EURO - Price can continue to decline in falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURO, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Not long ago, price entered to pennant, where it at once made an impulse up and broke $1.0820 level.
Then price rose to resistance line of a pennant and then corrected to support area, where it later reached the support line.
Next, Euro made an upward impulse, thereby exiting from the pennant pattern and breaking $1.0820 level again.
Price made a small correction and then rose higher than $1.1270 level, breaking it, but later started fall in falling channel.
In channel, Euro broke $1.1270 level one more time and fell to support line, after which rose almost to this level.
Now, I expect that price can rise to the resistance line and then continue to fall in a falling channel to $1.0960
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EURUSD
EURUSD long.The trading setup on the 1-hour timeframe, and it includes the following key components:
Entry Zone:
The area is marked as the Entry Zone.
Traders are expected to enter a buy position when the price dips into this zone.
Approximate entry range: 1.10871 – 1.10567
🔴 Stop Loss (SL):
Marked below the Entry Zone.
The Stop Loss is placed at around 1.10256.
This protects against further downside if the trade setup fails.
🟢 Final Target:
The area marks the take profit zone, or Final Target.
Target price: 1.12477
This is where the trade is expected to reach if the price moves favorably.
📈 Projection:
Two potential upward price paths are shown, indicating:
One quick bounce from the Entry Zone.
Another scenario where price dips slightly deeper into the Entry Zone before reversing upward.
💬 Summary:
This is a long (buy) trade setup where the trader aims to buy near the 1.10500–1.10871 area, sets a stop loss around 1.10256, and targets a profit at 1.12477. The analysis assumes a bullish reversal after the recent downtrend.
EURUSD - at Resistance: Will it drop to 1.11300?OANDA:EURUSD price is now at a strong resistance level, this is an area where it has struggled to break through in the past and reversed to the downside. It's also where sellers have stepped in before, so it’s worth keeping an eye on, especially for anyone considering short trades.
If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum, I think we could see a move down toward the 1.11300 level. But if price breaks through this zone clearly, that might dismiss the bearish idea and suggest even more upside will continue.
This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk wisely.
EUR/USD Daily Short SetupSetup: Retest of the former support zone (now supply) after the recent pullback from the mid-April highs
Entry: Short around 1.1336 (within the shaded resistance box)
Stop-Loss: Above the recent swing high at 1.1390
Take-Profit: Near the lower range support at 1.0735
Risk : Reward: ~1 : 5
Rationale:
Following a strong rally from early March to mid-April, EUR/USD has corrected sharply and is now back into the grey supply area that previously acted as support. This zone is likely to cap upside moves, making a short entry here attractive. The next major support lies around 1.0735, offering a high reward relative to risk. A break above 1.1390 would invalidate the setup.
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.14048.Dear colleagues, it appears that this week started with a downward movement. It was decided to replace the last forecast with a new one, because the price is updating the minimum of wave “4”, now the formation of wave “c” of medium order is taking place.
I believe that the upward movement to the area of 1.14048 will start again and we have 2 options:
1) market entry
2) working with pending limit orders closer to the 1.09794 area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
DeGRAM | EURUSD retest of the support level📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is testing the confluence of the blue corrective channel floor, the long‑term rising‑channel base and the 1.11 support, replicating April’s launch point.
● A close above the blue channel roof (~1.127) would confirm a break and target the mid‑channel 1.134 resistance, then the supply zone / upper rail near 1.140; bias is invalidated on a sustained close below 1.11.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US initial claims jumped to 252 k (5‑week high) while two FOMC voters signalled readiness to cut if labour softens, pressuring yields and the USD.
● ECB’s Lane said inflation is “on track” but emphasised data‑dependence beyond June, tempering easing expectations and underpinning euro rates.
✨ Summary
Channel‑base retest + weaker US data versus cautious ECB keep the short‑term long in play: objectives 1.134 → 1.140, cut if < 1.11.
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EURUSD INTRADAY oversold bounce supported at 1.1100EUR/USD remains in a long-term bullish trend, but price action has been consolidating sideways since reaching the recent swing high on April 21, 2025.
The key support level to watch is 1.1100. This is the current swing low and a critical level for the bullish structure to hold. If the pair pulls back and finds support here, a rebound could lead to upside targets at 1.1275, then 1.1356, and eventually 1.1460 over the longer term.
However, if the price breaks below 1.1100 and closes below that level on the daily chart, the bullish outlook would be invalidated. In that case, further downside could follow, with 1.1030 as the next support, and then 1.0990.
In conclusion, EUR/USD remains bullish above 1.1100, but a confirmed break below that level would shift the outlook to bearish in the short term.
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EURUSD – This Week’s SetupAs shown in the previous analysis, the key levels have been broken 🔓.
We’re now waiting for a pullback to short from the marked level 🔽.
But if price goes straight to the lower level without a pullback, we’ll look for a buy opportunity there 🔼🎯.
Exact price levels shown on the chart!
Live markets need live plans! ⚔️📈
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP
Euro H4 | Rising into an overlap resistanceThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.1263 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1395 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.1081 which is an overlap support that aligns close the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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GBP/USD Bulls Are Back? Institutions Are Loading Up1. Price Action & Zone Mapping
GBP/USD is consolidating above 1.3300 after a strong bullish reaction near the demand zone between 1.3040 and 1.3150 — an area that has already rejected price twice in recent months.
While the market structure still shows lower highs, the weekly candlestick formation signals a clear loss of bearish momentum. On the upside, the 1.3500–1.3600 zone remains the key supply area to break for a structural reversal to be confirmed.
2. COT Report – Institutional Positioning (as of May 6, 2025)
Non-Commercials (speculators) added +3,320 long positions and reduced -1,956 shorts, bringing the net long to +7,683 contracts — a strong bullish signal.
Commercials remain net short, but not with increasing aggression.
👉 The net positioning supports continued bullish bias, aligned with the recent technical rebound.
3. USD Index – Opposite Positioning
Non-Commercials increased both longs and shorts slightly on the US Dollar Index, but net positioning remains neutral with a slight bearish tilt.
This suggests a phase of indecision or mild retracement in the dollar, which indirectly supports GBP/USD upside.
4. GBP/USD Seasonality – Historical Behavior in May
According to MarketBulls data, May tends to be neutral-to-weak for the pair:
15-year avg: +0.0023
5-year avg: -0.016
2-year avg: +0.0069
Overall, this supports a ranging or corrective phase — not a high-conviction trending month. A breakout may need more confirmation.
5. Retail Sentiment
Currently, 60% of retail traders are short GBP/USD, with an average price of 1.2959, while only 40% are long from 1.3337.
👉 This imbalance favors a contrarian bullish narrative, especially if the market decides to run stops below 1.3300.
✅ Operational Outlook
GBP/USD is showing bullish consolidation signs, backed by:
Increasing institutional long interest
Contrarian retail sentiment (potential fuel for rallies)
Solid demand near 1.3040–1.3150
However, neutral seasonality and lack of structural breakout advise caution. A pullback towards 1.3200–1.3150 might come before any further upside move toward 1.3500.
🔍 Preferred Play: Wait for a retest of 1.3150 with price action confirmation before entering long. A strong breakout above 1.3350 would be early confirmation of renewed bullish pressure.
Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1208
1st Support: 1.1117
1st Resistance: 1.1244
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XAU/USD: Gold will fall ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that on Friday, after the price rose to $3248, it once again faced a correction and eventually closed at $3326. I expect that with the market opening, we’ll see further correction from gold, and the first potential target will likely be the $3213–$3216 area.
The key demand zones are $3253–$3274 and the $3313 level.
The key supply zones are $3355–$3369 and $3395–$3408.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBP/JPY Breaks Above 196.00! Continuation or Distribution?Detailed Techno-Macro Analysis – GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY has just completed a significant weekly structure breakout, pushing through a key supply zone between 195.00 and 196.30 — an area that historically acted as strong resistance. The breakout occurred via a high-volatility daily candle that closed above the zone, indicating strong bullish pressure.
🔍 Structure & Price Action
Price action shows higher lows and higher highs: a clearly defined bullish structure.
The breakout originated from an accumulation base, following a false bearish breakout below 188.50 (bull trap).
RSI is around 70 on the daily timeframe → strong momentum, but signs of potential exhaustion.
🧠 Key Zones Identified
Current weekly supply: 195.00 – 196.80 (being tested)
Next resistance: 198.70 – 199.50 (swing high and monthly level)
Immediate support: 194.00 – 192.80 (ideal area for pullback and long setups)
Structural support: 190.50 – 188.80
Invalidation: Daily close below 191.00 → potential reversal signal
📈 Macro & Fundamental Context
🇬🇧 UK Macro Update
Wages rising: +5.5% (above expectations) → could support further monetary tightening
Claimant count increasing → early weakness in the labor market
Mixed data, but wage growth bias favors GBP strength
🇯🇵 JPY Still Weak
BoJ remains ultra-accommodative
Verbal interventions from Japanese officials haven’t yet had structural impact
🪙 Retail Sentiment
70% of retail traders are short GBP/JPY, with an average price of 190.59
Only 30% are long, with an average price of 194.65
➡️ Current price (196.30) is above both → retail squeeze in play. Contrarian setup confirmed.
🧾 COT Report
GBP (Non-Commercial Speculators):
Long: +3,320 contracts
Short: -1,956 contracts
➡️ Net long positions increasing → favorable institutional exposure
JPY:
Mixed positions, with increases in both long and short → institutional neutrality on the yen
📅 Seasonality – GBP/JPY
May is historically bearish on both 5Y and 20Y timeframes:
5Y: -2.52%
20Y: -0.43%
Only the 2Y pattern shows a positive return
➡️ Negative seasonality vs. bullish technical structure → conflict worth watching
🔍 Execution Summary
The bullish breakout is strong and supported by sentiment and institutional positioning, but price is now entering a potential distribution zone, where profit-taking could increase.
👉 Main scenario: technical pullback toward 194.00–192.80 for possible long entries, targeting 198.50–199.50
👉 Alternative scenario: daily close below 191.00 → bias reversal and bearish continuation
Eurusd signal EUR/USD remains capped below its 2025 peak of 1.1572 (April 21), with the 1.1600 level and the October 2021 high at 1.1692 acting as key resistance zones.
EUR/USD took a hard step lower on Monday, kicking off the new trading week with a fresh dip below 1.1000 before a late recovery pushed the pair back toward 1.1100. The Fiber still closed 1.4% lower on the day, and investors are bracing for a fresh batch of US Consumer Price Index inflation data due on Tuesday.
EURUSD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.11647 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.11894 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1140
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1281
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1066
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD - Expecting Bearish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Clean bearish trend with the price creating series of lower highs, lower lows.
Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Expecting further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Tests Head and Shoulders Target Ahead of CPIIn line with the inverted head and shoulders formation seen on the DXY from its 2025 lows, EURUSD has completed a breakout of its own head and shoulders pattern, reaching the 1.1070 target.
With the 4H RSI rebounding from oversold territory, a bullish bounce for EURUSD appears likely toward the 1.1140 level.
A clean hold above this resistance could extend gains to 1.1270, 1.1380, 1.1430, and eventually to the 2025 high at 1.1570.
If dollar strength resumes and EURUSD falls back below 1.1070, downside levels to watch include 1.1000, 1.0920, and 1.0760.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
CADCHF watch the drop!!Good day traders, I recently share an Idea on CADCHF and if you go back and see what was outlined and how I ended the description. I highlighted that price might manipulate higher but as long as the overall bias remains we still on!!
How I look at the markets is I like to cross reference different pairs and GBPCAD confirmed my bearish outlook and so did AUDCAD. Study this setup till Sellside liquidity 🙏🏽
EURUSD: Pullback From Support 🇪🇺🇺🇸
It looks like it is finally the moment for EURUSD to pull back.
I see a strong intraday bullish confirmation this morning
with a formation of a cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame.
I expect a pullback at least to 1.117
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.