EURUSD INTRADAY ECB Rate decision in focus!Trend Overview: The EUR/USD currency pair remains in a bullish trend, supported by a prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action suggests a sideways consolidation (coiling price action) possibly triggering a corrective pullback towards a newly formed support zone, previously a resistance level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
1.1240 – Previous resistance turned support, key level for potential bounce.
1.1144 – Secondary support level if 1.1240 fails.
1.1000 and 1.0890 – Stronger support in case of extended retracement.
Resistance Levels:
1.1475 – Initial resistance level on the upside.
1.1595 – Next target if bullish momentum continues.
1.1700 and 1.1830 – Long-term resistance and key breakout point.
Market Sentiment & Price Action: The recent corrective pullback aligns with normal market fluctuations within an uptrend. A bullish bounce from the 1.1240 support level could trigger an upside move, targeting the 1.1475 resistance level and potentially extending towards 1.1595 and 1.1700 – 1.1830 over a longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.1240 support, accompanied by a daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. This could lead to further downside pressure, potentially testing the 1.1144 level, with an extended decline towards 1.1000 and 1.0890 if selling pressure intensifies.
Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair remains in a bullish structure as long as the 1.1240 support holds. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend, targeting higher resistance zones. However, a decisive break below 1.1240 and a daily close under this level could shift sentiment bearish, leading to further downside retracement.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD
EUR/USD) resistance level rejected) Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
updated chart provides a more refined bearish outlook for EUR/USD. Here's the idea behind this analysis:
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Market Structure Overview:
Resistance Level: ~1.14292
Mid Support Zone: ~1.13500
Major Support (Target Point): ~1.12658
Current Price: 1.13787
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Indicators:
EMA 200 (1.12174): Price is above the 200 EMA, indicating an overall bullish bias, but that may be weakening.
RSI (14): Around 54.37, slightly bullish but neutral—no strong momentum.
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Trading Idea:
1. Short-Term Bullish Move:
Price is expected to rise to test the resistance level around 1.14292.
2. Bearish Reversal at Resistance:
From there, a rejection is anticipated, leading to a drop back to the mid support (~1.13500).
3. Break Below Mid Support:
If the price fails to hold the mid support zone, a breakdown is likely to continue toward the target point at 1.12658, which aligns with the previous big support level.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Strategy Suggestion:
Sell Setup 1: At resistance (~1.14292), with confirmation like bearish candles or divergence on RSI.
Sell Setup 2: On breakdown and retest of the 1.13500 support zone.
Take Profit: Target at 1.12658.
Stop Loss: Above 1.14300 or above the most recent swing high.
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Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Be careful with EURUSD !!!The Euro will increase THREE cents and reach to the top of the wedge in the coming weeks.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
GBP/CAD at a crossroads: this key level could trigger the drop!My visual analysis highlights a strong multi-timeframe resistance zone (weekly and monthly) between 1.8662 and 1.8779, where price has reacted sharply multiple times. This area, marked in dark burgundy, signals a significant supply zone.
Currently, price is trading back in the 1.8350–1.8400 region. Based on my note on the chart ("Looking for a short opportunity on H1"), I’m anticipating a potential short entry from lower timeframes—likely triggered by a structural break or bearish candlestick confirmation.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If I get a short confirmation around the current area, I’ll be targeting the 1.7900–1.7677 demand zone (highlighted in deep blue), which has previously shown strong bullish reactions.
The RSI is also showing signs of potential divergence or overextension, adding weight to the bearish thesis.
🟢 Alternative Scenario:
If price decisively breaks above the 1.8780 monthly resistance, we could see an extended bullish move towards levels not currently visible on this chart.
📌 Operational Note:
I’ll be looking for entry confirmations on lower timeframes (like H1), with valid reversal patterns or price action triggers, and will manage the position dynamically depending on how price behaves around the 1.79 zone.
EUR/USD Maintains Bullish Structure 5th Wave Extension UnderwayThe overall trend of EUR/USD appears upward when observed from a higher time frame, indicating that the 4th wave has completed and the 5th wave is in formation. Within the main 5th wave, sub-waves are developing, and it seems we are currently in the sub-wave of the 5th sub-wave. Once this sub-wave completes, the main 5th wave is also expected to complete.
The invalidation level for this structure is at 1.10920 . If the upward move continues as expected, potential targets could be seen around 1.14683 and 1.15894
EURUSD Bulls Warming Up – Next Stop: 1.1650? EURUSD 4H Analysis
Technical Outlook — 16th April 2025
Current Market Condition:
EURUSD is currently trading near 1.1386 after breaking out of a descending structure and retesting it as support. Price is holding above dynamic support (ascending channel), showing continuation signs after recent bullish momentum. The market is in a short-term consolidation phase, coiling below a key resistance zone.
Key Technical Highlights:
Bullish structure breakout and successful retest of channel support.
Price is forming higher lows above key support around 1.1350-1.1300.
Stochastic (21/5/5) has turned upward from oversold, suggesting renewed bullish pressure.
Resistance zone ahead at 1.1450-1.1500 — a breakout above it opens clean skies.
Clean FVG/liquidity gap seen above 1.1500 towards 1.1650 and 1.1800 (targets shown with arrows).
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Bias (Primary Scenario):
If price holds above 1.1350 and breaks 1.1450 resistance, expect a bullish rally towards:
Target 1: 1.1650 (mid resistance)
Target 2: 1.1800 (major resistance)
Confluence: Strong uptrend structure, momentum shift on stochastic, and breakout continuation setup.
Bearish Bias (Less Likely for Now):
Break below 1.1350 and channel support may drag price down toward 1.1300 and 1.1200 supports.
Confirmation: Bearish candle close below channel + Stochastic rollover.
Important Note:
Multiple high-impact USD news events are clustered around this region. Expect volatility in the upcoming sessions. Monitor DXY and yields for correlation. Confirmation is essential before entering any breakout plays.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
EUR/USD at Key Decision Zone – Breakout or Smart Money Trap?🟢 Current Context
Price: 1.13820 USD
Trend: Strong bullish structure, with impulsive moves especially in April.
Main timeframe: Appears to be daily or weekly, with multi-timeframe zones (1W, 1M marked).
🧱 Key Zones
🔴 Supply Zone (1.13000–1.15000)
Well-defined area of historic selling pressure. Price reacted with a temporary drop but bounced right back into it.
🟦 Demand Zone (1.08500–1.10000)
Major order block where the current rally was initiated. Price used this as a base to launch higher.
⚫ Lower Supports
1.03600: Weekly support
1.02838: Monthly support
Broad accumulation zone (grey box) from which this trend began.
📈 Price Structure
Strong breakout above 1.10–1.11 resistance.
Currently pulling back inside the supply zone – the dashed arrows hint at potential liquidity sweeps before a continuation to 1.15+.
🔍 Momentum Indicator (likely RSI/CCI)
Currently elevated, but not yet in extreme overbought. No clear divergence. Momentum favors bulls.
📊 Scenarios
✅ Bullish:
Clean break above 1.14500–1.15000 opens the door to 1.1600 and 1.1800. Wait for a structural retest for safer long entries.
⚠️ Bearish (corrective):
Strong rejection from the supply zone → potential pullback to 1.10–1.0850 (blue zone).
Only below 1.0850 would a deeper bearish structure toward 1.03600 be confirmed.
🧠 Strategic Note
This is a zone of clear smart money activity: liquidity grabs on both ends.
Watch how this weekly candle closes – we’re either validating above 1.13 or setting up a trap for late longs.
EUR/USD: Head, Shoulders, and a Whole Lotta Drama Oh, EUR/USD, you’re out here living your best life, hitting 1.14 on April 10, 2025, while the USD throws a tariff tantrum (Trump, you’re a mess 🤦♂️). A head and shoulders pattern is trying to gatecrash, with a left shoulder already set and the head still puffing up its ego. But the right shoulder? Nowhere in sight—drama TBD! 🎭
RSI’s giving “maybe chill” vibes after being overbought. 🥱 Central bank moves and trade talk chaos might clip your wings, and inflation fears aren’t helping. Will this H&S finish its glow-up, or are you heading for the stars? Traders, what’s your take—bearish breakup or EUR party? Drop your thoughts! ☕ #EURUSD #ForexDrama #TradingView
EURUSD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.13590 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.13083.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price managed to register a new high at $3245, but after that, it was followed by a correction and created a change in market structure. I expect that if the price stabilizes below $3213, it will be accompanied by further decline.
The targets are respectively $3187, $3177, $3155, and $3138.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Euro may correct to support area and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price started its movement inside a tight upward channel, gradually rising from lower levels. After a steady climb, the Euro broke out of the channel with a strong impulse, entering a buyer zone between 1.0870 - 1.0910 points. This zone acted as a strong base, and from there, the pair accelerated upward, eventually reaching the upper boundary of a wide horizontal range. After multiple rejections near the range’s top, the pair finally made a breakout and exited above resistance, confirming the shift in momentum. The growth didn’t stop there - price continued its rally, reaching the current support area between 1.1320 - 1.1280 points, which now aligns with a strong horizontal level at 1.1280 points. This area was successfully retested and defended by buyers. Currently, the price is consolidating slightly above this support, forming a local correction after the recent impulse. As long as this structure holds and the support area remains intact, the bullish pressure is likely to resume. Given the breakout, the strong base from the buyer zone, and the bullish market structure, I expect the Euro to continue growing toward the 1.1550 level, which is marked as my current TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EUR/USD- Elliott Wave + Smart Money Concepts (SMC)SMC Insight
Supply Zone Marked: Between 1.1500 – 1.2000.
Price is heading toward the supply zone.
On the right visual, schematic shows:
Liquidity build-up below equal highs.
Possible liquidity grab just above the supply zone.
Expect reaction or reversal around that supply.
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Trade Bias
Short-term: Bullish (momentum and structure are up).
Long-term: Watch for reaction at the 1.1500–1.2000 zone. This could be a major sell zone if price shows rejection/mitigation signs
EURUSD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
The price of EURUSD will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for April 16, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
15:30 EET. USD - Retail Sales
20:30 EET. USD - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Speaks
EUR/USD is trading in positive territory around 1.1285 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US dollar (USD) is currently trading near a three-year low against the euro (EUR) as trade tensions persist.
On Monday, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said that the Trump administration's tariff policy was a major shock to the US economy that could force the central bank to cut rates to prevent a recession even if inflation remains high. At the same time, Atlanta FRB President Raphael Bostic said the Fed should hold rates until there is more clarity.
The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut interest rates by 25 bps on Thursday amid growing recession fears related to US tariffs.Analysts believe the ECB may cut all three key interest rates at its April meeting on Thursday. The ECB cut interest rates for the second consecutive time in March, bringing the deposit rate to 2.5 per cent. Further cuts would bring the rate down to 2.25%.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1260, SL 1.1360, TP 1.1080
Euro H1 | Falling to a multi-swing-low supportThe Euro (EUR/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.1270 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1148 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1.1426 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD Bullish Breakthrough📊 Technical Analysis
- Uptrending channel
The chart shows stable price movement inside the ascending channel, where the price is bouncing off the lower support line and aiming for the upper one.
- Key resistance
The main barrier is fixed around $1.135. A breakdown of this level promises further growth.
- Predictive scenario
A solid breakdown of the resistance confirms the bullish bias, which may lead to further upside.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
The publication of key macroeconomic indicators (inflation, labor market data, PMI) may push the price to confirm the technical scenario. Stability in the Eurozone with positive data will contribute to growth, and favorable for the US - on the contrary, strengthening the bearish momentum.
✨ Summary
The technical picture in the form of an ascending channel with the key resistance at $1.135 is combined with positive fundamental factors. A breakdown of the resistance is a signal for the continuation of growth. Watch the news and macro data to confirm the scenario!
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EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25
GM.
This play could well materialise sooner rather than later.
The weekly higher time frame order block previously provided an incredible sell off. We have arrived and simply looking to get involved in the short party.
15' order block identified.
But a tap In London short? NO. We will await for 1' break of structure alongside bearish candle stick formations.
FRGNT X
EURUSD TA: Fibonacci, Bull Flags, and Data-Driven Entry StrategyTechnical Analysis: EURUSD (Euro/US Dollar)
📈 The EURUSD pair is demonstrating strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour timeframe, with price action currently trading at 1.13638, well above the key 50% Fibonacci retracement level drawn from the previous range low to high.
🔍 The chart reveals a series of bull flags forming during the recent uptrend, suggesting continued buying pressure despite the pair trading at premium levels. This pattern typically indicates brief consolidation before further upside movement.
💹 From a Fibonacci perspective, the current price position above the 50% retracement level indicates strength in the Euro against the Dollar. However, this elevated position also creates potential for a healthy pullback to retest support before continuing higher.
⏱️ Today's upcoming US Retail Sales data release represents a significant market catalyst. Interestingly, this high-impact event could trigger a pullback regardless of the outcome:
If actual figures come in below forecast: Dollar weakness could prompt profit-taking after the recent rally
If actual figures exceed forecast: Dollar strength could naturally push EURUSD lower
🎯 Trade Idea: Monitor for a potential retracement toward the 50% Fibonacci level, followed by a bullish break of market structure on the 30-minute timeframe. This would provide a higher-probability entry point for long positions with a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
🔄 The presence of multiple bull flags suggests that any pullback may be temporary, potentially offering an excellent opportunity to enter with the prevailing trend at a better price point.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is provided solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
SILVER at a CROSSROADS: Bounce or CRASH to $28?🔹 General Context
Silver has shown a strong bullish reaction from the lows around $28, later reaching a key monthly supply area between $34 and $35. However, this zone has once again been firmly rejected, leaving room for a potential deep retracement.
🟥 Key Zones
🔴 Monthly Supply Zone (34.00 - 35.00 USD): Strong resistance already tested multiple times. Candlesticks show strong rejections and long upper wicks.
🟥 Weekly Supply Zone (33.00 - 34.00 USD): Breaker block or mitigation area that triggered a strong bearish move.
⬛ Current Weekly Support Zone (32.00 - 31.90 USD): Price is currently testing this area. A new impulse could arise here — or we may witness a breakdown.
🟦 Monthly Demand Zone (28.20 - 29.20 USD): The last area defended by buyers in the mid-term. A realistic target in case of breakdown.
📊 Price Structure
The short- to medium-term trend remains bearish, with lower highs and strong rejection candles.
Current price action shows indecision, with lower wicks on recent weekly candles but smaller bullish bodies — a sign of potential accumulation... or just a pullback?
📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI is in the neutral-high zone, not yet overbought, but in a downward phase → more room for downside if buyers don’t step in soon.
No clear divergences visible, but watch for signals on the daily timeframe.
🧭 Possible Scenarios
✅ BULLISH Scenario:
Condition: Support holds between 32.50 and 31.90 USD with a clear reversal candle.
Target: Move back toward the supply zone at 33.80 – 34.90 USD.
Confirmation: Break above 33.00 USD with increasing volume.
❌ BEARISH Scenario:
Condition: Weekly close below 31.90 USD → sign of weakness.
Target: Zone between 29.20 – 28.20 USD, a potential new institutional buy area.
Confirmation: Strong bearish break with follow-through and lack of buying reaction.
🧠 Operational Conclusion
Silver is at a critical decision point: bearish pressure from the monthly zones is evident, but as long as the 31.90/32.00 zone holds, buyers may still defend. A clean breakdown would open the door for a drop below $30.
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1369
1st Support: 1.1147
1st Resistance: 1.1471
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