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EUR/USD Hurdles at 1.0800, Eyes on Fed's DecisionIn the Asian trading hours on Wednesday, EUR/USD continues to face resistance below the 1.0800 level. The market adopts a cautious stance, awaiting the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data and key policy announcements from the Federal Reserve later in the day. The EUR/USD pair finds support from the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and encounters resistance from the 200-day SMA. Despite attempts to breach the 1.0800 level, the pair swiftly retraces. On the daily chart, conflicting technical indicators reflect recent sideways movements, with the 20-day SMA at 1.0870 adjusting downwards. On the 4-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Momentum indicators are trending higher, and the price remains above the 20-day SMA. However, the Euro appears to be restrained without strong conviction. Short-term risks are on the rise, holding above the 1.0770 level. A sustained rise and stability above 1.0805 would reinforce short-term prospects for a more lucrative scenario, targeting levels above 1.0830.
by Larissa-Trader
EUR/USD Range-Bound around 1.0760 Ahead of US CPI DataThe EUR/USD pair is trading in a narrow range around 1.0760 at the start of the Asian trading session on Tuesday. Traders prefer to stay on the sidelines ahead of key events in the US and the Eurozone. The pair is hovering around 1.0764, unchanged for the day. The EUR/USD exchange rate is trading near the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). On the daily chart, the risk remains tilted to the downside, consistent with technical indicators. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to move south, well below the 30 levels, and momentum is stable below the midline. On the 4-hour chart, the pair also shows a bearish trend, with prices below the 20-period SMA and within a descending channel. The RSI and Momentum indicators are not providing clear signals. If the pair rises above 1.0780, it will break the channel and surpass the 20-period SMA, improving short-term prospects for the Euro, aiming for the resistance zone around 1.0800/1.0805. At that level, the next relevant resistance is at 1,0845. On the downside, the exchange rate is expected to weaken further, with a decline below 1.0740, where the next support level is 1.0715, and below that, the pair may find support around 1.0690. The EUR/USD touched a low of 1.0741 and then rebounded to the 1.0765 area amid limited price action on a quiet Monday. The US Dollar Index recorded a slight increase, supported by higher Treasury yields as investors await important economic reports and central bank meetings. On Tuesday, the ZEW survey is expected to show a decline in economic sentiment indices for the Eurozone and Germany in December. The focus will then shift to the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on Thursday, with no expected changes in interest rates, and discussions expected to revolve around reinvestment from the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program (PEPP) and minimum reserve requirements. In the US, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released on Tuesday. CPI is expected to show a monthly inflation increase of 0.1% in November, with the core CPI at 0.3%. Yearly CPI is expected to be at 3.1%, compared to 3.2% recorded in October. These figures are unlikely to change expectations for the Federal Reserve's next decision. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will begin on Tuesday, and the announcement on Wednesday may cause some surprises. The focus will be on new forecasts. The US Dollar Index has risen but remains below last week's highs, driven by the rise in USD/JPY rates due to higher yields. The market is currently in a consolidation phase, waiting for the next catalyst. Rewrite a fresh article in English based on the available content, ensuring it is not duplicated with any other articles.
by Gwen_Humuna
EURUSD → Nearing Support! Is it Time to Long!? Let's Answer.EURUSD rejected nicely off of the Resistance Zone at 1.10 and fell to 1.07300! If you shorted at the Resistance Zone per my last analysis, hold that short! It's reasonable to take profits here around 1:1 Risk/Reward and swing the latter half, but will we make it to the bottom? How do we trade this? 🤔 If you're not currently in a trade, I would wait until the price falls closer to the Support Zone and bounces or wait for it to break Resistance and long above it. Look to enter a long in the 1.06 area if a strong bull signal and confirmation plays out and trade a 1:2 Risk/Reward taking profit just shy of the Resistance Zone. Your protective stop should be below the Support Zone giving you a clear 1:2 Risk/Reward! 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: 1.05800 🟥 Stop Loss: 104.100 ✅ Take Profit: 1.09200 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long. 2. Rejection at the Resistance Zone, Run Short to 1.06. 3. Look for Support at Support Zone 1.054. 4. Look for Reversal Pattern, Bull Signal and Confirmation. 5. RSI at 45.00 far below Moving Average, Bias to Short. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Long
by TraderEngineering
EUR/USD Rebounds from Multi-Week Lows, Trading Above 1.0750EUR/USD faced significant downward pressure, dropping to its weakest level in three weeks below 1.0750 on Friday following a stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. However, weekend flows helped the currency pair recover some daily losses. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart is higher but remains below 50, indicating a lack of recovery momentum. The pair needs a decisive move above 1.0820 (Simple Moving Average 200-day, Fibonacci retracement level of the latest uptrend) to establish it as support and extend its recovery towards 1.0860 (static level, 50-day SMA) and 1.0900 (Fibonacci retracement level of 23.6%, 100-day SMA). On the flip side, 1.0760 (Fibonacci retracement level of 50%, 200-day SMA) is considered a crucial support level before 1.0700 (psychological level, Fibonacci retracement level of 61.8%). EUR/USD benefited from the broad-based weakness of the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, registering a daily increase for the first time since November 28. On Friday morning, the pair stabilized just below 1.0800 as market participants were cautious ahead of the US NFP report. Positive changes in risk sentiment made it challenging for the USD to find demand in the latter part of Thursday, pushing EUR/USD higher. The US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report for November is expected to increase by 180,000. A figure above 200,000 could force investors to reassess the timing of potential policy changes by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and boost the USD initially. On the other hand, a disappointing figure below 150,000 could make it difficult for the USD to stay resilient against its counterparts heading into the weekend. Meanwhile, annual wage inflation is expected to decrease to 4% from 4.1% in October, and the unemployment rate is predicted to remain unchanged at 3.9%. The US economic calendar will also feature the preliminary December Consumer Sentiment Survey from the University of Michigan. However, investors may overlook this report while scrutinizing labor market data.
by Gwen_Humuna
EUR/USD Rebounds from Multi-Week Lows, Trading Above 1.0750EUR/USD faced significant downward pressure, dropping to its weakest level in three weeks below 1.0750 on Friday after stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data. However, weekend flows helped the pair recover losses, erasing the daily downturn. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart has risen but remains below 50, indicating a lack of strong recovery momentum. The pair needs a decisive move above 1.0820 (200-day Simple Moving Average, Fibonacci retracement level of the latest uptrend) to use it as support and extend its recovery towards 1.0860 (static level, 50-period SMA) and 1.0900 (Fibonacci retracement level of 23.6%, 100-period SMA). On the downside, 1.0760 (Fibonacci retracement level of 50%, 200-period SMA) is considered a crucial support level before 1.0700 (psychological level, Fibonacci retracement level of 61.8%). EUR/USD benefited from the broad weakness of the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, recording a daily gain for the first time since November 28th. On Friday, the pair stabilized just below 1.0800 as market participants hesitated to take significant positions ahead of the US November employment report. Positive changes in risk sentiment made it challenging for the USD to find demand in the latter half of Thursday, pushing EUR/USD higher. The US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is expected to show an increase of 180,000 jobs in November. A figure above 200,000 could prompt investors to reassess the timing of potential policy changes by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and bolster the USD initially. On the other hand, a disappointing figure below 150,000 could weaken the USD against its counterparts at the end of the week. Meanwhile, annual wage inflation is anticipated to decrease to 4% from October's 4.1%, and the unemployment rate is predicted to remain unchanged at 3.9%. The US economic calendar will also include the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey for December. However, investors may overlook this report while focusing on scrutinizing labor market data details.
by Larissa-Trader
USD/JPY Stable Below 147.45 Ahead of US ADP ReportThe US Dollar maintains a modest bid in early European trading, with the USD/JPY pair trading narrowly below the 147.45 resistance level. The downtrend has persisted above 147.00 so far. The USD staged a mild recovery from Monday's lows but faced resistance at 147.45, leading to a measured downward trend on Tuesday. Investor caution ahead of key US employment data has supported the reversal in favor of the Japanese Yen. Speculation is growing that the Fed has completed its interest rate hikes, and the US central bank is anticipated to commence rate cuts in March, weighing on the US Dollar. Conversely, the Bank of Japan is expected to step away from extremely loose monetary policies in the coming months. This, coupled with risk aversion in the market, is offsetting the safe-haven appeal of the Japanese Yen. On the economic calendar, today's foundation-setting events include the US ISM Services and JOLTs Job Openings, laying the groundwork for Wednesday's ADP and Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls – key events of the week. From a technical standpoint, the 4-hour chart illustrates the pair trading within a descending wedge pattern, descending from November's peak. Price action remains below the primary SMA, and the RSI has dipped below the midpoint, signaling a potential continuation of the downtrend. Next support levels are at 146.30 and 146.00, while resistance levels at 147.45 and 148.50, previously mentioned, represent the 38.2% retracement of the November-December decline.
by Larissa-Trader
EUR/USD Sees Modest Uptick Around 1.0770 Ahead of Eurozone GDPThe EUR/USD pair experienced a modest uptick in early Asian trading on Thursday. However, the upward trend of this currency pair may face limitations due to the recent demand for the US Dollar and weaker-than-expected data from the Eurozone. The major currency pair is trading around the 1.0770 level, marking a 0.08% increase for the day. The EUR/USD exchange rate continues its decline, with the daily chart indicating the potential for further downside. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is confidently pointing south, and the Momentum has just crossed below the midpoint, two days after the price fell below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The pair is testing levels below the 100-day SMA and remains below the 200-day SMA, signaling bearish prospects. On the 4-hour chart, the EUR/USD is still within a downtrend channel and comfortably distant from the lower boundary, suggesting further potential for a price decline. Breaking above the 1.0800 level would alleviate some downward pressure, but the Euro needs to rise above 1.0825 to negate the short-term bearish trend. A clear break below 1,0760 may find support around 1.0735/40, followed by a potential temporary recovery thereafter.
by Larissa-Trader
EUR/USD Extends Decline Below 1.0800 MarkThe EUR/USD pair continues to face selling pressure below the psychological level of 1.0800 in the early Asian trading session on Wednesday. Optimistic Eurozone PMI data for November failed to inspire the Euro, given the persistent weakness in demand in the Eurozone region. The EUR/USD exchange rate found support at the 100-day SMA at 1,0775, with this mentioned level being tested, and a lower daily close would indicate further weakness. Prices are below the 20-day and 200-day SMAs, and daily chart technical indicators continue to signal a downtrend. Below 1,0770, the next significant support level stands at 1,0690 (trendline, 55-day SMA). On the 4-hour chart, the currency pair is moving with a bearish trend. Technical indicators are in oversold territory, suggesting potential consolidation before a possible deeper decline. Strong short-term negative momentum may persist below 1.0850. To reverse the negative selling trend, the Euro must rise and maintain levels above 1.0915. As the EUR/USD pair faces ongoing challenges, market participants are closely monitoring key support levels and technical indicators for potential shifts in sentiment and price dynamics.
by Larissa-Trader
EUR/USD Consolidates Near 1.0850 Amid Mixed Market ConditionsThe EUR/USD pair remained range-bound around 1.0850 in early European trading on Tuesday. The recent decline in the US Dollar, coupled with higher yields on US Treasury bonds, is providing support to this currency pair, although broader risk aversion sentiment is limiting its upward momentum. Attention is focused on US employment data and the ISM PMI. The decline in EUR/USD found support around 1.0800, slipping below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and daily chart indicators indicating a bearish trend. After a more than 200-pip drop from recent highs, some consolidation appears to be in play. On the 4-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has stabilized after touching 30, suggesting consolidation. The MACD indicator continues to show negativity for the Euro, while Momentum is flat. The risk seems balanced, with a drop below 1.0790 opening up opportunities for further losses, while a positive move would require the Euro to reclaim 1.0900 to negate short-term bearishness. The EUR/USD exchange rate fell for the fourth consecutive Monday, dropping below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The pair found support around the 1.0800 region. The US Dollar strengthened ahead of crucial US labor market data. The pair continues to decline as the market anticipates that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates before the Federal Reserve (Fed) does. The Euro is decreasing after reaching levels above 1,1000 last week. This move seems somewhat exaggerated, and volatility is expected to remain high. On Tuesday, Eurostat will release the Producer Price Index (PPI) for October, along with the final PMI indices. France and Spain will report Industrial Production for October. The US Dollar broadly strengthened on Monday, starting the week under pressure but recovering strongly, supported by higher US Treasury yields ahead of key economic reports. The highlight of the week in the US will be labor market data, starting with the JOLTS report and the ISM Services PMI. Towards the end of the week, the ADP Private Employment, Initial Jobless Claims, and Non-Farm Payrolls reports are expected to provide insights into a more balanced labor market.
by Larissa-Trader
EUR/USD: Bearish Momentum Gathers Strength In the 24-hour perspective, the EUR dropped to 1.0827 last Friday before rebounding and closing relatively unchanged at 1.0881 (-0.05%). As highlighted on Monday, although selling pressure seemed to ease, there was a possibility for the EUR to decline to 1.0810 before a potential sustained recovery. In New York trading, the EUR dipped to 1.0802 before staging a recovery. This time, the downward pressure has subsided, making it challenging for the EUR to weaken further. Today, the EUR is likely to trade within a broader range, possibly between 1.0800 and 1.0870. Over the next 1-3 weeks, last Friday (December 1, spot rate at 1.0895), we observed a weakening upward momentum and a slight increase in the downward trend. We anticipated the EUR to "drop to 1.0810." As expected, the EUR reached a low of 1.0802 yesterday (December 4). Although the downward momentum has increased, it is not sufficient to indicate a sustained decline. The EUR must break and maintain below 1.0770 before the possibility of an extended downtrend. The likelihood of the EUR clearly breaking below 1.0770 is currently low, but it will persist unless the EUR surpasses the "strong resistance" at 1.0900 (yesterday's high was 1.0965).
by Gwen_Humuna
EURUSD → Rejected!? Will the Price Fall to 1.06 or Rush to 1.12?EURUSD made contact with the resistance zone, as predicted from last week's analysis. We're now faced with a decision to short or wait on the sidelines for more price action. How do we trade this? 🤔 The conditions at this moment make it reasonable to short , but there is a caveat! It's very possible the price pulls back a bit to the resistance zone for another test before dropping. If you didn't short at the resistance zone, it's reasonable to wait for the price to crawl back up to the 1.09600 area to enter. Enter after another sell signal, then 1:2 risk ratio down to the bottom of the trading range around 1.05900. If the price breaks resistance, wait for it to confirm support on the resistance zone then look for a long entry off of a bull signal and confirmation bar. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Short Entry: 1.09600 🟥 Stop Loss: 1.11450 ✅ Take Profit: 1.05900 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long. 2. Rejection at the Resistance Zone, Reasonable to Short. 3. If Shorting, Watch EMAs for Support. 4. Look for a pullback to resistance before the price falls. 5. RSI at 57.00 below Moving Average, Bias to Short. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Short
by TraderEngineering
EUR/USD Slips Below 1.0950 Ahead of EU/US Inflation DataEUR/USD is sliding below 1.0950, facing fresh selling pressure as the US Dollar strengthens on Thursday. Weaker-than-expected inflation data from France, Germany, and Spain is weighing on the Euro. All eyes are now on the inflation figures for the Eurozone and the US for new market catalysts. The EUR/USD exchange rate retreats after four consecutive days of gains, pulling back from a three-month high above 1.1000. Despite the retreat, the overall trend still leans towards an upward trajectory. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently above 70 and poised to decline suggests potential consolidation ahead. Closing above 1.1010 on the daily chart opens up profit-taking opportunities. On the 4-hour chart, the risk seems tilted towards an upside move. The currency pair found support at the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). A solid break below 1.0960 will indicate further downside, with the next support at 1.0925 near the ascending trendline. On the upside, the 1.1000 level presents a crucial resistance to consider. Beyond the recent high, the next resistance level is at 1.1050. In summary, EUR/USD faces selling pressure amid US Dollar strength, driven by softer inflation data in key Eurozone countries. The overall trend suggests an upward bias, but a potential consolidation phase is indicated by the RSI. Critical levels to watch include 1.0960 on the downside and 1.1000 on the upside.
by Larissa-Trader
EUR/USD Dips Near 1.0950, Faces Technical ChallengesFrom a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair continues to struggle to surpass the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the July to October downturn. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is poised to break out of the overbought zone, urging caution for bullish traders. Therefore, it would be prudent to anticipate a short-term consolidation or a modest pullback before positioning for any further upward movement. Meanwhile, any subsequent price decline may find support near the overnight swing low, around the 1.0925 region. Next in line is the 1.0900 level, below which the EUR/USD could retreat to the 50% Fibonacci level, around the 1.0860 area. Further downside momentum might reveal the confluence at 1.0770-1.0765, encompassing the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 38.2% Fibonacci level. On the flip side, bullish participants should await sustained strength and acceptance above the 61.8% Fibonacci level, around the 1.0960-1.0965 zone, before making new bets. Subsequently, the EUR/USD pair could accelerate its upward momentum to reclaim the psychological level of 1.1000 and continue its ascent to test the next relevant resistance zone near 1.1030-1.1035 on the path to the August monthly high, around the 1.1065 area.
by shariebalhornz
"EUR/USD Stabilizes After Testing 15-Week High Near 1.1000" The EUR/USD exchange rate is retracing back towards the vicinity of 1.0980 after touching a 15-week high just above 1.1000, supported by an increase in risk appetite across the broader market, causing the US Dollar to depreciate and fall into the red against all major currencies on Tuesday. The daily chart depicts EUR/USD trading around the opening level, despite reaching a weekly high. The pair is still attempting to surpass the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the decline from 1.1275 to 1.0447 at 1.0960, although the overall picture remains bullish. The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is crossing above the flat 100-day SMA and is on the verge of crossing the undirected 200-day SMA, all within the range of 1.0790/1.0810. Meanwhile, technical indicators remain positive, although lacking directional strength. The 4-hour chart reveals buyers defending the downside trend around the slightly ascending 20-day SMA, currently at 1.0930. The longer-term moving averages maintain their upward slopes, significantly lower than the shorter-term averages, indicating buyer control. Lastly, technical indicators have lost directional strength but still remain higher than the midline, reflecting a lack of selling pressure. Support levels: 1.0930, 1.0895, 1.0860 Resistance levels: 1.0960, 1.1005, 1.1045
by Larissa-Trader
EUR/USD Update: Revisiting 1.0960 Resistance and Projected ..EUR/USD Update: Revisiting 1.0960 Resistance and Projected Direction EUR/USD Encounters Resistance at 1.0960, Pulling Back from a Near Three-Month High of 1.0965 Early Tuesday. Selling Pressure Mounts as the US Dollar Strengthens Amid Mixed Market Sentiment and Anticipation of Upcoming Fed Speeches. Eyes Also on ECB Officials' Remarks. As Predicted Yesterday, the Price Faces Rejection at the Previous Resistance Area Near 88.60% from the Previous Swing High. Noteworthy Divergence in RSI Occurred Yesterday, Following a Bearish Push-Down. During the Asian Session, the Price Retested the Area, Exhibiting Another RSI Divergence Before a Subsequent Drop. Presently, the Price Aligns with Our Projected Direction. Below 1.09875 look for further downside with 1.09085 & 1.08900 as targets. Previous Idea:
Short
by FOREXN1
3
"EUR/USD: Challenges Below 1.0950"The EUR/USD pair experiences modest losses in the early Asian trading session on Monday. Increased demand for the U.S. Dollar has pushed the major currency pair lower. The potential upside for the EUR seems limited due to macroeconomic prospects. The pair is trading near the 1.0935 level, down 0.08% on the day. EUR/USD continues to trade in the upper half of the ascending regression channel, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holding just above 50, indicating a lack of selling interest. The 1.0950 level (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the downtrend from July to October) is considered a strong resistance before 1.1000 (psychological level, static level), and 1.1025 (static level from August). On the flip side, support levels are located at 1.0900 (50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), psychological level), 1.0850 (50% Fibonacci retracement level), and 1.0800 (100-period SMA, lower limit of the ascending channel). EUR/USD closed the second consecutive session in negative territory on Thursday but attempted to stabilize above the 1.0900 level on Friday. S&P Global will release Manufacturing and Services PMI data for the U.S. at the end of the day, but thin trading conditions on Black Friday may limit the pair's actions before the weekend. Data from Germany shows that the IFO Business Climate Index, Germany's leading indicator, improved to 87.3 in November from 86.9 in October. The Current Assessment Index increased to 89.4 from 89.2, while the Expectations Index rose to 85.2 from 84.8. Although these figures are slightly lower than analyst estimates, they have little impact on the Euro's valuation. Meanwhile, in an interview with Boersen-Zeitung on Thursday, European Central Bank policy maker Pierre Wunsch called the market pricing for interest rate cuts "very optimistic" and argued that this stance could increase the likelihood of further tightening. Business activity for private sectors in the U.S. is forecasted to slow down in November. In the event of disappointing PMI results, the U.S. Dollar (USD) may struggle to sustain its recovery against its counterparts in the U.S. trading session.
by Larissa-Trader
Global Economic Analysis: Potential Recession in the EurozoneEurope The S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index fell to 47.1 in November, marking the sixth consecutive month below the 50-point expansion threshold, despite exceeding economists' predictions. Both manufacturing and services sectors reflect a similar trend. Germany will suspend constitutional limits on net new borrowing for the fourth consecutive year after Prime Minister Olaf Scholz's government was compelled to implement sweeping budget reforms following a recent ruling by the national supreme court. This emergency move to lift the so-called "debt brake" will be part of the 2023 budget revision, expected to be presented by Finance Minister Christian Lindner next week. Asia China may have concluded its interest rate cuts as policymakers shift towards alternative measures to support the economy and maintain credit growth stability in the new year. Initial trade data from South Korea indicates that exports are likely to sustain growth momentum this month, continuing the recovery after a year-long recession. South Korea, a crucial global exporter, plays a significant role as an indicator of the global economic condition through its export performance. Emerging Markets Thailand's economic growth unexpectedly slowed in Q3 due to a decline in manufacturing caused by weak exports, supporting the new government's $14 billion cash support program as planned. Chile's economy expanded more than forecasted in Q3, driven by the mining sector, as the central bank began to ease monetary policy. Gross domestic product increased by 0.6% from July to September compared to the same period last year. In the prolonged interest rate decisions across Africa, the region's largest economies are expected to maintain higher interest rates for an extended period. Angola and Zambia raised rates this week to curb persistent inflation and stabilize their currencies, with Nigeria also planning an interest rate hike. South Africa maintains the current rate, and other countries including Morocco, Kenya, and Ghana are likely to follow suit.
by Larissa-Trader
EUR/USD Maintains Slight Decline Below 1.0900 The EUR/USD exchange rate continues its descent after failing to hold above 1.0950. On Wednesday, the pair encountered resistance at 1.0920 before experiencing another round of price depreciation. Finding support at 1.0850, the potential for further downside exists, targeting the crucial support level at 1.0830. The short-term downtrend line is positioned at 1.0900, and a move above this level could provide momentum for the Euro. On the 4-hour chart, technical indicators suggest a continued bearish trend but lack strong conviction. The MACD indicator signals bearish tendencies, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moves laterally, indicating potential consolidation in the range of 1.0890 to 1.0860 or around the 1.0830 region. A drop below the subsequent level would increase downward pressure, leading to additional losses for the Euro. The EUR/USD rate retreated on Wednesday to the 1.0850 area, driven by a stronger US Dollar following the release of US economic data. This pair continues to pull back from monthly highs in a corrective move. Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel stated on Wednesday that interest rates in the Eurozone are nearing their peak. Market participants believe that interest rates are unlikely to increase further unless inflation recovers. Key data will be released on Thursday, including preliminary PMI indices for November. Forecasts suggest further improvements, but all figures are expected to remain below 50. This data could impact the market, and any negative surprises may add pressure to the current adjustment in EUR/USD. The Flash Services PMI is expected to rise from 47.8 to 48.0, and Manufacturing from 43.1 to 43.3. Also on Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) will release the minutes of its latest monetary policy meeting. The US Dollar has further recovered from monthly lows, gaining momentum after the release of mixed US data showing a larger-than-expected decrease in initial jobless claims and a significant drop in durable goods orders. The US market will be closed on Thursday. Bond yields continue to rise, supporting the ongoing adjustment of the US Dollar. Market sentiment seems poised for a consolidation ahead.
by Larissa-Trader
1