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EURUSD

EURUSD: a calm week ahead?From economic data the US inflation was in the spotlight of the financial markets during the previous week. The US inflation in April reached 0,2% for the month, and 2,3% on a yearly basis, which was fully in line with market expectations. The Core inflation was standing at the level of 0,2% for the month and 2,8% for the year. The Producers Price Index in April was -0,5%, which was significantly below market estimate of 0,2%. Retail Sales in April were higher by 0,1% for the month modestly above the forecasted 0%. Building Permits preliminary for April were 1.412M, below market estimate of 1.450M, while Housing Starts in April were also below market estimate, with 1.362, while market was expecting to see the figure of 1.37M. The end of the week brought University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index preliminary for May, which was standing at the level of 50,8, modestly below forecasted 53,4. There has been a modest increase in 5 years inflation expectations to the level of 4,6%, from 4,4% previously posted. There has also been increased expectations for the inflation for this year, which reached the level of 7,3%, from 6,5% posted previously. This week there has not been too much significant macro data posted for the Euro Zone. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in May in Germany was standing at 25,2 which was surprisingly much higher from anticipated 12,5. The same indicator for the Euro Zone was at the level of 11,6 again above market expectations of -6. The previous week started in favor of the US Dollar against euro, due to decreased tariffs tensions between the US and China. Still, volatility continued for the rest of the week. The highest weekly level of the currency pair was 1,1263, while the pair is ending the week at the level of 1,1164. The RSI was relatively calmly moving around the level of 50, still closing the week at the level of 46. This is an indication that the investors are modestly eyeing the oversold market side in the coming period. The MA50 is still modestly diverging from MA200, without a clear indication that the change of course might happen in the coming period. Charts are indicating that the market was testing the 1,12 level during the previous week. This could be also treated as a level with historical significance, considering that the currency pair historically spent a lot of time around this level. Considering that the week ahead is not bringing much of the currently significant data, which markets closely watch, it could be expected that it is going to be one calm week. However, it should be taken into account news published on Saturday, that the rating agency Moody’s downgraded US credit rating by one notch. This news is still not reflected in the eurusd currency pair, which might indicate some higher volatility at the start of trading hours on Monday. This would be a one-off effect. As per current charts, if the level 1,12 withholds pressure to the downside, then the market could revert toward the 1,13 level. In the opposite case, charts are indicating the level of 1,1050. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Inflation rate final for April in the EuroZone, Producers Price Index in Germany in April, HCOB manufacturing PMI Flash for May for both Germany and the Euro Zone, Ifo Business Climate for Germany in May, GDP Growth rate for Germany final for Q1 USD: Existing Home Sales in April
by XBTFX
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bouce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1083 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 1.1098 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 1.1265 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD: Bearish Continuation After Breakout 🇪🇺🇺🇸 EURUSD broke and closed below a significant horizontal support this week. After a retest of a broken structure, the price formed a descending triangle pattern on a 4h time frame. Its neckline violation is a strong bearish confirmation signal. The price is going to continue falling next week. Next support - 1.11 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
Gold Just Grabbed Liquidity Below a Key LowGold reacted sharply at a major structural level last week, sweeping liquidity below the previous weekly swing low. That move was immediately followed by a strong bullish rejection candle with a deep lower wick — signaling aggressive buyer absorption. The price also respected a long-term ascending trendline, which has acted as dynamic support since early March. Two demand zones are clearly identified on the chart (based on HTF imbalances and previous accumulation ranges), and price tapped the upper zone near 3,160 before bouncing. The bullish structure remains intact unless price closes below 3,080 on the weekly. Until then, the trendline and recent liquidity grab favor further upside continuation. 📉 COT Data Insight Gold Non-Commercials: Net long remains strong (238k long vs 76k short) New long contracts: +746 | Shorts: +2,034 However, a large drop in spread positions (-12,424) signals a tactical unwind in hedge fund exposure USD Index (DXY) Non-Commercials: Net long positions down significantly (-5,712) Softening dollar bias adds tailwind for gold in the short term 🧠 COT Takeaway Speculative interest continues to favor Gold, while USD positioning weakens — supporting the idea of a technical bounce and potential bullish continuation. 🧮 Retail Sentiment (Contrarian View) Retail traders are currently 54% short on XAU/USD — classic contrarian signal suggesting the path of least resistance remains to the upside. 📆 Seasonal Outlook (May Performance) Historically, May tends to be a neutral-to-weak month for gold based on 10- to 15-year data. However, in the last 2 years, May has delivered clear bullish seasonality, which reinforces the case for upward momentum after pullbacks. ✅ Summary 🔸 Directional Bias: Moderately Bullish 🔸 Invalid if: Weekly close < 3,080 🎯 First Target: 3,280 – 3,320 🎯 Extended Target: 3,440 resistance zone 📌 Final Thoughts The technical reaction from demand, supportive COT structure, soft USD positioning, and contrarian sentiment all point toward potential continuation higher. As long as Gold holds above the 3,080 zone, the bulls remain in control.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EdgeTradingJourney
16
Euraud daily timeframe "Hello friends, focusing on EUR/AUD on the daily time frame, the price is currently in a bullish trend and appears to have completed its pullback to a critical level on the daily chart. In the 4-hour timeframe, there are indications of upward momentum. After observing the price behavior this week, I believe that higher prices are more likely. However, it is important to note that if the price closes below the 1.7100 level on the 4-hour chart, this analysis may prove incorrect." If you have any more details to add or need further assistance, please let me know!
Long
by somayehbasiri
EurAud..Daily Volume Imbalance fillGood day traders, I’m back with another great idea on EurAud and what I like about this setup, is that we can also learn from it. On our daily TF we have a clear volume imbalance since price opened on Monday with a gap and it failed to fill the gap last week meaning it might happen this week where price can fill the gap. On the chart I’m showing you the high/low of the volume imbalance but you can add the midpoint of that gap too if you wish to do so. Price tried filling that gap but we can see it failed to do so because price did not even get to the midpoint of the VI, after it touched the lower quarter of the VI, it pushed lower showing weakness in price. Jumping to the present TF 4H here we can see that we have a bullish flow in price but out structure remain bearish. Going into the new week we wanna see price continue in its original structure to Atleast our first presented FVg that has been noted on the chart. Currently price is inside an inverted FVG which again supports our narrative. We can expect price to fill the 1st.PFVG on Tuesday the latest before it can move higher and for the week we want to see price close above the volume imbalance.
Long
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla
1
EUR/USD Loading for Takeoff? We got OB + Liquidity Combo.📊 EUR/USD 30-Min Smart Money Breakdown — May 15, 2025 Price is setting up for a high-RRR bullish reversal from a premium Smart Money zone — combining a textbook Order Block, Fibonacci golden zone, and uncollected Buy-Side Liquidity above. Let’s zoom into this sniper play 🎯👇 🧠 1. The Setup Recent bullish rally broke structure to the upside Current retracement taps deep into: ✅ 50–61.8% Fibonacci zone ✅ A confirmed Bullish Order Block (OB) Price currently pulling back for liquidity before an expansion move 🔍 2. Entry Strategy Entry zone: Between 1.11762–1.11599 (purple OB + fib confluence) Stop loss: Below 1.11500 (just under 61.8%) Target: 🔹 TP1 → 1.12283 (Buy-side Liquidity) 🔹 TP2 → 1.12930 (Weak High = clean liquidity pool) ➡️ This gives a solid 1:3+ RRR if managed well with confirmation 📉 3. Smart Money Logic Price is engineered to draw down into OB, liquidate early longs Then Smart Money steps in, pushing price upward into inefficiencies + liquidity Sell-side gets cleared, buy-side becomes the magnet ⚠️ 4. Caution Points Wait for bullish confirmation on the 5m–15m inside the OB zone Avoid early longs — let the trap complete! Monitor USD news or macro catalysts that could spike volatility This is how Smart Money traps are laid out: grab liquidity → rebalance price → expand into inefficiency zones. If you're trading SMC without waiting for the OB reaction, you’re just gambling with smart money’s leftovers. 🍽️💸 💬 Drop a “📈” if you're watching this OB level! 📊 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily sniper setups and liquidity-based trades!
Long
by ChartNinjas88
"This ain’t your average pullback… it’s a trap in disguise!"Price is reacting perfectly within our mapped supply-demand zones. After a liquidity sweep, we're expecting a short-term bullish move into the minor supply before a potential strong bearish continuation toward the green demand zone. Key idea: Wait for rejection from the highlighted supply for optimal short entries. This setup aligns with smart money concepts – patience is key. Targets: First TP: 1.11350 Final TP: 1.11000 #EURUSD #SmartMoney #ForexAnalysis #OrderBlocks #SupplyDemand #LiquidityGrab #ForexSetup
Short
by Greenfireforex
EURUSD Set To Grow! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for EURUSD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1165 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.1185 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
Euro may break support level and fall to support line of channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. In this chart, we can see how the price after another rejection from the resistance boundary of the descending channel, the Euro began to show renewed bearish pressure. The price attempted to gain ground above the buyer zone, but the breakout lacked follow-through and quickly reversed. This false breakout scenario often acts as a trigger for a deeper drop, especially when it occurs near the mid-range of a well-defined channel. The market remains inside a structured downward channel, with lower highs and lower lows still intact. At this point, the price is approaching the upper section of the buyer zone again. If sellers regain control and push the market lower, a breakdown below 1.1135 could open the way for another leg to the downside. I expect EUR will continue declining toward the support line of the channel. That’s why my current TP 1 is set at 1.100, which aligns with the lower boundary of the structure and marks a potential short-term target for bearish continuation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
10
EURNZD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURNZD is currently trading around the 1.89 zone after successfully completing a retest of its prior breakout area. This level aligns perfectly with a key historical demand zone, where previous resistance has now flipped into strong support. The market structure remains bullish, and the recent higher-low formation combined with increased volume suggests the pair is gearing up for its next impulsive move to the upside. The price has respected the support zone with precision, signaling institutional interest and a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for long positions. From a fundamental perspective, the euro remains relatively supported against the New Zealand dollar due to diverging monetary policy expectations. The European Central Bank is maintaining a cautious but slightly hawkish tone amid sticky core inflation, while the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is under pressure to ease policy later this year due to softening economic indicators, including a slowdown in GDP growth and weaker labor market conditions. These macro drivers favor a bullish bias on EURNZD as capital flow leans toward safer, yield-protected assets in the eurozone. Technically, this setup has clean market geometry. The pair has broken through a multi-month consolidation structure and is now retesting the breakout with confluence from the main support zone at 1.88–1.89. With momentum building and volume increasing on the bounce, the setup is valid for a continuation toward the 1.99 level, especially if the pair reclaims the minor resistance at 1.9050. Breakout traders and position holders should monitor this area closely for confirmation. Overall, this is a textbook bullish continuation play. The market has absorbed sell pressure at a critical level, and the successful retest confirms the strength of the new support base. With both technical structure and macro fundamentals aligned, this setup offers high potential for trend continuation, and I'm anticipating a strong move toward 1.99 in the coming weeks.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
USD/CAD: The US Dollar in a Trap! Ready for a Rebound?Technical Overview: The monthly chart of USD/CAD shows a weakening phase of the US dollar against the Canadian dollar. Currently, the price is located at a key support zone around 1.3800. The RSI suggests a potential technical rebound, but the bearish structure remains intact until the resistance at 1.4000 is broken. Seasonality: According to seasonal trend data, the month of May historically shows a slightly positive trend for USD/CAD: 20 years: +0.0017 15 years: -0.0027 10 years: +0.0014 5 years: +0.0039 2 years: -0.0020 This trend highlights a historical short-term weakness (2 years), while over longer periods, the movement is marginally positive. COT Report: COT data shows an increase in long positions on the dollar (+2,158 contracts), while short positions also increased (+2,817 contracts). This suggests uncertainty among institutional traders, with a slight inclination towards short positions. Market Sentiment: Data indicates that 65% of retail traders are short on USD/CAD, while only 35% are long. This could signal a potential squeeze if the price breaks above resistance levels. Operational Conclusion: Considering the bearish pressure and technical structure, a prudent strategy could include: Long Entry: Above 1.4000 with confirmation on lower timeframes. Stop Loss: Below 1.3800 to minimize exposure to false breakouts. Primary Target: 1.4200, then 1.4400. Alternative Strategy: If the price rejects the 1.4000 resistance, consider shorting towards 1.3700.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
6
BTCUSD…relative equal lowsGood day traders, I’m back with another setup and this time we looking at the cryptocurrency (BTCUSD). This setup up is a short term trade, looking at the 1H TF we can clearly see the equal lows lows and one of lows that make up those relative lows is also our minutes TF’s low. For the day our narrative is that internal liquidity and we also can expect price to push past that external liquidity. The 2 ray lines make up the volume imbalance that’s once price rebalances we can expect lower price for the rest of the day or maybe even rest of the week.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla
"Boom. Called it before it happened. Now watch it fly!"Price did exactly what was anticipated — a clean drop into the demand zone, followed by a sharp reaction. This setup was all about patience and precision. As drawn on the chart, structure held, liquidity was grabbed, and now we’re eyeing that breakout to the upside. Zoom in and you’ll see the textbook pattern forming — correction, trap, then rally. This is how you forecast with confidence. Stay sharp, stay prepared — the next move is already in motion. #EURUSD #ForexTrading
Long
by Greenfireforex
14
EURUSD – Rebalancing Before Repricing HigherEURUSD is currently trading within a corrective phase after failing to sustain its bullish momentum from the earlier impulsive rally. The market structure on the 1-hour chart shows a clean breakdown from recent highs, with sellers starting to step in more aggressively. This pullback feels more like a calculated retracement than a complete trend reversal, and the market may be seeking out a deeper discount before any continuation higher. With multiple rejections forming at lower highs and downside pressure increasing, it looks like EURUSD wants to drive lower first before making a run for higher levels. Consolidation Structure We’ve been consolidating after the last upward push, forming a short-term range with price grinding sideways but gradually bleeding lower. What stands out is the clear cluster of equal lows forming, acting as obvious sell-side liquidity. Just below that area sits a 1-hour fair value gap that remains unmitigated, offering a strong magnet for price. The FVG sits just beneath the golden pocket zone, which adds more confluence for a potential reaction from that area. This range looks designed to draw in early buyers, only to flush them out before price finds real support. Bearish Scenario – Setup for a Deeper Retracement Right now, the structure leans bearish in the short term. The market looks like it wants to run the lows and wick into the 1-hour fair value gap sitting below the golden pocket. This area is an unmitigated imbalance that lines up perfectly with the idea of a final liquidity grab. I’m expecting price to reach down into that gap, around the 1.112 region, before any kind of reversal occurs. The goal of this move would be to clear out stops and rebalance the inefficiency from the previous rally, setting the stage for the next leg higher. Bullish Scenario – Reversal from Discount Once price trades into the 1.112 zone and sweeps the current lows, the setup for a bullish reversal becomes much cleaner. That area offers a combination of liquidity, inefficiency, and fib confluence, making it a high-probability level for buyers to step back in. If we get a solid rejection or displacement out of that level, the upside potential opens up quickly. The idea is that after this corrective move and stop hunt, the market reclaims momentum and starts driving toward the next key structure zone. Price Target and Expectations If price delivers the expected sweep and mitigation into 1.112, I’ll be looking for confirmation of bullish intent and signs of strength to enter long. The target sits much higher, all the way at the 0.28 fib level, which is around 1.20. That level offers a logical take-profit zone based on fib projection and structure alignment. The potential reward-to-risk on this move is excellent if the entry holds and the displacement confirms. This would essentially be a play on manipulation and continuation, classic liquidity run before expansion. Conclusion EURUSD is setting up nicely for a textbook sweep-and-reverse play. The market is currently moving lower, and I’m expecting that move to extend into the 1-hour FVG just below the golden pocket, targeting an entry near 1.112. From there, if price reacts cleanly, the next leg should aim for the 0.28 fib level at 1.20. All the ingredients are there: a clean imbalance, obvious liquidity to take, and a higher-timeframe fib target to anchor the move. Just need to wait for price to do its job and follow the plan. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
40
EURUSD - Shift In Momentum Confirmed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈After breaking below the structure marked in orange, EURUSD's momentum has been shifted from bullish to bearish. EURUSD is currently rejecting the upper bound of its falling channel marked in red. Moreover, it is retesting the orange structure. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
4
HelenP. I Euro may reach resistance level and break itHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Observing this chart, we can see how the price appears to be finding stability just above the trend line support. This zone also aligns closely with the local swing low formed after the rejection from the resistance area near 1.1270. Buyers managed to defend this key trend structure, forming a potential higher low setup within the broader bullish framework. The price is now trading below a significant resistance cluster, where both horizontal and supply pressure meet, the 1.1270 to 1.1315 zone. However, the fact that EUR is respecting the rising trend line and hasn't broken below the previous local low suggests that bullish momentum may still be intact. A corrective dip into the trend line could offer the final shakeout before a new leg upward begins. If price manages to build strength around this support and push back toward the resistance zone, a breakout becomes increasingly likely. In such a case, the market may extend toward the 1.1400 area, which I consider my current target. Given the sustained higher lows, trend support, and structure of accumulation forming below resistance, I expect EURUSD to continue pushing upward after this retest phase. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by FirstNameHelen
Gold - New ATH in the making?Overall Market Context This daily timeframe chart of Gold (XAU/USD) reflects a textbook example of a bullish retracement within a broader upward trend. The price has recently pulled back after printing a significant swing high, which is currently the all-time high (ATH). This retracement brings Gold into a high-probability reversal zone, aligning several technical elements that point toward potential bullish continuation. Retracement Into A Confluence Zone Price has retraced into a key technical area defined by the Fibonacci golden pocket (0.618–0.65) and a Fair Value Gap (FVG). The golden pocket is widely regarded as one of the most reactive retracement levels in Fibonacci analysis, where institutional participants often enter or scale into positions. The addition of an FVG overlapping this zone strengthens its importance. An FVG is typically created by an aggressive move that leaves behind inefficient price action or unmitigated imbalances, and in this case, it represents an area where demand previously overwhelmed supply. The combination of the golden pocket and FVG creates a strong demand zone, from which a bullish reaction is expected if the overall macro sentiment remains supportive. Bullish Reaction And Confirmation Price wicked slightly below the FVG, likely triggering liquidity stops resting beneath prior swing lows before showing signs of a strong bounce. This type of price action—known as a liquidity grab or "spring"—is often a precursor to significant reversals when it aligns with higher timeframe bullish order flow. The current bounce from this zone suggests that smart money may have accumulated long positions here. If price continues to hold above this zone, it confirms a successful defense of this key area and increases the probability of bullish continuation. The market is showing signs of shifting from a retracement phase back into an impulsive phase. Break Of Structure And Targeting Buy-Side Liquidity The next key area of interest is the buy-side liquidity resting above the most recent swing high, labeled as the "BSL" (Buy-Side Liquidity). If price breaches this level, it will confirm a break of market structure to the upside and signal a continuation of the overall bullish trend. Such a break would invalidate the idea of deeper retracement and instead align with an impulsive leg that could target the previous ATH—and potentially exceed it. This makes the current zone a critical pivot point in determining whether gold resumes its long-term bullish trajectory. New All-Time High Scenario Should the BSL be breached and momentum maintained, price is likely to head toward printing a new all-time high. From a psychological and technical standpoint, the break of an ATH often leads to price discovery, where resistance is minimal, and price action becomes more volatile and parabolic. Traders and institutions monitoring historical highs often front-run such moves or aggressively participate once confirmed, driving increased volume and volatility. This behavior can lead to rapid upside extension, especially when supported by macroeconomic narratives such as inflation hedging, geopolitical tensions, or declining real yields—all traditionally bullish catalysts for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Louigi_24
61