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EUR/USD Bullish Setup from Key Support📈 EUR/USD Bullish Setup – Targeting 1.18500 Timeframe: 4H Pair: EUR/USD 💡 Analysis: The market is currently showing strong bullish momentum with clear support zones holding price action. After a healthy retracement, price is reacting well around the recent support level near 1.16800. If this level holds, we can anticipate a bullish continuation toward the target resistance zone at 1.18500. 🔶 Support Levels: 1. 1st Support Area: ~1.16800 – Recent consolidation and strong reaction zone 2. 2nd Support Area: ~1.15800 – Previous breakout level 3. 3rd Support Area: ~1.14300 – Major structure support 🎯 Target Point: • 1.18500 – Major resistance and previous swing high 📊 Trade Idea: We are looking for a bullish move from the current price level (~1.1700) toward the resistance at 1.1850. If price respects the nearest support zone, long entries with proper risk management could be favorable.
Long
by Liquidity_Gold_FX
2
EUR/USD Trade Plan – Sell Limit StrategyEUR/USD has shown signs of completing a 5-wave bullish structure on the 4H chart, with price now re-testing a key supply zone. A Sell Limit has been positioned at 1.17962, anticipating a sharp reversal back toward the order block zone. 🔍 Technical Analysis The chart shows a clear Elliott Wave formation, with wave V forming a weak new high, indicating buyer exhaustion. Price is approaching the 1.17960–1.18013 supply zone, previously unmitigated. This zone also holds an Order Block (OB) and liquidity above wave III, making it a prime area for institutional sell triggers. 📌 Entry: 1.17962 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.18113 🎯 Target Zone: 1.17122 📈 Risk–Reward: 3R – 6R - 10r potential (depending on trade management) 🧠 Fundamental Outlook The upcoming trading week is filled with market-moving events from both the US and Eurozone: 🇺🇸 Key USD Events Non-Farm Payrolls (Fri): Forecast 147K; strong print = bullish USD. Unemployment Rate: Expected at 4.1%. Powell Speech, ISM Services PMI: Will impact rate expectations and USD strength. 🇪🇺 Key EUR Events CPI Flash Estimates: Any surprise may shift ECB tone. Lagarde Speaks: Markets listening for any policy hints after soft data. 🧩 The combination of a potentially strong USD and weakened Euro fundamentals adds weight to a bearish EUR/USD outlook. 💡 Why This Setup Works Perfect Liquidity Trap: The zone is designed to trigger late buyers before reversal. Clean Risk–Reward: Defined SL with a high-probability downside path. Macro + Technical Confluence: Both align toward downside potential. Target OB: Strong institutional demand seen at 1.1712 offers a natural take-profit zone. ⚠️ Execution Guidance Enter only if price hits the Sell Limit zone cleanly. Avoid execution during red news releases. Partial TP suggested near 1.1740 (around 2R–3R) to lock early profit.
Short
by EliseLunaTraders
DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed under the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis ● Price is stalling against the upper band of a three-month rising channel (≈ 1.1790) after producing a false break and quick rejection—marking a potential bull-trap at trend resistance. ● Bearish divergence on the 4 h RSI and the first lower-high inside a micro rising wedge suggest momentum is fading; a slide through 1.1745 should trigger profit-taking toward the mid-channel support at 1.1595. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Solid US payrolls and a hawkish tone in FOMC minutes lift two-year yields, reviving the dollar bid, while post-election coalition wrangling in France keeps a risk premium on the euro. ✨ Summary Sell 1.1785 ± 15 pips; break below 1.1745 targets 1.1595. Invalidate on a 4 h close above 1.1810. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
2
DeGRAM | EURUSD downturn in the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Price is capped by a confluence of the June-July down-sloping channel roof and the former median resistance line at 1.1780; the last three candles form lower highs inside a micro bear-flag. ● Intraday structure now leans on the 1.1745–1.1750 support cluster: a break beneath this shelf completes the flag and exposes the channel floor/June pivot at 1.1690. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Pre-NFP dollar demand is rebuilding as ADP and ISM-services beat consensus, while French election uncertainty revives euro risk premium. ✨ Summary Sell 1.1775 ± 5 pips; sustained trade below 1.1745 targets 1.1690. Short thesis void if 30-min candle closes above 1.1800. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD will continue to grow rapidly📊 Technical Analysis ● Euro keeps hugging the upper rail of the 3-month rising channel after re-testing the broken April triangle top as support, confirming fresh trend acceleration. ● Momentum is unbroken – every 4 h pullback since 17 Jun has held above the inner trend-line (now 1.1717); measured channel height points to the next fib / horizontal cluster at 1.1869. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Softer US durable-goods orders and slowing housing data cooled 2-yr yields, while ECB speakers signalled no rush to ease again; the short-rate gap narrowed for a third session, underpinning EUR strength. ✨ Summary Buy dips ≥1.1717; upside targets 1.1800 then 1.1869. Bull view void on a 4 h close below 1.1600. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support
Long
by DeGRAM
2
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the supply area📊 Technical Analysis ● Price formed an intraday rising wedge right inside the 1.1615-1.1635 supply band; the wedge has broken lower and the last two candles closed back under the long-term trendline retest. ● Bearish follow-through is favoured while price stays below 1.1604; first magnet is the confluence of former breakout base and inner channel support at 1.1569, with 1.1547 (mid-June pivot) the next objective. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Fresh Euro-area PMIs dipped below consensus while U.S. consumer-confidence beat, widening the short-rate gap and reviving USD bids. ✨ Summary Sell rallies ≤1.1600; targets 1.1569 → 1.1547. Bias invalid if 30-min candle closes above 1.1635. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis ● Price has spiked into the confluence of the long-term channel roof (≈1.1615) and a steeper resistance line, printing a rejection candle and bearish divergence on the 1 h RSI. ● The move leaves a lower high versus 13 Jun and snaps the micro up-sloper; a slide back inside the grey 1.1560-1.1520 supply should accelerate toward the mid-June swing floor at 1.1490. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Hotter US S&P-global PMIs rekindled Fed “higher-for-longer” chatter, lifting two-year yields and the DXY, while French election uncertainty widens Bund-Treasury spreads—both pressuring EUR. ✨ Summary Fade rallies 1.1580-1.1610; sustained trade beneath 1.1560 targets 1.1520 ➜ 1.1490. Bearish view void on an hourly close above 1.1630. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support
Short
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD growth in the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● The chart for EURUSD, as indicated in the upper right corner, displays a classic descending wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal signal. Price action has respected the wedge’s lower boundary multiple times, forming a series of higher lows while sellers failed to push the pair below the 1.0670 support zone. The most recent candles show a decisive breakout above the wedge’s upper trendline, accompanied by increased volume, suggesting that buyers are regaining control. This breakout is further validated by the RSI indicator, which has moved out of oversold territory and is now trending upward, confirming the shift in momentum. ● The technical setup is reinforced by the presence of a horizontal resistance level at 1.0750, which has acted as a magnet for price in previous attempts. The chart also highlights a bullish engulfing pattern on the daily timeframe, signaling strong demand and a potential continuation toward the next resistance at 1.0820. The moving averages are beginning to converge, with the shorter-term MA crossing above the longer-term MA, a classic bullish crossover that often precedes sustained upward movement. These factors collectively point to a high-probability scenario for further gains in the EURUSD pair. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Recent fundamental developments support the bullish technical outlook. Over the past two days, the Federal Reserve has maintained its policy rate, but forward guidance has hinted at a possible rate cut later this year, which has weighed on the US dollar. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank has adopted a more cautious stance, with the probability of a near-term rate cut decreasing as inflation data remains sticky in the eurozone. Additionally, easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and stable US retail sales have reduced safe-haven demand for the dollar, further supporting the euro’s advance. ✨ Summary ● A confirmed breakout above the descending wedge and bullish momentum indicators suggest a long entry on EURUSD above 1.0750, targeting 1.0820. The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above the 1.0670 support. A close below this level would invalidate the setup and call for a reassessment of the trend. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis ● Bulls defended the rising-channel mid-line (≈1.1480), turning it into support and snapping the intraday falling wedge; hourly closes now print higher highs above the reclaimed 1.1520 pivot. ● A tight bull flag is forming against 1.1560; its 1.618 swing coincides with the upper rail / 1.1617 resistance, keeping the channel’s momentum bias pointed north. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Softer US housing starts and a slide in 2-yr yields pulled the DXY to two-week lows, while ECB’s Knot warned “premature cuts risk inflation flare-ups,” widening the short-rate gap in the euro’s favour. ✨ Summary Long 1.1515-1.1530; flag break >1.1560 targets 1.1617, stretch 1.1670. Bias void on an H1 close below 1.1480. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD double bottom📊 Technical Analysis ● The price is currently testing the upper resistance of a descending wedge pattern after forming a clear double bottom formation. This double bottom occurred precisely at a confluence of support, where the long-term ascending support line intersects with the lower boundary of the wedge, indicating a strong potential for a bullish reversal from the 1.1450-1.1470 area. ● This recent bullish price action follows a prior "double top" pattern that initiated the corrective move downwards into the current wedge. A decisive breakout and hold above the wedge's resistance would invalidate the recent bearish pressure and confirm that buyers are taking control, with the first significant target being the horizontal resistance line near 1.1523. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Market attention is centered on the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting. While no rate change is expected, forward guidance is key. Current market sentiment, as noted by analysts at RoboForex and FreshForex, is pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut later this year, which could place downward pressure on the US Dollar. ● Conversely, the Euro is finding support from a comparatively hawkish European Central Bank (ECB). Recent reports indicate that the probability of an ECB rate cut has diminished, suggesting a policy divergence that favors EUR strength against the USD, underpinning the technical case for a move higher. ✨ Summary Long entry on a confirmed 30-minute candle close above the descending wedge resistance (~1.1485); initial target 1.1523 → 1.1560. The bullish outlook is invalidated on a close below the double bottom support at 1.1450. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD rebound from the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● A completed AB=CD (0.883 / 1.112) pattern at the channel floor (1.1488) produced a hammer, signalling exhaustion of bears at the measured PRZ. ● Price is now reclaiming the micro structure high 1.1526; that flips the inner range to support and opens the next intra-channel pivot 1.1560, with room to the upper wall near 1.1600. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● EZ May trade balance swung back to a €4 bn surplus while weak US housing starts shaved another 4 bp off 2-yr yields, compressing the short-rate gap and underpinning EUR bids. ✨ Summary Buy 1.1500-1.1530; break >1.1560 targets 1.1600, stretch 1.1650. Bull bias void on 30 min close below 1.1480. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed above the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Euro keeps stair-stepping along the inner trend-line of the 2-month rising channel; each dip to the line (green arrows) is met with higher lows, confirming firm demand around 1.1485-1.1500. ● Friday’s break back above the former wedge cap turned 1.1550 into support; clearing the last swing high at 1.1605 would expose the channel median / fib cluster at 1.1650, with the upper rail near 1.1745 as an extension. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Softer US retail-sales and a slump in NY Fed manufacturing pulled Treasury 2-yr yields under 4.70 %, while ECB speakers warned that further cuts “are not a given,” narrowing the rate gap and reviving euro bids. ✨ Summary Long 1.1520-1.1560; hold above 1.1550 targets 1.1650 ➜ 1.1745. Bias void on an H4 close below 1.1480. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD formed the double top📊 Technical Analysis ● A double-top printed at the channel roof (≈ 1.1600) and a bearish engulfing candle signal exhaustion; price is slipping back inside last week’s inner trend-median, turning 1.1550 into fresh resistance. ● Hourly RSI diverged lower and the grey return line from 1 June has broken; pattern depth points to 1.1500 support, with the channel mid-band / former triangle apex near 1.1470 as the next magnet. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Post-CPI profit-taking meets cautious ECB rhetoric: Lagarde reiterated “no preset easing path,” yet money-markets still price two Fed cuts by year-end, inviting near-term dollar reprieve. ✨ Summary Short 1.1540-1.1560; break below 1.1520 targets 1.1500 → 1.1470. Bear view void on an H1 close above 1.1600. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD above the 1.15📊 Technical Analysis ● Hourly close above 1.1500 completed a small ascending triangle; price is now hugging the rising-channel’s upper rail after a chain of higher-lows, pointing toward the 1.1600 objective. ● Triangle top and channel mid-line overlap at 1.1500-1.1520; while candles stay above, risk : reward favours a push to the next fib / upper parallel near 1.1650. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US core-CPI eased to 0.1 % m/m, driving Treasury yields lower and lifting September Fed-cut odds >70 %, weakening the dollar, while ECB officials talked up a “data-dependent” pause, keeping euro bids firm. ✨ Summary Long bias while price holds 1.1520; targets 1.1600 then 1.1650. Invalidate on an hourly close below 1.1470. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD held the support📊 Technical Analysis ● Euro holds above 1.137 – 1.140, where the channel’s mid-line meets the old wedge roof, printing a fresh higher-low (green arrow). ● Price is compressing inside a pennant capped at 1.142; flag height projects to 1.156 – 1.160 at the rising-channel median once 1.142 gives way. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● After the ECB’s “one-and-pause” cut, sticky EZ core CPI (2.9 % y/y) and softer US payrolls narrowed the 2-yr rate gap, keeping flows tilted toward the euro. ✨ Summary Buy 1.137–1.141; pennant breakout >1.142 targets 1.156 → 1.160. Long bias void on an H4 close below 1.126. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD formed a bullish takeover📊 Technical Analysis ● A bullish engulfing on the grey 1.135-1.139 demand band reclaimed the inner trend-median and confirmed the base of the rising 2-month channel. ● The pull-back has just retested the broken wedge top (~1.140) as support; pattern height projects a grind to the channel mid-rail / horizontal cluster at 1.1565. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Ahead of the ECB’s expected “one-and-pause” 25 bp cut, EZ core CPI stayed stuck at 2.9 % y/y while soft US job-openings and lower T-bill yields narrowed the 2-yr spread, helping bids return to the euro. ✨ Summary Long 1.137-1.140; hold above 1.135 seeks 1.156 ➜ 1.160. Invalidate on H4 close < 1.126. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2
DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed above the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis ● Price has broken the H1 descending-channel roof and twice “fixed” above it at ≈1.137, turning the former ceiling into short-term support. ● The rebound forms an ascending triangle under 1.142; its measured swing targets 1.156 – 1.160, where the violet long-term resistance line and mid-channel parallel converge. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Markets expect the ECB to cut only 25 bp on 6 Jun and signal patience, while soft US JOLTS openings and slipping ISM-prices lifted September Fed-cut odds past 60 %, narrowing the 2-yr yield gap and underpinning EUR. ✨ Summary Buy 1.135-1.137; triangle break >1.142 seeks 1.156 → 1.160. Long view void on an H1 close below 1.126. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
EURUSD - Short Opportunity Ahead EURUSD is currently approaching a key resistance level after a strong upward move. Price action is showing signs of exhaustion, and bearish signals are beginning to emerge. If the pair fails to break above the resistance and confirms a rejection, we may see a short-term pullback or a potential trend reversal. A clean break below the recent support zone could provide a short opportunity, with possible downside targets near previous lows. As always, proper risk management is essential, especially in high-volatility conditions. --- Key Technical Points: Price nearing a strong resistance zone Bearish candlestick formation / divergence (if applicable) Wait for confirmation before entering a short position 🔒 This is a trade idea for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
by Smart_Trading_Strategy
3