EURUSD
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EUR/USD pair has successfully broken its downward trendline and completed a pullback to the broken level. It is now expected to continue its upward movement, potentially reaching the specified resistance level.
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area of 1.05862.Dear Colleagues, after the last upward movement it became clear that the wave “5” of the senior order is already completed and it means that we should expect the continuation of the correction “abc”.
At the moment I expect a corrective movement in wave “b” to the 50% Fibonacci area (1.03180), then an upward movement to the resistance area of 1.05862.
It is possible that the price will continue the upward movement, renewing the wave “a”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Eurusd analysis move down read the caption This chart represents an analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe. Below is a detailed breakdown of the key elements in the analysis:
1. CHoCH (Change of Character):
Multiple "CHoCH" labels are marked to signify reversals or shifts in market structure. These highlight areas where the price changes from a bullish to bearish trend (or vice versa).
2. BOS (Break of Structure):
BOS is labeled, showing significant points where price breaks through key structural levels, confirming continuation or reversal trends.
3. EQH (Equal Highs):
Equal highs indicate potential liquidity zones where stop-loss orders may be positioned. These zones are likely to be targeted by the market.
4. Weak Highs and Trendline:
A weak high is identified within the red zone, suggesting a lack of strength to continue upward. This creates a bias for potential downward movement.
The yellow and blue trendlines illustrate a descending wedge pattern, highlighting bearish pressure.
5. Target Zone (1.03411):
A blue box around 1.03411 represents the target price area for potential bearish moves, aligning with the downward arrow projections.
6. Bearish Plan:
The analysis expects a downward trajectory after a liquidity grab (red arrows) and weak highs. The market is forecasted to form lower highs and lower lows, eventually reaching the target zone.
This is a structural and liquidity-based analysis indicating bearish expectations while leveraging trendlines, BOS, CHoCH, and liquidity zones.
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 24, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is attracting buyers towards 1.04500 in the early Asian session on Friday, fuelled by a weaker US Dollar (USD). Later on Friday, preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for January in the Eurozone and Germany will be released. In the US, the flash S&P PMI for January will take centre stage.
U.S. President Donald Trump's remarks at the World Economic Forum in Davos led to a decline in the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies. Late on Thursday, Trump said he wants to see interest rates cut immediately and accordingly they should fall across the board.
‘The markets seem to be more concerned about lower rates and any indication that they're going to be cut’, said David Eng, an investment adviser at Sonora Wealth Group in Vancouver.
Meanwhile, ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasised on Wednesday that the central bank is ‘not too concerned’ about the risk of inflation from abroad and will continue to cut interest rates at a gradual pace. Markets have priced in a nearly 96% probability that the ECB will cut rates at its upcoming meeting.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
EURUSD 24 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - EU & US PMIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 24 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Nothing much changed in sentiment since Tramp inauguration, yesterday Trump ease the tone on tariffs which gave optimism in the market (Risk Off) and weakened the dollar across the board.
Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings.
Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook.
US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation after BOS
2️⃣
🔹As expected, price created a bullish BOS as per the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback.
🔹Price didn’t mitigate any supply after the BOS so there is a high probability that we will continue up till we reach the 4H or Daily supply to initiate a BOS pullback phase (Can’t be ruled, we always have the expectation that a pullback will start at any time after any break of structure).
🔹Price mitigated the 4H demand within the 4H bullish INT structure and currently targeting the 4H Weak INT high.
3️⃣
🔹My expectations is set for price to continue bullish till we mitigate a 4H/Daily supply.
🔹Will be following the LTF to follow the expectation of bullish continuation while putting in consideration the probability of a bearish move for the bullish BOS pullback phase that can start anytime.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish / ii Structure Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹After the Bullish BOS, price still holding bullish respecting the Bullish INT Structure.
🔹INT Structure Strong low liquidity swept and price mitigated the 4H demand zone to continue bullish.
🔹** 15m Swing is currently the 4H swing and I started mapping the ii Structure until I can reset my 15m Swing with a bigger price range.
3️⃣
🔹Currently ii Structure is bullish and we are in continuation phase to target the Weak INT High.
🔹Expectations is that price to continue bullish and to mitigate the 4H/Daily Supply zone to maybe initiate a pullback phase.
EURUSD Possible Bearish Movement?Hello everyone, hope everyone is doing great! Any feedback on this is appreciated.
Here I got what I believe to be a possible EURUSD bearish movement, here are my thoughts:
4H Candles: Here we can see a bearish trend that has been going on since a few months ago, however this was recently broken with some events such as Trump entering into office this January 20th.
While Chart analysis alone suggests we could see a bull for the euro, I would like to challenge it with the new decisions being taken by Trump (tariffs, dollar-first policies) and other news such as the ECB Rate Cuts on December.
At the time being things are looking like theres going to be a lot of movement, I expect one last bounce before seeing any strong bulls during the next few weeks, but I believe we are already at a great entry point.
Let me know your thoughts on it!
Edit: For some reason my TP1 text wasnt added to the chart shown here, but it was placed at 1.03196.
EURUSD: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
EURUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.0408
Stop Loss - 1.0449
Take Profit - 1.0329
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EUR/USD Looks to Build on Gains Amid Trump's Emergency Declara..EUR/USD Looks to Build on Gains Amid Trump's Emergency Declaration
The EUR/USD currency pair concluded the previous week on a high note, defying the bearish trend that had been in full swing until the 1.0177 level. As the new trading week began, the market's momentum shifted in favor of the EUR, propelled by a strong bullish impulse that left the US Dollar (USD) reeling.
The opening salvo of the week saw the Greenback come under intense pressure, as investors grappled with the prospect of President Trump declaring a national emergency soon after taking office. The uncertainty surrounding this development has weighed heavily on the USD, allowing the EUR to gain traction and hold its ground.
From a technical perspective, market analysts are eyeing a potential correction of the trend, with a possible retracement target of 1.0500 on the horizon. This development could signal a significant shift in the market's dynamics, as investors reassess their positions and adjust to the changing landscape.
As the situation unfolds, one thing is certain: the EUR/USD pair will be closely watched in the coming days as market participants navigate the complex web of economic and political factors at play. Will the bullish momentum continue, or will the USD find its footing and push back against the EUR's gains? Only time will tell.
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XAU/USD : Liquidity Grab at $2733, Next Trend Awaits NY Session!By analyzing the 4-hour gold chart, we see that the price finally broke out of the neutral range of $2702-$2714 today, reaching as high as $2733 and clearing liquidity above $2727. After this liquidity grab, gold experienced a slight correction, retracing to $2717. Currently, the price is trading around $2722.
As the New York market opens, we’ll see if gold can establish its next trend. It’s still too early to declare a bearish shift, as the bullish trend remains intact until the price breaks and stabilizes below $2688. For now, consider these levels for positions:
Supply Zones: $2727, $2742, $2753
Demand Zones: $2717, $2711, $2703
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD: First red day up high into the high of the weekHello everyone and welcome back to my profile. I don't typically share templates every day, because I'm trying to select best opportunities that can move fast during the further 1/2/3 days.
Please do not forget to support my work with a like, and comment if you have similar or contrary opinions to understand as well your point of view.
EURUSD is actually up high into the high of week, high of month, high of year, it's January and is the first month of the year, is the opening range of the year.
There is a great chance to see a reversal market from the current level, if it's going to setup correctly.
However, as I always say, I'm not here to predict any directional move, because I'm a professional trader and I don't do entertainment with trading, trying to gamble my money in useless predictions. What I'm always looking for, are setups, which they repeat over and over again.
To understand better the logic behind my thesis, let's have a deeply look into the week..
The previous week, overall, the market has been trading long, higher high on Wednesday for a 3 days dump and pump into the week, I wouldn't counter trending such a strong market.
Monday, opening range of the week, the market broke the previous weekly high and stayed in breakout. Other times frame traders and big players are involved.
Tuesday the market pullback on the previous weekly high, eventually stopping out breakout traders long from that level, closing kinda as an inside day, which I consider part of the consolidation process up high.
Wednesday, the market broke higher, breaking out the HOW, HOM, HOY, closing back inside the range and closing as a first red day, which typically it can be a short signal if setups correctly during the further days.
Today, the market triggered short in, and overall is consolidating into the yesterday LOD.
Thesis:
My main view, currently, is pretty short, the lower low of today can a be a sign of weakness for this market, Trump speaking on schedule, market it may be very volatile today, that's why I decided to don't be involved in any market position.
The news release can obviously dump the market quickly straight into the LOW, or we can have a retest of the HOW for a consolidation and dumping during the next week (last week of the month).
If the market today breaks lower, tomorrow I will be looking for a sell high opportunity targeting the current LOW.
What about a bullish thesis?
Once again, I think that predicting is pretty silly and gives you 50/50 of chances to be right. What I'm describing is the possibility to identify a short setup in a market condition that can offer it.
A long thesis, would be absolutely still valid.. why?
Yesterday after the higher high in the daily, weekly and monthly level, the market dumped down into the low, and went in consolidation. I cannot exclude a 2/3 days dump and pump for a range expansion to the upside.
That means that I would be willing to take a long setup if the long thesis builds up.
I will be updating this post until I think the template will be valid.
Gianni
EUR/USD : Possible Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price finally hit the 1.044 target, delivering a 250-pip return. Currently, EUR/USD is trading around the 1.041 level. If a strong rejection occurs at this zone, we can anticipate a potential drop toward 1.035 as the first target and 1.025 as the second target. This analysis will be updated accordingly!
The Main Analysis :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban