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EURUSD

Euro Weakens as ECB Signals Rate ReductionsThe euro dropped to $1.02, marking its lowest level in three weeks, as the U.S. dollar strengthened following President Donald Trump's decision to implement tariffs of 25% on Canadian and Mexican imports and 10% on Chinese goods starting Tuesday. Trump has also warned of potential tariffs on the European Union, prompting the region to vow a strong response. These factors added to the pressure on the euro, which was already weakened by the European Central Bank's dovish stance. Last week, the ECB cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected and signaled the possibility of further reductions later this year. Currently, market traders are factoring in the likelihood of three additional ECB rate cuts by the end of 2025. From a technical perspective, the first resistance level is at 1.0300, with further resistanc
by ChartMage
EUR/USD Weekly: Double Top Signals Further Downside Potential The EUR/USD weekly chart shows a clear double top formation, with the neckline already broken, indicating a potential bearish continuation. Scenario 1: The price could retest the broken neckline, which now acts as resistance, before resuming its downward move. This scenario aligns with the prevailing bearish trend, targeting the key support zone at 0.99810. Scenario 2: If the price manages to break above the resistance after retesting the neckline, it may enter a consolidation phase within the larger descending channel. However, the overall trend remains bearish unless the price breaks out of the channel. The ultimate target for this downtrend lies in the 0.99810 region, where significant support could trigger a reaction. Traders should monitor the neckline retest and price behavior near resistance for further confirmation.
Short
by melikatrader94
10
EURUSD H4 | Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 1.0191, which is a swing low support. Our take profit is set at 1.0345, near a strong pullback resistance level. The stop loss is placed at 1.0061, below the 127.2% Fibo extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
EURUSD 3 Feb 2025 W6 - Intraday Analysis - Taste of Trade WAR!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 3 Feb 2025 W6 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment " Strike the bound, and the free will take heed " Market Volatility and Geopolitical Strategy: Assessing the Implications of a Trump Presidency Recent market movements underscore a critical narrative: A second Trump administration carries significant potential to reignite the trade policy volatility that defined his first term. Historical precedent offers a clear lens—within weeks of taking office in 2017, President Trump implemented tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, upending decades of trade consensus. Investors initially dismissed these measures as negotiation tactics, but markets are now pricing in a more structural shift. As of this week’s open, risk-on sentiment reflects renewed acceptance of Trump’s uncompromising stance, particularly following his social media assertion that “the pain from tariffs will be worth the price.” A Businessman’s Approach to Geopolitics Trump’s career as a dealmaker suggests a presidency anchored in transactional realism. His administration’s “America First” doctrine—evident in the rapid escalation of the U.S.-China trade war—demonstrates a willingness to weaponize economic policy to recalibrate global alliances. This strategy aligns with a proverb often cited in Egyptian diplomacy: “Strike the bound, and the free will take heed.” By aggressively targeting key partners (the “bound”), the U.S. signals resolve to broader adversaries (the “free”), including Europe and emerging economies. Strategic Outlook for Investors With 205 weeks remaining in a hypothetical term, market participants should prepare for sustained turbulence. The 2018-2019 trade war eroded nearly $1.7 trillion in global equity value; a second iteration could prove more disruptive given today’s fragmented supply chains and inflationary pressures. In conclusion, while Trump’s policies may inject short-term uncertainty, they also recalibrate the playbook for global engagement. Investors who disentangle rhetoric from actionable strategy will be best positioned to navigate this paradigm. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹At Swing Extreme 🔹Swing Pullback 2️⃣ 🔹With Risk-On sentiment, market opened with a gap down reaching the extreme Swing Low. 🔹The expected move is done with the market open. More development is required on LTFs. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is to continue bearish as long the Risk-On sentiment is still active and no soft tone from Trump in regards to Tariffs. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Pullback 2️⃣ 🔹Swing turned bearish signaling the 4H/Daily bearish continuation. 🔹After a BOS we expect a Pullback, but currently the Risk-On sentiment is the main theme (Technical will follow sentiment) so not currently expecting a valuable pullback phase for the bearish BOS. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is set for price to continue bearish and fulfill the Daily Bearish continuation.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD - Sell Setup After Key Support BreakOANDA:EURUSD has decisively broken below a key trendline, signaling an increase in bearish momentum. This breakdown suggests that sellers are gaining control, with the potential for further downside continuation. In the near term, price may revisit the breakout level for a retest, where the previous support could now act as resistance. A failure to reclaim this level would reinforce bearish sentiment, increasing the likelihood of renewed selling pressure. If sellers maintain dominance, the price may head toward the 1.03120 level. For confirmation of continued downside movement, traders should look for bearish technical signals, such as a rejection wick, a bearish engulfing candlestick, or increased selling volume. Conversely, a sustained move back above the resistance level could invalidate the bearish setup and shift the bias toward a potential bullish recovery. This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation before jumping in. Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments. Best of luck , TrendDiva
Short
by TrendDiva
1
Forex Market AnalysisUSD with a failed 2D week to go 2-2 rev to the upside and take out pivot highs. This occurs at the same time as the EURO looking weak with the most interesting of the 3 charts. EURO with the potential 2-1-2D week after clearing Motherbar highs two weeks ago and now giving us the actionable signal back through to motherbar lows. Price was stuck in the motherbar range for 8 weeks before taking out highs. Now looking to make a sharp move back through that motherbar range to the lows. YEN with the successful 2-2 rev week that has given us a clear BF if we were to drop to the daily TF. YEN with TFC supporting more upside, and being closer to 2-2 continuation rather than 2-2 rev. Not as interesting as USD and EURO at the moment, but definitely will be noted as I am mainly watching anything EUR/X for downside, and USD/X for upside. Side note: GBP and AUD both bearish weekly's but not as interesting as other currencies right now. Main pairs to watch this week : Bull: USD/JPY- (Daily PMG to the upside could be a huge early week mover) USD/CAD - Daily hammer 2-2 for BF expansion Bear: EUR/USD (2-2 Week, Gorgeous weekly BF) GBP/USD - Weekly 2-2 to the downside. Larger ATR than most others AUD/HKD - shooter 2-2 Daily, Inside week. Check the Daily BF (Wow) Neutral: AUD/CAD - 3-1 Daily and inside week
PEPPERSTONE:EURX
by Alanger17
EURUSD 2/2/25Heading into this week, EUR/USD is the first pair we are looking at. We have a new filter applied with our Orion Entry Level V2, as well as the Orion System running in the background. The bias has been shown as bearish, so we are looking for the following. Note the two pre-established highs above, along with a high that is yet to be recognized, as we have not joined the new trading week to confirm that candle closure. That gives us three highs to target and ultimately a heavy cluster of lows marked as the lowest target, along with a high-volume low just below the current price. We're looking for an expansive move down, but overall, we would love to see a pullback into the highs beforehand, remembering that the higher timeframe is giving us our bearish bias. So because of this, we will look to follow it. Remembering that we only take trades if the entries are given, and until we hit the points we want to trade from, we do nothing more than let the market run its course. Trade to your risk, follow your rules, and always let Orion guide you.
by PipSurfingSociety
EURUSD (1H) - Bearish Reversal with Double TopOANDA:EURUSD 📶 Technical Analysis: 🟠 From January 13th to January 29th, the market was in a strong bullish trend, with prices steadily moving higher. The trend was supported by consistent higher highs and higher lows. 🟢 Between January 24th and January 28th, a Double Top pattern formed. This is a classic bearish reversal formation that occurs when the price fails to break above a key resistance level, marking two distinct peaks (tops) at roughly the same price level. The failure to surpass the previous high indicates that the buyers are losing momentum and that the market could be turning bearish. 🟢 On January 29th, the trend line was decisively broken, confirming the shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. This breakdown is a crucial event, as it suggests that the upward price movement is no longer sustainable, and the market is now in the process of establishing a downward trend. 🟢 Following the break of the trend line, the price started to form lower highs and lower lows, indicating that sellers have gained control of the market. This pattern is typical in a bearish trend, as it shows diminishing buying pressure and an increasing presence of sellers. 🟢 The bearish crossover of the moving averages further solidifies the reversal. Short-term moving averages crossing below longer-term moving averages indicate that the bearish momentum is accelerating. This is often interpreted as a signal to sell or go short, as the market is now in a confirmed downtrend. 🟡 Key support levels along the new trend line will be crucial to monitor. If the price breaks through any of these support levels, the bearish trend is likely to accelerate, leading to further downside potential. 🆕 Fundamental Analysis: 🟢 The US Dollar (USD) continues to strengthen, as the US Dollar Index (DXY) reached a weekly high of 108.35, driven by strong demand for the Greenback as a safe haven. 🟡 President Donald Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on BRICS nations and 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada if they challenge the US Dollar's dominance or attempt to create an alternative currency. This statement could further increase market volatility and impact global trade relations. 🟡 The Fed held interest rates steady on Wednesday and indicated that it will remain in a wait-and-see mode until there’s substantial progress on inflation or weakness in the labor market. This signals a cautious approach in monetary policy. 🟢 The Euro (EUR) continues to weaken amid expectations of easing monetary policy from the European Central Bank (ECB). German CPI data shows inflationary pressures are easing, boosting hopes that the ECB may lower rates in the future. 🔤 Summary: 🟢 The EUR/USD pair remains under pressure due to a combination of factors, including weaker German inflation data and strong US Dollar performance. The pair is expected to maintain a bearish trend, with the focus on potential short positions around the newly formed trend line or key levels of resistance. 🟢 Watch for the trend line or significant resistance zones, as they may offer entry points for short positions if the pair continues to respect the downward trend. 🔴 If the price breaks above the trend line or key resistance, the current bearish analysis will no longer hold. In this case, it would be prudent to wait for further indicators and clear price action formations before taking new positions.
Short
by boykopetevboev
EURUSD 3-7 Feb 2025 W6 - Weekly Analysis - Tariffs Impact & NFP This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 3-7 Feb 2025 W6 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment On February 1, 2025, President Donald Trump announced the imposition of tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, effective immediately. The tariffs include a 25% levy on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tariff on Chinese imports. These measures are intended to address issues such as illegal immigration, drug trafficking, and trade imbalances. The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring the situation to assess the potential economic impact of the new tariffs. The primary concerns include: Inflation: The tariffs are expected to raise the cost of imported goods, which could contribute to higher inflation rates. This development may influence the Fed's monetary policy decisions, potentially leading to adjustments in interest rates to manage inflationary pressures. Economic Growth: The increased costs for businesses and consumers may dampen economic growth. The Fed will need to balance the risks of slowing growth with the potential for rising inflation when considering future policy actions. In summary, the imposition of tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China has introduced significant uncertainty into the markets. Investors are concerned about the potential for increased costs and supply chain disruptions, while the Federal Reserve is evaluating the implications for inflation and overall economic growth. Weekly Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Internal Bearish 🔹In Swing Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS) 3️⃣ 🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase. 🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicates that the liquidity was enough as per previous week analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS. 🔹Price currently looking to target the liquidity built up during September 2024 and maybe reaching the Weekly supply zone (In INT structure Premium). 🔹Price had tapped into the Weekly Demand formed from the Bullish CHoCH last week. Is this demand enough to initiate the INT Pullback or with the current market sentiment and USD expectation to strength in the short-term we will continue Bearish following the Bearish Swing and INT Structures to target the Weak INT Low and Weak Swing Low? 🔹Expectations for price react from the current Weekly demand and then target the Weak INT Low to target the Weak Swing Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and currently mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone. 🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low. 🔹Currently price tapping into a Daily/Weekly Demand Zones which could provide some bounce / or reversal for price to continue up (Depends on market Sentiment and if tariffs will trigger Risk-Off and USD Strength or it’s already priced in from last week strength in USD). 🔹Expectation is set to Bearish and more LTF development required to have a clear view. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Reached Swing EQ 🔹Swing Pullback 2️⃣ 🔹Price managed to create a Bearish iBOS indicating that the Swing Pullback started. 🔹After the iBOS, we expect a Pullback. 3️⃣ 🔹Price currently tapping into the Daily/Weekly demand which could provide a short-term pullback (waiting for at least a Bullish CHoCH to confirm). 🔹Expectation is set to have a reaction from the Daily / 4H Demand zone to facilitate the pullback (Aligns with the Daily/Weekly expectations) then we will continue bearish to facilitate the Daily / Weekly expectations of bearish move. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
Weekly FOREX Forecast Feb 3 - 7th.This is an outlook for the week of Feb 3 - 7th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD CAD, USDCAD CHF, USDCHF JPY, USDJPY The USD Index is reacting to the Monthly and Weekly Supply Zone. The week before last was an aggressive bearish candle, followed by last week retracement. Although the week ended with a bullish close, it inside Supply. We could see price resume the bearish reaction to the HTF Supply this week. This could mean the majors may see bullish weeks against the USD. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
EURUSD On The Rise! BUY! My dear friends, EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.0356 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 1.0386 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
7