Eurusdbuy
EUR/USD Outlook to recover the imbalance My EU outlook for this week is similar to GU as the dollar index gapped to the upside which made pairs like GU and EU to drop down heavy. once price did so it did breach a lot of my previous demands so we have to now adapt and re adjust our analysis and forecast.
So i have this demand zone that as you can see is getting reacted off of which what i drew out a. while ago which is the 8hr demand zone. I feel like this zone will hold as there is of validity. If price reacts well and manages to cover that gap i will then look to short inside the 1hr supply zone but after finding of course LTF confirmation.
COnfluences for EU Buys are as follows:
- The price gap has left a significant imbalance that needs to be filled.
- Price is currently in a 8-hour demand zone that previously caused a Break of Structure (BOS),
making it a valid POI.
- There is a large pool of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken.
- The setup aligns well with the DXY correlation.
- For price to carry on going down it must form a correction to the upside regardless.
P.S. If price decides to go lower then we might be in a bearish trend temporarily and will have to look for a new near by supply to capitilise on a shift of trend to the downside. Thats if this 8hr demand doesn't hold.
EURUSD Buying Trade Idea from 1.0230-1.02135EURUSD Buying Trade Idea from 1.0230-1.02135
EURUSD Buying Trade Idea from 1.0230-1.02135 at the price level and the idea more empower when the market strongly break the 1.02722 zone.
In the recent days at Friday after the Gold create new High (All time) the other major pairs fall and now traded at the based price.
Market will cover the opening gap this morning Monday Feb 3rd 2025.
The buying setup;
Buy range: 1.0230-1.02135
Stop Loss: 1.01639
Take Profit L1: 1.03456
Take Profit L2: 1.04320
Take Profit L3: 1.05046
Take Profit L4: 1.06155
Use 1% of your account balance at the risk on the setup.
Setup #003 - EURUSD - LongWaiting for entry trigger. Must come between 10am-12pm ET today.
Confluences:
✅ Bullish overall bias
✅ Bulllish demand zone
✅ Bullish bat pattern
✅ Bullish divergence in price reversal zone
✅ Buillish break of structure
✅ Entering London close zone
✅ Break of structure confirmed
✅ Required risk:reward met
EUR/USD Falling Wedge The falling wedge pattern on the EUR/USD 12-hour chart has been confirmed, signaling a potential bullish breakout. This classic technical setup indicates a reversal from the prior downtrend, with buyers stepping in as price breaks above the upper resistance line of the wedge.
Key Details:
Pattern Confirmation: The breakout above the wedge resistance line confirms the pattern, with a retest further validating the upward move.
Targets:
Target 1: 1.0600 – Based on previous support-turned-resistance levels.
Target 2: 1.0900 – The measured move from the height of the wedge added to the breakout point.
This setup reflects the strength of technical analysis, with the falling wedge showing the market's tendency to reverse after sustained selling pressure. A strong support level provides the foundation for this bullish move.
EUR/USD Very Near Buying Area , Don`t Miss This Chance !Here we have a very good new up trend line on 4H Time Frame , and the price touch it 2 times , and now we are waiting For third touch and it will be the best one , so i`m waiting for the price to touch it and give me a good bullish price action and then we can enter a buy trade .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
EUR/USD Longs from 1.02000 back upWhile the overall trend for EUR/USD (EU) remains bearish, the strong reaction from my marked demand zone last week has caused a Change of Character (CHOCH) to the upside. This indicates a temporary shift in momentum, and I plan to capitalize on this bullish move.
My strategy is to wait for a retracement back into the 8-hour demand zone below. Once the price taps into this zone while sweeping liquidity, I’ll look for lower time frame confirmations to enter buy positions.
However, if the price continues to move higher without retracing, I’ll consider potential sell opportunities from the key level at 1.04000.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- A CHOCH to the upside has temporarily shifted the trend.
- Significant liquidity to the upside in the form of equal highs and an imbalance that needs to be filled.
- A clean, unmitigated 8-hour demand zone remains below.
- The DXY aligns with this counter-trend idea.
- A pool of liquidity below is likely to be swept before price enters the point of interest (POI).
Note: If the price breaks structure further to the upside, I’ll identify a new demand zone. For now, my primary focus remains on the 8-hour demand zone below for buys and the 6-hour supply zone above for potential sells.
EURUSD - possible sells with the Data release?Here is our analysis on EURUSD . Possible shorts in play.
As we are anticipating the news release today, we can still assume the TVC:DXY will remain bullish. If the News and Data release is positive for the US Dollar , we could see more downside on the pair. With the new H4 just opening and the previous closing strongly bearish, we can assume that EURUSD will continue going down. Our Entry is sitting at 1.03272 with SL (Stop Loss) at 1.03587 . If we break above our SL we would most likely reverse and this trade idea would be invalidated. Our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at 1.02642 and if broken + the positive news and data release, we could see the price digging even deeper .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 1.03272
- SL: 1.03587
- TP: 1.02642
KEY NOTES
- EURUSD is bearish.
- DXY (USD) still remains bullish and holds strength against other pairs.
- Positive news for the US could result in even lower prices on EURUSD.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
EURUSD Scenario 2.1.2025In this phase we are in, I think it is better to stay out of it at least on higher tf because when I look at this market, I rather expect some new bottom which could be considered as sfp below low from which the price could bounce into long but for now I am watching the reaction around the poc level.
Short term EU buySo, this is my strategy moving into 2025. I'm a break even trader starting my 5th year in the hot seat.
I'll be trading a 50k demo right here on tradingview. 1% risk per trade, minimum r:r = 1:1.
I'm only entering trades on EU at this stage, however DXY and GU are always on my screen.
Timeframes: Weekly, Daily and H4, primarily focused on the daily, hence it is now necessary for me to take part in an end of day analysis.
My plan remains the same as Day 1: Get profitable.
Blue = EUR/USD
Green = DXY
Red = GBP/USD
The dollar is inverted simply because it looks better based on how I'm analysing.
So, the weekly has made a significant close lower across the board and the range of this candle is highlighted in gold.
After Monday's trading, the Euro has closed above its recent daily parent candle, signally potential further movement towards the upside. This can be confirmed when looking at the DXY which is harbouring relative equal highs at the weekly gap, a considerable draw on liquidity.
At this moment in time I can only wait and see how the market interacts with these htf areas of interest I have labelled.
I need to see some kind of event occur at a high, low or 50%.
I would imagine there will be further buys throughout the daily sessions, drawing up to the 1.05 zone.
I'm open to feedback and chill conversation.
EUR/USD (SMC) concept+fib expansion!⭐EUR/USD has been in a strong downtrend, surpassing one of the last strongly confirmed supports, which makes me think that it will tend to retest this area from 1.03550, defying the continuation of the trend
⭐Before this retest of the support, my opinion is that it will go back down to the POI (point of interest) also called the strong demand zone
⭐Without much explanation in case the price does not test that POI I will automatically enter buy after confirmation that he will no longer retest that area
Inputs if retest POI: Inputs if doesn't retest POI:
Entry Price : 1.02650 Entry Price : 1.03200
Stop Loss: 1.02400 Stop Loss : 1.0300
Take Profit 1: 1.03100 Take Profit 1: 1.03100
Take Profit 2: 1.03550 Take Profit 2: 1.03550
Take Profit 3: 1.04000 (risky) Take Profit 3: 1.04000 (risky)
EURUSD Buy IdeaWhy am I bullish on FX:EURUSD as we approach NFP release? Well, lets analyse the weekly candle expansion. As depicted, price swept the previous week's high during the accumulation phase and shifted the market structure bearish, creating a change of character. During Manipulation, we saw price react from the 50% of the accumulation range making the bearish bias valid. Distribution delivered to the downside as expected and now we almost tapping a significant POI (weekly imbalance). We are anticipating a reversal because bears are now exhausted, so a long projection. Buy!
NEW IDEA FOR EURUSD on declines NEW IDEA FOR EURUSD on declines
The EUR/USD currency pair is in a downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe and is currently oscillating between two key support and resistance levels.
Key levels:
1.0449 Resistance:
This level acts as a short-term ceiling to prevent further price gains. If this level is not broken, selling pressure could reinforce the downtrend.
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EURUSD Trade LogEURUSD TDV Trade Log – Swing Long Plan
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Trade Setup Overview:
- Instrument: EURUSD
- Entry Zone: 0.5 Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which aligns with the Weekly FVG.
- Technical Confluences:
- Both the Monthly and Weekly FVG levels exhibit bullish signals.
- Weekly RSI is in oversold or "deep waters," indicating potential upward momentum.
- Risk Management:
- My personal risk: 4% (highly aggressive and not financial advice).
- Recommended risk: Adjust to your own risk tolerance—always prioritize capital preservation.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2
- Stop-Loss: Below the lower boundary of the FVG.
- Take-Profit: Double the distance of the stop-loss.
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Macro Analysis Supporting This Swing Long:
1. US Interest Rate Dynamics:
- Recent Federal Reserve projections have suggested higher-for-longer rates, leading to USD strength.
- However, the shock effect of these projections appears to be diminishing, signaling potential stabilization or reversal in USD strength.
- Market sentiment suggests that the economic impact of elevated rates may start weighing on the USD as growth prospects taper.
2. Eurozone Economic Factors:
- Despite economic struggles, the ECB has hinted at maintaining relatively tight policy, providing a degree of support for the EUR.
- Any positive surprise in Eurozone data could act as a catalyst for a EURUSD recovery.
3. Technical Alignment with Macro Themes:
- The confluence of the Monthly and Weekly FVGs signals robust technical support zones.
- Bullish signals from these levels align with the potential macroeconomic reversal in USD strength, creating a favorable environment for a swing long.
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Personal Notes:
This trade aligns with both the technical framework of my system and macroeconomic insights. The key is discipline—if the setup invalidates (e.g., price action breaks below critical levels), do not force the trade. Always stay within your risk parameters, and remember this is not financial advice.
Good luck and trade safely!
EURUSD 4H waiting for breakdown and confirmation for growthEURUSD 4H waiting for breakdown and confirmation for growth
Key Points of Analysis:
Expected upward movement: The price may continue to rise after the breakdown of the trend line. Confirmation will be the price holding above this line and the demand zones.
Key targets:
1.0436: First resistance zone expected to be reached if the upside continues.
1.0492 and 1.0553: Next target resistance zones.
Risks: If the price returns under the demand zone (1.0380-1.0404), the upside scenario could be canceled and the price could fall again.
Forecast
With current expectations and if the trend breakout is confirmed, a rise to 1.0436 levels and then to 1.0492 and 1.0553 is likely.
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🔹 Fixed stop loss and take profit for risk management.
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📈 Don't miss the chance to earn steadily!
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EUR - LONG - Swing Trading*This is a risky trade since if it breaks support it can take us to very low levels, which is why an appropriate stop loss must be used.
We are in a support between 1.042 and 1.045 that is holding up very well until now. Now that time has passed, it seems we are close to breaking 1.05 and will remain there in the following days. It is necessary to give the trade time of around 6 to 14 days to reach the targets.
Targets:
T1: 1.059 - 1.060 (protect or take partial)
T2: 1.065 (close - 6 days)
T3: 1.080 (close - 14 days)