Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1141
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0949
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.1425
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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EURUSD
EUR/USD 4H After weeks of compression and sideways grind, price finally made its move. Broke out hard from the 1.09000 zone and didn’t look back.
We didn’t just pump — we exploded through structure.
If you missed it… it’s chill. Smart money always gives a second chance.
Here’s what I’m watching:
✅ Clean impulsive leg up
✅ Minor pullback already got bought up
✅ Price now hovering around 1.14000 — but no liquidity sweep yet
So what’s missing?
We haven’t seen buyside liquidity swept yet.
What that means?
This could be a trap area before a pullback into a demand zone or FVG. If we get a wick above 1.14500 to clear some liquidity — and then rejection — I’ll look for a lower timeframe sell trigger.
Otherwise, we wait for a pullback → preferably into the 1.12000–1.12500 OB or FVG zone → and that’s where longs make sense again.
🔍 Setup Watchlist:
Buy only after pullback into OB/FVG
Sell only if we see a liquidity sweep + CHoCH near current highs
No trades in the middle = just noise
🧠 Reminder to self:
"Patience makes money. Chasing makes pain."
#EURUSD #SMC #OrderBlock #FVG #LiquiditySweep #SmartMoney #ForexTrading #4HChart #PriceAction
NZD/USD Approaches 0.5900 – Critical Test for Bulls Ahe🧭 Overview:
The NZD/USD pair showed notable bullish strength on Monday, April 14, 2025, opening at 0.5830, hitting a high of 0.5900, and closing near 0.5885. This upward movement marks a potential shift in sentiment after a prolonged period of consolidation, driven by a weaker U.S. dollar and increased risk appetite among investors.
📈 Current Market Structure:
The pair broke above the consolidation range and is now trading near a key resistance zone around the 200-day moving average. The recent bullish candle indicates strong buyer momentum, suggesting that a medium-term trend reversal may be underway.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
0.5900: Psychological level and the 200-day SMA. A daily close above this may confirm a shift in long-term trend.
0.5955: A former swing high, acting as the next resistance for bulls.
0.6000 – 0.6040: Major resistance zone. A breakout here could confirm full bullish reversal and open room for extended gains.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
0.5823: Recent swing low and intraday support. Holding above this level maintains short-term bullish bias.
0.5760: Intermediate support. A break below this could expose the pair to deeper corrections.
0.5700: Major support level, aligning with previous structure lows from February 2024.
Source: DailyFX, Investing.com
📐 Price Action Patterns:
Recent bullish candles have broken key resistance within a sideways range, indicating increased demand for the kiwi dollar. The breakout above 0.5850 confirms momentum, while the lack of overbought signals on RSI and MACD crossover further support the continuation of the move. However, price faces a major test at the 0.5900 area.
🔮 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If NZD/USD maintains above 0.5823 and successfully breaks above 0.5900, the pair could extend gains toward 0.5955 and 0.6000. This scenario may be supported by weaker U.S. dollar sentiment and stabilization in global risk sentiment.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If the pair fails to hold above 0.5823, it may decline toward 0.5760. A break below this level opens the door to test 0.5700, which would invalidate the current bullish breakout structure.
📌 Conclusion:
NZD/USD is showing signs of bullish recovery, supported by a breakout above consolidation and increased technical momentum. The area around 0.5900 will be critical — a successful close above it could mark the beginning of a new bullish phase. Traders should watch price action closely near this resistance zone and adjust strategies accordingly.
🗓️ Note: This analysis is based on market data available as of April 14, 2025. Always follow up with the latest price action and news events before making trading decisions.
EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.13690 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.13104.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Bears Will Push Lower
The recent price action on the EURUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
XAU/USD: A Huge Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By re-examining the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that the price once again moved exactly as expected and finally managed to rise back above $3100, reaching as high as $3136.5! Currently, gold is trading around $3120, and I expect we will soon see further decline in gold. The potential downside targets are $3115, $3105, and $3100 respectively. This analysis will be updated again!
The Last Analysis :
EURUSD Setup: Buy First, Sell Later – Don’t Miss the Move!EURUSD has been trending upward for a while now, just as we discussed in the last post. We're reaching higher levels, and while it does look like we could be approaching a potential sell zone, I’m staying patient.
I believe there are still some highs above us that need to be taken out first. What we’re seeing right now could be manipulation—an attempt to trap early sellers. That’s why I won’t be selling yet.
Instead, I’m watching for buy setups today and tomorrow off key levels on my chart. Once those highs are swept and we get confirmation, that’s when I’ll start looking for potential sells.
Give this a boost if you found it useful!
EURUSD Good sell opportunity on this short-term rejectionThe EURUSD pair got an initial rejection near its 2-month Higher Highs trend-line with the 4H RSI an a Bearish Divergence (Lower Highs) since April 03.
The last pull-back was -2.31% and made double contact with the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) before rebounding. In fact all Higher Highs rejections hit at least he 4H MA50 before rebounding.
As a result, we see a strong short-term sell opportunity now, which even though could technically reach 1.12150 (-2.30% drop), it is advised to take profit once contact with the 4H MA50 is made.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Trade Analysis for Week 16 (14Apr25 onwards)Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Over here I will be sharing my analysis for this week.
Mainly On:
EURUSD
EURAUD
EURNZD
BTC
USDSGD
Moving forward I will separate both the Trade review and Coming week trade analysis for easy viewing!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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EUR/AUD 4H Trade Setup: Demand Zone Bounce to 1.87500🔵 Key Zones and Levels
🟦 Demand Zone: Strong support area where price has bounced multiple times.
✅ Confluence with the trendline gives extra strength.
🎯 Entry Point: 1.78990
Perfect spot for a potential buy setup.
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.76962
Below the demand zone to protect against false breakouts.
🚀 Target Point: 1.87500
Profit goal with an impressive +4.85% potential (867.4 pips)!
📊 Price Action
📍Current price: 1.80528 (hovering near EMA and close to entry)
🔁 Price has tested the support zone several times — showing signs of accumulation.
⬆️ Potential bullish breakout from this zone.
🔍 Indicators & Patterns
📏 EMA (7): Price is near it, waiting for a clear move above for momentum.
📈 Trendline: Holding well as dynamic support.
🔶 Channel pattern: Higher highs and higher lows indicate uptrend structure.
📌 Summary
🟢 Buy Setup:
🛒 Entry: 1.78990
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.76962
🎯 Target: 1.87500
⚖️ Risk-Reward: Great R:R setup with strong technical backing!
EURUSD D1 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the D1 chart, the price could fall toward our buy entry level at 1.1236, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.1527, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 127.2% Fibo extension.
The stop loss is set at 1.0935, a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EURUSD Day Trade Idea Hi today I am looking at the EURUSD, and can see some potential day trade sell possibly happening soon or now. I have drawn the sell liquidity zone using the red box to show the sell pressure candles back from the current candle. Thank you please support me by following me.
#eurusd #eur #usd #sell #daytrade #day #trade #forex
@ilyaskhan.1994
ECB decision shadowed by tariff risk Markets will be closely watching the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate decision on April 17, with expectations for a seventh consecutive rate cut.
Despite this expectation, the euro surged to a three-year high against the US dollar last week, as traders continued to pull away from US assets.
The dollar index has dropped 4% since President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcements on April 2, falling below the key 100 level too.
At this stage, market participants will be looking for any signals on how the ECB might respond to the potential spillover effects of President Trump’s tariff measures. While some guidance may emerge around already-announced policies, the risk of further unpredictability remains high.
Trump being Trump, it is perhaps unlikely we have seen the last of his volatility-inducing tariff announcements. This can weigh further on the dollar, eroding confidence in the world’s reserve currency.
EUR_USD SWING LONG|
✅EUR_USD made a strong
Breakout of the massive wide
Key horizontal level of 1.1235
Which is now a support and
As the breakout is confirmed
And the pair is in a strong
Uptrend our bullish bias is
Confirmed and we will be
Expecting further growth
On Monday
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
“EUR/USD Nears Wave (C) Climax – Will Smart Money Step In?”EUR/USD is approaching the final leg of its corrective A-B-C structure. With wave (C) targeting the 1.15–1.18 supply zone, a major reversal setup is brewing.
Wave (A)-(B)-(C) correction structure in play
Current bullish momentum likely completing wave (C)
Watch for potential 50% and 78% Fibonacci retracement zones for next sell setups
Embedded Wyckoff distribution schematic suggests institutional unloading soon
If you're tracking smart money, the final wave up could be the perfect setup to sell the rally once signs of distribution confirm.
Key Levels to Watch:
Supply Zone: 1.15–1.18 (Wave C Top)
First Demand: 50% zone
Deeper Demand: 78% retracement = high confluence
#EURUSD #ElliottWave #WyckoffMethod #SmartMoney #ForexForecast #WaveC
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EURUSD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on EURUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.1042 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1006
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.1358 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1204
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1454
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) - A Deep Dive Trading GuideIntroduction
Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) are an advanced price action concept rooted in Smart Money theory. Unlike standard Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), IFVGs consider the idea of price revisiting inefficiencies from an inverse perspective. When price "respects" a previously violated gap from the opposite side, it creates a powerful confluence for entries or exits.
This guide will cover:
- What an IFVG is
- How it differs from traditional FVGs
- Market context for IFVG setups
- How to trade them effectively
- Real chart examples for clarity
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What is an IFVG?
An Inversion Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when price trades through a traditional Fair Value Gap and later returns to that area, but instead of continuing in the original direction, it uses the gap as a support or resistance from the other side.
Standard FVG vs. IFVG:
- FVG: Price creates a gap (imbalance), and we expect a return to the gap for mitigation.
- IFVG: Price violates the FVG, but instead of invalidation, it respects it from the other side.
Example Logic: A bullish FVG is formed -> price trades through it -> later, price revisits the FVG from below and uses it as resistance.
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Structure and Market Context
Understanding structure is key when trading IFVGs. Price must break structure convincingly through a Fair Value Gap. The gap then acts as an inversion zone for future reactions.
Ideal Market Conditions for IFVGs:
1. Market is trending or has recently had a strong impulsive move.
2. A Fair Value Gap is created and violated with displacement .
3. Price retraces back to the FVG from the opposite side .
4. The gap holds as support/resistance, indicating smart money has respected the zone.
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Types of IFVGs
1. Bullish IFVG: Price trades up through a bearish FVG and later uses it as support.
2. Bearish IFVG: Price trades down through a bullish FVG and later uses it as resistance.
Note: The best IFVGs are often aligned with Order Blocks, liquidity levels, or SMT divergences.
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How to Trade IFVGs
1. Identify a clear Fair Value Gap in a trending market.
2. Wait for price to break through the FVG with momentum .
3. Mark the original FVG zone on your chart.
4. Monitor for price to revisit the zone from the other side.
5. Look for reaction + market structure shift on lower timeframes.
6. Enter trade with a clear stop loss just beyond the IFVG.
Entry Confluences:
- SMT divergence
- Order Block inside or near the IFVG
- Breaker Blocks
- Time of day (e.g., NY open)
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Refined Entries & Risk Management
Once the IFVG is identified and price begins to react, refine entries using:
- Lower timeframe market structure shift
- Liquidity sweeps just before tapping the zone
- Candle closures showing rejection
Risk Management Tips:
- Set stop loss just beyond the IFVG opposite wick
- Use partials at 1:2 RR and scale out based on structure
- Don’t chase missed entries—wait for clean setups
---
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Confusing IFVG with invalidated FVGs
- Trading them in low volume or choppy conditions
- Ignoring market context or structure shifts
- Blindly entering on first touch without confirmation
Tip: Let price prove the level—wait for reaction, not prediction.
---
Final Thoughts
IFVGs are an advanced but powerful tool when used with precision. They highlight how Smart Money uses inefficiencies in both directions, and when combined with other concepts, they can form sniper-like entries.
Practice finding IFVGs on historical charts. Combine them with SMT divergences, OBs, and market structure, and soon you’ll start seeing the market through Smart Money eyes.
Happy Trading!
EURUSD: Tariff – narrated sentiment Trade tariffs continue to be in the focus of the current market sentiment. A modest optimism was evident on the market, after the US Administration announced that for the majority of countries tariffs will be delayed for the next 90 days. China is not included in the list of countries with delayed tariffs. As for macro news posted during the previous week, some of the most important were related to the inflation figures. The inflation decreased by -0,1% in March, for the month, reaching 2,4% on a yearly basis. Core inflation was higher by 0,1% for the month and 2,8% compared to the previous year. Both figures were slightly below market estimates. The Producers Price Index in March was standing at the level of -0,4% and was below market expectations of +0,2%. Core PPI dropped by -0,1% in March also below market estimate of +0,3%. The week-end was reserved for the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. Preliminary figure for April was 50,8, which was below market expectations of 54,5. Another surprise was related to inflation expectations which were significantly higher, at the level of 6,7% for this year.
Trade balance in Germany in February reached euro 17,7B, which was in line with market estimates. Industrial Production in Germany during February dropped by -1,3% for the month, a bit higher from forecasted -1,1%. Retail Sales in the Euro Zone in February jumped by 0,3%, still lower from market consensus of 0,5%. Retail Sales on a yearly basis was standing at 2,3%. The inflation rate in Germany, final for March, was standing at 0,3% for the month and 2,2% on a yearly basis, and was fully in line with market expectations.
Regardless of developments on the US equity market, the US Dollar continued to lose strength, reaching the lowest weekly level at 1,1460 against euro at Friday's trading session. The currency pair is ending the week at the level of 1,1360. The resistance line at 1,1460 was last time tested in January 2022. The RSI clearly reached the overbought market side, at the level of 76. The MA 50 is getting quite close toward its counterpart, MA 200, indicating that the potential so-called the golden cross might occur anytime in the coming period.
After a strong move toward the upside, as occurred as of the end of the previous week, the market will use the week ahead to digest the data from the previous week. In this sense, some relaxation might be possible, but some extreme moves in favour of USD should not be expected. The market already made a retreat on Friday from 1,1460 to 1,1360. In case of a further move toward the downside there is some probability for the level of 1,11, based on current charts. However, the resistance line at $1,1460 now is missing testing, which might be the market target for one more time in the coming period. Certainly, as long as tariff-narrated sentiment is shaking the market sensitivity, a higher volatility might be expected.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Wholesale prices in Germany in March, Industrial Production in the Euro zone in February, ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for the Euro zone and Germany in April, ECB Interest Rate Decision, ECB press conference,
USD: Retail Sales in March, Industrial Production in March, Fed Chair Powell speech, Building Permits preliminary for March, Housing Starts in March
$DXY to 100 and heading lower, bullish for $EURUSDTVC:DXY the dollar index, was the primary driver of the equity bear market in 2022. With TVC:DXY hitting a 5 year high of 114 marked the bottom in AMEX:SPY and $QQQ. The recent strength in TVC:DXY was out of stock with TVC:DXY and Stock markets rising at the same time and dropping when the TVC:DXY is falling. Usually, the risk assets have an inverse correlation to the US Dollar index. These periods in history are unusual and are marked by some kind of macro events like recession etc. With tariffs discussion everywhere that might not be unrealistic to expect some kind of recession.
In that case where is the TVC:DXY headed? Currently the TVC:DXY is at a psychological level of 100. Once it breaks below 100 the next stop might be 95. If we see some kind of soft recession which is my worst-case scenario then we might see the lows of 90 in $DXY. If TVC:DXY goes down by 10% or lower than we can expect to the FX:EURUSD to go back to its recent high of 1.23.
Verdict: Short TVC:DXY ; Long FX:EURUSD , AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ
EURUSD. Weekly trading levels 14 - 18.04.2025During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
More information in my RU profile.
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