EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Double Top Pattern & Bearish MoveThis EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a clear Double Top pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. The chart displays key technical elements, including support and resistance levels, trendlines, a stop-loss placement, and a take-profit target. Let’s go through an in-depth professional breakdown of this trading setup.
1. Market Structure and Trend Analysis
Before identifying the pattern, it’s crucial to analyze the market structure:
✔ The price had been in an uptrend initially, making higher highs and higher lows.
✔ However, the trend began to weaken after hitting resistance at the 1.0950 zone.
✔ This failure to break higher created a double top, which is a strong bearish reversal signal.
A double top forms when the price reaches a high twice, fails to break above resistance, and then declines past the neckline (support level), confirming trend reversal.
2. Double Top Pattern Breakdown
🔹 First Peak (Top 1):
The price surged upwards, hitting the resistance zone at 1.0950, but faced selling pressure.
The rejection resulted in a pullback to the neckline (support level at 1.0800-1.0820).
🔹 Second Peak (Top 2):
The price attempted another rally but failed at the same resistance zone, confirming seller dominance.
The second rejection suggests a lack of bullish strength, signaling a potential shift in momentum.
🔹 Neckline (Support Breakdown):
The key support zone around 1.0800 acted as a pivot level.
Once this level was breached, it confirmed bearish continuation.
3. Key Technical Levels & Price Action Signals
🟢 Resistance Level – 1.0950 Zone
This level has acted as a strong supply zone where sellers stepped in to push prices lower. The two failed breakout attempts indicate that buyers lost control.
🔵 Support Level (Neckline) – 1.0800-1.0820 Zone
Initially, this area provided buyer support, but once broken, it became a resistance level (previous support turns into new resistance).
⚡ Stop-Loss Placement – 1.09190
A well-placed stop-loss above the resistance zone protects against false breakouts.
If the price rises above this level, it invalidates the bearish structure.
🎯 Take-Profit Target – 1.06916
The projected target aligns with the measured move (the distance from the resistance to the neckline).
The price may find support at this level, where traders should look for a potential reversal or continuation.
4. Confirmation of Bearish Breakdown
For a high-confidence short trade, multiple confluences support the bearish bias:
✔ Break & Retest of the Neckline – After breaking support, the price attempted a retest and failed, confirming resistance.
✔ Trendline Break – The trendline supporting the previous uptrend has been decisively broken.
✔ Bearish Price Action – The formation of strong red candles and lower highs suggests sustained selling pressure.
✔ Momentum Shift – Increased bearish volume further confirms the reversal strength.
5. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
✅ Entry Criteria
Sell after the retest rejection at the previous support (now resistance).
Look for a strong bearish candle formation as a confirmation signal.
📉 Risk Management
Stop-Loss: Placed slightly above 1.09190, ensuring the pattern remains valid.
Take-Profit: Target set at 1.06916, aligning with previous structure support.
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio
The setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, making it a high-probability trade.
6. Alternative Scenarios & Market Considerations
Although the bearish bias is dominant, traders should be prepared for alternative outcomes:
🔸 Fakeout Risk: If price closes above 1.09190, it could indicate a failed breakdown, invalidating the trade.
🔸 Bounce from 1.06916: If the price reaches the target support zone, buyers might step in, leading to a potential reversal.
🔸 Fundamental Influence: News events (such as FOMC, ECB statements, or US inflation data) can increase volatility and impact price direction.
7. Conclusion – A High-Probability Short Trade
This Double Top pattern setup presents a textbook bearish reversal, offering an excellent short-selling opportunity. The combination of technical confirmations, price action signals, and a well-structured risk-reward ratio makes this trade highly reliable.
Final Takeaways:
✔ Bearish Confirmation – Double Top breakdown with a retest rejection.
✔ Sell Setup Validity – Below 1.0800 support.
✔ Stop-Loss & Target Defined – Risk-controlled strategy execution.
📊 Verdict: Bearish trade setup with downside potential toward 1.06916. Traders should monitor price action for further confirmations! 🚀
Eurusdanalysis
EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Breakdown Setup1. Market Structure & Trend
The EUR/USD chart shows a previous uptrend, confirmed by the ascending trendline, where the price made higher highs and higher lows. However, the trendline has now been broken, signaling a potential shift in market direction. The price is currently retracing from a key resistance zone, and a possible bearish continuation is expected.
2. Key Levels & Zones
✅ Resistance Zone (1.09563 - 1.1000):
This blue-shaded area represents a strong resistance level, where sellers have stepped in multiple times.
Price previously attempted to break this level but failed, forming a rejection.
This suggests buyers are losing strength, and sellers are likely to dominate.
✅ Support Level (1.0800 - 1.0780):
A critical support zone, which acted as a demand area in the past.
If price breaks below this level with strong bearish momentum, it confirms a trend reversal.
✅ Target Level (1.06870):
The next major downside target aligns with previous market structure and liquidity zones.
This area marks a key demand zone, where buyers might step in again.
3. Trade Setup & Execution Plan
🔹 Entry Strategy
A sell entry is ideal on a confirmed break and retest of the support zone at 1.0800.
If price retests this level and forms bearish rejection candles (such as pin bars or engulfing patterns), it strengthens the bearish bias.
🔹 Stop Loss & Risk Management
A stop loss should be placed above the resistance zone at 1.09563, ensuring a safe exit if the market reverses bullish.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Entry: Below 1.0800 (after confirmation).
Stop Loss: Above 1.09563 (resistance zone).
Target: 1.06870 (support zone).
RRR: Around 1:3, meaning potential profit is three times the risk.
4. Confirmation Indicators & Confluences
✅ Bearish Trendline Break:
The ascending trendline has been broken, confirming a possible shift in trend.
✅ Support Flip:
If the price breaks support and retests it as resistance, it confirms bearish continuation.
✅ Price Action Candlestick Patterns:
Look for bearish engulfing candles, pin bars, or rejection wicks at key levels.
✅ Volume Analysis:
Increased selling pressure after support break indicates strong bearish momentum.
5. Final Thoughts & Bias
📉 Bias: Bearish (Unless resistance is reclaimed).
💡 Key Watch: Break and retest of 1.0800 support for confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management: Always use a stop loss to manage risk effectively.
Conclusion
This setup presents a high-probability short trade with a clear entry, stop loss, and target. Traders should wait for confirmation signals before executing the trade. If price breaks above resistance, the bearish outlook is invalidated.
🔔 Stay cautious and trade with discipline! 🚀
EURUSD Sell and Buy Trading PlanH4 - We had a strong bullish move with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure
This strong bullish move ended with a bearish Divergence
While measuring this strong bullish move using the Fibonacci retracement tool we have two key support zones that has formed (marked in green)
So based on this I expect potential short term bearish moves now towards the key support zones and then potential continuation higher.
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EURUSD at Key Resistance Level – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD has reached a key resistance level, marked by prior price rejections, suggesting strong selling interest. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.07400 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Fatigue in EUR/USD: Time to Sell the Rallies?Last week, EUR/USD saw an explosive rise, breaking above my 1.06 target and even surpassing the next resistance at 1.08.
However, signs of fatigue are emerging, and there appears to be significant selling liquidity around the 1.09 level.
With the DXY currently in a support zone and potentially set for an upward reversal, I expect EUR/USD to decline and correct its 500-pip rally.
A break back below 1.08 would confirm this scenario, potentially leading to a test of the 1.06 zone.
Selling rallies near 1.09 could offer a favorable risk-reward opportunity.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
EURUSD $EURUSD | 4% EURUSD BULLISH RALLY Mar09'25EURUSD FX:EURUSD | 4% EURUSD BULLISH RALLY Mar09'25
Sparros Exchange Trend Table:
FX:EURUSD Weekly Trend: Bullish
FX:EURUSD Daily Trend: Bullish
FX:EURUSD 4H Trend: Bullish
FX:EURUSD 1H Trend: Bullish
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): 1.08750 - 1.11100
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): 1.08155 - 1.08750
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): 1.05125 - 1.08155
EURUSD has rallied over +4% this past week.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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DeGRAM | EURUSD reached a resistanceEURUSD is in a descending channel between trend lines.
Price is aiming for the upper boundary of the channel and dynamic resistance.
The chart maintains the descending structure and has already approached the dynamic resistance, which was previously a pullback point.
On 1D Timeframe indicators are in overbought zone, and on 1H a bearish divergence is forming.
We expect a pullback.
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EUR/USD Surges, but Is a Reversal Coming?After retesting the 1.0360 support during Monday’s Asian session open, EUR/USD reversed to the upside, reaching the 1.05 resistance zone.
The pair then broke above this level, surging higher and reaching the 1.08 zone, surpassing the 1.0780 resistance.
Currently, the pair is consolidating above this level. However, since the DXY is sitting on strong support with a high chance of reversal, this breakout could turn out to be a false one.
If the price drops back below the 1.0780 zone, it would confirm a false breakout, potentially leading to a decline toward the 1.06 support level.
In conclusion, I’m waiting for confirmation to enter short positions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the upper boundary of the channelEURUSD is above the ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price has already reached the upper boundary of the channel and is now moving from the dynamic resistance, which earlier was the starting point of the correction.
On the 4H Timeframe, the indicators indicate overbought.
We expect a pullback.
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Market Analysis: EUR/USD RalliesMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Rallies
EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.0550 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a decent recovery wave from the 1.0360 zone against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0570 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0360 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.0450 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the last analysis.
The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.0550. Finally, the pair tested the 1.0635 resistance. A high was formed near 1.0637 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.0359 swing low to the 1.0637 high.
Immediate support on the downside is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.0570. The next major support is the 1.0500 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.0359 swing low to the 1.0637 high.
A downside break below the 1.0500 support could send the pair toward the 1.0465 level. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.0425.
Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.0635 zone. The first major resistance is near the 1.0665 level. An upside break above the 1.0665 level might send the pair toward the 1.0720 resistance.
The next major resistance is near the 1.0750 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.0800 level.
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EURUSD Correcting – Another Fall Ahead?Today I want to analyze EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) for a 15-minute time frame and whether EURUSD is ready to fall or not.
EURUSD is moving in a Heavy Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) . It also moves in the descending channel in the 15-minute time frame.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has completed its 5 downward waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . I expect corrective waves to end either in a descending channel or eventually at a Resistance zone($1.0493-$1.0480) .
I expect EURUSD to attack the Support lines in the coming hours, and if the Support lines break , we should expect a decline to at least 100_SMA(4-hour) .
Note: If EURUSD breaks the Resistance line, we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD lower volatilityEURUSD is in an ascending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel, resistance level and upper trend line, which has repeatedly acted as a pullback point.
After the chart failed to form an ascending structure, the volatility decreased and after the chart returned under the dynamic resistance level and is currently holding under the important psychological level of $1.05.
We expect the pair to pullback to $1.03430 after consolidating under the supply zone.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD will continue to grow in the channelEURUSD is in an ascending channel above the trend lines.
The price is holding the lower boundary of the supply zone.
The chart is still forming an ascending structure.
We expect the growth to continue in the channel, we believe that the chart will soon form an ascending top.
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EUR/USD (30M) – Waiting for a BreakoutHi Traders ! ,The price is ranging between 1.04688 and 1.04819. I'm waiting for a clear breakout to enter:
Buy (long): If it breaks 1.04730 and confirms, it could target 1.04819 and then 1.05050.
RSI is currently at 52.73, showing neutral momentum. A push above 60 would strengthen a bullish setup.
Sell (short): If it drops below 1.04688, it could reach 1.04557 and 1.04400.
If RSI falls below 40, it would confirm bearish momentum.
I prefer to wait for confirmations before taking a position.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before making any trading decisions.
Euro / U.S. Dollar
Hello Dear Traders
Euro Analysis
Based on the DXY analysis, which is bullish, I present to you the updated analysis for the Euro. I have identified the suitable selling area on the 1-hour timeframe. We are in a downward structure on the 4-hour timeframe, while the minor 1-hour chart is bullish. By obtaining confirmation from the 1-hour chart—validated by breaking the CHoCH—we can utilize this area of the Secret Order Block (1H) for entering a sell position.
Again, in the selling area, a 5-minute confirmation can help us optimize our entry into the trade.
First Support: 1.04494
1-Hour Liquidity: 1.03731
Potential Suitable Buying Area: 1.02720, which I will update once the price reaches this level.
Thank you for your support and companionship, dear friends.
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Centre (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
EUR/USD Chart Analysis: Exchange Rate Hits Highest LevelEUR/USD Chart Analysis: Exchange Rate Hits Highest Level Since Early February
The EUR/USD chart shows the euro rising above its previous February peak of 1.05155, set on the 14th.
On one hand, the euro's strength is driven by Germany’s national elections over the weekend, where the opposition conservatives, led by Friedrich Merz, secured victory as expected. Investors are now focused on how quickly Merz’s party can form a coalition government to implement much-needed economic reforms.
On the other hand, the US dollar index has fallen to its lowest level since mid-December.
According to Reuters, the dollar’s weakness is influenced by:
→ Shifting market perceptions of its value amid Trump’s tariff policies in global trade.
→ Declining US Treasury yields due to expectations of further Fed rate cuts in 2025.
Technical Analysis of EUR/USD Chart
Price movements form an upward channel (marked in blue), but the red arrow highlights bearish activity near resistance levels at:
→ The yearly high around 1.05333.
→ The median line of the channel.
Given the lower liquidity at the start of trading, the initial breakout above the psychological 1.05000 level may have been false. Potential bearish pressure could push EUR/USD towards a support zone, including:
→ The 1.0400 level.
→ The lower boundary of a broader channel (marked in orange).
If bulls intend to maintain their February momentum, signs of buying activity may emerge near the lower boundary of the blue channel.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Gains PaceMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Gains Pace
EUR/USD started a decent upward move above the 1.0460 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro found support and started a recovery wave above the 1.0400 resistance zone.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0460 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0290 zone. The Euro climbed above the 1.0400 resistance zone against the US Dollar.
The pair even settled above the 1.0450 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.0515 resistance. A high is formed near 1.0514 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0292 swing low to the 1.0514 high.
Immediate support is near the 1.0445 level. The next major support is at 1.0400 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0292 swing low to the 1.0514 high.
If there is a downside break below 1.0400, the pair could drop toward the 1.0375 support. The main support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.0290, below which the pair could start a major decline.
On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 1.0460. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0460. The next major resistance is near the 1.0515 level. An upside break above 1.0515 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.0550.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the supply zoneEURUSD is in the supply zone in an ascending channel above the trend lines.
Price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel and has already broken the upper trend line.
Indicators are pointing to a local bearish divergence on the 1H Timeframe.
The chart is forming a local upward structure.
We expect a pullback after a retest of the upper boundary of the supply zone.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD broke the downward structureEURUSD is above the descending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the dynamic support and has already consolidated above the upper boundary of the channel.
The chart has broken the descending structure and has already approached the past top.
We expect the pair to continue rising after consolidating above the 1.04327 level.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD decline in the channelEURUSD is in a descending channel between trend lines.
Price has reached the upper boundary of the channel and dynamic resistance and is now holding under the 62% retracement level.
The chart has broken the descending structure, but the ascending one has not been formed yet.
The indicators on the 1H Timeframe indicate local overbought and a bearish divergence has formed.
We expect a decline in the channel after a retest of the upper boundary.
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