EUR_USD SUPPORT BELOW|LONG|
✅EUR_USD is trading in
A downtrend but the pair
Will soon hit a horizontal
Support of 1.0180 and
After the retest we will
Be expecting a local
Bullish rebound
LONG🚀
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EURUSD
Levels discussed on Livestream 10th Feb 202510th Feb 2025
DXY: Could trade down to 108 (or consolidate here) before climbing higher to 108.90 or 109 (61.8%).
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5620 SL 20 TP 70 (hesitation at 0.5580)
AUDUSD: In abit of a range, look for test and reaction at 0.6363 resistance level.
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2350 SL 30 TP 85 (watch the trendline)
EURUSD: Sell 1.0290 SL 25 TP 65
USDJPY: Buy 152.40 SL 40 TP 80
EURJPY: Sell 156.25 SL 40 TP 80
GBPJPY: Buy 189.70 SL 60 TP 200
USDCHF: Do nothing, middle of S/R
USDCAD: Buy 1.44 SL 30 TP 60
XAUUSD: Retracing now, needs to stay above 2870, could trade up to 2910
EURUSD: Market of Buyers
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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EURUSD ShortMy biased still has not changed, i am currently still going for short with, 5 pip sl with 50 pip target
XAU/USD : Possible Correction Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that after yesterday's last analysis, the price corrected to $2858 as expected. However, it quickly rebounded, surging 240 pips to reach a new all-time high at $2882!
Today, we finally witnessed some correction from $2882 down to $2848, and gold is currently trading around $2868. If the price manages to stabilize below $2873.5 and experiences a strong rejection from this level, we might even see a correction down to levels below $2850.
With increased market volatility and key macroeconomic events on the horizon, traders should stay cautious. Price action around these levels will be critical in determining the next move, as gold continues to react to fundamental drivers such as inflation data and geopolitical developments. Monitoring price behavior near support and resistance levels will be essential for identifying potential trade opportunities.
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EUR/USD : First SELL, then BUY! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 3-day EUR/USD chart, we can see that, as expected, the price has resumed its correction and is currently trading around 1.03. I still anticipate further downside movement in this range.
The key demand zones are 1.02, 1.005, and 0.99. So, the strategy remains: first, look for SELL opportunities, and then wait for a solid BUY trigger at these levels! 🚀
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EURUSD 1H Death Cross waiting for the perfect Sell.The EURUSD pair completed a 1H Death Cross on today's opening, the first such formation since January 30. Given that we are currently within a Channel Down pattern similar to January's Death Cross, we expect the current formation to follow the trend of the former.
After a short-term rebound above the 1H MA200 (orange trend-line), the previous Channel Down declined aggressively to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. This gives us a new bearish target at 1.01500.
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Euro can drop to support level, exiting from pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. When analyzing the chart, it’s clear that the price initially climbed to the resistance level, which overlapped with the seller zone, but immediately bounced back and dropped to the support level. Shortly after, the Euro broke through the support level, falling below the buyer zone. However, it quickly reversed and began rising within an upward channel. Within this channel, the Euro broke the 1.0265 support level and performed a retest, consolidating near that level for a while before continuing its upward momentum. Eventually, the Euro reached the resistance level, broke through it, and moved up to the resistance line of the channel, ultimately exiting the channel. Afterward, the price formed its first gap and started declining within a pennant pattern, where it soon broke the 1.0435 resistance level. Later, the price created a strong second gap, dropped below the support level, and hit the pennant's support line. From there, the Euro began rising again, breaking the support level once more and climbing back to the resistance level. However, not long ago, the price fell back to the pennant’s support line, creating a third gap. In my view, the Euro can attempt to rise to 1.0360 before dropping back to the support level and exiting the pennant pattern. For this reason, I’ve set my take-profit target at the 1.0265 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EUR/USD - Potential short if price moves to resistanceClear market structure where we see support and resistance respecting price at 1.03500. That can also clearly be seen at 4h chart.
Price is forming lower lows and lower highs
1h 50ema also closing in at 1.03500 + Pivot
EURUSD: in a mixed moodThe major data posted during the previous week for the US market was related to jobs data, released on Friday. The non-farm payrolls in January reached the level of 143K, while the market consensus was standing at 170K. At the same time, the unemployment rate dropped by 0,1 percentage point to the level of 4%, from previous 4,1%. Average hourly earnings were higher by 0,5% for the month, bringing it to the level of 4,1% on a yearly basis. As for other macro data posted for the US during the previous week, the ISM Manufacturing PMI for January was standing at 50,9, a bit higher from market estimate of 49,8. The jobs openings for December show a bit weaker data at 7,6M, in relation to the market expectation of 8M new jobs. The S&P Services PMI for January reached the level of 52,8, which was lower from the market expectation of 54,3. Friday also brought data for Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for February at the level of 67,8, which was lower from estimated 71,1. The Michigan 5 years inflation expectations were also increased by 0,1 percentage point to 3,3%, from previous 3,2%.
Initial inflation estimate for inflation in January in the Euro Zone was 2,5% a bit higher from the market consensus of 2,4%. The core inflation is still elevated at the level of 2,7% y/y, again higher from forecasted 2,6%. The HCOB Composite PMI final for January in Germany was standing at 52,5 while the same indicator for the Euro Zone was at the level of 50,2. Both indicators were in line with market estimates. The retail sales in the Euro Zone in December was higher by 1,9% on a yearly basis, despite its drop of -0,2% for the month. The trade balance in Germany ended the year at the positive territory of 20,7B euro, much higher from estimated 17M euro.
During the previous week the eurusd currency pair was traded in a mixed manner. The Monday trading session started with a strong move from levels around 1,03 all the way down toward 1,05. This was not at all sustainable for the currency pair, so the rest of the week eurusd was traded between 1,044 and 1,031. The reversal toward the down side occurred in the Friday trading session, after the NFP and unemployment data. The currency pair ended the week at the level of 1,032. The RSI is still struggling to hold levels above the 50, but still without success. The indicator was mostly moving around the 45 level. This is an indication that investors are still not quite sure which side to trade. The moving average of 50 days is still diverging from MA200, indicating that there will be no cross of lines in the near period.
Friday's move of the currency pair to the higher grounds for the US Dollar, which occurred after the NFP data were released, is actually pointing that the market is still expecting interest rates to stay higher for a longer period of time. Although the figure of NFP jobs was lower from market expectation, still average hourly earnings showed some increase in the latest period, which might bring inflation to higher grounds, and consequently, impact Fed's decision to hold interest rates at current levels for a longer period of time. Markets will use the week ahead to digest a bit of the latest jobs data, in which sense, some reversal might be possible. Still, without significant data related to inflation, it should not be expected to make any significant move toward the upside. The Resistance line at 1,04 could easily be tested, however, for the higher grounds, there is currently no clear indication on charts. Just in case that the market decides to continue with the downtrend, then the level of 1,02 might be tested.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Industrial Production in January in the Euro Zone, GDP Growth rate Q/Q second estimate for Q4 for the Euro Zone,
USD: Fed Chair Powell testimony at Tuesday, Inflation rate for January, the Producers Price Index in January, Retail Sales in January, Industrial Production in January
AUDCAD Bullish Pennant Formation and Expected Breakout AnalysisAUDCAD BUY Entry Point= 0.90000
Stop loss = 0.89500
AUDCAD is currently trading at 0.90000, with a target price of 0.91500. This setup suggests an expected upward movement of 150+ pips. The market is forming a bullish pennant, a continuation pattern indicating potential for further gains. A breakout from this pattern is anticipated, which could drive prices higher. The breakout confirmation will strengthen the bullish sentiment, increasing the likelihood of reaching the target. Traders should monitor volume and momentum indicators for confirmation. Stop-loss placement is crucial to manage risk effectively. If the breakout is strong, the price could move swiftly towards the target. Patience and proper risk management are key to capitalizing on this setup. Overall, a bullish outlook is expected upon a successful breakout.
EURUSD 10 Feb 2025 W7 - Intraday Analysis - Tariffs!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 10 Feb 2025 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
My Weekly Analysis HERE still the same as Tariffs is the main theme but market reaction is the key.
Is the market got used to the Tariffs news so reactions will be soft and fade or we are going to see more fear in the market with Tariff War ?
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios:
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish to target the Weak INT Low as long LTFs are staying Bearish.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹Price reached the Weak Swing High (4H CHoCH) sweeping the liquidity and turning INT structure to bearish with iBOS.
🔹INT Structure continuing Bearish following the 4H Continuation.
🔹With today open, market created a new Bearish iBOS due to Tariffs announcements.
🔹Current INT High is the 4H CHoCH which could be taken out as liquidity for continuation down.
🔹Price currently reached the Supply zone that caused the Bearish iBOS and we could see continuation down targeting the Weak INT Low.
🔹For me, I’d prefer to short from the 4H Supply after sweeping the 15m INT High (4H CHoCH).
3️⃣
🔹Expectation is for price to continue Bearish targeting the 15m Weak Swing Low.
EUR/USD Range-Bound but Ready to Break Higher? Since the beginning of the year, EUR/USD has been trading within a range, fluctuating between 1.0200 and 1.0440, aside from a few temporary spikes in both directions.
While the overall trend remains bearish, I anticipate a relief rally in the near future, which could push the price toward the 1.0650–1.0700 zone in the medium term.
In the short term, the market remains stable, with a strong support base forming around 1.0200. Given this setup, my bias is bullish, and I’m looking to buy dips, targeting 1.0500 as the first key resistance level.
EURUSD H4 | Bearish DropBased on the H4 chart, price has broken below our sell entry level at 1.03536, confirming a potential bearish continuation.
A retest of this level may present further downside opportunities, with our take profit set at 1.02603, aligning with a pullback support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is placed at 1.04498, above a key resistance level, ensuring the bearish setup remains valid while allowing for natural price fluctuations.
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BUY EURUSDIn this coming week, we anticipate the weekly low to form on Monday, setting up a bullish move. Entry at 1.03270, targeting 1.04485 and 1.05701, with a stop loss at 1.02579. CPI and PPI data this week could drive volatility, but the current structure supports further upside.
Use proper risk management.
Best of luck to you all.
EURUSD Analysis for ShortsWe have a strong resistance level on daily and 4H time frame
expecting a drop from the range drawn
EURUSD 9/02/25Another week is her and we are back with our Sunday markups to start the week off with a clear idea of what we want to see and what we want to trade, as you can see our Orion system is telling us price is most likely running bullish, unless Orion changes we will follow the bias! now of course we know that the big money player are driving the price higher but we have a clear area that we want price to reach which will allow us to follow these big movers, these areas are below price which mean we have to have a counter bias move to be able to get into that long shift. so always keep in mind for us to follow long we must first have shorts in play, big money cant get entries without causing a counter move first. our main interest is for the high volume lows that are narked in gold dotted lines to be ran and then the highs marked above to be taken out, this would in turn give us our long move that is currently in our bias.
Trade safe, follow your risk profile and trade your rules.
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement an could drop from this level to our tke profit.
Entry: 1.0354
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0420
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0263
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURUSD TRADE IDEA: SHORT | SELL (10/02)I think it is quite obvious that EURUSD will continue to the downside as predicted earlier.
It is simple following larger TF order flow
RR: 6.51
N.B.: This is not financial advice. Trade safely and with caution.
EURUSDEURUSD is still in a downtrend. The price has a chance to test the support zone 1.02454-1.01986. If the price cannot break through the 1.01986 level, it is expected that the price will have a chance to rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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EURUSD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0413
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.0336
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADCHF Breaks Resistance After Falling Wedge BreakoutCADCHF is currently trading at 0.6360, with a target price of 0.7500, indicating a bullish outlook. The pair has completed a falling wedge breakout, a strong reversal pattern signaling a potential upward trend. This breakout suggests that selling pressure has weakened, allowing buyers to take control. Additionally, CADCHF is breaking a key resistance level, further confirming bullish momentum. A successful breakout above this resistance could lead to a price surge, targeting over 500 pips in gains. Traders should watch for volume confirmation to ensure the breakout is valid. A strong push above resistance with high volume increases the likelihood of sustained movement. Pullbacks or minor corrections may occur, but the overall trend remains bullish. Risk management strategies, including stop-loss placement, are essential to protect against unexpected reversals. Monitoring economic events affecting CAD and CHF will also help in assessing future price movements.
