EUR_USD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level around 1.1260 which is now
A resistance then made a
Retest and is going down now
So we are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD
EUR/USD Loading for Takeoff? We got OB + Liquidity Combo.📊 EUR/USD 30-Min Smart Money Breakdown — May 15, 2025
Price is setting up for a high-RRR bullish reversal from a premium Smart Money zone — combining a textbook Order Block, Fibonacci golden zone, and uncollected Buy-Side Liquidity above.
Let’s zoom into this sniper play 🎯👇
🧠 1. The Setup
Recent bullish rally broke structure to the upside
Current retracement taps deep into:
✅ 50–61.8% Fibonacci zone
✅ A confirmed Bullish Order Block (OB)
Price currently pulling back for liquidity before an expansion move
🔍 2. Entry Strategy
Entry zone: Between 1.11762–1.11599 (purple OB + fib confluence)
Stop loss: Below 1.11500 (just under 61.8%)
Target:
🔹 TP1 → 1.12283 (Buy-side Liquidity)
🔹 TP2 → 1.12930 (Weak High = clean liquidity pool)
➡️ This gives a solid 1:3+ RRR if managed well with confirmation
📉 3. Smart Money Logic
Price is engineered to draw down into OB, liquidate early longs
Then Smart Money steps in, pushing price upward into inefficiencies + liquidity
Sell-side gets cleared, buy-side becomes the magnet
⚠️ 4. Caution Points
Wait for bullish confirmation on the 5m–15m inside the OB zone
Avoid early longs — let the trap complete!
Monitor USD news or macro catalysts that could spike volatility
This is how Smart Money traps are laid out: grab liquidity → rebalance price → expand into inefficiency zones.
If you're trading SMC without waiting for the OB reaction, you’re just gambling with smart money’s leftovers. 🍽️💸
💬 Drop a “📈” if you're watching this OB level!
📊 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily sniper setups and liquidity-based trades!
"This ain’t your average pullback… it’s a trap in disguise!"Price is reacting perfectly within our mapped supply-demand zones. After a liquidity sweep, we're expecting a short-term bullish move into the minor supply before a potential strong bearish continuation toward the green demand zone.
Key idea: Wait for rejection from the highlighted supply for optimal short entries.
This setup aligns with smart money concepts – patience is key.
Targets:
First TP: 1.11350
Final TP: 1.11000
#EURUSD #SmartMoney #ForexAnalysis #OrderBlocks #SupplyDemand #LiquidityGrab #ForexSetup
EURUSD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1165
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1185
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Euro may break support level and fall to support line of channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. In this chart, we can see how the price after another rejection from the resistance boundary of the descending channel, the Euro began to show renewed bearish pressure. The price attempted to gain ground above the buyer zone, but the breakout lacked follow-through and quickly reversed. This false breakout scenario often acts as a trigger for a deeper drop, especially when it occurs near the mid-range of a well-defined channel. The market remains inside a structured downward channel, with lower highs and lower lows still intact. At this point, the price is approaching the upper section of the buyer zone again. If sellers regain control and push the market lower, a breakdown below 1.1135 could open the way for another leg to the downside. I expect EUR will continue declining toward the support line of the channel. That’s why my current TP 1 is set at 1.100, which aligns with the lower boundary of the structure and marks a potential short-term target for bearish continuation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURNZD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURNZD is currently trading around the 1.89 zone after successfully completing a retest of its prior breakout area. This level aligns perfectly with a key historical demand zone, where previous resistance has now flipped into strong support. The market structure remains bullish, and the recent higher-low formation combined with increased volume suggests the pair is gearing up for its next impulsive move to the upside. The price has respected the support zone with precision, signaling institutional interest and a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for long positions.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro remains relatively supported against the New Zealand dollar due to diverging monetary policy expectations. The European Central Bank is maintaining a cautious but slightly hawkish tone amid sticky core inflation, while the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is under pressure to ease policy later this year due to softening economic indicators, including a slowdown in GDP growth and weaker labor market conditions. These macro drivers favor a bullish bias on EURNZD as capital flow leans toward safer, yield-protected assets in the eurozone.
Technically, this setup has clean market geometry. The pair has broken through a multi-month consolidation structure and is now retesting the breakout with confluence from the main support zone at 1.88–1.89. With momentum building and volume increasing on the bounce, the setup is valid for a continuation toward the 1.99 level, especially if the pair reclaims the minor resistance at 1.9050. Breakout traders and position holders should monitor this area closely for confirmation.
Overall, this is a textbook bullish continuation play. The market has absorbed sell pressure at a critical level, and the successful retest confirms the strength of the new support base. With both technical structure and macro fundamentals aligned, this setup offers high potential for trend continuation, and I'm anticipating a strong move toward 1.99 in the coming weeks.
USD/CAD: The US Dollar in a Trap! Ready for a Rebound?Technical Overview:
The monthly chart of USD/CAD shows a weakening phase of the US dollar against the Canadian dollar. Currently, the price is located at a key support zone around 1.3800. The RSI suggests a potential technical rebound, but the bearish structure remains intact until the resistance at 1.4000 is broken.
Seasonality:
According to seasonal trend data, the month of May historically shows a slightly positive trend for USD/CAD:
20 years: +0.0017
15 years: -0.0027
10 years: +0.0014
5 years: +0.0039
2 years: -0.0020
This trend highlights a historical short-term weakness (2 years), while over longer periods, the movement is marginally positive.
COT Report:
COT data shows an increase in long positions on the dollar (+2,158 contracts), while short positions also increased (+2,817 contracts). This suggests uncertainty among institutional traders, with a slight inclination towards short positions.
Market Sentiment:
Data indicates that 65% of retail traders are short on USD/CAD, while only 35% are long. This could signal a potential squeeze if the price breaks above resistance levels.
Operational Conclusion:
Considering the bearish pressure and technical structure, a prudent strategy could include:
Long Entry: Above 1.4000 with confirmation on lower timeframes.
Stop Loss: Below 1.3800 to minimize exposure to false breakouts.
Primary Target: 1.4200, then 1.4400.
Alternative Strategy: If the price rejects the 1.4000 resistance, consider shorting towards 1.3700.
BTCUSD…relative equal lowsGood day traders, I’m back with another setup and this time we looking at the cryptocurrency (BTCUSD). This setup up is a short term trade, looking at the 1H TF we can clearly see the equal lows lows and one of lows that make up those relative lows is also our minutes TF’s low.
For the day our narrative is that internal liquidity and we also can expect price to push past that external liquidity. The 2 ray lines make up the volume imbalance that’s once price rebalances we can expect lower price for the rest of the day or maybe even rest of the week.
"Boom. Called it before it happened. Now watch it fly!"Price did exactly what was anticipated — a clean drop into the demand zone, followed by a sharp reaction. This setup was all about patience and precision. As drawn on the chart, structure held, liquidity was grabbed, and now we’re eyeing that breakout to the upside.
Zoom in and you’ll see the textbook pattern forming — correction, trap, then rally.
This is how you forecast with confidence.
Stay sharp, stay prepared — the next move is already in motion.
#EURUSD #ForexTrading
EURUSD – Rebalancing Before Repricing HigherEURUSD is currently trading within a corrective phase after failing to sustain its bullish momentum from the earlier impulsive rally. The market structure on the 1-hour chart shows a clean breakdown from recent highs, with sellers starting to step in more aggressively. This pullback feels more like a calculated retracement than a complete trend reversal, and the market may be seeking out a deeper discount before any continuation higher. With multiple rejections forming at lower highs and downside pressure increasing, it looks like EURUSD wants to drive lower first before making a run for higher levels.
Consolidation Structure
We’ve been consolidating after the last upward push, forming a short-term range with price grinding sideways but gradually bleeding lower. What stands out is the clear cluster of equal lows forming, acting as obvious sell-side liquidity. Just below that area sits a 1-hour fair value gap that remains unmitigated, offering a strong magnet for price. The FVG sits just beneath the golden pocket zone, which adds more confluence for a potential reaction from that area. This range looks designed to draw in early buyers, only to flush them out before price finds real support.
Bearish Scenario – Setup for a Deeper Retracement
Right now, the structure leans bearish in the short term. The market looks like it wants to run the lows and wick into the 1-hour fair value gap sitting below the golden pocket. This area is an unmitigated imbalance that lines up perfectly with the idea of a final liquidity grab. I’m expecting price to reach down into that gap, around the 1.112 region, before any kind of reversal occurs. The goal of this move would be to clear out stops and rebalance the inefficiency from the previous rally, setting the stage for the next leg higher.
Bullish Scenario – Reversal from Discount
Once price trades into the 1.112 zone and sweeps the current lows, the setup for a bullish reversal becomes much cleaner. That area offers a combination of liquidity, inefficiency, and fib confluence, making it a high-probability level for buyers to step back in. If we get a solid rejection or displacement out of that level, the upside potential opens up quickly. The idea is that after this corrective move and stop hunt, the market reclaims momentum and starts driving toward the next key structure zone.
Price Target and Expectations
If price delivers the expected sweep and mitigation into 1.112, I’ll be looking for confirmation of bullish intent and signs of strength to enter long. The target sits much higher, all the way at the 0.28 fib level, which is around 1.20. That level offers a logical take-profit zone based on fib projection and structure alignment. The potential reward-to-risk on this move is excellent if the entry holds and the displacement confirms. This would essentially be a play on manipulation and continuation, classic liquidity run before expansion.
Conclusion
EURUSD is setting up nicely for a textbook sweep-and-reverse play. The market is currently moving lower, and I’m expecting that move to extend into the 1-hour FVG just below the golden pocket, targeting an entry near 1.112. From there, if price reacts cleanly, the next leg should aim for the 0.28 fib level at 1.20. All the ingredients are there: a clean imbalance, obvious liquidity to take, and a higher-timeframe fib target to anchor the move. Just need to wait for price to do its job and follow the plan.
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EURUSD - Shift In Momentum Confirmed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After breaking below the structure marked in orange, EURUSD's momentum has been shifted from bullish to bearish.
EURUSD is currently rejecting the upper bound of its falling channel marked in red.
Moreover, it is retesting the orange structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.11983 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.11888.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
HelenP. I Euro may reach resistance level and break itHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Observing this chart, we can see how the price appears to be finding stability just above the trend line support. This zone also aligns closely with the local swing low formed after the rejection from the resistance area near 1.1270. Buyers managed to defend this key trend structure, forming a potential higher low setup within the broader bullish framework. The price is now trading below a significant resistance cluster, where both horizontal and supply pressure meet, the 1.1270 to 1.1315 zone. However, the fact that EUR is respecting the rising trend line and hasn't broken below the previous local low suggests that bullish momentum may still be intact. A corrective dip into the trend line could offer the final shakeout before a new leg upward begins. If price manages to build strength around this support and push back toward the resistance zone, a breakout becomes increasingly likely. In such a case, the market may extend toward the 1.1400 area, which I consider my current target. Given the sustained higher lows, trend support, and structure of accumulation forming below resistance, I expect EURUSD to continue pushing upward after this retest phase. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURUSD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
EURUSD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy EURUSD
Entry Level - 1.1202
Sl - 1.1128
Tp - 1.1344
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold - New ATH in the making?Overall Market Context
This daily timeframe chart of Gold (XAU/USD) reflects a textbook example of a bullish retracement within a broader upward trend. The price has recently pulled back after printing a significant swing high, which is currently the all-time high (ATH). This retracement brings Gold into a high-probability reversal zone, aligning several technical elements that point toward potential bullish continuation.
Retracement Into A Confluence Zone
Price has retraced into a key technical area defined by the Fibonacci golden pocket (0.618–0.65) and a Fair Value Gap (FVG). The golden pocket is widely regarded as one of the most reactive retracement levels in Fibonacci analysis, where institutional participants often enter or scale into positions. The addition of an FVG overlapping this zone strengthens its importance. An FVG is typically created by an aggressive move that leaves behind inefficient price action or unmitigated imbalances, and in this case, it represents an area where demand previously overwhelmed supply.
The combination of the golden pocket and FVG creates a strong demand zone, from which a bullish reaction is expected if the overall macro sentiment remains supportive.
Bullish Reaction And Confirmation
Price wicked slightly below the FVG, likely triggering liquidity stops resting beneath prior swing lows before showing signs of a strong bounce. This type of price action—known as a liquidity grab or "spring"—is often a precursor to significant reversals when it aligns with higher timeframe bullish order flow.
The current bounce from this zone suggests that smart money may have accumulated long positions here. If price continues to hold above this zone, it confirms a successful defense of this key area and increases the probability of bullish continuation. The market is showing signs of shifting from a retracement phase back into an impulsive phase.
Break Of Structure And Targeting Buy-Side Liquidity
The next key area of interest is the buy-side liquidity resting above the most recent swing high, labeled as the "BSL" (Buy-Side Liquidity). If price breaches this level, it will confirm a break of market structure to the upside and signal a continuation of the overall bullish trend.
Such a break would invalidate the idea of deeper retracement and instead align with an impulsive leg that could target the previous ATH—and potentially exceed it. This makes the current zone a critical pivot point in determining whether gold resumes its long-term bullish trajectory.
New All-Time High Scenario
Should the BSL be breached and momentum maintained, price is likely to head toward printing a new all-time high. From a psychological and technical standpoint, the break of an ATH often leads to price discovery, where resistance is minimal, and price action becomes more volatile and parabolic.
Traders and institutions monitoring historical highs often front-run such moves or aggressively participate once confirmed, driving increased volume and volatility. This behavior can lead to rapid upside extension, especially when supported by macroeconomic narratives such as inflation hedging, geopolitical tensions, or declining real yields—all traditionally bullish catalysts for gold.
EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?
🧠 Market Context:
After a technical rebound earlier this week, EUR/USD is now consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle. Despite buyers attempting a breakout, low volume and price action still below the 200 EMA indicate weak bullish momentum.
The DXY is recovering on expectations the Fed will hold rates higher for longer.
Meanwhile, the Euro lacks fundamental support as the ECB remains cautious with policy moves.
👉 Given the current technical setup, the higher probability scenario (70%) is a bearish breakout, continuing the dominant downtrend.
📊 Trade Scenarios for Today:
✅ High Probability – SITUATION 1 (70%):
Price breaks below the triangle’s base near 1.1185–1.1190 and continues lower toward the 1.1110 demand zone.
⛔ SELL ZONE: 1.1210 – 1.1220 (after minor retest of broken trendline)
🎯 TP: 1.1180 → 1.1150 → 1.1120 → 1.1100
🛑 SL: 1.1245 (above EMA200)
🚨 Lower Probability – SITUATION 2 (30%):
Price breaks out and closes firmly above the triangle and 200 EMA (~1.124x) → short-term bullish reversal.
🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1250 – 1.1260 (only after confirmed breakout with volume)
🎯 TP: 1.1290 → 1.1325 → 1.1350
🛑 SL: 1.1215
🔍 Key Technical Levels & EMA:
Resistance (200 EMA on H1): ~1.1247
Major Support Zones: 1.1180 – 1.1150 – 1.1110
🎯 Execution Strategy:
Favor short setups unless a clear bullish breakout occurs above 1.1247 with strong volume.
Watch for a breakdown and retest below 1.1180 to confirm bearish continuation.
Avoid premature entries — let price come to your levels.
⚠️ News to Watch:
No major data today, but USD is still sensitive to Fed tone and macro headlines.
Keep an eye on Fed speakers later in the NY session for potential impact on dollar direction.
✅ Final Thoughts:
The triangle pattern is coiling tight, but overall momentum favors sellers.
Expect liquidity sweeps and volatility traps, especially around session transitions.
Stick to your plan, respect your levels, and let the market decide the breakout direction.
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EUR/USD entered a corrective phase after its recent bullish rally and a test of the resistance zone.
Despite the short-term pullback, the mid-term trend remains bullish.
We expect the price to complete its correction near the identified support zone, and then resume its upward movement toward the specified target level.
This pullback may provide a buying opportunity in line with the broader trend.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EUR/USD - Triangle Formation (16.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.1321
2nd Resistance – 1.1376
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Euro H4 | Overlap resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.1263 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1395 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.1081 which is an overlap support that aligns close the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1265
1st Support: 1.1071
1st Resistance: 1.1367
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EURUSD: Growth Is Coming! Buy!Driven by the lower-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data, the EUR/USD exchange rate oscillated higher and broke through the 1.1200 threshold. During the North American trading session, EUR/USD rose 0.25% and traded near 1.1200, indicating that short-term bullish momentum is gradually strengthening.
The EUR/USD has successfully broken through the psychological resistance level of 1.1200, forming a strong upward breakout pattern. The MACD indicator shows a golden cross formation, with the histogram turning from negative to positive, signaling a shift in momentum to bullish. In the short term, EUR/USD is expected to continue its upward momentum, with the primary target being the previous high of 1.1230. If this level is effectively breached, it could challenge the 1.1250–1.1275 area.
For support levels, 1.1180 serves as a key short-term support, followed by the 1.1150 zone.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.