EURUSD
XAU/USD | Watching for Potential Drop Toward $3391! (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that gold continued its bullish move after holding above $3409, successfully hitting the $3440 target and delivering over 200 pips in returns! After reaching this key supply zone, gold corrected down to $3415 and is now trading around $3421. If the price stabilizes below $3431, we can expect further downside movement, with the next bearish targets at $3415, $3404, and $3391. If this scenario fails, an alternative setup will be shared.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1751
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1708
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
ECB Interest Rate Decision: What to Expect and How Could React📊 ECB Interest Rate Decision: What to Expect and How EURUSD Could React
This week’s spotlight is on the European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate Decision — a key market driver that could shape the near-term direction of the euro and broader European markets. Here's what to expect. 👇
🔔 Key Event to Watch
📅 ECB Interest Rate Decision
🕐 Date: July 24
⏰ Time: 12:15 p.m. UTC
📉 Forecast: Hold at 2.15%
📌 Economic Context
The European Central Bank is expected to hold interest rates steady on Thursday, likely marking the end of its current easing cycle after eight consecutive cuts that brought borrowing costs to their lowest levels since November 2022.
🔒 Main refinancing rate: 2.15%
💰 Deposit facility rate: 2.00%
Policymakers are likely to adopt a wait-and-see approach as they monitor the impact of persistent trade uncertaintyand potential U.S. tariffs on economic growth and inflation.
Adding to the cautious stance, inflation finally reached the ECB’s 2% target in June, and is now forecast to dip belowthat level later this year. This drop is expected to be sustained over the next 18 months, driven by:
A strong euro 💶
Falling energy prices 🛢️
Cheaper imports from China 🇨🇳
Markets are currently pricing in just one more rate cut by December, with around a 50% probability of that happening in September, before a possible tightening cycle resumes in late 2026.
📈 EURUSD Technical Outlook
EURUSD has been trading within a descending channel since early July. However, it recently rebounded from trendline support, backed by bullish RSI divergence. The pair is approaching a breakout above the 1-hour SMA200, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend. 🔼
A minor pullback is possible before a stronger move
Bullish momentum may continue if resistance is cleared
🎯 Target range: 1.18250 – 1.18300
🧩 Summary
The ECB is likely to keep rates unchanged at 2.15%, adopting a cautious tone amid easing inflation and global trade risks. This outcome could support the euro, particularly if U.S. rate expectations soften.
With technical indicators aligning with fundamental stability, EURUSD may be setting up for a bullish continuationin the coming sessions. 📊💶
follow EURUSD LION & PLANE BUY SETUPTHE PRICE has moved as I explained in the last two posts
but we have some update to go along the way
the price could break failing channel
and withdrawal liquidity and filled imbalance
hence reflect from demand zone with zero reflection as i explained in last post with rock and plane
and it will go up to take liquidity in failing channel or downtrend
Bearish reversal off 161.8% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resitance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci rretracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1786
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.1828
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 1.1691
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURUSD | 4H Chart | New York Session Sellers in Play 📉 EURUSD | 4H Chart | New York Session Sellers in Play 🇺🇸
🟥 Red Zone Rejection – clarity
As the New York session unfolds, sellers are stepping in at a premium supply zone — classic reaction near 1.1763–1.1812.
🔻 Current Structure:
Rising wedge formation tapped into prior supply zone
Price kissed the upper wedge and reacted — sellers triggering from the red zone
NY session = high liquidity = aggressive positioning by institutions
🎯 Potential Bearish Targets:
1️⃣ 1.1712 – Minor structure support
2️⃣ 1.1670 – Trendline + liquidity sweep
3️⃣ 1.1582 – Major bullish invalidation (optional swing target)
🧠 Smart Money Note:
This is where liquidity is grabbed before reversal
Risk-to-reward favors downside short-term as long as price stays below 1.1812
📌 Bias: Tactical Short
🎯 Reaction + Rejection = Execution
🎩
EURUSD – Bulls Still in Control, Trend ResumesIn my previous EURUSD analysis, I pointed out that the pair was nearing an important confluence support around 1.1620, and that – given the overall bullish trend – this zone could offer solid long opportunities.
What followed?
The market briefly dipped below that zone, even challenging the psychological 1.1600 round number. But instead of breaking down, bulls regrouped, stepped in with force, and pushed the pair aggressively higher.
📍 At the time of writing, EURUSD is trading at 1.1770, and my long trade is running with a comfortable 150 pips profit.
🔍 W hat’s Next?
The current structure suggests a continuation of the uptrend, and the logical technical target is the recent high at 1.1830.
Until proven otherwise, this is still a buy-the-dip market.
✅ Buying around 1.1700 could be a valid setup, especially if we see buying power on the intraday chart
⚠️ The Warning Sign
Despite the bullish bias, keep in mind:
If EURUSD drops and closes below 1.1670, the structure begins to shift — and this could signal a deeper correction or even trend reversal.
📌 Until then, the bias remains bullish, dips are to be watched for entries, and 1.1830 is the next checkpoint.
D isclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
EUR/USD Lots of bull flags formed on the recent chart. Buy/Long Lots of bull flags on this chart which confirmed a move to the upside.
Waiting for a little pullback to the 20MA before considering a buy long order
Waiting to see if this small bear flag forms.
A very interesting instrument to watch at the moment. Full of various signals.
What's Next On EURUSDPrice currently leans toward a bearish pullback after a series of impulsive bullish moves. So far, we haven’t seen any significant retracement since the rally began. As we anticipate a potential correction, could this be the awaited moment for the bears to step in—especially with only weaker structures left behind and bearish pressure building?
Regardless, every market scenario demands discipline and proper risk management.
Thinking of taking this outlook? Be sure to wait for strong confirmation before jumping in.
Good luck, traders, as we watch price unfold.
👉 Follow for more updates. See you in the next one 😉.
EURUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.1787, which is a pullback resistance aligning close to the 161.8% Fibo extension.
Our take profit will be at 1.1750, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1829, a swing-high resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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EURUSD – Recovery losing steam, correction risk is risingAfter rebounding from the trendline support, EURUSD is now approaching the key resistance area around 1.17500 — a zone that has historically triggered multiple rejections. However, with French and German PMI figures coming in below expectations and the ECB holding rates steady without providing any fresh policy guidance, the euro lacks the momentum for a sustained move higher.
On the H4 chart, price action is showing signs of exhaustion as it tests resistance. If buyers fail to break through convincingly, a pullback toward the 1.16800 support zone — or even deeper toward 1.16400 — becomes increasingly likely.
Preferred strategy: Watch for bearish rejection patterns near 1.17500. If confirmed, this could be a favorable opportunity to initiate short positions in anticipation of a correction.
EURUSD Analysis - Can Buyers Push Price To $1.18000?Hello all dear traders!
EURUSD is trading within a clear bullish channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum shows that buyers are in control, suggesting further upside.
The price recently broke above a key resistance zone and is now coming back to retest it. If this level holds as support, it will consolidate the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move towards the 1.18000 target, which is in line with the upper boundary of the channel.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, a failure to hold this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback.
Remember, always validate your setups and use appropriate risk management.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 127.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 1.1746
1st Support: 1.1659
1st Resistance: 1.1907
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EUR/USD About to Trap the Bears? Final Push Before the Drop! EUR/USD is showing a solid short-term bullish structure, with a move initiated from the demand base around 1.1560, fueling a strong rally toward the current level near 1.1770. Price is now approaching a significant supply zone between 1.1790 and 1.1875, previously responsible for the last major bearish swing. This area also aligns with projected Fibonacci levels (25%-100%), reinforcing its relevance as a possible inflection point.
This movement suggests there’s still room for price to push higher, likely completing the final leg of this bullish cycle before a more convincing short setup develops. At this stage, Fibonacci levels are not acting as firm supports, but rather as hypothetical pullback projections: once price enters the 1.1800–1.1875 area, it will be key to monitor for signs of exhaustion. A rejection here may initiate a bearish retracement toward 1.1670–1.1650, in line with the 62–70.5% fib levels.
Retail sentiment remains highly contrarian: 76% of traders are short, positioning themselves too early against the trend. This imbalance adds fuel for a potential continuation higher, as the market may seek to "squeeze" these premature shorts. Additionally, the COT report confirms growing institutional interest in the euro, with non-commercials increasing their net longs, while USD net long exposure continues to shrink.
Seasonality adds further confluence: late July is historically bullish for EUR/USD, suggesting one final leg up could materialize before a typically weaker August.
✅ Trading Outlook
EUR/USD is technically aligned for a final push toward the 1.1800–1.1875 premium zone, where a potential short opportunity may arise. The rally is currently driven by overextended retail shorts and supportive institutional flows. Only after price interacts with the upper supply zone should reversal signs be evaluated, with correction targets around 1.1670–1.1650. The ideal play: wait for confirmation of bearish intent in August, when seasonal weakness typically kicks in.
EURUSD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17463 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17589.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17463 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17589.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Short Trade Explained
EURUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.1727
Stop Loss - 1.1759
Take Profit - 1.1661
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
DeGRAM | EURUSD breakout📊 Technical Analysis
● Breakout – candles have closed twice above the channel roof (black), then retested 1.1690 as support (blue circled zone); the pull-back printed higher-lows along the intraday trend-line, confirming a bullish transition.
● The flag forming beneath 1.1750 measures toward the confluence of the July swing high and rising fork top at 1.1810; invalidation rests at the last swing-low 1.1615.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Euro sentiment improves after Euro-area core CPI edged up to 2.9 % y/y while soft US durable-goods orders trimmed 2-yr Treasury yields, narrowing the rate gap.
✨ Summary
Buy 1.1685-1.1700; hold above 1.169 targets 1.175 ➜ 1.181. Exit on an H1 close below 1.1615.
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EUR/USD | Bullish Momentum Builds – Next Targets Ahead! (READ)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as per the previous analysis, the price first made a strong move in two steps, successfully hitting the 1.15580 target. Upon reaching this key level, it reacted positively with increased demand and is now trading around 1.16520. Given the current trend, I expect further bullish movement soon, with the next potential targets at 1.16720, 1.17230, and 1.17500.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EUR/USD || Correction || 1hr
💼 EUR/USD –🔻 Market Move
Timeframe: 30M | Broker: CMC | Brand: GreenFireForex™
Chart Type: Clean. Tactical. Smart Money meets Waves.
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🔻 Correction Almost Done (Wave 5)
Classic Elliott 5-wave drop inside a bullish falling wedge.
The boys might be setting up a liquidity sweep before lift-off.
📉 Current Range: Grinding between 1.17334 – 1.17153
🕳️ Liquidity Below:
🩷 1.17158 (Mid OB)
🩶 1.17057 (Deep OB)
💜 1.16904 (Max Draw, SL sweep zone)
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🚀 Upside Projections
🎯 TP1: 1.17253 (Quick scalp)
🧠 TP2: 1.17819 (Institutional Magnet)
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🔫 Setup Mood:
🎯 Buy the Dip, don’t chase the breakout.
🧊 Let retail short the wedge, we buy into their fear.
🏎️ Risk-managed, sniper mode.
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👑
"Liquidity funds lifestyle. Waves fund legacy."
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