Eurusdbuy
EURUSD Update – Exceptional Long Entry As mentioned in our previous post, we were waiting for price to react from one of the key demand zones:
🔹 1.12250 – 1.12500
🔹 1.1190 – 1.12060
✅ We entered a long position on the 3-minute timeframe after getting a personal confirmation trigger.
The result? An exceptional entry with a minimum of 100 pips profit so far.
📍 Now it's time to secure profits and wait for the next structure to form.
We’ve been patiently waiting all week for price to hit this area – and it played out perfectly.
Great execution! ✅
Keep in touch!
EURUSD CRACK!I first turned bullish on the EUR back in November 2024 after the disastrous election results.
I have always felt the 105 area was a good area to go long, fundamentally going back all the way to 2017. Here is an example.
After 17 years of data, we can all agree that the 105 area was a great value to get long the EUR. Now we see a major CRACK! in the chart with the fundamentals to back it up.
Again, I remind you I am a MACRO Trader. So my trades hold for a long, long time unless the facts change. I don't do 3 pips and i am out crap!
Let this be a WARNING! To the dollar bulls!
Click Boost, follow, subscribe! Let's get to 5,000 followers so I can help them navigate these crazy markets, too. ))
Eurusd is still bullish This EUR/USD daily chart from FXCM suggests a bullish breakout following a well-formed rounded bottom pattern.
Key Observations:
Rounded Bottom Formation: This pattern, marked with multiple lows (highlighted in orange circles), signals a gradual trend reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken above the rounded resistance, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Projected Price Movement: The hand-drawn path suggests further upside, with possible retests before continuing higher.
Volume Profile: Increased activity around the 1.0900 level suggests strong support, with potential resistance near 1.1200 - 1.1400.
Conclusion:
This setup indicates a bullish continuation, but confirmation through sustained volume and price action above resistance is crucial.
EUR/USD Potential longs to the upsideEU Weekly Outlook — Bullish Pro-Trend Setup in Focus
This week, my EU analysis is centered around the pro-trend movement to the upside. Price has recently broken structure and in doing so, has left behind clean demand zones on the 5H and 3H timeframes. I’ll be watching closely to see when price decides to mitigate these levels for a potential long setup.
Since price is still a bit far from these zones, short-term sells may be possible, but with no strong nearby supply, I’ll be staying patient and letting price action guide me. The key is to avoid marrying any one bias and remain adaptable.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- Strong bullish structure on higher timeframes
- Clean and unmitigated 5H and 3H demand zones
- Plenty of liquidity above, including Asia highs
- This is a pro-trend trade, aligning with market flow
- DXY analysis supports a bullish EU outlook
P.S. If price shifts and breaks structure to the downside, then we could consider short-term sell setups — but for now, I’m focused on the long opportunity forming from demand.
Have a great trading week and stay sharp! 🧠💹
EURUSD PLAN – Is the Rebound Just a Pause Before the Drop? EURUSD PLAN – Is the Rebound Just a Pause Before the Drop? | All Eyes on PCE
📊 MACRO OUTLOOK:
Following the latest FOMC meeting, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, as expected, but maintained a hawkish tone. Chair Powell reiterated that inflation remains too sticky to consider rate cuts in the near term.
Markets now await this week’s US PCE data — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — which could provide the next major catalyst for USD strength or weakness.
On the Euro side, weak consumer confidence and tepid growth have strengthened expectations for an ECB rate cut in June. This divergence in monetary policy is weighing on the Euro, as the Dollar finds new demand amid global risk recalibration.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1):
EURUSD has broken down from recent highs near 1.1412 and is now forming a bearish retracement pattern.
Price has broken below the 89-EMA and 200-EMA, signaling bearish structure.
Current price action suggests a temporary bounce from the 1.1260–1.1280 support zone (Fibo 38.2%–50%), but the broader trend remains bearish.
Fibonacci retracement from recent swing lows highlights 1.1338 and 1.1372 as key resistance levels to watch.
🔑 KEY TECHNICAL ZONES:
Resistance Zones:
• 1.1313 – Minor intraday level (Fibo 0.5)
• 1.1338 – EMA confluence + former structure
• 1.1372 – Major rejection zone (previous distribution top)
Support Zones:
• 1.1280 – 1.1260 – Current support bounce area
• 1.1220 – Key liquidity sweep zone
🧭 TRADE STRATEGY:
Scenario A – Sell the Pullback:
• Wait for a rebound into the 1.1313 – 1.1338 zone
• Enter SELL if bearish rejection forms
• SL: 1.1376
• TP: 1.1280 → 1.1260 → 1.1220
Scenario B – Invalid Breakout:
• If price breaks above 1.1372 with momentum, this plan is invalidated — wait for a confirmed breakout retest.
Scenario C – Reactive Buy Scalp:
• If price shows strong rejection from 1.1260 again, scalpers may consider a temporary BUY back toward 1.1300–1.1310
• This is high-risk and counter-trend.
⚠️ STRATEGIC NOTES:
EURUSD remains in a bearish bias until major resistance levels are broken. With PCE data approaching, volatility is likely. Trade setups should be based on confirmation signals and managed tightly as macro data can shift momentum rapidly.
EUR/CAD Bearish Reversal Setuphello Trader
what are your thoughts on eurcad.
Enrty: 1.59-1.60
stop loss 1.61
take profit 1.50
Analysis:
Key Resistance Zone: The red-highlighted area around 1.5800 marks a strong resistance zone where price previously faced rejection.
Double-Top Formation: A potential double-top pattern is forming, indicating a bearish reversal.
Bearish Projection: The blue trend lines suggest a downward move after a possible retest of the resistance area.
Support Levels: The marked horizontal blue lines at 1.5581, 1.5411, 1.5269, 1.5151, and 1.4977 represent key support levels where price might react.
Target Area: The projected move suggests a decline towards the 1.5151 level, with further downside potential toward 1.4977.
EURUSD | Bullish Pennant Breakout – Retest Before the Target📊 EUR/USD (1H Timeframe)
The EUR/USD pair has shown a textbook example of a bullish pennant formation, which typically occurs during strong uptrends and signals a continuation of the bullish momentum. The price had an impulsive rally prior to the formation of the pennant, indicating a strong underlying bullish sentiment.
Following the rally, the market entered a period of consolidation where price action began to coil between two converging trendlines – this is the pennant structure, marked by lower highs and higher lows.
This tightening price action typically suggests that market participants are pausing to digest the previous move, often leading to another breakout in the same direction – in this case, bullish.
📐 Key Technical Elements Highlighted:
Bullish Pennant Formation:
Characterized by a sharp move up (flagpole) followed by a tight consolidation range (the pennant).
Volume generally contracts during consolidation and expands on breakout, confirming momentum.
Breakout and Retest:
Price has broken above the upper resistance line of the pennant.
Now pulling back for a retest, a healthy technical behavior often seen in strong setups.
This pullback offers a second chance for entry for traders who missed the initial breakout.
Support & Resistance Zones:
SR Interchange Zone (previous resistance turned into potential support).
Minor Resistance Zone above, now likely invalidated by breakout.
These zones are critical in evaluating potential price reaction and risk control.
Projected Target:
Based on the measured move from the pole height of the pennant added to the breakout point, the projected target stands near 1.14315, a level of prior structural interest.
🎯 Trade Plan – Technical Strategy
⚠️ This is a hypothetical scenario for educational purposes. Always manage your risk.
Entry Zone: On confirmation of a successful retest (bullish price action at trendline support)
Stop Loss: Below the pennant’s lower trendline or the SR interchange zone (1.1245 – 1.1260 region)
Target: 1.14315 (based on breakout projection)
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry precision
🔍 Psychological & Market Structure Notes:
A bullish pennant is a sign of accumulation after a strong rally – it tells us that buyers are resting, not gone.
The retest shows institutional behavior: smart money often allows price to come back to a breakout level before driving it higher again, to shake out weak hands and trap late sellers.
Momentum traders and breakout traders often wait for confirmation on the retest to pile in with higher confidence.
📚 Educational Takeaway:
This setup serves as a great case study in:
Continuation patterns (Bullish Pennants)
Breakout-retest behavior
Measured move target projections
Trend confirmation techniques
Market psychology and structure
If you're learning technical analysis, this is a high-probability pattern that occurs across many asset classes including forex, crypto, and stocks.
EUR/USD Outlook: Bullish Momentum Builds Toward 1.1270The EUR/USD pair continues its upward trend, trading around 1.1195, supported by a weakening US Dollar following softer-than-expected US inflation data for April. Headline CPI rose just 2.3% YoY—its lowest since February 2021—while core CPI held steady at 2.8%, matching forecasts.
Additionally, Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating from AAA to AA1 due to concerns over fiscal deficits and rising debt has further pressured the greenback—the USD Index dropped 0.6%.
In the near term, EUR/USD is expected to extend gains if it breaks above the key resistance at 1.1270. However, risk remains if upcoming Federal Reserve speeches adopt a more hawkish tone, which could trigger a USD rebound.
Market participants are also watching Germany’s Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), set to be released later today, for fresh direction.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
BUY EURUSD: zone 1.11600 - 1.11450
SL: 1.11200
TP: 40 - 60 - 100pips
EUR/USD Set for Bullish Continuation: Key Levels to WatchEUR/USD shows strong bullish momentum across all timeframes, signaling a potential continuation rally. On the daily chart, the pair remains above key EMAs (55, 89, 200), with support near 1.1100 and resistance at 1.1228 and 1.1400. The RSI suggests consolidation, but overall structure favors the bulls.
The hourly chart confirms a fresh bullish breakout above the 200 EMA at 1.1215, supported by increased volume and a rising RSI. Price action suggests a retest of the 1.1190–1.1215 zone as a buying opportunity.
On the 15-minute chart, EUR/USD is overbought short-term, but momentum remains strong. A pullback into the 1.1190–1.1200 zone could offer low-risk scalping entries targeting 1.1225–1.1240.
The week-ahead plan favors dip-buying strategies. Initial targets are 1.1250 and 1.1300, with stops below 1.1180. A close above 1.1228 on the daily chart would confirm room for broader upside. Manage risk with staggered entries and hard stops.
EUR USDHello Traders. I want to share my weekly analysis for EURUSD with you. We have a channel from July 2008 to April 2025. Currently, it has made a breakout and I hope it will continue the bullish scenario.
I am not a professional trader and I would be happy if you share your views regarding EURUSD.
EUR/USD — Smart Money Concept (SMC) AnalysisStrategy Framework: SMC (CHOCH, POI, Supply/Demand Zones)
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Key Concepts on Chart
CHOCH (Change of Character)
Confirmed bullish CHOCH from higher timeframe demand zone (orange). Signals intent of bullish reversal.
✅ Strong Demand Zone (Yellow Box)
H4 demand zone holds — price swept liquidity below recent swing low and respected demand.
✅ Target Supply Zones (Marked in Yellow)
1st target: 1.1450 – 1.1500
2nd target: 1.1550 (High timeframe supply)
✅ Elliott Wave Context
Wave (4) completion + bullish impulse toward Wave (5) continuation possible — aligning with SMC bias.
Entry Idea:
> Long after confirmed CHOCH & mitigation of minor demand zone (~1.1240 – 1.1260)
Target 1:
> 1.1420–1.1450 Supply Zone
Target 2:
> 1.1500–1.1550 Higher Supply Zone
Invalidation (Stop Loss):
> Below major demand (
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup – Demand Zone to Target 1.15646🔍 Current Price: 1.13414
📉 EMA (70): 1.13334
Price is slightly above the EMA → Bullish hint ✅
Key Zones & Levels
🟦 Demand Zone:
📍 1.12441 ➡️ 1.12985
Strong buying interest here!
Price bounced from this zone → 📈 Possible reversal
🔵 Entry Point: 1.12985
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.12441
🎯 Target: 1.15646
Trendline Watch
📉 Descending trendline is being tested/broken
🟠 If price holds above the trendline + EMA → CONFIRMATION for long entry ✅
Trade Setup
Buy Entry: 1.12985
TP: 1.15646 🎯
SL: 1.12441 🔻
Risk–Reward Ratio: ~ 1:4.8 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
Visual Flow:
🔵 Demand Zone
⬆️
Break EMA & Trendline
⬆️
🎯 Target Zone (1.15646)
Summary:
Looks like a sweet bullish setup from the demand zone!
If price stays above EMA and trendline → Go Long ✅
EUR/USD Bullish Breakout Trade Setup – Targeting 1.18089Entry Point: 1.13860
Stop Loss Zone: 1.13642 to 1.12578
Resistance Point: 1.14320
Target (TP) Point: 1.18089
🔍 Observations
Support Zone: Marked in purple near the entry and stop-loss area, suggesting a strong demand zone.
Resistance Zone: Around 1.14320, indicating a potential breakout level.
Trend: Short-term uptrend after a consolidation range.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Quite favorable, targeting a move of approximately 470+ pips (4.20% gain) from entry to target.
📊 Technical Indicators
Moving Averages:
Red (likely 20 EMA): Price recently crossed above, showing bullish momentum.
Blue (likely 50 or 200 EMA): Serving as dynamic support.
Price Action: Formation suggests a potential breakout from resistance toward the 1.18 target.
🧠 Conclusion
This is a long (buy) setup expecting a bullish breakout:
Buy entry above the support zone.
Stop-loss placed below major support (1.12578).
Target set significantly higher, aligning with prior structure or resistance at 1.18089
EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 15th I shared this idea "EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea"
Expected retraces and further continuation higher until the strong support zone holds. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price moved as per the plan!!!
Retraces happened as expected and then the price moved higher further.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
How Smart Money is Positioning in EUR/USD – 5 Scenarios UnfoldedLiquidity Maps & Trap Zones: EUR/USD 1H Breakdown
EUR/USD SMC Analysis – Scenarios Overview
1. Case 1 – Immediate Pump:
The market may pump directly from the current market price (CMP) and take out the external range liquidity resting above the current highs.
2. Case 2 – 15-Min Demand Reaction:
The market could react to the 15-minute demand zone , showing a bullish response and pushing higher toward the 1H supply zone .
3. Case 3 – Inducement & Distribution:
Combined with Case 2, the market may first mitigate the 15-minute demand , then take out the inducement (IdM ) near the 1H supply zone . From there, distribution may begin within that supply range, leading to a drop toward the discount zone .
This would likely involve a fake breakout to the upside (liquidity sweep), trapping buyers and hitting the stop-losses of early sellers before reversing sharply.
4. Case 4 – 1H CHoCH and Triangle Breakdown:
A Change of Character (CHoCH) may occur on the 1H timeframe directly from the current price, leading to a downside move. This scenario would also break the rising triangle pattern , triggering entries from price action traders and increasing market volatility as liquidity accelerates the move downward.
5. Case 5 – 1H Supply Rejection & Free Fall:
The market may react from the 1H supply zone and reject aggressively, resulting in a free fall all the way down to the previous CHoCH level , confirming strong bearish intent from premium to discount.
Thanks for your time..