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EURUSD

EUR/USD racing towards new highs? The market sends clear signalsThe EUR/USD pair is confirming a very strong bullish structure. On the weekly chart, the price is positioned above a key supply zone between 1.1350 and 1.1450, after strongly breaking through previous resistances. The current consolidation at the top of the range suggests a potential continuation to the upside, with a first target at 1.1500 and an extended target at 1.1600. Retail market sentiment shows a clear majority of short positions on EUR/USD. This supports a contrarian bullish view, as historically, retail tends to be positioned against the prevailing trend. COT report data further strengthens this outlook. The US Dollar Index (USD Index) shows an increase in short positions among institutional traders, indicating a possible phase of dollar weakness. Conversely, the Euro FX shows a significant increase in long positions from both non-commercial and commercial traders, highlighting institutional interest in buying the euro. From a seasonal perspective, May tends to be neutral or slightly negative for the euro, while June historically favors moderate dollar strength. This suggests that EUR/USD could still have room to rise over the coming weeks, but it will be important to monitor for signs of bullish exhaustion towards the end of May. In summary, the current context favors further upside on EUR/USD as long as the price remains above the 1.1300 support. However, it will be crucial to watch for the first signs of weakness as we approach June.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
EUR/USD – Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown SetupHello guys! Let's dive into the chart of eurusd! If the bottom line of the triangle is broken with strong bearish momentum, it would confirm the breakdown. After the breakdown, the best approach is to wait for a pullback toward the broken support (now acting as resistance) and enter a short position on bearish rejection signals. The target zone for the drop lies around 1.1200–1.1230, as highlighted in the blue support area on the chart. ____________________ Plan: Breakdown Confirmation: Wait for a clear break below the bottom line. Entry: Short on pullbacks toward the triangle's bottom after the breakdown. Target: 1.1200–1.1230 support zone. Invalidation: Breaking back above the top line of the triangle would invalidate the setup.
Short
by melikatrader94
10
DeGRAM | EURUSD Under the Upper Limit of the Range📊 Technical Analysis EURUSD formed a bearish takeover and returned under the trend line. Trading below $1.1405 leaves the potential to reach $1.12. 💡 Fundamental Analysis Germany cut its 2025 growth outlook to near-zero as tariff uncertainty bites. ✨ Summary Weak eurozone data and Trump's tariffs imposition provide a technical basis for a fall towards $1.12. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
Skeptic | EUR/USD 4H Range Breakout: Key Long & Short TriggersEUR/USD on the 4-hour timeframe is currently trapped in a consolidation box, where a breakout above the ceiling or below the floor could provide excellent trading opportunities. I’m Skeptic , and in this analysis, we’ll dive into EUR/USD across multiple timeframes to identify key long and short triggers. Stick with me until the end for a complete breakdown! 🚀 Daily Timeframe: Uptrend Context 🟢 On the daily chart, EUR/USD remains within an uptrend channel , maintaining a bullish major trend. Recently, after hitting the channel’s upper resistance, the pair corrected toward the midline, a critical support zone within the channel. However, the reaction at the midline lacked strong bullish momentum, leading to a 4-hour range consolidation . This could signal the end of the correction, potentially setting the stage for a continuation of the downmove toward the lower channel boundary. 4-Hour Timeframe: Range Dynamics 🔍 On the 4H chart, EUR/USD is oscillating between 1.13904 (resistance) and 1.13153 (support) . A key observation: after the initial bounce from the 1.13153 support to 1.13904, subsequent tests of this support failed to push back to 1.13904. This indicates waning buyer strength at the 1.13153 support, increasing the likelihood of a breakout below. Additionally, while bullish candles in this range are larger, we’re seeing smaller, frequent green candles, suggesting buyer exhaustion within the box. For traders eyeing a short setup , this weakening support at 1.13153 offers a compelling opportunity. You can take on slightly higher risk by placing a sell-stop order below 1.13153 instead of waiting for a confirmed breakout candle (this is my personal approach). A short trigger would be validated by a break below 1.13153, with RSI entering oversold as a strong confirmation. Short targets: 1.12692, with a potential extension to 1.12006. For a long setup , a breakout above 1.13904 could signal a resumption of bullish momentum, targeting the upper channel boundary on the daily chart. Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering long to avoid false signals. DXY Correlation: Additional Confirmation 📈 Let’s also consider the US Dollar Index (DXY). After a recent rally, DXY has entered a time-based correction, visible as a pullback to a descending yellow trendline. A break below DXY’s support at 99.195 would reinforce our EUR/USD long setup, while a breakout above the trendline and 99.876 would strengthen our EUR/USD short setup. Both scenarios offer sharp price movements with attractive risk-to-reward (R/R) ratios, making these triggers highly actionable. Final Thoughts 🙌 Thanks for joining me in this detailed EUR/USD analysis! I’m Skeptic, and I share daily forex and crypto insights. If you found this useful, please follow for more content! 🔥
by SkepticWise
1
EUR/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! Bearish trend on EUR/USD, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 1.103. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??GBPUSD is looking extremely bullish on the daily timeframe, showing strong signs of continuation after a healthy pullback. Currently trading around 1.33000, the pair has respected key Fibonacci levels and is now building momentum to target 1.37000. The structure remains intact with higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong buyer control and potential for further upside movement. From a fundamental perspective, the British pound continues to outperform as the Bank of England maintains a relatively hawkish tone amid sticky inflation pressures, while the US dollar shows signs of weakening with softer economic data and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year. This divergence between the monetary policies is creating a favorable environment for GBPUSD buyers to dominate. Technical analysis also supports the bullish bias as price action remains well above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, holding strong support near 1.31650. If price maintains above this zone and breaks past minor resistance near 1.33500, it could ignite a fresh bullish rally toward the psychological level of 1.37000, offering excellent risk-reward opportunities for trend-following traders. Overall, GBPUSD is positioned perfectly for a strong bullish wave. Traders should stay focused on potential breakout confirmations and capitalize on the momentum, as current market conditions and fundamentals are aligned with a profitable bullish move. This setup remains one of the most attractive trending opportunities on the board right now.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
EURUSD below its 4H MA50 signals more selling.The EURUSD pair broke last Wednesday below its 4H MA50 for the first time since the start of April and is now consolidating under it. Within its 3-month Channel Up, this has always been a signal of more downtrend to come as it was technically halfway through the Bearish Legs of the pattern. Given that the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) is the medium-term Support, our Target is at 1.12500, just above the Internal Higher Lows trend-line. Check also the 4H RSI sequences between these 3 Bearish Legs. It is exactly ranging between the levels it did half-way through those Legs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EurUsd- Pay attention to 1.1310Recap: As discussed in last week's update, EURUSD bulls started losing momentum, and a correction became likely. Current situation: • The move from 1.1400 to 1.1577 appears to have been a blow-off top. • Price is now stuck in the middle of the range, showing signs of weakness. Key level to watch: • 1.1310 is critical support. • A confirmed break below could open the path toward the 1.1100 area. Trading plan: ➡️ I am closely monitoring the 1.1310 zone for a potential breakdown and continuation lower. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
2
The Hidden Power of the Silver Bullet Strategy - Full GuideIntroduction The Silver Bullet Strategy is a high-probability intraday trading technique popularized within the Smart Money Concepts community. It focuses on taking precision trades during specific times of the day when liquidity is most active. Mastering this strategy can help traders consistently capture high-quality setups with minimal risk. In this guide, we will cover: - What the Silver Bullet Strategy is - Key Times to Watch - Entry Models - Target Setting - Risk Management - Real Chart Examples --- What is the Silver Bullet Strategy? The Silver Bullet Strategy is based on trading within a "window" of high-probability price action, typically during key liquidity times. It looks to capture moves after liquidity sweeps, order block mitigations, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) plays. Key Principles: - Focuses on high-probability windows (New York session especially) - Waits for a liquidity grab and displacement - Entries are often on FVGs, OBs, or MSS points --- Silver Bullet Timing Windows Timing is crucial to this strategy. The "Silver Bullet" typically occurs in these windows (New York time): - First Window: 10:00 AM - 11:00 AM (New York) - Second Window: 2:00 PM - 3:00 PM (New York) These times capture major moves post-liquidity sweeps or reversals after news/market manipulation. --- Silver Bullet Entry Model The classic sequence for a Silver Bullet setup: 1. Identify Liquidity Sweep: Look for price to grab liquidity above a swing high or below a swing low. 2. Look for Displacement: A strong move away from the sweep, creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or Breaker Block. 3. Entry in FVG or OB: Enter on a retracement into the FVG or Order Block after displacement. 4. Confirmation: Use lower timeframe MSS or BOS to confirm the reversal. Liquidity sweep and FVG at the 5m: MSS + Displacement candle at the 1m: So all 4 steps completed! Example Entry Checklist: - Liquidity sweep - Strong displacement creating an FVG - Price retraces into FVG or OB - MSS/BOS confirmation - Execute trade with tight stop-loss --- Where to Set Targets Targets should be logical based on market structure: - First Target: Recent internal liquidity (equal highs/lows) - Second Target: External liquidity zones (major swing highs/lows) - Optional: Use 1R/2R/3R scaling based on risk-to-reward goals --- Risk Management for Silver Bullet Trades Golden Rules: - Risk less than 1% per Silver Bullet setup - Set stop-loss beyond the liquidity sweep (not too tight, not too loose) or above FVG candle - Stick to one or two trades per window maximum - Avoid revenge trading outside the windows --- Common Mistakes to Avoid - Trading outside the specified time windows - Entering without a confirmed sweep and displacement - Overleveraging because the strategy "looks easy" - Ignoring higher timeframe bias (HTF context is still critical!) Pro Tip: Combine Silver Bullet entries with SMT Divergences, MSS, and IFVGs for maximum confluence. --- Final Thoughts The Silver Bullet Strategy is one of the cleanest ways to approach intraday trading. By mastering liquidity concepts, timing, and precision entries, traders can catch powerful moves with strong risk-to-reward setups. Be patient, wait for your window, and always trade with discipline. Happy Sniping!
Education
by Louigi_24
44
BTC - FVG + Golden Pocket Confluence = Short SetupA strategic high-timeframe imbalance meeting Fibonacci retracement, setting up a potential bearish reaction. --- 1. FVG + Golden Pocket — High-Value Supply Zone The red shaded area defines a significant confluence: - Fair Value Gap (FVG): Left behind by an aggressive drop, representing inefficiency where price is likely to react. - Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65): High-probability Fibonacci retracement level, often acting as a magnet for liquidity before continuation. This zone is primed to act as strong supply if price retraces into it. --- 2. 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci Retracement — Prime Rejection Zone This Fib pocket offers: - A technical level where aggressive buyers previously failed to hold ground. - A common area where institutional players offload positions, triggering sell-offs. A reaction inside this range aligns with broader bearish continuation expectations. --- 3. FVG Rebalance — Liquidity Collection As price fills the inefficiency: - It completes the rebalancing process, removing the incentive for further upward movement. - Typically, liquidity grabs inside the FVG precede a sharp move back toward lower liquidity zones. This supports the short bias post-rebalancing. --- 4. Expected Price Behavior — Liquidity Trap Mechanics The projected move mirrors classical smart money behavior: - Step 1: Induce late buyers into the FVG + Golden Pocket area. - Step 2: Trigger a quick rejection after liquidity collection. - Step 3: Resume downward pressure as imbalance is resolved. The entire flow is designed to punish inefficient entries and reward patience. --- 5. Market Context Alignment - FVG and Golden Pocket together strengthen the case for a precise, controlled rejection. - Emphasis on liquidity-driven movements keeps the focus sharp on execution and timing. --- 6. Summary: - FVG + Golden Pocket = Strong Supply Confluence - High-Probability Short Setup Based on Rebalancing and Liquidity Collection - Structured, Smart Money-Driven Price Behavior Expected Tactically clean setup following liquidity engineering and imbalance theories.
Short
by Louigi_24
24
EURUSD: NFP and Jobs data are comingThe previous week was the relatively calmer one, when it comes to economic news. The S&P Global Composite PMI Flash for April reached the level of 51,2 slightly above market expectation of 51. At the same time, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash for April was standing at 50,7, above market consensus of 49,1. The US new home sales were higher by 7,4% in March on a monthly basis, and was significantly above forecast of 0,2%. At the same time, existing home sales dropped by -5,9% in March for the month, which was higher from expected -3%.The Durable goods orders in March were higher by 9,2% for the month, again significantly higher from expected 2%. The week-end brought the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for April figures, at the level of 52,2, which was a bit higher from expected 50,8. Consumer inflation expectations show strong uptrend, at the final April level of 6,5%, higher from previously expected 5%. At the same time, there has been an increase in five-year inflation expectations at the level of 4,4%, again higher from the previous post of 4,1%. The HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash for April in Germany was standing at 48, modestly above market consensus of 47,6. The same indicator for the Euro Zone was at the level of 48,7 and in line with market expectations. The Balance of Trade in the Euro Zone reached euro 24B in April which was highly above the forecasted euro 15,1B. The Ifo Business Climate in April in Germany reached the level of 86,9, and was surprisingly higher from expected 85,5. At the start of the week, markets were testing the long term resistance line at 1,1460. The highest weekly level reached on Monday was 1,1540. Soon, the market reverted back, so for the rest of the week, 1,1315 was the minimum level. The currency pair ended the week at 1,1364. The RSI modestly moved from the overbought market side, toward the level of 62, not showing the clear sign that it is ready for a clear reversal. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, after the lines made the so-called golden cross a week ago. Volatility will continue also in a week ahead. Some of the currently most important data for the US economy will be posted - Jobs data for March will be released on Tuesday, and the Non-farm payrolls and Unemployment rate in April, on Friday. This is promising another challenging end of the week for trading. As per current charts, the markets will continue to test the 1,1460 resistance level, which is a historically significant level. Accounting for trades from the previous week, the sentiment of the market holds the upside. Still, depending on the data which will be released, the market could turn toward the down-side in the week ahead, which would lead the eurusd toward the 1,12 support line. In case of a negative news, there is also some probability for the 1,15 to be tested again. At this moment, the 1,1460 resistance should be closely watched in terms of a technical analysis, because in case of its clear breach toward the upside, it will open a clear road for eurusd toward the 1,22 in the future period, as the next significant resistance level. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: GfK Consumer Confidence in Germany for May, Retail Sales in Germany in March, Unemployment rate in Germany in March, GDP Growth rate flash for Q1 in Germany and in the EuroZone, Inflation rate in Germany and in the Euro Zone in April, USD: Jobs data for March on Tuesday, April 29th, GDP Growth rate for Q1 preliminary data, PCE Price Index for March, Personal Income and Personal Spending in March will be posted on Wednesday, April 30th, ISM Manufacturing PMI in April, Non-farm Payrolls in April and Unemployment rate in April will be posted on Friday, May 2nd.
by XBTFX
S&P500: Rebound or Bull Trap?Over the past week, the S&P500 weekly chart showed a key technical signal: the formation of a bullish engulfing. This pattern emerged after several weeks of strong monthly bearish pressure, suggesting a potential reversal attempt or, at the very least, a technical rebound. Analyzing the key levels, the price reacted inside a major demand area (visible on the monthly timeframe), positioned between 5,450 and 5,500 points. The reaction from this zone reinforces the validity of the engulfing and suggests the market could now aim for the first resistance targets around 5,600 - 5,650. Further upside targets are located at 5,837 and 6,023, previously marked as high-confluence zones. From an institutional positioning perspective, the latest COT Report (April 22, 2025) reveals interesting developments: Commercials (big players) increased their long contracts by +22,226 units, showing strong interest in upside protection. Non-Commercials (speculators) also increased their longs (+8,754), but added even more to their shorts (+20,667). The Net Positioning for Non-Commercials remains negative but has stabilized at less extreme levels compared to March, suggesting a possible phase of accumulation or preparation for a sentiment shift. 📊 The Net Positions chart shows a reduction in net short pressure — a warning sign for those still heavily short. Summary: The weekly engulfing is a technical signal not to underestimate. We are trading within a strong monthly demand zone. COT data suggests a decrease in bearish pressure, although not yet a full sentiment reversal. However, caution is necessary: a firm break below 5,450 would invalidate the bullish signal and reopen the path toward corrections at 5,200 and 5,000. Current Strategy: Slight bullish bias above 5,500. Short-term target: 5,600 → 5,650. Next targets: 5,837 and 6,023. Invalidation level: weekly close below 5,450. Watching the price action around key resistance levels will be crucial: the market will decide whether this rebound consolidates or becomes just a trap for new buyers.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Falling towards pullback support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is fallling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.1192 1st Support: 1.1051 1st Resistance: 1.1512 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
EURUSD: The range is compressing in the sideway zone. Waiting foThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart stays below 50 and EUR/USD failed to make a 4-hour close above the 20-period and 50-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA), reflecting a lack of buyer interest. On the downside, 1.1300 (static level) aligns as interim support before 1.1270-1.1260 (Fibonacci 238.2% retracement of the latest uptrend, 100-period SMA) and 1.1180 (Fibonacci 50% retracement). EUR/USD could face strong resistance at 1.1380, where the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level converge with the 20-period and 50-period SMAs. In case EUR/USD manages to stabilize above this resistance, 1.1450 (static level) and 1.1500 (static level, round level) could be seen as next hurdles.
Short
by xauusd_rr
GBPJPY NEXT WEEK BULLISH OR BEARISH ??GBPJPY is setting up for a major breakout on the weekly timeframe. After weeks of consolidation under a clear descending trendline, price action is now approaching a decisive point where a bullish breakout could trigger a strong rally. With the current price holding firm at 191.00 and clear resistance overhead, a successful breakout could open the doors for a powerful bullish wave targeting 205.000 and beyond. Fundamentally, the yen remains weak due to continued Bank of Japan dovishness and ongoing yield curve control policies. Meanwhile, the British pound is finding strength as the Bank of England maintains a relatively hawkish stance with the possibility of delaying rate cuts compared to other major central banks. This fundamental divergence between GBP and JPY heavily favors bullish momentum for GBPJPY. Technically, the pair has formed a solid base of support and is squeezing toward the apex of a descending triangle. If the breakout confirms with strong bullish volume, GBPJPY could enter a fresh bullish cycle, offering a great risk-reward setup for medium to long-term traders aiming for the 205.000 area. Overall, GBPJPY remains one of the hottest pairs on watch right now with excellent bullish potential. Traders should watch for a clean breakout above the trendline with strong candlestick confirmation to ride the wave higher. Staying patient and disciplined around this breakout zone could deliver highly profitable results.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
3
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? EURUSD has pulled back after reaching the top of the ascending channel and encountering a resistance zone. We expect the correction to continue at least toward the identified support level. After completing the correction, a new bullish wave is expected to begin, potentially pushing the price toward higher levels. Will EURUSD resume its uptrend after the pullback? Share your thoughts below! Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
7
NATGAS Elliott Waves – Preparing for a Multi-Year Rally!Following our last post on Natural Gas, we have now seen a breakout, suggesting the start of a larger bullish wave — a move that could last multiple years. From a technical perspective: - Wave 1 (5-wave impulse) is complete. - Wave 2 (ABC correction) is also complete. - We are now in Wave 3, which itself will form 5 subwaves. Wave 3: Subwave 1 of Wave 3 has formed as a leading diagonal. We are now in Subwave 2, which typically retraces around 61.8% of Subwave 1. Our buy zone is positioned around this retracement area, and we will be looking for a lower timeframe breakout to confirm entries. Important note: Subwave 2 could form a more complex ABC correction, so patience is required while it develops. Trade Plan: - Wait for price to reach the buy zone. - Look for lower timeframe bullish confirmation (trendline break, BOS, structure shift, etc.). - Enter after confirmation. Stoploss Placement: - Aggressive option: Below the corrective low. - Conservative option: Below the broader invalidation level. Targets: 8, 10, 12 See below for our last NatGas analysis:
SKILLING:NATGAS
by WicktatorFX
2