Eurusdbuy
EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 15th I shared this idea "EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea"
Expected retraces and further continuation higher until the strong support zone holds. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price is moving as per the plan!!!
Retraces happening as expected, my bullish view still remains the same here.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Euro Stablecoin BOOMS: Bye, USD?The Euro Stablecoin Ascends: EURC Hits Record High as Traders Eye Dollar Alternatives Amid Global Uncertainty
For years, the digital asset landscape has been dominated by the US dollar, not just in trading volume but fundamentally through the ubiquity of USD-pegged stablecoins. Tokens like Tether (USDT) and Circle's own USD Coin (USDC) have become the bedrock of the crypto economy, acting as crucial bridges between volatile cryptocurrencies and traditional fiat, facilitating trading, lending, and yield generation within decentralized finance (DeFi). However, the winds of change may be subtly shifting. Amidst a backdrop of persistent global trade tensions, geopolitical maneuvering, and questions surrounding the long-term trajectory of the US dollar, alternative fiat-backed stablecoins are gaining traction. Leading this nascent charge is the Euro Coin (EURC), Circle's Euro-backed offering, which recently surged to a record market capitalization exceeding $246 million.
This milestone, while still dwarfed by its multi-billion dollar USD counterparts, is significant. It signals a growing appetite among traders, investors, and institutions for stable digital assets pegged to currencies other than the greenback. The rise of EURC isn't happening in a vacuum; it reflects a confluence of factors challenging the dollar's undisputed reign in the digital sphere and highlighting the strategic appeal of diversification.
Understanding the Stablecoin Status Quo and the Dollar's Dominance
Stablecoins are indispensable cogs in the crypto machine. They offer price stability relative to a specific asset (usually a major fiat currency), allowing market participants to park funds, calculate profits, pay for services, and interact with DeFi protocols without the wild price swings characteristic of Bitcoin or Ethereum. USDT and USDC have achieved massive network effects, integrated across countless exchanges, wallets, and DeFi applications, making them the default choice for liquidity and settlement.
Their success, however, inherently ties a vast swathe of the digital economy to the US dollar's fate and US monetary policy. For international users, particularly those operating primarily within the Eurozone or holding significant Euro-denominated assets or liabilities, relying solely on USD stablecoins introduces foreign exchange (FX) risk and potential conversion inefficiencies.
Enter EURC: A Regulated Euro On-Chain
Launched by Circle, the same regulated fintech firm behind the highly successful USDC, Euro Coin (EURC) aims to replicate the trust and utility of its dollar sibling, but pegged 1:1 to the Euro. Each EURC token is intended to be fully backed by Euros held in dedicated, segregated bank accounts under Circle's custody. This emphasis on transparency and regulatory compliance, mirroring the approach taken with USDC, is crucial for building trust, especially among institutional players wary of less transparent stablecoin issuers.
The recent surge in EURC's supply to over €246 million (equivalent to ~$246 million at the time of the record, assuming near parity for simplicity, though the exact USD value fluctuates) indicates accelerating adoption. This growth isn't just passive accumulation; it suggests active minting driven by real demand.
Why the Shift? Trade Uncertainty and the Allure of Diversification
The primary catalyst cited for this growing interest in non-USD stablecoins is the pervasive sense of uncertainty clouding the global trade environment and the US dollar's outlook. Several factors contribute to this:
1. Geopolitical Tensions & Deglobalization Trends: Ongoing conflicts, shifting alliances, and a move towards regional trading blocs can create volatility and potentially weaken dominant currencies like the dollar as nations explore alternative payment and reserve systems.
2. US Economic Concerns: Debates around US national debt levels, inflation trajectory, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions can lead some international investors and traders to hedge against potential dollar depreciation.
3. Desire for FX Hedging: Businesses and traders operating significantly within the Eurozone may prefer a Euro-native stablecoin to minimize the costs and risks associated with constantly converting between EUR and USD stablecoins. Holding EURC directly aligns their digital cash position with their operational currency.
4. European Regulatory Clarity (MiCA): The implementation of the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation in the European Union provides a clearer framework for stablecoin issuers and users within the bloc, potentially boosting confidence in well-regulated Euro stablecoins like EURC.
5. DeFi Diversification: As the DeFi ecosystem matures, users are seeking more diverse collateral types and trading pairs. EURC allows for the creation of Euro-based liquidity pools and lending markets, catering to a specific user base and reducing systemic reliance on USD assets.
Traders aren't necessarily predicting an imminent dollar collapse, but rather strategically positioning themselves to mitigate risk. Holding a portion of their stable digital assets in EURC provides a hedge – if the dollar weakens against the Euro, the value of their EURC holdings, when measured in dollars, would increase, offsetting potential losses on USD-denominated assets.
Use Cases and Potential Beyond Hedging
While hedging FX risk is a significant driver, the utility of EURC extends further:
• Seamless Euro Transactions: Facilitates frictionless payments and settlements within the Eurozone using blockchain technology.
• European DeFi Growth: Enables the development of DeFi applications tailored to the European market, offering Euro-based borrowing, lending, and yield opportunities.
• Remittances: Potentially offers a more efficient channel for cross-border Euro transfers compared to traditional banking rails.
• Trading Pairs: Allows exchanges to offer direct EURC trading pairs against various cryptocurrencies, simplifying the process for Euro-based traders.
Challenges and the Road Ahead
Despite its record supply, EURC faces hurdles. Its market capitalization and liquidity remain a fraction of USDT's and USDC's. This lower liquidity can mean higher slippage on large trades and limits its immediate utility as deep collateral in major DeFi protocols, which thrive on multi-billion dollar liquidity pools. Building the network effect – getting listed on more exchanges, integrated into more wallets, and accepted by more DeFi platforms – takes time and concerted effort.
Furthermore, EURC's success is intrinsically linked to the stability and economic health of the Eurozone itself. It diversifies away from the dollar, but not away from fiat risk entirely. The regulatory landscape, while clarifying under MiCA, will continue to evolve and shape the operational environment.
Conclusion: A Sign of a Maturing Market
The surge in Circle's EURC supply to over $246 million is more than just a numerical milestone; it's a tangible indicator of a maturing stablecoin market seeking diversification beyond the US dollar. Driven by global trade uncertainties, geopolitical shifts, and a desire among European users and savvy traders to hedge FX risk, Euro-based stablecoins are carving out a growing niche. While the dollar-pegged giants still dominate, the ascent of well-regulated alternatives like EURC signifies a crucial step towards a potentially multi-polar stablecoin future. It underscores the demand for trusted, compliant digital representations of major world currencies, offering users greater choice and resilience in an increasingly complex global financial landscape. The journey for EURC and its Euro counterparts is still in its early stages, but the trend towards diversification is clear, promising a more varied and potentially more stable digital asset ecosystem ahead.
EURUSD Short Term Buy IdeaH4 - Strong bullish momentum
Higher highs on the moving averages of the MACD
No opposite signs
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the strong support zone holds.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Setup: Buy First, Sell Later – Don’t Miss the Move!EURUSD has been trending upward for a while now, just as we discussed in the last post. We're reaching higher levels, and while it does look like we could be approaching a potential sell zone, I’m staying patient.
I believe there are still some highs above us that need to be taken out first. What we’re seeing right now could be manipulation—an attempt to trap early sellers. That’s why I won’t be selling yet.
Instead, I’m watching for buy setups today and tomorrow off key levels on my chart. Once those highs are swept and we get confirmation, that’s when I’ll start looking for potential sells.
Give this a boost if you found it useful!
EUR/AUD 4H Trade Setup: Demand Zone Bounce to 1.87500🔵 Key Zones and Levels
🟦 Demand Zone: Strong support area where price has bounced multiple times.
✅ Confluence with the trendline gives extra strength.
🎯 Entry Point: 1.78990
Perfect spot for a potential buy setup.
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.76962
Below the demand zone to protect against false breakouts.
🚀 Target Point: 1.87500
Profit goal with an impressive +4.85% potential (867.4 pips)!
📊 Price Action
📍Current price: 1.80528 (hovering near EMA and close to entry)
🔁 Price has tested the support zone several times — showing signs of accumulation.
⬆️ Potential bullish breakout from this zone.
🔍 Indicators & Patterns
📏 EMA (7): Price is near it, waiting for a clear move above for momentum.
📈 Trendline: Holding well as dynamic support.
🔶 Channel pattern: Higher highs and higher lows indicate uptrend structure.
📌 Summary
🟢 Buy Setup:
🛒 Entry: 1.78990
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.76962
🎯 Target: 1.87500
⚖️ Risk-Reward: Great R:R setup with strong technical backing!
EUR/USD Bullish Breakout & Retest Setup – Targeting 1.10955Instrument: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 30-Minute
Indicators Used:
EMA 30 (Red): 1.09821
EMA 200 (Blue): 1.09698
Key Levels Identified:
Entry Point: 1.09695
Stop Loss: Around 1.09067
Resistance Zone: ~1.09911
Target Zone: ~1.10918 to 1.10955
Projected Gain: ~147.3 pips (1.35%)
Price Action Analysis:
Bullish Breakout:
The price broke out from a consolidation zone (marked in purple).
A bullish trend is forming as price moves above the 200 EMA.
EMAs Alignment:
The 30 EMA is currently above the 200 EMA, indicating a potential bullish trend continuation.
However, price is slightly below the 30 EMA now, suggesting some short-term pullback or resistance.
Retest at Entry Zone:
Price retested the entry zone at 1.09695 after the breakout and is now hovering near it.
This retest is healthy for confirming support before another move up.
Trade Setup Insight:
Entry Strategy: A long (buy) entry at or around 1.09695.
Stop Loss Placement: Below the previous support zone near 1.09067 to manage risk.
Target Strategy: Aiming for the resistance zone around 1.10918–1.10955 for profit booking.
Conclusion:
This looks like a bullish continuation setup with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The confluence of:
EMA support,
Price structure (breakout & retest),
and defined resistance/target zone
EURUSD LIVE TRADE 100 PIP MOVE EUR/USD trades decisively higher on the day above 1.1000 on Wednesday as the US Dollar (USD) stays under persistent selling pressure on growing fears over a recession as a result of the US trade war with China. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the March policy meeting.
EURUSD TO BUY (Wednesday-FOMC Meeting Minutes and Thursday-CPI)As EURUSD as been dropping the past couple of days, it has been on the support levels of 1.0900 lately. On Wednesday and Thursday, there are news about FOMC Meeting Minutes and CPI of the US Dollar. Therefore, we could possibly see price of the EURUSD going up based on news, support pattern of the triangle.
TP: 1.1050-1.110
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone–1HChart AnalysisEUR/USD 1H Chart Analysis
🔵 Trend Line:
* Price was respecting a falling trend line
* Lower highs marked with 🔴 red dots showing bearish pressure
🟦 Demand Zone (Support Area):
* Price is currently hovering around a demand zone
* Marked by a blue box — this is where buyers are stepping in
* Think of this as a "bounce zone"
📍Marked with 🟦 blue dots as key bounce points
🚀 Potential Bullish Breakout: • If price breaks the trend line — get ready for lift-off
* Entry idea: ✅ Buy near the bottom of the blue zone
* Target: 🎯 1.11455
* Profit potential: +241 pips (2.21%)
* Move marked with 🟧 upward arrow path
❌ Stop Loss: • Just below the demand zone at 1.08809
* Marked with a ⚠️ stop sign to avoid large losses
📉 DEMA (9): • Yellow moving average line — shows recent momentum
* Right now, price is slightly below it, but a break above can support bullish case
Summary:
Buy Setup
✅ Entry: Around 1.09000 (🟦 demand zone)
🎯 Target: 1.11455
⚠️ Stop Loss: 1.08809
📈 Risk:Reward — Great!
Elliott Wave Outlook (Wave C in Progress?)Key Technical Zones:
Demand Zone: 0.9750 – 1.0350 (Support from Wave B low)
Supply Zone: 1.1600 – 1.2000 (Potential Wave C target)
Current Price: 1.0959
Support Levels: 1.0730, 1.0350
Resistance Levels: 1.1250, 1.1600
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact for Wave C as long as the pair holds above 1.0730. Any deeper pullback into the demand zone could still be part of a healthy correction, offering long opportunities on confirmation. Keep an eye on macroeconomic data, especially from the U.S. (FOMC, CPI) and EU (ECB stance), as they may heavily influence EUR/USD sentiment in the coming weeks.
Conclusion:
Watch for bullish continuation setups toward the supply zone, but remain cautious of a mid-term rejection pattern, which could trigger a deeper correction. Trade safely, and always use proper risk management.
Current Scenario:
Price is now trading near 1.0950, suggesting a potential Wave C rally in progress.
If Wave C unfolds as anticipated, EUR/USD could approach the supply zone marked between 1.1600–1.2000, which aligns with previous structural resistance and Fibonacci retracement levels.
However, a false breakout or early rejection from current levels could lead to a sharp retracement, possibly retesting the demand zone before any major upside continuation.
Cup & Handle Pattern on EUR/USD – Bullish Breakout Setup🏗️ 1. Pattern Structure Breakdown
🔵 Cup Formation:
The left side of the chart illustrates a steep decline beginning around mid-October 2024, forming the left lip of the cup.
The bottom of the cup was established between late December 2024 and early February 2025, where the market found a strong support level near 1.0220.
A rounded bottom formed, which indicates accumulation and decreasing bearish momentum.
The right side of the cup shows a strong bullish reversal from the support zone, gradually returning to the previous highs around 1.1050–1.1100, completing the cup shape.
⚫ Handle Formation:
A slight pullback or consolidation occurred after reaching the resistance zone, forming the handle between late March and early April 2025.
This handle appears as a small descending channel or flag, which is typical for this pattern.
Price remained above the support trendline, showing strength in the handle without breaking the overall bullish structure.
🔍 2. Key Technical Zones
📌 Resistance Level (Breakout Zone): 1.1050 – 1.1100
Marked by prior price rejection and the top of the cup.
The successful breakout above this zone confirms the cup and handle breakout.
📌 Support Level: 1.0220 – 1.0300
This zone provided a base during the cup’s rounding bottom and serves as a critical demand area.
📌 Stop Loss: 1.07380
Positioned below the recent swing low (handle low), providing a safe buffer.
This placement respects both market structure and risk management.
🎯 3. Target Projection
✅ Price Target: 1.14780
Based on the measured move technique:
Measure the depth of the cup (approx. 1.1100 - 1.0220 = 880 pips).
Project that distance above the breakout point (around 1.1050).
Target = 1.1050 + 0.0880 = 1.1930 (but a conservative target of 1.14780 is used here).
This target aligns with a previous resistance level from mid-2023, adding confluence.
📈 4. Trade Setup Summary
Component Description
Pattern Cup and Handle (Bullish Continuation)
Entry Point Breakout above 1.1050 resistance
Stop Loss Below 1.0738 (recent low)
Target 1.1478 (based on measured move)
Risk/Reward Ratio Approx. 1:2.5 or better
💡 5. Technical Insights and Confluence
Volume Consideration (if available): Typically, volume decreases during the cup and increases during the breakout. Although volume is not shown here, this pattern suggests accumulation.
Handle Behavior: The handle did not breach the mid-point of the cup, maintaining a strong bullish structure.
Market Sentiment: Given the steady incline and the bullish breakout, it suggests buyers are in control.
🏁 Conclusion
This is a textbook Cup and Handle breakout setup on the EUR/USD daily chart. The structure shows a clear transition from bearish to bullish sentiment, accumulation at support, and a confirmed breakout with strong potential upside.
It offers an excellent long opportunity with favorable risk-reward, clear invalidation, and a historically reliable price pattern.
EUR/USD – Bullish Flag Pattern & Trade SetupTechnical Analysis & Trade Plan for TradingView Idea
This chart illustrates a Bullish Flag Pattern on the EUR/USD 1-hour timeframe, suggesting a potential continuation of the prevailing uptrend. Below is a detailed breakdown of the market structure, key levels, and a professional trading strategy.
📌 Chart Pattern: Bullish Flag Formation
The Bullish Flag is a continuation pattern that forms after a strong upward price movement, followed by a short period of consolidation within a downward-sloping channel. It signals a brief pause before the trend resumes.
Flagpole: The sharp price increase before the consolidation.
Flag: The corrective downward movement forming a small parallel channel.
Breakout Potential: A confirmed breakout above resistance could lead to a further bullish rally.
🔍 Key Technical Levels & Market Structure
🔵 Resistance Level (Supply Zone)
The upper boundary of the flag pattern acts as resistance.
A breakout above this level could trigger a strong buying opportunity.
🟢 Support Level (Demand Zone)
The lower boundary of the flag provides support.
Price is currently testing this zone, which is a critical decision point.
🎯 Target Price: 1.14544 (Projected Move)
The price target is calculated based on the height of the flagpole added to the breakout point.
This aligns with a previous significant resistance area.
📈 Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
✅ Entry Criteria:
A confirmed breakout above the flag's resistance level with a strong bullish candlestick.
Increased trading volume supporting the breakout.
🚨 Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed below the support zone of the flag to manage risk in case of a false breakout.
Take Profit Target: At 1.14544, aligning with the measured move of the flag pattern.
📊 Trade Confirmation Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): A reading above 50 confirms bullish momentum.
Moving Averages (50 EMA/200 EMA): A bullish crossover would strengthen the buying signal.
Volume Analysis: A breakout should be accompanied by high trading volume for confirmation.
⚠️ Potential Risks & Alternative Scenarios
Fake Breakout: If the price breaks out but lacks volume, it could be a false signal.
Bearish Reversal: If price breaks below the support zone, the bullish flag setup becomes invalid.
Market Sentiment Shift: Unexpected news events can impact price movement.
📝 Summary
The EUR/USD pair has formed a Bullish Flag Pattern, signaling a possible continuation of the uptrend.
A breakout above the resistance level would confirm the pattern and provide a strong buying opportunity.
Risk management is essential, with a stop loss placed below the support level.
Final Target: 1.14544, based on the flagpole’s measured move.
💡 Conclusion: A well-structured breakout above resistance could lead to a bullish rally toward 1.14544. However, patience and confirmation are key before entering the trade.
EUR/USD Analysis Ascending Triangle Breakout – Bullish TargetOverview of the Chart:
The chart represents the EUR/USD (Euro to U.S. Dollar) pair on a 1-hour timeframe, showcasing a bullish ascending triangle breakout. The pattern indicates an upward continuation in the trend after a period of consolidation. This analysis will break down the key elements of the chart, the technical structure, and the potential trading strategy.
1. Market Structure & Key Zones
A. Market Curve Area (Early Trend Development)
The price started with a strong bullish trend leading up to the formation of the triangle.
The curved trendline suggests a gradual increase in buying pressure, indicating that the market was preparing for a larger breakout.
B. Resistance and Support Levels
Resistance Level (Red Arrow & Blue Box):
This level acted as a price ceiling where sellers previously dominated.
The market attempted multiple times to break this resistance before successfully breaching it.
Support Level (Green Arrow & Yellow Zone):
The price consistently found buyers at this level, reinforcing a higher low structure.
The rising support line within the triangle indicated strong accumulation by buyers.
2. Chart Pattern: Ascending Triangle Formation
The price action formed an ascending triangle, which is a well-known bullish continuation pattern.
The higher lows (trendline support) indicated buyers were gaining control, gradually pushing the price toward the resistance.
Eventually, the resistance was broken with strong bullish momentum, confirming a valid breakout.
3. Breakout Confirmation & Retest
The breakout above the resistance level came with high volume, indicating strong market participation.
After the breakout, a minor pullback (retest) occurred, confirming previous resistance as new support.
The price surged upward after the retest, validating the bullish trade setup.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
A. Entry Strategy
A trader would enter a buy (long) position after confirming the breakout.
Entry Trigger:
Either at breakout (high-risk, early entry)
Or after a successful retest (safer entry)
B. Stop Loss Placement
A stop loss is placed below the previous support level at 1.07276, ensuring risk is limited in case of a false breakout.
C. Target Projection
The target price is measured using the height of the triangle added to the breakout level.
Based on this calculation, the projected target is around 1.12838.
5. Conclusion & Trading Plan
The EUR/USD pair has executed a clean ascending triangle breakout, signaling further bullish movement.
The trading plan suggests:
✅ Entry: Buy after breakout confirmation or retest.
✅ Stop Loss: Placed below 1.07276 for risk management.
✅ Take Profit: Targeting 1.12838, based on the pattern’s height projection.
This setup presents a high-probability long opportunity in a trending market, with proper risk management to protect against potential reversals.
Euro Rises Above $1.09 Despite Tariff ThreatsThe euro climbed above $1.09, showing unexpected strength after President Trump announced 20% tariffs on all EU imports.
◉ Fundamental Rationale
● The currency got a boost because the U.S. dollar weakened. Trump’s tariffs made trade tensions worse and worried people about slower economic growth.
● Also, new numbers showed Eurozone inflation fell to 2.2% in March, the lowest since November 2024.
● This lower inflation means the European Central Bank doesn’t need to raise interest rates, making the euro more appealing to investors.
◉ Technical Observation
● From a technical perspective, an inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed, hinting at a possible trend reversal.
● A breakout above $1.095 could pave the way for stronger bullish momentum.
EUR/USD BuyHello dear traders
I try to guide you in trading and creating trading positions and share my trading ideas with you so that if I make a profit, you can also make a profit with me.
These analyzes are done with great complexity and all technical parameters are taken into account as much as possible.
And finally, it is presented to you in a completely simple and practical way to use them.
Be sure to follow the capital management.
Do not risk more than 1% of the capital in any of the positions.
Keep in mind that you are responsible for all trades.
(Good luck)
EURUSD - what’s next?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels .
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective.
After making such a huge upside move, we are expecting EURUSD to have some sort of a correction or a pullback to the downside. After that we got a sell off on EURUSD and just today we hit the 50% correction level at around 1.08442 . After failing to break to the upside we can expect more sells to be in play. Any breaks to the downside from the current price will confirm this. Although TVC:DXY is not as strong at the moment, it still is a global reserve currency . We seen that in play last week when we saw massive upside on OANDA:XAUUSD and on TVC:DXY . We must understand that investors are also pouring their money into DXY as it is a global reserve currency. I still personally believe TVC:DXY holds more strength against TVC:EXY hence why I am still looking to short the pair.
Scenario 1: SELLS from current price
With the instant sell, we are risking a possible pullback and continuations to the upside however, DXY is looking like it will reverse. Failing to break to the upside can also be taken as a confirmation for potential sells.
Scenario 2: BUYS at the break of the Key Level (around 1.085)
With the break to the upside, we can expect more buys to come in play possibly targeting previous highs on EURUSD at around 1.09444.
KEY NOTES
- DXY possible reversal to the upside.
- Breaks above the KL and to the upside would confirm higher highs.
- EURUSD has completed the 50% correction to the upside.
- DXY is the global reserve currency.
Happy trading!
FxPocket