EURUSD Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022 EURUSD Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 1.48%, DOWN from 1.53% from last week
according to EVZ data
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 1ST percentile,
while according to EVZ, we are on 1th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
Bullish: 1.121% movement
Bearish: 0.966% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 30% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 1.069
BOT: 1.037
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
71% probability we are going to touch previous high 1.059
30% probability we are going to touch previous low 1.044
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Weekly timeframe indicates 26% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
Daily timeframe indicates 93% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
4H timeframe indicates 80% BULLISH trend from the moving averages index
Eurusdforecast
EURUSD Long Play (Weekly Chart) 11-12-22As the year quickly comes to a close, I can see the price draw to the 1.06000 - 1.07400 level before the yearly close. Expect this due to the weaker dollar that we have been experiencing over the last few months. I believe once we get to the 1.08000 level we could start to see a correction in this pair.
EURUSD - Expect bearish price action ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my analysis of EURUSD.
As I said in my previous analysis, I expect bearish price action as price is in daily bearish orderblock, but from lower timeframe perspective I will look for this pattern to occur, firstly price to broke the structure and then to make a retracement.
‼️Attention!!! Due to the fact that we have a lot of news events upcoming week, the analysis can be invalidated.
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EURUSD insightThe market has made a beautiful retracement to give us the double top for sellers to take over, we take this short bearish move until we reach the daily OB which is now our support. If price happens to violate the area and break below, then we continue going bearish until 1.02071, but if it respects the area then we go bullish to trigger our third bearish drive along with the daily supply zone, let’s be on the lookout…
EURUSD insightThe market has made a beautiful retracement to give us the double bottom for sellers to take over, we take this short bearish move until we rich the daily OB which is now our support. If price happens to violate the area and break below, then we continue going bearish until 1.02071, but if it respects the area then we go bullish to trigger our third bearish drive along with the daily supply zone, let’s be on the lookout…
EURUSD top-down analysis, UPDATED!Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD - CURRENT SENTIMENT ANALYSE , DXY #EURUSD
- As of last day, the MARKET SENTIMENT for EUR was slightly UP SIDE. The main reason for that is that the dollar is starting to weaken quite a bit. As of today, due to MARKET RISK being ON, all MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going up a bit. But with RETAIL SALES, ISM MANUFACTURING DATA, and FED UPDATES, this situation has changed. Therefore, if the FED continues to be HAWKISH, the USD can definitely go UP. So stay tuned for FED UPDATES.
- Definitely, according to the market structure, EURUSD can go down to the support level of 1.0290 below. At the moment, there is quite a DOWN SIDE BIAS in the MARKET for EUR. After that, EURUSD can go up to 1.0905 LEVEL. If the MARKET SENTIMENT changes and STOCKS and COMMODITIES start going UP, there will be more EURUSD BUY. So keep an eye on it.
EUR/USD likely to fall!Hey tradomaniacs,
looks like EUR/USD is going to fall after the recent retest of the trendline and naked Point of Controle from yesterday.
Entire pump had higher volume, but almost a neutral Delta - This pump happened with Front-Pushing and is so a move of manipulation. Im waiting for a retest to get a confirmation.
Be cautious as EURO has been very very choppy lately compared to other paires.
What do you think?
EURUSD top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EurUsd- Top in place and final of correction?Since the low from September at 0.95, EurUsd had a pretty good run, with the pair gaining 1k pips which translates into 10%.
However, as I draw attention in my past posts, this is a correction to the overall trend with both technicals and macro fundamentals still intact and not sustaining a strong Eur in the near future.
The recent top was very near a very strong and important resistance that lies between 1.07 and 1.08 and although we didn't touch that zone, the pair could have topped.
At the time of writing EurUsd is trading exactly on support and a break here would confirm a false up break of the triangle and call for further losses.
Considering the 1.06 top, traders should look to sell rallies in search of good R: R considering 1.0250 as the target.
EURUSD - Retracement expected Hello traders!
‼️ This is my analysis on EURUSD .
Based on daily perspective we can see that we are bullish, but for now I expected a retracement as price rejected from bearish orderblock + institutional big figure 1.06000.
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EUR/USD Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 EUR/USD Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 1.64%, down from 1.85% last week according to EVZ data
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 0th percentile, while according to EVZ, we are on 2th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
Bullish: 1.18% movement
Bearish: 0.97% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 30% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 1.072
BOT: 1.033
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
70% probability we are going to touch previous high of 1.055(already hit)
30% probability we are going to touch previous low of 1.03
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Weekly timeframe indicates 26% BULLISH trend
Daily timeframe indicates 93% BULLISH trend
4H timeframe indicates 80% BULLISH trend
EurUsd remains very well supportedAfter the clear break above 1.0350 resistance and the confirmation of the break on Friday's NFP, EurUsd starts the week strong and we have a new local high at the time of writing at 1.0565.
Although in my opinion this is just a correction for the longer time frame, and in the short term I expect USD to continue its weakness and in EurUsd's case I expect an up continuation.
As I said before, the 1.08 zone could be the bull's target and as long as 1.0350 the bullish structure is clear and intact.
Buy dips should be the strategy