Elliott Wave Pattern Suggests Higher EURUSD and Lower US YieldsSome nice retracement on 10-year US notes in the last three weeks looks corrective because of a clear three-wave drop with a triangle in wave (B). This suggests US yields could be trading at resistance, and if we consider the somewhat dovish stance from Powell and the FOMC last week, the market might be positioned for a lower USD. In this scenario, EURUSD could perform well—likely better than some commodity currencies, which remain trapped in sideways ranges due to weaker stock markets recently.
GH
EURUSD
XAU/USD: First Long, Then SHORT! (PLEASE READ THE CAPTION)Gold's 2-hour chart shows that the price successfully reached a new high of $3057 today before retracing to $3025. Currently, gold is trading around $3037, and I expect a short-term push towards $3049 before looking for a trigger to potentially ride a correction down to targets below $3022. Stay tuned—this analysis will be updated soon!
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EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Potential Reversal SetupThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart displays a recent downtrend with a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a bearish market structure. The Harmonic patterns such as the Bat suggest potential areas of reversal, aligning with Fibonacci retracement levels.
A Change of Character (ChoCh) at the latest low (XA 0.7872) signals a possible shift in trend. The presence of bullish reaction points, marked by green triangles and yellow circles, suggests buying pressure is increasing. Additionally, the projected upward trendlines indicate possible price targets at 1.08476 (T1) and 1.08885 (T2) .
The oscillators at the bottom indicate oversold conditions, reinforcing the likelihood of a bullish correction. However, confirmation via price action and volume is necessary before entering long positions. A break above key resistance levels would further validate the upside potential.
EURUSD consolidation ahead of US & EU tariff discussion Trend Overview:The EUR/USD currency pair remains in a bullish trend, supported by a prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback towards a newly formed support zone, previously a resistance level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
1.0755 – Previous resistance turned support, key level for potential bounce.
1.0700 – Secondary support level if 1.0755 fails.
1.0600 – Stronger support in case of extended retracement.
Resistance Levels:
1.0914 – Initial resistance level on the upside.
1.1013 – Next target if bullish momentum continues.
1.1070 – Long-term resistance and key breakout point.
Market Sentiment & Price Action:The recent corrective pullback aligns with normal market fluctuations within an uptrend. A bullish bounce from the 1.0755 support level could trigger an upside move, targeting the 1.0914 resistance level and potentially extending towards 1.1013 and 1.1070 over a longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.0755 support, accompanied by a daily close below this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. This could lead to further downside pressure, potentially testing the 1.0700 level, with an extended decline towards 1.0600 if selling pressure intensifies.
Conclusion:The EUR/USD pair remains in a bullish structure as long as the 1.0755 support holds. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend, targeting higher resistance zones. However, a decisive break below 1.0755 and a daily close under this level could shift sentiment bearish, leading to further downside retracement.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US PMI Strength Drives Dollar HigherEUR/USD is trading at $1.08 as the U.S. dollar strengthens on solid U.S. services PMI data, which signaled economic resilience and pushed yields higher. Confidence in the dollar was further enabled by Trump’s remarks suggesting not all April 2 tariffs will be implemented, with possible exemptions for some countries. Meanwhile, the euro is under pressure as its recent rally fades and Eurozone economic signals weaken, keeping EUR/USD on a downward path driven by dollar strength.
Key resistance is at 1.0860, followed by 1.0950 and 1.1000. Support stands at 1.0730, with further levels at 1.0660 and 1.0600.
+250 pips EURUSD XABCD Short From Resistance ADVANCED🔸Hello traders, let's review the 12 hour chart for EURUSD. Strong gains off the lows recently, however price getting overextended and expecting reversal later at/near PRZ/B.
🔸Speculative XABCD structure defined by point X 1140 point A 0240 point B 0935 point C 0425 point D/PRZ 1390 still pending. C also pending.
🔸Advanced short from point B targeting point C of the sequence.
Higher risk trade setup, use protective SL and adjust to PE at +50 pips.
🔸Recommended strategy for EUR traders: short sell rips / short sell
at market now, target is +250 pips or point C of the XABCD structure.
Later will update the setup for the BULLS for a potential ride to 1390.
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EURUSD Is Going Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.078.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.067 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Bears give the USD a break, EUR/USD pullback may not be overThe retracement higher for the US dollar is finally underway, which also shows further upside potential. And this is why I am wary of being long EUR/USD over the foreseeable future, even if I suspect it is poised to break to new highs in the coming weeks.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Reversal Toward Key Demand Zone📊 EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Reversal Setup
🔸 Market Structure:
The chart indicates a Change of Character (CHOCH) at the recent high, signaling a possible shift in trend from bullish to bearish. The buy stop liquidity appears to have been grabbed before the price reversed, suggesting smart money may be positioning for a sell-off.
🔸 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: Near 1.0900, where liquidity was swept.
Support Zone: Marked in purple between 1.0450 - 1.0500, acting as a potential demand area.
🔸 Price Action Expectation:
A minor pullback or retest of the CHOCH zone before further downside.
A bearish continuation towards the 1.0500 demand zone, aligning with liquidity objectives.
🔸 Trading Plan:
Bearish Bias: Potential short opportunities if price confirms lower highs.
Invalidation: A sustained break above 1.0900 would negate the bearish thesis.
Target: 1.0500 zone for potential long-term buy interest.
📉 Conclusion: If the price respects the CHOCH level and fails to reclaim liquidity above, sellers could dominate, driving EUR/USD lower toward the 1.0500 liquidity pool.
EUR/USD heading up - Europes time to shine!Looks like it's the Euro time to rally. With an unstable presidency and erratic party with America, it seems like Europe is finding it's feet and there is upside to come for it's currency.
Here are five reasons why and then we'll get into the technicals.
🇩🇪 German Stimulus Boosts Euro
Germany’s €500B spending plan lifts euro confidence.
📉 Weak U.S. Data Hurts Dollar
Poor U.S. data and uncertainty weigh on the greenback.
📈 Euro's Rally Momentum
EUR/USD sees strongest rally since 2015.
🏦 ECB Signals Fewer Cuts
ECB hints at fewer rate cuts, supporting euro strength.
🌍 Trade Tensions Easing
Tariff delays reduce USD demand, favoring the euro.
Let's look at the technicals
Inv Head and SHoulders
Price 20 and 200 MA
Target 1.1610
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EURUSD Forming the new long-term Top.The EURUSD pair continues to trade within a Bullish Megaphone pattern and is about to complete today the 4th straight red 1D candle.
This is technically a top formation as the 1D RSI went from overbought (above 70.00) to below 60.00. Technically a downtrend gets confirmed when the price breaks below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) so until it does, the probability for another short-term bounce there isn't small. This is what took place in September 2024.
Once the 1D MA50 breaks though, we expect a test of Support 1 at 1.03650, as it happened on October 23 2024.
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EURUSD: Bulls Will Push Higher
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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EURO - Price can break support level and continue to move downHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price reach and broke $1.0800 level and started to grow inside a rising channel pattern.
It reached the resistance level, bounced down, made correction to support and then rose up once again.
Euro touched $1.0920 level second time and turned around, after which exited from this rising channel.
Then price dropped fast and formed falling channel, breaking through $1.0920 level and reaching $1.0800 level.
After that it bounced up a little, but stayed inside the bearish channel without breaking resistance line.
Now price moves between support and resistance, but in my mind it can decline to $1.0715 support line.
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EURUSD BUYWe have a specific type of divergence on the 1-hour timeframe ⏳, indicating a potential drop 📉 in the higher timeframe. On the other hand, the lower 15-minute timeframe 🕒 gives us a buying perspective 📈. So, the analysis will be as shown in the image.
#eurusd #ForexTrading #PriceAction #ForexSignals #TradingAnalysis 💹
EURJPY NEXT MOVE, DEEP FUNDAMENTALS ANALYSIS EUR/JPY is currently trading around 162.300, having recently completed a breakout and subsequent retest, indicating a potential bullish continuation toward the target price of 168.300. This anticipated move suggests a gain of over 300 pips, aligning with the pair's prevailing uptrend.
Fundamentally, the Eurozone's economic indicators have shown resilience, with stable growth and inflation metrics supporting the euro. In contrast, the Bank of Japan's commitment to ultra-loose monetary policies has led to a depreciation of the yen, widening the interest rate differential between the two currencies and favoring a stronger euro
Technical analysis reinforces this bullish outlook. The pair edged higher to 164.16 last week before a slight retreat, suggesting consolidation ahead of a possible upward surge. As long as the 160.02 support level holds, further rally remains in favor, with potential targets at 164.89 and 166.67. A sustained break above these levels could pave the way toward the 168.300 target
Traders should monitor key resistance levels closely, as a confirmed breakout could present a lucrative opportunity to capitalize on the anticipated 300-pip movement. Implementing robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to mitigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in navigating this trading opportunity effectively.
EUR/USD: Sideways Movement Persists Below Key LevelThe EUR/USD market remains in a consolidation phase just below the November 2024 low. Recently, the price experienced false breakouts beneath both a key support level and last week's low, followed by a strong bullish rebound. This pattern suggests a likelihood of continued sideways movement in the near term.
At present, the price is testing the previous day’s high. If upcoming news does not negatively affect sentiment, the market may attempt a move higher, especially after multiple failed breakdowns of support. However, until a decisive break occurs beyond last week’s range, price action is expected to remain range-bound. The next target lies at the resistance zone around 1.08820
EUR/USD Falling Wedge Breakout – Professional Chart AnalysisOverview of the Chart
The EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a bullish trading setup, featuring a well-defined falling wedge pattern, a trendline breakout, and a retest phase, signaling a potential upward move. The chart is marked with key technical elements such as support and resistance zones, breakout confirmation, and risk management parameters.
This analysis will break down each component of the chart, explaining the logic behind the setup and how traders can approach this opportunity.
1. Identified Chart Patterns
Falling Wedge Formation (Bullish Reversal Signal)
The price action formed a falling wedge, characterized by lower highs and lower lows, creating a narrowing price channel.
This pattern is typically a bullish reversal structure, as it indicates weakening selling pressure before an expected breakout.
The wedge’s downward movement ended with a strong breakout to the upside, signaling buyers regaining control.
2. Key Technical Levels
Support & Resistance Zones
Support Level (Buyers’ Stronghold)
The horizontal support level is a price area where buyers have previously stepped in, preventing further declines.
This level has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its strength as a key demand zone.
Resistance Zone (Profit Target Area)
The highlighted resistance zone represents a supply area where the price has struggled to move past in previous sessions.
The target price level aligns with this resistance, making it a realistic profit target for the long position.
3. Trendline Breakout Confirmation
Before forming the wedge, the chart shows an uptrend with a breakout above a trendline.
This trendline breakout was an early signal of bullish strength, aligning with the later wedge breakout.
After the breakout, the price came back for a retest, which is a key confirmation before further upward movement.
4. Retesting Phase Before the Upward Move
After breaking out of the wedge, the price returned to the breakout level to confirm support.
Retesting is a crucial validation step—if the price holds above this level, it increases the probability of a continued bullish move.
This retesting action provides a potential entry point for traders looking to go long.
5. Trade Setup & Risk Management Strategy
Trade Entry:
A buy entry is considered after the retest is confirmed (price holding above the breakout level).
Stop Loss Placement (Risk Control):
The stop loss is placed below the previous low at 1.07790, ensuring protection against fake breakouts or unexpected reversals.
Take Profit Target (Projected Price Move):
The target price is set at 1.09698, which aligns with previous resistance levels and the measured move from the wedge breakout.
This provides a strong risk-to-reward ratio, making the setup favorable for bullish traders.
6. Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Viability
Risk: The distance between the entry point and the stop loss is relatively small, making it a low-risk trade.
Reward: The potential upside move is significantly higher than the risk, creating a high reward-to-risk ratio trade.
This type of technical confluence increases the probability of a successful trade, making it an attractive opportunity.
7. Conclusion & Trading Strategy
📌 Key Takeaways:
✅ The falling wedge breakout signals a bullish reversal.
✅ The trendline breakout and retest add further confirmation to the trade setup.
✅ The support and resistance zones provide a clear risk management strategy.
✅ The risk-reward ratio makes this an attractive long trade setup.
💡 Trading Plan:
🔹 Enter Long after retest confirmation above the breakout level.
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.07790 (below previous low).
🔹 Take Profit: 1.09698 (previous resistance zone).
Final Thoughts
This EUR/USD setup is a textbook example of a bullish reversal following a falling wedge breakout. Traders who patiently wait for a confirmed retest can capitalize on this high-probability trade setup, aiming for a strong bullish continuation.
🔹 Tags: #EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #PriceAction #TradingSetup #SupportResistance
Yields Weigh on EUR/USD: Euro at 1.0820EUR/USD is trading around 1.0820 on Monday, rebounding slightly from last week’s low of 1.0795. The euro has pulled back from its recent high of 1.0955 with uncertainty over Germany’s fiscal policy and rising global trade tensions.
Caution persists before the April 2 announcement of new U.S. tariffs, which could weigh on the eurozone. Despite the modest recovery, the euro remains under pressure from stronger U.S. Treasury yields and demand for the dollar.
Key resistance is at 1.0860, followed by 1.0950 and 1.1000. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0670.