EURUSD: Will It Retrace to POI?Our philosophy focuses on simplicity and precision, avoiding cognitive overload.
On the daily chart, EURUSD is trading within Range Zone.
If another daily candle closes bullish above $1.086 (the Daily Range Bottom), it could push the price up to the Range Top at $1.1, which is our Daily Point of Interest (Daily POI).
The Mid Daily Range may act as minor resistance on this move.
If EURUSD falls below the Daily Range Bottom, it enters a bearish zone, with the next target around Key Daily Level 1↓ at $1.066.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout above the Daily Range Top could extend gains to the Minor Daily Level at $1.112.
Though, this scenario is secondary as long as EURUSD remains within the Daily Range Zone.
Eurusddaily
Strong EUR? - A EUR/USD AnalysisEUR/USD has displayed bullish characteristics over the last couple of weeks.
- We have reach a high in the market @ 1.095.
- This high was made after a bullish A,B,C,D pattern aka (Trend).
- In bullish markets, prices tend to find support at the previous high, the previous high in this market (To me) is @ 1.085.
- We currently have made a bullish pin bar rejection candle on 3/19/2024.
- Currently we have untapped orders at 1.098, this is where I believe prices want to go in the next month.
- Breaking the 1.098 level, could lead to a bigger move up toward 1.11.
** as always, trade smart, trade responsible, and manage the risk as much as the reward **
EUR/USD Selloff CaseGood morning everyone.
Going to try to keep this short and sweet.
DXY, as of about 0830EST, broke through all hourly Camarilla resistance levels. The last being 104.560. The next targets would be at 104.795, 104.833, 104.871, and 104.987.
EUR/USD has broken through first 1HR/4HR support level at 1.0782. Next two levels would be 1.0772, and 1.0762. After these levels are broken. I'll look to trade to 1.07.
Going into this selloff, we were in a bearish symmetrical triangle.
Though I do not rely heavily on indicators, MACD, RSI (both reg. and sto.) are aligning with this downward momentum.
Stop loss around previous around 1.0830 which the hour 200-EMA is peaking under.
The DXY upward pressure is also supported by the election anticipation of Donald J. Trump winning.
Rising 10-year yield is also support the greenback.
BOJ is not looking to hike rates this week.
Listened to a few earnings calls. Everyone is beating earnings so far. VIX is up. Feels like risk-on but keep in mind that the market made a major move up prior to any reports. Folks getting greedy and anxious going into election and big data week.
Let's see if JOLTS today, IJC on Thursaday, and NFP on Friday still show a strong labor market. If so, definitely can forget about a 50 bps cut. 94.8% priced in for a 25 bps cut and 5.2% with no cut.
Of course, like Socrates, I'm objective and humble to accept that it's possible for none of this to happen. If we get a break back about 1.0805, a level got from my brother @ThePipAssassin I'm tracking resistance levels at 1.0825, 1.0851, 1.0877, and 1.0919. If we get anywhere near these, believe I'll be looking for 1.10 because I did identify a FVG to the downtrend in DXY.
Of couse none of this is to be taken as trading or financial advice. I am simple giving you my own analysis. Trade at your own risk and I encourage everyone to do your own research and check my thoughts. Please give feedback. Going to start doing this a lot more. Follow, like, and share por favor. God is love!
EUR/USD FACING SELLING PRESSURE. $DXY MULTIPLE PIVOTS POINTSGood morning everyone.
Going to try to keep this short and sweet.
DXY, as of about 0830EST, broke through all hourly Camarilla resistance levels. The last being 104.560. The next targets would be at 104.795, 104.833, 104.871, and 104.987.
EUR/USD has broken through first 1HR/4HR support level at 1.0782. Next two levels would be 1.0772, and 1.0762. After these levels are broken. I'll look to trade to 1.07.
Going into this selloff, we were in a bearish symmetrical triangle.
Though I do not rely heavily on indicators, MACD, RSI (both reg. and sto.) are aligning with this downward momentum.
Stop loss around previous around 1.0830 which the hour 200-EMA is peaking under.
The DXY upward pressure is also supported by the election anticipation of Donald J. Trump winning.
Rising 10-year yield is also support the greenback.
BOJ is not looking to hike rates this week.
Listened to a few earnings calls. Everyone is beating earnings so far. VIX is up. Feels like risk-on but keep in mind that the market made a major move up prior to any reports. Folks getting greedy and anxious going into election and big data week.
Let's see if JOLTS today, IJC on Thursaday, and NFP on Friday still show a strong labor market. If so, definitely can forget about a 50 bps cut. 94.8% priced in for a 25 bps cut and 5.2% with no cut.
Of course, like Socrates, I'm objective and humble to accept that it's possible for none of this to happen. If we get a break back about 1.0805, a level got from my brother @ThePipAssassin I'm tracking resistance levels at 1.0825, 1.0851, 1.0877, and 1.0919. If we get anywhere near these, believe I'll be looking for 1.10 because I did identify a FVG to the downtrend in DXY.
Of couse none of this is to be taken as trading or financial advice. I am simple giving you my own analysis. Trade at your own risk and I encourage everyone to do your own research and check my thoughts. Please give feedback. Going to start doing this a lot more. Follow, like, and share por favor. God is love!
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 28.10.202415m Swing and Internal Bearish
Currently prizing in the slightly mitigated 4H demand zone so we might see a bullish reaction from here BUT almost everything bearish so sells are more probable. Ideally wait price to mitigate prime supply zones to look for sells
EUR JPY Trade Setup 4 Hour TimeframeOn the 4-hour timeframe, EUR JPY is pulling back for a retest of the broken resistance level, which has now turned into a new support level.
The pair continues to move in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows while bouncing off a support trendline.
We will be looking for buy opportunities as the price tests this key support level.
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 22.10.2024Not much has changed since yesterday so will follow the same plan
15m Swing, Internal Bearish
Corrective push to the upside but I don't think it will last. Nearest 15m supply to look for shorts marked on the chart. Looks like price creating more internal liquidity before targeting 15m Swing weak.
EUR/USD (READ DESCRIPTION)Pivot Point: 1.0845
The pivot at 1.0845 serves as a critical support level for the EUR/USD pair. If the price holds above this level, it signals the potential for further upside movement. The technical outlook suggests a bullish bias as long as this support remains intact.
Our Preference: Long Positions
Recommended Trade:
Long positions are preferred as long as the price remains above the pivot at 1.0845. This suggests that the pair could rally to test higher resistance levels.
Target Levels for Upside Movement:
First Target: 1.0880
This level acts as an intermediate resistance, where traders may consider taking profit or assess the strength of the bullish momentum.
Second Target: 1.0900
If the first resistance at 1.0880 is surpassed, the next target is 1.0900, representing a continuation of the bullish trend.
Alternative Scenario: Downside Risks
If the price drops below 1.0845:
A break below this pivot would open the door to a downside move.
Bearish Outlook:
First Target: 1.0825
Second Target: 1.0810
These levels represent potential areas of support in a bearish scenario, indicating further downward movement.
Technical Insights:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is mixed but holding above its neutral area, signaling a cautious bullish sentiment. If the RSI continues to rise, it could confirm increasing buying interest.
Support Zone Strength:
The 1.0845 level has provided stability, allowing the price to form a base for potential upward movement, increasing the likelihood of a bullish continuation.
Moving Averages:
If EUR/USD rises above key moving averages, such as the 20-period or 50-period, it would provide further confirmation of the bullish scenario. A crossover in these averages may signal a stronger upward trend.
Momentum Indicators:
Indicators like the MACD remain positive, supporting a continuation of the upward momentum. If a bullish crossover occurs, it will likely further solidify the upward trajectory.
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 21.10.202415m Swing, Internal,Fractal Bearish
We now have mitigated the premium of the 15m swing structure
What expected is, internal 15m bearish order flow to continue and internal unmitigated supply to hold. Or Asia high get swept and bearish momentum kick in. But we are now in Daily internal unmitigated demand zone and bullish reaction is very likely.
On my analysis from Friday, I said Friday's Daily candle could close as inside bar and that happened. What I now expect is, price to mitigate upper 4H Supply and also 15m Supply nested in 4H Supply, give us another 4H fractal fake bullish break, sweep the low, use as fuel for bullish leg. But as we trade the fact and not the expectations, that is my long plans once HTF switched to Bullish, and I will look for quick shorts once 4H supply mitigated or follow the 15m bearish of once i am convinced.
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 18.10.202415m Swing, Internal and Fractal Bearish and we are now testing fractal supply. We might get a bearish momentum to kick in from here or price could target deeper levels to mitigate premium supply zone
For shorts it makes sense to follow Bearish order flow.
For longs ideal to wait 4H Internal ( or 15m Swing ) to shift bullish
I have already mentioned couple of times that we could get fake breaks as we are in unmitigated daily demand range now and we already had fake bullish 4H ChoCHs. This could be to target unmitigated supply zones. Wait for strong bullish momentum to play longs.
EURUSD sellEur vs Us dollar we expecting a pull back to Daily Resistance trendline and as we are putting our idea EUR vs US dollar having a bull run over to its trendline we are expecting a rejection from there and a Drop to its Support under lying Suppot level remember its a Bearish trend and following its technical data
EURUSD sellPreviously i was totally buy baised but now as i have observed the pair from weekly to daily to 4H to 1H we are seeing a downward 👇 move in the pair also the confluence is 50 SMA which is above the price also we have a support level down there at 1.0884 price level if price breaks below 👇 we will see a heavy downside move in the pair also the confluence is from H4 to H1 we are experiencing a falling wedge pattern which indicates price will soon fall after break below
Double Top Pattern on EURUSD - Trendline BreakdownHello,
EURUSD broke down the rising trendline from the previous analytics. This was to be expected because rising trendlines usually break down over time. The double top pattern on the chart, along with a weak second top on the MACD, casts a bearish shadow onto the chart. Right now isn't optimal to enter shorts, but for educational purposes, you can see the two shorts I opened on the chart.
Regards,
Ely
EURUSD longAs my anylisis is very top down this time on EURUSD and i am expecting The pair to fly to its global resistance as on Monthly Time frame i have seen observed a Trenline breakout and Restest over it on weekly Time frame i have observed flat resistance rising price pattern also on H4 i am expecting price reversal on H1 i have seen a falling wedge so am buy
Baised on The pair
EUR/USD Buys from 1.09400 back upEU's market structure is currently very similar to other setups I'm watching. After a bearish run over the past week, I expect price to slow down as it approaches the key 7-hour demand zone I’ve marked out. Once price sweeps the liquidity at the equal highs (EQHs), I’ll be watching for accumulation on the lower time frames (LTF) before a potential mitigation of the 7-hour demand zone.
If price doesn’t reach this demand and instead pushes up to mitigate a supply zone like the 15-hour or 5-hour above, I’ll shift my focus to selling in line with the bearish trend. For now, I’m waiting to see how the market behaves at the open to decide on the next move.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- The 7-hour demand zone has triggered a CHOCH to the upside.
- There are major imbalances and liquidity above that need to be filled.
- For price to retrace to the supply zone, it will need to move upward.
- The US Dollar Index (DXY) is sitting in a strong supply zone, which could trigger a dollar drop and support bullish momentum for EU.
Note: If price breaks through the demand zone, it will also break more significant structure to the downside, confirming a long-term bearish outlook for EU.
EURUSD BULLISHNESS CONTINUESHello guys i still see bullishness on the euro dollar this is the low of the new monthly candle . i think price is going up higher for the previous years high please view my previous ideas for extra informations.
if we break that Monthly FVG The Idea is Invalidated.
next week we should see a hammer looking like candle and the monthy candle close should look like a hammer if we are going higher otherwise the idea is invalidated.
EURUSD Multi TImeframe Analysis 03.10.2024M15 Swing and Internal Structures are both Bearish aligned with 4H Structure. If you are looking for Longs, beter be cautious.
The price is now in Daily Demand zone and approaching to old 4H Demand but this low is likely to be taken so I don't think it is going to hold long but we might see fake 15m bullish breaks in this 4H demand before it fails.
Ideally wait price to mitigate 15m Supply to take shorts which would be more probable than long positions.
Check 4H and Daily Analysis below
EURUSD Multi Timeframe AnalysisDaily Swing Structure is Bearish
Daily Internal Bullish
Strong bearish momentum after mitigating Daily Extreme Supply + Sweeping the daily BSL in the Supply
Daily Fractal is now Bearish
We might see a bounce from this daily demand up to the daily supply
Plz check 4H and 15m analysis below
EURUSD Upside more compellingEURUSD continued its rising trend at the expense of USD, as market expects more Fed rate cut to come.
ECB: Market price in one more cut this year
Fed: Market price in 75bps cut this year.
Technical:
Resistence: 1.12 and 1.1275 (July 18, 2023, high)
Support level to watch 1.113 (SMA 20), 1.11 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) and 1.1080 (SMA 100).
EUR/USD Longs to short idea from 1.10500 My analysis for EU is similar to GU. Currently, the price is very close to a 3-hour demand zone where I will be looking for buying opportunities. Once the price enters this zone, I will wait for distribution before targeting the nearest supply zone for a potential sell.
When the price reaches that supply zone, I will consider entering sells, as there's a similar setup in GU from last week's NFP. However, my ultimate target is the extreme supply zone at the 10-hour level.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- The price has created a clean demand zone that caused a change of character (CHOCH).
- In the short-term trend, there's substantial liquidity to the upside for price to take.
- This setup aligns with the DXY (Dollar Index).
- Price has filled in an imbalance as well.
Note: I am more inclined to take these buys since the demand has caused a CHOCH on the higher time frame. Have a great trading week, and don't forget about the upcoming CPI data!