EUR/USD begins new week near weekly PP at 1.1938Morning outlook - EUR/USD begins new week near weekly PP at 1.1938
Due to release of negative data on the US Core Retail Sales, the Euro caught an upside momentum, which lasted until the pair met a resistance in the 1.1985-95 area.
At the moment, the currency rate is located near the updated weekly PP at 1.1938, being squeezed between the 200- and 100-hour SMAs. Accordingly, an aggregate of technical indicators sends either neutral or ordinary buy signal.
This fact as well as the traditional Monday's inactivity suggests that the pair is unlikely to make major advances today .
However, generally, the pair is expected to make attempt to break through the above resistance towards the new weekly R1 at 1.2039.
On the other side, an average market sentiment remains 65% bearish, which means that in case of a new rebound bears might try to drag the rate down to the monthly PP at 1.1881.
Eurusddaily
EURUSD : SECOND ROUNDS ON ME?Hi traders,
The EURUSD took a dip when it went over 1.20. The thing is... it broke through so this means we will see that price again very soon. EURUSD is still within it's uptrend channel. DXY topped @ 92.00 during a nice bull run yesterday but has now retrace (may have been a top)
I looked in a lower timeframe (4H) and it looks like we may have reached the end of this retracement down. Nothing is really sure at this level but it does look good. RR is always important and this looks like a nice one.
EURUSD LONG :
ENTRY : 1.19596
TP : 1.22700
SL : 1.18939
Trade safe!
EUR/USD slips to weekly PP at 1.1999Morning outlook - EUR/USD slips to weekly PP at 1.1999
On Friday, the currency exchange rate acted in accordance with one of the scenarios, which suggested that as soon as markets will calm down the buck is going to try restoring some lost positions.
Indeed, after failing to jump above the monthly R1 at 1.2099 the pair switched a direction and ended the week near the combined support level set up by the 55-hour SMA and the updated weekly PP at 1.1999.
It seems that the turnaround was partially attributed to clash with the upper boundary of a medium-term rising wedge, which can be clearly seen on a daily timeframe.
From this larger perspective the rate is expected to continue to gradually slip to the bottom.
However, in the short run these attempts most likely will be neutralized by the 100- and 200-hour SMAs.
EURUSD : CLEAR FOR TAKEOFF!?Hi traders,
EURUSD swang both ways. Got sold quickly near 1.20 and got bought yet again in the order block below. This trade has a big big potential on RR. It's pretty rare that we go over 3.5:1 and this trade could be worth 6:1
MACD faked out everyone but still needs to prove it.
EURUSD LONG :
ENTRY : 1.1869
TP : 1.22735
SL : 1.17914
Trade safe!
EUR/USD under pressure from moving averagesMorning outlook - EUR/USD under pressure from moving averages
By the end of the previous trading day the currency pair had expectedly made a breakout from a short-term symmetrical triangle. The only difference from similar cases was that it did not choose a clear direction but, instead, continued to move horizontally.
However, today this flat movement is expected to end, as the rate is experiencing pressure from a combination of the 55-, 100- and 200-hours SMAs, which are located slightly below it. Once the pair will manage to break through the weekly PP at 1.1918, it will have a barrier-free area up until the weekly R1 at 1.2013. The eventual surge is expected to happen despite that 65% of open positions are short.
EUR/USD prepares for Draghi and Yellen speechesMorning outlook - EUR/USD prepares for Draghi and Yellen speeches
An hourly chart reveals that the Euro is moving against the American Dollar in a short-term symmetrical triangle, as traders await both Mario Draghi and Janet Yellen speeches that will be delivered later this day at the Jackson Hole Symposium.
From a technical perspective, a breakout to the northern direction seems more possible, as the currency pair experiences pressure from the 55- and 100-hour SMAs from the bottom. In addition, the upper area lacks any notable resistance barriers in the next 45-pip range.
However, if the downfall happens, then in the worst case scenario it should be stopped by the 100% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1714.
EURUSD : HATING THE BULLS! BEAR LOVE TIME!Hi traders!
EURUSD finally met some real resistance when it touched 1.19 and didn't find the strength to come back. Some drop were bought and it didn't create any momentum.
Great RR trade right here. RSI is in the lower band.
EURUSD SHORT
ENTRY : 1.17701
SL : 1.18424
TP : 1.15749
Stuck in order block.
Trade safe!
Long EURUSD Longterm Based on Weekly + Monthly TimeframeFollowing a downtrend on the EURUSD , price has been ranging since January 2015 and formed a triple bottom, which has been validated by the recent break of the neckline. Ideal entry would have been at the close of the weekly candle above the neckline, however, with our long term goal of 1.214 we may still have the opportunity to jump in on this long trade.
I believe fundamentals are in our favour of this position and multiple indicators show room for a good leg up on the monthly timeframe. I will be monitoring this pair on multiple time frames.
This research is for informational purposes and should not be construed as personal advice. Trading any financial market involves risk. Trading on leverage involves risk of losses greater than deposits.
Please comment below and Like if you agree with my analysis.
EURUSD : STOP PLAYING GAMES MY WITH BEAR HEART!Hi traders!
EURUSD has been teasing us with a possible breach of the 1.17 zone but apparently it has to correct itself before doing so. My analysis shows that we could profit off a short before going long on this pair.
MACD giving mixed signals and RSI is oversold for quite a moment now!
EURUSD SELL
ENTRY : 1.16348
SL : 1.17074
TP : 1.13778
Trade safe!
EURUSD : Monthly resistance TOO STRONG!?This trade is very interesting. We are looking at a war between the bulls and bears since we went near that monthly resistance. Until it can stay above that line on the daily timeframe, I am suggesting a short with a nice RR. For more details, look at the analysis above.
Trade safe!
EURUSDOur preference: position bought above 1.1380 with targets at 1.1420 & 1.1440 in extension.
Alternative scenario: in break of 1,1380, a continuation of the decline will be envisageable with 1,1360 & 1,1340 in line of sight.
Comment: A support base on 1,1380 formed and allowed temporary stabilization.
Potential Short EURUSD Longterm Based on D1, W1 + M1 ChartsWith the recent EURUSD rally we have come back up to 1.13x and we are fast approaching a Major Resistance Zone. In fact, the last time price was able to breach and close above this resistance zone on the Weekly timeframe was the 29th of September 2003 !!
Price has retested this zone multiple times and failed to keep above it. I will continue to monitor on multiple time frames.
This research is for informational purposes and should not be construed as personal advice. Trading any financial market involves risk. Trading on leverage involves risk of losses greater than deposits.
Please comment below and Like if you agree with my analysis.
EURUSD testing major resistance, remain bearishSell below 1.1264. Stop loss at 1.1301. Take profit at 1.1159.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price continues to test our resistance as it shapes up nicely for a drop. We remain bearish below major resistance at 1.1264 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) for a further drop towards 1.1159 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is seeing major resistance below the 95% level.
EURUSD testing major resistance, remain bearishSell below 1.1264. Stop loss at 1.1301. Take profit at 1.1159.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has reached our selling area and is testing that level. We remain bearish below major resistance at 1.1264 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) for a further drop towards 1.1159 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is seeing major resistance below the 95% level.
EURUSD dropping perfectly, remain bearishSell below 1.1264. Stop loss at 1.1301. Take profit at 1.1159.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has reached our selling area and reversed perfectly as expected. We remain bearish below major resistance at 1.1264 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) for a further drop towards 1.1159 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (55,5,3) has reversed nicely off our 95% resistance and has good downside potential.
EURUSD approaching major resistance, prepare to sellSell below 1.1264. Stop loss at 1.1301. Take profit at 1.1159.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is approaching major resistance at 1.1264 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) and we expect a strong reaction off this level for a drop to 1.1159 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing major resistance below the 95% level where we expect a huge drop from.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving USD today is the U.S. ISM Manufacturing survey. It is one of the biggest market moving economic releases because of its Prices Paid and Employment subcomponents which reflect sentiment towards inflation and labor conditions - two of the market's most significant health indicators. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. We’re expecting forecasts of an decrease which means a bearish USD is expected, this goes against our bearish EURUSD view hence it is best to exercise caution on this trade.
EURUSD profit target reached, prepare to sellSell below 1.0948. Stop loss at 1.1002. Take profit at 1.0853.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has bounced off our buying area perfectly and reached our profit target as expected. We prepare to sell below 1.0948 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) for a push down towards 1.0853 support (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major resistance below the 97% level where we expect a drop from.
Correlation analysis: EURUSD and USDCHF are negatively correlated, meaning they usually move in opposite directions. We’re expecting a rise in USDCHF which goes in line with the drop we expect on EURUSD.
EURUSD bouncing off major support, remain bullishBuy above 1.0853. Stop loss at 1.0787. Take profit at 1.0948.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has started to bounce off our buying area perfectly. The plan today is to remain bullish above 1.0853 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal support) for a push up to 1.0948 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major support above 2% where we expect a bounce from.
Correlation analysis: EURUSD and USDCHF are negatively correlated, meaning they usually move in opposite directions. We’re expecting a drop in USDCHF which goes in line with the rise we expect on EURUSD.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving USD today is the U.S. Advance Retail Sales which is a monthly measure of sales of goods to consumers at retail outlets. The figure is a significant market mover, valuable both for its timeliness and insight into consumer demand and consumer confidence. We’re expecting a positive value here meaning more consumer spending and confidence, leading to strength in the USD. This would go against our bullish EURUSD view today hence is it best to exercise caution on this trade.