key levels and even hit a turbulence zone I marked in advance. We didn’t hit the weekly target, but the reaction was spot on.
🟢 CHF/JPY
One of the cleanest pairs last week. We were watching the purple zone for a buy setup, and price gave a textbook reaction. It respected the zone and climbed about 120 pips straight into our weekly target before reversing. Very in tune with liquidity—exactly what I like to see.
🟢 GBP/JPY
Same story—bullish structure with clean levels. Price tapped the first purple zone, bounced for 100 pips, and then gave another 230 pip reaction from the deeper zone. Total precision here. If you wanted a snipe, both entries were valid. These yen pairs were strong all week.
🟢 EUR/AUD
This one didn’t play out as cleanly. Price broke through the initial zone, invalidated the setup, and I considered it off the board after that. It eventually reversed and hit the weekly target, but timing was off. Still in the right direction, just not the right spot.
🟢 USD/CAD
I labeled this a wildcard and didn’t mark it as a clean setup. I said I’d look for bullish continuation if price broke a red zone—but it never did. Sell orders held strong, and the market reversed. No setup, no harm.
Final Tally
So here’s where we ended up:
7 zones held up, and weekly targets hit
3 zones broken, but weekly target hit
1 analysis completely wrong (gold)
This kind of accuracy isn’t about magic—it’s about understanding where the market wants to go and how liquidity drives those moves. That’s why I mark these zones—not to give you signals, but to help you see where price is likely to react and move.
If you found this helpful and want access to these weekly outlooks with full watch zones and trade plans, you can start a 7-day free trial—just hit the link in my bio. I’ll be dropping this week’s full breakdown later today around London close.
Thanks for reading, and I’ll see you in the charts.
EUR/USD Key Levels – Watch Out! The EUR/USD pair is approaching crucial selling zones, signaling potential bearish pressure ahead! 🔥
📉 Price Action Insights:
A strong supply zone is identified, aligning with our bearish outlook.
Choch (Change of Character) confirms a shift in structure—indicating a possible rejection from higher levels.
If price taps into our selling zones, we could see a strong drop to the downside!
🔎 Plan Ahead:
Will sellers dominate, or will bulls regain control? Stay sharp and trade smart! 💡
💬 Drop your thoughts below! Are you shorting or waiting for confirmations? 👇
Euro in trading range awaiting breakoutAs can be seen in the chart, the Euro is fluctuating within the trading range on the 15-minute timeframe. We wait for a breakout with a strong candle from either side and enter the trade in the direction of the breakout with a target equal to the width of the trading range and a stop loss behind the breakout candle.
BTCUSDTAccording to this analysis, if the price reaches around $70,000 in a corrective structure with a time-consuming and low momentum in the form of wave F, it may grow to around $120,000 and even higher in the form of wave G.
But it seems that the ideal buying point is around $60,000 and the origin of the breakout node. In this case, of course, we will have a strong wave F, which means that we must be a little flexible in the possible targets of wave G.
In terms of time, late June, July and early August are the ideal time areas for the end of wave F, and late 2025 and early 2026 are the time areas for the end of the two waves G.
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 31, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
15:00 EET. EUR - Consumer Price Index
EURUSD:
The EUR/USD pair is attracting some buyers after falling in the Asian session to the 1.08000 area and hopes to consolidate the rebound from the multi-week low reached last Thursday. However, this rise lacks bullish confidence, and spot prices are currently trading around 1.0835, unchanged for the day.
The US Dollar (USD) continues to face selling pressure for the third consecutive day, as investors assess the potential for stagflation in the US. This has exerted downward pressure on the EUR/USD exchange rate. Dollar bulls have not been impressed by signs of rising inflation, which could deter the Federal Reserve (Fed) from resuming its rate-cutting cycle in June. The US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index, released on Friday, showed that the core measure (which excludes volatile food and energy prices) rose by 0.4% in February, marking the largest monthly gain since January 2024 and pushing the annual rate to 2.8%.
Additionally, a survey conducted by the University of Michigan revealed that 12-month inflation expectations increased in March to the highest level in almost 2-1.5 years. This was despite a 0.4% rise in consumer spending in February, following a downwardly revised 0.3% decline in January. This comes amid uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump's trade policies, which should allow the Fed to adopt a 'wait-and-see' approach to further monetary easing. However, these forecasts are not expected to significantly bolster the US Dollar, nor do they exert downward pressure on the EUR/USD exchange rate.
Conversely, the shared currency appears to be benefiting from a reduction in concerns regarding a trade war between the EU and the US. The European Commission has announced that it has prepared concessions for the US to avoid Trump's so-called retaliatory tariffs, which he will announce on Wednesday. Nevertheless, the prevailing risk-off mood may provide some support to the safe-haven dollar and limit gains in EUR/USD. Traders are anticipating the release of preliminary German consumer inflation data, which is expected to provide a boost. The fundamental backdrop remains supportive of the pair's prospects for further growth.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.08500, SL 1.07650, TP 1.09550
EUR-USD Bullish Rebound Expected! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a retest of
The horizontal support
Of 1.0750 from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish rebound so we are
Locally bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading Idea💡 Daily Timeframe:
As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, EURUSD started corrective decline.
This decline may continue, but the support area of 1.0732 could trigger a rebound.
If this area is broken, the price will decline to the support area of 1.0600 to 1.0527.
This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity.
So, given the long-term uptrend, we can use this area as a long-term BUY ZONE.
💡 H4 Timeframe:
The Downtrend was a corrective wave and is broken now. It suggests we will soon see another leg higher.
💡 H1 Timeframe:
The price is in an UpTrend.
The bullish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is above the strong Support at 1.0732
1.0802 resistance is broken now. It will act as a support now!
Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Buy Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
EURUSD: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EURUSD: Bulls Take ControlEURUSD has broken out of the parallel descending channel that existed over the past few days, thanks to positive economic data in the market at the end of Thursday's trading session.
Currently, the currency pair is moving in a consolidation pattern around the new support level at 1.0789, and the potential for further upside is considered high due to support from the confluence zone between EMA 34 and EMA 89.
The next targets are expected to aim for resistance levels at 1.082 and 1.085.
Wishing you smooth and successful trading!
HelenP. I Euro drops to $1.0650 points, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After analyzing this chart, we can see that the price spent some time within a consolidation range. During this period, the price tested the lower support zone and made a strong reaction from this level, moving upwards. This move showed strong buying pressure as the price quickly reversed from the support zone, signaling that buyers were ready to push higher. The price then broke above the trend line, continuing to rise and establishing a bullish momentum. It reached the upper resistance zone before encountering resistance and starting to consolidate. This consolidation happened within a narrow range, confirming that the market was unsure about the next move but still held above the important support 1. Now, the price is trading near the trend line and is testing the support zone. A reaction from this support will be crucial for determining the next move. Given the current price action, I expect a potential continuation of the move towards my goal at 1.0650, where the price may encounter further support and the previous price action. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
#EURUSD: Two Opportunities In One Chart, What do you see? Price has shown bullish behaviour exhaustion, and it's at a point where we see a total meltdown in prices. This is an excellent scenario for traders who trade on what the chart shows us rather than selling or buying only. We can utilise both these entries when prices do show a strong indication at either of our levels.
If you like our work, then do like and comment on the idea, which will boost us to post more such ideas. ❤️🚀
EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish TargetChart Overview:
The provided EUR/USD daily chart displays a well-structured Rising Wedge pattern, which eventually led to a significant bearish breakdown. The analysis highlights key levels, including resistance, support, stop loss, and a downside target, all of which contribute to a well-planned trade setup. The market structure suggests a strong bearish continuation, targeting lower price levels based on technical projections.
1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation & Breakdown
A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price creates higher highs and higher lows, but the slope of the trendlines indicates weakening bullish momentum. This pattern is often a signal of upcoming bearish price action once a breakout occurs.
Pattern Breakdown Analysis:
The price moved inside the wedge, showing a gradual upward trend with declining momentum.
Upon reaching a key resistance level, price faced strong rejection (marked with a red circle).
The bearish breakdown below the wedge confirmed the pattern, leading to a sharp decline.
A retest of the broken wedge followed before continuing downward.
This confirms a classic bearish trend reversal, making it a strong technical setup.
2. Key Levels and Trade Setup:
🔹 Resistance Level (Major Supply Zone)
The resistance zone (highlighted in beige) acted as a strong supply area, where buyers lost control.
Price reached this resistance multiple times but failed to sustain above it.
A bearish reversal initiated from this level, marking the beginning of a downward trend.
🔹 Support Level (Key Demand Zone)
The support zone (also highlighted) represents a major demand area where price previously reversed.
This level aligns with historical price action, making it a critical area to monitor for potential reactions.
🔹 Stop Loss Placement
A stop loss is placed above the previous high within the resistance zone to protect against false breakouts.
If price invalidates the breakdown and moves above this level, the bearish setup would no longer be valid.
🔹 Price Target Projection
The breakdown suggests a potential drop towards 1.00874, as indicated by the 100% measured move.
This aligns with previous historical support, making it a realistic downside target.
3. Trade Execution Plan: How to Trade This Setup?
📌 Entry Strategy:
Traders can enter short after confirmation of the breakdown and a potential retest.
A sell position can be initiated around the resistance turned support after a pullback rejection.
📌 Stop Loss Strategy:
A stop loss should be set above the resistance zone (around 1.12208) to minimize risk.
This ensures protection against a bullish breakout invalidation.
📌 Take Profit Strategy:
The first take profit target is set at the support level near 1.04498.
The final take profit target is at 1.00874, which aligns with the full measured move projection.
4. Conclusion & Market Sentiment
🔸 Bearish Market Bias – The breakdown of the rising wedge confirms strong bearish momentum.
🔸 Key Resistance Held Strong – The price was unable to break above, confirming seller dominance.
🔸 Downside Target Aligns with Previous Support Levels – A confluence of technical signals supports further decline.
Final Thought:
This chart presents a high-probability bearish trade setup in EUR/USD. The combination of a rising wedge breakdown, clear resistance rejection, and a defined downside target makes it an ideal short-selling opportunity. Traders should watch for price action confirmations and risk management strategies before executing trades.
🚨 Risk Disclaimer: Always apply proper risk management and confirm signals before trading. Market conditions may change, so monitoring price behavior is crucial for trade adjustments.
Weekly Market Analysis - 29th March 2025 (DXY & EURUSD Only)Here is my DXY & EURUSD analysis for the upcoming week and month.
I share what I think will happen in terms of anticipating price using the concepts of liquidity and efficiency as mostly taught by ICT.
I hope you find it useful in your perspective of the market.
- R2F Trading
EURUSD - Key FVG Zones and Potential Market MovesThis EURUSD 4-hour chart highlights critical Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that could serve as key decision points for price action. The chart illustrates a confluence of factors:
1. Upper FVG Zone:
Located near the 0.618-0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, this area represents a potential supply zone. Price reaching this level could either result in a bearish rejection or continuation upwards, depending on momentum and market sentiment.
2. Lower FVG Zone:
A well-defined demand zone in the 1.07000-1.07500 range, serving as a key support area where buyers may step in if the price retraces.
3. Projected Scenarios:
- Bullish Scenario (Green Path): If the price holds above the lower FVG and gains momentum, a push toward the upper FVG with potential breakout above could ensue, aiming for levels around 1.09000 and higher.
- Bearish Scenario (Red Path): A rejection from the upper FVG could lead to a retest of the lower zone, and if broken, may lead to further downside below 1.07000.
This analysis underscores the importance of monitoring these zones and the price action dynamics around them. Traders should be prepared for both scenarios while aligning their strategies with broader market context and risk management principles.
EURUSD update 20.03After a successful swing long
that was taken
We've reached external liquidity
Now, I expect a correction to the green box; from it, we will go even higher—reaching liquidity from above.
The current correction will take some time to form. It may happen faster, but I have indicated the targets on the chart.
Best regards EXCAVO